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@ -0,0 +1,74 @@
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GME is not a Random Anomaly | Why my nerdy math tits are jacked that Renaissance Technologies have gone long on GME
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===================================================================================================================
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| Author | Source |
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| :-------------: |:-------------:|
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| [u/jsmar18](https://www.reddit.com/user/jsmar18/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p85xbm/gme_is_not_a_random_anomaly_why_my_nerdy_math/) |
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---
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[Opinion 👽](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Opinion%20%F0%9F%91%BD%22&restrict_sr=1)
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[](https://preview.redd.it/42ywv8b5pii71.png?width=944&format=png&auto=webp&s=39b0382b77639d37cddc21808a7bf4d42355fa84)
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https://whalewisdom.com/stock/gme
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Why am I excited about this?
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A few people have already posted about it, but me being a math nerd, this makes me particularly excited and I'll explain why, although - with most of my posts, you're gonna get a history lesson, so get those crayons out and get ready to either snort them or write notes!
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Treating the Stock Market as a Casino
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This is true for Renaissance Technologies (Ren Tech) in the truest sense. A casino always has an edge over its players.
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Take a slot machine for example:
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A return to player is at an average of ~96%, this means if you walk in with $100, after a large number of spins, you'll be drained to $0 due to the 4% edge the casino has over you. In the long run, the casino will always win - also known as the law of large numbers, the average of the results obtained from a large number of trials (or spins in the case above), should be close to the expected value (the return to player of 96%).
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The Medallion Fund
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This particular fund, which is their most famous and profitable, beginning in 1988, after a rocky start, they hired a professor named [Elwyn Berlekamp](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elwyn_Berlekamp) which is where their returns started taking a turn for the better, consistently outperforming the market.
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An average return of 71.8% annual return before fees from 1994 to mid-2014. Insane.
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[](https://preview.redd.it/l5xx5pebpii71.png?width=898&format=png&auto=webp&s=64e24a6fa19095b94f7950af259d93604f2ef076)
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Elwyn pretty much set the stone for Ren Tech's success, he rewrote their trading algos to focus on short-term trade with sizing based on the opportunity.
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A Scientific Gambling Method
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From this anecdotal talk about how Elwyn approached trading algorithms lies the comparison to our casino, but in the world of science instead. The Kelly Criterion. Which is a formula that helps determine the optimal theoretical size for a bet. It's commonly used with investment decisions, and if you have an edge on the casino, take advantage of it while optimizing your asset allocation! As Bob Mercer said, who was also employed at Ren Tech:
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> We're right 50.75% of the time... but we're 100% right 50.75% of the time. You can make billions that way.
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The % referenced here was their ability to correctly predict the direction of medium/short term trades 50.75% of the time. Mercer and his colleagues built a system that modeled the relationship between stocks and then used this information to predict future bias in their price movement.
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Back to the Main Story
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Ren Tech has entered into a position with GME, owning it at some point in Q2 2021 and still likely owning in Q3 given that by 30th June 2021, we passed the initial June peak and were back down to the ~$213 mark.
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I'm going to suggest they bought after the June run-up and subsequent run-down and I'll explain why.
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Back in 2015, old mate Jim Simons, the founder of Ren Tech was on a [TED Talk](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lji-jNsXmAM&t=552s) - I remember watching this video in the early days of GME, because hey, learn from the best, right?
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GME is an Anomaly
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Jim said in the Ted Talk:
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> An anomaly might be a random thing, but given enough data you can tell it's not. You can see an anomaly that's persistent for a sufficiently long enough time, so that the probability of it being random is not high. But these things fade after a while, anomalies get washed out, so you gotta keep on top of those.
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This was in 2015, so it does have some recency issues (left Ren Tech in 2009). However, him mentioning that jacks my tits. He was the first one to start using pattern analysis and ML when it came to trading commodities in the early days. The dude was an avid user of mean reversion as well, bringing it into popularity - and then the industry caught up, and then he hired lots of ultra-wrinkle brains to push the limits of mathematics and information theory further.
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The main point I'm trying to make here and above is, they are GREAT at picking stocks that'll make them money and it's all based on the data.
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[](https://preview.redd.it/t7nhqz2ipii71.png?width=933&format=png&auto=webp&s=a0a5cdc50e3923a20de9c4b82445132ebcf6bdf2)
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Thanks u/Broccaa for making this particular image and the Pomeraniape u/Criand for discovering it 🙏
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Speculation Warning 🚀🚀🚀🚀
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This brings me to what [u/Criand](https://www.reddit.com/u/Criand/) has been speculating. I feel in my gut it's correct, and given the information above, I also think Ren Tech has figured out something similar as well (although given vast amounts more data than we could ever dream of getting our hands-on).
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To Ren Tech, the rollover period in Feb/March, where we saw the first spike after the Jan sneeze was a random anomaly, come the June spike and rollover period, I think that random anomaly turned into a not-so-random anomaly for them. So that leads me to my speculation that they bought after the June run-up when this random anomaly became a genuine market anomaly that they wanted to get a piece of the action.
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Thank you for coming to my TED Talk. See you soon with some fun SEC market structure analysis.
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@ -0,0 +1,34 @@
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FOUND CONNECTION BETWEEN TODAYS MOVEMENT AND BRAZIL PUTS
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========================================================
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| Author | Source |
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| :-------------: |:-------------:|
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| [u/bolonga16](https://www.reddit.com/user/bolonga16/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/pauf6x/found_connection_between_todays_movement_and/) |
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---
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[Discussion 🦍](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Discussion%20%F0%9F%A6%8D%22&restrict_sr=1)
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I was watching the order list today as price was moving and i noticed block orders from an exchange EDGX were pouring in thousands at a time. I took this screencap later so at the time there weren't as many, Imagine that 2k block order but filling half the feed
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<https://preview.redd.it/64uw776jcdj71.png?width=1314&format=png&auto=webp&s=2f3fea9861c1d0496c6eb914a7e6c21eb35a6bfb>
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It peaked my interest, so I did some digging on trusty Wiki
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<https://preview.redd.it/xyphk05kxcj71.png?width=1567&format=png&auto=webp&s=4156be7b3b90217fcc51fbda56d8b374eab67b52>
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Anything stick out to you? Last two companies to take ownership of said exchange are.....CITADEL AND GOLDMAN SACKS. Not only that but the Exchange is operated in.......... Rio de Janeiro, Brazil!
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Coincidence?
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Y'all tell me.
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Edit: If this holds up, it means AT LEAST Bloomberg is colluding with Citadel. Their excuse about the "bug" should be held against them.
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Edit 2: Prior to his career in the federal government, Gensler worked at Goldman Sachs, where he was a partner and co-head of finance.
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---
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**Relevant Comment by [u/wesg2](https://www.reddit.com/user/wesg2/)**
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The [Brazilian requirements](https://www.reddit.com/r/DDintoGME/comments/parhth/are_shfs_trying_to_get_around_the_isda_phase_5/) for ISDA's Phase 5 reporting are NOT the same as the U.S. requirements. Brazil had 1 transaction we saw from Citadel at an [undisclosed dollar value](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/otzu3e/posting_some_more_info_to_help_wrinkle_brains/). They might be unloading enough to get below the reporting threshold for 2021. That's what's been bugging me all day.
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@ -0,0 +1,194 @@
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The Daily Stonk Aug 16, 2021
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============================
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| Author | Source |
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| :-------------: |:-------------:|
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| [u/Blazlyn](https://www.reddit.com/user/Blazlyn/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p5dni2/the_daily_stonk_aug_16_2021/) |
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---
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[HODL 💎🙌](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22HODL%20%F0%9F%92%8E%F0%9F%99%8C%22&restrict_sr=1)
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[](https://preview.redd.it/amg3p9473ph71.png?width=1600&format=png&auto=webp&s=000473c6597551d61f364c3138a2f092355884ef)
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[Gooooooood Moooooorning Superstonk!](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AwSra5p8MDw)
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It is a wonderful day to be up and in the jungle!
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[](https://preview.redd.it/nz3aozs55ph71.jpg?width=640&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b3213d198726f6a27732854c27194de6e0ffe0db)
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[u/sugardevil27](https://www.reddit.com/u/sugardevil27/)
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A lot of Memes and big news! You know what that means! Do 5 push ups and call it 150 because were about to look at our favorite rehypothication stock!
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[Reverse Repo seems to be cruising above $1T!](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p3pmu1/daily_reverse_repo_update_0813_1050941b/)
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Maintaining the cruising altitude with a sleight $50m dollar bump to make sure that we are out of the way of other air traffic.
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In the event my goldfish brain forget here is [Reverse Repo explained](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/owwk1p/the_rrp_number_is_incredible_but_what_does_it/h7iv86i/?context=3) in a way even I can understand.
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[](https://preview.redd.it/irhmf3483ph71.png?width=700&format=png&auto=webp&s=57186ab8c19a3738f9c98b0b81b8c74d0d69ac99)
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[Treasury is at $351B](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p3t1p1/daily_treasury_balance_for_0812_351b_38b/?ref=share&ref_source=link)
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Looks like a drop of $38B.
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[](https://preview.redd.it/jdcjw8pm3ph71.png?width=960&format=png&auto=webp&s=3bb2fe836202521ea354386ef93a89914a35ea71)
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[Low Volume of 1.004 Million](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GME/?guccounter=1&guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZ29vZ2xlLmNvbS8&guce_referrer_sig=AQAAAHq6Tq_IvJ7rsEd5p9bX46_FSdCDIAH4khGld5Hpu3kigzzepd0Z448Fntj0CShiYBNzlxMUTobwHdUslLIUlY5u7Zp-TtfxTeVYWWKEM7YwkduVyMw3IdDtEhTpY4uSCwm9kNaHLNEVONTruW_7OTZ89VcBXmPPTOtHQg75MS8b)
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I hope [u/edgar510](https://www.reddit.com/u/edgar510/) enjoyed his weekend! Because I look forward to whatever graphic he posts today!
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[Route Through IEX](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SLNySV4OQfk)
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Seriously. Do it.
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[US Inflation Chart](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p51rh5/exactly_50_years_ago_today_aug_151971_the_us_was/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share)
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This is a great graphic showing the loss of buying power and how liuttle we can buy today vs the dollars inception and subsequent hits via things like illegal to own gold and the removal from the gold standard.
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[](https://preview.redd.it/cqxw67od4ph71.png?width=960&format=png&auto=webp&s=6cbec76a40b2f105db292a69af0251e4df55fcb5)
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[Computer Share and Wells Fargo?](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p5d38p/need_more_eyes_on_this_computershare_entered_a/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share)
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Usually I stick to a day out to let news develop but with how much "ComputerShare" came and vanished I was skeptical of even including it. Now apparently they are filing to acquire Wells Fargo corporate trust. Some wrikle brains have some words for a smooth brain like me to explain what this all means? Is computer share trustworthy? Is this the beginning of the "small fry participants" starting to get burned?
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[Market Crash? Buckle Up!](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p50i5k/impending_market_crash_and_gme_moass/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share)
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A good quick write up with a bunch of good comparison graphics. Got to the post to look at the pictures because there are a lot of them. Just remember TA provides a reference and not a formula.
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[Looks Like We Are Primed to Rise!](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p4wpd5/buckle_up/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share)
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[](https://preview.redd.it/p5kzknc47ph71.jpg?width=640&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=9adb5bb2b85464c52d95e05543152c2ac3866ed8)
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[TA For Boom?](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p4bra4/gme_is_about_to_blow/)
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[](https://preview.redd.it/nys00c8k9ph71.png?width=960&format=png&auto=webp&s=455b591ff6d1737727c315b3b56123187100ec99)
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[Cayman Islands Are a Sore Spot So They Stay](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p2aeyi/sorry_apes_apparently_im_facilitating_illegal/?ref=share&ref_source=link)
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Dig dig diggity dig! Below you can see the location of [40,000 companies](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p3c70y/nothing_too_important_but_this_is_the_building_in/). Kind of amazing that they all fit there! [PoDDible information of the boys club that is hiding there!](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p3a79x/billionaire_boys_club_bbc_ep_102_cayman_island/)
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[Some Solid DD About Secret Sauce](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p37osl/are_futures_or_swaps_the_secret_sauce_to_price/)
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It is crime. [u/Criand](https://www.reddit.com/u/Criand/) elaborates.
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[I Wish I Made $0.77 per $0.23 Spent](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p4xsxs/theyve_been_cheating_the_system_for_years_which/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share)
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Oh wait. My cut and the government's cut will be better than that. BUY and HODL.
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[](https://preview.redd.it/v1crpser7ph71.png?width=583&format=png&auto=webp&s=1d7649dcffff97c7f1ac7fb3ea664633d422f07d)
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[Looks Like OTC Increased... For January.](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p4w9hq/january_gme_otc_trades_increased_by_32_last_week/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share)
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Really? How is this even allowed to happen. If I turned in my rent check 6 months later I would have been homeless for 4 of those months. [u/Derealizationed](https://www.reddit.com/u/Derealizationed/) has been tracking some numbers and [this may be another piece of his puzzle.](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/ov9vc2/gme_market_cap_almost_9_billion_dollars_higher_in/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf) I look forward to whatever DD comes from this. Tick Tock Vladdy Boi.
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[Zacks Rates GME as HODL](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p4c3hm/gme_is_projected_to_report_earnings_of_042_per/)
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[](https://preview.redd.it/ion8mp1o8ph71.jpg?width=960&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=3a99750272fe37b12707ea8e3d022e969f6b9aff)
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[Marge N Gets a New Phone in September](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p44h5o/dtcc_executive_director_warns_that_due_to_changes/)
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[](https://preview.redd.it/19sxanyt8ph71.jpg?width=640&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=99339e6e1238b70b69659ade4b366a767f13616e)
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Memes:
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<https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p3m00s/ricks_big_bet/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share>
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||||||
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[](https://preview.redd.it/n02eqx424ph71.png?width=960&format=png&auto=webp&s=09ddcf8735e9b829d452c9c80d44aba04ec81d0e)
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[u/Sassqueachy](https://www.reddit.com/u/Sassqueachy/)
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|
|
||||||
|
[u/Gandofu8](https://www.reddit.com/u/Gandofu8/) giving us awkward boners....
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p50r3k/every_time_you_reach_out_for_something_you_care/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/wuglfn9j4ph71.jpg?width=750&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=89b4ea1c78d9a0e75a54ee606b824a6455ea61b2)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/Diamond-Solo](https://www.reddit.com/u/Diamond-Solo/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/Bye_Triangle](https://www.reddit.com/u/Bye_Triangle/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/vn5t45zn4ph71.png?width=640&format=png&auto=webp&s=fee5d6a14b3e28d30241a88aca8965f627e42738)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Seriously though... Why whale teeth?
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/qw2rgs6t4ph71.jpg?width=960&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=70736dc3d760182970676bcb94644b7b8aef600f)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/infj-t](https://www.reddit.com/u/infj-t/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p4xggv/i_hate_my_job/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/joeygallinal](https://www.reddit.com/u/joeygallinal/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/4kz24j8z4ph71.jpg?width=960&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=9d3d138a11c693ee54e034280eee05f0975d2763)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Stephen is a national treasure
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/towelfine6933](https://www.reddit.com/u/towelfine6933/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p4qkep/my_retirement_journey_in_three_stepsnot_finicial/>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/Fit-Tacle-6107](https://www.reddit.com/u/Fit-Tacle-6107/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p3adl0/all_aboard/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/JNO50593](https://www.reddit.com/u/JNO50593/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p3l7z5/how_many_new_rules_have_been_introduced_this_year/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p333xw/lets_hear_it_for_bryan_cohen/>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/DucksAndPills](https://www.reddit.com/u/DucksAndPills/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/2k6rl8of5ph71.jpg?width=500&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=79d5bdf0bfff05db747808b8bd2f7cd7f83296fd)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/keenfreed](https://www.reddit.com/u/keenfreed/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/0ym2rqoy8ph71.jpg?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=569a37eb8a6667cc72eda0b132922039af4ef527)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
GME BULLISH
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/nickzastro](https://www.reddit.com/u/nickzastro/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
AMA: You Asked, Mods Listened!
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p2ttdo/ama_announcement_robert_shapiro_lucy_komisar_18th/>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[EXCELLENT!](https://giphy.com/gifs/ifc-80s-bill-and-ted-excellet-l46CDHTqbmnGZyxKo)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
We don't care, just be nice and let's make this community as Excellent as we can!
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
A few wrinkled-brained apes for quick post history access:
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/DeepFuckingValue](https://www.reddit.com/u/DeepFuckingValue/) (dont need to explain)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/atobitt](https://www.reddit.com/u/atobitt/) (DD)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/Criand](https://www.reddit.com/u/Criand/) (DD)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/peruvian_bull](https://www.reddit.com/u/peruvian_bull/) (DD addict)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/Parsnip](https://www.reddit.com/u/Parsnip/) (German Market Guy | Diamantenhände)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/DR7KE](https://www.reddit.com/u/DR7KE/) (scales Treasury Balance Guy scales)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/pctracer](https://www.reddit.com/u/pctracer/) (Reverse Repo Market Updater)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/JTH1](https://www.reddit.com/u/JTH1/) (Floor Guy Stonkdate)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/mr_boost](https://www.reddit.com/u/mr_boost/) (Ape News Network | Sign Guy)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/gherkinit](https://www.reddit.com/u/gherkinit/) (Daily Technical Analysis)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/Dismal-Jellyfish](https://www.reddit.com/u/Dismal-Jellyfish/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Thank you to the mod team!! Thank you to YOU ALL BEAUTIFUL APES!
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Remember not to to give your password or log in information to anyone. If it seems suspicious don't do it! Phishing attacks have become more common across all platforms.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
As always we are here from all different walks of life and all different countries. This doesn't matter as we are all apes in here, and apes are friends. We help each other, we care for each other. Ape don't fight ape, apes help other apes!
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Remember the fundamentals of this company are great, so for the love of god if someone starts with trying to spread FUD, remind yourself of the fundamentals. BUY and HODL.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Okay that is all for now smell ya later!
|
||||||
@ -0,0 +1,158 @@
|
|||||||
|
The Daily Stonk Aug 17, 2021
|
||||||
|
============================
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
| Author | Source |
|
||||||
|
| :-------------: |:-------------:|
|
||||||
|
| [u/Blazlyn](https://www.reddit.com/user/Blazlyn/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p61aoa/the_daily_stonk_aug_17_2021/) |
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[HODL 💎🙌](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22HODL%20%F0%9F%92%8E%F0%9F%99%8C%22&restrict_sr=1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/48dvkk2o9wh71.png?width=1600&format=png&auto=webp&s=32349efdf80f1e6f10458e6dacc1b99e039d30b1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Gooooooood Moooooorning Superstonk!](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AwSra5p8MDw)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
It is a wonderful day to be up and in the jungle!
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Yesterday wasn't nearly as exciting as this weekend. Let's get into it! 3 sets of 5 Pull Ups. If you can't do that do one and rehypothicate the rest!
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/caulk-snorter](https://www.reddit.com/u/caulk-snorter/) WE ARE PROUD OF YOUR [11 DAY SOBRIETY!!!](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p5x2uf/i_am_now_11_days_sober_from_alcohol_first_time_in/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Reverse Repo is Standing There MENACINGLY at $1T!](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p5km44/daily_reverse_repo_update_0816_1036418b/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Still just sitting there....
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
In the event my goldfish brain forget here is [Reverse Repo explained](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/owwk1p/the_rrp_number_is_incredible_but_what_does_it/h7iv86i/?context=3) in a way even I can understand.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/8lqbhgkw9wh71.png?width=700&format=png&auto=webp&s=7a5ace7ad4a66b7ecd49e1147a0289800b405648)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Treasury is at $335B](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p5nurq/daily_treasury_balance_for_0813_335b_16b/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
A nice drop of $16B.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/fddrbr2dawh71.png?width=960&format=png&auto=webp&s=037c0992050fa58e91523bc2f6cb42579f9ed5f9)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Tick tock on the way to $0](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p5potn/treasury_balance_prediction_new_linear_bankruptcy/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/9prk0bzubwh71.png?width=960&format=png&auto=webp&s=3fb5b34f7fbdc8742307a5a41a188c259f6258e2)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Low Volume of 1.55 Million](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p5ofy6/i_cant_hear_you_version_20_closed_with_155_mil/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/edgar510](https://www.reddit.com/u/edgar510/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/zetyz0lcawh71.jpg?width=821&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=481a094f07907eb90cf9f39577c275bf21ef2928)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Route Through IEX](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SLNySV4OQfk)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Seriously. Do it.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[NYSE Securities List is The Streissand Effect Incarnate](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p5u6g5/shfs_and_mms_are_coordinating_to_keep_gme_from/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
" HFs & short-sellers have been carefully coordinating FTDs to prevent GME from returning to the threshold security list. This is because even bona-fide market makers must deliver shares for threshold securities, and as long as GME is not on this list, bona-fide market makers can avoid closing out FTDs."
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/plants69](https://www.reddit.com/u/plants69/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/swyh942qawh71.png?width=1647&format=png&auto=webp&s=a256c17dfc822a3976e10fb4cea57807b52d28c6)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Is it Audit Time for The DTCC?](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p5uwv6/was_doing_some_reading_on_bernie_madoff_the/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/whzbq7swawh71.png?width=960&format=png&auto=webp&s=5687195e59dd2c5df8fce13b6801e1201184dbc6)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Market Crash? Buckle Up!](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p50i5k/impending_market_crash_and_gme_moass/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
A good quick write up with a bunch of good comparison graphics. Got to the post to look at the pictures because there are a lot of them. Just remember TA provides a reference and not a formula.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[When in Doubt Zoom WAAAAAYYYYYY Out](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p5rlsj/just_up_we_are_finally_reconnecting_with_a_trend/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Looks like we reconnected with a long lost floor. [Floor Guy?](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DnfSoaJxe3Y)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/e0rp45ppbwh71.jpg?width=960&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=cefeb0dac89de4605a1d2850b72be58e12f71810)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Kenny Got Mad We Saw Him Fly](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p5og81/i_guess_ken_saw_those_posts/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/r624kq6abwh71.jpg?width=640&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=95cd3b561eda04c29bb121c964d5123f47f1ba5b)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Looks Like Citadel Is On Its Way Down](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p5liqm/remember_citadel_working_late_into_the_night_with/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Mad employees don't stay with a company. High levels of turnover aren't good for a company. Looks like something is bleeding and "I won't be the on on the chopping block" is starting to come crashing down. Remember interns and entry level people reading this: [YOU CAN MAKE MILLIONS TO REPORT THINGS TO THE SEC.](https://www.sec.gov/news/press-release/2021-128)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/iqqyx2eecwh71.png?width=744&format=png&auto=webp&s=c534e9e1d407e81a82709000731eb2af69c7d373)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Cayman Islands Are a Sore Spot So They Stay](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p2aeyi/sorry_apes_apparently_im_facilitating_illegal/?ref=share&ref_source=link)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Dig dig diggity dig! Below you can see the location of [40,000 companies](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p3c70y/nothing_too_important_but_this_is_the_building_in/). Kind of amazing that they all fit there! [PoDDible information of the boys club that is hiding there!](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p3a79x/billionaire_boys_club_bbc_ep_102_cayman_island/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Somehow BUY and HODL Breaking The Market Is "Reddit's Fault"](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p5k1lw/robinhood_other_brokers_would_have_defaulted/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Give it a watch. The logic is astounding....
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Looks Like The SEC Can Explore The World](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p5gqw8/sec_alert_us_securities_and_exchange_commission/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
SEC can now work with EU partnerships for investigations. International Adventure Awaits!
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Tax Changes! Retroactive To April 2021](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p5hr5d/the_new_tax_proposal_is_prepared_for_moass/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Gotta make sure they get all the sweet gains from retail that they have been missing out on from the top.... That is if it happens before Jan 2022. Tick TOCK.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Zacks Rates GME as HODL](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p4c3hm/gme_is_projected_to_report_earnings_of_042_per/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
September you Say? No Dates Just Some History And News
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[NSCC-005 Implemented September 11](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p5kr5z/nscc005_approval_accelerated_publication_tomorrow/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Marge N Gets a New Phone in September](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p44h5o/dtcc_executive_director_warns_that_due_to_changes/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/9j3whxdkdwh71.png?width=666&format=png&auto=webp&s=12d63dc0b34d62d84c772de68fff4ebe721de097)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p5ef5p/weve_been_through_ice_and_fire_apes_no_joke_i/
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Memes and Fluff:
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/5d3i0d7fdwh71.jpg?width=640&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=090fc6fa2c715c1332a8dcfa1dc8cf20d45614b1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/gj1rc5utdwh71.png?width=500&format=png&auto=webp&s=366049a85568cb7c8d7acefa63098c29b95b3f77)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/snoofloofs2854](https://www.reddit.com/u/snoofloofs2854/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
AMA: You Asked, Mods Listened!
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p2ttdo/ama_announcement_robert_shapiro_lucy_komisar_18th/>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[EXCELLENT!](https://giphy.com/gifs/ifc-80s-bill-and-ted-excellet-l46CDHTqbmnGZyxKo)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
We don't care, just be nice and let's make this community as Excellent as we can!
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
A few wrinkled-brained apes for quick post history access:
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/DeepFuckingValue](https://www.reddit.com/u/DeepFuckingValue/) (dont need to explain)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/atobitt](https://www.reddit.com/u/atobitt/) (DD)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/Criand](https://www.reddit.com/u/Criand/) (DD)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/peruvian_bull](https://www.reddit.com/u/peruvian_bull/) (DD addict)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/Parsnip](https://www.reddit.com/u/Parsnip/) (German Market Guy | Diamantenhände)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/DR7KE](https://www.reddit.com/u/DR7KE/) (scales Treasury Balance Guy scales)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/pctracer](https://www.reddit.com/u/pctracer/) (Reverse Repo Market Updater)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/JTH1](https://www.reddit.com/u/JTH1/) (Floor Guy Stonkdate)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/mr_boost](https://www.reddit.com/u/mr_boost/) (Ape News Network | Sign Guy)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/gherkinit](https://www.reddit.com/u/gherkinit/) (Daily Technical Analysis)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/Dismal-Jellyfish](https://www.reddit.com/u/Dismal-Jellyfish/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Thank you to the mod team!! Thank you to YOU ALL BEAUTIFUL APES!
