Re-organizing Live Charting Archives into Monthly folders

- Created Banks directory

00-Getting-Started/2021-06-06-Financial-Analyis-Crash-Course.md

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+IGNITED FINANCIAL ANALYSIS CRASH COURSE - WHAT TO EXPECT FROM Q1 RESULTS
+========================================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/JohnnyGrey](https://www.reddit.com/user/JohnnyGrey/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/ntriid/ignited_financial_analysis_crash_course_what_to/) | 
+
+---
+
+[DD 👨‍🔬](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22DD%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%94%AC%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+Hello you beautiful bastards. Since the Q1 results are right around the corner, I thought I could share some of my limited financial analysis knowledge with you. I know your tits are as jacked as your brains are smooth, so bear with me. This will be fun, I promise!
+
+[![r/Superstonk - IGNITED FINANCIAL ANALYSIS CRASH COURSE - WHAT TO EXPECT FROM Q1 RESULTS](https://preview.redd.it/yie61c2ako371.jpg?width=1289&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=d6e4b460995a0b1adf7e59a1a5f2f89d83f569f0)](https://preview.redd.it/yie61c2ako371.jpg?width=1289&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=d6e4b460995a0b1adf7e59a1a5f2f89d83f569f0)
+
+And on we go...
+
+Let's start with the Balance Sheet.
+
+What is a Balance Sheet?
+
+Just like you take a selfie and post it on your social media, a Balance Sheet is basically a snapshot of a company at a given point in time. It shows the company's Assets, Liabilities and Equity (The relation between these three is : Assets = Liabilities + Equity). In short: What the company owns and what the company owes. Pretty simple right? That's fucking right, we got this!
+
+[![r/Superstonk - IGNITED FINANCIAL ANALYSIS CRASH COURSE - WHAT TO EXPECT FROM Q1 RESULTS](https://preview.redd.it/0dsflzgmko371.jpg?width=500&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=367a777a7394eadff953c0c8ef1e3cd4912cb5bc)](https://preview.redd.it/0dsflzgmko371.jpg?width=500&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=367a777a7394eadff953c0c8ef1e3cd4912cb5bc)
+
+IGNITED BREAKDOWN OF THE BALANCE SHEET
+
+The Balance Sheet, as I was saying earlier, is split in the company's Assets and Liabilities + Equity. The order each of these appear in any Balance Sheet is usually: Current assets -> Non-Current assets -> Current Liabilities -> Non-Current Liabilities -> Equity. Sometimes the Equity comes before the Current and Non-Current Liabilities. It depends on the FS format.
+
+Let's see what each of these items consists of, and give a simple description for each component:
+
+Current assets - these are the most liquid assets that GameStop has. Think of them as the easiest stuff you can sell for cash $$. The current assets in the case of GS are the following:
+
+-   Cash and cash equivalents - money and stuff that can be most easily converted to money
+
+-   Restricted cash - consists primarily of bank deposits that collateralize the Company's obligations to vendors and landlords (guarantees in the form of cash)
+
+-   Receivables, net - Money that is due to GameStop from customers, from sales of goods/services
+
+-   Merchandise inventories - inventories of physical goods (games, consoles, collectibles etc.)
+
+-   Prepaid expenses and other current assets - Pretty straightforward
+
+-   Assets-held-for-sale - The Company's corporate aircraft which was sold in 2020 for $8.6M
+
+Whenever I look at current assets I am very, very interested in Cash and cash equivalents, Receivables and Inventories. Preferably, a company has little to no inventories, a lot of receivables (with a good DSO - we'll talk about this another time) and a lot of cash. Let's remember "CASH IS KING". If a company has cash, it can meet short term debt obligations or expand/transform/invest. Having money is always a good thing because it gives you the ability to continue growing, to pivot to a different business model or to survive in case of an unforeseen event (such as the COVID 19 pandemic).
+
+[](https://preview.redd.it/dv55mf61lo371.gif?format=mp4&s=67bfc499aed7e0574a6a3bd753a684ca408b5295)
+
+CASH IS KING
+
+Non-Current assets - these are assets that are not so easily converted to cash:
+
+-   Property, plant and equipment (PPT) - the loads of buildings, land and equipment that GameStop has.
+
+-   Operating lease right-of-use assets - all contracts that permit the use of an asset but do not convey ownership rights of the asset. Not sure what more to say about this, as it is not detailed in the GS Financial Statements Notes.
+
+-   Long-term restricted cash - same as the short term restricted cash, except it's corresponding to a period longer than 1 year.
+
+-   Other noncurrent assets - Pretty straightforward, not detailed in the Financial Statement notes.
+
+The main focus here for GameStop, are the large number of stores worldwide. Pretty big fucking value in the land and buildings GS owns.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - IGNITED FINANCIAL ANALYSIS CRASH COURSE - WHAT TO EXPECT FROM Q1 RESULTS](https://preview.redd.it/dkzlhlejlo371.png?width=1351&format=png&auto=webp&s=4d552c594da31b77f2d30c831f75251ac29a45b2)](https://preview.redd.it/dkzlhlejlo371.png?width=1351&format=png&auto=webp&s=4d552c594da31b77f2d30c831f75251ac29a45b2)
+
+They're everywhere!
+
+Current liabilities - this is the debt that GS must pay in the short term (less than 1 year):
+
+-   Accounts payable - money that GS must pay in the near future to suppliers for goods and services
+
+-   Accrued liabilities and other current liabilities - money that must be paid for goods and services corresponding to a specific period + other current liabilities not detailed in the Financials.
+
+-   Current portion of operating lease liabilities - rent that GS must pay for some HQ locations in the short term
+
+-   Short-term debt, including current portion of long-term debt, net - short term loans
+
+-   Borrowings under revolving line of credit - "The Revolver" line of credit from bank
+
+Big focus on all of these. Debt has been a big decision factor for these hedge funds to short GME (besides their greed and stupidity). From the looks of it, GS appeared to be unable to meet its short term debt repayment due to the COVID 19 pandemic. Based on this, hedgies went all in, and thought that their infinite naked shorts + MSM FUD will make this a very very safe and profitable venture. They were very wrong.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - IGNITED FINANCIAL ANALYSIS CRASH COURSE - WHAT TO EXPECT FROM Q1 RESULTS](https://preview.redd.it/5ujkunw1no371.jpg?width=730&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=e641386ab575f08de06428e8ede3c2d921785935)](https://preview.redd.it/5ujkunw1no371.jpg?width=730&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=e641386ab575f08de06428e8ede3c2d921785935)
+
+Yay!
+
+Non-Current Liabilities - this is the debt that GS must pay in the long term (period longer than 1 year):
+
+-   Long-term debt, net - These are the 2023 Senior Notes principal amounts. This is the debt that needed to be repaid by GS before they were allowed to start transforming their business or issue dividends.
+
+-   Operating lease liabilities - This is the long term rent that GS must pay for some HQ locations in the long term according to their contracts (these lease contracts are usually signed on longer periods of 5+ years for better prices)
+
+-   Other long-term liabilities - Other long term liabilities not detailed in the Financial Statements
+
+The main point from the Non-Current Liabilities is the Long term debt. We'll get to the analysis in a second. We still have one more component of the Balance Sheet to discuss.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - IGNITED FINANCIAL ANALYSIS CRASH COURSE - WHAT TO EXPECT FROM Q1 RESULTS](https://preview.redd.it/5m28qbggno371.png?width=750&format=png&auto=webp&s=fb69ede751eb7f1ff0e6a6acdbdc0f355aa4f6a4)](https://preview.redd.it/5m28qbggno371.png?width=750&format=png&auto=webp&s=fb69ede751eb7f1ff0e6a6acdbdc0f355aa4f6a4)
+
+So many strings attached for Senior Notes it's not even funny.
+
+Equity - This is the corporation's owners' residual claim on assets after debts have been paid.
+
+IGNITED BALANCE SHEET ANALYSIS AND 8 BALL PREDICTION
+
+Okay you beautiful bastards, you've read so far and I am really proud of you. This shit is not easy to understand on the first read, so I tried to summarize it below in a picture with colors (even though I know you can't read):
+
+[![r/Superstonk - IGNITED FINANCIAL ANALYSIS CRASH COURSE - WHAT TO EXPECT FROM Q1 RESULTS](https://preview.redd.it/lzj9p4qlno371.jpg?width=1150&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=17fd4d237b65deec63aab14de91f7e2109a59cf3)](https://preview.redd.it/lzj9p4qlno371.jpg?width=1150&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=17fd4d237b65deec63aab14de91f7e2109a59cf3)
+
+Pretty colors make me happy!
+
+Let's get in the middle of it.
+
+In 2020 and 2021 Gamestop made a couple of god-tier fucking moves, some of them thanks to people like you and me who like the stock:
+
+-   Sold AIRPLANE (Assets held-for-sale) which means more CASH. YAY!
+
+-   Sold 3.5M shares, raising around $551M more CASH. YAY!
+
+-   Repaid 100% of all short term debt. FUCK YEAH!
+
+-   Repaid 100% of long term debt - 2023 Senior Notes principal. OMFG WHAAAAT?
+
+That's right, you amazing knowledge thirsty apes. They fucking did it. The 2023 Senior notes were basically the chains that were holding GS from fighting back against the hedgies and taking the company in a new direction:
+
+> *"The indenture governing the 2023 Senior Notes contains restrictions on the ability of us and our restricted subsidiaries to incur, assume or permit to exist additional indebtedness or guaranty obligations; declare or pay dividends or redeem or repurchase capital stock; prepay, redeem or purchase certain subordinated indebtedness; issue certain preferred stock or similar equity securities; make loans and certain investments; sell assets; incur liens; engage in transactions with affiliates; enter into agreements restricting the ability of subsidiaries to pay dividends; and engage in mergers, acquisitions and other business combinations."*
+
+Now GS is free to go wherever they please (not unlike Mundo). And they have a shitload of cash to do it, and little to no debt:
+
+[![r/Superstonk - IGNITED FINANCIAL ANALYSIS CRASH COURSE - WHAT TO EXPECT FROM Q1 RESULTS](https://preview.redd.it/p52bexdsno371.jpg?width=1150&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=f0c2561305bd6b2d3e20eeec2883cf98b1b0f7b1)](https://preview.redd.it/p52bexdsno371.jpg?width=1150&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=f0c2561305bd6b2d3e20eeec2883cf98b1b0f7b1)
+
+I like money!
+
+These few moves deal a huge blow to liabilities and a huge boost to assets. And not just any assets, but to current assets.
+
+As I was saying earlier, current assets are the star of the show in the Balance Sheet du Soleil. CASH IS KING and GS has a lot of cash right now and no debt. This means GameStop now has a very, very good WORKING CAPITAL.
+
+Working Capital, also known as net working capital (NWC), is the difference between a company's current assets and current liabilities. So if the company has more current assets than current liabilities, then we have a positive net working capital, meaning that the company can cover short term debt. If the net working capital is negative, then the company is unable to pay all short term debt. GameStop should have a huge positive net working capital in Q1, especially since I'm sure Ryan Cohen has made some moves already, and so did you beautiful apes. I know you have been buying from your local GS since January, and I couldn't be more proud of each and every one of ya!
+
+I think we should be seeing something like this in Q1, but this is just speculation on my part:
+
+[![r/Superstonk - IGNITED FINANCIAL ANALYSIS CRASH COURSE - WHAT TO EXPECT FROM Q1 RESULTS](https://preview.redd.it/cwyyjx5xno371.jpg?width=1150&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=57733adc7fa04d9776828ee9270ca89c951c160b)](https://preview.redd.it/cwyyjx5xno371.jpg?width=1150&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=57733adc7fa04d9776828ee9270ca89c951c160b)
+
+I mean, I'm not like an expert, like uhm, this is my opinion and stuff.
+
+I think Ryan will want to maximize inventory efficiency to compete with Amazon by offering 1-day delivery for all goods. This means a slight decrease in overall inventories on the balance sheet. This, together with the recent support from apes and publicity should boost Receivables quite a lot in Q121. GameStop, although it has a lot of money right now, might want to reduce prepaid expenses and try to maximize their DPO and get as many extended payment terms from their suppliers.
+
+This quest for inventory efficiency will most likely decrease the PPT part of the non-current assets. Multiple stores in the same area will not be needed anymore if the demand in that region is not sufficient. Sadly, as a result, some shops might be either sold or rented, which will further increase the Cash position or the Operating lease right-of-use assets position. If the locations are not GameStop's property, and are instead leased, then we could see a decrease in short term and long term rent. This is uncertain, since the contrary could be true as well... higher demand in a region or multiple regions would mean more GS stores will open to cover them.
+
+The Accounts Payable position will most likely increase as well because of all the new changes and investments being made. Perhaps Q1 is still too early to see this increase, but in Q2 and Q3 we should definitely see a rise. Same goes for accrued liabilities and other liabilities.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - IGNITED FINANCIAL ANALYSIS CRASH COURSE - WHAT TO EXPECT FROM Q1 RESULTS](https://preview.redd.it/3da0iw5roo371.png?width=1600&format=png&auto=webp&s=f6ed81a2f65574671f9eed3a9104458767eb4433)](https://preview.redd.it/3da0iw5roo371.png?width=1600&format=png&auto=webp&s=f6ed81a2f65574671f9eed3a9104458767eb4433)
+
+Planning to fail means failing to plan. Wait..
+
+IGNITED INCOME STATEMENT ANALYSIS
+
+So here it gets a bit tricky. Because we don't have data about net sales in Q1 (or the expenses), we won't be able to predict the numbers. But that doesn't mean we can't go through an Income Statement and understand what each element represents:
+
+Net Sales - Total sales minus discounts, returns or allowances due to defects of products. Basically, how much the company is selling. The higher the net sales, the more reach the company has and the more income it should be able to generate (at least theoretically).
+
+Cost of Sales - The cost of sales refers to what the seller has to pay in order to create the product and get it into the hands of a paying customer.
+
+Selling, general and administrative expenses - Include all everyday operating expenses of running a business that are not included in the production of goods or delivery of services. Typical SG&A items include rent, salaries, advertising and marketing expenses and distribution costs
+
+Goodwill and asset impairments - Goodwill impairment is an accounting charge that companies record when goodwill's carrying value on financial statements exceeds its fair value. This is a bit complicated and not that important to be honest.
+
+Gain on sale of assets - A gain on sale of assets arises when an asset is sold for more than its carrying amount.
+
+Interest expense, net - An interest expense is the cost incurred by an entity for borrowed funds.
+
+Income tax (benefit) expense - Gotta pay the taxman.
+
+Net income/loss - The company's profit or loss for the quarter/year
+
+Reading the Income Statement is pretty straightforward. You start with the total sales of a company and then you start to subtract all types of costs incurred + taxes. If at the end of it, you still have a positive amount, then you just made some profit! Congrats. If the amount is negative then you have a loss. Sad panda :(
+
+In FY20, GameStop had a net loss of $215.3M, mostly due to the COVID 19 pandemic, but also because its business model was outdated and inefficient. It's really impossible to try to guess what the Q1 Income Statement will look like, so I will not speculate further. The Balance Sheet was a different story, since we had access to trustworthy information regarding sales of shares and debt repayment directly from GameStop.
+
+When the Q1 Financial Statements hit, I will try to do a full, in-depth analysis and post it here. I am by no means an expert, so please take anything I say here with a grain of salt. I appreciate any feedback you may have, and I can update my post if you want me to add something. All you have to do is comment or DM me. I am more than happy to increase my knowledge, as I am sure there are many apes smarter than me here.
+
+And remember: OOK OOK.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - IGNITED FINANCIAL ANALYSIS CRASH COURSE - WHAT TO EXPECT FROM Q1 RESULTS](https://preview.redd.it/4bdggyb8po371.png?width=1920&format=png&auto=webp&s=def5ccd0dcf4fa0ca03147e77c73f5b2bb2616f6)](https://preview.redd.it/4bdggyb8po371.png?width=1920&format=png&auto=webp&s=def5ccd0dcf4fa0ca03147e77c73f5b2bb2616f6)
+
+Monke see, monke do.
+
+TL;DR : Gamestop has a shitload of cash and no more short-term and long-term debt. The only material long term debt remains that from rent contracts for offices and shop locations across the US. This debt is also most likely going to decrease because of remote work as well as leasing contract terminations or re-negotiations due to an inventory efficiency update that Ryan must implement in order to be able to successfully compete with Amazon on the gaming goods and merchandise segment. The company has finished the repayment of its 2023 Senior Notes principal, leading to the metaphorical breaking of chains that were holding the company back for so long. With new leadership, a modern approach, a clear plan and a GOD TIER TEAM, as well as a global loyal customer base that likes the stock, not to mention the free publicity the brand got for the last 6 months, GameStop is now going to show these so called "ANALysts" from MSM, what real fundamentals are and just how high the price of GME can go.
+
+This is not financial advice, so don't act like it is.

00-Getting-Started/2021-06-30-Anatomy-of-Parabolic-Movement.md

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+Anatomy of parabolic moves and how GME is heading to 1000$ a share.
+===================================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/eoneqeip](https://www.reddit.com/user/eoneqeip/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/oaqqry/anatomy_of_parabolic_moves_and_how_gme_is_heading/) | 
+
+---
+
+[Education 👨‍🏫 | Data 🔢](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Education%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%8F%AB%20%7C%20Data%20%F0%9F%94%A2%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+Good day apes ~~and apettes~~ (thanks [u/kibblepigeon](https://www.reddit.com/u/kibblepigeon/) for teaching me that "ape" is already a gender inclusive term), just wanted to jacque your tettitas a lil more if I can.
+
+Here's the dissection of a parabolic move on an x security, movement to 1 is parabolic but is also a little parabolic move inside a bigger parabolic move (5). What is interesting is price behaviour: after first big move up (1), usually there's a circa 50% retracement of that move (2) then sellers come back until price close above 2 (3), then at (4) the last small dip before (5) meaning the sellers capitulated.
+
+Small dip move from (3) to (4) is KEY because here happens the shift of power from sellers, which were in control of price since (1) finished, to buyers.
+
+Move (5) as now went to about 3X the price of move (1).
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Anatomy of parabolic moves and how GME is heading to 1000$ a share.](https://preview.redd.it/95jyxija8c871.jpg?width=1035&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=870ec16616f570db7a4b9868e549539569919d3c)](https://preview.redd.it/95jyxija8c871.jpg?width=1035&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=870ec16616f570db7a4b9868e549539569919d3c)
+
+a common graph of a common parabolic move
+
+Now let's get straight to the jacque part of my kindergarten analysis
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Anatomy of parabolic moves and how GME is heading to 1000$ a share.](https://preview.redd.it/snfq6cue8c871.jpg?width=1035&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=12b0f550b2f3d169e548710ea24135c74ad4719a)](https://preview.redd.it/snfq6cue8c871.jpg?width=1035&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=12b0f550b2f3d169e548710ea24135c74ad4719a)
+
+a graph of a well known idiosyncratic stock
+
+To me the situation seem pretty darn parabolic and I see the same behaviour described above...
+
+Only differences are related to time scales (first case was weekly, second was daily) and move 1 retracement (2) which in 1st case was 50% while on GME is >50% (meaning buying was more aggressive in this case).
+
+I don't want to hype dates or anything but I think we are in (4) now, that small but very important dip where power shift happens and up up up the parabolic flight begins.
+
+So buckle up and enjoy the flight.
+
+EDIT1: more evidence of this pattern in a fairly known movie theaters stock which recently exihibited a parabolic move (here as well as now price in (5) has tripled maximum price of move (1)).
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Anatomy of parabolic moves and how GME is heading to 1000$ a share.](https://preview.redd.it/nxqb21ej8c871.jpg?width=1034&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=6d59e58c01981a10312b3c3361ad1724241a5220)](https://preview.redd.it/nxqb21ej8c871.jpg?width=1034&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=6d59e58c01981a10312b3c3361ad1724241a5220)
+
+EDIT2: another one, this is interesting because move (5) almost 3X move (1) but had a more bumpy development (lower timeframe here with more noise maybe?)
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Anatomy of parabolic moves and how GME is heading to 1000$ a share.](https://preview.redd.it/8w3i4a5m8c871.jpg?width=1037&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=215999c3c075d3417c64dba5ab72e06906c964cf)](https://preview.redd.it/8w3i4a5m8c871.jpg?width=1037&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=215999c3c075d3417c64dba5ab72e06906c964cf)
+
+EDIT3: another one in which move (5) max price triples parabolic move (1) max price.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Anatomy of parabolic moves and how GME is heading to 1000$ a share.](https://preview.redd.it/dnw5eg2p8c871.jpg?width=1039&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=d311db539deca12a117e584c0ea8d766bd649385)](https://preview.redd.it/dnw5eg2p8c871.jpg?width=1039&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=d311db539deca12a117e584c0ea8d766bd649385)
+
+EDIT4: a famous e-commerce giant which GME is going to replace, here move 5 did 33X the max price of move 1 (obviously fundamentals here helped)
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Anatomy of parabolic moves and how GME is heading to 1000$ a share.](https://preview.redd.it/hcp8j0ur8c871.jpg?width=1040&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=fe3b05a176aeedff20023e0a3d93b3dcf8e7b377)](https://preview.redd.it/hcp8j0ur8c871.jpg?width=1040&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=fe3b05a176aeedff20023e0a3d93b3dcf8e7b377)
+
+EDIT5: another big weekly case on a big tech, from max price of 1 (37$) to price to date in 5 (799$) it 23X. Notice how sometimes these parabolic moves requires years (move 5 started in the end of 2012).
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Anatomy of parabolic moves and how GME is heading to 1000$ a share.](https://preview.redd.it/sr4lt1su8c871.jpg?width=1037&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=a1edf81b6795e1d8b4ec5248f294fffe3f31c667)](https://preview.redd.it/sr4lt1su8c871.jpg?width=1037&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=a1edf81b6795e1d8b4ec5248f294fffe3f31c667)
+
+Based on these examples I think we are set on GME for a move 5 which will at least triple the max price of move 1 of january (345x3=1035$), notice I'm using the price of line graph and not candlestick price of january pick (482,55$), this doesn't mean GME won't go past 1000$, we saw before that with strong fundamentals and time move 5 can easily go 20X and beyond move 1.
+
+I don't know about other securities but GME is a unique case for short interest and for retail interest in it so it is very possible that it will set an unprecendent, idiosynchratic, to the moon move 5.
+
+Prepare to see your most liked stock at least at 1000$, I'm preparing for this and zenfully reminding myself that at 1k we still trading sideways. I just want you to be prepared as well for what is coming (I predict future fud at 1k stating HF have covered and so on...(yeah like they covered in january! - we own the float x times bitch! - when in doubt bath yourself with the DDs)).
+
+Buckle up.

00-Getting-Started/Basic-Education/2021-05-16-Clarifying-Market-Limit-and-Stop-Orders.md

@@ -0,0 +1,69 @@
+Dispelling & Denouncing Wardens Fud | Market, Limit, Stop Orders
+================================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/jsmar18](https://www.reddit.com/user/jsmar18/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/ndg93z/dispelling_denouncing_wardens_fud_market_limit/) | 
+
+---
+
+
+[🚀 Moderator 🚀](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22%F0%9F%9A%80%20Moderator%20%F0%9F%9A%80%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+Well, that happened quickly.
+
+I personally denounce [u/WardenElite](https://www.reddit.com/u/WardenElite/) for his behavior. You don't call this epic community "idiots", you don't try and make money off of us, and you don't write half-assed posts that are clearly FUD when you're in a respected position.
+
+Let's clarify the largest thing that many picked up and noted in his most recent post.
+
+Stop Order
+
+Don't use them, it's as simple as that. I have no idea what mindset he was in when he was typing that up, but it's very much talking like a day trader re the use of stop losses. Guess what we don't do? Day trade, we buy and HODL.
+
+The mere fact of mentioning using stop orders will exacerbate the issue he is talking about in regards to stop loss hunting. The best way to avoid the situation he describes? Don't use a stop loss.
+
+Limit Order
+
+The largest negative about limit orders, add liquidity orders among others is execution risk. He mentions this and it's not wrong.
+
+I think it's wise that everyone knows the risk of using a limit order, but not so you don't use it. Understanding the risk helps us know how to use it but be aware of how to better set the price of a limit order in certain market conditions.
+
+Example: Oh shit it's moving fast (in either direction), i'll make sure to set the limit so it's further away from the spread instead of right next to it which is where the execution risk is the highest.
+
+Market Order
+
+I'm pretty sure I was the first to ask apes to use different order types than just ye old Market Order, so i'll say that if the market conditions are truly moving too fast as warden pointed out in his post (and really badly FUD like at that....) you could get burned using a limit.
+
+Conclusion
+
+So use them wrinkles, limit orders are the best option, if the market conditions are really that bad, use your judgment as it might be better to use a market order. But with your new knowledge on the execution risk of limit sells, you should be fine in my eyes.
+
+Don't use stop orders.
+
+Not financial advice.
+
+Edit: Just want to say not to continue attacking him. It's all done and dealt with, so let's move on from the drama. He's young, he fucked up, he has now received a life lesson that he hopefully evolve from.
+
+Edit: Been seeing questions pop up re broker limitations, e.g. eTorro. When I get back home I'll add in an update regarding my thoughts on that.
+
+Round Two
+
+Back home (and just finished handmaid's tale season 3 - recommend), sorry for the wait. There have been two themes, the first being broker limitations on order types and the second being Stop-Limit orders.
+
+Stop-Limit Orders
+
+Similar in name to a stop-loss order, but they are different. The main being that stop-loss guarantees execution (trade-off of price slippage, resulting in orders being filled below strike price).
+
+Better to explain stop-limit through an example:
+
+> <Random Ticker> is at $190, you wanna buy, you place a stop-limit order to buy with a stop price of $200 and a limit price of $210. If the price goes above the stop price, the order is activated and it's now a limit order. If <Random Ticker> gaps up, above the limit price, the order will not be filled.
+
+Flip it around for the sell-side logic. Execution risk again being the main thing to understand. But understanding the risks and how to use various orders is all about adding tools to your arsenal. Know when to use what and in which situation.
+
+Also, develop that wrinkle further with some [more reading](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/stop-limitorder.asp).
+
+Brokers
+
+eTorro is widely being asked regarding their order types, I don't use eTorro so I'm uncomfortable commenting on them directly. But I'll give you some non-financial advice that is generalizable to every single broker.
+
+Identify what order types are available to you, google their definition and understand how each functions. If you feel restricted, sure move brokers (obviously risky, given the squeeze feels closer than ever) to a broker that offers more order types. Else you're stuck with what you've got, learn your options, understand them and make/amend an exit plan that includes your newfound knowledge.