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Remember not to to give your password or log in information to anyone. If it seems suspicious don't do it! Phishing attacks have become more common across all platforms.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
As always we are here from all different walks of life and all different countries. This doesn't matter as we are all apes in here, and apes are friends. We help each other, we care for each other. Ape don't fight ape, apes help other apes!
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Remember the fundamentals of this company are great, so for the love of god if someone starts with trying to spread FUD, remind yourself of the fundamentals. BUY and HODL.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Okay that is all for now smell ya later!
|
||||||
@ -0,0 +1,110 @@
|
|||||||
|
The Daily Stonk Aug 18,2021
|
||||||
|
===========================
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
| Author | Source |
|
||||||
|
| :-------------: |:-------------:|
|
||||||
|
| [u/Blazlyn](https://www.reddit.com/user/Blazlyn/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p6oks5/the_daily_stonk_aug_182021/) |
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[HODL 💎🙌](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22HODL%20%F0%9F%92%8E%F0%9F%99%8C%22&restrict_sr=1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
#[Gooooooood Moooooorning Superstonk!](<https://youtu.be/AwSra5p8MDw>)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
It is a wonderful day to be up and in the jungle!
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Today's is a short one. Life is busy the start of this week. Please remember to keep tagging me in things!
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
#[Cramer Calls Kenny Daddy](<https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p5veco/9_year_old_video_resurfaces_of_jim_cramer/>)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
#[Reverse Repo is Standing There MENACINGLY at $1T!](<https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p6868i/daily_reverse_repo_update_0817_1053454b/>)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Still just sitting there....
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
In the event my goldfish brain forget here is Reverse Repo explained in a way even I can understand.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
#[Treasury is at $335B](<https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p6bavd/daily_treasury_balance_for_0816_362b_27b/>)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Looks like mommy gave them some milk money! +27B
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Tick tock on the way to $0 although this doesn't necessarily mean a [real balance of $0](<https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p5sv1z/correction_the_us_treasury_is_not_running_out_of/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share>) it does act as a reliable indicator. Especially if it doesn't last to Q4.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
#[Route Through IEX](<https://youtu.be/SLNySV4OQfk>)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Seriously. Do it.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
#[Algorithms are Cyclical](<https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p601la/algorithmic_cycle_theory_looking_bullish_day8/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share>)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
"This daily tracker is testing the theory that algorithmic price manipulation is cyclical. The cycle length between the last two price rips could be an insight into the backend of market maker's algorithmic manipulation, as well as our current position in the cycle." [u/fleshfarm-leftover](https://www.reddit.com/u/fleshfarm-leftover/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
#[FTDs Potentially 15:1 Ratio](<https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p65d2d/the_number_of_gme_ftds_may_be_fifteen_times_15x/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share>)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Over 2 million GME shares failed to deliver through the DTCC on January 26, 2021. [u/Tribune-of-the-Plebs](https://www.reddit.com/u/Tribune-of-the-Plebs/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
#[MCAD = BULLISH](<https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p5uduq/parabolicsar_flipped_back_to_bullish_more_stars/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share>)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Lines, candles, dots and arrows OH BABY
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
#[Kenny Goes Back to the Islands](<https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p666ug/kenny_boy_preparing_to_make_a_run_for_it_to/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share>)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Tick tock Kenny boi and the turtle crew. Time is running short.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
#[SEC Fatality Combo?](<https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p6m360/sec_emergency_orders_under_section_12k_of_the/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share>)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
"SEC can issue an emergency order. First order aimed to stop all FTD's by reducing the cycle to three days, and to prevent continued short selling if you had outstanding FTD's. The second order straight up banned short selling. They then put out a series of highly directed questions to get feedback on how to best target those responsible for the abusive naked short selling." [u/go-do-that-thing](https://www.reddit.com/u/go-do-that-thing/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
#Memes and Fluff:
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Bloody opening](<https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p644hn/wut_doing_wall_street/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share>)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p61668/this_shit_is_getting_ridiculous/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p63jei/the_dd_hasnt_changed_were_all_just_waiting/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p65fn6/i_remember_playing_warlords_on_the_atari_2600/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p65ap5/as_far_as_im_concerned_the_msm_saying_apes_are/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
#AMA: You Asked, Mods Listened!
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p2ttdo/ama_announcement_robert_shapiro_lucy_komisar_18th/>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
#EXCELLENT!
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
We don't care, just be nice and let's make this community as Excellent as we can!
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
A few wrinkled-brained apes for quick post history access:
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/DeepFuckingValue](https://www.reddit.com/u/DeepFuckingValue/) (dont need to explain)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/atobitt](https://www.reddit.com/u/atobitt/) (DD)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/Criand](https://www.reddit.com/u/Criand/) (DD)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/peruvian_bull](https://www.reddit.com/u/peruvian_bull/) (DD addict)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/Parsnip](https://www.reddit.com/u/Parsnip/) (German Market Guy | Diamantenhände)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/DR7KE](https://www.reddit.com/u/DR7KE/) (scales Treasury Balance Guy scales)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/pctracer](https://www.reddit.com/u/pctracer/) (Reverse Repo Market Updater)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/JTH1](https://www.reddit.com/u/JTH1/) (Floor Guy Stonkdate)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/mr_boost](https://www.reddit.com/u/mr_boost/) (Ape News Network | Sign Guy)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/gherkinit](https://www.reddit.com/u/gherkinit/) (Daily Technical Analysis)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/Dismal-Jellyfish](https://www.reddit.com/u/Dismal-Jellyfish/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Thank you to the mod team!! Thank you to YOU ALL BEAUTIFUL APES!
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Remember not to to give your password or log in information to anyone. If it seems suspicious don't do it! Phishing attacks have become more common across all platforms.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
As always we are here from all different walks of life and all different countries. This doesn't matter as we are all apes in here, and apes are friends. We help each other, we care for each other. Ape don't fight ape, apes help other apes!
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Remember the fundamentals of this company are great, so for the love of god if someone starts with trying to spread FUD, remind yourself of the fundamentals. BUY and HODL.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Okay that is all for now smell ya later!
|
||||||
@ -0,0 +1,208 @@
|
|||||||
|
The Daily Stonk Aug 19 AND 20, 2021
|
||||||
|
===================================
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
| Author | Source |
|
||||||
|
| :-------------: |:-------------:|
|
||||||
|
| [u/Blazlyn](https://www.reddit.com/user/Blazlyn/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p82pk6/the_daily_stonk_aug_19_and_20_2021/) |
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[HODL 💎🙌](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22HODL%20%F0%9F%92%8E%F0%9F%99%8C%22&restrict_sr=1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/lhw0ayosnhi71.png?width=1600&format=png&auto=webp&s=e54d152f8fe0f3a78dcfdbde88dd9fd6b0a6b863)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Gooooooood Moooooorning Superstonk!](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AwSra5p8MDw)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
It is a wonderful day to be up and in the jungle!
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Remember the fundamentals that our parents told us BUY and HODL. Grab you coffee or drop trau. It is time for the last two day's recap! There was a little brouhaha with Mr. AutoMod and my post was "removed" and I wasn't able to re-post it.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Flair Day Friday!](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p7ob4g/tomorrow_it_begins_i_will_see_you_guys_tomorrow/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/7xpd3gznphi71.jpg?width=960&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=79cfa70a6981debb489ab3fdf12566fc0d8db961)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/johnnagethebrave](https://www.reddit.com/u/johnnagethebrave/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://www.reddit.com/r/drawing/comments/1qlwym/a_drunken_monkey_riding_a_black_swan/>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Reverse Repo took a decent leap yesterday!](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p7j7la/daily_reverse_repo_update_0819_1109938b/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Still just sitting there....
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
In the event my goldfish brain forget here is [Reverse Repo explained](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/owwk1p/the_rrp_number_is_incredible_but_what_does_it/h7iv86i/?context=3) in a way even I can understand.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/eg9ky36znhi71.png?width=700&format=png&auto=webp&s=b4957bc933e67d196b204ca4562b9df5dac9f379)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
And on Wednesday:
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/hclev352ohi71.jpg?width=960&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=d06f3c6b5a2f2c5c83e24025cdb5f21482b2cb14)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/canispeaktoyourmangr](https://www.reddit.com/u/canispeaktoyourmangr/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/831rfxczrhi71.jpg?width=960&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=501c821cfaaef90be1dbffd32ab1e66025a124f7)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/TheLeagueOfScience](https://www.reddit.com/u/TheLeagueOfScience/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Treasury is at $313B](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p7mfts/daily_treasury_balance_for_0818_313b_25b/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Down, down, down it goes! Gently down the drain!
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/e1uqv2pdohi71.png?width=960&format=png&auto=webp&s=7302bd6cb9e9d649070afe057cc8ff80c7e00922)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Tick tock on the way to $0](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p5potn/treasury_balance_prediction_new_linear_bankruptcy/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
This doesn't necessarily mean a [real balance of $0](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p5sv1z/correction_the_us_treasury_is_not_running_out_of/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share); it does act as a reliable indicator. Especially if it doesn't last to Q4.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Low Volume of 1.19 Million](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p7msbt/i_cant_hear_you_closed_with_119_mil_volume_a_top/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/edgar510](https://www.reddit.com/u/edgar510/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/4ucgmi1iqhi71.jpg?width=770&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=bd5a6dc15d5e1cee84267957abf8b4fc1db56d6c)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Route Through IEX](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SLNySV4OQfk)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Seriously. Do it.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Rebuilding GameStop Brick By Brick](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p6usyi/to_be_fair_you_need_a_high_iq_to_understand_the/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Looks like rebuilding a company takes time. It also takes vision and gusto. Good fundamentals, adaption to technology and leadership = BUY and HODL.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
"Brick by brick, my fellow citizens, brick by brick." This quote is originally attributed to Emperor Hadrian, who allegedly said it while urging his people to re-build Rome after a horrific fire, encouraging them to do so in a methodical manner so that it may stand the test of time.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Ryan Cohen's inspiration was Jeff Bezos. In the opposite vein to not be a dick.](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p7ldac/ryan_cohens_inspiration_was_from_jeff_bezos_being/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[$14B Back To The Islands!](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p7l5bl/kenny_sent_another_14_billion_to_cayman_islands/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/dtiz0ku3qhi71.jpg?width=640&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=9faa9b359184e4eb380aa5eb1fe550104961ea62)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Offshore Shell Companies and Credit Swaps](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p7mj8o/usa_office_of_the_comptroller_of_currency_proves/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Looks like we are in 2008 again friends. Only this time the bubble is larger and the risks are greater (for Kenny G and Stevie C).
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Billionaire Boy's Club](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p7nl7y/billionaire_boys_clib_episode_11_bbc_billionaire/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
BUY BORROW DIE
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[A Load of DD To The SEC From An Ape](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p75onb/took_the_gloves_off_gave_the_sec_all_my_data/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/v7vgopnfohi71.png?width=600&format=png&auto=webp&s=047ff471c8ff64e3fc11f30f951b84fe6b558952)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Two Airplanes?](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p77sa0/tldr_two_planes_are_being_used_why_the_fuck_under/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Looks like he has two planes under two companies. Fly one one place then take the other from there. Completely normal activity there. [Or does he take a boat to work and then a car to see Steven Cohen?](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p778sn/kenny_in_long_island_wut_doing_ken_we_may_have/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[George V Griffin](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p7ko38/entire_case_document_w_complete_verified/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[The next Pump and Dump?](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p68mtv/adult_needed_clumsy_ape_found_something_but_has/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
If you wrinkle brains could look into this that would really be appreciated!
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[400k Puts Due On Final Day Of MoonJam](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p72xx0/i_am_here_to_remind_you_about_the_400k_july_16/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/7u6uztpgohi71.jpg?width=960&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=6ddeab9f67a483a97d5d049588b690c195ede60c)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/zyipf09wrhi71.png?width=640&format=png&auto=webp&s=5e589781e4f935655becca144a7392a7460f9dca)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Point 72 and GME](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p6ywhg/connecting_point72_to_gme_by_op_ulpeak57_user/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Some possible DD into links of Point 72 and GME. Point72 is using Grayscale/Coindesk to manipulate c r y p t o with the help of Cathie Woods of ARK to gain infinite leverage to continue to short GME and avoid margin call.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Financial Hot Potato](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p73nx2/they_see_me_accountin_they_hating_a_look_into/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Citadel sets it own terms for transactions between different broker dealer businesses they operate. They use reverse repurchase and repurchase agreement and use securities received to cover short position. Terms of those agreements between the affiliated parties might be of material difference. I haven't seen much attention given to this topic but the financial statements seem to point in that direction. Remember interns and any any employee reading this: [YOU CAN MAKE MILLIONS TO REPORT THINGS TO THE SEC.](https://www.sec.gov/news/press-release/2021-128)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[When in Doubt ZOOM OUT](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p7xy7z/that_1_year_chart_tells_a_story_of_success_be/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/p1q8b8jqrhi71.jpg?width=700&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=eecc0caf3f6a75bdd32f498d40c6457e21ce07e1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Vlad's Infamous Call](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p7elma/vlad_tenevs_call_with_the_nscc_shutting_off_the/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Looks like Musk was on the line too. We are in a simulation.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Memes and Fluff:
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p6svg6/thats_it_i_quit_more_money_for_gme_and_longer/>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/Chief-Irish](https://www.reddit.com/u/Chief-Irish/) Keep it up! We are all rooting for you!!!! Keep us updated!
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p7nvk1/ape_news_network_81921_tomorrow_is_hype_day_again/>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/mr_boost](https://www.reddit.com/u/mr_boost/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/jinmv9iiohi71.png?width=825&format=png&auto=webp&s=af23c190d4e56722d21282e2371f22d9e794466a)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p6u7hm/how_my_personal_journey_of_gme_has_gone_over_the/>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/1gmzuu3kohi71.jpg?width=700&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=f5f30552bcdb88df77537841e8cbd7eaf21a63f0)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p6s9lo/reminder_this_is_the_mindset_of_all_true_apes/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/1hagx1imohi71.jpg?width=556&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=e6cedcc27ccad9317cfe778d85a7ee8d82712153)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p6uaga/trading_is_hard_aint_it/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/wvh9ou5nohi71.jpg?width=960&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=36c355d028a5d12d36c3e8a72665c598952d5f0a)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p7rsa6/october_1st_is_the_squeeze_then/>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/hdvq2k0eqhi71.jpg?width=960&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=3a1a42c5251cea5e2181aa36fee288d114c52abe)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p6otiv/remember_no_dates/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/5mnjdqioohi71.jpg?width=960&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=3eacb02e2031c382c0150aebd43675d39305ef1e)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p7wvnh/holy_sht_what_simulation_is_this_2_of_my_videos/>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/gandofu8](https://www.reddit.com/u/gandofu8/) you scamp!
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[RC Twitter 21 Days Later](https://twitter.com/ryancohen/status/1428518642937892868)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p7suws/those_damn_shorts/>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/nkte1qf5shi71.jpg?width=826&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=aee0cfc0532ef07b90d4fa3d8f2e5db163685af7)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p7vblb/am_i_doing_this_right/>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/zhsretunqhi71.jpg?width=960&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=d642c6bd49a59b678e038862d85a327ac71b570c)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
AMA: You Asked, Mods Listened! References and Links!
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p74oc9/ama_navigation_links_dr_robert_j_shapiro_lucy/>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[EXCELLENT!](https://giphy.com/gifs/ifc-80s-bill-and-ted-excellet-l46CDHTqbmnGZyxKo)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
We don't care, just be nice and let's make this community as Excellent as we can!
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
A few wrinkled-brained apes for quick post history access:
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/mr_boost](https://www.reddit.com/u/mr_boost/) (Ape News Network | Sign Guy)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/Parsnip](https://www.reddit.com/u/Parsnip/) (German Market Guy | Diamantenhände)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/gherkinit](https://www.reddit.com/u/gherkinit/) (Daily Technical Analysis)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/DR7KE](https://www.reddit.com/u/DR7KE/) (scales Treasury Balance Guy scales)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/pctracer](https://www.reddit.com/u/pctracer/) (Reverse Repo Market Updater)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/JTH1](https://www.reddit.com/u/JTH1/) (Floor Guy Stonkdate)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/DeepFuckingValue](https://www.reddit.com/u/DeepFuckingValue/) (dont need to explain)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/atobitt](https://www.reddit.com/u/atobitt/) (DD)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/Criand](https://www.reddit.com/u/Criand/) (DD)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/Dismal-Jellyfish](https://www.reddit.com/u/Dismal-Jellyfish/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/peruvian_bull](https://www.reddit.com/u/peruvian_bull/) (DD addict)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Thank you to the mod team!! Thank you to YOU ALL BEAUTIFUL APES!
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Remember not to to give your password or log in information to anyone. If it seems suspicious don't do it! Phishing attacks have become more common across all platforms.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
As always we are here from all different walks of life and all different countries. This doesn't matter as we are all apes in here, and apes are friends. We help each other, we care for each other. Ape don't fight ape, apes help other apes!
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Remember the fundamentals of this company are great, so for the love of god if someone starts with trying to spread FUD, remind yourself of the fundamentals. BUY and HODL.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Okay that is all for now smell ya later!
|
||||||
@ -0,0 +1,102 @@
|
|||||||
|
Jerkin' it with Gherkinit S6 E9 Live Charting and TA for 8/16/2021
|
||||||
|
==================================================================
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
| Author | Source |
|
||||||
|
| :-------------: |:-------------:|
|
||||||
|
| [u/gherkinit](https://www.reddit.com/user/gherkinit/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p5fabc/jerkin_it_with_gherkinit_s6_e9_live_charting_and/) |
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Discussion 🦍](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Discussion%20%F0%9F%A6%8D%22&restrict_sr=1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Good Morning Apes!
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
It's finally here!
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Not MOASS but season 6 episode 9 of live charting with you favorite disgruntled neighborhood pickle!
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Let that sink in that's 81 of these since I started counting.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Thank you all for being along for the ride!
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
I don't know about you guys but I think it's time for another MOASS Monday: Part Deux...
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/hsdtf7dasph71.png?width=900&format=png&auto=webp&s=ade3e7d070a79f83cc7b8d91d2036cd7dfd25af1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
If you guys haven't had a chance to [Check out this weeks forward looking TA](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p53sln/jerkin_it_with_gherkinit_forward_looking_ta_for/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Join us in the Daily Livestream <https://www.youtube.com/c/PickleFinancial>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Or listen along with our live audio feed on [Discord](https://discord.gg/HbqnUVsSrH)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
(save these links in case reddit goes down)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
*(this post will read from top to bottom)*
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
(*feel free to ask me questions below, but if you can google it yourself please use common sense)*
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Historical Resistance/Support:
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
116.5, 125.5, 132.5, 141, 145, 147.5, 150, 152.5, 157 (previous ATM offering), 158.5, 162.5, 163, 165.5, 172.5, 174, 176.5, 180.5, 182.5, 185, 187.5, 190, 192.5, 195, 196.5, 197.5, 200, 209, 211.5, 214.5, 218, 225.20 (new ATM offering) 226, 232.5, 235, 242.5, 250, 255, 262.5, 275, 280, 285, 300, 302.50, 310, 317.50, 325, 332.5, 340, 350, 400, 483, moon base...
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
After Market
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Had a nice up then sideways day that $10 dollar move today happened on 500k volume, looks good for the idea that bid/ask spread is gonna catapult this thing into the stratosphere on low volume...We also had a nice volume spike right at close. I'll be paying attention to performance in AH. Thank you all for tuning in see you tomorrow.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
- Gherkinit
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://preview.redd.it/r9xvbdas0sh71.png?width=681&format=png&auto=webp&s=6df7ab8d8751054b988c44d7f097a43a5e4f87fb>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Edit 6 2:02
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Found our way back above VWAP we are definitely well positioned on the current trend for another test of 170
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://preview.redd.it/j9aqxau4frh71.png?width=1638&format=png&auto=webp&s=417b517b018ff4ac00878b39029d1c73024c39ad>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Edit 5 11:55
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Looks like some midday chop as the volume dries up, hopefully we can stay above VWAP
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://preview.redd.it/1y0umwlesqh71.png?width=1643&format=png&auto=webp&s=83240816d5cba76b8549593f1909e2191db21c1b>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Edit 4 11:10
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Failed that first test of 170 but have a decent bounce on VWAP moving in for another test. OI on call side is pretty stacked at 170 so the beginning of the ramp we would want to see 175 for that to start to be hedged
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://preview.redd.it/vunrs99jkqh71.png?width=1650&format=png&auto=webp&s=5ebe685a6a89ecad4256665d9e67df097b9ca7de>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Edit 3 10:39
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
GME feelin' cute
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://preview.redd.it/syogc7vueqh71.png?width=1639&format=png&auto=webp&s=654273756707ec2429d38fe4cd46f3db094fbe2e>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Edit 2 10:17
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Nice bounce off 159 possible test at 162.50, there is a 15k sell wall at 164
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://preview.redd.it/g523bhf0bqh71.png?width=1661&format=png&auto=webp&s=969fbe4e997545bf001fe95b58cece21fd605b9e>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Edit 1 9:47
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Nice double bottom opening, major indexes are down but GME staying pretty flat
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://preview.redd.it/z1p9xvrl5qh71.png?width=1655&format=png&auto=webp&s=08e75f784381522c9ddca2525939122a90e015ec>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Pre-Market Analysis
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
150k shares to borrow, volume below 4,000 shares traded...
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
all the TA you need for today can be found in [yesterdays forward looking analysis](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p53sln/jerkin_it_with_gherkinit_forward_looking_ta_for/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Even with all that we have a solid shot at opening and testing 165 again looks like there is a decent amount of gamma exposure from last Thursday and Friday so more up on low volume is likely.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://preview.redd.it/u0vr8numtph71.png?width=1647&format=png&auto=webp&s=ee34ab839ba694bc7fcfabd3582001af7d9bfe8b>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Disclaimer
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
** Although my profession is day trading, I in no way endorse day-trading of GME not only does it present significant risk, it can delay the squeeze.*
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
**My YouTube channel is "monetized" if that is something you are uncomfortable with, I understand, while I wouldn't say I profit greatly from the views, I do suggest you use ad-block when viewing it if you feel so compelled.* *My intention is simply benefit this community. For those that find value in and feel compelled to reward my work, I thank you. For those that do not I encourage you to enjoy the content. As always this information is intended to be free to everyone.*
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
**This is not Financial advice. The ideas and opinions expressed here are for educational and entertainment purposes only.*
|
||||||
@ -0,0 +1,104 @@
|
|||||||
|
Jerkin it with Gherkinit S6 E10 Live Charting and TA for 8/17/21
|
||||||
|
================================================================
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
| Author | Source |
|
||||||
|
| :-------------: |:-------------:|
|
||||||
|
| [u/gherkinit](https://www.reddit.com/user/gherkinit/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p62tau/jerkin_it_with_gherkinit_s6_e10_live_charting_and/) |
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Discussion 🦍](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Discussion%20%F0%9F%A6%8D%22&restrict_sr=1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Good Morning Apes!
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Yesterday was kind of a wild ride, 66% of or volume yesterday was sell side with a net short carryover of 16%, that means that less than 300k shares purchased was enough to jump the price $10.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/zhcbn7w8uwh71.png?width=841&format=png&auto=webp&s=f9fa20381ccb6e3fb78873d9f3174d5f4c36150a)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
shortvolumes.com
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
I expect or volume and volatility will pick up once again today as MM cover there gamma exposure from last Friday.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Additionally the longs are piling in this week ready to cover that short exposure with tons of call options this was the ratio yesterday. Like last Monday no significant number of ITM puts were purchased.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/y08xfq36vwh71.png?width=375&format=png&auto=webp&s=b3cae3e3f935794fa06f82e681231e6e050a6a96)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
If you guys haven't had a chance to [Check out this weeks forward looking TA](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p53sln/jerkin_it_with_gherkinit_forward_looking_ta_for/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Join us in the Daily Livestream <https://www.youtube.com/c/PickleFinancial>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Or listen along with our live audio feed on [Discord](https://discord.gg/HbqnUVsSrH)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
(save these links in case reddit goes down)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
*(this post will read from top to bottom)*
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
(*feel free to ask me questions below, but if you can google it yourself please use common sense)*
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Historical Resistance/Support:
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
116.5, 125.5, 132.5, 141, 145, 147.5, 150, 152.5, 157 (previous ATM offering), 158.5, 162.5, 163, 165.5, 172.5, 174, 176.5, 180.5, 182.5, 185, 187.5, 190, 192.5, 195, 196.5, 197.5, 200, 209, 211.5, 214.5, 218, 225.20 (new ATM offering) 226, 232.5, 235, 242.5, 250, 255, 262.5, 275, 280, 285, 300, 302.50, 310, 317.50, 325, 332.5, 340, 350, 400, 483, moon base...