00-Getting-Started/Basic-Education/2021-05-21-Cost-Basis-and-Trade-Price-Issues.md

@@ -0,0 +1,34 @@
+Cost basis and trade price issues
+=================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/dlauer](https://www.reddit.com/user/dlauer/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nhtt04/cost_basis_and_trade_price_issues/) | 
+
+---
+
+[Education 👨‍🏫 | Data 🔢](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Education%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%8F%AB%20%7C%20Data%20%F0%9F%94%A2%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+Hi everyone,
+
+There have been a lot of posts recently on these two subjects - crazy cost basis reports when transferring out of Robinhood, and some anecdotal reports (or maybe just a single report?) about some fractional share executions outside of the NBBO. I've made some comments on those threads but I thought it might be helpful to put everything together in one place.
+
+First, I don't mean to throw cold water on these theories all the time, or to constantly be talking about technical glitches. But I have seen how many of these systems work, and it's also common sense to think about incentives - firms invest in technology that makes them money (like trading), and they don't invest in technology for cost centers (like record keeping and compliance). Front office trading systems are sophisticated and high-performance. Back office record keeping systems are often ancient, and always under-invested in. This is especially true when regulatory fines are little more than a cost of doing business / slap on the wrist.
+
+If you want to see this in action, just go to [FINRA BrokerCheck](https://brokercheck.finra.org/) and search for a broker. As I explained in another comment: " Lookup a broker and start looking at their violations (I've done this systematically in the past when evaluating broker dark pool enforcement action risk for institutional asset managers). It's a constant stream of OATS violations (the Order Audit Trail System is a record of all orders and trades that a broker reports to FINRA, being replaced by the CAT), order marking violations, failure to produce trade records, mistakes with order flag records, etc. A constant stream of technology problems. I even [presented](https://www.sec.gov/comments/4-652/4652-32.pdf) to the SEC on this after the Knight Capital incident 9 years ago." This is not meant, in any way, to excuse the behavior. Record keeping mistakes should honestly be criminal - without accurate records, regulators can't do their jobs. So under-investment in compliance and record keeping systems makes sense in both ways for these firms - the fines are paltry, and if they're trying to avoid detection, shitty record quality is a feature, not a bug.
+
+Now, all of that being said - for those of you who have gotten these insane cost bases when transferring out of Robinhood - [file a whistleblower complaint](https://www.sec.gov/whistleblower). Seriously, this is your best course of action. If there is, in fact, a systematic problem with Robinhood back office systems, and the SEC goes in and fines them, you could get a cut of that. You might think it's just GME, but it's very likely that it affects other stocks too. And keep good records of your trades for filing taxes so that these mistakes by RH don't affect you.
+
+Next, on the topic - I have no idea why you're seeing insane fractional share cost bases when transferring, especially when you didn't buy fractional shares. I have no good explanation for it. My assumption is that it's a result of under-investment in back office technology. I can't possibly see how it is a reflection of any actual trading though. Keep in mind that these are tax records - they are not trade reports. There's a big difference. And even though these records appear to be all messed up, it doesn't really mean that any trades were executed at that price. For those of you who did transact in fractional shares, you have to also know that there is very little regulation around fractional shares. Fractions are not reported to the tape/market, and while firms are under a best execution obligation, that obligation is hardly enforced at all. So most of the rules I talk about are kind of thrown out the door when dealing with fractional shares, because they are not really considered within the current regulatory structure. I would also caution that any fractional shares traded outside of regular trading hours (9:30am ET - 4pm ET) can likely trade at any price, and I would never execute a trade like that.
+
+Ok, finally let's talk about the NBBO and tradethroughs. As I've explained before, the National Best Bid and Offer is the best price in the market, and is protected during regular trading hours. This means that brokers, off-exchange trading systems, and exchanges have safeguards in place to ensure that trades are not executed outside the NBBO. This system is not perfect. A while back there was an effort to have more disclosure for retail brokers and internalizers by the FIF. That has mostly stopped since the new Rule 606 was passed, but I found that Fidelity is [still disclosing](https://www.fidelity.com/bin-public/060_www_fidelity_com/documents/FIF-FBS-retail-execution-quality-stats.pdf) these extra stats. You can see that for most orders, 98% - 99% of the shares get executed at or better than the NBBO:
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Cost basis and trade price issues](https://preview.redd.it/dxc1kgm6eh071.png?width=744&format=png&auto=webp&s=ec0406b878fc475b756bc9328618b6c9f8142940)](https://preview.redd.it/dxc1kgm6eh071.png?width=744&format=png&auto=webp&s=ec0406b878fc475b756bc9328618b6c9f8142940)
+
+Why isn't it 100%? Generally speaking, it's because there aren't enough shares available at that price. If there's only 100 shares on the best offer, and you want to buy 200 shares, you're not guaranteed to get them all executed at the offer (although wholesalers like Citadel talk a lot about size improvement along with price improvement, but that's an entirely different conversation about how they goose and manipulate those metrics). Citadel stopped providing these reports in 2019, but you can see that back then [theirs looked similar](https://s3.amazonaws.com/citadel-wordpress-prd101/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2016/09/09175131/FIF-Rule-605-606-WG-CitadelSecurities_Retail-Execution-Quality-Stats_Q1_2019.pdf).
+
+Now, I cannot speak to anecdotes - I can only deal with data. I know there are claims about some crazy execution prices out there. I can assure you that these are not systematic issues, but it's always possible that there are crazy trades. That's why FINRA and the exchanges have [Clearly Erroneous rules](https://www.finra.org/rules-guidance/rulebooks/finra-rules/11892). This rule would not exist if it wasn't needed, and when I traded we had to invoke it at times. Sometimes crazy trades happen. When they do, alerts go off, and you get them busted. Remember that for every trade there's someone on the other side of it, and if you got to sell some GME at $2600, that means someone is on the hook to pay that. That person would be incentivized to have that trade busted, and has recourse to do so.
+
+Ok, finally some have questioned why I generally assume Hanlon's Razor - don't ascribe to malice that which can be explained by incompetence. I'm not as quick to accuse anyone of criminality as others. I'm comfortable with that. I'm a scientist, and I need to see data. When I see it, and it's convincing, then I'm comfortable making serious accusations. If that's naive, I'm ok with that. It doesn't make me fight any less to improve markets, and to improve transparency and access to data, so that we can have informed conversations and debates. And as you'll see in an article I have coming out soon, it doesn't make me hesitant to fight Big Tech when there's a serious fight to be had (you have to keep in mind that most of my day job is focused on tech and AI these days). But it does drive me to wait on convincing data before making such accusations. That's my style, and it's not for everyone.
+
+I hope this is helpful. I'll keep trying to answer questions when I can. Market structure is extremely complex, and even when trying to explain it, it's tough to distill it into something understandable when you haven't been immersed in it.

00-Getting-Started/Basic-Education/2021-05-21-Margin-Calls-vs-Forced-Liquidation.md

@@ -0,0 +1,82 @@
+MARGIN CALL VS. FORCED LIQUIDATION
+==================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/Dwellerofthecrags](https://www.reddit.com/user/Dwellerofthecrags/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/ni0xmw/margin_call_vs_forced_liquidation/) | 
+
+---
+
+[Education 👨‍🏫 | Data 🔢](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Education%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%8F%AB%20%7C%20Data%20%F0%9F%94%A2%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+Over the past several weeks I've noticed several posts or comments that lead me to believe there may be a bit of a misunderstanding about what a MARGIN CALL is. Because I love all of my fellow HODLers, I am not going to single out any of the posts or comments.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - MARGIN CALL VS. FORCED LIQUIDATION](https://preview.redd.it/x6wbwddgzi071.jpg?width=800&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b65d44ff3b998ee4f2dcd65212a83312771ac210)](https://preview.redd.it/x6wbwddgzi071.jpg?width=800&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b65d44ff3b998ee4f2dcd65212a83312771ac210)
+
+https://pbs.twimg.com/media/ERNu7C-W4AAleb4.jpg
+
+I know that I, like many of you, have added a bunch a wrinkles since January thanks to many of the brilliant Apes writing DD and the Silverbacks coming and doing AMAs and I'm hoping that you, like me, never get tired of adding more. Since there seems to be a little bit of a misunderstanding about what a margin call actually is, I thought it would be good to provide some clarification and add a few more wrinkles to all of our smooth brains.
+
+Also, if you're looking for a way to pass the time while waiting for the MOASS, I suggest reading through <https://www.investopedia.com/>. There's seriously a ton of ELIA information about investing and the market. This is of course after you catch-up on any of the [AMAs](https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCI4EET9NJPWxUuXGlG6fxPA), [Dr. T's book](https://www.amazon.com/Naked-Short-Greedy-Streets-Failure-ebook/dp/B08XXXRH7T/ref=tmm_kin_swatch_0?_encoding=UTF8&qid=&sr=), and the essential market related movies (MARGIN CALL, The Big Short, The Wall Street Conspiracy, Boiler Room, Wolf of Wall Street, etc.)
+
+Now for what you came here for:
+
+What is a margin call?
+
+Generic definition: ["A margin call is a request for additional collateral when a trader's position or investment drops in value."](https://qz.com/1991073/how-many-funds-are-a-margin-call-away-from-failing-like-archegos/)
+
+This is more of a description of how it works between a retail investor and broker but the principle is the same:
+
+["A margin call occurs when the value of a margin account falls below the account's maintenance margin requirement. It is a demand by a brokerage firm (lender/Bank) to bring the margin account's balance up to the minimum maintenance margin requirement. To satisfy a margin call, the investor (Borrower/Hedge Fund/Institution) of the margin account must either deposit additional funds, deposit unmargined securities, or sell (close) current positions."](https://corporatefinanceinstitute.com/resources/knowledge/trading-investing/margin-call/)
+
+More in depth description about what a margin call is here: <https://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/margincall.asp>
+
+TL;DR: A margin call is the notice that a borrower's collateral has become inadequate for their current investment position. They must either deposit more collateral or close a portion of their "at risk" positions. It is not a forced closeout. A forced closeout is what happens if the borrower is unable to satisfy the margin call. As long as a borrower is continually able to satisfy the requirements of the margin call(s), they are able to keep their position.
+
+> *SPECULATION: This explains why we are seeing so many "Pump & Dumps" of securities that Citadel & Friends have positions in. They're printing money off of these other SCAMS in order to satisfy the margin requirements for the positions they currently hold while they string them out to try to slowly unwind them over time.*
+
+DO NOT DAY TRADE GME! DO NOT FALL FOR ANY OF THESE OTHER PUMPED SECURITIES/CRYPTO! DON'T FEED THE BEARS, THEY'LL EAT YOU!
+
+[![r/Superstonk - MARGIN CALL VS. FORCED LIQUIDATION](https://preview.redd.it/msscs7u5ij071.jpg?width=960&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=0b0bc230858c6cce5120bc04910073938c0d0528)](https://preview.redd.it/msscs7u5ij071.jpg?width=960&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=0b0bc230858c6cce5120bc04910073938c0d0528)
+
+https://i.redd.it/9llkyh6lvo141.jpg
+
+[What is Forced Liquidation?](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/f/forcedliquidation.asp)
+
+Basic Definition:
+
+"Forced selling or forced liquidation usually entails the involuntary sale of assets or securities to create liquidity in the event of an uncontrollable or unforeseen situation."
+
+"Within the investing world, if a margin call is issued and the investor is unable to bring their investment up to the minimum requirements, the broker has the right to sell off the positions."
+
+THIS IS THE SPECIFIC TYPE OF LIQUIDATION WE ARE WAITING FOR:
+
+"The opposite of forced selling in a margin account is a forced buy-in. This occurs in a short seller's account when the original lender of the shares recalls them or when the broker is no longer able to borrow shares for the shorted position. When a forced buy-in is triggered, shares are bought back to close the short position. The account holder might not be given notice prior to the act."
+
+[![r/Superstonk - MARGIN CALL VS. FORCED LIQUIDATION](https://preview.redd.it/k7xbxtn60j071.jpg?width=500&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=39079ad5c8e5f5054c711212c0045fa5ba28b747)](https://preview.redd.it/k7xbxtn60j071.jpg?width=500&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=39079ad5c8e5f5054c711212c0045fa5ba28b747)
+
+https://news.ewingirrigation.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/MISC-Ice-Melting1.jpg
+
+TL;DR: Margin Calls are merely steps towards what we really want...a forced buy-in! As long as the shorts continue to meet margin requirements, they will be able to continue to kick the can down the road. A price spike that pushes them beyond their ability to meet the margin requirements, a massive depreciation of their other positions, or regulatory action is needed to trigger the forced selling.
+
+This is the way to MOASS:
+
+1.  BUY & HODL GME
+
+2.  STOP BUYING OTHER GIMICKS/DAY-TRADING/ETC. (Don't feed the bears)
+
+3.  WAIT PATIENTLY FOR FORCED BUY-IN, MARGIN CALLS ARE JUST STEPS TOWARDS THAT END. WHEN SHORTS CAN NO LONGER MEET THE CALL...
+
+🚀🚀 🚀🚀 🚀🚀 🚀🚀
+
+*Let me know if I missed anything...*
+
+Edit: added #DontFeedTheBears
+
+Edit 2: [u/InvincibearREAL](https://www.reddit.com/u/InvincibearREAL/) pointed out that I forgot to include the most obvious movie to be watched (especially considering the post topic): Margin Call ... so I added it to the list
+
+Edit 3: The best TL;DR in ape language courtesy of [u/cryptocached](https://www.reddit.com/u/cryptocached/)
+
+"Margin call is a shart. It stinks and can be a little messy, but it's really just a warning. If you don't heed that warning and take care of your business in a timely fashion, you'll shit your pants in a forced liquidation."
+
+Edit 4: Created [visual TL;DR Post](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/ni9oc1/margin_call_vs_forced_liquidation_in_ape_ape/)

00-Getting-Started/Explain-with-Crayons-series-by-AaronJamesArq/2021-05-24-What-is-Naked-Shorting.md

@@ -0,0 +1,30 @@
+Explain w/ Crayons Series: What is Naked Shorting? Indicators GME is Being Naked Short
+======================================================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/AaronJamesArq](https://www.reddit.com/user/AaronJamesArq/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nk40b6/explain_w_crayons_series_what_is_naked_shorting/) | 
+
+---
+
+[Discussion 🦍](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Discussion%20%F0%9F%A6%8D%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+![image](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/123514720-579d5580-d662-11eb-82f1-8f6094375a05.png)
+
+![image](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/123514724-5cfaa000-d662-11eb-8a3c-f3995878af2b.png)
+
+![image](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/123514728-608e2700-d662-11eb-9fd5-5583011f712a.png)
+
+![image](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/123514738-63891780-d662-11eb-8996-4472d50c5a94.png)
+
+![image](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/123514741-66840800-d662-11eb-889d-1c7c34f5b977.png)
+
+![image](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/123514746-6a178f00-d662-11eb-93fc-8d839161dc8b.png)
+
+![image](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/123514749-6d127f80-d662-11eb-96c4-35cabf514d4e.png)
+
+![image](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/123514751-6f74d980-d662-11eb-8ace-953e43984450.png)
+
+![image](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/123514753-726fca00-d662-11eb-8ad7-236cdd510d0e.png)
+
+![image](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/123514757-74d22400-d662-11eb-9a24-847fae400cc2.png)

00-Getting-Started/Explain-with-Crayons-series-by-AaronJamesArq/2021-05-25-Fundamentals-of-GME.md

@@ -0,0 +1,31 @@
+🖍 Explain w/ Crayons Series: Fundamentals of $GME! Why $GME Should Be Trading Higher
+=====================================================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/AaronJamesArq](https://www.reddit.com/user/AaronJamesArq/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nkouqs/explain_w_crayons_series_fundamentals_of_gme_why/) | 
+
+---
+
+[Education 👨‍🏫 | Data 🔢](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Education%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%8F%AB%20%7C%20Data%20%F0%9F%94%A2%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+![image](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/123514470-34be7180-d661-11eb-94ea-58c3a5d20cc6.png)
+
+![image](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/123514474-38ea8f00-d661-11eb-9dce-c23a80e8ba2e.png)
+
+![image](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/123514480-3e47d980-d661-11eb-950f-80286c4c88b4.png)
+
+![image](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/123514483-4273f700-d661-11eb-95ab-5b3eb02822fb.png)
+
+![image](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/123514487-4869d800-d661-11eb-922d-03ac54defe45.png)
+
+![image](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/123514491-4c95f580-d661-11eb-9b44-5c6ac54d01fa.png)
+
+![image](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/123514496-50c21300-d661-11eb-8aeb-3ca6689514d1.png)
+
+![image](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/123514498-54ee3080-d661-11eb-8013-ae338306a829.png)
+
+![image](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/123514502-59b2e480-d661-11eb-8890-836c287613e9.png)
+
+![image](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/123514507-5ddf0200-d661-11eb-9760-9b4eac6b8034.png)
+

00-Getting-Started/Explain-with-Crayons-series-by-AaronJamesArq/2021-05-26-GME-and-NFTs.md

@@ -0,0 +1,32 @@
+Crayon Explanation 💬🖍 GME and NFTs: Bullish Thesis + Possible Catalyst for MOASS
+==================================================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/AaronJamesArq](https://www.reddit.com/user/AaronJamesArq/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nlgnnj/crayon_explanation_gme_and_nfts_bullish_thesis/) | 
+
+---
+
+[Education 👨‍🏫 | Data 🔢](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Education%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%8F%AB%20%7C%20Data%20%F0%9F%94%A2%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+![image](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/123514554-98489f00-d661-11eb-9638-35a2564e97c8.png)
+
+![image](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/123514562-9c74bc80-d661-11eb-9b04-62e9f353e8db.png)
+
+![image](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/123514565-9f6fad00-d661-11eb-9ca2-04cb3bc3f5ae.png)
+
+![image](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/123514568-a4ccf780-d661-11eb-8aac-033111989efd.png)
+
+![image](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/123514571-a72f5180-d661-11eb-8dca-4bce5a8c3dc0.png)
+
+![image](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/123514572-aac2d880-d661-11eb-98b8-2454afe97c10.png)
+
+![image](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/123514574-ae565f80-d661-11eb-89d3-c881ad6590cc.png)
+
+![image](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/123514577-b1515000-d661-11eb-9b23-3df13cf62418.png)
+
+![image](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/123514580-b44c4080-d661-11eb-80b7-111a0b1e51f5.png)
+
+![image](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/123514583-b7473100-d661-11eb-97ea-69abc669ca79.png)
+
+![image](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/123514587-badab800-d661-11eb-8c12-771ae4b4be8c.png)

00-Getting-Started/Explain-with-Crayons-series-by-AaronJamesArq/2021-05-27-Exit-Strategy-Refresher.md

@@ -0,0 +1,36 @@
+Crayon Explanation 💬🖍 Exit Strategy Vocabulary Refresher Lesson For Apes
+==========================================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/AaronJamesArq](https://www.reddit.com/user/AaronJamesArq/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nm5jvp/crayon_explanation_exit_strategy_vocabulary/) | 
+
+---
+
+[Education 👨‍🏫 | Data 🔢](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Education%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%8F%AB%20%7C%20Data%20%F0%9F%94%A2%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+![image](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/123514626-ed84b080-d661-11eb-9625-fcd8fbb3eb2d.png)
+
+![image](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/123514629-f1183780-d661-11eb-8df9-fd2827b5de40.png)
+
+![image](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/123514630-f4abbe80-d661-11eb-8916-82fc5526a7df.png)
+
+![image](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/123514632-f7a6af00-d661-11eb-8539-1751d49d3934.png)
+
+![image](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/123514637-fc6b6300-d661-11eb-95e1-0cac4498d06a.png)
+
+![image](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/123514638-fffeea00-d661-11eb-8340-faf14f32e009.png)
+
+![image](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/123514643-02f9da80-d662-11eb-8d4b-b65c4a91867f.png)
+
+![image](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/123514646-068d6180-d662-11eb-91fe-f268ff63b336.png)
+
+![image](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/123514651-09885200-d662-11eb-9c23-16bb70bda60a.png)
+
+![image](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/123514655-0c834280-d662-11eb-93fd-9344f509f05a.png)
+
+![image](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/123514660-1016c980-d662-11eb-8e63-94ff57decb8d.png)
+
+![image](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/123514664-12792380-d662-11eb-9e07-de8d990ad661.png)
+
+![image](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/123514667-15741400-d662-11eb-8a14-88e4ae2ab77e.png)

01-Must-Read/2021-05-23-We-Are-All-Fucked.md

@@ -0,0 +1,267 @@
+We're All Fucked
+================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/CoffeeLaxative](https://www.reddit.com/user/CoffeeLaxative/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nj1guf/were_all_fucked/) | 
+
+---
+
+[Education 👨‍🏫 | Data 🔢](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Education%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%8F%AB%20%7C%20Data%20%F0%9F%94%A2%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+I have no background in macroeconomics. In fact, I'm in healthcare. However, this is what I've gathered in all of my 3 months of investing, learning more about econ and finance than my own field. You tell me what you think and where we stand. The title of my post... pretty much sums up my thoughts. If I made any mistakes, please let me know. After all, I'm a smooth 🧠.
+
+1\. S&P 500 inflation-adjusted earnings yield 🔥
+
+You may have seen this picture from this [post](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/niem73/sp_500_inflationadjusted_earnings_yield_falls/). It's the S&P 500 inflation-adjusted earnings yield that's now falling below zero, setting a 40-year low. The last times it fell below 0 were in 2008 (housing bubble), 2000 (dotcom bubble), 1987 (Black Monday), 1973 (recession). And it's going under again. Here's [another post about it, with Crescat Capital's letter.](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nil0ww/sp_500_negative_yield_crescat_capital_letter_may/) Essentially, impending boom ?
+
+[![r/Superstonk - We're All Fucked](https://preview.redd.it/jgvo3ctrpb171.png?width=721&format=png&auto=webp&s=6417c2f97f4dbbdfb4c114fff9abfa1b0fe034f8)](https://preview.redd.it/jgvo3ctrpb171.png?width=721&format=png&auto=webp&s=6417c2f97f4dbbdfb4c114fff9abfa1b0fe034f8)
+
+2\. The Repo Market 💣
+
+It's been all the talk lately. Lately, the Fed has been conducting reverse repo operations at higher and higher amounts. On May 20th, we hit the 5th highest ever with $351B and 48 participating counterparties.
+
+Then on May 21st, reverse repos reached $369B with 52 participants! Compare this to two weeks ago where we had less than half that amount, $155B on May 6th. Here's a chart showing reverse repos from January til today. Notice the exponential increase ? Ya, shit is fucked.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - We're All Fucked](https://preview.redd.it/cf707nbxpb171.png?width=793&format=png&auto=webp&s=a804fd59f761970edd40cf1a76b2ca4e8fb5ac65)](https://preview.redd.it/cf707nbxpb171.png?width=793&format=png&auto=webp&s=a804fd59f761970edd40cf1a76b2ca4e8fb5ac65)
+
+Data from: <https://apps.newyorkfed.org/markets/autorates/temp>
+
+Edit: 05/25: reverse repo @ $432.96 billion.
+
+If you are not familiar with the repo market, I recommend reading this: [The Imminent Liquidity Crisis & Reverse Repos Usage](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nhepn1/the_imminent_liquidity_crisis_reverse_repos_usage/) or watching George Gammon's YouTube video (Repo Market Rates Turn Negative).
+
+Wat mean? Means there is too much cash in the system and not enough collateral (like treasury bonds). It means there's an imbalance between dollars (which are essentially IOUs) and whatever is backing the dollar's worth.
+
+Why imbalance ?
+
+-   Quantitative easing (money printer go BRRRR)
+
+-   Rehypothecation (the same treasury bond being lent to A for 10k, who lent it to B for 10k, who lent it to C for 10k, ... but there is only 1 treasury bond and now 30k was lent.)
+
+-   Probably more reasons
+
+So now, nobody wants $ (except you and I) and all of these institutions want treasury bonds. And as of May 21, treasury bonds have a negative interest rate! Source: <https://www.dtcc.com/charts/dtcc-gcf-repo-index>
+
+[![r/Superstonk - We're All Fucked](https://preview.redd.it/fbzehm75rb171.png?width=474&format=png&auto=webp&s=860034b8555e891462abedd4753be32043dfece4)](https://preview.redd.it/fbzehm75rb171.png?width=474&format=png&auto=webp&s=860034b8555e891462abedd4753be32043dfece4)
+
+U. S. Treasury < 30-year maturity (371487AE9).
+
+In other words, banks and institutions want these treasury bonds so bad, they're ready to pay (lend) what it's worth and pay some more cash to get their hands on it.
+
+3\. Crypto Correction / Crash ⚡
+
+The crypto market dropped $1 trillion in the past 2 weeks ($700 billion last week and ~$300 billion the week before if I got my facts right). The leading coin went from ~$59k to ~$30k and all other coins followed.
+
+So there's a LOT of differing opinions on this matter, on why it happened... Elon Musk, China, etc. Let's agree that it was probably a combination of everything. It also seems that the leading coin followed a textbook Wyckoff distribution, essentially a method to fleece retail investors (yet again!).
+
+[![r/Superstonk - We're All Fucked](https://preview.redd.it/hynaaywmrb171.png?width=1759&format=png&auto=webp&s=d70c230eed55df463d46d74b763ae978fe064896)](https://preview.redd.it/hynaaywmrb171.png?width=1759&format=png&auto=webp&s=d70c230eed55df463d46d74b763ae978fe064896)
+
+Huge volume spike on May 19th. Very sus
+
+[![r/Superstonk - We're All Fucked](https://preview.redd.it/kmksmruzrb171.png?width=738&format=png&auto=webp&s=3ce95a840845a0178cd303acf4acef3b938192bc)](https://preview.redd.it/kmksmruzrb171.png?width=738&format=png&auto=webp&s=3ce95a840845a0178cd303acf4acef3b938192bc)
+
+The sell off occurred mostly between 8:50 - 8:55 AM EST and continued til 9:10 AM on May 19th.
+
+What happened on May 19th ? Oh, right! OCC had previously issued a letter to members notifying them of temporary increase in deposits for clearing fund size totaling [$588M due at 9:00 AM on 5/19/2021](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nftyg4/occ_has_issued_a_statement_to_all_clearing/). So, let's all agree the crash was caused by a combination of everything.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - We're All Fucked](https://preview.redd.it/n8lb7266sb171.png?width=1048&format=png&auto=webp&s=d2400092f719b7759f880782309592d56db1f66f)](https://preview.redd.it/n8lb7266sb171.png?width=1048&format=png&auto=webp&s=d2400092f719b7759f880782309592d56db1f66f)
+
+Many coins were affected 6 days ago. Screenshot by u/incandescent-leaf
+
+Edit:
+
+-   Here's an interesting DD that could shed some light on these crypto whales: <https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nkde38/bitcoin_address_activity_appear_to_mirror_gme/>
+
+-   It's also interesting how Goldman Sachs now considers the leading coin as an asset class. The timing is what's most intriguing. Last weekend, crypto had another big sell off. <https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-is-officially-a-new-asset-class-goldman-sachs-103540636.html>
+
+4\. Commercial mortgage backed securities (CMBS) 🏬
+
+According to Fitch Ratings, US CMBS delinquencies ticked up in April for the first time since October 2020, mostly from hotels and regional malls.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - We're All Fucked](https://preview.redd.it/9uq512i9sb171.png?width=991&format=png&auto=webp&s=eda234c027d79eb6d1318e5036dde2b2aa7f1538)](https://preview.redd.it/9uq512i9sb171.png?width=991&format=png&auto=webp&s=eda234c027d79eb6d1318e5036dde2b2aa7f1538)
+
+Source: <https://www.fitchratings.com/research/structured-finance/us-cmbs-delinquencies-tick-up-in-april-for-first-time-since-october-2020-07-05-2021>
+
+I don't know about you, but this suuure reminds me of something... and this don't look good.
+
+🚀🚀 Edit 🚀🚀
+
+*Thank you to* [u/Due-Mountain-9044](https://www.reddit.com/u/Due-Mountain-9044/) *for this:*
+
+In his interview and in his new article, Ryan Grim calls CMBS a BIGGER problem than the 2008 housing crisis:
+
+-   Article: <https://theintercept.com/2021/04/20/wall-street-cmbs-dollar-general-ladder-capital/>
+
+-   YouTube: <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pRHwhvUc54A>
+
+-   Podcast: <https://theintercept.com/2021/04/23/deconstructed-whistleblower-financial-crisis/>
+
+4.1 Mortgages 🏠
+
+*Thank you to* [u/plasticbiner](https://www.reddit.com/u/plasticbiner/) *for also pointing this out:*
+
+New Report From Consumer Financial Protection Bureau Finds Over 11 Million Families At Risk Of Losing Housing (March 1, 2021)
+
+[![r/Superstonk - We're All Fucked](https://preview.redd.it/jvx7x1an3b171.png?width=1015&format=png&auto=webp&s=1574c782f2610c6712f6605be9bc02cade2d0bd9)](https://preview.redd.it/jvx7x1an3b171.png?width=1015&format=png&auto=webp&s=1574c782f2610c6712f6605be9bc02cade2d0bd9)
+
+Source: https://www.consumerfinance.gov/about-us/newsroom/new-report-from-consumer-financial-protection-bureau-finds-over-11-million-families-at-risk-of-losing-housing/
+
+🚀🚀End of edit 🚀🚀
+
+5\. Banks, hedge funds, and the Fed working 24/7 🏦
+
+We've seen the night pics and enjoyed them. Quite the norm nowadays, but quite unusual still.
+
+<https://preview.redd.it/tw0ubnrays071.png?width=1902&format=png&auto=webp&s=f7fae2895a00a4292eb6c22b3cf92fbbb9d6cccb>
+
+But wait! There's more. Not only do they have to deal with the stock market, the repo market, CMBS, paying their employees for overtime... they're also losing money with fines.
+
+-   UBS, Nomura fined $452 million by the EU. Bank of America, Credit Suisse Group AG and Credit Agricole were fined about 28.5 million euros last month. Source: <https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ubs-nomura-unicredit-fined-452-100701721.html>
+
+-   Since January 2021 up until today, the SEC has awarded ~$163.2 million to whistleblowers. Whistleblowers get 10-30% of the money collected, which means someone is bleeding from $544 million to $1.632B.
+
+-   And then the petty fines by the SEC that I won't list. Chump change for them.
+
+There's also weird or bad news every week :
+
+-   The European Bank Issues Financial Stability Warning. [Reddit post on this](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nh913m/the_european_bank_issues_financial_stability/)
+
+-   In Mexico, [BBVA closes 867 branches and 1 million credit cards.](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nhgrt5/closing_867_bank_branches_and_a_million_credit/) In Spain, they closed 530 branches.
+
+-   Banks are planning on launching a pilot program where they will issue credit cards to people with no credit scores: <https://www.wsj.com/articles/jpmorgan-others-plan-to-issue-credit-cards-to-people-with-no-credit-scores-11620898206>
+
+-   Not to mention the margin calls already happening on [Wall Street as reported by European financial news](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nb9pon/european_financial_news_is_reporting_major_margin/)
+
+-   Much more... won't dig further. It's 1:30 am lol
+
+🚀🚀 Edit 🚀🚀 I'm back at it 3 days later
+
+Here are a few more articles to make you go "Hmmmm 🤔"
+
+-   Right after supposedly great earnings, Morgan Stanley sells $6 billion worth of bonds, following JP Morgan which sold $13 billion of bonds. Goldman Sachs also issued $6 billion of bonds. Source: <https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/morgan-stanley-joins-bank-bond-bonanza-with-three-part-sale-1.1592121>
+
+-   Over-leveraged Archegos Capital Management cost Credit Suisse $4.7+ billion in losses. Morgan Stanley dumped $5 billion in shares in Archegos' stocks before fire sale. Nomura losses could be as much as $2 billion. Source: <https://www.cnbc.com/2021/04/06/morgan-stanley-dumped-5-billion-in-archegos-stocks-before-fire-sale.html> and <https://www.cnn.com/2021/03/29/investing/wall-street-hedge-fund-archegos/index.html>. Keep in mind Archegos was just a small family firm. How many more are there ?
+
+-   Italian bank collapses on exposure to Greensill and GFG. Source : <https://www.ft.com/content/c02a6e97-5505-4d4a-933f-a0e934ca6eda>
+
+🚀🚀 End of edit 🚀🚀
+
+On top of that, the CEOs of all major US banks have to testify before Congress this week on May 26th and 27th. Source : <https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-04-15/wall-street-bank-ceos-called-to-testify-before-congress-in-may>
+
+How often does this happen ? Since 2008, they were called twice to testify before Congress according to above article.
+
+6\. The rich divorcing and/or selling stocks 💔
+
+So Bill Gates divorced and Gabe Plotkin divorced ? Huh. Weird...
+
+[![r/Superstonk - We're All Fucked](https://preview.redd.it/npk8r7sisb171.png?width=1843&format=png&auto=webp&s=4d0027e7f8aff470b5261852c4c9d77eca4e3380)](https://preview.redd.it/npk8r7sisb171.png?width=1843&format=png&auto=webp&s=4d0027e7f8aff470b5261852c4c9d77eca4e3380)
+
+Wow. That's a lotta shares. A week before the tech sector dumped.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - We're All Fucked](https://preview.redd.it/zaru329qsb171.png?width=1851&format=png&auto=webp&s=e454d39dc0c95a2b9774b013d988be25ff038d3f)](https://preview.redd.it/zaru329qsb171.png?width=1851&format=png&auto=webp&s=e454d39dc0c95a2b9774b013d988be25ff038d3f)
+
+Mark Zuckerberg selling his FB shares. Goes all the way back to February.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - We're All Fucked](https://preview.redd.it/f2ouo5l4tb171.png?width=1852&format=png&auto=webp&s=ab00893677a8db4726d740bef4520169e1e5896e)](https://preview.redd.it/f2ouo5l4tb171.png?width=1852&format=png&auto=webp&s=ab00893677a8db4726d740bef4520169e1e5896e)
+
+Google too?
+
+Source: [finviz.com](https://finviz.com/)
+
+Edit:
+
+-   Let's not forget Warren Buffett and his company Berkshire Hathaway sold most of their bank shares (Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, M&T Bank, PNC Financial, Synchrony Financial, Wells Fargo, US Bancorp, and BNY Mellon) during the past 5 quarters. Source : <https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/warren-buffett-dumped-goldman-sachs-jpmorgan-and-other-bank-stocks-last-year-they-ve-now-surged-to-record-highs-meaning-the-investor-left-billions-on-the-table/ar-AAKc7Dr>
+
+7\. The domestic market and the international markets 📉
+
+Let's look back at the past 2 weeks.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - We're All Fucked](https://preview.redd.it/duhmxe5itb171.png?width=1284&format=png&auto=webp&s=9c6bfde6a2be1b567cdb1452511b99cc9bfc9872)](https://preview.redd.it/duhmxe5itb171.png?width=1284&format=png&auto=webp&s=9c6bfde6a2be1b567cdb1452511b99cc9bfc9872)
+
+05/19 by u/CryptoFX1
+
+[![r/Superstonk - We're All Fucked](https://preview.redd.it/geupg0nmtb171.png?width=1136&format=png&auto=webp&s=8f07d1be7f95801e2515e780313342ce1d5e2d6f)](https://preview.redd.it/geupg0nmtb171.png?width=1136&format=png&auto=webp&s=8f07d1be7f95801e2515e780313342ce1d5e2d6f)
+
+On May 12, Nikkei Bled. Only 1% Away From the Low of Jan 28. by u/incandescent-leaf
+
+[![r/Superstonk - We're All Fucked](https://preview.redd.it/yylsva8stb171.png?width=960&format=png&auto=webp&s=d60431874a4b4df632980e526b9af812ada31d7f)](https://preview.redd.it/yylsva8stb171.png?width=960&format=png&auto=webp&s=d60431874a4b4df632980e526b9af812ada31d7f)
+
+"Taiwan Stock Exchange Index just wiped out YTD gains. This is abnormal. Very likely that it will also affect the US markets (though many can argue that this is actually a reflection of the US markets, and I would agree)" by u/_atworkdontsendnudes
+
+-   [Asian markets](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nahhak/asian_markets_are_tanking_once_again_following/) and [other international markets](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nafv9y/international_markets_are_doing_super_well_honest/) are tanking, following another day of decline in the US markets (May 12-13)
+
+Ok, the market has had its green days here and there. But overall, it's been pretty unusually red, right ? Yeah, also, all of this could be unrelated. Could be a coincidence. What do I know ? You be the judge.
+
+8\. The media 📰
+
+Usually very biased or bought out, but there are some exceptions like this article: [Are we on the verge of a new financial crisis?](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/ncgojw/are_we_on_the_verge_of_a_new_financial_crisis_the/) The GameStop case, the signals of Hedge Funds and the rise of crypto.
+
+What's concerning is that even "biased media" is warning of inflation, hyperinflation and an impending crash. No links, just go on YouTube. If they're talking about it, we know shit's about to hit the fan soon...
+
+Edit:
+
+-   Ever doubted media manipulation ? Remember this video ["Independent" media using the EXACT same words](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nbpusp/if_you_ever_doubted_media_manipulation_remember/) and this video of the 2008 crash: [Not a single expert/spokesperson mentioned the true cause of the crash; Mortgage Bonds.](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nbrl8h/watch_this_video_of_cnbc_during_the_2008_crash/)
+
+-   Remember "Bear Stearns is fine" back in 2008 ? Cramer says he's confident inflation will not end up crushing US economy. Source : <https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/cramer-says-hes-confident-inflation-will-not-end-up-crushing-us-economy/ar-AAKl951>
+
+-   Motley Fool agrees, as per their "38 reasons you don't have to fear a stock market crash" article: <https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/23/38-reason-you-dont-have-to-fear-stock-market-crash/>
+
+9\. GameStop 🎮
+
+I think you know what I'm thinking of. Let me just repeat this. We have played the game while following the rules. We played against players that had cheat codes in an unfair game, designed for us to lose. Yet, here we are.
+
+Buy, hodl, and vote fellow 🐈 & 🦍& 🐜. I appreciate you all. The rest can fuck right off.
+
+🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀
+
+```
+Edit: alright, who the f reported me ? Seems like the shills don't like this. To everyone else, I am perfectly happy with my life 😉🤑
+
+Edit 2: I guess I was too subtle. I was reported for self-harm and potential suicide. Let me make it clear, I have absolutely zero thoughts about this. I love my life, even if it's a mess.
+
+Also, thank you all for the awards and kind feedback! Was not expecting to gain so much traction. "Controversial" title is a reference to the movie The Big Short. Some of you (superstonkers) caught on.
+
+Lots of great input and good discussion in the comments.
+
+A few people questioning my sources and my background. Listen... forget it.
+
+```
+
+🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀
+
+10\. The flurry of new rules and regulations 📝
+
+-   Let's not forget Gary Gensler, Chairman of the SEC, was sworn in on a Saturday (April 17, 2021). [Why the Weekend Swear in Ceremony for Gary Gensler is of Significance](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mtikm9/why_the_weekend_swear_in_ceremony_for_gary/)
+
+-   Also interesting how the DTCC, OCC, ICC, and NSCC have been implementing new rules and regulations like crazy in such a short time-span. Below is an overview of them (credits to [u/MATTATI2005](https://www.reddit.com/u/MATTATI2005/)). And here's [another great DD](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/ngru15/the_flurry_of_rules_before_the_storm_dtc_icc_occ/) tying them in with the FTD cycles of GME.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - We're All Fucked](https://preview.redd.it/hdabo7p6vc171.png?width=975&format=png&auto=webp&s=d089ca7c3e1d9cf27bfdb9ed0762f9b036c4b643)](https://preview.redd.it/hdabo7p6vc171.png?width=975&format=png&auto=webp&s=d089ca7c3e1d9cf27bfdb9ed0762f9b036c4b643)
+
+-   Michael J. Burry, famous for seeing the early signs of the 2008 crash and making bank, also got shushed a few months ago, deleting his Twitter account. In his profile, he linked this, only to remove it 1 day later: <https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/ins-and-outs-of-collateral-re-use-20181221.htm>. Here's a great DD explaining how Michael Burry Handed us the Missing Piece on a Silver Plate, [How Financial Institutions Using US Treasury Securities Nearly Caused the Market to Collapse and What Does it Mean for Us](https://www.reddit.com/r/GME/comments/mil875/michael_burry_handed_us_the_missing_piece_on_a/)
+
+11\. Margin debt 💵
+
+FINRA Margin Debt is at a current level of 822.55B, up from 813.68B last month and up from 479.29B one year ago. This is a change of 1.09% from last month and 71.62% from one year ago. Source: <https://ycharts.com/indicators/finra_margin_debt>. Thank you to [u/CapoeiraCharles](https://www.reddit.com/u/CapoeiraCharles/) who reminded me of this.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - We're All Fucked](https://preview.redd.it/szaksdemvb171.png?width=1154&format=png&auto=webp&s=b8b26435ab2e534370f322600c2a7ffa1098ce13)](https://preview.redd.it/szaksdemvb171.png?width=1154&format=png&auto=webp&s=b8b26435ab2e534370f322600c2a7ffa1098ce13)
+
+[![r/Superstonk - We're All Fucked](https://preview.redd.it/9ot4jz0nqb171.png?width=910&format=png&auto=webp&s=1fe3c5cad336c78e6aa3846438430e3f4d94a8ff)](https://preview.redd.it/9ot4jz0nqb171.png?width=910&format=png&auto=webp&s=1fe3c5cad336c78e6aa3846438430e3f4d94a8ff)
+
+12\. More charts 📉
+
+I'm just going to leave this here. You be the judge of what this all means. Credits to [u/peruvian_bull](https://www.reddit.com/u/peruvian_bull/).
+
+[![r/Superstonk - We're All Fucked](https://preview.redd.it/b5k88sr7pb171.png?width=640&format=png&auto=webp&s=76a3b153b728898635c81fa78de60d775554210b)](https://preview.redd.it/b5k88sr7pb171.png?width=640&format=png&auto=webp&s=76a3b153b728898635c81fa78de60d775554210b)
+
+13\. Final words 💎
+
+My goal is not to incite panic but to share data and encourage discussion. Without knowledge, where would we even begin, let alone be prepared ? Imo, this is what makes [r/superstonk](https://www.reddit.com/r/superstonk/) great. It's like a hive mind of 300k+ people sharing info.
+
+To those who are panicking, I believe US banks insure up to $250k for each account. The comment section below is quite informative as well.
+
+Are all the points in my post correlated ? Maybe, maybe not. Saying they are would be speculation. However, each point was based on facts and I think that's what matters. The rest is up for you to decide.
+
+This is not financial advice. If I missed anything, please let me know.
+
+🚀🚀🚀