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
After-Market
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Down a tiny bit today but we expected a few days of sideways the end of this week will be pretty important in determining our coming trend, especially as we approach the long term resistance. Thank you all for tuning in and I'll see you tomorrow morning.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
- Gherkinit
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/dbwcis4j5zh71.png?width=687&format=png&auto=webp&s=daffc7313fb8a7d9427e3cab5f7e8db03f149f8a)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Edit 5 2:35
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
About 100k volume since my last update not a lot going on
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/0k3hzlmzpyh71.png?width=962&format=png&auto=webp&s=54588614ca99bbbf676b11f83835bc011c7b1664)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Edit 4 1:06
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Failed the bounce and then trended down with the spy falling into that correction indicator.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/1ctxtizz9yh71.png?width=1646&format=png&auto=webp&s=a606acae10308b7ad6c189137e3a03f846463c4a)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Edit 3 12:34
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Volume is still dead but we finally had a bounce at support trending back up if volume picks up towards 1-2 we may see another upper resistance 165-167.50. GME starting to get a bit more volatile.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/bq109x7k4yh71.png?width=1630&format=png&auto=webp&s=58e1438208b00879036b60a992a41b0bb4a26db2)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Edit 2 11:00
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Failed the second test at 167.50 bounced of VWAP moving into test again. Now that @ Karl has chugged a bottle of rose on the discord the red in the stock should be sufficiently drunk away.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/bwrbw6lynxh71.png?width=1653&format=png&auto=webp&s=f58a4b3b6f824075ec4b8853a4bc31d5e47fb850)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Edit 1 10:15
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Failed a test at 165 at market open, chopped on VWAP for a minute and now moving in for a second test. Volume at 250k.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/ifwikmq5fxh71.png?width=1646&format=png&auto=webp&s=64a0a4c611135790048c9dac89e911cd3f127b4c)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Pre-market Analysis
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Slight dip at market open that looks like it is about filled back in. We are in a Descending wedge on the 15m timescale moving into opening bell that we hopefully will see break to the upside for another test of 170. Volume is low again this morning at 3k but yesterday's price action indicates that probably doesn't matter. Borrow rate is up to 1.0% with 150k shares borrowed this morning.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/w8btgdigwwh71.png?width=1651&format=png&auto=webp&s=b667cce4930de24f8e6815db25d1f689a8f59ebc)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Pre-Market 1m Timescale
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/l7awdmvbwwh71.png?width=1647&format=png&auto=webp&s=55f7c3c3aac2e2f1781a4ba78e1d10673356fd19)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Possible wedge breakout near open 15m
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/18or93smwwh71.png?width=1761&format=png&auto=webp&s=ad1a1c11ece213e60e591aa62ce785266e47397a)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Yesterday Tracking Perfectly with this weeks predicted positive price action 1D timescale
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Disclaimer
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
** Although my profession is day trading, I in no way endorse day-trading of GME not only does it present significant risk, it can delay the squeeze. If are one of the people that use this information to day trade this stock, I hope you sell at resistance then it turns around and gaps up to $500. :)*
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
**My YouTube channel is "monetized" if that is something you are uncomfortable with, I understand, while I wouldn't say I profit greatly from the views, I do suggest you use ad-block when viewing it if you feel so compelled.* *My intention is simply benefit this community. For those that find value in and feel compelled to reward my work, I thank you. For those that do not I encourage you to enjoy the content. As always this information is intended to be free to everyone.*
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
**This is not Financial advice. The ideas and opinions expressed here are for educational and entertainment purposes only.*
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
* *No position is worth your life and debt can always be repaid. Please if you need help reach out this community is here for you. Also the NSPL Phone: 800-273-8255 Hours: Available 24 hours. Languages: English, Spanish.* [*Learn more*](https://suicidepreventionlifeline.org/)
|
||||||
@ -0,0 +1,118 @@
|
|||||||
|
Jerkin' it with Gherkinit S6 E11 Live Charting and TA for 8/18/21
|
||||||
|
=================================================================
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
| Author | Source |
|
||||||
|
| :-------------: |:-------------:|
|
||||||
|
| [u/gherkinit](https://www.reddit.com/user/gherkinit/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p6qdbp/jerkin_it_with_gherkinit_s6_e11_live_charting_and/) |
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Discussion 🦍](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Discussion%20%F0%9F%A6%8D%22&restrict_sr=1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Good Morning Apes!
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Yesterday ended a bit flat for the day but still within the parameters for our expected price movement this week. If we see a bit of volatility come in today that will be a good sign for the possible run on Thursday/Friday. If we remain flat GME will be looking at another test of that long term trendline.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/0mycwskl04i71.png?width=1542&format=png&auto=webp&s=d576b5b51214fafb4219a14f90e58d5ff94b7ddf)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Positive Action (Yellow) Neutral Action (Red)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
If you guys haven't had a chance to [Check out this weeks forward looking TA](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p53sln/jerkin_it_with_gherkinit_forward_looking_ta_for/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Join us in the Daily Livestream <https://www.youtube.com/c/PickleFinancial>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Or listen along with our live audio feed on [Discord](https://discord.gg/HbqnUVsSrH)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
(save these links in case reddit goes down)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
*(this post will read from top to bottom)*
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
(*feel free to ask me questions below, but if you can google it yourself please use common sense)*
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Historical Resistance/Support:
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
116.5, 125.5, 132.5, 141, 145, 147.5, 150, 152.5, 157 (previous ATM offering), 158.5, 162.5, 163, 165.5, 172.5, 174, 176.5, 180.5, 182.5, 185, 187.5, 190, 192.5, 195, 196.5, 197.5, 200, 209, 211.5, 214.5, 218, 225.20 (new ATM offering) 226, 232.5, 235, 242.5, 250, 255, 262.5, 275, 280, 285, 300, 302.50, 310, 317.50, 325, 332.5, 340, 350, 400, 483, moon base...
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
After Market
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
The dip in the spy near close really dragged us down towards the end of the day. The FED minutes acknowledged high than estimated inflation and that seemed to cause some negative sentiment. The sideways movement today however was expected so we have not broken from the current price estimates. Thank you all and see you tomorrow.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
- Gherkinit
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/uo62ozksa6i71.png?width=695&format=png&auto=webp&s=199b6f675ac5e587e4fc552b1ddb7cf75735b886)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/bo37moc8b6i71.png?width=1646&format=png&auto=webp&s=be36ef41c222debb4cf0c5ba3cac24747139b084)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Edit 8 3:37
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
SPY bouncing back, GME stalled right at VWAP hopefully the market turn around will give us a nice bounce before close
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/nlixsuay56i71.png?width=1642&format=png&auto=webp&s=72926e16aa56a5daad2e9398ef1312349a1dbd5a)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Edit 7 3:13
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
A little bit of volume finally coming in, moving up to test VWAP
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/ididvf0k16i71.png?width=1651&format=png&auto=webp&s=5f4beda54935f9daeb784ef37ce898ec8b639170)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Edit 6 2:03
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Sideways Chop volume now at 978k
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/8jn25kr0p5i71.png?width=1650&format=png&auto=webp&s=fc025e9a29d4c640bd20c3b2cc8cbab82c1d2d4d)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Edit 5 1:18
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Still flat 900k volume now
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/2j80g1j0h5i71.png?width=1636&format=png&auto=webp&s=a62ba77f1842164b1f70d5870261f0865d151c55)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Edit 4 12:01
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Coming back up to VWAP back up and still holding that uptrend. 100k shares traded since the last update. If anything happens it will happen quickly, otherwise today is looking pretty flat.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/s0a2biwk35i71.png?width=1642&format=png&auto=webp&s=d1d0adc7b902ec48fc717163e02220f0c0255b33)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Edit 3 11:06
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
The uptrend is continuing from that intraday low but the volume remains low currently at 600k most of which was from the earlier short attack. I'd like to see GME hold above VWAP here
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/l1qupavqt4i71.png?width=1640&format=png&auto=webp&s=394b7621d41f8a086d603a78abdec5bcfd836d68)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Edit 2 10:03
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Looks like a double bottom forming on the 1m
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/e76ovskbi4i71.png?width=1638&format=png&auto=webp&s=ee069f5457190895b4e02495380e9e51fcb5b5e5)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Edit 1 9:51
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Nice morning short attack, dipping right down to the long term trend. But it appears they have only returned shares...
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/9rl204s1g4i71.png?width=1639&format=png&auto=webp&s=6e9635f5fc0c4afb7ee5072a66a5b2adf7de0fb8)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Pre-Market Analysis
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Definitely looks like we are headed for the third day of opening 170 tests. Volume currently at 6k with 150k shares borrowed out of 300k available. The uptrend in pre-market is looking promising.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/zi4072oa24i71.png?width=1649&format=png&auto=webp&s=358c0a09163b87b9c73320e54e07ae3c84a3fb8f)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
15m Timescale
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Here is the options data from yesterday. Still call side favored but with 600k spent on ITM puts.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/pxm7qsqs24i71.png?width=869&format=png&auto=webp&s=956976ee67120bac05cc89a97d62c3cb119e533e)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Lastly, Stochastic RSI had the expect K/D crossover after that false bearish signal I spoke about in the weekly DD. Looks like Momentum is on our side moving forward.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/q1wo5kpk34i71.png?width=1642&format=png&auto=webp&s=28aeadb0780671e83c7b5f5083b1376ee6a10666)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Disclaimer
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
** Although my profession is day trading, I in no way endorse day-trading of GME not only does it present significant risk, it can delay the squeeze. If are one of the people that use this information to day trade this stock, I hope you sell at resistance then it turns around and gaps up to $500. :)*
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
**My YouTube channel is "monetized" if that is something you are uncomfortable with, I understand, while I wouldn't say I profit greatly from the views, I do suggest you use ad-block when viewing it if you feel so compelled.* *My intention is simply benefit this community. For those that find value in and feel compelled to reward my work, I thank you. For those that do not I encourage you to enjoy the content. As always this information is intended to be free to everyone.*
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
**This is not Financial advice. The ideas and opinions expressed here are for educational and entertainment purposes only.*
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
* *No position is worth your life and debt can always be repaid. Please if you need help reach out this community is here for you. Also the NSPL Phone: 800-273-8255 Hours: Available 24 hours. Languages: English, Spanish.* [*Learn more*](https://suicidepreventionlifeline.org/)
|
||||||
@ -0,0 +1,106 @@
|
|||||||
|
Jerkinit' it with Gherkinit S6E12 Live Charting and TA for 8/19/21
|
||||||
|
==================================================================
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
| Author | Source |
|
||||||
|
| :-------------: |:-------------:|
|
||||||
|
| [u/gherkinit](https://www.reddit.com/user/gherkinit/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p7e6eb/jerkinit_it_with_gherkinit_s6e12_live_charting/) |
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Discussion 🦍](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Discussion%20%F0%9F%A6%8D%22&restrict_sr=1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Good Morning Apes!
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Another day, another impending market correction. GME dragged down by almost 1% in after hours with the S&P 500 down almost 80 points overnight. It looks like yesterday's FED minutes are being felt by the market.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
I may have to step away at various points today to manage other positions, if that is the case I will still continue to update anything pertinent with GME. As usual in these "market correction" situations be prepared for a dip and it could be a steep one.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
If you guys haven't had a chance to [Check out this weeks forward looking TA](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p53sln/jerkin_it_with_gherkinit_forward_looking_ta_for/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Join us in the Daily Livestream <https://www.youtube.com/c/PickleFinancial>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Or listen along with our live audio feed on [Discord](https://discord.gg/HbqnUVsSrH)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
(save these links in case reddit goes down)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
*(this post will read from top to bottom)*
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
(*feel free to ask me questions below, but if you can google it yourself please use common sense)*
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Historical Resistance/Support:
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
116.5, 125.5, 132.5, 141, 145, 147.5, 150, 152.5, 157 (previous ATM offering), 158.5, 162.5, 163, 165.5, 172.5, 174, 176.5, 180.5, 182.5, 185, 187.5, 190, 192.5, 195, 196.5, 197.5, 200, 209, 211.5, 214.5, 218, 225.20 (new ATM offering) 226, 232.5, 235, 242.5, 250, 255, 262.5, 275, 280, 285, 300, 302.50, 310, 317.50, 325, 332.5, 340, 350, 400, 483, moon base...
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
After Market
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Closed up from that bounce actually looking pretty good for tomorrow. I'm not really sure about our price action tomorrow but the gamma ramp is pretty stacked all the way from 160 -200 so if we hit it and hit it hard we could run like crazy. Thank you all for tuning in and have a good night.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
- Gherkinit
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/7rtp1pokfdi71.png?width=693&format=png&auto=webp&s=24e2b081ae0aaad9fe5c190b0d5bef8e7ec7b2e6)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Edit 8 3:08
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Inverse head and shoulders = up
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/j6z4vuwl5di71.png?width=1628&format=png&auto=webp&s=93d38ae5f85f00cf545196b39e5d0b4aac639063)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Edit 7 2:52
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Small bounce at 150. Not a very strong reversal and the market continues to look weak
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/3wrxhx4r2di71.png?width=1636&format=png&auto=webp&s=3f14a6b443685e92222357589813cadc8a59680f)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Edit 6 2:01
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Small short attack and then no volume traded for 5 minutes
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/f169xkcqtci71.png?width=1642&format=png&auto=webp&s=e40764acbdc958b69babbd0480845a0a8cfaec82)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Edit 5 1:16
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Trended back over VWAP looking like we could move in for another test of 157 volume however still awful @ 623k
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/b85u6o2plci71.png?width=1642&format=png&auto=webp&s=ad8b9d62f0118fcc1cb96790f065628a35a92627)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Edit 4 12:25
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Still sideways another failed test of VWAP. Gamma ramp brought down to 160
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/53gaahdmcci71.png?width=1644&format=png&auto=webp&s=06f361de3291ffd0d26f3b5d596addd8cdcbf375)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Edit 3 11:04
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Rejected at the test of 157 but we are above VWAP now. If the market comes back up we should too as we tracked it closely on this move.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/lmz05ur4ybi71.png?width=1642&format=png&auto=webp&s=1abdbce8c2b2978207233ba09573360d8a9c7a0d)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Edit 2 10:41
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Our low volume today 325k, seems to be protecting us from larger moves in the market. I guess insulating is the right word...anyway sideways slightly below 155
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/8jt176u0ubi71.png?width=1637&format=png&auto=webp&s=6d706d0763a616130313aa153a15712d230ba0e4)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Edit 1 10:15
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Sorry for the delay. The Market is rebounding a bit. GME still trading between the 157 and 155 support/resistance levels
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/05dxygw4pbi71.png?width=1637&format=png&auto=webp&s=1a18b838a8da559e6568a1739c009bb07b7a827d)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Pre-Market
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
With a market correction impending I have no idea what to expect as far as technicals go. We have nearly 14k volume right now and 150k shares available to borrow. We have already fallen a bit below the low support at 155 but it's possible we will regain that when the market opens. Below this we fall back to historical resistances at 152/150/147. 131 was our low the last time we were in this range. The gamma ramp is firmly in place and I expect it will be lowered to follow this downward price action.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/5cqbk7ry8bi71.png?width=1642&format=png&auto=webp&s=eee06c48b07d692f8071a62f65ee08e704e46d10)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/rvjqygas9bi71.png?width=1649&format=png&auto=webp&s=0942dd578ec5f252bc0aa1802e5a4d3a30f3049a)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Current Correction Zones for the spy on the 1D
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Disclaimer
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
** Although my profession is day trading, I in no way endorse day-trading of GME not only does it present significant risk, it can delay the squeeze. If are one of the people that use this information to day trade this stock, I hope you sell at resistance then it turns around and gaps up to $500. :)*
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
**My YouTube channel is "monetized" if that is something you are uncomfortable with, I understand, while I wouldn't say I profit greatly from the views, I do suggest you use ad-block when viewing it if you feel so compelled.* *My intention is simply benefit this community. For those that find value in and feel compelled to reward my work, I thank you. For those that do not I encourage you to enjoy the content. As always this information is intended to be free to everyone.*
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
**This is not Financial advice. The ideas and opinions expressed here are for educational and entertainment purposes only.*
|
||||||
@ -0,0 +1,92 @@
|
|||||||
|
Jerkin' it with Gherkinit S7E1 Live Charting and TA for 8/20/21
|
||||||
|
===============================================================
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
| Author | Source |
|
||||||
|
| :-------------: |:-------------:|
|
||||||
|
| [u/gherkinit](https://www.reddit.com/user/gherkinit/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p84eyv/jerkin_it_with_gherkinit_s7e1_live_charting_and/) |
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Discussion 🦍](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Discussion%20%F0%9F%A6%8D%22&restrict_sr=1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Good Morning Apes!
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Yesterday's slight market correction didn't hurt as much as expected. But, it continues to remain unstable today with the S&P gapping down 40 points in the pre-market. The longs took advantage of the price dip yesterday and doubled down on the weekly gamma ramp dropping the entry point down to $160. If we do see some momentum today there is potential for a move. If the broader markets continue to hurt and our volume remains low I expect that we will complete that lower trend from last weeks DD.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/wf3bl8tcaii71.png?width=2455&format=png&auto=webp&s=5ff0cda64bcab886a6b8c50e8827a9fd52b1f78e)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Culmination of this weeks predicted price action on the 1D timescale
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
If you guys haven't had a chance to [Check out this weeks forward looking TA](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p53sln/jerkin_it_with_gherkinit_forward_looking_ta_for/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Join us in the Daily Livestream <https://www.youtube.com/c/PickleFinancial>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Or listen along with our live audio feed on [Discord](https://discord.gg/HbqnUVsSrH)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
(save these links in case reddit goes down)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
*(this post will read from top to bottom)*
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
(*feel free to ask me questions below, but if you can google it yourself please use common sense)*
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Historical Resistance/Support:
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
116.5, 125.5, 132.5, 141, 145, 147.5, 150, 152.5, 157 (previous ATM offering), 158.5, 162.5, 163, 165.5, 172.5, 174, 176.5, 180.5, 182.5, 185, 187.5, 190, 192.5, 195, 196.5, 197.5, 200, 209, 211.5, 214.5, 218, 225.20 (new ATM offering) 226, 232.5, 235, 242.5, 250, 255, 262.5, 275, 280, 285, 300, 302.50, 310, 317.50, 325, 332.5, 340, 350, 400, 483, moon base...
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
After Market
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Nice close up 4.19% on the day. We didn't really hit that gamma ramp on the last test of 160 but we managed to stay within expected price range for the week with a $1.10 margin of error for today's expected low. I have pretty high expectations for next week which I will discuss more in my Sunday DD. Thank you all so much for the support .
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
- Gherkinit
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/yv9l6mc6kki71.png?width=729&format=png&auto=webp&s=dae46f051272b9efb899e46bcba20c2a04aa6578)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Edit 5 2:20
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
7k sell wall at 159 was smashed looks like the longs want this gamma ramp to play a bit on this breakout. Volume at 772k.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/lgdzhw802ki71.png?width=1602&format=png&auto=webp&s=713f739c30c26489bbe7264c9cf7f2715a2f686c)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Edit 4 1:00
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Little run up to test 158. Back down to VWAP looking for a turnaround and another push
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/d6o3zvwknji71.png?width=1632&format=png&auto=webp&s=fccd823b0e1e89e0185eab9ad418c1e28f4d21f9)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Edit 3 12:02
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Volume at 480k now trend back slightly above VWAP
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/11l8fnifdji71.png?width=1620&format=png&auto=webp&s=5cfa7681811a7659288412406630b4c110862810)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Edit 2 11:29
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Fell back below VWAP as expected volume no at 400k there is really nothing to talk a bout right now if volume doesn't pick up by 2pm the ramp is going to be rolled
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/h3ehl3ii7ji71.png?width=1610&format=png&auto=webp&s=fd81d433f701e19d6959d45fdda9a539124e92ee)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Edit 1 10:22
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
The stock was moving so slowly I forgot to update... 200k volume multiple tests at 157 failed. GME will probably drop back down
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/y2pydfcivii71.png?width=1642&format=png&auto=webp&s=8b76251d491683d7e1b3f03fca500316e7cd0c08)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Pre-Market Analysis
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
6k pre-market volume. 50k shares borrowed with 100k remaining. It looks like we are gonna be in for another slow day unless some volume comes in it will be difficult to break through any relevant resistances. The ideal outcome is that the shorts will not continue to be aided by the market decline and we can close out the day near max pain @ 165. If we do break 160 on some volume the gamma ramp is pretty spicy, but not guaranteed unless a significant amount of buy pressure comes in.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/bapdzmk7dii71.png?width=1644&format=png&auto=webp&s=94b47174e204dd1f711819dae3f43caa5dccf9fe)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Pre-Market on the 1M
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/oa8siw04dii71.png?width=1568&format=png&auto=webp&s=3ecab84ffd63fb5c51dce5384dc1d7ab3f624069)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Gamma Ramp Visualized from 160-200
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Disclaimer
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
** Although my profession is day trading, I in no way endorse day-trading of GME not only does it present significant risk, it can delay the squeeze. If are one of the people that use this information to day trade this stock, I hope you sell at resistance then it turns around and gaps up to $500. :)*
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
**My YouTube channel is "monetized" if that is something you are uncomfortable with, I understand, while I wouldn't say I profit greatly from the views, I do suggest you use ad-block when viewing it if you feel so compelled.* *My intention is simply benefit this community. For those that find value in and feel compelled to reward my work, I thank you. For those that do not I encourage you to enjoy the content. As always this information is intended to be free to everyone.*
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
**This is not Financial advice. The ideas and opinions expressed here are for educational and entertainment purposes only.*
|
||||||
@ -0,0 +1,12 @@
|
|||||||
|
The current run-up compared to the previous run-up [08-18-2021 - Day 1]
|
||||||
|
=======================================================================
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
| Author | Source |
|
||||||
|
| :-------------: |:-------------:|
|
||||||
|
| [u/isnisse](https://www.reddit.com/user/isnisse/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p6q2nv/the_current_runup_compared_to_the_previous_runup/) |
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Education 👨🏫 | Data 🔢](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Education%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%8F%AB%20%7C%20Data%20%F0%9F%94%A2%22&restrict_sr=1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
@ -0,0 +1,12 @@
|
|||||||
|
Current run-up compared to the previous run-up [08-18-2021 - Day 2]
|
||||||
|
===================================================================
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
| Author | Source |
|
||||||
|
| :-------------: |:-------------:|
|
||||||
|
| [u/isnisse](https://www.reddit.com/user/isnisse/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p7e583/current_runup_compared_to_the_previous_runup/) |
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Education 👨🏫 | Data 🔢](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Education%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%8F%AB%20%7C%20Data%20%F0%9F%94%A2%22&restrict_sr=1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
@ -0,0 +1,12 @@
|
|||||||
|
Current run-up compared to the previous run-up [08-20-2021 - Day 4]
|
||||||
|
===================================================================
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
| Author | Source |
|
||||||
|
| :-------------: |:-------------:|
|
||||||
|
| [u/isnisse](https://www.reddit.com/user/isnisse/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p8d85k/current_runup_compared_to_the_previous_runup/) |
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Education 👨🏫 | Data 🔢](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Education%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%8F%AB%20%7C%20Data%20%F0%9F%94%A2%22&restrict_sr=1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
@ -0,0 +1,12 @@
|
|||||||
|
Current run-up compared to the previous run-up [08-23-2021 - Day 5]
|
||||||
|
===================================================================
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
| Author | Source |
|
||||||
|
| :-------------: |:-------------:|
|
||||||
|
| [u/isnisse](https://www.reddit.com/user/isnisse/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/pa7n2k/current_runup_compared_to_the_previous_runup/) |
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Education 👨🏫 | Data 🔢](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Education%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%8F%AB%20%7C%20Data%20%F0%9F%94%A2%22&restrict_sr=1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
@ -0,0 +1,12 @@
|
|||||||
|
Current run-up compared to previous run-up's [08-24-2021 - Day 6]
|
||||||
|
=================================================================
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
| Author | Source |
|
||||||
|
| :-------------: |:-------------:|
|
||||||
|
| [u/isnisse](https://www.reddit.com/user/isnisse/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/pav2hd/current_runup_compared_to_previous_runups/) |
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Education 👨🏫 | Data 🔢](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Education%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%8F%AB%20%7C%20Data%20%F0%9F%94%A2%22&restrict_sr=1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
@ -0,0 +1,12 @@
|
|||||||
|
Fidelity Top Orders by Customers Update - Week of August 02-06, 2021. Buy orders = 82% & sell orders = 18%. Stonk is down $9.35 (-6%). Orders ≠ share volume. Apes are being tested and diamonds hands are being forged. Now it's just a game of patience. Enjoy the week everyone!
|
||||||
|
==========================================================================================================================================================================================
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
| Author | Source |
|
||||||
|
| :-------------: |:-------------:|
|
||||||
|
| [u/twittafingahsma](https://www.reddit.com/user/twittafingahsma/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p12nth/fidelity_top_orders_by_customers_update_week_of/) |
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Education 👨🏫 | Data 🔢](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Education%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%8F%AB%20%7C%20Data%20%F0%9F%94%A2%22&restrict_sr=1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
@ -0,0 +1,12 @@
|
|||||||
|
Fidelity Top Orders by Customers Update - Week of August 09-13, 2021. Buy orders = 75% & sell orders = 25%. Stonk is up $$10.75 (7%). Orders ≠ share volume. Apes are being tested and diamonds hands are being forged. Patience is key now!