01-Must-Read/2021-05-26-Mother-of-All-Short-Squeezes-Thesis.md

@@ -0,0 +1,470 @@
+I. IMPORTANT LINKS FOR NEW MEMBERS TO [r/superstonk](https://old.reddit.com/r/superstonk)
+=========================================================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/HCMF_MaceFace](https://old.reddit.com/user/HCMF_MaceFace) | [Reddit](https://old.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nletnn/gme_the_mother_of_all_short_squeezes_moass_thesis/) | 
+
+---
+
+-   [APE Security Protocol (how to secure and protect yourself online)](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nsgv3d/ape_security_protocols/)
+-   [DD Beginners Guide Page](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/njwv6n/the_gme_masters_guide_a_dd_campaign_for_apes/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share)
+-   [Wiki](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/wiki/index)
+
+II. INTRO / INTENTION OF POST
+=============================
+
+The core intention of this post was to frame the MOASS Thesis in a way that was understandable to individuals inside and outside of the community (especially those who are relatively new to the market). It also is intended to serve as a reference to leverage if you are ever trying to explain to someone why you think it is a good investment option.
+
+This post will give a *relatively* simplistic breakdown of the current situation and landscape of GameStop Stock (GME). It will summarize the theory that GME's price will soon reach astronomical levels during a massive short squeeze, AKA "The Mother of all Short Squeezes (MOASS) Thesis". The bulk of this post is a breakdown of the market terms and concepts that will need to be understood in order to fully comprehend the who-what-when-where-why-how.
+
+III. Personal note
+==================
+
+Feel free to use the contents of this post however you want. Don't worry about asking for permission to copy it, cross-post it, translate it, refine and use it in your own posts, etc.
+
+Leave a comment if you have any questions. If you prefer Chat or do not meet karma requirements, you can hit me up on chat as well
+
+> Note that, while I may have a good grasp on the concepts broken down in this post, my background is not in finance, investing, or trading, so there may be some questions I do not have the answer do (especially if they are not called out in this post)
+
+I have found myself more active on [Twitter](https://twitter.com/intent/user?screen_name=HCMF_MaceFace) than I ever really expected to be, so feel free to [follow me](https://twitter.com/intent/user?screen_name=HCMF_MaceFace) if you want things like the below:
+
+-   Antagonizing Market Adversaries, MSM Shills, etc.
+-   Meme-ing with SuperStonk and the other Apes in the community
+-   Getting Notifications for Future DD I post
+
+Disclaimer
+
+> This writeup is NOT intended to serve as a source of proof/evidence behind this theory, and it operates under the assumption that the theory is valid and that the conditions it is built on are valid. Credit for the DD this Thesis is based on belongs to the broader retail community inside and outside of [r/superstonk](https://old.reddit.com/r/superstonk). I personally contributed very little beyond synthesizing and summarizing the thesis and mechanics in a digestible way to help enable others to get the word out, and I am not an expert on really any of these topics despite having some knowledge in them.
+
+IV. TL;DR (Also at Bottom)
+==========================
+
+1.  Toxic Market Participants have built up massive [short positions](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/short.asp) made through [Naked Shorting](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/n/nakedshorting.asp)
+2.  Retail caught on to this strategy and discovered it can backfire if the company being shorted does not go bankrupt, especially if shares are bought and held indefinitely
+3.  Rules and regulations have implemented by the DTCC and its subsidiaries have been geared towards preventing market collapse, as well as to minimize the ability to perform illegal trades (naked shorting)
+4.  The SEC is also doing more to enforce compliance with the "rules"
+5.  The manipulators are at the mercy of a vicious trade cycle (t+21 FTD Cycle) that is forcing those with naked short positions to perform actions to [cover](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/shortcovering.asp) (buy back shares that are short), or risk regulatory consequences
+6.  This act of rapid covering drives up the price, making it more expensive to cover during the next cycle if the share price continues to increase week over week
+7.  Eventually, the prices of GME will get so high that prime brokers/clearing houses will have no choice but to [Margin Call](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/margincall.asp) these participants which most likely will not be affordable due to the nature of [Short Squeezes](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/shortsqueeze.asp), causing them to default
+8.  The [Prime-Brokers](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/primebrokerage.asp) will then take on the position, and if the Prime Brokers cannot cover them and also defaults, the NSCC will be next to attempt to settle all positions left over based on their [Recovery and Wind-down Plan (p42)](https://www.dtcc.com/~/media/Files/Downloads/legal/policy-and-compliance/NSCC_Disclosure_Framework.pdf)
+9.  If NSCC cannot afford to close everything with the money reserved for this type of situation, they the Fed must navigate the remaining positions (potentially via printing money/bailout)
+
+V. KEY CONCEPTS
+===============
+
+These terms are key to understanding the theory and speculated value of a GME investment. Hyperlinks to [Investopedia](https://www.investopedia.com/), "the world's leading source of financial content on the web", have been included for most market terms and concepts and it is recommended to check them out if they are not clear. We will be breaking down some of the more complex terms and concepts within the post and framing them within the context of GME.
+
+Table of Contents for Key Concepts
+
+1.  Stocks Concepts
+    1.  Share/Stock
+    2.  Synthetic Shares
+    3.  Outstanding Shares
+    4.  Restricted Shares
+    5.  The Float
+    6.  Annual General Meeting
+    7.  Shareholder Votes
+2.  Trade Positions
+    1.  Long Position - Buying/Selling Stock
+    2.  Short Position - Shorting/Covering Stock
+    3.  Naked Short Position - Naked Shorting/Covering Stock
+3.  Market Participants
+    1.  Retail Investors
+    2.  Institutional Investors
+    3.  Market Makers
+    4.  Prime Brokers
+    5.  Clearinghouses
+    6.  MSM
+4.  IMPORTANT MARKET/TRADE MECHANICS (MOASS)
+    1.  Fails to Deliver (FTD)
+    2.  Margin
+    3.  Margin Calls
+    4.  Margin Calls Who Calls Who
+    5.  Short Squeeze
+
+1 - STOCKS CONCEPTS
+===================
+
+1.1 - Shares/Stock
+------------------
+
+[Shares](https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/difference-between-shares-and-stocks/#shares) are the smallest unit of a Companies [Stock](https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/difference-between-shares-and-stocks/#stocks)
+
+-   Stocks and Shares are often used interchangeably
+-   Technically "shares" would represent how many of a specific company's stock, where buying multiple "stocks" would main that shares of multiple company's were bought
+    -   ex. I bought 2 stocks; 10 shares of GME, and 60 shares of AMC
+-   There are different [classes of shares](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/class.asp) that are distinguished on their voting rights, sales charges, and other factors
+    -   Classes of shares have relatively complex dynamics, but I will not go further into them here, as it is not as relevant to GME/AMC
+
+1\. 2 - Synthetic Shares
+------------------------
+
+[Synthetic Shares](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/synthetic.asp) are the financial instruments that get produced through [Naked Shorting](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/n/nakedshorting.asp)
+
+-   Not to be confused with [synthetic options](https://www.investopedia.com/articles/optioninvestor/08/synthetic-options.asp) positions, which are legal/legitimate trade strategies that "simulate" the profits/losses as if the trader actually held those shares
+-   Synthetic shares entitle the owner to all of the same rights as an investor owning a non-synthetic share
+-   Cases where there is an excessive amount of synthetic shares point to the possibility that a stock is being abused or manipulated
+-   Cannot be easily measured due to limited public transparency at the Market Maker and Prime Broker level
+
+1.3 - Outstanding Shares
+------------------------
+
+The number of [Outstanding shares](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/o/outstandingshares.asp) encompasses the amount of issued shares held by all shareholders (both private and public)
+
+-   It is possible for there to be more shares outstanding through Naked shorting, which produces Synthetic shares
+-   The number of issued AND synthetic shares outstanding is very difficult to measure, as they are only recorded on the books of the market makers generating synthetic shares and the prime-brokers they trade through
+    -   These parties are not incentivized to be transparent and actively obscure these numbers, as the practice of naked shorting excessively is fraudulent and illegal
+
+1.4 - Restricted Shares
+-----------------------
+
+[Restricted shares](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/restrictedstock.asp) include the number of issued shares held by insiders of the company
+
+-   These shares are not publicly traded on the stock market
+
+1.5 - The Float
+---------------
+
+[The Float](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/f/floating-stock.asp), or Floating Stock is the number of shares of stock that are available to be publicly traded (the number of [Outstanding shares](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/o/outstandingshares.asp) minus the amount of [Restricted shares](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/restrictedstock.asp) that are owned by insiders).
+
+-   In theory, the number of shares owned by [retail investors](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/retailinvestor.asp) and [institutional investors](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/i/institutionalinvestor.asp) should not exceed the float
+-   GME's float total is currently ~[56.89 Million](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GME/key-statistics/) shares (as of 6/10/21)
+
+1.6 - Shareholder Votes
+-----------------------
+
+[Annual General Meetings](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/a/agm.asp) basically is an annual meeting that allows shareholders to vote
+
+-   Votes are cast for things like
+    -   Appointment of directors
+    -   Executive compensation
+    -   Dividend adjustments
+
+1.7 - Shareholder Votes
+=======================
+
+[Shareholder Voting](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/v/votingright.asp) is a right extended to shareholders holding shares in the stock that entitle the owner to vote on cooperate policies
+
+-   Examples of what votes are cast for
+    -   Appointment of directors
+    -   Executive compensation
+    -   Dividend adjustments
+-   [Overvoting (info in the middle of this page)](https://www.sec.gov/spotlight/proxyprocess/proxyvotingbrief.htm)
+    -   When there is an overvote (like GME on 6/9), the votes will be normalized to a number based on the amount of shares that are held by DTC
+    -   The official 8K form cannot be officially submitted with an overvote
+        -   When this happens, the SEC and Company are notified
+
+2 - TRADE POSITIONS
+===================
+
+2.1 - Long Position - Buying/Selling Stock
+------------------------------------------
+
+When an investor buys a stock they are considered [long](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/l/long.asp) on it (this is the type of position most people associate with trading stocks)
+
+-   Not to be confused with a [long-term](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/l/longterminvestments.asp) investment
+-   In other words, holders of long positions have a positive number of shares
+-   To [close](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/closeposition.asp) a long position the owner would sell their shares on the stock market
+
+Basic flow of obtaining/closing a long position is:
+
+1.  Buy the stock
+2.  Hold it until the price of it increases to a desired amount
+3.  Sell it for a profit
+
+2.2 - Short Position - Shorting/Covering Stock
+----------------------------------------------
+
+When a short seller shorts a stock they hold a [short position](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/short.asp) on the stock, or owe the party they borrowed from however many shares they shorted
+
+-   Not to be confused with a [short-term](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/shorterminvestments.asp) investment
+-   Investors with short positions effectively are *in debt* or *owe* the number of shares that they have shorted and can be considered *negative* on the stock
+-   To close that position, short-sellers must buy a number of shares equal to the size of their short position (buying to close a short position is known as [covering](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/shortcovering.asp))
+-   Short positions must be reported to regulators (unlike naked short sales)
+
+Basic flow of obtaining/closing a short position:
+
+1.  Borrow a share owned by a lender
+2.  Sell the stock that was borrowed
+3.  Gaining the cash based on the price it was at the time it was "shorted"
+4.  Pay interest as a percentage of the stock's value
+5.  Since this is a percentage the cost of interest increases if the stock's value increases
+6.  Hold the position until the price has dropped to a desired price
+7.  Buy the stock on the open market
+8.  Ideally the stock is bought back at a lower price than originally borrowed for so the investor can pocket the difference
+9.  Return the share back to the lender
+
+2.3 - Naked Short Position - Naked Shorting/Covering Stock
+----------------------------------------------------------
+
+[Naked Shorting](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/n/nakedshorting.asp) effectively allows a Short Seller, working with a market maker, to short a stock using a without having a borrowed share like normal short selling
+
+-   Naked short sales do NOT have to be reported the same way as normal "Short Sales" and can be "hidden"
+    -   Failures to Deliver the shares that were "fake-borrowed" to the buyer are on of the main ways to find evidence of naked shorting
+-   Due to a loophole and lack of oversight by regulation, Naked short selling can be used to manipulate the price of certain stocks
+    -   This type of trade illegal outside of specific situations involving Market Makers
+-   Naked shorting was targeted for tighter regulation during the financial crisis of 2008 but enforcement has unfortunately not been effective in preventing it from manipulating the market
+
+Basic flow of obtaining/closing a naked short position (kind of complex and involves two specific parties for 2 initial trades called a married put)
+
+1.  A Short Seller "A" buys 100 shares from a Market Maker "Z" who can technically sell them without locating them
+    1.  Market Maker is Naked Shorting the stock, and the Short Seller is receiving 100 synthetic shares
+2.  Short Seller "A" now buys a [Put Option](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/putoption.asp) (1 options contract is worth 100 shares) from Market Maker "Z" who is the [writer](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/w/writing-an-option.asp) of the put
+    1.  Writing/selling a put nets +100 shares to the Market Maker, which results in the -100 shares that were naked shorted to be neutralized, so the Market Maker no is at a neutral position (Market Makers generally try to remain net 0 on trades
+    2.  Short Seller "A" now has 100 shares that can be short sold (they "borrowing" the synthetic shares the Market Maker effectively printed out of thin air), and one put contract that they can make money on as long as the price goes down
+3.  The steps or the short seller are basically the same as a normal short sale now (2.2 steps 2-8), however, interest from the Short seller does not need to be paid to a lender (no one is formally lending it)
+    1.  The premium from the put being purchased from the Market Maker is how they benefit
+    2.  Short Seller "A" now has a short position that they can cover simply by buying 100 shares, which would cancel out the synthetic short position
+
+3 - MARKET PARTICIPANTS
+=======================
+
+3.1 - Retail Investors
+----------------------
+
+-   Retail Investors, also known as individual investors, are your average investors (not a company or organization)
+-   Referred to as the "Dumb Money" by Wall Street and the "professional" financial community
+-   Reddit communities
+    -   Notable subreddits
+        -   [r/Superstonk](https://old.reddit.com/r/Superstonk)
+        -   [r/gme](https://old.reddit.com/r/gme)
+        -   [r/amcstock](https://old.reddit.com/r/amcstock)
+        -   [r/wallstreetbets](https://old.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets)
+
+3.2 - Institutional Investors
+-----------------------------
+
+[Institutional Investors](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/i/institutionalinvestor.asp) are organizations that invest on individuals' behalf
+
+-   Examples of Institutional Investors
+    -   Endowment Funds
+    -   Commercial Banks
+    -   Mutual Funds
+    -   Hedge funds
+    -   Pension funds
+    -   Insurance companies
+
+3.3 - Market Makers
+-------------------
+
+-   [Market Makers](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/marketmaker.asp) are very different from "Investors" and are a bit harder to explain but basically are there to increase [liquidity](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/l/liquidity.asp) in the market
+-   When you buy and sell stock those trades are often going between you and a market maker
+-   Market makers get "special rules" that enable them to keep liquidity in the market when there is low liquidity
+-   Naked shorting is one of the options Market Makers have when navigating a trade that other investors do not have
+
+3.4 - Prime Brokers
+-------------------
+
+-   A [Prime-Broker](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/primebrokerage.asp) is a bundled group of services that investment banks and other financial institutions offer to hedge funds and other large investment clients that need to be able to borrow securities or cash in order to engage in [netting](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/n/netting.asp) to achieve [absolute returns](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/a/absolutereturn.asp)
+-   [Broker](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/b/broker.asp) vs [Prime-Broker](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/primebrokerage.asp)
+    -   A broker is an individual or entity that facilitates the purchase or sale of securities, such as the buying or selling of stocks and bonds for an investment account. A prime broker is a large institution that provides a multitude of services, from cash management to securities lending to risk management for other large institutions.
+-   [Market Makers](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/marketmaker.asp) like go through Prime Brokers
+    -   The Prime Broker is who would Margin Call Shitadel if their short position gets too large or they bleed too much capital
+
+3.5 - Clearinghouses
+====================
+
+[Clearinghouses](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/clearinghouse.asp) are intermediaries between buyers and sellers
+
+-   Finalize transactions
+-   Regulates delivery of assets
+-   Reports on trading data
+
+3.6* - MSM (Mainstream Media)
+=============================
+
+Though not a traditional market participant (as in they are not trade/financial entities) the [MSM](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/media_effect.asp) is worth noting due to its role in influencing the financial atmosphere and landscape
+
+4 - IMPORTANT MARKET/TRADE MECHANICS (MOASS)
+============================================
+
+4.1 - Failures to Deliver (FTD)
+-------------------------------
+
+-   [FTDs](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/f/failuretodeliver.asp) occur when a buyer of a stock ends up not having the money to purchase the stock that they traded for OR, when a short seller does not own the stock at the time of settlement
+-   FTDs are one of the main check-balances to naked shorting, so very high amounts of Failures to Deliver are indicative of this
+    -   Spoiler: GME and AMC have tons of FTDs reported
+
+4.2 - Margin
+------------
+
+-   [Margin](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/margin.asp) is basically credit that that an investor can use to buy more stock
+-   When you buy on margin you must stake the assets you have already purchased with your own cash as collateral
+-   The amount of Margin you can have depends on the value of your collateral
+-   The value of your collateral and cash but meet the margin requirements in order to continue to buy on margin
+-   Keep in mind the value of your collateral can change if the price goes up or down and if the value of your collateral/cash drops below the margin requirement you will received a [Margin Call](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/margincall.asp) Another way to think about it:
+
+1.  Imagine I have $1,000 in stock
+2.  You obtain a personal loan for another $1000
+3.  To get the credit you stake your $1000 in stock (if you default it goes to the lender to cover your debt)
+4.  You buy $1000 more stock with that loan (you now own $2000 in stocks, half in cash half on margin)
+5.  You will pay interest on the $1000 on margin but if your investment makes more money than the interest then you are still profiting
+6.  If your investment turns bad (lets say the price of your stock falls 50% and you are left with $1000) your lender can forcibly close out your positions (everything you bought in cash and staked as collateral along with what you bought on margin so that they can get the $1000 they loaned you back)
+
+4.3 - Margin Call
+-----------------
+
+-   A Margin Call is a notice indicating you have a specific amount of time to deposit enough of your own funds to meet your margin requirement (if you cannot meet the requirement the lender is entitled to sell all of your holdings to recover what you borrowed
+
+Margin Examples:
+
+> This is a slightly complicated scenario that can be a little hard to follow. Give it a few reads if it doesn't make sense the first time, but basically, Margin is a credit line that you can use to buy more assets (effectively a loan backed by collateral and cash in your own account). If you buy assets with it, you have to pay back what you borrowed, whether the value of your investment goes up or down (if the investment goes up in value, you make more than you normally would, but if the investment goes down in value, you lose more than you otherwise would have without margin).
+>
+> This gets even more (or less maybe) complicated when you have short positions AND long positions, like most institutional investors. To have short positions, I still need to have margin, but I do not need to use it to buy stocks, It can act as a buffer if I have a short position on a stock that is increasing in value (with a short position, if the price of something I short goes up, I am losing money), and if it gets too high, it can run against my margin line, causing a margin call.
+
+GAIN: Long Positions
+
+1.  Imagine I have $1000 in stock XXX (let's say 10 shares worth $100 each)
+2.  My broker may lend me margin credit line equal to the value of my assets (so $1000 in margin), and let's say they give me a margin requirement of $800, meaning that the value of my non-margin assets (the ones I bought with my money) must be above $800 in order to keep using margin (so as long as stock XXX stays above $80 a share, then I will not get a margin call for being below the requirement)
+3.  I then choose to use the margin, buying 10 more shares of stock XXX for $100 each, so I now have 20 shares of stock XXX, valued at 100$ a piece
+4.  If the price of stock XXX goes up to %25 per share, and I sell all 20 shares, I just profited $500 (+$25 on 20 shares)
+    1.  In this case, closing the position clears me from the margin debt, as I am no longer using it in an open position
+    2.  If I had not used margin, I would have only walked away with $250 in profit ($25 per share on 10 shares), but instead I made $500, and paid back the credit, plus a little bit of interest.
+5.  Yay.
+
+LOSS: Long Positions
+
+1.  Imagine I have $1000 in stock XXX (let's say 10 shares worth $100 each)
+2.  My broker may lend me margin credit line equal to the value of my assets (so $1000 in margin), and let's say they give me a margin requirement of $800, meaning that the value of my non-margin assets (the ones I bought with my money) must be above $800 in order to keep using margin (so as long as stock XXX stays above $80 a share, then I will not get a margin call for being below the requirement)
+3.  I then choose to use the margin, buying 10 more shares of stock XXX for $100 each, so I now have 20 shares of stock XXX, valued at 100$ a piece
+4.  If the price of stock XXX goes down %25, bringing the value per share down to $75 a share, the value of my total position is now $1500, and the value of my non-margin assets is $750, which is below the margin requirement (keep in mind, I borrowed $1000, so that is still the amount I have to pay back)
+5.  My lender will give me a margin call, indicating I have two business days to deposit 50$ into my account in order to meet the margin requirement
+    1.  If I have the cash to deposit the extra $50 would take my assets to $800 ($750 in stock XXX + 50$ cash)
+        1.  If the price of stock XXX recovered to above $80 per share, it could also satisfy the requirement
+    2.  If I do not have the cash to deposit, then I am in trouble, as after two days, they are allowed to liquidate (sell) the assets I bought with my own money, as well as the assets I bought on margin
+        1.  Let's say this happens, all my borrowed assets are sold first to cover my $1000 loan (since the price of stock XXX was only $750, it only covers $750 of my $1000 margin line
+        2.  I now have $750 left in assets of Stock X, but I still owe money from margin, so my lender is entitled to sell $250 work of my shares in order to get their full $1000 back
+        3.  I am now left with $500 total ($750 in 10 shares of stock XXX - $250)
+6.  Not Yay
+
+LOSS: Short and Long Positions
+
+THIS IS THE RELEVANT ONE TO GME/AMC
+
+1.  Imagine I have $1000 in stock XXX (let's say 10 shares worth $100 each)
+2.  My broker may lend me margin credit line equal to the value of my assets (so $1000 in margin), and let's say they give me a margin requirement of $800, meaning that the value of my non-margin assets (the ones I bought with my money) must be above $800 in order to keep using margin
+3.  Instead of using the margin to buy more, I instead short 10 shares of stock YYY which is at $50 a share currently (giving me $500 in extra cash), which I use to buy 5 more shares of stock X
+    1.  I am now long 15 shares of stock XXX valued at $1500 and short 10 shares of stock YYY valued at -$500 (negative $500) for a net value of $1000
+    2.  No margin is actively committed to open positions, and I am still using my $1000
+4.  Now, lets say a short squeeze happens involving stock Y, causing the price to skyrocket to $200 per share
+    1.  My short position is now -$2000 (10 shares of -$200 each)
+5.  My net account value is now $-500 ($1500 - $2000) which is now using my margin, and because my account's value is no longer above $800, I no longer meet margin requirements so I get a margin call
+6.  If I cannot balance my account, the lender will liquidate my $1500 in stock XXX in order to pay the -$2000 I owe, leaving me with -$500 left in debt
+    1.  I have now defaulted, as I cannot pay the $500
+7.  Now that I have defaulted, the lender who gave me margin owns my short positions, meaning they are now short whatever was left
+    1.  The lender can now navigate the short positions however they want (they can hold them and hope the price goes down, and cover to close them, or they can close them immediately, costing them the whole $500 I still owed)
+8.  GUH! (Translation if you are not WSB: Ah @#$%)
+
+4.4 - Margin Calls Who Calls Who
+--------------------------------
+
+-   Margin calls happen at levels 1-4 when the cell to the left cannot meet margin requirements
+    -   Broker Margin Calls Retail Traders
+    -   Prime Brokers Margin Call Brokers, Hedge Funds, and Market Makers
+    -   The NSCC Margin Calls Prime Brokers
+-   Defaults roll up left to right
+    -   If Retail Trader defaults, Broker must take on their leftover positions
+    -   If Broker, Hedge Fund, or Market Maker defaults, the Prime Broker must take on their leftover positions
+    -   If Prime Broker Defaults, the NSCC must take on Position
+    -   If the NSCC Defaults, the Fed must take on the position
+
+| Level 1 | Level 2 | Level 3 | Level 4 | Level 4 |
+| :-- | :-- | :-- | :-- | :-- |
+| Retail Trader | Broker | Prime Broker | NSCC (DTCC) | Fed (JPOW) |
+| x | Market Maker | Prime Broker | NSCC (DTCC) | Fed (JPOW) |
+| x | Hedge Fund | Prime Broker | NSCC (DTCC) | Fed (JPOW) |
+
+4.5 - Short Squeeze
+-------------------
+
+-   A [Short Squeeze](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/shortsqueeze.asp) is a market event that occurs when there is a large short position on a stock whose price rapidly increases higher than expected, normally due to a catalyst
+-   During the short squeeze, the losses of those who have short positions continue to increase higher it goes
+    -   Since they owe shares, the cost to cover their position increases depending on how high the price goes (there is theoretically no limit on how high a stock can go)
+-   As market participants who are short on the stock buy to cover, supply decreases and demand increases, causing the price to increase even more rapidly
+-   While short sellers are scrambling to cover their positions, the rapid price change may entice investors who are not short on the stock to buy it in order to make a quick profit
+    -   Again, lowering supply and increasing demand
+
+VI. The Mother of All Short Squeezes (MOASS)
+============================================
+
+Explanation
+===========
+
+Now that we have gone through the many important terms, we can get to the theory behind MOASS.
+
+Due excessive short-selling and naked shorting of GME by certain market participants (primarily large hedge funds and market makers), retail investors and long institutional investors collectively own a number of shares that exceeds the the float. The amount of shares that are currently owned is theorized to range roughly between 200%-400% of the float if not more, meaning that 100%-300% of the float has a corresponding short position (mostly naked shorts). For context, most stocks generally have around 1% Short Interest, and 10%-20% short interest is considered to be excessive, let alone over 100% of it.
+
+Short sellers must eventually close, or cover, their short position
+
+-   The only way to do that is to buy the shares owned by the investors who are long
+    -   in the meantime Short-sellers are paying interest on that short position until it is closed proportional to the cost of the shares, which bleeds their capital over time
+-   Unfortunately for the short sellers, the owners of the shares ARE NOT obligated to sell their shares.
+    -   The short-sellers, however, ARE obligated to buy in order to close their position (or else keep paying interest)
+
+So what happens if no one is selling the shares they are "long" on, but short sellers need to buy them?
+
+-   Supply and Demand
+    -   With very little supply and high demand, the price of a stock can increase far beyond its fundamental value
+    -   If short sellers receive a margin call due to no longer meeting their margin requirement and are unable to meet it in time, their assets will be forcibly liquidated by their lender in order to pay back the margin, as well as close out the position if the borrower defaults
+
+If you are wondering why an organization would abusively short a stock like this if they eventually have to cover their positions:
+
+-   If a company goes bankrupt or gets delisted from the stock market:
+    -   The short sellers DO NOT have to close the position
+    -   All of the proceeds from the short sale effectively disappear from their books
+    -   They do not even have to pay taxes on this profit
+
+Short positions amount to the total number of long positions minus the float, meaning (based on the theorized range) that somewhere between ~56-170 Million shares will need to be bought in order to close all short positions
+
+-   It is expected that the members with short positions (hedge funds and market makers who have been naked shorting the stock) will be unable to cover their short positions, resulting in a situation where their lenders, all the way up to the clearinghouse (DTCC) will have to sort out the positions
+-   If the DTCC/NSCC is forced to unwind the positions, it is widely believed that they will rapidly cover short positions at whatever price they are available for (this is how their systems are said to handle a member default), liquidating whatever assets are necessary from the defaulting member
+
+Consideration
+=============
+
+This is a totally unprecedented situation, so, in truth, there is a lot of uncertainty around what wind-down will look like once this gets to the Prime Brokers (major banks) and NSCC, as well as around how high the price peak will reach. There is a real risk of broad negative impact across the entire market because of this and the current Repo Rates and margin debt.
+
+A few things I think are safe to assume are:
+
+-   Before anything happens that will cap or negatively affect the MOASS, all of the Hedge Funds and Market Makers who conspired to manipulate the market will likely have been bankrupted and eliminated from the market landscape by then
+-   Prime Brokers will have been dealt a massive blow (like Credit Suisse after Archegos Collapse by way worse) that should hopefully ensure regulators tie up every loophole that was exploited to manipulate the market and harm it
+-   The peak will reach higher than any other short squeeze in history and will likely never be beaten in the future (EVER)
+
+VII. Final thoughts...
+======================
+
+This is the GME MOASS thesis. GME is a stock that stands to hit an unprecedented price point due to the fact that manipulators of the market have failed to bankrupt GameStop thanks in huge part to [the Legendary Keith Gill AKA u/DeepFuckingValue](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Keith_Gill), [Ryan Cohen](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ryan_Cohen), [Michael Burry](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michael_Burry), and all of the GME investors who took part in this saga. It may not be today, this week, or even this month, but one day soon, these toxic participants have no choice but to buy the stock to close out their short positions.
+
+In some schools of thought, it is thought that these participants over-estimated how "reasonable" retail investors can be (who could be dumb enough to hold a stock as it fell from almost $500 to $40?). In truth, these manipulators didn't understand the demographic they were fighting with. Gamers are some of the most stubborn people on the planet. These are individuals who will sink tens of thousands of hours into the same video game because "they just like it". Well, "we like the stock", and to us, the adversaries on Wall Street just are just another "boss". We may have needed to retry a couple times, but we always win eventually. On top of that, they pissed off reddit, and under no circumstances, should you ever piss off reddit.
+
+At this point, if you are still reading this, know that it is up to you to decide your next move, whether that is to do some due diligence of your own, walk away, or say screw it and buy a few (or a lot of) shares just in case we are right. Many of us have set our floor (minimum amount of acceptable gains) at $20,000,000 per share, and you might think that is crazy, but in truth, we know we can pick our own price if we hold long enough. We don't care if anyone else buys or not, because we know the outcome is inevitable. Time is running out for the toxic market participants involved, and even the news can't hide that we are on the brink of a massive market event that will ripple through the entire global financial system, and we will probably never see an event like this again in our lifetime.
+
+This is a fight Wall Street, Shitadel, Melvin Capital, and ever other toxic party is not going to win against the "dumb money". Chances are this will truly be "THE MOASS", meaning there will never be another like it in our lifetime (or ever). While the conditions in play (the ability for big money to brutally manipulate the market) enabled what may end up being the greatest transfer of wealth in history, actual reformation to prevent a landscape like this from forming again is probably best long term (I say this as a pragmatist, and am honestly very far from an idealist). If you want to influence reform, Buy, Hold, Vote. If you are just here for the tendies, Buy, Hold, Vote.
+
+VIII. TL;DR
+===========
+
+1.  Toxic Market Participants have built up massive [short positions](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/short.asp) made through [Naked Shorting](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/n/nakedshorting.asp)
+2.  Retail caught on to this strategy and discovered it can backfire if the company being shorted does not go bankrupt, especially if shares are bought and held indefinitely
+3.  Rules and regulations have implemented by the DTCC and its subsidiaries have been geared towards preventing market collapse, as well as to minimize the ability to perform illegal trades (naked shorting)
+4.  The SEC is also doing more to enforce compliance with the "rules"
+5.  The manipulators are at the mercy of a vicious trade cycle (t+21 FTD Cycle) that is forcing those with naked short positions to perform actions to [cover](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/shortcovering.asp) (buy back shares that are short), or risk regulatory consequences
+6.  This act of rapid covering drives up the price, making it more expensive to cover during the next cycle if the share price continues to increase week over week
+7.  Eventually, the prices of GME will get so high that prime brokers/clearing houses will have no choice but to [Margin Call](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/margincall.asp) these participants which most likely will not be affordable due to the nature of [Short Squeezes](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/shortsqueeze.asp), causing them to default
+8.  The [Prime-Brokers](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/primebrokerage.asp) will then take on the position, and if the Prime Brokers cannot cover them and also defaults, the NSCC will be next to attempt to settle all positions left over based on their [Recovery and Wind-down Plan (p42)](https://www.dtcc.com/~/media/Files/Downloads/legal/policy-and-compliance/NSCC_Disclosure_Framework.pdf)
+9.  If NSCC cannot afford to close everything with the money reserved for this type of situation, they the Fed must navigate the remaining positions (potentially via printing money/bailout)
+
+IX. STILL TL;DR
+===============
+
+Margin Calls happen across the market and force all market participants with short positions in GME to cover or go bankrupt if they cannot afford to. The NSCC's systems that will settle positions after mass defaults liquidates all short hedge funds and covers as much GME as it can. If the NSCC cannot pay everything, it fails up to the Fed and JPOW to print money to settle the trades.
+
+X. Hedgies, velkommen til helvete. Vi kommer for tårene dine.
+=============================================================
+
+PDF Link - I recommend accessing through an incognito browser so that no one else is able to see your email address if you are logged into google (I initially had this on OneDrive, which did not do this, however, shills seem to have gotten my Microsoft account blacklisted so I cannot access OneDrive now lol):
+
+<https://drive.google.com/file/d/18SDUrEd-wNjKDwblo3ykoIxn627Vni0G/view?usp=sharing>
+
+EDIT: updated on 6/13/2021 to version 2.0 (kept the same post since it is referenced in a few places).

01-Must-Read/2021-06-07-Hanks-Big-Bang-Quant-Apes-Glitch-the-Simulation.md

@@ -0,0 +1,226 @@
+Hank's Big Bang: Quant Apes Glitch the Simulation
+=================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/HomeDepotHank69](https://www.reddit.com/user/HomeDepotHank69/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nu9qq9/hanks_big_bang_quant_apes_glitch_the_simulation/) | 
+
+---
+
+[DD 👨‍🔬](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22DD%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%94%AC%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+********** I am not a financial advisor, this is not financial advice **********
+
+Edit: Credit for the correlation tables to [u/phalanxhydra](https://www.reddit.com/u/phalanxhydra/)
+
+Edit 2: I am retarded. It's [u/Ivorypetal](https://www.reddit.com/u/Ivorypetal/).
+
+Introduction
+
+Apes, because of the sheer amount of information in this post and because I wanted to get it to you at the beginning of this week because of earnings and the meeting, this post will not have the usual funny intro and memes.
+
+Usually, my DDs are done completely by me with maybe some inspiration from a few apes or a section/link from an ape or two. This one is not that. This DD is an orgy. Apes, I have gathered an army. A fucking army of quant apes. They have been gracious enough to team up and answer the questions that I posed in my previous post and..... I am astonished at what they did. Seriously, I didn't expect this in my wildest dreams. Quant apes, I am eternally grateful for what you've done and I know that this sub is too. Again, this just shows how many extremely smart apes we have in this fight. This is going to be by far my most data-driven DD of all time.
+
+Many of you have probably seen the spoilers that I gave in my request for data that this DD would be about using correlations, models, and data to get to an extremely high level of certainty that shorts have indeed not covered by analyzing GME as compared to the other meme stocks and some other indicators as well. This was inspired by the pretty obvious fact that they all have traded in very similar patterns since around December. I also noticed that they all seemed to have some sort of FTD cycle component to them as well. I really drew the line when all of these stocks started this upward momentum in the past week - it was just too much of a coincidence for there not to be a relationship. A short squeeze is rare. Stocks following the same trading pattern is weird. A stock squeezing two times in less than a year is weird. A stock trading at over 4x it's book value consistently for months is weird. But 6 stocks doing all of those things simultaneously is..... ASININE. Some might call it improbable, but I think we all know what it is. This DD will use data, a shit ton of it, to give us the closest proof next to actually seeing HFs positions that they have indeed not covered..... ENJOY
+
+Roadmap
+
+In this DD, I will discuss why the meme stock craze is not a just a bunch of retail traders pumping up stocks. Instead, it is the product of the greatest shorting fail in the market of all time that was made possible by easy money policies and apes' uncanny ability to buy and hold. Next, I will discuss the statistical significance and origin of the FTD cycle. Finally, I will give you a random dump of DD at the end of my thoughts.
+
+Part 1: A data driven approach to the meme stock craze
+
+A visualization of what you already knew
+
+As many of you know from some of my previous posts, my thesis is that the "meme stocks" are all related. This was based on observations that the charts looked similar from December to now in terms of price action and volume. The quant apes did an excellent job of visualizing this. Below is a visualization of the meme stocks compared to cryptos and boomer stocks for reference. The parameters are volatility and volume.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Hank's Big Bang: Quant Apes Glitch the Simulation](https://preview.redd.it/sfs0rlgprt371.png?width=1626&format=png&auto=webp&s=f28599498018462de65d04a0663206ff4d64a623)](https://preview.redd.it/sfs0rlgprt371.png?width=1626&format=png&auto=webp&s=f28599498018462de65d04a0663206ff4d64a623)
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Hank's Big Bang: Quant Apes Glitch the Simulation](https://preview.redd.it/ckanpxbqrt371.png?width=1652&format=png&auto=webp&s=553e7ceae6eddd1a387febf88e0e1a3ffe03e117)](https://preview.redd.it/ckanpxbqrt371.png?width=1652&format=png&auto=webp&s=553e7ceae6eddd1a387febf88e0e1a3ffe03e117)
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Hank's Big Bang: Quant Apes Glitch the Simulation](https://preview.redd.it/6wb6ze0rrt371.png?width=1624&format=png&auto=webp&s=46a16bda7b06735d23ed2b6cb9def15472d53703)](https://preview.redd.it/6wb6ze0rrt371.png?width=1624&format=png&auto=webp&s=46a16bda7b06735d23ed2b6cb9def15472d53703)
+
+(Credit for above three charts to u/Ivorypetal)
+
+A visualization of what you already assumed
+
+This is a visualization of what we already know but haven't been able prove: the stocks are related. Looks like there's a relation, right? How can we be sure? If you took a college or high school statistics course, you probably know that there are certain tests you can run to determine if inputs are correlated, the degree of the correlation, the certainty, and the statistical significance. Below, the quant apes used a statistical test (I won't explain it because if you aren't familiar with statistics it'll take too long to explain, but this is not a guess, it uses an equation to determine the level of correlation, so it is extremely accurate) to determine the correlation of GME to other meme stocks and the VIX. I put GME in red because it's all we care about right now. The top is a comparison of these stocks entire data (i.e. all time), while the bottom compares them in the last year:
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Hank's Big Bang: Quant Apes Glitch the Simulation](https://preview.redd.it/92ks0y4trt371.png?width=860&format=png&auto=webp&s=03932694664e27f9dbfde8042d03f3be181a2559)](https://preview.redd.it/92ks0y4trt371.png?width=860&format=png&auto=webp&s=03932694664e27f9dbfde8042d03f3be181a2559)
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Hank's Big Bang: Quant Apes Glitch the Simulation](https://preview.redd.it/hbahq3rtrt371.png?width=862&format=png&auto=webp&s=328a0b47ad63faae068e12c847dacdc1df2ef9bb)](https://preview.redd.it/hbahq3rtrt371.png?width=862&format=png&auto=webp&s=328a0b47ad63faae068e12c847dacdc1df2ef9bb)
+
+(Credit to u/phalanxhydra)
+
+As you can see, the difference between all time and the last year is striking. The above decimals are called correlation coefficients. They go up to 1 (which means they are identically correlated). Anything above 0.7 is considered a strong correlation. As you can see all of them except for NAKD and NOK have a strong correlation to GME. What really struck me was the VIX. Because the market usually goes down when the VIX goes up, the fact that GME and the VIX have such a strong correlation in the past year is extremely important for our thesis that HFs are actively acting against it.
+
+OTC Data
+
+The chart below takes the OTC data from FINRA and plots it for each of the meme stocks. Notice how they all seem to follow a pattern of spiking every few weeks (FTD cycle) except for the blue one. The blue one is not a meme stock, it's Apple. I used Apple as a reference security so you can contrast how weird this is. Sadly, we don't have FINRA data before 2019, so it's difficult to analyze this in terms of when it started, but you can definitely see a related pattern of abnormality:
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Hank's Big Bang: Quant Apes Glitch the Simulation](https://preview.redd.it/psbp9arwrt371.png?width=2766&format=png&auto=webp&s=1286b2fb12123ba6bf01eaf408917a7f47915530)](https://preview.redd.it/psbp9arwrt371.png?width=2766&format=png&auto=webp&s=1286b2fb12123ba6bf01eaf408917a7f47915530)
+
+(Credit to all of the quant apes who made this customizable program that allowed me to do this)
+
+How common are squeezes?
+
+Squeezes are rare. Extremely rare. Whether you think the January price run up was a short squeeze, a gamma squeeze, or just a big price increase does not matter because, in asking the quant apes to find the exact number of short squeezes that have occurred in the stock market, I gave them VERY broad parameters. The parameters I gave them were: any stock that has doubled in price within a week. Because of this, this is undoubtedly a gross overestimate of the number of short squeezes in the history of the market (i.e. some little known penny stock getting FDA approval and going 4x overnight). The numbers that they found show us just how rare a short squeeze is, and remember, even this is an overestimate, so they're probably even rarer. The quant apes used the major exchanges NYSE, NASDAQ, and AMEX. Here are the results:
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Hank's Big Bang: Quant Apes Glitch the Simulation](https://preview.redd.it/o1rcuupyrt371.png?width=2032&format=png&auto=webp&s=a16b8200dde9417a18b25c4eed0e353557879555)](https://preview.redd.it/o1rcuupyrt371.png?width=2032&format=png&auto=webp&s=a16b8200dde9417a18b25c4eed0e353557879555)
+
+(Credit to u/jyzaya)
+
+If you can't understand that data, here's the point: they are rare, even with parameters that purposefully overestimate it. They are so rare that you could call them an anomaly because that's what they are. Remember that's a purposeful overestimate that allows small stocks getting good news, IPOs, etc. to be considered. So yes, short squeezes are rare. Multiple squeezes following the same pattern and all squeezing at the exact same time? Some might call it improbable, but we all know what we call it.
+
+My take
+
+So, you've seen the data. These stocks are correlated. Does a correlation mean that there is some orchestration going on or that something is forcing them to move in concert? No. It means that they typically move in the same direction, reason unknown. A statistical test can't tell us the reason for the correlation, it can just tell us the correlation. I think I know the reason.
+
+What I think many people, especially the media, take for granted is just how weird January was. As you now know from above, short squeezes are rare. Stocks correlating is weird. Stocks correlating for months is weird. Stocks squeezing at the same time is weird. Stocks doing all of those things at the same time is unheard of. The weird thing about January is that brokers, all of them, simultaneously restricted the buying of all of these stocks. Because liquidity works both ways (buy and sell), if they really had liquidity issues, they would've stopped buying and selling. Also, does it make any sense that every single broker would have liquidity issues at the exact same time during the times of the lowest interest rates ever and an easing of banking restrictions? No. None of that makes sense. My thesis is that all of these stocks are related and the data backs that up. I believe that the brokerages saw that these stocks posed a SYSTEMIC risk because of how exposed major market makers and HFs were on the short side. Why else would they all simultaneously ban only buying?
+
+To add even further to that, many brokerages have banned the shorting of these stocks (months after the squeeze). Even more is all of the shill activity of people messaging us saying "I'll pay you to write something bad about GME." Moreover, the brokerages must have seen that retail, and now the rest of the market, was piling on buying orders and that eventually, some of the most important institutions could go bankrupt and cause an economic crisis. So what did they do? They restricted all buying. Even if every single ape hodled, the price would still be able to go down significantly due to shorting and institutional selling. So yes, they forced it to go down. Now, what was that systemic risk I was talking about? What exactly did the HFs do? As most of you know, I was one of the apes that started the talk of FTD cycles and found many of the rules behind it. The FTD cycle has been the only thing that we've been able to consistently predict (well that and the media being retarded but I digress). IMO, the FTD cycle is our clue into what the HFs did to cause a systemic problem. The FTD cycle has been increasing exponentially, which leads me to believe that the systemic risk has only gotten worse, and I think I've discovered it's origins...
+
+PART 2: The statistical significance and origins of the FTD cycle
+
+Now that I've left you with that cliff hanger and probably a half chub, it's time to take an extremely in-depth dive into the FTD cycle. First, I will be demonstrating the statistical significance of the FTD cycle, so that we know it's not just a fluke. Next, I will discuss the origins of the FTD cycle. Finally, I will discuss what I think it all means.
+
+First, let's start with a brief summary and update on the FTD cycle. The FTD cycle is the idea that because of SEC regulations requiring market makers to cover FTDs within 35 calendar days, there is a predictable increase in price and volume every 21ish trading days or 35 calendar days. So far, it has continued to repeat itself. The idea is that shorts are in so deep that they are doing the bare minimum to cover and continue to dig themselves in a deeper hole by kicking the can down the road. It is currently increasing exponentially, which indicates that it is getting more and more expensive for shorts to stay in the game.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Hank's Big Bang: Quant Apes Glitch the Simulation](https://preview.redd.it/pgikvf01st371.png?width=1412&format=png&auto=webp&s=8eecc3c7176aa22a77b37c302a9d57bc197f7477)](https://preview.redd.it/pgikvf01st371.png?width=1412&format=png&auto=webp&s=8eecc3c7176aa22a77b37c302a9d57bc197f7477)
+
+Orange line represents FTD cycle increases each month. Yellow lines are FTD cycles. Disregard the red lines, those were my trend lines before we broke out
+
+SI by the charts
+
+Below is a chart that the quant apes gathered from Ortex showing the SI of the meme stocks over time. Many of you will say that this is inaccurate because the real SI is hidden. While we have many instances of that being true, this is the best concrete data that we can gather (much better than Fintel and FINRA), so it's what we must use to avoid speculation. So, yes these numbers are probably an understatement but that's a good thing because we do not want to speculate. If we can find significant results on incomplete data, our thesis is strengthened:
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Hank's Big Bang: Quant Apes Glitch the Simulation](https://preview.redd.it/88i9r528st371.png?width=1750&format=png&auto=webp&s=89c540227a2e8d7f969d110a7d0ef60042ec423b)](https://preview.redd.it/88i9r528st371.png?width=1750&format=png&auto=webp&s=89c540227a2e8d7f969d110a7d0ef60042ec423b)
+
+(Credit to u/orangecatmasterrace)
+
+I noticed some very interesting things from this chart. First, I noticed that the SI of most of the meme stocks markedly increased in mid 2019. GME had an exceptional increase (I think because of their issuance of bonds, shorts saw that as a debt death sentence). There was also a slight, but noticeable, rise in SI of most of these in mid 2016 as well. Hmmmmmm. My original thesis was that they were all heavily shorted after the covid crash because HFs predicted a bad economy and the destruction of brick and mortars, so they used the low interest rate and low liquidity environment to their advantage. That is still probably true as I bet they did it with naked shorts, but this chart made me think even more. What happened before Covid that could've led to these SI increases.
+
+Friend of the shorts: The US economy
+
+The first thing I did was get a chart of short volume data in the stock market over time to get the big picture:
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Hank's Big Bang: Quant Apes Glitch the Simulation](https://preview.redd.it/lhxdy8t9st371.png?width=1374&format=png&auto=webp&s=f8f711ef8dab8cc36f77ee6d55fc852ed693393b)](https://preview.redd.it/lhxdy8t9st371.png?width=1374&format=png&auto=webp&s=f8f711ef8dab8cc36f77ee6d55fc852ed693393b)
+
+As you can see SI has increased markedly in 2015 and 2019. So that got me thinking, there must be some kind of law, some correlation with FED policy, or some kind of macroeconomic happening that led to this. So next, I looked at the interest rates for interbank lending:
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Hank's Big Bang: Quant Apes Glitch the Simulation](https://preview.redd.it/z3677egbst371.png?width=1234&format=png&auto=webp&s=ac740b8236851f40bb01e0eb7fce99a80b550396)](https://preview.redd.it/z3677egbst371.png?width=1234&format=png&auto=webp&s=ac740b8236851f40bb01e0eb7fce99a80b550396)
+
+This is not mortgage interest rate, this is federal funds interest rate, which is essentially the interbank interest rate for excess lending. As you can see it's been insanely low since the 1990's, but particularly low as of recently. Next, I looked at the balance sheet of the FED. This essentially shows the Fed's buying of assets over time.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Hank's Big Bang: Quant Apes Glitch the Simulation](https://preview.redd.it/rd1ye3ddst371.png?width=1630&format=png&auto=webp&s=f284394415c8cd127d750bbcd45f55ef676d0fd0)](https://preview.redd.it/rd1ye3ddst371.png?width=1630&format=png&auto=webp&s=f284394415c8cd127d750bbcd45f55ef676d0fd0)
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Hank's Big Bang: Quant Apes Glitch the Simulation](https://preview.redd.it/ygpfqudest371.png?width=1554&format=png&auto=webp&s=5cf6fa82247426f7a83db8d202be1f85b3c5f8be)](https://preview.redd.it/ygpfqudest371.png?width=1554&format=png&auto=webp&s=5cf6fa82247426f7a83db8d202be1f85b3c5f8be)
+
+The above graph is especially striking. It shows the FED's balance sheet is increasing proportionately with the SP500. The FED's Quantitative easing policies have been extremely aggressive since 2008. QE is where the FED purposefully stimulates the economy by buying assets like bonds. This was necessary after 2008 and the FED kept it going for a while then started tightening (QT). However, and this chart doesn't show it, the FED had to parabolically increase its QE policies duirng covid. You know what else parabolically increased? Yep, the stock market.
+
+The statistical significance of the FTD cycle
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Hank's Big Bang: Quant Apes Glitch the Simulation](https://preview.redd.it/79rg4j9gst371.png?width=1284&format=png&auto=webp&s=33e2deedfeb5f2caa5c1914e8caa828071214862)](https://preview.redd.it/79rg4j9gst371.png?width=1284&format=png&auto=webp&s=33e2deedfeb5f2caa5c1914e8caa828071214862)
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Hank's Big Bang: Quant Apes Glitch the Simulation](https://preview.redd.it/3qzw1f0hst371.png?width=1274&format=png&auto=webp&s=5b591b0a0bfe04debd67f0561a971ac797651e78)](https://preview.redd.it/3qzw1f0hst371.png?width=1274&format=png&auto=webp&s=5b591b0a0bfe04debd67f0561a971ac797651e78)
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Hank's Big Bang: Quant Apes Glitch the Simulation](https://preview.redd.it/y9iekcuist371.png?width=1284&format=png&auto=webp&s=39b9bc492e20a346bdeef2ab210cdf6d9196303a)](https://preview.redd.it/y9iekcuist371.png?width=1284&format=png&auto=webp&s=39b9bc492e20a346bdeef2ab210cdf6d9196303a)
+
+(User wished to remain anonymous for this)
+
+The above charts show GME's FTD cycle increases after a certain number of days. I put TSLA and MSFT in there so that you could see how abnormal GME is. Even compared to a volatile stock like TSLA, GME has a way more recognizable pattern, which gives us further statistical evidence of the FTD cycle. Also, note that there were many other users in different posts on this sub who found the FTD cycle statistically significant, this is another view to add to the body of work. Below shows the short interest of the meme stocks in relation to each other, so you can see when they started and how they've increased together:
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Hank's Big Bang: Quant Apes Glitch the Simulation](https://preview.redd.it/765vp0kqst371.png?width=510&format=png&auto=webp&s=03d70c989c96d63c0d3321acdd8e081b9ed903c8)](https://preview.redd.it/765vp0kqst371.png?width=510&format=png&auto=webp&s=03d70c989c96d63c0d3321acdd8e081b9ed903c8)
+
+(credit to u/orangecatmasterrace)
+
+Keep the above chart in mind while reading below.
+
+The takeaway:
+
+We are in an EXTREMELY easy lending environment. Rates are dirt cheap. The FED is buying up assets, which is pushing up the prices of literally all assets. The market is flush with liquid assets, so much so that the FED was trying to slow it down. This makes the perfect storm for a short-friendly environment. We were also in the longest and biggest bull market run of all time in 2010's, so it would make sense for it to come to an end soon - that's where shorts really make a killing.
+
+What I think happened is that we saw the longest bull market of all time in the 2010 decade. HFs realized that this bull market was propped up on the FED's massive balance sheet and that there would need to be more economic tightening soon and/or a correction. Anticipating an end to the bull market, they initiated a giant short campaign in 2019 with the aforementioned meme stocks and probably tons of others (the meme stocks are just the ones that retail investors took interest in). Once Covid hit, their campaign was successful, but they wanted more. They wanted to hit the bankruptcy jackpot, so they turned it up with the naked shorts, which is why the data doesn't show that, in an attempt to put brick and mortars out of business.
+
+Instead, the FED accelerated its easy money policies and the economy had one of the quickest recoveries of all time. This is why I think we started seeing the FTD cycle in late 2020 - it was a result of their failed mega short during covid. This alone would've made them lose money but they've run into roadblocks like this before so it's not what caused the squeeze and mania. What caused that was the fact that apes literally buy and hold but never sell. This essentially created a giant wall that wouldn't allow the HFs to short down out of their positions and got them into this mess. Then some retail investors caught wind of it and bought into some of their most shorted stocks, which is why we saw what happened in January. They are still in that hole because the brokers' pausing of buying didn't solve the problem, it just delayed it. That's why we see the FTD cycle exponentially increasing. This economic environment has been brewing for this for a long time, and it would have continued if not for reddit (mainly DFV). I mean how crazy is it that GME's SI was over 100% for so long and no one noticed?
+
+I am convinced that this would not have been able to continue to happen if apes didn't hold. That's why this was all able to happen. It's because there has never been a phenomena in the market where a significant portion of investors in a stock will hold it no matter what the market conditions are. So when shorts started aggressively shorting and things turned south because of the FED's recovery policies, retail's refusal to sell just added insult to injury and is why we are in this position now.
+
+(Please note that the above data I only actually displayed a fraction of the quant apes' data. They gave me an amazing amount. I used some of it to inform my/guide myself and displayed charts that went well with my DD, so believe their work is even more in-depth than this post portrays)
+
+Part 3: DD Drop
+
+Alright apes, the above was a mouthful, but wow aren't our quant apes amazing! Now that you've read all of that, I am going to do another one of my DD drops on some random theories, updates, etc.
+
+Everyone remember what happened with Archegos? That was a real funny one wasn't it? Bill Hwang plead guilty to insider trading, so he had to operate a family office. The man lost $20 billion in the span of 2 days, now that's a level of yolo retardation we should all strive for. One of the companies that Hwang invested in was Discovery, here's it's chart:
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Hank's Big Bang: Quant Apes Glitch the Simulation](https://preview.redd.it/4qnz2xesst371.png?width=2206&format=png&auto=webp&s=f4c7320665b27f95a8b9ffe05328d7e93bb26b3a)](https://preview.redd.it/4qnz2xesst371.png?width=2206&format=png&auto=webp&s=f4c7320665b27f95a8b9ffe05328d7e93bb26b3a)
+
+See that purple line? I bet you probably think that's VWAP or a SMA line, right? NOPE. That's VIAC (Viacom CBS), one of the other companies he bet big on. Hwang used an instrument called total return swaps, which basically allow you to "swap" the delta of one baseline security for another. Here's an example: a total return swap of Apple and SPY. You get the returns of APPL. If AAPL outperforms SPY, you make money, but if not, you owe them money. That was all a huge oversimplification but essentially, it allows you to have exposure to a company without owning it (derivative). That above chart was just a 1 year chart, but essentially, Hwang applied so much leverage to these companies through these swaps that they were trading at double their fair market price.
+
+This hypothesis is backed by no data whatsoever and is really just a thought experiment. Based on the fact that meme stocks correlate (as shown above), what if HFs are using some type of swap on them? It would make sense given the extremely low interest rates. It would make even more sense given the negative beta of GME (i.e. SPY would be the reference security). Perhaps they use total return swaps or another instrument to cover or to add more pressure? Idk. Just a thought.
+
+Another hypothesis: could this all be the work of an algo? I mean, there's no more observing the similarities, we now know they are statistically significant and related. IMO, it's impossible for human traders to create this pattern -- it's just too precise and based on too much volume, so the options are either they shorted all of these at the exact same time and are being forced to cover at the exact same time (FTD cycle), an algo is doing that for them, or some algo is orchestrating all of this. I find that unlikely because of the difficulty and obvious market manipulation charge they'd get but we have to consider it! Again, just another thought, not much else to it.
+
+The Midday Spikes: An Answer
+
+Apes, we might have an answer to the midday volume spike phenomena. If you don't know what I'm talking about, see my other post. My hypothesis was that these midday spikes were HFs covering to satisfy some kind of requirement or to avoid some kind of FTD cycle. I had no evidence for the cause, I just had tons of observations for the occurrence. Let tell you though, if there's one thing I know, it's that it's not retail. Whatever is behind the midday spikes is a single entity. It is impossible for a bunch of unorganized people to consistently buy a stock in the same minute interval in mass. That is a single entity doing that and I think whoever it is is our enemy. A beautiful ape by the name of [u/KFC_just](https://www.reddit.com/u/KFC_just/) turned me on to the idea that it may be to comply with net negative rules. I scoured the interwebs and found this on NASDAQ:
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Hank's Big Bang: Quant Apes Glitch the Simulation](https://preview.redd.it/qvze3s1vst371.png?width=1954&format=png&auto=webp&s=296a2ead951725c90722f157d402a86b34854748)](https://preview.redd.it/qvze3s1vst371.png?width=1954&format=png&auto=webp&s=296a2ead951725c90722f157d402a86b34854748)
+
+Notice that it also talks about clearing corporation requirements, which adds another elements into the mix. Though I can't find any information about exact requirements in terms of liquidity/numbers, I think that this is pretty definitive proof of the reasons for the midday spikes. Essentially, it seems as though these midday spikes are some fund covering in order to "maintain net capital sufficient to comply with the requirements of the Clearing Corporation." Also, the final sentence explains why they need to cover (i.e. to remain positive).
+
+Earnings and 6/9
+
+A lot of you are probably extremely excited for earnings and the annual meeting on 6/9. I am too. However, I wanted to make this to tell you to not get your hopes up too much and to not be surprised if it doesn't go our way. What I will say is, I am confident that we will see a dildo candle one way or another. For earnings, remember that last quarter the earnings were not even bad and the stock had a GIANT red dildo candle. Unless earnings are absolutely spectacular, I could see HFs using it as a way to put negative momentum on the stock (remember, it's all about the narrative). Now, earnings could be spectacular. GME has gotten so much more attention this past quarter and I know that apes have been feverishly shopping there, so we do have hope.
+
+As far as the annual meeting I have absolutely no clue what to expect. However, like earnings, I expect another dildo one way or another. If you remember last earnings, we all thought that the guidance/conference call is what would put us over the edge. Instead, it was barebones minimum, and we succumbed to the HFs earnings downward momentum. I expect this to be different. An annual meeting is different from an earnings call and definitely warrants more speaking, more guidance, and more detail. If GME was going to announce some blockbuster move, it would be during this because, assuming they know about the massive short interest, that gives them plausible deniability against market manipulation charges. Some important topics we could hear about are: Ryan Cohen speaking in general, a new CEO, crypto/NFT, acquisitions, digital transformation / direction, and, most importantly, the voting results. Is there a guarantee that these things will be discussed? No. Do I expect many of them to be discussed? Yes. Similar to earnings, we could get great news and see a giant red dildo candle. Remember, expect anything. If we get more shorting on positive news, it just keeps proving we are right.
+
+As for my thoughts on when we moon, I personally don't think we'll moon here almost no matter what. I think that it will be overall good and that we will see a very significant jump, but instead of that being the MOASS, I think it will be what starts the MOASS. The only thing we've been able to predict has been FTD cycles so far. The MOASS will come when a HF gets margin called and we just can't predict the exact time for that. So, I believe that if we see a big jump next week, the MOASS should be coming in the near future but will nevertheless be unpredictable.
+
+Clarification of my statements about retail buying
+
+In one of my past posts, I said something along the lines of "retail is tapped out." Thankfully, another user made a post disagreeing with that and it got tons of replies of apes saying things like "I have tripled my position in the past month." If you haven't seen that post, I'd look at it, the responses are amazing. With that in mind, I wanted to clarify what I said about that. What I meant in that post is that retail is not responsible for the mass, synchronized buying that we've seen in the past week or so, I think that is HFs being forced to cover. Retail, instead, has been holding like champs and steadily buying. IMO it's pretty hard to believe that retail just randomly decided to buy every stock that squeezed in January at the same time. Instead, I think it's something much bigger but apes' ability to hold is why it's able to happen. However, I do think that once we start squeezing again, it will bring in a new wave of retail that formerly wasn't in just like January, so we still do have gas in the tank (or ions in the battery if you drive electric).
+
+Big Thanks to the Quant Apes
+
+I can't tell you how seriously amazing the quant apes are. They deserve all of the credit in the entire world and they are one of the most valuable parts of this sub.
+
+Here is a list of some of the quants who helped with this post (this is not exhaustive as some wanted to remain anonymous)
+
+[u/orangecatmasterrace](https://www.reddit.com/u/orangecatmasterrace/)
+
+[u/spambot9k](https://www.reddit.com/u/spambot9k/)
+
+[u/rubberbootsinmotion](https://www.reddit.com/u/rubberbootsinmotion/)
+
+[u/Ivorypetal](https://www.reddit.com/u/Ivorypetal/)
+
+[u/creativelord](https://www.reddit.com/u/creativelord/)
+
+[u/collegeneral](https://www.reddit.com/u/collegeneral/)
+
+[u/xpurplexamyx](https://www.reddit.com/u/xpurplexamyx/)
+
+[u/jyzaya](https://www.reddit.com/u/jyzaya/)
+
+[u/epk-lys](https://www.reddit.com/u/epk-lys/)
+
+[u/head4headsup](https://www.reddit.com/u/head4headsup/)
+
+[u/squirrel_of_fortune](https://www.reddit.com/u/squirrel_of_fortune/) (he made a great DD as well and I would encourage you to check that out to see another perspective with a very interesting, advanced method)
+
+[u/sudoshu](https://www.reddit.com/u/sudoshu/) (Special thanks to him as he was the organizer of the group. If you are a quant ape, he said to message him if you are interested in being in the group, but serious inquiries only).
+
+Mods: many of these users do not have the karma requirements to comment on posts. If you could somehow waive that requirement for the listed users, I think it would really benefit the sub because the amount of knowledge that these apes possess is amazing. They put so much time into this and gathered so much data (I literally couldn't even show close to all of it) and I believe that they will be integral to the continued success of this sub.
+
+Finally, the quant apes have created a website: <https://www.superstonkquant.org/>
+
+They are still currently working on the mechanics of it but I encourage you to monitor it in the future because I have witnessed first hand what they are capable of and it is nothing short of amazing.
+
+Conclusion
+
+Alright apes, that was very long but I appreciate you for reading. This sub keeps doing a great job of pumping out DD and I think we will be rewarded for it in the very near future. I am going to take a break from making DDs because it is really time consuming and can be extremely tiring, but I will still be looking at this sub, commenting, and possibly making short posts. As always,
+
+*Stay strong, apes.*
+
+********** I am not a financial advisor, this is not financial advice **********