|
||||||
|
==========================================================================================================================================================================================
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
| Author | Source |
|
||||||
|
| :-------------: |:-------------:|
|
||||||
|
| [u/twittafingahsma](https://www.reddit.com/user/twittafingahsma/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/DDintoGME/comments/p5ghka/fidelity_top_orders_by_customers_update_week_of/) |
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[𝗗𝗮𝘁𝗮](https://www.reddit.com/r/DDintoGME/search?q=flair_name%3A%22%F0%9D%97%97%F0%9D%97%AE%F0%9D%98%81%F0%9D%97%AE%22&restrict_sr=1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
@ -0,0 +1,42 @@
|
|||||||
|
Wed 18 August 2021 - GME Bloomberg Terminal information
|
||||||
|
=======================================================
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
| Author | Source |
|
||||||
|
| :-------------: |:-------------:|
|
||||||
|
| [u/Hopai79](https://www.reddit.com/user/Hopai79/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/DDintoGME/comments/p6zhq8/wed_18_august_2021_gme_bloomberg_terminal/) |
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[𝗗𝗮𝘁𝗮](https://www.reddit.com/r/DDintoGME/search?q=flair_name%3A%22%F0%9D%97%97%F0%9D%97%AE%F0%9D%98%81%F0%9D%97%AE%22&restrict_sr=1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
## Weekly Chart
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
## Volume by Exchange
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
## Top Trades
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
## Volume at Price
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
## Ownership Summary
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
## Holders
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
## Options - Calls
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
## Options - Puts
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
## Beta 6 Month
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
## Beta 1 Year
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
@ -0,0 +1,54 @@
|
|||||||
|
Thursday 19 August 2021 -- Bloomberg Terminal Information
|
||||||
|
=========================================================
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
| Author | Source |
|
||||||
|
| :-------------: |:-------------:|
|
||||||
|
| [u/Hopai79](https://www.reddit.com/user/Hopai79/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/DDintoGME/comments/p7mrrm/thursday_19_august_2021_bloomberg_terminal/) |
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[𝗗𝗮𝘁𝗮](https://www.reddit.com/r/DDintoGME/search?q=flair_name%3A%22%F0%9D%97%97%F0%9D%97%AE%F0%9D%98%81%F0%9D%97%AE%22&restrict_sr=1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
## 3 Day Chart
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
## Volume by Exchange
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
## Volume at Price
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
## Top Trades
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
## Ownership Summary
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
## Holders Page 1
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
## Options - Calls
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
## Options - Puts
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
## Beta 6 Month
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
## Beta YTD
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
## Beta 1 Year
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
## Options Summary
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
@ -0,0 +1,38 @@
|
|||||||
|
Friday 20 August 2021 - Bloomberg Terminal Information
|
||||||
|
======================================================
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
| Author | Source |
|
||||||
|
| :-------------: |:-------------:|
|
||||||
|
| [u/Hopai79](https://www.reddit.com/user/Hopai79/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/GMEJungle/comments/p8g812/friday_20_august_2021_bloomberg_terminal/) |
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Resource 🔬](https://www.reddit.com/r/GMEJungle/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Resource%20%F0%9F%94%AC%22&restrict_sr=1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
@ -0,0 +1,12 @@
|
|||||||
|
🔴Daily Reverse Repo Update 08/16: $1,036.418B🔴
|
||||||
|
================================================
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
| Author | Source |
|
||||||
|
| :-------------: |:-------------:|
|
||||||
|
| [u/pctracer](https://www.reddit.com/user/pctracer/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p5km44/daily_reverse_repo_update_0816_1036418b/) |
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Education 👨🏫 | Data 🔢](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Education%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%8F%AB%20%7C%20Data%20%F0%9F%94%A2%22&restrict_sr=1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
@ -0,0 +1,12 @@
|
|||||||
|
🔴Daily Reverse Repo Update 08/17: $1,053.454B🔴
|
||||||
|
================================================
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
| Author | Source |
|
||||||
|
| :-------------: |:-------------:|
|
||||||
|
| [u/pctracer](https://www.reddit.com/user/pctracer/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p6868i/daily_reverse_repo_update_0817_1053454b/) |
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Education 👨🏫 | Data 🔢](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Education%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%8F%AB%20%7C%20Data%20%F0%9F%94%A2%22&restrict_sr=1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
@ -0,0 +1,12 @@
|
|||||||
|
🔴Daily Reverse Repo Update 08/18: $1,115.656B - New record🔴
|
||||||
|
=============================================================
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
| Author | Source |
|
||||||
|
| :-------------: |:-------------:|
|
||||||
|
| [u/pctracer](https://www.reddit.com/user/pctracer/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p6vnzq/daily_reverse_repo_update_0818_1115656b_new_record/) |
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Education 👨🏫 | Data 🔢](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Education%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%8F%AB%20%7C%20Data%20%F0%9F%94%A2%22&restrict_sr=1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
@ -0,0 +1,13 @@
|
|||||||
|
🔴Daily Reverse Repo Update 08/19: $1,109.938B🔴
|
||||||
|
================================================
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
| Author | Source |
|
||||||
|
| :-------------: |:-------------:|
|
||||||
|
| [u/pctracer](https://www.reddit.com/user/pctracer/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p7j7la/daily_reverse_repo_update_0819_1109938b/) |
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Education 👨🏫 | Data 🔢](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Education%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%8F%AB%20%7C%20Data%20%F0%9F%94%A2%22&restrict_sr=1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
@ -0,0 +1,13 @@
|
|||||||
|
🔴Daily Reverse Repo Update 08/20: $1,111.905B🔴
|
||||||
|
================================================
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
| Author | Source |
|
||||||
|
| :-------------: |:-------------:|
|
||||||
|
| [u/pctracer](https://www.reddit.com/user/pctracer/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p89mu0/daily_reverse_repo_update_0820_1111905b/) |
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Education 👨🏫 | Data 🔢](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Education%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%8F%AB%20%7C%20Data%20%F0%9F%94%A2%22&restrict_sr=1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
@ -0,0 +1,12 @@
|
|||||||
|
⚖️ Daily Treasury Balance for 08/13: $335B [-16B] ⚖️
|
||||||
|
====================================================
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
| Author | Source |
|
||||||
|
| :-------------: |:-------------:|
|
||||||
|
| [u/DR7KE](https://www.reddit.com/user/DR7KE/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p5nurq/daily_treasury_balance_for_0813_335b_16b/) |
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Education 👨🏫 | Data 🔢](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Education%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%8F%AB%20%7C%20Data%20%F0%9F%94%A2%22&restrict_sr=1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
@ -0,0 +1,13 @@
|
|||||||
|
⚖️ Daily Treasury Balance for 08/16: $362B [+27B] ⚖️
|
||||||
|
====================================================
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
| Author | Source |
|
||||||
|
| :-------------: |:-------------:|
|
||||||
|
| [u/DR7KE](https://www.reddit.com/user/DR7KE/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p6bavd/daily_treasury_balance_for_0816_362b_27b/) |
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Education 👨🏫 | Data 🔢](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Education%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%8F%AB%20%7C%20Data%20%F0%9F%94%A2%22&restrict_sr=1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
@ -0,0 +1,13 @@
|
|||||||
|
⚖️ Daily Treasury Balance for 08/17: $338B [-24B] ⚖️
|
||||||
|
====================================================
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
| Author | Source |
|
||||||
|
| :-------------: |:-------------:|
|
||||||
|
| [u/DR7KE](https://www.reddit.com/user/DR7KE/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p6yzks/daily_treasury_balance_for_0817_338b_24b/) |
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Education 👨🏫 | Data 🔢](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Education%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%8F%AB%20%7C%20Data%20%F0%9F%94%A2%22&restrict_sr=1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
@ -0,0 +1,12 @@
|
|||||||
|
⚖️ Daily Treasury Balance for 08/18: $313B [-25B] ⚖️
|
||||||
|
====================================================
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
| Author | Source |
|
||||||
|
| :-------------: |:-------------:|
|
||||||
|
| [u/DR7KE](https://www.reddit.com/user/DR7KE/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p7mfts/daily_treasury_balance_for_0818_313b_25b/) |
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Education 👨🏫 | Data 🔢](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Education%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%8F%AB%20%7C%20Data%20%F0%9F%94%A2%22&restrict_sr=1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
@ -0,0 +1,12 @@
|
|||||||
|
⚖️ Daily Treasury Balance for 08/19: $321B [+8B] ⚖️
|
||||||
|
===================================================
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
| Author | Source |
|
||||||
|
| :-------------: |:-------------:|
|
||||||
|
| [u/DR7KE](https://www.reddit.com/user/DR7KE/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p8cvs9/daily_treasury_balance_for_0819_321b_8b/) |
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Education 👨🏫 | Data 🔢](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Education%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%8F%AB%20%7C%20Data%20%F0%9F%94%A2%22&restrict_sr=1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
80
Due-Diligence/2021-08-18-Explanation-of-VIX.md
Normal file
80
Due-Diligence/2021-08-18-Explanation-of-VIX.md
Normal file
@ -0,0 +1,80 @@
|
|||||||
|
To all the VIX watchers today and impending doom people......take it from a VIX veteran who has gained and lost shitloads.....Pump the brakes. I'll explain
|
||||||
|
===========================================================================================================================================================
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
| Author | Source |
|
||||||
|
| :-------------: |:-------------:|
|
||||||
|
| [u/anonfthehfs](https://www.reddit.com/user/anonfthehfs/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p7fkmh/to_all_the_vix_watchers_today_and_impending_doom/) |
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Education 👨🏫 | Data 🔢](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Education%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%8F%AB%20%7C%20Data%20%F0%9F%94%A2%22&restrict_sr=1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/dyjiunojobi71.jpg?width=1024&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=f727484d3461c3e6d6fb9e6d2f7e7d5704521a7f)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
This sad beaten up bear will explain the VIX
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Apes,
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
This is an area I think I can be helpful in answering some questions. I have gained and lost shitloads trying to time corrections with TVIX (No longer around), UVXY, VXX, FAZ, SPXS, etc. So I feel like I can be helpful to this community when talking about VIX and some rookie mistakes.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
First off, what is the VIX?
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
*VIX is the ticker symbol and the popular name for the Chicago Board Options Exchange's CBOE Volatility Index, a popular measure of the stock market's expectation of volatility based on S&P 500 index options. It is calculated and disseminated on a real-time basis by the* [*CBOE*](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chicago_Board_Options_Exchange)*, and is often referred to as the* *fear index* *or* *fear gauge.*
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
(Summary: The VIX just a mathematical equation of average days in a month (30 days), risk free rate, 30 day forward price on the S&P, and prices of calls and puts with 30 day maturities)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
*Ape Speak: Basically, it's trying to measure the Implied Volatility of the S&P. People call it the fear index because it looks at people buying Puts on the SPY (S&P 500) vs calls and the other factors I listed in the equation***.** But basically it is just an indicator showing you that people are betting (Placing Puts on the SPY) that the S&P 500 is going to go down. (It's more complicated than that but I'm just trying to make it easy for the average person on here)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
What does it do?
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
The VIX is a measure of the current price index options. There are direct correlations to prices of options tied to the VIX. You will find that when the VIX rises, options tend to be more expensive. When the volatility increases, options IV's often go up as well.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
What does it not do?
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
The VIX is actually not a great indicator of the future. It really just tracks the inverse of price in my opinion.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Corruption
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Guess what Apes, MORE FUCKERY. The more I learned about the VIX, GME and how the markets work....I realized how options work for the biggest players and how they actually can manipulate the VIX. Why would they do this?? Guess what.....it has to do with options/derivatives markets.....shocking and controlling the market.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
1\. Griffin, John M.; Shams, Amin (May 23, 2017). ["Manipulation in the VIX?"](https://ssrn.com/abstract=2972979). *SSRN.com*. [doi](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Doi_(identifier)):[10.2139/ssrn.2972979](https://doi.org/10.2139%2Fssrn.2972979). [S2CID](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/S2CID_(identifier)) [157586475](https://api.semanticscholar.org/CorpusID:157586475). [SSRN](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SSRN_(identifier)) [2972979](https://ssrn.com/abstract=2972979). Retrieved 25 February2020.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
2\. [^](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/VIX#cite_ref-37) Cornish, Chloe (13 February 2018). ["Anonymous 'Whistleblower' Claims 'Rampant Manipulation' of Vix Index"](https://www.ft.com/content/a89eba68-10b4-11e8-940e-08320fc2a277). [*Financial Times*](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Financial_Times). Retrieved 26 February 2020 -- via [FT.com](https://ft.com/).
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Pump the brakes Apes.......
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
So what those the VIX mean for Apes? It means people are betting the market is going down and that does not mean GME moons today. (I mean it could but I find it unlikely at this point) I get it, the VIX is a fast moving indicator, it sounds cool, and it's for gamblers who have many make or break plays.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
The very nature is kill it or be killed with VIX ETF's. You hit big once and you can make tons but you will lose more often than you win. I'm serious, those ETF's I mentioned earlier have daily decay and are meant to be short term plays. You have to hit a fast moving curveball out of the park or you will probably lose your shirt playing VIX stocks.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
I DO NOT RECOMMEND ANYONE TRADE VIX STOCKS. BUYING GME AND HODL IS WAY SMARTER. (Not financial advice but my opinion)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
This is where the big guys get you. (In a bull market) Every couple months, they get everyone talking about doom and gloom when near market highs. They get tons of people thinking, this is it.....the market is going to correct and they start buying SPY puts and VIX stocks. Retail traders flood the put side and the VIX rises......THEN "THEY" CRUSH RETAIL by just flooding the market with buying power.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
(*Look at the SPY just climbing right back out off the 435 bounce. They will now get bulls to buy back in thinking that STONKS always go up......then fall back to max pain tomorrow. Don't believe me.....Max pain as I'm writing this is 437. If history is an indicator.....we will ping pong back and forth trying to draw in as many people into losing on options. They will hold really close to 439 and maybe run it over to like 441 then they will drop quickly when the call options fill in and then drop it out of the money back to 436. This sort of shit happens on the weekly but most people don't notice.)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
When I saw this VIX up today, my first thought was to buy short term Calls because this is what they do. They want people buying puts and then they just gap up and crush the bears. (AKA BEAR TRAP and they do this ever so often because it works) and they try to draw the bulls back in and then crush them too.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Just watch where max pain is and it usually falls pretty damn close it it each week. Watch for 437 on the SPY.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
What should we be looking for?
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
If you want to start learning more, <http://vixcentral.com/> this shows the VIX futures.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
When that goes straight up.....that means shit is going to hit the fan. It's not currently. So pump the brakes a bit.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
I know we like the hype but I feel like we should have a good understanding with so many smart people here. I've been trading a long time and thought I would share what I know about the VIX. I've never seen a stock at like GME. Where there is smoke.....there is fire.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
BUY GME, Don't fuck with Options, and HODL.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
1\. UVXY isn't a direct correlation to the VIX. It has to do with the M1 and M2 futures found in the <http://vixcentral.com/> link here.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
2\. These inverse ETF's decay and are not meant for long term plays.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
3\. VIX can be manipulated so take that with a grain of salt
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Let me know if you have any questions?
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Much love
|
||||||
@ -0,0 +1,138 @@
|
|||||||
|
[Deep DD] new data shows that SHFs lost their last stand with the Feb price drop because apes took over trading GME and now hold, maybe, 100 million MORE shares since Jan. (The price is wrong, just buy and hold, and hedgies are fuk.)
|
||||||
|
=========================================================================================================================================================================================================================================
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
| Author | Source |
|
||||||
|
| :-------------: |:-------------:|
|
||||||
|
| [u/Hhshdjslaksvvshshjs](https://www.reddit.com/user/Hhshdjslaksvvshshjs/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p85ae3/deep_dd_new_data_shows_that_shfs_lost_their_last/) |
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[DD 👨🔬](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22DD%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%94%AC%22&restrict_sr=1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
§0. PREAMBLE
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
TL;DR This is the whole ball game, right [here](https://imgur.com/a/d13C6Vf) -- this should have your tits totally jacked because that trend going up is apes buying and holding. Using odd lot data from the NYSE TAQ you can see how retail investors overran GME. At the end of last year about 37% of trades were small retail orders in odd lots (under 100 shares), now an average of around 87% of GME trades are odd lots. I claim that this is driven by the general lack of liquidity and the fact that apes just keep buying more and more GME. Apes are the ones making most of the moves in GME and when you tabulate the net total increase in shares, apes could easily have bought (and held) 100 million *more* shares since Jan.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
TA;DR Normal apes can't afford to buy big barrels of bananas, so to see how much apes are buying we should count up the numbers buying small bunches of bananas. Since January the number of small bunches being traded has gone into the treetops. After estimating how many apes are trying to buy bananas rather than sell bananas, it seems that apes have accumulated maybe 100 million bananas since January.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Disclaimer I am not a financial advisor and you shouldn't read anything in this text as investing advice. I've got a PhD, so I have a few wrinkles. But beyond a few intro to statistics classes in grad school, my brain's pretty smooth when it comes to analyzing stock market data. So please read this (if you can read) as a good faith effort to understand what's going on with GameStop. I hope you apes can find holes in the argument where I'm wrong, and build on this if I'm right.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
* * * * *
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
§1. PREMISES
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
*Premise 1)* Retail tends to buy and sell in odd lots (i.e. orders of under 100 shares); institutions tend to buy in round or mixed lots (i.e. orders of 100 shares or more).
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
You have likely seen stories like [this one](https://www.cnbc.com/2021/02/13/why-retail-investors-are-here-to-stay.html), or [this one](https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/the-growth-of-the-retail-investor-revolution-2021-03-10), describing the growth of retail investors in recent years. A [Schwab analysis](https://www.aboutschwab.com/generation-investor-study-2021) concluded that 15% of stock market investors began in 2020. And [the FT notes](https://www.ft.com/content/7a91e3ea-b9ec-4611-9a03-a8dd3b8bddb5) that retail trading accounts for almost as much volume as mutual funds and hedge funds combined. Take a look at yourself -- *nosce teipsum* -- when did you start investing? I bet most of you only began recently, and as a *SuperStonk* member you're probably more informed and engaged investors than the average.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Hedge funds receive billions of dollars from "accredited investors" who have to have a net worth over $1 million [(17 CFR § 230.501(a)(5))](https://www.law.cornell.edu/cfr/text/17/230.501). These hedge funds aren't even allowed to advertise themselves to average investors [(17 CFR § 230.502(c))](https://www.law.cornell.edu/cfr/text/17/230.502). They then use leverage to multiply that amount they can invest to the point that they have [billions of assets under management](https://hedgelists.com/top-100-us-hedge-funds-2021/). Accordingly, these investment banks and hedge funds don't have to nickel and dime; they can afford to buy lots of shares in companies, and usually in orders of 100 shares at a time, or more. These are round-lot orders.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
By contrast, individual retail investors don't have millions of dollars to throw around. They can't buy 100 shares here and 200 shares there. After all, 100 TSLA would set you back almost $70,000, and that's after a recent stock split! Heck, even if a stock costs $10, you'd have to drop a grand to get to a round lot order. I don't have that kind of money lying around on the regular. So, we buy in odd lots: 2 shares at a time, 10 shares, and almost always under 100 shares.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
When you put these two phenomena together -- that retail comprise an increasing proportion of all trades and that retail tends to buy in odd lots -- you get [this phenomenon](https://imgur.com/a/OongaQz) outlined by the SEC [(source)](https://www.sec.gov/marketstructure/datavis/ma_stocks_oddlotvolume.html). The rate of odd lot trades is rising consistently (especially among more expensive stocks -- think TSLA) and the exchanges and data aggregators are scrambling to capture this new development. For example, the SIP only began reporting odd lot trades in 2013 [see readme file from NYSE TAQ](https://easyupload.io/temeaz) and the [Consolidated Tape Association](https://www.ctaplan.com/oddlots) is trying to figure out how best to relay this new data stream to users.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
*Premise 2)* Retail tends to buy and hold GME (especially after the Jan Sneeze).
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
This is a qualitative assessment. I'm sure that some people are day trading GME, and members of this sub sometimes give anecdotes of their friends who sold out already. I would also wager that some of the January FOMO crowd have sold. But this analysis is primarily concerned with the months *since January* and I'm going to assume that most people buying GME since Jan have a fairly high risk tolerance and aren't a bunch of [paperhanded Portnoy bitches](https://twitter.com/Mediaite/status/1408151781926969346?s=20). Moreover, if you're buying GME in 2021 at a price of over $100 while the media is hammering you with "forget GameStop" articles then you're a special kind of ape. You're super bullish on the fundamentals of GME, which means you're holding. Or you are familiar with the DD (or trust someone who is) and believe that a squeeze is likely, which means you're not selling for a mere 50%-100% profit. Or, you're like me, and you're a combination of the two, and you can be damn sure I'm not selling any time soon.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
*Premise 3)* Retail tends not to short GME.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
To some degree this is a corollary of premise 2; if retail buys and holds, then retail isn't selling short. But we can be a little more precise here. Footnote 1 on p. 803 of this article by Eric Kelley and Paul Tetlock in *The Review of Financial Studies* [(2017)](https://www.jstor.org/stable/26166324) invokes NYSE data showing that only 2% of short sale orders are from retail. It should be noted that this doesn't account for retail orders that are internalized or filled through dark pools, and the number of retail investors has grown considerably since 2017. Eyeballing the odd lot volume data from above, odd lot trades in the middle decile by market cap has risen from between 8-10% in 2017 to 11-15% in 2021. Let's be conservative and say that since 2017 retail has doubled, and so if they keep shorting at the same rate as in 2017, retail maybe makes up 4% of shorts on the NYSE. If you add dark pools and internalization that might push the number up to -- let's be conservative again -- say 10%. When you add in the fact that there is a shared aversion to shorting GME among retail investors expecting a squeeze, any reasonable estimate must put the % of retail shorting GME as a fraction of the total trading it.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
§2. DATA
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
I have been analyzing intraday [TAQ data from NYSE](https://www.nyse.com/market-data/historical/daily-taq), which compiles trades, quotes, the NBBO and the like for just about all US exchanges. I get access to this data through my university, so I imagine it will not be accessible to most readers. So, I've uploaded a copy of the [raw .CSV data file](https://easyupload.io/8s3guu) I've been using for my analysis. Now anyone can peer review and hopefully improve upon or refute my assessments.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Here](https://easyupload.io/6do1th) is a link to the very messy .xlsx file I have been using to play with the data above. It's crude and as modeling is not my area of expertise, I worry that I may have made some elementary mistakes. I hope someone with patience will give it a look and correct any errors in my data use and/or my conclusions from the data.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
I also make use of the short volume data compiled by the formidable [AnnihilationGods_Data_Project](https://twitter.com/Annihil4tionGod). I had been using fintel.io data to ascertain short volume, but [*The Daily Stonk 06-08-2021*](https://github.com/verymeticulous/wikAPEdia/blob/b5ce62daff2969556ee76f2951b9f4eb92afebca/Daily-News/Daily-Stonk-Archives/06-June/2021-06-08-Synopsis.md#the-daily-stonk-06-08-2021) relayed the inaccuracies in the fintel.io data as explained by Annihil4tionGod. They have been maintaining the data file since then and you can access the master file [here](https://twitter.com/Annihil4tionGod/status/1425445775929184265?s=20).
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Note: I have been using easyupload.io to make data files available to download. However, their hosting expires after 30 days. I hope that someone more knowledgeable than me can backup or create mirrors of this info if it proves useful.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
§3. ANALYSIS
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
*(a) Basic Volume Changes:* [Here's](https://imgur.com/a/OFOcwAJ) the chart of GME's price that you're all familiar with. (I love that slight up turn over the last few days!) And [here's](https://imgur.com/a/I7isUbp) the rise in odd lot trades over that same time period. Notice the huge spikes in odd lot volume with the Jan Sneeze and the first $350 price spike in March. Of course, these were periods in which the overall volume increased dramatically, so the reason that you're seeing more odd lot trades is because there are more trades *simpliciter*. You can see the similarities between the increase in odd lot trades and the increase in all trades as both have a similar shape [when plotted out](https://imgur.com/a/QwtEVJZ). Footnote 1.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Even so, it's notable that the most recent run to $350 at the end of May/start of June doesn't see nearly the same increase in retail trades as the previous run-ups. *Prima fascia* this suggests that something different is happening from May onwards compared to Jan-March. My initial thought is that this is evidence of the [March to Zero Liquidity](https://github.com/verymeticulous/wikAPEdia/blob/13fa1f654be676e295894cd2121fa6a554f5b3d1/Due-Diligence/2021-05-02-The-March-to-Zero-Liquidity.md) as large price swings are occurring without the order of magnitude increases in retail volume that we saw before May.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Additionally, note the asymmetry between the left and right of the total volume vs odd lot volume [charts](https://imgur.com/a/0qlwg9c). In August and October last year there were some spikes in total volume, but no appreciable increases in the level of odd lot buys. (I wonder if the August bump is from Ryan Cohen.) After the January spike, though, every increase in total volume is matched with a comparable increase in odd lot orders.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Of course, this might just be explained by the increase in the price of the stock. Last year DFV and others could buy GME by the thousands because it was trading in the single digits. Since Jan the stock has mostly stayed above $100 and never dropped below two digits. So, it makes sense that there would be a relationship between price and odd lot volume. But I'm not convinced that the price increase is the only factor. Here's [popcorn stock](https://imgur.com/a/6Ubuy0V) by comparison. Note the big jump in odd lot trades in January, even when the price is only $10-15. GME was trading around that price in October 2020 and there doesn't seem to be a big jump in odd lot buys in GME at that time, so it's not clear (to me at least) that prohibitive cost is driving the rise in odd lot trades.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
*(b) Order Size and Odd Lot Rate:* [This](https://imgur.com/a/BC0UpcN) is where things get really interesting. Last August the average round lot order was between 275 shares and 375 shares. By contrast, round lot orders today are around 160-180 shares. This shows us two things.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
- First, there has been a steady decline in the average order size by institutions; they're buying (and shorting) smaller amounts each time.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
- Second, the variance between the average high and the average low order size was much greater a year ago than today.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
In my judgment, this reflects the general decline in liquidity. As fewer shares are available, it's not possible to sell 200+ shares at a time. I suspect that this reflects a lack of autonomy on the part of institutions. Last year some swashbuckling SHFs could sell big chunks of GME in one go. Think, for example, of the married-put chicanery with MMs that would allow the SHFs to sell phantom shares. As these SHFs didn't have to locate these shares before shorting them, order size wasn't an issue. But things have changed since January, not least that there have been considerable rule changes by the DTCC, OCC, and NSCC. I speculate that more and more SHFs have to actually locate the shares before they short them, which is hard to do. So now all SHFs are all being constrained by supply and demand in similar ways, which is why they cluster around a much smaller order size.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
We see a similar decline in odd lot order sizes over the past year: [chart](https://imgur.com/a/ht07Hjg). But you'll note that there is a more precipitous decline in order size as the price increases, which makes sense if retail is more price sensitive than wealthier hedge funds. We were consistently buying more shares at a time when the price was lower, so that demonstrates that price matters. But we haven't been deterred by the high price. We're still buying, just in smaller amounts.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
This difference in order size is important because we can use it to see who is in control of the stock. We can use total average order size (so the average order size for both odd lot and round lot orders combined) as a proxy to see who is hustling the most and buying/selling more shares: retail or institutions?