01-Must-Read/2021-06-12-Revisiting-Net-Capital-and-T+21-Loops.md

@@ -0,0 +1,216 @@
+A revisit to Net Capital. What is truly driving these T+21 loops, the March and June gamma runs, and how skyrocketing ETF FTDs might cause big price movements in the coming weeks.
+===================================================================================================================================================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/Criand](https://www.reddit.com/user/Criand/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/ny2ov4/a_revisit_to_net_capital_what_is_truly_driving/) | 
+
+---
+
+[DD 👨‍🔬](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22DD%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%94%AC%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+0\. Preface
+
+Well well, I think it's time to revisit an old topic. Net Capital. I posted about this in the past and for some reason gave up on it. I can now provide counter DD to my own T+21/T+35 theory.
+
+Remember - I am not a financial advisor and I do not provide financial advice! Everything in here is based on research and discussion with others on the topics. As always, do your own research and criticize. Take my opinions with a grain of salt.
+
+Wanting to revisit the Net Capital topic was a few things. There were posts about ETF FTDs spiking severely as of May 12th - even more than the highest peaks of January. I had my own doubts over time of how we could possibly have multiple cycles overlapping, when it felt more like there would be only a single cycle. And of course, some people commented and/or posted counter DD! Which I think is awesome, it's always good to provide counter DD.
+
+Kenny and his gang love to continue digging a hole for themselves - while the whole financial world tries desperately to contain this potential market crash from coming to fruition.
+
+GME shorts and Reverse Repo Market go brrrrrrrr.
+
+TLDR: Sorry I'm too lazy right now. About to post this and go to sleep. 😎
+
+[![r/Superstonk - A revisit to Net Capital. What is truly driving these T+21 loops, the March and June gamma runs, and how skyrocketing ETF FTDs might cause big price movements in the coming weeks.](https://preview.redd.it/p9ruup81br471.png?width=1016&format=png&auto=webp&s=459845688e21d10000f45ba7e81c9de8a6839321)](https://preview.redd.it/p9ruup81br471.png?width=1016&format=png&auto=webp&s=459845688e21d10000f45ba7e81c9de8a6839321)
+
+Kenny And The Boys
+
+My previous post about [Net Capital](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/n4h832/major_deep_itm_call_option_dates_a_massive_net/) was thinking that we'd see significant price movement T+14 days after April 16th options expirations. That didn't happen, so I tossed it out of the window. (Criand, you dumb bitch)
+
+Which then led me down the path of the [T+21 Loop Missing Link](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nf22qz/theory_on_the_ftd_loop_missing_link_a_t35_surge/). It got pretty popular. It's the whole T+21/T+35 conjunction theory that occurred May 24th and May 25th. While it definitely appears to be right, I have been doubting it ever since May 24th. Especially after a courageous ape [u/dentisttft](https://www.reddit.com/u/dentisttft/) posted the [Counter DD to T+21](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nsady3/t21_is_not_actually_a_thing_counter_dd/) theory. T+35 (May 24th) didn't have significant enough price movement. If it truly was a new T+35 initiating a loop, then it should have exploded up in price on May\
+24th. And for that, I think it's time to put that theory to bed.
+
+The counter DD that [/u/dentisttft](https://www.reddit.com/u/dentisttft/) posted is excellent and you should definitely take a look. If my post is wrong, [/u/dentisttft](https://www.reddit.com/u/dentisttft/) still proposes another possibility: that T+35 from the FTD spike could initiate buy pressure around June 17th.
+
+Ever since the counter DD, I decided to revisit Net Capital since that is what [/u/keijikage](https://www.reddit.com/u/keijikage/) brought to my attention so many weeks ago. Very smart guy by the way! Always very knowledgeable and provides amazing discussion!
+
+Looking back on Net Capital now, especially with the ETF FTD spike that occurred on May 12th, it might finally paint the picture as to what has been going on this whole time with the "T+21 cycle", the March Gamma Ramp, and the June Gamma Ramp.
+
+1\. GME FTDs, ETF FTDs, Massive Resurgence Started May 12
+
+First, I want to discuss ETF FTDs, as something absolutely wild occurred in May. Note that we do not have the full months FTD data yet. The SEC releases the data in first half and second half of the month reports. So, it cuts off quite conveniently when FTDs began to go haywire.
+
+For a while now it's been theorized ([with some pretty damn good evidence](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nrpjle/almost_1b_ftd_on_may_14th_between_gme_and/)) that ETFs containing GME have been heavily shorted. Supposedly they will short the ETF, buy up all of the other stocks in the ETF that were shorted, but leave GME alone. There's a net 0 effect on the other stocks but a net short on GME. This then starts to cause ETF FTD anomalies which they also try to suppress, but they can't hide forever. Because it appears that as of May 12th, these FTDs have begun to spill out of hiding.
+
+[u/basketas87](https://www.reddit.com/u/basketas87/) posted about this surge of ETF FTDs in "[New data shows a large increase of ETF FTDs](https://www.reddit.com/r/DDintoGME/comments/nx013v/new_data_shows_a_large_increase_of_etf_ftds/)":
+
+[![r/Superstonk - A revisit to Net Capital. What is truly driving these T+21 loops, the March and June gamma runs, and how skyrocketing ETF FTDs might cause big price movements in the coming weeks.](https://preview.redd.it/h7iq2v4njq471.png?width=1122&format=png&auto=webp&s=b4fbbca80002197058a20c5d8654e08ba8b4dbae)](https://preview.redd.it/h7iq2v4njq471.png?width=1122&format=png&auto=webp&s=b4fbbca80002197058a20c5d8654e08ba8b4dbae)
+
+GME Price Vs. GME FTDs and ETF FTDs (which contain GME); Source: /u/basketas87
+
+You can immediately see the ETF FTDs absolutely SKYROCKETED just before the cutoff of the SEC FTD bi-monthly report. We don't even know how high this has gone in the following days or if its come crashing back down. Remember - these are aggregate. We don't sum up the FTDs between dates. Whatever the number is upon a date is the current total of FTDs reported.
+
+For a date-by-date tracking for these FTDs between January and the end of March, [/u/broccaaa](https://www.reddit.com/u/broccaaa/) provided an excellent chart in "[The naked shorting scam using ETFs: mass shifting of FTDs from GME to 20+ ETFs & 27+ billion dollars still owed in remaining SI](https://www.reddit.com/r/DDintoGME/comments/n1x75w/the_naked_shorting_scam_using_etfs_mass_shifting/)". This gives us an easier look at the exact dates when FTDs spiked earlier in the year.
+
+> I selected GME and 19 ETFs containing GME. I chose to only look at the ETFs that contain the most GME shares and had large numbers of FTDs in 2021. - [/u/broccaaa](https://www.reddit.com/u/broccaaa/)
+
+[![r/Superstonk - A revisit to Net Capital. What is truly driving these T+21 loops, the March and June gamma runs, and how skyrocketing ETF FTDs might cause big price movements in the coming weeks.](https://preview.redd.it/choe9jjris471.png?width=1709&format=png&auto=webp&s=3e907654b1e054734098c010839ec5ad07ab0633)](https://preview.redd.it/choe9jjris471.png?width=1709&format=png&auto=webp&s=3e907654b1e054734098c010839ec5ad07ab0633)
+
+Aggregate FTDs for GME; GME and ETFs; Source: /u/broccaaa
+
+Some notable aggregate FTD dates from this chart:
+
+1.  January 29th
+
+2.  February 2nd
+
+3.  February 18th
+
+And of course, the latest absolutely insane May 12th. Once again, we don't even know what the FTD numbers are for the second half of May. It could very well be much higher.
+
+2\. Net Capital And Market Makers; Citadel's Can-Kicked Bag
+
+Net Capital is detailed out [in this post](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/n4h832/major_deep_itm_call_option_dates_a_massive_net/) but I will do a quick summary. It revolves around [Net Capital Requirements For Brokers or Dealers - 240.15c3-1](https://www.law.cornell.edu/cfr/text/17/240.15c3-1):
+
+> ...is designed to ensure that a broker-dealer holds, at all times, more than one dollar of highly liquid assets for each dollar of liabilities (e.g., money owed to customers and counterparties), excluding liabilities that are subordinated to all other creditors by contractual agreement. The premise underlying the net capital rule is that if a broker-dealer fails, it should be in a position to meet all unsubordinated obligations to customers and counterparties and generate resources sufficient to wind down its operations in an orderly manner without the need of a formal proceeding...\
+> ...A broker-dealer must ensure that its actual net capital exceeds its required minimum net capital at all times. - [Source](https://www.mercatus.org/system/files/peirce_reframing_ch6.pdf)
+
+Or in other words, you must have enough capital to not be "margin-called". In this case, Citadel is a prime victim to this rule as they are a Market Maker and must sustain enough net capital to not go bust. If they do not, they're a risk to their customers and counterparties. This rule tries to ensure that they have enough money to pay up in the event of a default.
+
+The very interesting part of this rule comes down to how they're calculating Net Capital in regards to short securities:
+
+[![r/Superstonk - A revisit to Net Capital. What is truly driving these T+21 loops, the March and June gamma runs, and how skyrocketing ETF FTDs might cause big price movements in the coming weeks.](https://preview.redd.it/jzzkxo2qsq471.png?width=1311&format=png&auto=webp&s=9b26ce9297defa1c10492f9d1e2b2c6a1bc07252)](https://preview.redd.it/jzzkxo2qsq471.png?width=1311&format=png&auto=webp&s=9b26ce9297defa1c10492f9d1e2b2c6a1bc07252)
+
+Net Capital Rule; Short Securities Deduction From Net Capital Per "Days After Discovery"
+
+What this basically means is that after the short security difference is found to be unresolved after discovery (think FTD popping up is the "discovery"), then it's going to slowly start eating away at their net capital the longer it remains unresolved/undelivered:
+
+-   Day 0 after discovery = 0% of the unresolved short security is calculated into their net capital
+
+-   Day 7 after discovery = 25% of the unresolved short security is calculated into their net capital
+
+-   Day 14 after discovery = 50% of the unresolved short security is calculated into their net capital
+
+-   Day 21 after discovery = 75% of the unresolved short security is calculated into their net capital
+
+-   Day 28 after discovery = 100% of the unresolved short security is calculated into their net capital
+
+When you have these debts accounted for into your net capital, it is taking away that value, because it is a short difference you owe. As the days go by, net capital starts chunking down. So, if you have a rather large short security difference discovered one day (such as May 12th) then you want to resolve it quickly or risk defaulting.
+
+Do you find a way to stuff the unresolved shorts back under the rug? Do you deliver and force buy-ins? Both? That appears to be the loop they've been stuck in, which slowly bumps the price floor upward.
+
+You'll notice that there's a familiar number in there. Day 21. T+21? Oooh. Tasty. Here we go.
+
+The total timeframe for Net Capital is [28 days](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ST2H8FWDvEA), but Citadel most likely cannot allow the Net Capital threshold to go past 75%. They must kick-the-can and force buy-ins on or before T+7, T+14, T+21 but complete the entire process by the net 75% threshold of T+21. They can't risk it going to 100% or else they'll most likely default.
+
+Wham, bam, the T+21 loop ignites itself continuously.
+
+3\. Plotting The Net Capital Loop - The Counter of T+21 and T+35
+
+The major option dates still play a big role. But I don't think T+35 theory is what's really applying here.
+
+What are "major options"? These are the only options that were available for the year 2021 back in early 2020. These are the option dates that were most likely opened up initially by shorters at the start of COVID. Perfect time to place bets and start their kill shot on GameStop:
+
+-   January 15, 2021
+
+-   April 16, 2021
+
+-   July 16, 2021
+
+Upon expiration, unrealized losses now became realized losses, and their overall capital receives a dent. It most likely gets harder to hide FTDs and hide them under the rug.
+
+You know the most curious thing?
+
+Posts about Citadel working the night-shift started just after April 16th options expirations.
+
+That's also right around when Bank of America shut down a bunch of their locations. I won't buy their excuses. Bank of America looks like they're a bag holder and is freaking out too.
+
+Something big had to of happened as of April 16th, and it's most likely that they had a huge dent in their capital that is now causing a slow bleed-out of FTDs that they've hidden, which then must be satisfied within the Net Capital timeframe of T+7, T+14, T+21, T+28, or else they can go net negative and default.
+
+And of course, following April 16 options expirations, the ETF FTDs start to skyrocket on May 12th. My main intuition is that they were unable to hide these any more and they have started to spill out. Ruh-roh.
+
+First, I'll plot out the T+21 Net Capital loop so that it isn't too cluttered:
+
+[![r/Superstonk - A revisit to Net Capital. What is truly driving these T+21 loops, the March and June gamma runs, and how skyrocketing ETF FTDs might cause big price movements in the coming weeks.](https://preview.redd.it/xh4u2ugmfs471.png?width=1438&format=png&auto=webp&s=85188eccc2bf3841bb98e37e5be98b8badcc01c7)](https://preview.redd.it/xh4u2ugmfs471.png?width=1438&format=png&auto=webp&s=85188eccc2bf3841bb98e37e5be98b8badcc01c7)
+
+Plotted Net Capital "T+21" Cycle, December 22 to July 26
+
+Upon December 22, the clock starts ticking. It's possible that at this point the price was too high for them to NOT worry about Net Capital any more, and they had to start can-kicking and forced buy-ins.
+
+Each loop is separated T+21 because it appears that they cannot sustain higher than the 75% threshold each time. You can see the T+21 loop we're familiar with, starting December 22, and then traveling through January 25, February 24, March 25, April 26, May 25. And potentially continuing on to June 24 and July 26. [The next two dates if any apes are curious].
+
+To get a closer look of the potential effects of the various Threshold amounts (T+7 (25%), T+14 (50%), T+21 (75%)) I've zoomed in on March 25th to May 25th. ENHANCE!
+
+[![r/Superstonk - A revisit to Net Capital. What is truly driving these T+21 loops, the March and June gamma runs, and how skyrocketing ETF FTDs might cause big price movements in the coming weeks.](https://preview.redd.it/p6q5gox9fs471.png?width=1438&format=png&auto=webp&s=4da6c3ed2e8547ccd755b95ee895be235cbf9d44)](https://preview.redd.it/p6q5gox9fs471.png?width=1438&format=png&auto=webp&s=4da6c3ed2e8547ccd755b95ee895be235cbf9d44)
+
+Plotted Net Capital "T+21" Cycle, March 25 to May 25, Price Spikes Prior to Each Threshold (T+7, T+14) Date
+
+In the above it's unlikely but there is a chance that they have too many FTDs to shuffle around by the time Net Capital 25% (T+7) Threshold hits. This could initiate some buy-in pressure on or before that date, typically the day before, as outlined in the light green circle. The day before because they don't want those positions to be 50% upon the next day. They must be resolved BEFORE.
+
+It is also unlikely but a greater chance that they have too many FTDs to shuffle around by the time Net Capital 50% (T+14) Threshold hits. This again could initiate some buy-in pressure on or before that date, typically the day before, as outlined in the blue circle.
+
+And of course upon Net Capital 75% (T+21) Threshold, they must complete their rug-hiding and/or buy-ins to avoid going Net Negative. It is possible that the rug-hiding and buy-ins are in conjunction with one another, slowly increasing the price floor, and that between each threshold they try to short the stock more to push down the price.
+
+Looping back to Section 1 when we identified the major FTD dates:
+
+1.  January 29th
+
+2.  February 2nd
+
+3.  February 18th
+
+4.  May 12th
+
+There's a potential relationship to be seen with these insane FTD dates. Now this chart I'm about to show is highly speculative. I'm unsure if the Net Capital loop initiates upon the FTD spikes (though it certainly should, per Net Capital rule, because that would be when they are "discovered").
+
+I say I'm unsure because I only see one data point here so far and somewhat of a second data point from the price run-up we've been seeing the past few days.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - A revisit to Net Capital. What is truly driving these T+21 loops, the March and June gamma runs, and how skyrocketing ETF FTDs might cause big price movements in the coming weeks.](https://preview.redd.it/424mtt66sq471.png?width=1433&format=png&auto=webp&s=7b11bb6a0a8f06bafb2471e7dfc0b64c90f1cb1a)](https://preview.redd.it/424mtt66sq471.png?width=1433&format=png&auto=webp&s=7b11bb6a0a8f06bafb2471e7dfc0b64c90f1cb1a)
+
+Plotted Net Capital "T+21" Cycle, December 22 to July 26, and FTD Spike Relationship
+
+In the above picture, look at January 29th's FTD spike. Plotting the full 28 days of Net Capital out where 100% of the debts would be accounted for, that lands it on March 11th. They want to resolve this before March 11th, while the debts are still 75% accounted for. Remember that date? March 10th? I sure do. This could be why we saw the price spike, and why T+35 is incorrect in theory. But, it appears the major option dates still play a role, because of the May 12th FTD spike that just occurred, which followed April 16th options. Likewise, the January 15th options may have initiated the FTD spikes around January 29th and February 2nd.
+
+If the same situation occurs due to the May 12th FTDs, then plotting out the full 28 days of Net Capital lands us on June 22nd. If these FTDs initiated Net Capital T+0 upon May 12th, then things could get crazy on or before June 22nd.
+
+It is very possible that the run-up from May 25th to June 8th was all due to this new set of FTDs, and they had to start buy-ins on or before T+14 and T+21 from May 12th due to the sheer amount of unresolved shorts that were eating away at their Net Capital. If the FTDs aren't fully hidden again or all the buy-ins aren't complete, there's still T+28 to look towards, which lands on June 22nd. They would need to hide these FTDs again and/or buy-in on or before June 22nd. This would keep in line with the March 10th squeeze.
+
+This could also very well explain what was going on with AMC. (Don't freak out on me yet, I love looking at AMC because it's very good analysis to track. It's been following the same exact T+21 pattern as GME)
+
+4\. AMC Behavior - Given Up On By Shorts? Too Expensive To Juggle With GME?
+
+AMC has gone on an absolute RUN. It increased nearly 70% in one day. Take a look at the following chart now that you know about Net Capital and the different T+7, T+14, T+21, T+28 Thresholds:
+
+[![r/Superstonk - A revisit to Net Capital. What is truly driving these T+21 loops, the March and June gamma runs, and how skyrocketing ETF FTDs might cause big price movements in the coming weeks.](https://preview.redd.it/xn0tukmw4r471.png?width=1434&format=png&auto=webp&s=a679b5628fd370944ba680b6de0bf5e6dcadd35a)](https://preview.redd.it/xn0tukmw4r471.png?width=1434&format=png&auto=webp&s=a679b5628fd370944ba680b6de0bf5e6dcadd35a)
+
+AMC Behavior from May 12th to June 24th
+
+Damn. Did they just GIVE UP on AMC and decide that it's too much to deal with? Do they not have enough capital to deal with both GME and AMC (and possibly other short meme stocks)? I think so, because this lines up quite well. They had to fix Net Capital for AMC by T+7 (25%) Threshold on June 4th probably because it was too expensive to handle alongside GME, and GME is the one they really need to keep their ammo for.
+
+Between T+7 and T+14, they of course short some more, trying to pull the price down in preparation of the next Threshold cycle of T+14, which will probably cause an equivalent or greater amount of buy-ins. This lands on... June 15th. And if it's like previous cycles, that would imply that they want to do the buy-ins by June 14th (next Monday) to avoid those unresolved shorts hitting the next threshold amount. Big price spike coming again?
+
+Even then, the current T+21 cycle isn't over. The threshold of 75% doesn't land until June 24th, where things very likely will continue to spike upward with an equivalent or greater spike of the run before T+7 (25%) Threshold.
+
+I truly think that they've put all of their effort into containing GME and have more or less "given up" on AMC because it's not as big of a deal to them. That's why it's mooning like crazy while GME is taking a little time to wake up.
+
+5\. GME Behavior - Shorts Holding On As Long As They Can
+
+With the same exact timeframe of AMC, let's finally look at GME and the current cycle going on. The ETF FTDs from May 12th line up T+28 (100% Net Capital Threshold) on June 22nd. Again, if the Net Capital loop initiated upon that FTD spike, then things could get absolutely wild on or just before June 22nd.
+
+Otherwise, it might just be the standard T+21 Net Capital loop, which has that extra pressure from the ETF FTDs, where the Net Capital loop initiated on May 25th, and ends on June 24th.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - A revisit to Net Capital. What is truly driving these T+21 loops, the March and June gamma runs, and how skyrocketing ETF FTDs might cause big price movements in the coming weeks.](https://preview.redd.it/p3yueytz4r471.png?width=1441&format=png&auto=webp&s=48a0f3e70ac922a345e5b58c0219bd1470dff2ab)](https://preview.redd.it/p3yueytz4r471.png?width=1441&format=png&auto=webp&s=48a0f3e70ac922a345e5b58c0219bd1470dff2ab)
+
+GME Behavior from May 12th to June 24th
+
+By the time of T+7 (25% Threshold), it appears that they really needed to apply some buy-ins, and the price started to rise quite significantly. Just like AMC, but not as extreme, because they want to put all of their energy into keeping this bad boy from popping off.
+
+Once again... take a look when T+14 (50% Threshold) will hit. June 15th. From the above analysis, the buy-ins would occur on or before this threshold date, typically right before. Know where that lands? Next Monday. June 14th.
+
+It's possible that they won't be able to sustain to the 75% threshold any more, but now must sustain the 50% threshold of T+14 where they need to resolve their unresolved shorts by.
+
+Maybe there will be a big price spike next Monday. Otherwise, keep an eye out for the T+28 date of the ETF FTDs, landing June 22nd, or the original T+21 date, landing June 24th.
+
+I believe we're also waiting for the Russell 1000 change the week of June 24th. ;)

01-Must-Read/2021-06-15-Death-by-1000-Cuts-and-Shorting-Hedge-Funds-just-Received-their-999th-Cut.md

@@ -0,0 +1,148 @@
+In death by 1000 cuts, SHF just received their 999 cut
+======================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/No1Important_4real](https://www.reddit.com/user/No1Important_4real/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/o0mn0y/in_death_by_1000_cuts_shf_just_received_their_999/) | 
+
+---
+
+[Education 👨‍🏫 | Data 🔢](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Education%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%8F%AB%20%7C%20Data%20%F0%9F%94%A2%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+EDIT: Love you apes. Sorry again for the crass language and the tone. It was part frustration, part trying an alternate strategy to reach people. I will try and fix my typos and errors as I find them but this took me like three hours to write and I really need to get some work done.
+
+EDIT 2: I updated the percentages on the numbers chart, as people correctly pointed out the implied increase negated the need for the 100% base. Thank you so much for everyone taking the time to understand. I do want to mention that I'm not saying the MOASS is on a date. I just wanted to get attention drawn to a point of data that, to me at least, seems urgent and critical for apes to see, especially while the price dips. I always reserve the right to be wrong. Thank you all so much for your comments, I appreciate them all and read them as I can.
+
+PREFACE
+
+I am screaming from the rooftops about this to any apes who will listen. The bells are tolling for hedgies and no one is noticing or caring. I've made two other posts trying to draw attention to this and both got downvoted into obscurity or spammed with cries of "Shill!"
+
+I try to make every post respectful, concise, and as clear as possible but that isn't working and this needs to be heard, so I'm going to go crass. Prepare for a meandering, poorly edited, train of though addled wall of text! I'm going to worry less about citing and more about getting this out there. I'll edit in citations later if anyone fucking pays attention and this doesn't get downvoted to hell.
+
+I love all you apes, but the hedgies are bleeding out right in front of us and you dense mother fuckers are busy upvoting cat videos and low effort memes to the front page instead of useful discussion. You aren't all diamond hands, you're diamond skull too. If I need to make a puppet show I will, you're going to understand how important today is.
+
+TOPIC
+
+Today is the settlement date for the short interest reports due to FINRA twice a month. These dates are as important as FTD cycle dates but no one ever fucking pays any attention to them. Every single time these dates come around the price will bump UP by 25% to 35%. What did we see this cycle? A DROP OF 40%!
+
+This is the first time in a year that the price fell for a SI report cycle. It has always risen by as much as 500% during the Jan squeeze or as little as 22% in April while the stock was running flat but it ALWAYS GOES UP!
+
+Pay the fuck attention here. The price goes up when these dates come around, not down. There is a very simple reason why, if you give two shits about it you can read my first DD:
+
+<https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nztx4l/finra_short_interest_reporting_the_current_price/>
+
+GRADE SCHOOL LEVEL EXPLANATION
+
+I'm going to use an analogy and then a real world example with numbers to try and hold as many people's hands here and explain what's happening.
+
+Let's say you get a small cut and it bleeds a little bit. You're not going to die. You get cut again and again and again and you're still not going to die but every cut makes the bleeding come faster and faster. Eventually so many cuts will accumulate that the bleeding will kill you.
+
+Now imagine you're getting these cuts but don't want anyone to know you're bleeding, so you cover the cuts up with bandages. You're still fucking bleeding, you're still going to die, but at least nobody knows it. People can see you're a little cut, but no one can clearly tell you're fucking hamburger and being held together by duct tape and stubbornness.
+
+Now what happens when you run out of bandages and you get a new cut. That cut is going to show, people are going to see it. Worst, your old bandages need to be changed from time to time. You're now not just fucked, but everyone is going to start realizing you're fucked and they're going to go after your weak ass.
+
+That's the hedge funds right now, they're out of bandages.
+
+These pieces of shit have been creating synthetic shares of GME for months now, since before the Jan squeeze. In Jan they were over 100% short, so what happens when someone buys a share of a stock that has no shares to sell? The price goes up. It goes WAY the fuck up. To counter, the hedge funds have been creating synthetic shares.
+
+There are piles and piles of DD on this topic, please use the DD search button and read some of them if you're lost.
+
+So, let's say it's April 16th. You have synthetically created MILLIONS of shares of GME and apes keep buying. You create more shares every time they want to buy more so that the price doesn't climb. But every time you create shares you have to balance your books. Luckily, the SEC is shit at their jobs and you can fudge 10% or so of the shares you create out of thin air, but there is still just way too many shares getting created day after day.
+
+Then, here comes a settlement date on April 30th. In that time you've synthetically created 20 million shares and fucked the stock price in the process, only letting sell pressure materialize. You even got super sneaky and only marked half the shares you created out of thin air as short. You're still holding your dick and 10 million fucking shares that have to be balanced before your system creates an automated report and sends it to FINRA. Fuck. OK, so you start buying up deep in the money calls and shoving hundreds of thousands of shares into them, but there's only so many of those in a day. Here you are three days before the report is due and you've still got 7 million shares to fucking deal with. No option, you're going to cover 6 million of them, let the stock price concentrate a few percent, and then short the fuck out of it in a couple days. The report you send in, which is completely fucked and not even close to accurate, only shows you have 20% of the stock shorted, because you managed to lie about half of them, shove a quarter of them into options, juggled the rest into the share price for a couple days. April 30th hits and the report fires, you now can start the stupid fucking cycle all over again!
+
+MIDDLE SCHOOL LEVEL
+
+If you're with me so far, then I'm proud of you and you get a star.
+
+The hedgies are trapped in this cycle, it is married to the FTD cycle that everyone focuses on, but both of these cycles feed each other and compound on each other.
+
+Every time a report is due they have to cover whatever amount of shares they can't hide into options. If you want to know more about how hedge funds hide their shit in options, please use the DD button, there are a lot of VERY deep dives into that topic.
+
+Every time there is a settlement date looming, the shorts cover any open excessive shares they haven't yet hidden. Every time. Without exception.
+
+Now, half you retards skimming here read this as 'the shorts have covered'. THE SHORTS HAVE NOT COVERED! They are not closing the hundreds of millions of short positions they have open every settlement cycle, what they are closing is a fraction of the shares they created. Their strategy is to balance their bullshit between "accounting errors" and not marking synthetic shares as being short, shoving shares into options, and covering the remained. They cannot over do any one of the three. If they pump too many shares into options, the next FTD cycle will hit too hard. If they fuck up their report too much, it will cross the line from a fine and end up with jail time. If they cover too much it will send the share price too high. They use ALL THREE!
+
+WHAT HAPPENED
+
+I hope you're still with me, we're almost there....
+
+[![r/Superstonk - In death by 1000 cuts, SHF just received their 999 cut](https://preview.redd.it/g49n3z9peh571.png?width=1866&format=png&auto=webp&s=45312c14e7656455d6791d0e765be717c4eed00e)](https://preview.redd.it/g49n3z9peh571.png?width=1866&format=png&auto=webp&s=45312c14e7656455d6791d0e765be717c4eed00e)
+
+Pretty pictures
+
+[![r/Superstonk - In death by 1000 cuts, SHF just received their 999 cut](https://preview.redd.it/zlu198bxvh571.png?width=308&format=png&auto=webp&s=b1b91ba7bd00b5f164716d4d5390fd666b18dd7b)](https://preview.redd.it/zlu198bxvh571.png?width=308&format=png&auto=webp&s=b1b91ba7bd00b5f164716d4d5390fd666b18dd7b)
+
+Scary numbers!
+
+Here is a chart of settlement dates, the high that resulted from the date, and the low a day or two previous to the high. The highs are always (except for in 2 exceptions) the day BEFORE settlement. For the two exceptions, the high was two days before settlement. The lows occur before the high within a day or two. Lastly is the percent increase.
+
+You can ignore everything the Jan and Feb squeezes, their behavior is not typical for reasons I really shouldn't have to explain. You can see that before settlement the price always goes up. Always.
+
+This settlement cycle, for the first time ever the price went down, it went down 40 god damn percent.
+
+That's not a weird fluke, that's a fucking alarm bell ringing and everyone is ignoring it to watch anchors on CNBC yell at each other.
+
+EXPLANATIONS
+
+There are three possible solutions to why the price went down but only one of them makes any logical sense. Now, deep breath, you have to apply deductive reasoning. I will now attempt to make my case for the three arguments and why only one of them can be true. Hold onto your butts.
+
+ARGUMENT 1: *SHF managed to hide their short positions using their usual tactics, and sell pressure was so high they never needed to cover the shares they typically have to.*
+
+I want to point your attention to everyone's favorite datapoint, OBV:
+
+[![r/Superstonk - In death by 1000 cuts, SHF just received their 999 cut](https://preview.redd.it/evzz891m7h571.png?width=1298&format=png&auto=webp&s=e1385a64ef72920fb447d91a2019252dd8244008)](https://preview.redd.it/evzz891m7h571.png?width=1298&format=png&auto=webp&s=e1385a64ef72920fb447d91a2019252dd8244008)
+
+OBV is not the answer to all questions, but it can show us with a good enough clarity that no one is selling. After April 12 the OBV has only increased. This flat out tells you people are buying and not selling. Notice at the end there, the last few days, that dip is fucking pathetic. Even the paper hand bitches that joined in the last two weeks haven't sold.
+
+So the sell pressure didn't deflate shit, what about options, maybe they just shoved so many god damned shares into options this week...
+
+<https://www.optionsonar.com/unusual-option-activity/GME/latest-trades>
+
+Well, nope, according the optionsonar this week isn't exceptional. No more deep ITM buys then we'd expect to see. So they didn't hide the shares and they didn't cover the shares. This argument is fucked.
+
+ARGUMENT 2: *Hedge funds lie, they're just going to lie on this report.*
+
+This argument is slightly more plausible but still doesn't cover it. I want to emphasis, these dates are married to the FTD cycle. The FTD cycle is the noose around the hedgies necks. The cycle is strangling their stupid asses out. If they could just cheat away their short positions, they'd have been doing that YEARS ago.
+
+What's that I hear you saying over you bowl of cheerios with no milk? "Oh, but they're desperate now and trying desperate measures" They've been desperate since Feb when the dick parked behind them started inching into their asses. They've been doing everything they possibly can since at least Feb with no way out. If it was as simple as lying don't you think they would have tried that by now?
+
+I don't want to tell you jack shit about me, who I am or what I do in the real world, but I do have personal experience on this front, I do know what I'm talking about. The SEC may have their thumbs up their asses but if you fuck the dog too much, they will have no choice but to prosecute you. You can stick a finger or two in, but when you go balls deep there will be consequences.
+
+<https://www.ussc.gov/sites/default/files/pdf/research-and-publications/quick-facts/Securities_Fraud_FY19.pdf>
+
+Fraud, actual fucking fraud, not the stupid ass bullshit people on here like to call fraud, but REAL fucking fraud gets the government wet. USDAs will jump on them, it's a slam dunk easy case, the government gets to collect a bunch of sweet cash from their restitution payments, probation offices get to toss them onto the low risk caseload and check in with them a couple times a year. Everyone on the federal side wins. Again, I don't want to say too much but I know what I'm talking about on this topic, these assholes get prosecuted, they get years of probation and sometimes small stints in prison. Worst of all, you lose your ability to EVER practice finance again. Scarlett letter, they're fucked.
+
+So, they might push the envelope, they might fudge the numbers egregiously, but they wont erase 100 million shares and expect it not to get found.
+
+Reports like those sent the FINRA are created with automated workflows. In order for them to fraudulently mark all of their synthetic shares as long a worker at the bottom of the barrel would have to have gone in and done it. Some programmer, trader, or middle manger would have knowingly put his career, his freedom, his family's security on the line. For what? So his job lasts a couple weeks longer? So his boss will give him a thumbs up? Fucking no, no one is that stupid. No one is going to gamble away their entire life for a couple more weeks at a paycheck or a good performance review.
+
+If it were that simple, if cheating at that level were an option, they would already be doing it.
+
+I'm running in circles here but this is the first time the price dropped from a settlement, not just didn't go up, fucking dropped by 40%. It was shorted to shit. This isn't Ken going in with some whiteout and a pen, there are dozens of people involved with this action and they aren't all going to sacrifice themselves for no god damned reason, especially when they could get a sweet whistleblower reward for reporting it.
+
+ARGUMENT 3: They aren't going to cover.
+
+When you rule out all the other possibilities, what you're left with is the only logical argument. These assholes are unable to or unwilling to cover the shares they need to.
+
+Maybe the number of them is so egregious there is no point.
+
+Maybe the move to the Russell 1000 on the 25th will make the entire exercise pointless.
+
+Maybe there's too much scrutiny on them with the SEC finally investigating.
+
+Who the fuck knows, all I know is, they didn't cover.
+
+They didn't hide them all, they didn't sell them all, they aren't going to willingly go to jail, THEY'RE SURRENDERING whether intentional or not.
+
+When the report gets published on the 25th, it will show all the shares they couldn't fudge or hide. It will show tens of thousands of shares. Not just 20%, it'll be 60% minimum, and it'll be just the tip of the iceberg. That number will only represent a couple weeks of shorting.
+
+Blood in the water, the sharks will circle. This is massive.
+
+Apes need to fucking see this. Everyone is crying over a little price dip while the god damned final blows are being struck.
+
+You may downvote this again, spam accusations of Shill, but I'm not going to stop trying to get this topic to people's attention.
+
+I'm done for now and will go back to a polite demeanor.
+
+To all the apes who took the time to read, thank you!

01-Must-Read/2021-06-15-The-Bigger-Short.md

@@ -0,0 +1,430 @@
+The Bigger Short. How 2008 is repeating, at a much greater magnitude, and COVID ignited the fuse. GME is not the reason for the market crash. GME was the fatal flaw of Wall Street in their infinite money cheat that they did not expect.
+===========================================================================================================================================================================================================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/Criand](https://www.reddit.com/user/Criand/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/o0scoy/the_bigger_short_how_2008_is_repeating_at_a_much/) | 
+
+---
+
+[DD 👨‍🔬](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22DD%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%94%AC%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+0\. Preface
+
+I am not a financial advisor, and I do not provide financial advice. Many thoughts here are my opinion, and others can be speculative.
+
+TL;DR - (Though I think you REALLY should consider reading because it is important to understand what is going on):
+
+-   The market crash of 2008 never finished. It was can-kicked and the same people who caused the crash have still been running rampant doing the same bullshit in the derivatives market as that market continues to be unregulated. They're profiting off of short-term gains at the risk of killing their institutions and potentially the global economy. Only this time it is much, much worse.
+
+-   The bankers abused smaller amounts of leverage for the 2008 bubble and have since abused much higher amounts of leverage - creating an even larger speculative bubble. Not just in the stock market and derivatives market, but also in the crypt0 market, upwards of 100x leverage.
+
+-   COVID came in and rocked the economy to the point where the Fed is now pinned between a rock and a hard place. In order to buy more time, the government triggered a flurry of protective measures, such as mortgage forbearance, expiring end of Q2 on June 30th, 2021, and SLR exemptions, which expired March 31, 2021. The market was going to crash regardless. GME was and never will be the reason for the market crashing.
+
+-   The rich made a fatal error in way overshorting stocks. There is a potential for their decades of sucking money out of taxpayers to be taken back. The derivatives market is potentially a $1 Quadrillion market. "Meme prices" are not meme prices. There is so much money in the world, and you are just accustomed to thinking the "meme prices" are too high to feasibly reach.
+
+-   The DTC, ICC, OCC have been passing rules and regulations (auction and wind-down plans) so that they can easily eat up competition and consolidate power once again like in 2008. The people in charge, including Gary Gensler, are not your friends.
+
+-   The DTC, ICC, OCC are also passing rules to make sure that retail will never be able to to do this again. These rules are for the future market (post market crash) and they never want anyone to have a chance to take their game away from them again. These rules are not to start the MOASS. They are indirectly regulating retail so that a short squeeze condition can never occur after GME.
+
+-   The COVID pandemic exposed a lot of banks through the Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR) where mass borrowing (leverage) almost made many banks default. Banks have account 'blocks' on the Fed's balance sheet which holds their treasuries and deposits. The SLR exemption made it so that these treasuries and deposits of the banks 'accounts' on the Fed's balance sheet were not calculated into SLR, which allowed them to boost their SLR until March 31, 2021 and avoid defaulting. Now, they must extract treasuries from the Fed in reverse repo to avoid defaulting from SLR requirements. This results in the reverse repo market explosion as they are scrambling to survive due to their mass leverage.
+
+-   This is not a "retail vs. Melvin/Point72/Citadel" issue. This is a "retail vs. Mega Banks" issue. The rich, and I mean all of Wall Street, are trying desperately to shut GameStop down because it has the chance to suck out trillions if not hundreds of trillions from the game they've played for decades. They've rigged this game since the 1990's when derivatives were first introduced. Do you really think they, including the Fed, wouldn't pull all the stops now to try to get you to sell?
+
+End TL;DR
+
+A ton of the information provided in this post is from the movie Inside Job (2010). I am paraphrasing from the movie as well as taking direct quotes, so please understand that a bunch of this information is a summary of that film.
+
+I understand that The Big Short (2015) is much more popular here, due to it being a more Hollywood style movie, but it does not go into such great detail of the conditions that led to the crash - and how things haven't even changed. But in fact, got worse, and led us to where we are now.
+
+Seriously. Go. Watch. Inside Job. It is a documentary with interviews of many people, including those who were involved in the Ponzi Scheme of the derivative market bomb that led to the crash of 2008, and their continued lobbying to influence the Government to keep regulations at bay.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The Bigger Short. How 2008 is repeating, at a much greater magnitude, and COVID ignited the fuse. GME is not the reason for the market crash. GME was the fatal flaw of Wall Street in their infinite money cheat that they did not expect.](https://preview.redd.it/vvdd32qkei571.png?width=776&format=png&auto=webp&s=982445a99f17af054bd351990017e364b137cf02)](https://preview.redd.it/vvdd32qkei571.png?width=776&format=png&auto=webp&s=982445a99f17af054bd351990017e364b137cf02)
+
+Inside Job (2010) Promotional
+
+1\. The Market Crash Of 2008
+
+1.1 The Casino Of The Financial World: The Derivatives Market
+
+It all started back in the 1990's when the Derivative Market was created. This was the opening of the literal Casino in the financial world. These are bets placed upon an underlying asset, index, or entity, and are very risky. Derivatives are contracts between two or more parties that derives its value from the performance of the underlying asset, index, or entity.
+
+One such derivative many are familiar with are options (CALLs and PUTs). Other examples of derivatives are fowards, futures, swaps, and variations of those such as Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDOs), and Credit Default Swaps (CDS).
+
+The potential to make money off of these trades is insane. Take your regular CALL option for example. You no longer take home a 1:1 return when the underlying stock rises or falls $1. Your returns can be amplified by magnitudes more. Sometimes you might make a 10:1 return on your investment, or 20:1, and so forth.
+
+Not only this, you can grab leverage by borrowing cash from some other entity. This allows your bets to potentially return that much more money. You can see how this gets out of hand really fast, because the amount of cash that can be gained absolutely skyrockets versus traditional investments.
+
+Attempts were made to regulate the derivatives market, but due to mass lobbying from Wall Street, regulations were continuously shut down. People continued to try to pass regulations, until in 2000, the [Commodity Futures Modernization Act](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Commodity_Futures_Modernization_Act_of_2000) banned the regulation of derivatives outright.
+
+And of course, once the Derivatives Market was left unchecked, it was off to the races for Wall Street to begin making tons of risky bets and surging their profits.
+
+The Derivative Market exploded in size once regulation was banned and de-regulation of the financial world continued. You can see as of 2000, the cumulative derivatives market was already out of control.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The Bigger Short. How 2008 is repeating, at a much greater magnitude, and COVID ignited the fuse. GME is not the reason for the market crash. GME was the fatal flaw of Wall Street in their infinite money cheat that they did not expect.](https://preview.redd.it/9igfmi69di571.png?width=578&format=png&auto=webp&s=27fefbf3443e8be528849221f2eadeb1a5c10833)](https://preview.redd.it/9igfmi69di571.png?width=578&format=png&auto=webp&s=27fefbf3443e8be528849221f2eadeb1a5c10833)
+
+https://www.hilarispublisher.com/open-access/investment-banks-and-credit-institutions-the-ignored-and-unregulateddiversity-2151-6219-1000224.pdf
+
+The Derivatives Market is big. Insanely big. Look at how it compares to Global Wealth.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The Bigger Short. How 2008 is repeating, at a much greater magnitude, and COVID ignited the fuse. GME is not the reason for the market crash. GME was the fatal flaw of Wall Street in their infinite money cheat that they did not expect.](https://preview.redd.it/s22atssgdi571.png?width=1029&format=png&auto=webp&s=086dcebf3e710052f78b7490150203d0f8376b89)](https://preview.redd.it/s22atssgdi571.png?width=1029&format=png&auto=webp&s=086dcebf3e710052f78b7490150203d0f8376b89)
+
+https://www.visualcapitalist.com/all-of-the-worlds-money-and-markets-in-one-visualization-2020/
+
+At the bottom of the list are three derivatives entries, with "Market Value" and "Notional Value" called out.
+
+The "Market Value" is the value of the derivative at its current trading price.
+
+The "Notional Value" is the value of the derivative if it was at the strike price.
+
+E.g. A CALL option (a derivative) represents 100 shares of ABC stock with a strike of $50. Perhaps it is trading in the market at $1 per contract right now.
+
+-   Market Value = 100 shares * $1.00 per contract = $100
+
+-   Notional Value = 100 shares * $50 strike price = $5,000
+
+Visual Capitalist estimates that the cumulative Notional Value of derivatives is between $558 Trillion and $1 Quadrillion. So yeah. You are not going to cause a market crash if GME sells for millions per share. The rich are already priming the market crash through the Derivatives Market.
+
+1.2 CDOs And Mortgage Backed Securities
+
+Decades ago, the system of paying mortgages used to be between two parties. The buyer, and the loaner. Since the movement of money was between the buyer and the loaner, the loaner was very careful to ensure that the buyer would be able to pay off their loan and not miss payments.
+
+But now, it's a chain.
+
+1.  Home buyers will buy a loan from the lenders.
+
+2.  The lenders will then sell those loans to Investment Banks.
+
+3.  The Investment Banks then combine thousands of mortgages and other loans, including car loans, student loans, and credit card debt to create complex derivatives called "Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDO's)".
+
+4.  The Investment Banks then pay Rating Agencies to rate their CDO's. This can be on a scale of "AAA", the best possible rating, equivalent to government-backed securities, all the way down to C/D, which are junk bonds and very risky. Many of these CDO's were given AAA ratings despite being filled with junk.
+
+5.  The Investment Banks then take these CDO's and sell them to investors, including retirement funds, because that was the rating required for retirement funds as they would only purchase highly rated securities.
+
+6.  Now when the homeowner pays their mortgage, the money flows directly into the investors. The investors are the main ones who will be hurt if the CDO's containing the mortgages begin to fail.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The Bigger Short. How 2008 is repeating, at a much greater magnitude, and COVID ignited the fuse. GME is not the reason for the market crash. GME was the fatal flaw of Wall Street in their infinite money cheat that they did not expect.](https://preview.redd.it/0xtaww3ydi571.png?width=1493&format=png&auto=webp&s=f448a113043b043243efd879f174493bd33423fe)](https://preview.redd.it/0xtaww3ydi571.png?width=1493&format=png&auto=webp&s=f448a113043b043243efd879f174493bd33423fe)
+
+Inside Job (2010) - Flow Of Money For Mortgage Payments
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The Bigger Short. How 2008 is repeating, at a much greater magnitude, and COVID ignited the fuse. GME is not the reason for the market crash. GME was the fatal flaw of Wall Street in their infinite money cheat that they did not expect.](https://preview.redd.it/uyk9ms4fei571.png?width=756&format=png&auto=webp&s=d61e9a0754b676e64a1f6c97277ba877e946fcb6)](https://preview.redd.it/uyk9ms4fei571.png?width=756&format=png&auto=webp&s=d61e9a0754b676e64a1f6c97277ba877e946fcb6)
+
+https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/09/bond-rating.asp
+
+1.3 The Bubble of Subprime Loans Packed In CDOs
+
+This system became a ticking timebomb due to this potential of free short-term gain cash. Lenders didn't care if a borrower could repay, so they would start handing out riskier loans. The investment banks didn't care if there were riskier loans, because the more CDO's sold to investors resulted in more profit. And the Rating Agencies didn't care because there were no regulatory constraints and there was no liability if their ratings of the CDO's proved to be wrong.
+
+So they went wild and pumped out more and more loans, and more and more CDOs. Between 2000 and 2003, the number of mortgage loans made each year nearly quadrupled. They didn't care about the quality of the mortgage - they cared about maximizing the volume and getting profit out of it.
+
+In the early 2000s there was a huge increase in the riskiest loans - "Subprime Loans". These are loans given to people who have low income, limited credit history, poor credit, etc. They are very at risk to not pay their mortgages. It was predatory lending, because it hunted for potential home buyers who would never be able to pay back their mortgages so that they could continue to pack these up into CDO's.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The Bigger Short. How 2008 is repeating, at a much greater magnitude, and COVID ignited the fuse. GME is not the reason for the market crash. GME was the fatal flaw of Wall Street in their infinite money cheat that they did not expect.](https://preview.redd.it/wsr30iorei571.png?width=1447&format=png&auto=webp&s=59cf72f6eb8209d69e0a13ccf2f0127e69a45142)](https://preview.redd.it/wsr30iorei571.png?width=1447&format=png&auto=webp&s=59cf72f6eb8209d69e0a13ccf2f0127e69a45142)
+
+Inside Job (2010) - % Of Subprime Loans
+
+In fact, the investment banks preferred subprime loans, because they carried higher interest rates and more profit for them.
+
+So the Investment Banks took these subprime loans, packaged the subprime loans up into CDO's, and many of them still received AAA ratings. These can be considered "toxic CDO's" because of their high ability to default and fail despite their ratings.
+
+Pretty much anyone could get a home now. Purchases of homes and housing prices skyrocketed. It didn't matter because everyone in the chain was making money in an unregulated market.
+
+1.4 Short Term Greed At The Risk Of Institutional And Economic Failure
+
+In Wall Street, annual cash bonuses started to spike. Traders and CEOs became extremely wealthy in this bubble as they continued to pump more toxic CDO's into the market. Lehman Bros. was one of the top underwriters of subprime lending and their CEO alone took home over $485 million in bonuses.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The Bigger Short. How 2008 is repeating, at a much greater magnitude, and COVID ignited the fuse. GME is not the reason for the market crash. GME was the fatal flaw of Wall Street in their infinite money cheat that they did not expect.](https://preview.redd.it/io87r9vxei571.png?width=1494&format=png&auto=webp&s=944300df8faf8da35d75de6f10fb951a6d230154)](https://preview.redd.it/io87r9vxei571.png?width=1494&format=png&auto=webp&s=944300df8faf8da35d75de6f10fb951a6d230154)
+
+Inside Job (2010) Wall Street Bonuses
+
+And it was all short-term gain, high risk, with no worries about the potential failure of your institution or the economy. When things collapsed, they would not need to pay back their bonuses and gains. They were literally risking the entire world economy for the sake of short-term profits.
+
+AND THEY EVEN TOOK IT FURTHER WITH LEVERAGE TO MAXIMIZE PROFITS.
+
+During the bubble from 2000 to 2007, the investment banks were borrowing heavily to buy more loans and to create more CDO's. The ratio of banks borrowed money and their own money was their leverage. The more they borrowed, the higher their leverage. They abused leverage to continue churning profits. And are still abusing massive leverage to this day. It might even be much higher leverage today than what it was back in the Housing Market Bubble.
+
+In 2004, Henry Paulson, the CEO of Goldman Sachs, helped lobby the SEC to relax limits on leverage, allowing the banks to sharply increase their borrowing. Basically, the SEC allowed investment banks to gamble a lot more. Investment banks would go up to about 33-to-1 leverage at the time of the 2008 crash. Which means if a 3% decrease occurred in their asset base, it would leave them insolvent. Henry Paulson would later become the Secretary Of The Treasury from 2006 to 2009. He was just one of many Wall Street executives to eventually make it into Government positions. Including the infamous Gary Gensler, the current SEC chairman, who helped block derivative market regulations.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The Bigger Short. How 2008 is repeating, at a much greater magnitude, and COVID ignited the fuse. GME is not the reason for the market crash. GME was the fatal flaw of Wall Street in their infinite money cheat that they did not expect.](https://preview.redd.it/k87x53h7fi571.png?width=1619&format=png&auto=webp&s=b12004d6bb3e70643516ef0477303f4652ccd348)](https://preview.redd.it/k87x53h7fi571.png?width=1619&format=png&auto=webp&s=b12004d6bb3e70643516ef0477303f4652ccd348)
+
+Inside Job (2010) Leverage Abuse of 2008
+
+The borrowing exploded, the profits exploded, and it was all at the risk of obliterating their institutions and possibly the global economy. Some of these banks knew that they were "too big to fail" and could push for bailouts at the expense of taxpayers. Especially when they began planting their own executives in positions of power.
+
+1.5 Credit Default Swaps (CDS)
+
+To add another ticking bomb to the system, AIG, the worlds largest insurance company, got into the game with another type of derivative. They began selling Credit Default Swaps (CDS).
+
+For investors who owned CDO's, CDS's worked like an insurance policy. An investor who purchased a CDS paid AIG a quarterly premium. If the CDO went bad, AIG promised to pay the investor for their losses. Think of it like insuring a car. You're paying premiums, but if you get into an accident, the insurance will pay up (some of the time at least).
+
+But unlike regular insurance, where you can only insure your car once, speculators could also purchase CDS's from AIG in order to bet against CDO's they didn't own. You could suddenly have a sense of rehypothecation where fifty, one hundred entities might now have insurance against a CDO.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The Bigger Short. How 2008 is repeating, at a much greater magnitude, and COVID ignited the fuse. GME is not the reason for the market crash. GME was the fatal flaw of Wall Street in their infinite money cheat that they did not expect.](https://preview.redd.it/7xoupx0ffi571.png?width=1258&format=png&auto=webp&s=869beb0d99b9fbb4108cd5af692d0a6332fd52dd)](https://preview.redd.it/7xoupx0ffi571.png?width=1258&format=png&auto=webp&s=869beb0d99b9fbb4108cd5af692d0a6332fd52dd)
+
+Inside Job (2010) Payment Flow of CDS's
+
+If you've watched The Big Short (2015), you might remember the Credit Default Swaps, because those are what Michael Burry and others purchased to bet against the Subprime Mortgage CDO's.
+
+CDS's were unregulated, so AIG didn't have to set aside any money to cover potential losses. Instead, AIG paid its employees huge cash bonuses as soon as contracts were signed in order to incentivize the sales of these derivatives. But if the CDO's later went bad, AIG would be on the hook. It paid everyone short-term gains while pushing the bill to the company itself without worrying about footing the bill if shit hit the fan. People once again were being rewarded with short-term profit to take these massive risks.
+
+AIG's Financial Products division in London issued over $500B worth of CDS's during the bubble. Many of these CDS's were for CDO's backed by subprime mortgages.
+
+The 400 employees of AIGFP made $3.5B between 2000 and 2007. And the head of AIGFP personally made $315M.
+
+1.6 The Crash And Consumption Of Banks To Consolidate Power
+
+By late 2006, Goldman Sachs took it one step further. It didn't just sell toxic CDO's, it started actively betting against them at the same time it was telling customers that they were high-quality investments.
+
+Goldman Sachs would purchase CDS's from AIG and bet against CDO's it didn't own, and got paid when those CDO's failed. Goldman bought at least $22B in CDS's from AIG, and it was so much that Goldman realized AIG itself might go bankrupt (which later on it would and the Government had to bail them out). So Goldman spent $150M insuring themselves against AIG's potential collapse. They purchased CDS's against AIG.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The Bigger Short. How 2008 is repeating, at a much greater magnitude, and COVID ignited the fuse. GME is not the reason for the market crash. GME was the fatal flaw of Wall Street in their infinite money cheat that they did not expect.](https://preview.redd.it/m54zv03yfi571.png?width=1411&format=png&auto=webp&s=f6cb605b4c9b36c22e60cd8205b80bd6ac770fac)](https://preview.redd.it/m54zv03yfi571.png?width=1411&format=png&auto=webp&s=f6cb605b4c9b36c22e60cd8205b80bd6ac770fac)
+
+Inside Job (2010) Payment From AIG To Goldman Sachs If CDO's Failed
+
+Then in 2007, Goldman went even further. They started selling CDO's specifically designed so that the more money their customers lost, the more Goldman Sachs made.
+
+Many other banks did the same. They created shitty CDO's, sold them, while simultaneously bet that they would fail with CDS's. All of these CDO's were sold to customers as "safe" investments because of the complicit Rating Agencies.
+
+The three rating agencies, Moody's, S&P and Fitch, made billions of dollars giving high ratings to these risky securities. Moody's, the largest ratings agency, quadrupled its profits between 2000 and 2007. The more AAA's they gave out, the higher their compensation and earnings were for the quarter. AAA ratings mushroomed from a handful in 2000 to thousands by 2006. Hundreds of billions of dollars worth of CDO's were being rated AAA per year. When it all collapsed and the ratings agencies were called before Congress, the rating agencies expressed that it was "their opinion" of the rating in order to weasel their way out of blame. Despite knowing that they were toxic and did not deserve anything above 'junk' rating.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The Bigger Short. How 2008 is repeating, at a much greater magnitude, and COVID ignited the fuse. GME is not the reason for the market crash. GME was the fatal flaw of Wall Street in their infinite money cheat that they did not expect.](https://preview.redd.it/tto0v644gi571.png?width=1332&format=png&auto=webp&s=f4361dcc23801691d46ec88b241c7d5fa56e2aaf)](https://preview.redd.it/tto0v644gi571.png?width=1332&format=png&auto=webp&s=f4361dcc23801691d46ec88b241c7d5fa56e2aaf)
+
+Inside Job (2010) Ratings Agencies Profits
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The Bigger Short. How 2008 is repeating, at a much greater magnitude, and COVID ignited the fuse. GME is not the reason for the market crash. GME was the fatal flaw of Wall Street in their infinite money cheat that they did not expect.](https://preview.redd.it/91dpnu78gi571.png?width=1259&format=png&auto=webp&s=1f196573f47a757a8bcca8b9e712c537be84cbe2)](https://preview.redd.it/91dpnu78gi571.png?width=1259&format=png&auto=webp&s=1f196573f47a757a8bcca8b9e712c537be84cbe2)
+
+Inside Job (2010) - Insane Increase of AAA Rated CDOs
+
+By 2008, home foreclosures were skyrocketing. Home buyers in the subprime loans were defaulting on their payments. Lenders could no longer sell their loans to the investment banks. And as the loans went bad, dozens of lenders failed. The market for CDO's collapsed, leaving the investment banks holding hundreds of billions of dollars in loans, CDO's, and real estate they couldn't sell. Meanwhile, those who purchased up CDS's were knocking at the door to be paid.
+
+In March 2008, Bear Stearns ran out of cash and was acquired for $2 a share by JPMorgan Chase. The deal was backed by $30B in emergency guarantees by the Fed Reserve. This was just one instance of a bank getting consumed by a larger entity.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The Bigger Short. How 2008 is repeating, at a much greater magnitude, and COVID ignited the fuse. GME is not the reason for the market crash. GME was the fatal flaw of Wall Street in their infinite money cheat that they did not expect.](https://preview.redd.it/gbgc30vlhi571.png?width=873&format=png&auto=webp&s=74def34d1783c5e3195492913370e6ae65670301)](https://preview.redd.it/gbgc30vlhi571.png?width=873&format=png&auto=webp&s=74def34d1783c5e3195492913370e6ae65670301)
+
+https://www.history.com/this-day-in-history/bear-stearns-sold-to-j-p-morgan-chase
+
+AIG, Bear Stearns, Lehman Bros, Fannie Mae, and Freddie Mac, were all AA or above rating days before either collapsing or being bailed out. Meaning they were 'very secure', yet they failed.
+
+The Fed Reserve and Big Banks met together in order to discuss bailouts for different banks, and they decided to let Lehman Brothers fail as well.
+
+The Government also then took over AIG, and a day after the takeover, asked the Government for $700B in bailouts for big banks. At this point in time, the person in charge of handling the financial crisis, Henry Paulson, former CEO of Goldman Sachs, worked with the chairman of the Federal Reserve to force AIG to pay Goldman Sachs some of its bailout money at 100-cents on the dollar. Meaning there was no negotiation of lower prices. Conflict of interest much?
+
+The Fed and Henry Paulson also forced AIG to surrender their right to sue Goldman Sachs and other banks for fraud.
+
+This is but a small glimpse of the consolidation of power in big banks from the 2008 crash. They let others fail and scooped up their assets in the crisis.
+
+After the crash of 2008, big banks are more powerful and more consolidated than ever before. And the DTC, ICC, OCC rules are planning on making that worse through the auction and wind-down plans where big banks can once again consume other entities that default.
+
+1.7 The Can-Kick To Continue The Game Of Derivative Market Greed
+
+After the crisis, the financial industry worked harder than ever to fight reform. The financial sector, as of 2010, employed over 3000 lobbyists. More than five for each member of Congress. Between 1998 and 2008 the financial industry spent over $5B on lobbying and campaign contributions. And ever since the crisis, they're spending even more money.
+
+President Barack Obama campaigned heavily on "Change" and "Reform" of Wall Street, but when in office, nothing substantial was passed. But this goes back for decades - the Government has been in the pocket of the rich for a long time, both parties, both sides, and their influence through lobbying undoubtedly prevented any actual change from occurring.
+
+So their game of playing the derivative market was green-lit to still run rampant following the 2008 crash and mass bailouts from the Government at the expense of taxpayers.
+
+There's now more consolidation of banks, more consolidation of power, more years of deregulation, and over a decade that they used to continue the game. And just like in 2008, it's happening again. We're on the brink of another market crash and potentially a global financial crisis.
+
+2\. The New CDO Game, And How COVID Uppercut To The System
+
+2.1 Abuse Of Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities
+
+It's not just [/u/atobitt](https://www.reddit.com/u/atobitt/)'s "House Of Cards" where the US Treasury Market has been abused. It is abuse of many forms of collateral and securities this time around.
+
+It's the same thing as 2008, but much worse due to even higher amounts of leverage in the system on top of massive amounts of liquidity and potential inflation from stimulus money of the COVID crisis.
+
+Here's an excerpt from [The Bigger Short: Wall Street's Cooked Books Fueled The Financial Crisis of 2008. It's Happening Again](https://theintercept.com/2021/04/20/wall-street-cmbs-dollar-general-ladder-capital/):
+
+> A longtime industry analyst has uncovered creative accounting on a startling scale in the commercial real estate market, in ways similar to the "liar loans" handed out during the mid-2000s for residential real estate, according to financial records examined by the analyst and reviewed by The Intercept. A recent, large-scale academic study backs up his conclusion, finding that banks such as Goldman Sachs and Citigroup have systematically reported erroneously inflated income data that compromises the integrity of the resulting securities.
+>
+> ...
+>
+> The analyst's findings, first reported by ProPublica last year, are the subject of a whistleblower complaint he filed in 2019 with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Moreover, the analyst has identified complex financial machinations by one financial institution, one that both issues loans and manages a real estate trust, that may ultimately help one of its top tenants --- the low-cost, low-wage store Dollar General --- flourish while devastating smaller retailers.
+>
+> This time, the issue is not a bubble in the housing market, but apparent widespread inflation of the value of commercial businesses, on which loans are based.
+>
+> ...
+>
+> Now it may be happening again --- this time not with residential mortgage-backed securities, based on loans for homes, but commercial mortgage-backed securities, or CMBS, based on loans for businesses. And this industrywide scheme is colliding with a collapse of the commercial real estate market amid the pandemic, which has business tenants across the country unable to make their payments.
+
+They've been abusing Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities (CMBS) this time around, and potentially have still been abusing other forms of collateral - they might still be hitting MBS as well as treasury bonds per [/u/atobitt](https://www.reddit.com/u/atobitt/)'s DD.
+
+John M. Griffin and Alex Priest released a study last November. They sampled almost 40,000 CMBS loans with a market capitalization of $650 billion underwritten from the beginning of 2013 to the end of 2019. Their findings were that large banks had 35% or more loans exhibiting 5% or greater income overstatements.
+
+The below chart shows the overstatements of the biggest problem-making banks. The difference in bars is between samples taken from data between 2013-2015, and then data between 2016-2019. Almost every single bank experienced a positive move up over time of overstatements.
+
+> Unintentional overstatement should have occurred at random times. Or if lenders were assiduous and the overstatement was unwitting, one might expect it to diminish over time as the lenders discovered their mistakes. Instead, with almost every lender, the overstatement *increased* as time went on. - [Source](https://theintercept.com/2021/04/20/wall-street-cmbs-dollar-general-ladder-capital/)
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The Bigger Short. How 2008 is repeating, at a much greater magnitude, and COVID ignited the fuse. GME is not the reason for the market crash. GME was the fatal flaw of Wall Street in their infinite money cheat that they did not expect.](https://preview.redd.it/5xmcu9hwhi571.png?width=846&format=png&auto=webp&s=66f636574bd66afd3512b9587981e4caaa381cf3)](https://preview.redd.it/5xmcu9hwhi571.png?width=846&format=png&auto=webp&s=66f636574bd66afd3512b9587981e4caaa381cf3)
+
+https://theintercept.com/2021/04/20/wall-street-cmbs-dollar-general-ladder-capital/
+
+So what does this mean? It means they've once again been handing out subprime loans (predatory loans). But this time to businesses through Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities.
+
+Just like Mortgage-Backed Securities from 2000 to 2007, the loaners will go around, hand out loans to businesses, and rake in the profits while having no concern over the potential for the subprime loans failing.
+
+2.2 COVID's Uppercut Sent Them Scrambling
+
+The system was propped up to fail just like from the 2000-2007 Housing Market Bubble. Now we are in a speculative bubble of the entire market along with the Commercial Market Bubble due to continued mass leverage abuse of the world.
+
+Hell - also in Crypt0currencies that were introduced after the 2008 crash. Did you know that you can get over 100x leverage in crypt0 right now? Imagine how terrifying that crash could be if the other markets fail.
+
+There is SO. MUCH. LEVERAGE. ABUSE. IN. THE. WORLD. All it takes is one fatal blow to bring it all down - and it sure as hell looks like COVID was that uppercut to send everything into a death spiral.
+
+When COVID hit, many people were left without jobs. Others had less pay from the jobs they kept. It rocked the financial world and it was so unexpected. Apartment residents would now become delinquent, causing the apartment complexes to become delinquent. Business owners would be hurting for cash to pay their mortgages as well due to lack of business. The subprime loans all started to become a really big issue.
+
+Delinquency rates of Commercial Mortgages started to skyrocket when the COVID crisis hit. They even surpassed 2008 levels in March of 2020. Remember what happened in 2008 when this occurred? When delinquency rates went up on mortgages in 2008, the CDO's of those mortgages began to fail. But, this time, they can-kicked it because COVID caught them all off guard.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The Bigger Short. How 2008 is repeating, at a much greater magnitude, and COVID ignited the fuse. GME is not the reason for the market crash. GME was the fatal flaw of Wall Street in their infinite money cheat that they did not expect.](https://preview.redd.it/cqbceix0ii571.png?width=848&format=png&auto=webp&s=da81781094a31ae1293b019c4e24f68dfdccc634)](https://preview.redd.it/cqbceix0ii571.png?width=848&format=png&auto=webp&s=da81781094a31ae1293b019c4e24f68dfdccc634)
+
+https://theintercept.com/2021/04/20/wall-street-cmbs-dollar-general-ladder-capital/
+
+2.3 Can-Kick Of COVID To Prevent CDO's From Defaulting Before Being Ready
+
+COVID sent them Scrambling. They could not allow these CDO's to fail just yet, because they wanted to get their rules in place to help them consume other failing entities at a whim.
+
+Like in 2008, they wanted to not only protect themselves when the nuke went off from these decades of derivatives abuse, they wanted to be able to scoop up the competition easily. That is when the DTC, ICC, and OCC began drafting their auction and wind-down plans.
+
+In order to buy time, they began tossing out emergency relief "protections" for the economy. Such as preventing mortgage defaults which would send their CDO's tumbling. This protection ends on June 30th, 2021.
+
+And guess what? Many people are still at risk of being delinquent. [This article](https://therealdeal.com/issues_articles/defusing-the-forbearance-time-bomb/) was posted just yesterday. The moment these protection plans lift, we can see a surge in foreclosures as delinquent payments have accumulated over the past year.
+
+When everyone, including small business owners who were attacked with predatory loans, begin to default from these emergency plans expiring, it can lead to the CDO's themselves collapsing. Which is exactly what triggered the 2008 recession.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The Bigger Short. How 2008 is repeating, at a much greater magnitude, and COVID ignited the fuse. GME is not the reason for the market crash. GME was the fatal flaw of Wall Street in their infinite money cheat that they did not expect.](https://preview.redd.it/b68fsf5aii571.png?width=945&format=png&auto=webp&s=daa8c725185480d988802023a27291ee782b5c5f)](https://preview.redd.it/b68fsf5aii571.png?width=945&format=png&auto=webp&s=daa8c725185480d988802023a27291ee782b5c5f)
+
+https://www.housingwire.com/articles/mortgage-forbearance-drops-as-expiration-date-nears/
+
+2.4 SLR Requirement Exemption - Why The Reverse Repo Is Blowing Up
+
+Another big issue exposed from COVID is when SLR requirements were leaned during the pandemic. They had to pass a quick measure to protect the banks from defaulting in April of 2020.
+
+> In a brief announcement, the Fed said it would allow a change to the supplementary leverage ratio to expire March 31. The initial move, announced April 1, 2020, allowed banks to exclude Treasurys and deposits with Fed banks from the calculation of the leverage ratio. - [Source](https://www.cnbc.com/2021/03/19/the-fed-will-not-extend-a-pandemic-crisis-rule-that-had-allowed-banks-to-relax-capital-levels.html)
+
+What can you take from the above?
+
+SLR is based on the banks deposits with the Fed itself. It is the treasuries and deposits that the banks have on the Fed's balance sheet. Banks have an 'account block' on the Fed's balance sheet that holds treasuries and deposits. The SLR pandemic rule allowed them to neglect these treasuries and deposits from their SLR calculation, and it boosted their SLR value, allowing them to survive defaults.
+
+This is a big, big, BIG sign that the banks are way overleveraged by borrowing tons of money just like in 2008.
+
+The SLR is the "Supplementary Leverage Ratio" and they enacted quick to allow it so banks wouldn't fail under mass leverage for failing to maintain enough equity.
+
+> The supplementary leverage ratio is the US implementation of the Basel III Tier 1 leverage ratio, with which banks calculate the amount of common equity capital they must hold relative to their total leverage exposure. Large US banks must hold 3%. Top-tier bank holding companies must also hold an extra 2% buffer, for a total of 5%. The SLR, which does not distinguish between assets based on risk, is conceived as a backstop to risk-weighted capital requirements. - [Source](https://www.risk.net/definition/supplementary-leverage-ratio-slr)
+
+[Here is an exposure of their SLR](https://www.fool.com/investing/2020/07/26/which-of-the-large-us-banks-is-most-leveraged.aspx) from earlier this year. The key is to have high SLR, above 5%, as a top-tier bank:
+
+| Bank | Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR) |
+| --- | --- |
+| JP Morgan Chase | 6.8% |
+| Bank Of America | 7% |
+| Citigroup | 6.7% |
+| Goldman Sachs | 6.7% |
+| Morgan Stanley | 7.3% |
+| Bank of New York Mellon | 8.2% |
+| State Street | 8.3% |
+
+The SLR protection ended on March 31, 2021. Guess what started to happen just after?
+
+The reverse repo market started to explode. This is VERY unusual behavior because it is not at a quarter-end where quarter-ends have significant strain on the economy. The build-up over time implies that there is significant strain on the market AS OF ENTERING Q2 (April 1st - June 30th).
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The Bigger Short. How 2008 is repeating, at a much greater magnitude, and COVID ignited the fuse. GME is not the reason for the market crash. GME was the fatal flaw of Wall Street in their infinite money cheat that they did not expect.](https://preview.redd.it/ijp4wkxdii571.png?width=1455&format=png&auto=webp&s=46f67d7efcc98ee475ba27fa41850fbf5d894064)](https://preview.redd.it/ijp4wkxdii571.png?width=1455&format=png&auto=webp&s=46f67d7efcc98ee475ba27fa41850fbf5d894064)
+
+https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/RRPONTSYD
+
+Speculation: SLR IS DEPENDENT ON THEIR DEPOSITS WITH THE FED ITSELF. THEY NEED TO EXTRACT TREASURIES OVER NIGHT TO KEEP THEM OFF THE FED'S BALANCE SHEETS TO PREVENT THEMSELVES FROM FAILING SLR REQUIREMENTS AND DEFAULTING DUE TO MASS OVERLEVERAGE. EACH BANK HAS AN ACCOUNT ON THE FED'S BALANCE SHEET, WHICH IS WHAT SLR IS CALCULATED AGAINST. THIS IS WHY IT IS EXPLODING. THEY ARE ALL STRUGGLING TO MEET SLR REQUIREMENTS.
+
+2.5 DTC, ICC, OCC Wind-Down and Auction Plans; Preparing For More Consolidation Of Power
+
+We've seen some interesting rules from the DTC, ICC, and OCC. For the longest time we thought this was all surrounding GameStop. Guess what. They aren't all about GameStop. Some of them are, but not all of them.
+
+They are furiously passing these rules because the COVID can-kick can't last forever. The Fed is dealing with the potential of runaway inflation from COVID stimulus and they can't allow the overleveraged banks to can-kick any more. They need to resolve this as soon as possible. June 30th could be the deadline because of the potential for CDO's to begin collapsing.
+
+Let's revisit a few of these rules. The most important ones, in my opinion, because they shed light on the bullshit they're trying to do once again: Scoop up competitors at the cheap, and protect themselves from defaulting as well.
+
+-   DTC-004: Wind-down and auction plan. - [Link](https://www.sec.gov/rules/sro/dtc/2021/34-91429.pdf)
+
+-   ICC-005: Wind-down and auction plan. - [Link](https://www.sec.gov/rules/sro/icc/2021/34-91806.pdf)
+
+-   OCC-004: Auction plan. Allows third parties to join in. - [Link](https://www.sec.gov/rules/sro/occ/2021/34-91935.pdf)
+
+-   OCC-003: Shielding plan. Protects the OCC. - [Link](https://www.sec.gov/rules/sro/occ/2021/34-92038.pdf)
+
+Each of these plans, in brief summary, allows each branch of the market to protect themselves in the event of major defaults of members. They also allow members to scoop up assets of defaulting members.
+
+What was that? Scooping up assets? In other words it is more concentration of power. Less competition.
+
+I would not be surprised if many small and large Banks, Hedge Funds, and Financial Institutions evaporate and get consumed after this crash and we're left with just a select few massive entities. That is, after all, exactly what they're planning for.
+
+They could not allow the COVID crash to pop their massive speculative derivative bubble so soon. It came too sudden for them to not all collapse instead of just a few of them. It would have obliterated the entire economy even more so than it will once this bomb is finally let off. They needed more time to prepare so that they could feast when it all comes crashing down.
+
+2.6 Signs Of Collapse Coming - ICC-014 - Incentives For Credit Default Swaps
+
+A comment on this subreddit made me revisit a rule passed by the ICC. It flew under the radar and is another sign for a crash coming.
+
+This is [ICC-014](https://www.sec.gov/rules/sro/icc/2021/34-91922.pdf). Passed and effective as of June 1st, 2021.
+
+Seems boring at first. Right? That's why it flew under the radar?
+
+But now that you know the causes of the 2008 market crash and how toxic CDO's were packaged together, and then CDS's were used to bet against those CDO's, check out what ICC-014 is doing as of June 1st.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The Bigger Short. How 2008 is repeating, at a much greater magnitude, and COVID ignited the fuse. GME is not the reason for the market crash. GME was the fatal flaw of Wall Street in their infinite money cheat that they did not expect.](https://preview.redd.it/phrxcouvii571.png?width=731&format=png&auto=webp&s=469560cf06458b51b1b5439d84062e9f6e04bda4)](https://preview.redd.it/phrxcouvii571.png?width=731&format=png&auto=webp&s=469560cf06458b51b1b5439d84062e9f6e04bda4)
+
+ICC-014 Proposed Discounts On Credit Default Index Swaptions
+
+They are providing incentive programs to purchase Credit Default Swap Indexes. These are like standard CDS's, but packaged together like an index. Think of it like an index fund.
+
+This is allowing them to bet against a wide range of CDO's or other entities at a cheaper rate. Buyers can now bet against a wide range of failures in the market. They are allowing upwards of 25% discounts.
+
+There's many more indicators that are pointing to a market collapse. But I will leave that to you to investigate more. Here is quite a scary compilation of charts relating the current market trends to the crashes of Black Monday, The Internet Bubble, The 2008 Housing Market Crash, and Today.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The Bigger Short. How 2008 is repeating, at a much greater magnitude, and COVID ignited the fuse. GME is not the reason for the market crash. GME was the fatal flaw of Wall Street in their infinite money cheat that they did not expect.](https://preview.redd.it/y4reiv86hi571.jpg?width=550&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=8845b7b90adf28409772483c6eeeef1763bbaaaf)](https://preview.redd.it/y4reiv86hi571.jpg?width=550&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=8845b7b90adf28409772483c6eeeef1763bbaaaf)
+
+Summary of Recent Warnings Re Intermediate Trend In Equities
+
+3\. The Failure Of The 1% - How GameStop Can Deal A Fatal Blow To Wealth Inequality
+
+3.1 GameStop Was Never Going To Cause The Market Crash
+
+GameStop was meant to die off. The rich bet against it many folds over, and it was on the brink of Bankruptcy before many conditions led it to where it is today.
+
+It was never going to cause the market crash. And it never will cause the crash. The short squeeze is a result of high abuse of the derivatives market over the past decade, where Wall Street's abuse of this market has primed the economy for another market crash on their own.
+
+We can see this because when COVID hit, GameStop was a non-issue in the market. The CDO market around CMBS was about to collapse on its own because of the instantaneous recession which left mortgage owners delinquent.
+
+If anyone, be it the media, the US Government, or others, try to blame this crash on GameStop or anything other than the Banks and Wall Street, they are WRONG.
+
+3.2 The Rich Are Trying To Kill GameStop. They Are Terrified
+
+In January, the SI% was reported to be 140%. But it is very likely that it was underreported at that time. Maybe it was 200% back then. 400%. 800%. Who knows. From the above you can hopefully gather that Wall Street takes on massive risks all the time, they do not care as long as it churns them short-term profits. There is loads of evidence pointing to shorts never covering by hiding their SI% through malicious options practices, and manipulating the price every step of the way.
+
+The conditions that led GameStop to where it is today is a miracle in itself, and the support of retail traders has led to expose a fatal mistake of the rich. Because a short position has infinite loss potential. There is SO much money in the world, especially in the derivatives market.
+
+This should scream to you that any price target that you think is low, could very well be extremely low in YOUR perspective. You might just be accustomed to thinking "$X price floor is too much money. There's no way it can hit that". I used to think that too, until I dove deep into this bullshit.
+
+The market crashing no longer was a matter of simply scooping up defaulters, their assets, and consolidating power. The rich now have to worry about the potential of infinite losses from GameStop and possibly other meme stocks with high price floor targets some retail have.
+
+It's not a fight against Melvin / Citadel / Point72. It's a battle against the entire financial world. There is even speculation from multiple people that the Fed is even being complicit right now in helping suppress GameStop. Their whole game is at risk here.
+
+Don't you think they'd fight tooth-and-nail to suppress this and try to get everyone to sell?
+
+That they'd pull every trick in the book to make you think that they've covered?
+
+The amount of money they could lose is unfathomable.
+
+With the collapsing SI%, it is mathematically impossible for the squeeze to have happened - its mathematically impossible for them to have covered. [/u/atobitt](https://www.reddit.com/u/atobitt/) also discusses this in [House of Cards Part 2](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nlwaxv/house_of_cards_part_2/).
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The Bigger Short. How 2008 is repeating, at a much greater magnitude, and COVID ignited the fuse. GME is not the reason for the market crash. GME was the fatal flaw of Wall Street in their infinite money cheat that they did not expect.](https://preview.redd.it/6hge0pxfhi571.png?width=871&format=png&auto=webp&s=aab736cc279cc727524d2cf96384ea3e33109250)](https://preview.redd.it/6hge0pxfhi571.png?width=871&format=png&auto=webp&s=aab736cc279cc727524d2cf96384ea3e33109250)
+
+https://www.thebharatexpressnews.com/short-squeeze-could-save-gamestop-investors-a-third-time/
+
+And in regards to all the other rules that look good for the MOASS - I see them in a negative light.
+
+They are passing NSCC-002/801, DTC-005, and others, in order to prevent a GameStop situation from ever occurring again.
+
+They realized how much power retail could have from piling into a short squeeze play. These new rules will snap new emerging short squeezes instantly if the conditions of a short squeeze ever occur again. There will never be a GameStop situation after this.
+
+It's their game after all. They've been abusing the derivative market game for decades and GameStop is a huge threat. It was supposed to be, "crash the economy and run with the money". Not "crash the economy and pay up to retail". But GameStop was a flaw exposed by their greed, the COVID crash, and the quick turn-around of the company to take it away from the brink of bankruptcy.
+
+The rich are now at risk of losing that money and insane amounts of cash that they've accumulated over the years from causing the Internet Bubble Crash of 2000, and the Housing Market Crash of 2008.
+
+So, yeah, I'm going to be fucking greedy.