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
- If the total average order size is a round lot order, then institutions are in control. The shorts are running the show as they're able to sell big orders into the open market.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
- By contrast, if the total average order size a small odd lot order, then that means that retail are the ones who are making the moves. Retail is buying up shares here and there and they're not stopping.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
And the data says that [retail is absolutely in control](https://imgur.com/a/RcJYv1n).
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Last year the average order size basically corresponded with the average round lot order size. Sure, retail dragged the order size down slightly to 200-275 shares a time, not the full 250-350 in odd lot orders alone. But trades were big -- large numbers of shares being moved at a time. And there was high variance, with a spread of around 75 shares between the highest and lowest average.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Everything changed after January, though. The precipitous drop in order size we saw in the odd lot order size is clear as day in the total average order size -- so retail really had an effect on the order size. We pulled it down hard in January. And the average size hasn't regressed up to the mean before January. After the average order size was pulled down, it stayed down. Moreover, the variance in the order size diminished, too; only, say 10 shares difference between the highs and the lows.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
So what explains this change in average order size? I think there are two things at play.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
- First, and probably to a lesser extent, SHFs are having a harder time locating shares because of rule changes and because apes buy and hold. As SHFs can't locate the shares, they can't buy them or sell them in big blocks. So now apes and SHFs are playing on the same pitch: we're both constrained by supply and demand. SHFs can't magic up millions of shares and sell them off in big orders, and apes can't buy big orders either. Apes are hodling like champions so there simply aren't enough shares to trade them in big orders.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
- Second, there are just so many damn apes out there. After apes piled in with their odd lot orders, they didn't leave. No matter how many MarketWatch articles or Jim Cramer interviews told us to "forget GameStop," we just can't quit it. Apes kept buying. *Price goes up, we buy a handful of shares. Price stays the same, 5 shares more. Tasty dip? Thanks, Ken, I'll take two.*
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
And the proof that apes aren't going anywhere is in the data. [Look at this.](https://imgur.com/a/d13C6Vf) This will be my first NFT after MOASS because it's just so beautiful. 80-90% of all trades are regularly odd lot trades. That's us. We're the ones buying in these odd lots. Several people on this sub have compared this GameStop saga to a horror movie for the SHFs. We're like zombies that keep coming and keep coming. They short it and we lap it up. The price rises and we lap it up. This chart is that movie condensed into 1 image. The SHFs must be terrified of us as we're scrambling to get another bite out of our beloved GME while they try to stop us.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Just [look](https://imgur.com/a/UtA0QAV) at what happened when SHFs made their last stand. They tried to take control again and increased their round lot orders to about 30% of the total for the day. That was when they pushed the price down into the $40s. But it was clearly unsustainable. Either too many apes kept buying in or they just couldn't get the shares to keep shorting. But as soon as they took their feet of the gas, apes just lapped it up again. Now these SHFs are just dead men walking -- they're the zombis. Apes are simply out buying them so their hole gets deeper every day.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Some on this sub may be looking for a whale to blast us off into space, or an NFT dividend as the catalyst that begins the MOASS. But this data shows that apes really are the fuel behind this rocket. Because we've each come to see the value of the company through conversations with each other or through our own research, we're buying in and we're not stopping. If this carries on, I'm convinced that we won't even need a catalyst. The march to zero liquidity from apes buying will be enough.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
*(c) Buying vs Selling:* In the narrative above it may seem like I'm assuming that all odd lot orders are buys (and holds). And that is a premise of my argument (see §1) as it's credible to believe both that retail constitute most odd lot orders, and that since January retail tends to buy and hold. But we don't have to rely upon reasonable inferences as the data gives phenomenal insight into the shifting trading patterns from before to after the January Sneeze.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[GME Orders Before and After Jan Sneeze.](https://imgur.com/QL3ajz8)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
The TAQ database uses the Lee-Ready algorithm to designate whether a trade is initiated by a buyer or initiated by a seller. I am going to assume that retail apes are not buying or selling any round orders -- maybe they're just institutions rebalancing with the ETF changes. So instead, let's focus on where apes may be buying and (yuck) selling.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
On the highest extreme model, assume that the all odd lot buyers are apes and that they diamond handed everything. That means apes would have 831,099,331 more shares now than before the Sneeze.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
On the lowest extreme model, where apes bought all the odd lots and paper handed everything, they would have a net increase of 45,591,791 shares.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
These two numbers give us a sense of where the outer limits are. Let's add two further variables to make this model more credible:
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
- First, let's not forget that there's been a lot of shorting going on. Approximately 434 million shares have been sold short. Let's be generous and assume that all of these shorts are with borrowed shares, so there are no new naked shorts. And let's assume that if they close their position, the shorts always buy back their shares in odd lots.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
- Second, although apes buy and hold, some retail purchases in odd lots will be by people less familiar with the details around GameStop. This subset of people may have bought, but also sold some of their shares over the last few months.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Putting these two together you get a: [Range of Retail's GME Ownership Since Jan Squeeze](https://imgur.com/a/XClwoHT)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Let's break this down. First assume that no shorts have covered (so all the odd lot buys are real buys, not covering). If apes/retail bought 80% of those odd lot buys and didn't sell much of them back (only 20% of those shares) then apes may have added 500 million shares to their portfolios. On the other side, if retail is a bunch of broke paperhanded Portnoys, we'd only have 33 million shares after buying 20% of the available shares and selling 80% of those back again.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Is 80% buying by retail an excessive estimate? Quite possibly. But recall the [the FT reporting](https://www.ft.com/content/7a91e3ea-b9ec-4611-9a03-a8dd3b8bddb5), that retail makes up the same volume of trades as hedge funds and mutual funds. Moreover, we shouldn't neglect the fact that few other stocks engender the same excitement as GME. Consequently, it wouldn't surprise me if apes are buying well over half of the available shares. We're just gobbling up what we can.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
But, the number of shares available for apes to buy drops once shorts cover. If we assume that half of the odd lot buys went to close out short positions, then the range of ape ownership increase drops from about 400 million to 25 million. If all shorts were closed out of the odd lot buys, then the number of available shares for apes to buy drops further. If they bought 80% of those remaining shares, then the net increase in apes' positions could be as high as 250 million. On the lower end, if apes didn't buy much and sold most of it back, the increase could be as little as 16 million shares of GME.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
§4. CONCLUSION
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Odd lot trades can act as a proxy for retail investors: the more odd lot trades, the more retail investors trading a stock. When we look at GME, the number of odd lot trades has risen dramatically to an average of around 87% of all trades (up from about 37% at the end of last year).
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Three explanations for this growth were presented: rising prices; decreasing liquidity; persistent buying by apes. In my estimation the latter two are the primary drivers here. There simply aren't many shares available to buy (numerator) and Apes just keep on buying [(denominator)](https://imgur.com/a/a2FuvKD) so the average trade size has dropped precipitously.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
As the average order size is so low now and odd lots make up so many of the total orders, it's likely that institutions are reduced to odd lot trades, too. This reflects the weak trading position of SHFs as they cannot move the market with big sells like they used to. It also reflects the strength of apes: we just keep buying and buying -- we're running this show now.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
By disaggregating buyers from sellers (using the Lee-Ready method), we saw how many of these small odd lot orders were initiated by buyers. Apes buy and hold and retail tends not to short sell. So, how much did apes increase their GME holdings by? We modeled a range of possibilities depending on some variations in covering and possible ratios of retail buys to sells in odd lots.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
The main take away is that, even on a highly conservative estimate where all shorts since the January Sneeze closed their positions using odd lot purchases, and where retail buys only half of the available shares and day trades half of those back again (yuck), the net increase for apes is about 100 million shares.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Oh, and this data doesn't even include dark pool and internalized orders, where many retail buys are likely routed to. Hedgies are so damn ^fuk.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
* * * * *
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Footnote 1: A regression model of total volume against odd lot volume suggests that about 65% of the increase in odd lot volume is caused by the increase in volume *tout court* (r-square: 0.641). But the standard error seems quite large and one of the p-values is below statistical significance, so I'm not sure that this is a useful measure. I'm not a statistician, so I expect that I've bungled something somewhere, which is why I've put this as a footnote. Please correct me if you can!
|
||||||
@ -0,0 +1,62 @@
|
|||||||
|
Federal Reserve & Bureau of Economic Analysis Reports Analysis & The Inevitability of the 2021 Real Estate & Stock Market Crash; Credit Default Swaps & Mortgage Securities up 5000%, Mortgage Backed Securities 3600%, 9 States have Unemployment almost 8%, Americans LOST $2 TRILLION in Q1 2021 ALONE !!
|
||||||
|
==========================================================================================================================================================================================
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
| Author | Source |
|
||||||
|
| :-------------: |:-------------:|
|
||||||
|
| [u/bossblunts](https://www.reddit.com/user/bossblunts/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/DDintoGME/comments/p9bcdb/federal_reserve_bureau_of_economic_analysis/) |
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[𝗦𝗽𝗲𝗰𝘂𝗹𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻](https://www.reddit.com/r/DDintoGME/search?q=flair_name%3A%22%F0%9D%97%A6%F0%9D%97%BD%F0%9D%97%B2%F0%9D%97%B0%F0%9D%98%82%F0%9D%97%B9%F0%9D%97%AE%F0%9D%98%81%F0%9D%97%B6%F0%9D%97%BC%F0%9D%97%BB%22&restrict_sr=1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Federal Reserve & Bureau of Economic Analysis Reports Analysis & The Inevitability of the 2021 Real Estate & Stock Market Crash; Credit Default Swaps & Mortgage Securities up 5000%, Mortgage Backed Securities 3600%, 9 States have Unemployment almost 8%, Americans LOST $2 TRILLION in Q1 2021 ALONE !!
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Video Analysis;
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://youtu.be/TQ_qwTWfX7o>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Video Analysis; Federal Reserve Bank Asset & Liabilities report H8 released 8/20/21
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
* Office of the Comptroller of the Currency Bank Derivatives Report for Q1 2021
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
* USBEA Bureau of Economic Analysis reports GDP will "surpass maximum sustainable level by the end of the year..", Inflation is at record high levels not seen since 2008 and expected to increase.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
* CBO Congressional Budget Office reports consistently wrong providing incorrect data estimates and analysis for the next decade.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
* Federal Reserve Economic Research Data 8/20/2021; Repo / Reverse Repurchase Agreements correlations between 2008, 2013, and 2021
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
* US Department of Labor statistics show 6.2 million American's are severely impacted in July 2021, and more so will be seen in August.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
+++++ This began as an investigation into the correlations between Stock Market Crashes & Economic Issues of 2008, 2011, and 2013, compared to the current issues in the 2021 stock market, real estate, bank derivative, debt ceiling issues, and their correlation to macroeconomics, AMC Theaters and Gamestop...
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
It turned into my biggest nightmare, and there's no good outcome. Buy Calls on my therapist... $65 strike...
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
- Dark Pool Use By Top 4 BANK NOW 61.8 %
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
- 4 Banks owe $ 168,217,422,000,000 (TRILLION) IN UNREALIZED LOSSES IN DERIVATIVES ALONE NOT INCLUDING Naked Shorts, Synthetic Shares, FTD's & MORE!
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
===== Reddit Due Diligence link HERE: =======
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://www.reddit.com/r/DDintoGME/comments/p26bni/darkpool_use_by_top_4_banks_increased_382_in_q1/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Twitter: BossBlunts1
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
In 2011 CBO projected the 3 month Treasury bill to be worth 4.4% in 2021.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
The actual 3 month Treasury bill rate for July 2021 is worth between 0.01 and 0.06%.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
In 2011 the projected 10 year Treasury note bill rate was projected to be 5.4% for 2021
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
The actual 10 year Treasury note bill rate is 1.24% In July 2021
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Personal Income: "Current-dollar personal income decreased $1.32 trillion in the second quarter, or 22.0 percent, in contrast to an increase of $2.33 trillion (revised), or 56.8 percent, in the first quarter of 2021."
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Disposable personal income decreased $1.42 trillion, or 26.1 percent, in the second quarter, in contrast to an increase of $2.27 trillion, or 63.7 percent (revised), in the first quarter. - Again all fake gains thru the stimmy.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
AT THE SAME TIME, Personal outlays (expenses) increased $680.8 billion in Q2, after already having increased $538.8 billion in Q1.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Personal savings was $1.97 trillion in the second quarter, compared with $4.07 trillion in the first quarter of 2021
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
The personal saving rate---personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income---was DOWN 10.9 % in the second quarter, which was already DOWN 20.8 % in the first quarter.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
This means Americans have lost $2+ TRILLION in savings, Q2 2021 ALONE.
|
||||||
@ -0,0 +1,60 @@
|
|||||||
|
The New Tax Proposal is Prepared for MOASS. (Retroactive Capital Gains)
|
||||||
|
=======================================================================
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
| Author | Source |
|
||||||
|
| :-------------: |:-------------:|
|
||||||
|
| [u/I_DO_ANIMAL_THINGS](https://www.reddit.com/user/I_DO_ANIMAL_THINGS/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p5hr5d/the_new_tax_proposal_is_prepared_for_moass/) |
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Education 👨🏫 | Data 🔢](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Education%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%8F%AB%20%7C%20Data%20%F0%9F%94%A2%22&restrict_sr=1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Good morning and happy Monday Apes,
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Disclaimer: I'm nobody and an idiot so you do you. This stock is awesome tho.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
TLDR: The changes proposed to Tax Laws would be effective December 2021 with the exception of the proposed change for Capital Gains which would be retroactive to April 2021.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Soruce: [US Treasury](https://home.treasury.gov/policy-issues/tax-policy)\
|
||||||
|
[General Explanations of the Administration's Fiscal Year 2022 Revenue Proposals](https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/131/General-Explanations-FY2022.pdf)\
|
||||||
|
[Whale Teeth For MOASS](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p3q1ka/whale_teeth_killed_the_dinosaurs/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Published May, 2021. That's important.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/diwjeoawdqh71.jpg?width=548&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=40e8867025ac9aa70b49542be69ba80db51ef6e1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Published May 2021
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Reform Capital Gains Tax
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
The short layman: Currently, taxes on gains fall into 2 classifications. Short Term and Long Term, with Short Term being taxed much higher and Long Term taxed within your applicable tax bracket.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
This proposed change says all gains, long and short will be taxed at the higer rate for anyone who makes over $1Million income.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
What's neat about this? It's proposed to be effective RETROACTIVLY.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Likely April/May 2021.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
> *" This proposal would be effective for gains required to be recognized after the date of announcement. "*
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
This *announcement* is the very document before you. [General Explanations of the Administration's Fiscal Year 2022 Revenue Proposals](https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/131/General-Explanations-FY2022.pdf)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/63bipoc8eqh71.jpg?width=559&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=080bd9c68e5a74be31da38d7fa9abfe4cd5154d7)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
I wonder why Uncle Sam would want to roll the clock back on this specific change.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
The other changes are NOT retroactive.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/jnjn2f0bgqh71.jpg?width=517&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=386befc0c66aef75107dd5514e73cbed68e845bb)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
The proposed changes for higher income would be effect December 31. Not "after the date of announcement."
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
I'll close with this. My tits are jacked and PROUD to pay my taxes to improve my country. We are all clearly aware of systemic issues and it does hurt to feel like you're paying into a system that's failing it's people. However, change needs to start somewhere and I personally believe the 1% should indeed be taxed much higher than the rest of the world.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
I will be just fine with my giant sum of money after being taxed a giant some of money.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Whale Teeth For MOASS
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
| [PDF Download]() |
|
||||||
@ -0,0 +1,28 @@
|
|||||||
|
NVESTOR ALERT: Labaton Sucharow Pursuing Arbitration for Robinhood Trading Restrictions; Traders with Losses Encouraged to Contact the Firm
|
||||||
|
===========================================================================================================================================
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
| Author | Source |
|
||||||
|
| :-------------: |:-------------:|
|
||||||
|
| [Labaton Sucharow](info@labaton.com) | [accesswire.com](https://www.accesswire.com/660769/INVESTOR-ALERT-Labaton-Sucharow-Pursuing-Arbitration-for-Robinhood-Trading-Restrictions-Traders-with-Losses-Encouraged-to-Contact-the-Firm) |
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Monday, August 23, 2021 9:00 AM
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
**NEW YORK, NY / ACCESSWIRE / August 23, 2021 / **Labaton Sucharow LLP, a premier securities litigation law firm, announces it is pursuing claims on behalf of traders using Robinhood who suffered losses in Gamestop (NYSE:GME), AMC (NYSE:AMC), Nokia (NYSE:NOK), BlackBerry, Bed Bath & Beyond, Naked Brands, Koss, or Express following Robinhood's decision to restrict trading.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
During the week of January 25, 2021, the price of Gamestop stock increased over 200% due to a large number of individual traders buying the stock, and other stocks saw similar increases. On January 28, Robinhood announced it was restricting its traders from opening new positions in Gamestop, AMC, Nokia, and other stocks. It allowed its customers to sell their positions only and closed other positions without warning. After Robinhood's announcement, the prices of Gamestop, AMC, Nokia, and many other stocks Robinhood restricted plummeted.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Robinhood traders who held Gamestop, AMC, Nokia, BlackBerry, Bed Bath & Beyond, Naked Brands, Koss, or Express stock on January 27, 2021, are encouraged to sign up at [https://clientconnect.labaton.com/case/robinhood-trading-restrictions/](https://pr.report/EWU9qSjB). Labaton Sucharow can analyze your claim and your losses, negotiate with the company, and pursue your claim in arbitration if necessary.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
**About the Firm**\
|
||||||
|
Labaton Sucharow LLP is one of the world's leading complex litigation firms representing clients in securities, antitrust, corporate governance and shareholder rights, and consumer cybersecurity and data privacy litigation. Labaton Sucharow has been recognized for its excellence by the courts and peers, and it is consistently ranked in leading industry publications. Offices are located in New York, NY, Wilmington, DE, and Washington, D.C. More information about Labaton Sucharow is available at [https://clientconnect.labaton.com/](https://pr.report/8dkAr2In).
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
**CONTACT:**\
|
||||||
|
Labaton Sucharow LLP\
|
||||||
|
888-909-7222\
|
||||||
|
<info@labaton.com>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
**SOURCE: **Labaton Sucharow LLP
|
||||||
@ -0,0 +1,12 @@
|
|||||||
|
Price has been suppressed thanks to blackRock liquidation. Now RC venture has more shares than BR!
|
||||||
|
==================================================================================================
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
| Author | Source |
|
||||||
|
| :-------------: |:-------------:|
|
||||||
|
| [u/tito5000](https://www.reddit.com/user/tito5000/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p5o7o6/price_has_been_suppressed_thanks_to_blackrock/) |
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Education 👨🏫 | Data 🔢](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Education%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%8F%AB%20%7C%20Data%20%F0%9F%94%A2%22&restrict_sr=1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
@ -0,0 +1,50 @@
|
|||||||
|
FUD ALERT! No Griffin/Citadel didn't move $14B to Cayman Islands, that's not how a Form D works.
|
||||||
|
================================================================================================
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
| Author | Source |
|
||||||
|
| :-------------: |:-------------:|
|
||||||
|
| [u/FilingAgentMan](https://www.reddit.com/user/FilingAgentMan/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p85rvs/fud_alert_no_griffincitadel_didnt_move_14b_to/) |
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Education 👨🏫 | Data 🔢](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Education%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%8F%AB%20%7C%20Data%20%F0%9F%94%A2%22&restrict_sr=1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
EDIT/CORRECTION: As some Apes have pointed out, FUD is probably the incorrect term for this post, it should be labeled as DEBUNKED. Sorry about that, too many crayons for breakfast.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
EDIT2: I have chatted with the author of that tweet. To clarify my intent, I only wish to correct misinformation, not to launch personal attacks. I saw incorrect information and reacted strongly in this post with terms like FUD & DEBUNKED. This does not mean I will not continue to correct misinformation, just that I will do it with more tact.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
EDIT3: The Author of the tweet still wanted this image below removed, I said no and will apparently be reported, I said go ahead, my patience has reached it's limits.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Yesterday I saw this post from [u/einfachman](https://www.reddit.com/u/einfachman/): <https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p7l5bl/kenny_sent_another_14_billion_to_cayman_islands/>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
It was a screenshot from a Twitter account claiming that $14B was transferred to the Cayman Islands recently, they didn't and I can explain what's really happening.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/3l05t7pl8ji71.png?width=475&format=png&auto=webp&s=537661d4eacb199ba66a419d44b12ae52dbdbf09)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
I replaced the initial version of this with FUD overlaid, DEBUNKED is a better description and I wish I could alter the title of this post, I'll cut down on the morning crayons in the future.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
I actually created a Twitter account for the purpose of replying to clear up the ~~FUD~~ misinformation, but apparently this account can't be replied to, any account that does not accept criticism sends up red flags, so I will clarify here.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
This Form D [was filed on May 5, 2021](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/0001199937/000180233221000005/xslFormDX01/primary_doc.xml) and [I had already addressed why so many Form D's were being filed in this post](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/np6f78/citadel_has_been_filing_form_d_amendments_and_ill/). So this is actually old news.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
This filing is an amended Form D. They must be filed annually OR if anything changes since the lat filing was made. As you can see, these filings have been going on for a while.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/r4uo25dfjii71.png?width=682&format=png&auto=webp&s=81ce8d3843f984679fc0d44743226460906b35b5)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
List of Form D Amendment filings by Citadel Kensington Global Strategies Fund Ltd. https://www.sec.gov/edgar/browse/?CIK=1199937
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
So, what is a Form D for? Here's the explanation from [investor.gov](https://investor.gov/):
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/he8c1q0hkii71.png?width=701&format=png&auto=webp&s=23c3ce8470368ec7f5502eb5d9033f9b6e26fce3)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
https://www.investor.gov/introduction-investing/investing-basics/glossary/form-d
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Registered securities are done of Form S-1, S-3, etc, UNREGISTERED securities are put on Form D. Here is the most recent filing, marked up to show what is happening:
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/qpsg0sciqii71.png?width=797&format=png&auto=webp&s=355726f29eef1cf2c70ae1f16b98c6d584f627b1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/0001199937/000180233221000005/xslFormDX01/primary_doc.xml (Comments mine of course)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Unlike that Twitter account, I will update this post with answers to any questions you may have.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
MOASS is inevitable, buy & hold, not financial advice.
|
||||||
@ -0,0 +1,28 @@
|
|||||||
|
DTC Underwriting Alert! Section 3 (c) (7) restrictions for owners of the following issue: Citadel Finance LLC
|
||||||
|
=============================================================================================================
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
| Author | Source |
|
||||||
|
| :-------------: |:-------------:|
|
||||||
|
| [u/Dismal-Jellyfish](https://www.reddit.com/user/Dismal-Jellyfish/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/pa5wx7/dtc_underwriting_alert_section_3_c_7_restrictions/) |
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[News 📰 | Media 📱](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22News%20%F0%9F%93%B0%20%7C%20Media%20%F0%9F%93%B1%22&restrict_sr=1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/db3aj0h3j5j71.png?width=940&format=png&auto=webp&s=49e61696de873923d77f2944aac6a5ec242c75f6)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
https://www.dtcc.com/-/media/Files/pdf/2021/8/23/15767-21.pdf
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/f8nk0mc6j5j71.png?width=941&format=png&auto=webp&s=22f76eac6da736f8de90c4ff1dfeb8a870c054e1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
https://www.dtcc.com/-/media/Files/pdf/2021/8/23/15767-21.pdf
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
DTC Underwriting Alert! Section 3 (c) (7) restrictions for owners of the following issue: Citadel Finance LLC
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
EDIT Hat tip to [u/StonkyMcshart](https://www.reddit.com/u/StonkyMcshart/):
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
> "This is senior debt that citadel financed back in March (<https://www.spglobal.com/marketintelligence/en/news-insights/latest-news-headlines/hg-bonds-citadel-finance-places-600m-of-notes-in-bond-market-debut-terms-62989441>) need to read further into what restrictions were placed on this 600m debt bonds.
|
||||||
|
>
|
||||||
|
> So some things that jump out to me is citadel finance llc which would be the hedge fund side not the market maker.
|
||||||
|
>
|
||||||
|
> It appears as though they are filing for an exemption to the term "investment company" section 3c7 DTC "3c7": Indicates the Issuer of the security has informed DTC that it is relying on the exemption from the definition of "investment company" provided by Section 3(c)(7) of the Investment Company Act of 1940, as amended (the "Investment Company Act"). DTC has been informed by counsel to certain of these issuers that: Section 3(c)(7)"
|
||||||
@ -0,0 +1,30 @@
|
|||||||
|
The "most successful hedge fund in the world" just bought 606k GME bananas!
|
||||||
|
===========================================================================
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
| Author | Source |
|
||||||
|
| :-------------: |:-------------:|
|
||||||
|
| [u/Robin_Squeeze](https://www.reddit.com/user/Robin_Squeeze/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p7abtk/the_most_successful_hedge_fund_in_the_world_just/) |
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Education 👨🏫 | Data 🔢](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Education%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%8F%AB%20%7C%20Data%20%F0%9F%94%A2%22&restrict_sr=1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Follow-up post of my previous post:
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p6o6e7/blackrock_sold_22_of_gme_probably_rebalancingbut/>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
A few comments there drew my attention to Renaissance Technologies, TBH I have never heard from them before, So I did what every smart ape does, I go to wikipedia:
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/u4eyedlcq9i71.png?width=1410&format=png&auto=webp&s=6ca4121d8df7b8148fa3c170c0d51dc8b39aa448)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Okay so let me get this straight: The most successful hedge fund in the world, which only acts based on mathematical models/statistics/hard facts and not on emotions/human behavior...etc just recently bought 606k GME shares... TITS OFFICIALLY JACKED!
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Source: <https://fintel.io/so/us/gme>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/akz7c9ljr9i71.png?width=980&format=png&auto=webp&s=4507dccc818ad5d4a1ab0a4e1f25e7689711244b)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Edit: For some clarification:
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/9l56cm8d8ai71.png?width=714&format=png&auto=webp&s=fbd5299b2615000b633bb9cfce079bc2c251abd6)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Effective date is 06-30, so who knows if they are still in right now. Also something to mention: In their 2020-09-30 13F they had 800k shares but they were gone in their 2020-12-31 13F so they sold their first 800k€ shares before the first big run-up in January...Maybe they learned from their mistake :-D
|
||||||
@ -0,0 +1,14 @@
|
|||||||
|
Michael Bodson of DTCC lying under oath.
|
||||||
|
========================================
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
| Author | Source |
|
||||||
|
| :-------------: |:-------------:|
|
||||||
|
| [u/ArmadaOfWaffles](https://www.reddit.com/user/ArmadaOfWaffles/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p7gz7z/michael_bodson_of_dtcc_lying_under_oath/) |
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Social Media 📲🦜](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Social%20Media%20%F0%9F%93%B2%F0%9F%A6%9C%22&restrict_sr=1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://i.redd.it/xwd0gy2k1ci71.png)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
**[Video Source](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IuUkB0f1ZHA)**
|
||||||
@ -0,0 +1,12 @@
|
|||||||
|
Unbelievable!!! Vlad recorded on call confirming he made a deal with NSCC in advance to restrict trading in Jan in exchange for Robinhood lowering its margin from 3 billion to 1.5 billion. THIS IS CRIMINAL and he lied under oath in the Senate. And it gets even better, Elon Musk was on this call also
|
||||||
|
============================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
| Author | Source |
|
||||||
|
| :-------------: |:-------------:|
|
||||||
|
| [u/Revolutionary-Bet240](https://www.reddit.com/user/Revolutionary-Bet240/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/WallStreetbetsELITE/comments/p74i2g/unbelievable_vlad_recorded_on_call_confirming_he/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf) |
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Discussion](https://www.reddit.com/r/WallStreetbetsELITE/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Discussion%22&restrict_sr=1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://youtube.com/watch?v=jwJSN_6ruHo&feature=share>
|
||||||
@ -0,0 +1,137 @@
|
|||||||
|
SHFs and MMs are coordinating to keep GME from returning to the NYSE threshold securities list, because it triggered the January sneeze.
|
||||||
|
========================================================================================================================================
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
| Author | Source |
|
||||||
|
| :-------------: |:-------------:|
|
||||||
|
| [u/plants69](https://www.reddit.com/user/plants69/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p5u6g5/shfs_and_mms_are_coordinating_to_keep_gme_from/) |
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Possible DD 👨🔬](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Possible%20DD%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%94%AC%22&restrict_sr=1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Hypothesis / TLDR:
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
I am hypothesizing that GME being placed on the threshold security list from September 2020 -- February 2021 is what ultimately triggered the January sneeze. Retail buying pressure from the second half of 2020, long whales (Ryan Cohen) scooping up shares from the float and transforming company fundamentals lit the fuse on this nuclear stock, making the normal cycle of hiding FTDs more difficult for SHFs to manage during this period of time. Price action began slipping from SHF & market maker control in September of 2020 as they were no longer able to hide enough FTDs to prevent GME from staying on the threshold security list for several months, which forced bona-fide market makers to deliver shares within the required settlement periods according to SEC Reg SHO. *Achoo!* Since February, HFs & short-sellers have been carefully coordinating FTDs to prevent GME from returning to the threshold security list. This is because even bona-fide market makers must deliver shares for threshold securities, and as long as GME is not on this list, bona-fide market makers can avoid closing out FTDs.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Contents:
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
1. Reg SHO & Threshold Securities
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
2. How to keep a stock from reaching the NYSE threshold securities list\
|
||||||
|
I. Dispersing FTDs across ETFs\
|
||||||
|
II. Hiding shorts in derivatives\
|
||||||
|
III. SROs (such as FINRA) are not labeling certain securities as threshold securities despite meeting FTD requirements
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
3. How staying off the threshold securities list benefits SHFs, MMs, and share lenders
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
1\. Reg SHO & Threshold Securities:
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Official sources:
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://www.nyse.com/regulation/threshold-securities>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://www.sec.gov/investor/pubs/regsho.htm>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
According to Reg SHO, a security must meet three criteria in order to be placed on the threshold security list:
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
A Threshold Security is defined by Rule 203(c)(6) of the SEC's Regulation SHO as any equity security of an issuer that is registered under Section 12, or that is required to file reports pursuant to Section 15(d) of the Exchange Act where for five consecutive settlement days:
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
(1) there are aggregate fails to deliver at a registered clearing agency of 10,000 shares or more per security;
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
(2) the level of fails is equal to at least one-half of one percent of the issuer's total shares outstanding;
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
and (3) the security is included on a list published by a self regulatory organization.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
GME was put onto the threshold security list on September 22nd of 2020. Since GME was removed from the threshold security list on February 4th, there have been no consecutive 5-day periods where GME is above 10,000 FTDs & the aggregate FTDs of five trading days has exceeded 0.5% of the outstanding shares (or approximately 350,000-385,000 shares depending on the date), which are the first 2 criteria of 3 that make a stock eligible for the threshold security list.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
The third criterion is that the security is on a list published by a self-regulatory organization (SRO) and we will get to that later.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
2\. How to keep a stock from reaching the NYSE threshold securities list
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
In my own study of the FTD's on GME leading up to its placement on the Threshold Security list on September 22nd, GME would have been eligible to be placed on the list as early as September 8th, as the aggregate fails of the previous 5 trading days met the 0.5% outstanding shares requirement and each day had over 10,000 FTDs. This tells me that there appears to be some delay in the time it takes for a threshold security to be placed on the list, according to the discretion of self-regulatory organizations (SROs). FTDs spiked huge following August 31st of 2020, leading up to GME's placement on the threshold security list.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/kxo1vxksoth71.png?width=1647&format=png&auto=webp&s=15cc144341126d0109e8718c35736a567b39a7ca)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
https://sec.report/fails.php?tc=GME
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
How did HF's slip up after all these years and let GME onto the threshold security list? It stayed on this list for months following too.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/iiehq5xtoth71.png?width=696&format=png&auto=webp&s=50b5d02a53fb58bd7bcf97dff586415c0598bc6a)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
On August 31st, 2020 RC ventures announced a 9% stake in Gamestop.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
After the news, Gamestop shares were trading ~30% higher in the next few days. This purchase removed a significant amount of shares from GME's float, making it harder for SHFs to locate shares to borrow. And the massive FTDs started piling up from here on...
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Now, how are short HFs keeping GME from staying on the threshold security list currently, which would force market makers to deliver shares according to Reg SHO? Some possibilities:
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
I. Dispersing FTDs across ETFs
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[u/broccaaa](https://www.reddit.com/u/broccaaa/) has created some beautiful visualizations of GME FTD data spread across ETFs. These ETFs have been failing to deliver significantly since February. Since a few weeks ago, GME has moved into larger cap ETFs, new ETFs must be tracked for fails and it will take time for those results to appear.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/wve8mo70pth71.png?width=4500&format=png&auto=webp&s=5e39e5b98f442a14253b535fe67cb3e18935bbf4)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/o14ccz/the_naked_shorting_scam_in_numbers_part_deux_up/
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
One, these ETFs can help hide the SI% on GME, but also, they can be used to spread FTDs across multiple securities which prevents GME from being labeled a threshold security, which would severely limit the daily fuckery that market makers are able to inflict on GME price action.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
II. Hiding shorts in derivatives (options, futures, swaps)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/np433524pth71.png?width=4032&format=png&auto=webp&s=0e0d52f24582fb21bca20a9b37c40a0aa7733477)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Another visualization by u/broccaaa, wow look at those puts! Unfuckingreal
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1675234>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Sourced from the academic paper linked above:
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
"Equity options market makers currently enjoy an exception from SEC Regulation SHO, which requires short sellers to borrow or locate stock. This exception exists so that options market makers can hedge positions and maintain liquidity. When the market making is bona fide, naked short selling is permitted. Options market makers, however, still must locate and deliver shares within 13 days [(or sometimes 35 days)] in securities that have significant failures to deliver (FTDs), also called *threshold securities.*
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
"In a married put, a short seller purchases put options from an options market maker who then [naked] shorts the same amount of stock back to the short seller as a hedge. If the stock sold is not a threshold security, then the options market maker may fail and never deliver."
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
While Bona-fide Market Maker's married puts can also be used to help hide SI% just like shorting the ETFs, these can also be used to bypass locate requirements in shares that are NOT threshold securities. As long as GME is not a threshold security, they can continue to naked short at their own discretion. As long as market makers can naked short, they can roll FTDs indefinitely.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
As well for some discussion about futures & swaps affecting GME, see [u/Criand](https://www.reddit.com/u/Criand/) 's DD if you have not already: <https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p37osl/are_futures_or_swaps_the_secret_sauce_to_price/>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
III. SROs are not labeling certain securities as threshold securities, despite meeting the FTD criteria across the previous 5-day trading period.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
According to FINRA rule 4320,
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://www.finra.org/rules-guidance/rulebooks/finra-rules/4320>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
"If a participant of a registered clearing agency has a fail to deliver position at a registered clearing agency for thirty-five consecutive settlement days in a non-reporting threshold security that was sold pursuant to SEC Rule 144, the participant shall immediately thereafter close out the fail to deliver position in the security by purchasing securities of like kind and quantity."
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
"If a participant of a registered clearing agency has a fail to deliver position at a registered clearing agency in a non-reporting threshold security for 13 consecutive settlement days (or 35 consecutive settlement days if entitled to), the participant and any broker or dealer for which it clears transactions, including any market maker that would otherwise be entitled to rely on the exception provided in paragraph (b)(2)(iii) of Rule 203 of SEC Regulation SHO, may not accept a short sale order in the non-reporting threshold security from another person, or effect a short sale in the non-reporting threshold security for its own account, without borrowing the security or entering into a bona-fide arrangement to borrow the security, until the participant closes out the fail to deliver position by purchasing securities of like kind and quantity and that purchase has cleared and settled at a registered clearing agency."
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Too ape cant read: SHFs & MMs have to settle shorts within either 13 or 35 consecutive settlement days for threshold securities. SEC Reg SHO prevents new short sales without closing FTDs UNLESS (and that's a BIG unless) there is an exception for bona-fide market making (often bona-fide fulfills what's called a pre-borrow requirement. we'll get to that.) 🤡. Bona-fide market makers cannot (legally) naked short threshold securities without closing existing FTDs, but let's have a look at what pre-borrowing looks like for a non-threshold security:
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
3\. How staying off the threshold securities list benefits SHFs, MMs, and share lenders
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
How do HFs pre-borrow shares to make a short sale? Check it out on Interactive Broker's guide to short stock buy-ins and close-outs (*hint hint* there isn't a lot of closing out happening): <https://ibkr.info/node/845>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
"*Short Sale Settlement* - Prior to executing the short sale, the broker must make a good faith determination that shares will likely be available to borrow when needed and this is accomplished by verifying their current availability [I have a bit of speculation about this below]. Note that, absent a pre-borrow arrangement, there is no assurance that shares available to borrow on the date of trade will remain available to borrow 2 days later and the short sale may be subject to forced close-out if the shares are no longer available to borrow."
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
🙏 Me praying that the hedgies will return the GME shares they borrowed with all my good faith 🙏
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://iborrowdesk.com/>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
For those who do or don't know about this website, it keeps track of "Interactive Brokers stock loan availability". People used to post screenshots of this site all the time to suggest that shares available have gone down so hedgies are going to short the stock with these shares. Now, while borrowed shares can be used short the stock, they can also be used to temporarily cover FTDs. I'm not suggesting the creator of this site is cooking the numbers, the numbers on this site are pulled directly from Interactive Brokers Stock Loan Availability Database: <https://ibkr.info/article/2024>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
So, as a stock lender, IBKR profits from the lending of shares. They have a Pre-Borrow Program where they charge a commission per pre-borrow transaction. Since they make money from these transactions (a daily % fee), they benefit from loaning out as many shares as possible to reap the most profit. IBKR does not only lend its own shares, they actively reach out to other lenders to lend THEIR shares as well for more $$$. So, as long as there is good faith that shares will be likely to be available to borrow when needed by verifying their current availability (aka *poof* more shares just appeared on iborrowdesk, how does that keep happening???), then bona-fide market makers can continue to naked short the stock, thus providing an increasing supply for lenders to lend out to become rehypothecated short shorts that they can make daily % fees from.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Maybe this is why the current borrow rate listed here for GME is so low, since it is no longer a threshold security and can be naked shorted by bona fide market makers. This makes shares easy to "locate" and lend out endlessly, so the % fee is low. This is speculation because I cannot prove it, but the incentives are clearly laid out.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
"*Loan Recall* - Once a short sale has settled (i.e., stock has been borrowed and used to deliver the sales sold short to the buyer), the lender of the shares reserves the right to request their return at any time. Should a recall occur, IBKR will attempt to replace the previously borrowed shares with those from another lender. If shares cannot be borrowed, the lender reserves the right to issue a formal recall which allows for a buy-in to take place 2 business days after issuance in the event IBKR doesn't return the recalled stock. While the issuance of this formal recall provides the lender the option to buy-in, the proportion of recall notices that actually result in a buy-in are low (typically due to IBKR's ability to source shares elsewhere). Given the volume of formal recalls which we receive but are not later acted upon, IBKR does not provide clients with advance warning of these recall notices."
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Holy fucking shit. So these buy-in requests to return shares happen with a regular frequency, but are so barely enforced ("the proportion of recall notices that actually result in a buy-in are low"!!!) that IBKR does not even WARN its clients of said recall notice.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Why are they confessing?](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c14vfq3jqpo)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
"*Failures to deliver* - In the case of US stocks, brokers are obligated to attend to the fail position by no later than the start of regular trading hours on the following settlement day. This can be accomplished through securities purchases or borrowing; however, in the event that available stock borrow transactions prove insufficient to satisfy the delivery obligation, IBKR will close-out clients holding short positions using a volume weighted average price (VWAP) order scheduled to run over the entire trading day. It is possible that under certain circumstances, due to limited liquidity in the market, that the buy-in order may not be executed or may be only partially executed."
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
I feel like I've read some DD about the VWAP order type showing up for GME? I wish I had more to say about it specifically, but if anyone with a wrinkle can link some DD or provide some insight as to whether these order types are showing up for GME, I can add more to this section here.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Either way, it is important to mention that IBKR attempts to obligate the failure to deliver position by BORROWING securities first, not necessarily purchasing securities unless it has to through a market order (VWAP).
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Well. I'm suffering enough after reading all these documents. I think that's enough for today.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Summary and extra TLDR: In essence, I believe that GME is actively being kept from the NYSE threshold security list through various market mechanisms, and this is because the threshold security list puts several restrictions on bona-fide market making activity such as naked shorting and not closing out FTDs according to SEC Reg SHO settlement timelines.
|
||||||
@ -0,0 +1,448 @@
|
|||||||
|
DARKPOOL use by TOP 4 BANKS INCREASED 38.2 % in Q1 2021. Credit Default Swaps are up 3,437 %. $ 168,217,422,000,000 TRILLION IN UNREALIZED LOSSES IN DERIVATIVES ALONE NOT INCLUDING Naked Shorts, Synthetic Shares, FTD's & MORE! CBO Admits, inflation and GDP to "surpass its maximum sustainable...
|
||||||
|
=======================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
| Author | Source |
|
||||||
|
| :-------------: |:-------------:|
|
||||||
|
| [u/bossblunts](https://www.reddit.com/user/bossblunts/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/DDintoGME/comments/p26bni/darkpool_use_by_top_4_banks_increased_382_in_q1/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share) |
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[𝗗𝗶𝘀𝗰𝘂𝘀𝘀𝗶𝗼𝗻](https://www.reddit.com/r/DDintoGME/search?q=flair_name%3A%22%F0%9D%97%97%F0%9D%97%B6%F0%9D%98%80%F0%9D%97%B0%F0%9D%98%82%F0%9D%98%80%F0%9D%98%80%F0%9D%97%B6%F0%9D%97%BC%F0%9D%97%BB%22&restrict_sr=1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Part 1 of 7
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
This began as an investigation into the correlations from 2008, 2011, 2013 and 2021 stock market crashed and debt ceiling issues.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
It turned into my biggest nightmare and there's no good outcome. Buy Calls on my therapist... $65 strike price...
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
*** This is correction to the title as it should say "Dark Pool Use By Top 4 BANK NOW 61.8 %" for full transparency, but can't edit ***
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
As of 8/1/21 we are entering a new debt ceiling crisis with congress on a 6 week vacation, combined with an expired rent moratorium where 6.2 million renters face evictions, the homeowners of said tenant's houses will likely never receive back-pay for rent owed possibly causing record high bankruptcies akin to 2008 or worse, and without taking this into account, CBO projects a federal budget deficit of $3.0 trillion this year as the economic disruption caused by the 2020--2021 coronavirus pandemic, while the legislation enacted in response continue to boost the deficit (which was large by historical standards even before the pandemic).
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
In August 2011, during the debt ceiling crisis, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) projected that the federal budget would show a deficit of close to $1.5 trillion, or 9.8 percent of GDP.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
That is nearly 1 percentage point higher than the shortfall recorded in 2010 and almost equal to the deficit posted in 2009, which at 10.0 % of GDP was the highest in nearly 65 years at the time.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
At 13.4 % of gross domestic product (GDP), the deficit in 2021 would be the second largest since 1945, exceeded only by the 14.9 % shortfall recorded in 2020.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
For the period of economic expansion from the second quarter of 2009 through the fourth quarter of 2019, real GDP increased at an annual rate of 2.3 %.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
For the period of economic expansion from the second quarter of 2020 through the first quarter of 2021, real GDP increased at an annual rate of 14.1 %, which in my opinion and as shown below by these reports is due almost entirely to the insanely high level of newly printed money and covid stimulus payments, making it completely artificial, in my opinion w/ proof below**.**
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://www.cbo.gov/publication/21999>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
The CBO estimates from 2011 would be heaven compared to the reality we're facing, which is a crippled economy and stock market on the verge of collapse. Evidence below;
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
In 2011 CBO projected the 3 month Treasury bill to be worth 4.4% in 2021.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
The actual 3 month Treasury bill rate for July 2021 is worth between 0.01 and 0.06%.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
In 2011 the projected 10 year Treasury note bill rate was projected to be 5.4% for 2021
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
The actual 10 year Treasury note bill rate is 1.24% In July 2021
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://www.cbo.gov/sites/default/files/112th-congress-2011-2012/reports/year-yearforecast110125.xls>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
...
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Part 2 of 7
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
7/29/2021
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Report Released by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Beureau of Economic Analysis, on the Gross Domestic Product, Second Quarter 2021
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
A report by the Beureau of Economic Analysis, BEA, shows that the 2nd quarter of 2021 has been a bloodbath in terms of loss of income, savings, and increased expenses for the average American.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Personal Income: "Current-dollar personal income decreased $1.32 trillion in the second quarter, or 22.0 percent, in contrast to an increase of $2.33 trillion (revised), or 56.8 percent, in the first quarter of 2021."
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Disposable personal income decreased $1.42 trillion, or 26.1 percent, in the second quarter, in contrast to an increase of $2.27 trillion, or 63.7 percent (revised), in the first quarter. - Again all fake gains thru the stimmy.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Real disposable personal income decreased 30.6 percent in Q2, in contrast to an increase of 57.6 percent in Q1. - Again Trump & Biden Bucks.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
"Disposable" means that (money considered as non-essential... 🙄) decreased by over $890 billion for Americans in Q2 of 2021 alone.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
AT THE SAME TIME, Personal outlays (expenses) increased $680.8 billion in Q2, *after already having increased* $538.8 billion in Q1.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
- This means that expenses have increased by $150+ Billion in average from Q1 2021 to Q2 2021 for Americans! Can you say hyper-inflation?
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Personal savings was $1.97 trillion in the second quarter, compared with $4.07 trillion in the first quarter of 2021
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
The personal saving rate---personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income---was DOWN 10.9 % in the second quarter, which was *already DOWN* 20.8 % in the first quarter.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
This means Americans have lost $2+ TRILLION in savings, Q2 2021 ALONE.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Where does it go? Banks and lenders?
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Inflation seems to be the only thing that's going up this quarter.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
"The price index for gross domestic purchases increased 5.7 percent in the second quarter, compared with an increase of 3.9 percent (revised) in the first quarter... The PCE price index increased 6.4 percent, compared with an increase of 3.8 percent in the 1st quarter.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://www.bea.gov/news/2021/gross-domestic-product-second-quarter-2021-advance-estimate-and-annual-update>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
The acceleration in real GDP growth reflects artificial economic strength.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
5/1/2021 - Report Released by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis, on GDP and the Economy for Q1 2021 (currently the most recent)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
**"**The GDP is primarily based in the continued economic recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic as government assistance payments were distributed to households and businesses. An acceleration in consumer spending and upturns in federal as well as state and local government spending more than accounted for the acceleration in real GDP.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
These were partly offset by downturns in private inventory investment and exports and by decelerations in residential fixed investment and nonresidential fixed investment. Imports slowed."
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
The US Economy by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis says;
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
"The acceleration in consumer spending reflected an upturn in spending on goods and an acceleration in spending on services.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Within goods, all components of both durable and nondurable goods contributed to the upturn. The leading contributors were upturns in spending on motor vehicles and parts as well as on food and beverages purchased for off-premises consumption.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Within services, the leading contributors to the acceleration were upturns in spending on food services and accommodations and on transportation services.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
An upturn in federal government spending was the second largest contributor to the acceleration in real GDP. The upturn primarily reflected an upturn in nondefense spending on intermediate goods and services purchased by government. In the first quarter, the processing and administration of Paycheck Protection Program loan applications by banks on behalf of the federal government added approximately $13.2 billion ($52.6 billion at an annual rate) to nondefense services. Federal government purchases of COVID-19 vaccines for distribution to the public contributed to the upturn in nondefense goods.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
The upturn in state and local government spending reflected an upturn in consumption expenditures, led by *compensation of employees*, that was partly offset by a downturn in gross investment, led by a downturn in structures.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
The downturn in private inventory investment was led by a larger decrease in retail trade and a downturn in manufacturing. Within retail trade, the largest contributor was a larger decrease in inventory investment by motor vehicle dealers. Within manufacturing, there were downturns in both durable and nondurable goods manufacturing inventory investment.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
The downturn in exports reflected downturns in both goods (led by a deceleration in industrial supplies and a downturn in foods, feeds, and beverages) and services (led by a deceleration in transport and a downturn in royalties and license fees).
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Residential fixed investment slowed, largely reflecting a slowdown in new residential structures, notably single-family units, and a downturn in brokers' commissions.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Nonresidential fixed investment slowed, reflecting a slowdown in investment in equipment that was partly offset by a smaller decrease in investment in structures. Investment in intellectual property products grew at about the same rate as in the fourth quarter.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
The slowdown in equipment investment was more than accounted for by a slowdown in transportation equipment that was partly offset by an acceleration in information processing equipment.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Imports slowed. As a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, imports contributed to the acceleration in first-quarter GDP. The main contributor was a downturn in automotive vehicles, engines, and parts." -end quote
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Can you say they're taking our jobs overseas? Reducing lending to home buyers because there are no home buyers qualified looking to buy BECAUSE OF THEIR CURRENT FINANCIAL STATE OF SAVINGS $$ ? Many people spent a lot of their stimulus on cars and food, and now all of that artificial growth is gone reflected by the downturn in imports and exports which are directly correlated to the lack of funds in American's bank accounts.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
They NEED COVID spending to prop up the GDP, the market, the USD and it's too far gone.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Without COVID one could think they may have already defaulted previously, as an after-thought.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
P.S. I'm not anti-vax or anything like that.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://apps.bea.gov/scb/2021/05-may/0521-gdp-economy.htm>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
...
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Part 3 of 7
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
July 21, 2021 - CBO released report:
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
"Additional Information About the Updated Budget and Economic Outlook: 2021 to 2031"
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
"As the pandemic eases and demand for consumer services surges, real (inflation-adjusted) GDP in CBO's projections grows by 7.4 percent this year and surpasses its potential (maximum sustainable) level by the end of the year."
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
A market crash is insinuated by CBO and they directly state that the GDP of this nation surpassing maximum sustainability, if the pandemic doesn't ease up and consumers start spending more on services again.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
But American's can't spend more on services because of low savings $ the likes of which hasn't been seen in many years!!
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
And we all know Delta variant numbers are up as of today, even for certain famous vaccinated individuals in the news right now.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://www.cbo.gov/publication/57263>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Meanwhile, CBO claims unemployment will decrease....
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
"Employment grows quickly in the second half of 2021 in CBO's projections and surpasses its prepandemic level in mid-2022. Inflation rises in 2021 to its highest rate since 2008 as increases in the supply of goods and services lag behind increases in the demand for them. By 2022, supply adjusts more quickly, and inflation falls but remains above its prepandemic rate through 2025. As the economy continues to expand over the forecast period, the interest rate on 10-year Treasury notes rises, reaching 2.7 percent in 2025 and 3.5 percent in 2031---still low by historical standards."
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
But unemployment hasn't decreased at all lately.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
7/21/2021 - U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released report states, "The national unemployment rate, 5.9 percent, was little changed over the month."
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
- Nine states have an unemployment rate of over 7% and in several states is as high as 7.9 % as of 8/4/21.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://www.bls.gov/opub/ted/2021/unemployment-rates-lower-in-49-states-and-dc-from-june-2020-to-june-2021.htm>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
...
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Part 4 of 7
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
The Debt Ceiling Dilemma
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
"A two-year deal to suspend the debt ceiling lapsed at midnight (7/31/21) following inaction from Congress and President Biden to give the U.S. more borrowing authority. The Treasury Department will now begin taking what it refers to as "extraordinary measures" to prevent the U.S. from defaulting on its debt."
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
"Republican leaders have told Democrats that there can be no bipartisan debt ceiling agreement without a slate of debt reduction measures targeting the roughly $28 trillion national debt. Several GOP lawmakers have floated a deal similar to the 2011 Budget Control Act, which ended a debt ceiling standoff shortly before the U.S. suffered its first ever credit downgrade."
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
"Democrats, however, argue that tying a debt ceiling increase to any controversial legislation is akin to holding the financial system hostage. Without help from Republicans, Democrats would have to approve a debt ceiling hike through a budget reconciliation measure, which only needs a simple majority to pass in each chamber but would require support from all 50 Senate"
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
- Do you think all 50 Democrats are going to agree ????
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
IN JUNE, CBO estimated that Congress likely had until October or November before the Treasury Department exhausts its extraordinary measures and the ability to pay government bills on time.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Back in June, the estimate was Oct or Nov....
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
In the most recent July 21, 2021 report, both CBO and Treasury have "warned that the U.S. could be on the verge of default soon after lawmakers return" from a planned summer recess in September, when they will face a time crunch on passing legislation to avoid a government shutdown on Oct. 1.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
CBO says, "the Treasury would probably run out of cash sometime in the first quarter of the next fiscal year (which begins on October 1, 2021, most likely in October or November, the Congressional Budget Office estimates. If that occurred, the government would be unable to pay its obligations fully, and it would delay making payments for its activities, default on its debt obligations, or both."
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
The timing and size of revenue collections and outlays over the coming months could differ noticeably from CBO's projections. Therefore, the extraordinary measures could be exhausted, and the Treasury could run out of cash, either earlier or later than CBO projects.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Yellen has also said, "uncertainty driven by the coronavirus pandemic and the federal government's fiscal response has made it harder to pin down exactly how long the U.S. to avoid a default."
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Yellen states, the US could run out of money using "extraordinary measures" by September, "soon after Congress returns from recess", which means the USA could possibly default on it's debt for the first time in history.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
This means we could see the US Treasury's ability to pay almost all bills completely crippled well before or after Congress' return to duty as they just began a 6 week vacation on 7/31/21.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
8/3/2021
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Only 6% of all money provided by the US Government for rent relief has been sent out to Americans as of 8/3/2021.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
-If the gov't shuts down, how will the rest be sent, and it's moving at a snails pace already. How long can you afford to pay your tenant's rent (your mortgage) and your own home's mortgage before you go bankrupt?
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
8/3/2021
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Biden makes national TV statement that the eviction moratorium will be extended until expiration date of October 3rd, 2021. This is according to many illegal, and unconstitutional, because the CDC isn't a regulatory body.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Addendum: 8/4/21
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Bought my home in January for asking price. I went to my local non-major bank to open new accounts today to close out my BofA accounts. They offered me a line of credit for $50k without having to fill out any additional paperwork. I spent 1.5 hours talking with the Bank Manager and Head Banker today who told me, "The entire housing market changed starting August. There was 0 showings in town this weekend." And I realized at that moment, the house kiddie korner to me has been for sale for 2-3 months now. The first weekend there were dozens of cars to see it. Then each weekend less. Two weeks ago, I saw 1 family view the home. This past weekend I was home Fri-Sun and no one came to see the house.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Damn...
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
----
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Part 5 of 7
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
8/10/2021: United States Senate passes infrastructure bill, but will need to be voted on by Congress when they return September 20, 2021. All 50 Democrats need to agree to pass. Republicans leader strongly oppose as of this writing.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
The end of the fiscal year is the last day of September, and this could possibly cause a government shutdown as of 12:00 AM Eastern on October 1st, 2021.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/fvivupgttng71.jpg?width=1371&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=4596100b3afdcf85901c414318e446f5c90fbc7a)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
2021 Congressional Calendar - White colored box days are in-recess (vacation days)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://thehill.com/policy/finance/565745-missed-debt-ceiling-deadline-kicks-off-high-stakes-fight>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.latimes.com/opinion/story/2021-07-29/the-federal-debt-limit-political-drama%3f_amp=true>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/communication/Signed-CDC-Eviction-Order.pdf>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://www.cnbc.com/2021/08/03/why-tenants-are-still-struggling-despite-46-billion-dollars-in-rental-relief.html>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://bgrdc.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/2021-Combined-Congressional-Calendar-BGR.pdf>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Our GDP is a complete farce that was being held up by stimulus payments, government covid spending, Repurchase/Reverse Repurchase Agreements of Treasury Bills to the tune of now over $1 Trillion per day, imports and exports are down huge while sea ports are more severely congested than ever before as are airline cargo carriers. Mortgage applications, sales, and broker commissions are down heavily, trucking rates are at all time highs with minimal availability especially for ocean and rail drayage, warehouse storage for said freight is at maximum capacity with available space at all time lows & prices at all time highs due to supply and demand, retail trade and manufacturing are down significantly in Q2. Consumer spending is down as well as savings to lows not seen in many years.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Essentially the bubble from stimulus has already been popped. It's only a short matter of time before we see the effects on our country, and it will be reflected on the stock market and American's bank accounts first and foremost, as it is already being seen by the banks unwillingness to invest in long term stocks/bonds/treasuries using the record high $1 Trillion per day Repurchase / Reverse Program to prevent the dollar and market from collapsing together.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/RRPONTSYD>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
A 2015 report from the Government Accountability Office analyzing the 2013 debt ceiling standoff found that "investors reported taking the unprecedented action of systematically avoiding certain *Treasury securities*," which are considered almost as safe as cash, causing widespread issues across credit markets.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
"Industry groups emphasized that even a temporary delay in payment could undermine confidence in the full faith and credit of the United States and therefore cause significant damage to markets for Treasury securities and other assets," the report said.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
The last 2 times the debt ceiling crisis occurred in 2011 and 2013, rating agencies re-evaluated the rating of US government debt.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
On October 15 2013, Fitch Ratings placed the United States under a "Rating watch negative" in response to the crisis.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
On October 17 2013, Dagong Global Credit Rating downgraded the United States from A to A-, and maintained a negative outlook on the country's credit.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
In 2013 while lawmakers and the Obama Administration came to an agreement on the debt ceiling, from September 19th to October 9th, the S&P 500 moved below its 50 day moving average and the SPY lost 5.2%.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
On 8/9/2011, during the Debt Ceiling Crisis The Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged 634.76 points as approximately $2.5 TRILLION was erased from global equities.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
$ 2,500,000,000,000.00 in *1 day***.**
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
The S&P 500 Index lost 6.7 percent to 1,119.46, its lowest level since September, as all 500 stocks fell for the first time since Bloomberg began tracking the data in 1996.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
...
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Part 6 of 7
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
7/30/21 -Federal Reserve announced commercial bank asset and LIABILITY numbers release H8
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
The Liabilities have grown big time since last year.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Federal Reserve released COMMERCIAL BANK ASSET & LIABILITIES numbers for July 2021 show year over year losses have increased tremendously in the 100's of trillions of dollars, a large majority of this is based on derivatives, options calls/puts, mortgage back securities, swaps of all kinds, rehypothecated shares, naked shorts, synthetic shares up the ass...
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Naked and Synthetic shorts are NEVER REPORTED until hedge funds and market makers need to buy them back via a squeeze or NFT token dividend, or cash dividend !!!!
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
See screenshot for explanation of subsection 22 losses description w/ yellow markings.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h8/current/>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
All of the 11 Tables provided shows an increase of losses.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
The only table pictured is TABLE 2 showing an increase of $15,687,000,000 Trillion in UNREALIZED LOSSES IN derivatives, securities, swaps, etc...$ 15,687,000,000 in 1 year only Table 2 of 11....
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
On Table 2 (of 11) alone, their *RESIDUAL Assets* (less liabilities) <*minus expenses*> increased only $40 Billion compared to the $1.54 Trillion increase in losses. Other assets have grown at a much lower rate than the percentage gain of losses, as well.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
So even though they had huge increases in revenue (covid stimulus), the net gain was hugely diminished by the losses in these sectors.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
6/28/2021
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Office of the Comptroller of the Currency released report stated,
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
> "4 large banks held 89 percent of the total banking industry notional amount of derivatives, out of a total of 1,385 insured U.S. commercial banks and savings associations," that held derivatives at the end of first quarter 2021.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
JP Morgan, Bank of America, Citibank, and Goldman Sachs.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
OCC also said;
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
"Additionally, derivatives contracts remained concentrated in interest rate products, which represented 72.7 percent of total derivative notional amounts.The percentage of centrally cleared derivatives transactions increased quarter-over-quarter to 38.2 percent in first quarter 2021."
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
THIS MEANS 61.8 % OF ALL THEIR VOLUME IS BEING TRADED ON FUCKING DARK POOLS !
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
YOU SONS OF A...
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[Viewpoint.com](https://viewpoint.com/) says,
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
> "Centrally-cleared derivatives are negotiated between the counterparties but contain standardized terms and are traded through a central clearing house. ... As a result, derivatives have increasingly been executed through clearing houses rather than transacted bilaterally in an OTC market. Nov 30, 2020"
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
DARK POOLS: A WHORE HOUSE WHERE CONTRACTS ARE BOUGHT AND SOLD FOR ANY PRICE THEY CHOOSE WHILE MINIMALLY IMPACTING THE SHARE PRICE
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/dy5erfjfbtg71.png?width=585&format=png&auto=webp&s=001a5c486a765a83ab56c1c5440891b3cfc36a69)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://viewpoint.pwc.com/dt/us/en/pwc/accounting_guides/derivatives_and_hedg/derivatives_and_hedg_US/chapter_1_introducti_US/13_derivative_catego_US/132_centrallycleared_US.html>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
----
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Office of the Comptroller of Currency: 1st Quarter 2021 Report on Bank Trading and Derivatives Activities
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/i7qf9np7ung71.jpg?width=838&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=776cee5d9b5f7251f861bc823cc4e6e8f960c675)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
This means Revenue from Credit Swaps are UP 1,603 % for Holding Companies, Oxford says,
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
> "a company created to buy and possess the shares of other companies, which it then controls."
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
and Revenue from Interest bearing funds are DOWN -115 %
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
&
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
- For US Commercial Banks & Savings Associations, Oxford's definition;
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
> " an organization like a bank that *lends money to people who want to buy a house.* People also save money with a savings and loan association. ".
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Revenue from Credit Default Swaps was up 3437 %
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/12f9ig4aung71.jpg?width=909&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=83821bd4666bdeb697523e8268006ca9d86620e5)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
2021 Q1 OCC REPORT
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
While Interest revenues were down again almost 101% - about $ 4.985 Trillion.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://www.occ.gov/publications-and-resources/publications/quarterly-report-on-bank-trading-and-derivatives-activities/index-quarterly-report-on-bank-trading-and-derivatives-activities.html>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Following up on the GROSS POSITIVE & NEGATIVE FAIR VALUES
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Investopedia says,
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
> "Gross negative fair value represents the maximum amount that would be lost by all counterparties if the bank defaulted; it is further assumed that bilateral contracts are not netted and that the other parties do not have claims on the bank's assets. "
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/7mpc49mdung71.jpg?width=847&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=53640be02b6dd756ad8adbc37f14f17d89802192)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Looks pretty fucking negative to me...
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
$189,000,000,000,000 -TRILLION
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
is the total derivatives liabilities without taking into account for naked shorts and synthetic shares as well as shorts marked long that need to be covered which would revert the "asset" into a "liability" A.K.A. COOKING THE FUCKING BOOKS!!!
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/25f2t9xgung71.jpg?width=1265&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=2402ea9e12fe11bd4cea364896634e6b2b0bc375)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
📷 $ 168,217,422,000 📷
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
is owed by [#jpmorganchase](https://twitter.com/hashtag/jpmorganchase?src=hashtag_click) [#wellsfargo](https://twitter.com/hashtag/wellsfargo?src=hashtag_click) [#goldmansachs](https://twitter.com/hashtag/goldmansachs?src=hashtag_click) [#citigroup](https://twitter.com/hashtag/citigroup?src=hashtag_click) only in Derivatives Liabilities but again,
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
** NOT INCLUDUING naked shorts, synthetic shares, & hidden Failure to Deliver's, as well as "shorts" marked as "long" positions. **
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/47ldtkyjung71.jpg?width=1027&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=e22f4751019dccfeeb6b16362b4895a85a07fb72)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Assets and Liabilities of Commercial Banks in the United States - H.8
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Release Date: August 6, 2021
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Table 2. Assets and Liabilities of Commercial Banks in the United States [1](https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h8/current/#f1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Seasonally adjusted, billions of dollars.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
This is in my excel please see side notes on Column "O"
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/xwxziv7pung71.jpg?width=981&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b7b60f9a10bfc1ff4bcbd521ac8d8fba5b94e0ff)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
PROPERTY OF MARCEL KALINOVIC A.K.A. BOSSBLUNTS
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
WOW... Moving on.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
The above quotes and numbers are directly from these reports by the Federal Reserve, CBO, US Bureau of Labor & Statistics, Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, Dept of Labor, Congressional Budget Office, and U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
----
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Part 7 of 7
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
8/10/2021
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Sadly, many Americans will lose their homes, businesses, savings, 401ks, likely more so than in 2008.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Could this lead to the collapse of the dollar if the government defaults on it's debt for the first time, possibly the collapse or rise of crypto, war with China, issues with the middle east, blackrock and corporation takeover of land and housing...
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
I don't know what will happen but if you find this information valuable, please share. I think liquidity will dry up to the point where market makers, broker dealers, prime brokers, hedge funds, and banks aren't going to be able to cover their liabilities, and the DTCC, NSCC, SEC, and FINRA have been enacting hundreds of new filings over the last few months because their $100 Trillion dollar insurance policy could potentially be hit hard.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/xrf9o4srung71.jpg?width=1600&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=6895a6c8c241900dcf932f4d919e731db6e83408)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
GURBIER S. GREWAL - FORMER HEAD PROSECUTOR FOR STATE OF NEW JERSEY. THIS MAN IS THE BEST AT PROSECUTING WHITE COLLAR CRIMES.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
----
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
On 8/5/2021 Jackson Hunter had me on his Youtube Channel, You can view the first video here;
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Video Follow Up Guide: The Future of the Economy and AMC + GME: <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ioh2FgIGTnk&t=4229s>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
- Thank you so MUCH [u/jhuntermav](https://www.reddit.com/u/jhuntermav/) for hosting me on your Youtube channel, and for sharing with our fellow Americans.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
- Please watch this video regarding the state of our economy and guide to the above findings and reports as well as my opinions on the Mother of All Short Squeezes;
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Youtube: JACKSONHUNTER
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Sorry my mic started cutting* out in that 5 minute section.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
On 8/7/2021 Jackson Hunter was awesome enough to have me back for a Part 2;
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Video PART 2: The Future of our Economy and AMC + GME PART 2
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
LINK: <https://t.co/7lGUFy4ZNO>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
- Many hedge funds, market makers, major banks are going to be completely bankrupt, and so is the American Dream as we know it, for those not properly investing, MOASS implications.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
On 8/8/2021 Dave's Daily Trades was kind enough to discuss recent developments on his Youtube channel, released 8/9/21;
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
YouTube: DavesDailyTrades
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
AMC & GME - The future of our economy w/BossBlunts
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Video 3 LINK: <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zm1Roi7qPxI&t=55s>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
----
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Gary Gensler, please make that whistleblower check out to "*Marcel D. Kalinovic*".
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Thank you.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
-Lastly, a poem , SAY IT LOUD AND PROUD IF YOU'RE AN APE !!!
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
I ain't sellin' till they fire Janet Yellin
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
I'm holdin' until Citadel foldin'
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
I ain't through until they liquidate point 72
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
I'll keep on goin' until they jail Steve Cohen
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
I'll not get rid, until the SEC finds the FTD's they've hid
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
I'll not sell til I reach my floor, until then, the world must know that our governments are bought and paid for
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Until that price is rippin', I'll know there's still a lifeline for Kenny Griffin
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
I'll be staying long until they admit the price is wrong
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
I won't liquidate until the SEC stops using work time to masturbate
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
I'll not make a toast until I receive a flying bed post
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
And when it's all done and I'm rewarded for having waited, I'll use my tendies to make Chicago sophisticated
|
||||||
@ -26,6 +26,7 @@ This repository of GME-related content and relevant information serves two prima
|
|||||||
| Resource | [Library of DD, Art Books, and Periodicals](https://fliphtml5.com/bookcase/kosyg) | [u/zedinstead](https://www.reddit.com/user/zedinstead/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/oz6g75/superstonk_library_of_dd_art_books_and/) |
|
| Resource | [Library of DD, Art Books, and Periodicals](https://fliphtml5.com/bookcase/kosyg) | [u/zedinstead](https://www.reddit.com/user/zedinstead/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/oz6g75/superstonk_library_of_dd_art_books_and/) |
|
||||||
| Resource | Tools of the Trade - Pinception | [u/Pin-ception](https://www.reddit.com/user/Pin-ception/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p1q4kv/tools_of_the_trade_pinception/) |
|
| Resource | Tools of the Trade - Pinception | [u/Pin-ception](https://www.reddit.com/user/Pin-ception/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p1q4kv/tools_of_the_trade_pinception/) |
|
||||||
| Resource | A Non-Exhaustive New User Intro to GME | [u/jsmar18](https://www.reddit.com/user/jsmar18/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p4aa7o/a_nonexhaustive_new_user_intro_to_gme_pinception/) |
|
| Resource | A Non-Exhaustive New User Intro to GME | [u/jsmar18](https://www.reddit.com/user/jsmar18/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p4aa7o/a_nonexhaustive_new_user_intro_to_gme_pinception/) |
|
||||||
|
| Data | Current vs Previous Run-Up | [u/isnisse](https://www.reddit.com/user/isnisse/) | [Reddit](https://github.com/verymeticulous/wikAPEdia/tree/main/Data/Current-vs-Previous-Run-Up-by-isnisse) |
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
_Check out the [Must-Read](https://github.com/verymeticulous/wikAPEdia/tree/main/Must-Read) section for more important DD_
|
_Check out the [Must-Read](https://github.com/verymeticulous/wikAPEdia/tree/main/Must-Read) section for more important DD_
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@ -0,0 +1,108 @@
|
|||||||
|
I Figured It Out. The Simplest Answer Is Usually The Right One.
|
||||||
|
===============================================================
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
| Author | Source |
|
||||||
|
| :-------------: |:-------------:|
|
||||||
|
| [u/possibly6](https://www.reddit.com/user/possibly6/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/user/possibly6/) |
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[DD 👨🔬](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22DD%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%94%AC%22&restrict_sr=1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Sup Apes
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Not financial advice in the slightest. I am retarded.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
First and foremost, before I begin, I honestly (if you couldn't tell by the title) think I cracked the code. I'll show you why as you dive into this DD, but the simplicity of it all when you realize it will have you sitting there thinking "wow, I am retarded. How did I not notice this?"
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Without further ado, my one request as is per all [u/possibly6](https://www.reddit.com/u/possibly6/) posts is to play something that fits the vibe. For today, that is this: <https://open.spotify.com/track/49X0LAl6faAusYq02PRAY6?si=2892c25c9beb4a26>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
A preface, I admit that previous analysis has been incorrect. Not all of it, but for the most part the recent GME analysis has not been on point. I own it, and all it does it make me scratch my head looking for data points I may have missed, because I've never encountered something as hard to predict as GME using BASIC (key word) technical analysis. What I've realized is i really need to think outside the box here, and not take the approach I would with a traditional stock.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
In terms of SPY, that's been more or less spot on. Won't be going too in depth on that today, I have so much to say for that as well. But, so far the count has been holding up.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
onto GME. For those that follow my twitter, I tweeted this today:
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[noice?](https://preview.redd.it/ptdjbfmj08f71.png?width=1156&format=png&auto=webp&s=69e68226a08052df79083d1d27d844b543bcd978)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[noice.](https://preview.redd.it/sklyn75o08f71.png?width=1032&format=png&auto=webp&s=8cfec712872d49126af6c85aeb3154f5594005a1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
okay, so what. This is super basic Fibonacci TA. what's so special about it?
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
And this my friends is why I have been incorrect in my previous assertions. I wasn't looking big picture enough. I was analyzing GME like any other ticker I normally would, which don't get me wrong works in the uptrends, but does NOT work to predict the end of a downtrend technically speaking.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
On a super basic level, we can expect a wave 2 to retrace ideally 61.8% of the entire wave 1 move. This would have theoretically put GME at a low of around 203/204. That failed, 78.6% failed, 1:1 of A failed, you get the gist. It had me scratching my head. Was I missing something?
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Nothing is unpredictable or unexplainable, the issue is there are so many ways to predict an outcome, how can you be sure your hypothesis is correct?
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
anyway, I decided after being incorrect in my supposed bottom targets time and time again, I took a step back to see what was really going on.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Now for the analysis so simple you're gonna read it and think to yourself, "wow, how did I not think of that?"
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
I've seen so many "we are here" posts when compared to the previous cycle with no real data to back it up. Well, I present to you, my OCD project. Why GME has been so stagnant and how we can predict a reversal.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
So what did I do? I did what any retard who makes incorrect predictions would do, I counted. day by day. each daily candle. I started from the top of the March FTD cycle as that was the last completed cycle with the slower rip and the longer lasting dip.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[DUH](https://preview.redd.it/5indm7cg68f71.png?width=2012&format=png&auto=webp&s=0cc50c001afd859d46553c2667bcc53ae155b9ac)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
On the surface, first of all I can't believe I haven't seen anyone else take this approach. It's pretty obvious at this point that GME moves cyclically. I won't dwell on t+21 or t+35 whatever, that doesn't really play a role in my analysis. What I can tell you is that we should theoretically have 3-5 more days of stagnation before we begin to move, at least when comparing previous cycles.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Let's dive deeper.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Weekly chart (this is where it really started to click):
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[voila](https://preview.redd.it/yd9vmz8c78f71.png?width=2366&format=png&auto=webp&s=65c1cd482168e90a854ea196c6dc074ed05a77cd)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
take a minute and study the candles. Fuck whatever chart patterns patterns you think you see, that's irrelevant right now. The most basic answer is usually correct.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Okay, so today marked day 39 of stagnation, the last cycle had 43 days of stagnation since the march high before the cycle started to ramp up again. If this theory is correct, we should theoretically see another few days of boring action before really ramping up next week. BUT, we should also, at least if the candle patterns match up, begin to slowly uptrend from here into next week, but don't expect any face ripping quite yet.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Onto the fibs:
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[.854 in blue](https://preview.redd.it/k158nkj588f71.png?width=2486&format=png&auto=webp&s=a5238347eb4ac657c878a8f14f61dd1c91c0abb7)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
this is a daily view, in typical TA, to see if a trend is bullish or bearish , you want to see candles close above/below a significant level to affirm your bias. In this case, we broke below 150.15 today, but closed above. This hasn't always necessarily proved true for GME, but for reference, if you look at the first red candle to touch the .618 level (gold) you'll see it actually closed below, which in hindsight was a que to expect more downside in the future, but I bought there anyway lol.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
From here, if the weekly candles replicate themselves, which so far they have pretty accurately, we can expect a doji candle for the week.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[doji](https://preview.redd.it/k3wklyua98f71.png?width=625&format=png&auto=webp&s=58c7ed76a4bc5d75d2feb822851db07bbf9a9ab5)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[yes](https://preview.redd.it/6h5nektf98f71.png?width=1272&format=png&auto=webp&s=72cf23375b7d5da6a332c6e7bac5884d1a278b94)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
to form this pattern, price will likely break above this weeks high, though settle back down close to this week's opening price of around 162. IE, I predict this week we will close right around 160 if this analysis holds true (ish)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Normally this type of analysis will make you lose a lot of money on normal stocks, as they are not quite cyclical like this, but GME is obviously very far from normal.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Another reason I think today marked a low for the week, besides the bounce off a critical fib, fib time extensions. As we made a new low today within wave 2 (of around 148), the trend is (was) technically still bearish. With fib time extensions, we can often predict the end of a trend. Fib numbers are everywhere. I measured the length of the primary wave 1 (120 ish to 344) to get fib numbers in relation to that time period, visualized:
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[time extensions](https://preview.redd.it/rgr6lo06a8f71.png?width=2814&format=png&auto=webp&s=9d5bed5f4d2de4026d96d2f1f4c7364970d265db)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
You can see at the 50% level (white) this was seemingly the break of the trend, as we made a lower low but began to uptrend. The head fake. obviously we kept dipping, but this also narrows down our turn date targets, next one being, you guessed it, tomorrow (purple .786 level).
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
IT GETS BETTER!
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
The last cycle was a bit more wonky with the length and timing of the upside run, but low and behold, the .786 time extension of the move marked the very lowest of the cycle. this was march earnings.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[purple .786 time extension marked the low of a wave 2 in march](https://preview.redd.it/q14aewvza8f71.png?width=1382&format=png&auto=webp&s=8a97b7beb2fdb75a5803b12f42de7c9882fab4d7)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
I have many more DD's to write but I don't want to compile all the information into this one. In terms of upside targets, I'll just give you one short term one to watch for with today's low because I fucking LOVE how the targets line up.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Within a wave 3, the target for a super bullish wave 1 is a .618 extension of the larger wave 1 move within the overarching 3 (sorry, confusing but here's the visualization)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[.618 in green](https://preview.redd.it/ju1kur75c8f71.png?width=2794&format=png&auto=webp&s=1ee11e5bd0de0223266619355608e54500e4ced5)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Here's why I fucking love this, the target lines up EXACTLY with the gap down we had (green box) on earnings. fucking EXACTLY. Whenever this happens, I'm insanely confident that my count is correct if there is more than one method to predict a possible short term upside target. If you trade gaps, you would arrive at the exact same conclusion as EW, at least for a 1st target for a wave 1 within 3 of 3 of 3.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Anyway, watch for a short term rejection around 290, but I doubt the retrace will be steep, as it wasn't in the previous 2 cycles.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
I think that about covers everything I wanted to talk about. I don't think this week will be particularly exciting unless we get some black swan event, next week though? The fun begins.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
shoutout the shills
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[nice](https://preview.redd.it/tbtir2m5g8f71.png?width=656&format=png&auto=webp&s=db49647e142cb8e5d27976a66364fb113b6a5ad1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
TLDR: just read it, lots of pretty pictures. Tidal wave incoming 🌊
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
edit: forgot to show you my log scale pitchfork, finally tested the lower bound:
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
<https://preview.redd.it/52vjy8gvg8f71.png?width=2642&format=png&auto=webp&s=b806c6ed2bc9a899aae06ef1d08e503412cc4a4f>
|
||||||
@ -0,0 +1,136 @@
|
|||||||
|
Elliott Waves and The GME Cycle, What To Expect Next
|
||||||
|
====================================================
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
| Author | Source |
|
||||||
|
| :-------------: |:-------------:|
|
||||||
|
| [u/possibly6](https://www.reddit.com/user/possibly6/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p2nxcn/elliott_waves_and_the_gme_cycle_what_to_expect/) |
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[DD 👨🔬](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22DD%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%94%AC%22&restrict_sr=1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Sup Apes.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Not financial advice in the slightest as I am retarded.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Elliott Waves guy here with your weekly wave and cycle breakdown, I stumbled upon something pretty interesting that I would like to discuss. Please remember this is all theoretical and I have no fucking clue what is going on, I just analyze trends and look for similarities to try and draft a predictable model. Sorta.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
I try anyway.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
I'm excited for the army of shills this post will attract, so buckle up and let's dive in!
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/73bg6a8k2tg71.png?width=1280&format=png&auto=webp&s=790788fcc33297fdf551ca19d27433076a13aec5)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
dummies only
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Here's your banger for this somewhat lengthy post of nonsense: <https://open.spotify.com/track/3OtMnyUaiipcAT23A8liyi?si=4c3f84f59f274221>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
In my [last post ](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/oxga1k/i_figured_it_out_the_simplest_answer_is_usually/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3)I talked about the similarities of candle structures and overall daily candles of the up and down periods of previous runs. This picture TLDR basically sums it up:
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/78i4k4w8vsg71.png?width=2186&format=png&auto=webp&s=f60e3e26749a9bc8f373cb98ac98c1ad210e98df)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
something something
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Another interesting takeaway was if we look at the weekly candles we can notice similarities of cycles too, pretty clearly honestly.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/zmykqs1nvsg71.png?width=2530&format=png&auto=webp&s=a9885dd51c043dbe37e80aaa1afe3499d639c937)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
something something
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
So far, my theory from last week holds true in that the cycle is ramping up again. However, looking at the may-june run, it seems the first week was boring in comparison to the following, as seems to be the case here as well.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
I posted this on my [twitter](https://twitter.com/gavinmayreal) last night as I was up really late just looking for, well, anything really. It seemed promising until it didn't, but a lead is a lead and I followed it.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
"Comparing the previous cycle to now, the daily candles match up nearly perfectly, I have noticed this happen in previous cycles. May-June cycle early days"
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/iqd61qccwsg71.png?width=830&format=png&auto=webp&s=6b3520c2d2cd65e3f0087df8e8337a32e3317b38)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
may-june
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
I assumed it would follow the same trend as the previous, as the daily candle formations more or less lined up, which theoretically would have made today's price action look like this:
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/zcc6b61iwsg71.png?width=1184&format=png&auto=webp&s=0bbc2add9ed0e12554b60d1e5d01fdcd11bab345)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
f
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Obviously that didn't happen, I'm not gonna dwell on why because that's not really the point. I always like to be aware of previous trends to gauge future trends, the mirroring obviously didn't follow through today and we got this candle:
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/e8rrk10twsg71.png?width=162&format=png&auto=webp&s=1870c6529f0a77218f17f107b6353d8d45d43fd2)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
doh
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
still closed higher than it opened so I guess the similarity is sort of there, though definitely not as strong as I would like it to be to confirm the similarities on a deeper level.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Anyways, onto the future.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Intraday wave counts aren't super helpful with GME cause it doesn't exactly act normal as we all know, but this is what I have for anyone interested:
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/6o45nb4dxsg71.png?width=1648&format=png&auto=webp&s=b4d888b3b57a931eca358bf792a1e4684c96e187)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
primary
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
The alternative being:
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/jua9k6dsxsg71.png?width=1930&format=png&auto=webp&s=c84c10c17ec2546e582527ead032303ee80a8078)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
alt
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
intraday action doesn't matter at all and both counts are valid and possible. I'm gonna be focusing more on comparing the cycles to each other simply by analyzing candle formations because I don't really think the same fib extensions will be hit, rather the general trend will look similar.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
An argument can me made that yesterday or today's candle formation was an anomaly in the data set as they didn't replicate what happened in previous cycles.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
previous cycle startup:
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/ux9nvztnysg71.png?width=614&format=png&auto=webp&s=b12445311f4ad798c69e8794c507e6356d92ebc0)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
m
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
current cycle
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/xnx87g3qysg71.png?width=444&format=png&auto=webp&s=da78e448d66ab29db7403dd3247fe00dc3a7aaf6)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
m
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Let's just imagine that yesterday was an anomaly in that the candle made a higher high than day 3. Today we formed a doji candle similar to day 4 of the last cycle, except today is day 5.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/0k2e2hmyysg71.png?width=550&format=png&auto=webp&s=771ce3f2f81ea6a0fd8a44f71e7a21fd14d0220e)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Dojis
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
The working theory would be that tomorrow would equate to day 5 of the last cycle, which was a bullish engulfing candle that finished the day up around 20 points. Will that happen tomorrow for sure?
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
I have no fucking idea.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
It's just interesting because both cycles formed the same candle pattern, though in this instance the doji is "bullish" instead of "indecisive" (full disclaimer I don't really pay attention to candle patterns when I trade, I couldn't tell you half of the names of candlestick patterns. I just see the similarities)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Enough of the smaller timeframe stuff, let's zoom about a bit and talk about what I'll really be looking for to confirm we're in for a wild ride, as this has happened the past 2 cycles, nearly identical in nature.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/jq528fb30tg71.png?width=2794&format=png&auto=webp&s=5d4400e375d99755901328d3d76c61c9b99527f1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
patterns repeat themselves
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Look closely, in TA speak I guess you could say the price "flagged" for a few days before making the next leg up. Happened in February/march, happened in may/june, I bet it happens again in the coming days.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Basically, watch for a sharp ish (10-20 ish points) price move to the upside followed by some boring stagnation, but holding above current levels of around 160. This would ideally happen in the coming days, if not tomorrow, then some boring sideways shit for the following days.
|
||||||
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|
||||||
|
almost done, if you read this far I hope you learned something useful. I've learned that it helps me gather my thoughts doing these write-ups and I discover a lot of the anomalies in the moment, simply by doing what most don't. I look. deepfuckingcheers to you.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Tying it into Elliott Waves, larger targets have not changed since my last post. I hold my 288 first "extreme" upside level on watch which coincides with our earnings gap down. .618 extension of wave 1 (march-june) is the wave 1 of 5 target of our current wave 3. If this level is hit, this signals an extremely bullish move coming our way, not necessarily solidifying a 1.618 extension, but gives us confirmation to watch for it. Assuming it moves normally then the next level from 288 (assuming we bottom at typical .618 level at 200) would give us a target of 431.88.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
THIS IS ASSUMING GME PERFORMS A NORMAL .618 RETRACE, which is a DEEP correction, similar to what we just endured from our June "selloff" but not of the same magnitude, as this is a subwave of that larger degree, if that makes sense.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
ugly visualization assuming it's normal, which honestly I don't expect but lol may as well put it out there:
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/3gksa55v1tg71.png?width=1972&format=png&auto=webp&s=5c26155dc995e6b0fcefc5728ac59cafdbde29e0)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
zoooooom
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
As always this is simply how I see it, I am excited GME looks to be impulsive again but always expect fuckery and assume I'm wrong. As the trend plays out we can re evaluate and give more precise targets, but this is simply what I see, nothing more.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Thanks for stopping by!
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
hi kenny's interns, make sure to downvote! I know you're all mad about my last post being correct ;)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
TLDR: If the cycle replicates itself the way it has the last 2 times, we can expect a move up of about 10-20 points in the near future, followed by 5 ish days of boring consolidation before really ramping it up. 288 is first major rejection target, but this is all pre squeeze. hodling for 40 milly a share and prison 🚀
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
edit: make sure to dislike citadel's new youtube videos! <https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCiHxT7z8QgMzQ1wja3dyUng>
|
||||||
@ -0,0 +1,146 @@
|
|||||||
|
Elliott Waves, GME, SPY, The Endgame 🚀
|
||||||
|
=======================================
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
| Author | Source |
|
||||||
|
| :-------------: |:-------------:|
|
||||||
|
| [u/possibly6](https://www.reddit.com/user/possibly6/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/GME/comments/p7c2tz/elliott_waves_gme_spy_the_endgame/) |
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[🖥️ Terminal | Data 👨💻](https://www.reddit.com/r/GME/search?q=flair_name%3A%22%F0%9F%96%A5%EF%B8%8F%20Terminal%20%7C%20Data%20%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%92%BB%22&restrict_sr=1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Sup Apes.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Not financial advice, I am retarded.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
fucking auto mod, i've spent the past 20 minutes re posting pictures and trying to beat the censors, but i have no idea what the issue is. decentralized currency starting with a B? does that satisfy you? smh.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
It's currently late as shit, I'm currently on vacation with the fam as my birthday was 8/15 but I wanted to post an update for all you wave fiends.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
To all the haters that say my TA isn't correct, SPY did exactly what I said it would 30 days ago, which has me jacked as FUCK because this lets us forecast more.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Don't lie to yourself and say you're here for the waves, I know you want that good crank. Look no further: <https://open.spotify.com/track/6OufwUcCqo81guU2jAlDVP?si=4fda20dcc7a44574>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
The post is [here](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/onr1bz/elliott_waves_gme_the_sp_500_the_beginning_of_the/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3) if you want to revisit it, but for your convenience I'll copy paste bits of the SPY analysis:
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/a3n5at8eiai71.png?width=2806&format=png&auto=webp&s=755688eb42533cdfb7f64d432e6f492749b73297)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
SPY 1 month ago
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
"If you looked at this and came to the conclusion that there is likely more upside, that is correct. This is because if you look at the minute count (white) you can see today was actually a wave 4. Looking deeper, the minuette count (purple, waves within the white wave 3) you can clearly see the 5 waves up, followed by the ABC down to complete the 4."
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
"If I'm right, I'd expect more green out of SPY from here, to put it bluntly, I see 444, 447, and 460 as final 5 of 5 of 5 of 5 targets. These are spread out as I haven't seen the new trend play out, as it starts to develop we can re evaluate, but these are BASE targets."
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Everyone thought I was insane for saying I saw 440+ at the time, yet here we are. take that TA haters ;)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
As i've said time and time again, EW requires much revisiting and tweaking as structures update every day. As trends develop we can assign more specific targets to specific wave movements, though in the beginning, we just have base targets.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
If this is truly a new trend starting for SPY, we should not reclaim 441 and continue to move to the downside.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/l84jvvciiai71.png?width=2814&format=png&auto=webp&s=055beb93f8fa995088c71c23f4e8bc1e84d77d48)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
SPY pre market
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
okay whatever, what does this mean for GME?
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
My hypothesis has been that the market crash will be a catalyst that acts in our favor. As the market loses value, margin requirements increase, yada yada shorts need more collateral.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
I also want to draw your attention to (decentralized currency starting w bee) quickly, as I believe this can also be used as a sort of precursor. I'm feeling mega 🌈 🐻 but can you blame me?
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/hpg6vndjiai71.png?width=1318&format=png&auto=webp&s=cbdff939d28c677c85d346931594255e84b126f6)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
currency starting w bee
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
This visual is a few days old as trading view deleted my drawing (annoying) and I'm too lazy to redraw, but this is the trajectory I expect from here on a base level. Could go very differently as can everything from here, but so far, this setup has made the most sense to me.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Basically, it LOOKS like cr___ (sorry lol i'm so annoyed w auto mod lol) and stonks have topped. Nothing is 100%, always stay vigilant and expect fuckery, but god fucking damn. What a time to *hodl GME*
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
here's SPY in relation to GME run's over the past few months:
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/koe1q2bliai71.png?width=2810&format=png&auto=webp&s=f215c4ce77f35199521324b20c9c8e555c04cfa6)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
noice
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
and decentralized B currency:
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/zdef37emiai71.png?width=1332&format=png&auto=webp&s=7856c2393fbb88eb79a71a1b9d17e45b3de94c94)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
decentralized currency that shall not be named for fucks sake
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
let's not forget my personal favorite, the VIX (volatility/fear indicator):
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/afatn9yniai71.png?width=2788&format=png&auto=webp&s=4425db6f2dd608a0f93b6476a440aa8d905194df)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
VIX
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
needless to say I'm fucking jacked to the max and I'm so happy I somehow found a way to cough up enough cash to increase my share count once again.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Onto GME, I'm fucking tired, but CANT STOP WONT STOP!
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/e0muzqvoiai71.png?width=2806&format=png&auto=webp&s=2eaec83c246a234c6bb03cc15801d9c6eba3e63d)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
1hr
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
I could go more in depth with the intraday stuff but nobody cares. Also, this count was correct too, take that ta haters. Fibs gave me a wave 5 (purple) target of 170 (check recent post if you want proof, fibs are there and everything).
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Remember 5 waves form 1 larger wave, thus the move to 170 was a wave 1. Wave 2 is a steep correction which I would argue we got.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/y5s15rypiai71.png?width=2806&format=png&auto=webp&s=e3232fa768b34d22b946978161f59c1f2eee3e1c)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
1hr
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Wave 2 is a corrective wave, ie abc. most common we see a = c, or the 100% level in yellow. 1.618 is also a possibility, but again, intraday doesn't matter too much, the overarching setup is there. wave 2 most common retrace target is the .618 retrace (gold level) at 154.5, if anyone even cares. Idgaf cause if that's hit tmr I'll likely sleep through it.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
The wave interpretation fits the narrative that we're do for a run soon. count with me. what comes after 2?
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
come on.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
no, it's not 69, but good guess.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
wave 3 in equities markets is most commonly the strongest and most powerful of the 5, but you've heard me say this so many times at this point you get the drill.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
larger targets are unchanged as previous low of 145 has held. First major target I'm watching for is still 288.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Moonjam ends 8/20, monthlies expire, should be a wild ride.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Going back to SPY, I would like to point out the POSSIBILITY we see something called an expanding flat fractal. I'll try my best to visualize it with trading view:
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/11wtne0riai71.png?width=1856&format=png&auto=webp&s=c6d4cb9a2eb4edbde7d378824c3724c1017c72ca)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
expanded flat fractal
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
in this case, for SPY we'd be looking for a bounce around 421.57. if we bounce here to the upside, it is possible but not certain we see one final push to the upside before the rug is pulled.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Market geometry is a real thing, despite all the TA naysayers. TA is everywhere, the weather forecast is a perfect example. meteorologists don't just throw a dart at a board of numbers and say "it'll be x degrees today." no no, there are algorithms and trends and whatnot that are analyzed, which gives probabilities of certain outcomes. This is the exact same for trading and technical analysis.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
When analyzing, you are looking to narrow down probabilities and bet on the outcome. when one fails, this narrows the possibilities. You picking up what I'm laying down?
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
anyway, I'm jacked to infinity.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
As GME starts to move we can start to narrow down more upside targets, we don't know if we have completed a wave 2 as of yet as market isn't open (t minus 4 hours boys). let's just assume we bottomed yesterday at 156.75. This puts our first wave 3 target (1:1 of wave 1) at 181.38. this will be updated depending on if that really marked the low. if we drop another $2, the target is adjusted by $2, making it 179.38, if you want to watch it yourself and come up with targets.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Here are the targets visualized:
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/9kt6ra6siai71.png?width=1686&format=png&auto=webp&s=f8e007341b7f3fc00aec2687b4767ca3d2fe7158)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
here's a cute ss from pre market showing just how dry liquidity is. All it takes is a little nudge of volume and it's off to the races.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/8ar1ed5tiai71.png?width=108&format=png&auto=webp&s=d82a5f470a918f7c8fe5308b2deb352075218776)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
a nice pre market spread for you
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
A quick aneurism for you. the .618 level at 288 in green is the first major level I'm watching for. Wave 1 within a wave 3 commonly hit this ratio when measuring the length of the wave 1 (this makes no sense if you don't trade waves I'm sorry, stay with me). Also note the gap down from earnings coincides with this target.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
mothafuckinjacked.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/cq60t18uiai71.png?width=2796&format=png&auto=webp&s=b38a54104f8cd6ad41b154d4bf6535a64c34111f)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Hope you enjoyed, my vacation is just me watching the GME ticker on the beach. That's the life.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Also, I'm extremely humbled to have made the front page of SS yesterday with this tweet, I fkn love all of you and the attitude everyone brings to the table. Apes together strong mother fuckers.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[<3](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/p6hel3/their_one_win_condition_is_for_us_to_sell_and_we/)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
I'd say I'm going to sleep now but we all know that's a god damn lie.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
TLDR: idek how to summarize, stock and (decentralized currency) markets look to have topped, yada yada GME bullish, buy and hodl, pretty pictures, no cell no sell 🚀 🌊
|
||||||
@ -0,0 +1,106 @@
|
|||||||
|
Today Was Just The Warm Up, The Tides Are Shifting
|
||||||
|
==================================================
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
| Author | Source |
|
||||||
|
| :-------------: |:-------------:|
|
||||||
|
| [u/possibly6](https://www.reddit.com/user/possibly6/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/pb1wk4/today_was_just_the_warm_up_the_tides_are_shifting/) |
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[DD 👨🔬](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22DD%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%94%AC%22&restrict_sr=1)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Sup apes
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
not financial advice, I am retarded.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
aaaaaaaa finally a big green day. Full disclaimer I'm off an hour of sleep cause I spent the day of planes flying home. However, I guess when I fly GME flies with me. It waves to me.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
No GME didn't run because I was flying lol, but I've got some interesting levels to go over as well as my general thoughts leading into the rest of the week.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/ogdu8ykznej71.png?width=885&format=png&auto=webp&s=f6cb3e0d73f8eb1bbbf5b71c2bb9268b0585387c)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
I'm exhausted so I'll try to keep this as digestible as possible, as I know my shit is pretty confusing to those that don't trade fibs/EW.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
would it really be a [u/possibly6](https://www.reddit.com/u/possibly6/) post without a hype song? no. no it would not. I gotchu: <https://open.spotify.com/track/0d28khcov6AiegSCpG5TuT?si=f9876e849e524e0e>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Before we begin, can you guess what wave today was?
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
no, again, not wave 69, but nice guess.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
3 baby.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
From our low a few weeks ago at 145, this marked the low of a wave 2, but you know this already.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
For simplicity, just view my count:
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/vtgep7vjoej71.png?width=2828&format=png&auto=webp&s=0edb386fc06239304715aa2f4b54941fc4b1db7d)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Basically, lower high and higher low each run has given us the wave setup of a lifetime, the elliott wave tsunami, a 3 of 3 of 3, face ripping, tear shedding gloriousness.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Today was the start.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
let's zoom in.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/lqred8htoej71.png?width=2832&format=png&auto=webp&s=b16263ee5b3db62140f9a19fd12c3f4798f5446f)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
our low last week (outlined in previous DD, we hit the 1.618 extension of a:c at 151, marking our wave 2 low (on a smaller scale, count in pink)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
thus, after 2 comes 3. how many times have you heard me say wave 3 is the best?
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
too many.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
well, today should have you convinced.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
But it get's better. Refer to my total count above, and you'll see the largest degree (orange) is in a wave 3, the red within the orange is in a wave 3, and the yellow within the orange started a wave 3 when we bottomed at 145.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
To keep it simple, the majjoorr levels to watch for at the moment are 288, 376, and 520. I don't necessarily expect this tomorrow, but let's break it down.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
the 288 target is my wave 1 target within the yellow count. 1 of 5. after hitting this level I expect a sharp decline to form the wave 2 within the yellow count, then an insane rip from that low to complete a wave 3 within the yellow count. I'll dedicate a post to this later because we aren't quite there yet, we gotta hit our 288 level first to narrow our targets (complete the wave 1 within the yellow count, could go higher could go lower, but a sharp decline is expected after the completion)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/e3mmf81epej71.png?width=2830&format=png&auto=webp&s=3dabc8ecd2a1a50c275f7dfaaaf4d872f933f41f)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Let's look intraday/hourly now. Before we do that, huge shoutout to [twitter](https://twitter.com/gavinmayreal) gang, I had a blast calling out targets in real time and getting hype with everyone. If you do follow me, this will sort of be a repeat of the nonsense I was tweeting today, just explained more in depth.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
I encourage you to check it out nonetheless, I could care less about twitter "clout" or followers, but I was calling targets out all day and giving my insight, which was pretty much spot on today.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Also, just to be clear, it is MUCH easier to predict impulsive (up) moves than corrections (down), I've probably said this before but it does instill more confidence in my analysis.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
intraday view:
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[](https://preview.redd.it/5ii9ok9wqej71.png?width=2804&format=png&auto=webp&s=cb9ad23e94f24474115ea1e246d91687f0299c3d)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
lots of fakeouts! this was super fun to analyze in the moment. Basically, I measured the length of the (pink) wave 1 and brought it down to the low of 2 to display the targets. Most common wave 3 ratios are 1:1, 1.236, 1.382, 1.618 (in bold are most common, not bold less common but still happen). We rejected basically every level as I was watching the tick chart, but pushed right above shortly after. This likely shook out day traders (Fuck you if this is you).
|
||||||
|
|
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If a wave 3 breaks above the 1.618 extension ratio, you can assume there's a loooooot more left in the move. Low and behold, we broke above and our next target came to 215 (2.618 extension)
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In the 15m view above, we closed below the extension level (I noted the 3.326 extension was next level to watch at 231, didn't quite make it there which was a potential cue that the wave 3 had ended). failure to hold above the level is often a sign that downside is coming, but nothing is ever 100%.
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First, I'll lay out the (very very) short term bear case. after making our 226 high, we dropped but retraced UP to the .618 level. This is most common in zig zags, wherein we will correct, retrace .618 of the corrective move, than extend an equal length of the first corrective leg (a=c, b=.618a)
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side note, i probably sound insane with all these ratios lol. sorry not sorry, all the best artists are at least a little mentally deranged ;)
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essentially, the short term bear case would look like this:
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[](https://preview.redd.it/3uiyvpfssej71.png?width=2094&format=png&auto=webp&s=1b20d32fe8abcff1c63ccb40d9e6a170053fe923)
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rest assured! this would just complete a wave 4, meaning we have 1 leg up before we can expect some sort of corrective action.
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basically this view expects a 191 low tmr than continue to upside.
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I only presented bear case first because its easier to explain. Bull case would be that the "abc" visualized above is actually going to be an ABCDE (think bull flag or triangle), wherein we will break above 250 tmr or thursday.
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I'm gonna be honest, I have no fucking idea, but let's tie this wave analysis back to a post I wrote a few weeks ago going over the algo cycle on a super basic level.
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TLDR of that post: "If the cycle replicates itself the way it has the last 2 times, we can expect a move up of about 10-20 points in the near future, followed by 5 ish days of boring consolidation before really ramping it up. 288 is first major rejection target, but this is all pre squeeze. hodling for 40 milly a share and prison 🚀"
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You could argue today was the equivalent to our february move up/may move up (in may to 180 area). Based solely off this, I would expect to retrace to the downside (191 area) and slowly climb up for a few days, then fucking explode 3-5 days after the low is in.
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again, I have no fucking idea, just speculation.
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I actually made a video overview a few days ago going over what I just talked about above, if [Video ](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A1rRM4HKv8Y)analysis is you thing, you can check it out (I think it will help tremendously with understanding my analysis)
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[](https://preview.redd.it/ti7686vexej71.png?width=2422&format=png&auto=webp&s=e92777439bb3b4437bf70c88a7cc2aec617573bd)
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I think that about covers it, I'm jacked to infinity with today's move and couldn't be more excited for the weeks ahead. If the (short term) bear interpretation is correct, it may be your last chance for shares under 200 ;)
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TLDR: honestly I have no idea I'm so tired, today was a wave 3, much more room to go in this cycle. Possible it's the equivalent to the previous to cycles illustrated above. 191 is low target if we retrace tomorrow. 288 first major target, followed by 376 and 520. 40 milly a share or bust 🚀
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Reference in New Issue
Block a user