01-Must-Read/2021-06-21-The-Fed-is-Pinned-into-a-Corner-from-2008.md

@@ -0,0 +1,300 @@
+The Fed is pinned into a corner from the 2008 can-kick utilizing QE, and the economic effects of COVID. They are stuck battling a collateral crisis AND a liquidity crisis. The Fed is currently fudging the numbers of treasuries to hide a collateral shortage and to try to prop the economy up.
+===================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/Criand](https://www.reddit.com/user/Criand/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/o4rfnu/the_fed_is_pinned_into_a_corner_from_the_2008/) | 
+
+---
+
+[DD 👨‍🔬](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22DD%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%94%AC%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+0\. Preface
+
+I am not a financial advisor. I do not provide financial advice. Many thoughts here are my opinion, and others can be speculative.
+
+I'm personally happy to see that there is a shift from GME DD to macro-economics DD. Because it provides a much wider insight into how the market is behaving, and how GME would NOT be the cause of a market crash. Everything has been a pressure cooker over the past decade, ready to burst, and the new DD provides insight on when things might go down.
+
+The new DD also diverges from the expectations of things to shoot up in price every week, where everyone is watching T+21/T+35/Net Capital cycles. It gives a general "MOASS will most likely occur when everything falls due to liquidation of defaulting Banks / Hedge Funds / Financial Institutions".
+
+It gives me peace of mind, because I do not watch for specific dates around GME to cause the surge. I watch the economy at the macro scale to understand when things could blow.
+
+And to any skeptics - yes, it is possible that GME could never blow up. Do I think it will blow up? Sure I do. But I encourage YOU to read this post, disregarding GME, and to instead understand what is going on with the economy on the macro scale.
+
+Even if the GME play is wrong in your eyes, it is good to understand how the economy could crash harder than it did in 2008. I don't care if you don't believe in GME. I care about you, and don't want YOU to be hurt.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The Fed is pinned into a corner from the 2008 can-kick utilizing QE, and the economic effects of COVID. They are stuck battling a collateral crisis AND a liquidity crisis. The Fed is currently fudging the numbers of treasuries to hide a collateral shortage and to try to prop the ...](https://preview.redd.it/pscahu4lxk671.png?width=727&format=png&auto=webp&s=2e5ee31eaef0413023a8cc4be07087210081554c)](https://preview.redd.it/pscahu4lxk671.png?width=727&format=png&auto=webp&s=2e5ee31eaef0413023a8cc4be07087210081554c)
+
+Me IRL - Maybe - Sometime
+
+1\. Before We Begin: An Overview of Repo And Reverse Repo
+
+Repo and Reverse Repo might be a bit confusing. You probably saw on this subreddit or in news that the reverse repo market has been blowing up, and it's a bit concerning.
+
+It's not too complicated if you just imagine it between two entities: the Federal Reserve and Banks.
+
+For both Repo and Reverse Repo, it is an agreement between two parties for one of them to sell some security for a price, and they agree to buy that security back at a later date at a higher price based on some interest rate (usually). This is called a "Repurchase Agreement", where "Repo" is a standard "Repurchase Agreement" and the "Reverse Repo" is a "Reverse Repurchase Agreement", the inverse of a "Repo".
+
+The length of these Repurchase Agreements can be various lengths. Such as overnight, one month, three month, etc.. But what we're seeing is short-term overnight Reverse Repos. The parties swap, and then the next trading day they swap back. It is not a permanent extraction of the underlying security. It is an overnight swap. A permanent extraction comes from Quantitative Easing or Quantitative Tightening, both of which I will discuss later.
+
+-   Repo (Repurchase Agreement) - This is where the bank swaps collateral (such as US Treasuries) for cash. This is used when the banks have too much collateral and not enough cash, or when the banks want to generate profit off of giving loans to other parties in the repo market.
+
+-   Reverse Repo (Reverse Repurchase Agreement) - This is where the bank swaps cash (liquidity) for collateral (such as US Treasuries). This is used when the banks have too much cash (liquidity) and not enough collateral. The main reason behind this behavior is to pump balance sheets for the night.
+
+Below is a diagram I made which might make this more clear. It is between the Fed (left) and Banks (right):
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The Fed is pinned into a corner from the 2008 can-kick utilizing QE, and the economic effects of COVID. They are stuck battling a collateral crisis AND a liquidity crisis. The Fed is currently fudging the numbers of treasuries to hide a collateral shortage and to try to prop the ...](https://preview.redd.it/ukum83cf2k671.png?width=1920&format=png&auto=webp&s=99d4c612df82013aed06ff2b22621500a80071cf)](https://preview.redd.it/ukum83cf2k671.png?width=1920&format=png&auto=webp&s=99d4c612df82013aed06ff2b22621500a80071cf)
+
+Repo and QT Versus Reverse Repo and QE
+
+2\. Quantitative Easing Can-Kick of 2008, Slowly Draining Collateral From The Market
+
+Note: If you want an overview of what led to the 2008 crash, check out [my previous post](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/o0scoy/the_bigger_short_how_2008_is_repeating_at_a_much/) which has a summary of the documentary "Inside Job (2010)". It also describes where we're probably headed based on SLR, the DTC, ICC, OCC, NSCC rules, and mortgage default protections expiring June 30th, 2021.
+
+Zoom back in time to 2008. The economy took a massive dump due to Wall Street's abuse of derivatives and leverage. They created a bunch of toxic CDOs mostly consisting of [subprime Mortgages](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/subprimeloan.asp) to create an economic apocalyptic scenario around Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS). Everything was overleveraged and was a massive balloon of bets based on the performance of the MBS's.
+
+Currently, there's evidence of Wall Street doing the same abuse of toxic CDO's but this time with Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities (CMBS). [See above linked post for this detail]
+
+The economy was hurting pretty bad from the 2008 crash, and it was going to continue going into a complete death spiral until the Federal Reserve (Fed) introduced Quantitative Easing (QE):
+
+> The Fed announced QE1 on November 25, 2008. Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke announced an aggressive attack on the financial crisis of 2008. The Fed began buying $500 billion in mortgage-backed securities and $100 billion in other debt. QE supported the housing market that the subprime mortgage crisis had devastated. - [Source](https://www.thebalance.com/what-is-qe1-3305530)
+
+If you're still scratching your head on what QE is, here's the Wikipedia overview definition, as well as (hopefully) a more simplified definition.
+
+[Quantitative Easing](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quantitative_easing) (QE) - is a monetary policy whereby a central bank purchases at scale government bonds or other financial assets in order to inject money into the economy to expand economic activity.
+
+-   This is what the Fed will do to extract collateral (including US Treasuries) from the economy in order to push in liquidity. The Fed started doing this in 2008 to extract toxic collateral from the market and encourage economic growth because it allowed more cash flow in the economy.
+
+-   This pulls out collateral from the economy, and pushes cash (liquidity) in.
+
+-   It was a ticking timebomb ever since it started, because it extracts collateral from the market, slowly creating a collateral shortage issue.
+
+Check out the effects of QE on the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DJI):
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The Fed is pinned into a corner from the 2008 can-kick utilizing QE, and the economic effects of COVID. They are stuck battling a collateral crisis AND a liquidity crisis. The Fed is currently fudging the numbers of treasuries to hide a collateral shortage and to try to prop the ...](https://preview.redd.it/cktjwttu8k671.png?width=1528&format=png&auto=webp&s=4e23f2e54e6204d8c56323d7e6bc8772c1a02535)](https://preview.redd.it/cktjwttu8k671.png?width=1528&format=png&auto=webp&s=4e23f2e54e6204d8c56323d7e6bc8772c1a02535)
+
+DJI Before And After Quantitative Easing Begins
+
+It was helping the economy reverse the death spiral, and it has been pumping the economy ever since the introduction of QE. The problem is, of course, that collateral would continue to be sucked out of the market through the mechanics of QE.
+
+And QE can't continue forever, because collateral is a fundamental part of the repo market which allows cash to flow in the economy. When you don't have collateral, you can't post the collateral in the market for cash from banks, and thus the flow of cash basically shuts down. You cannot perform a normal repo transaction between a Bank / Hedge Fund / Financial Institution.
+
+The Fed tried to stop QE after a while. Instead of pulling collateral out of the economy, they needed to try to push collateral back into the economy. In order to stop QE, they tried what was, in essence, the "reverse" of QE called Quantitative Tightening (QT).
+
+[Quantitative Tightening](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quantitative_tightening) (QT) - (or quantitative hardening) is a contractionary monetary policy applied by a central bank to decrease the amount of liquidity within the economy. The policy is the reverse of quantitative easing (QE), aimed to increase money supply in order to "stimulate" the economy.
+
+-   This is what the Fed will do to extract liquidity from the economy in order to push in collateral. It is used to attempt to reverse the effects of QE, to try to regain balance in the economy.
+
+-   This pulls out cash (liquidity) from the economy, and pushes collateral in.
+
+-   The Fed attempted QT in 2018, but it proved to have very bad consequences on the economy. So, they went back to QE in 2019, continuing to can-kick the effects of the 2008 crash.
+
+This is a chart showing the Fed's "Total Assets", where collateral is an asset for the Fed. So when collateral was extracted from the economy through QE, it went onto their "Assets" side of their balance sheet. When collateral was pushed back into the economy through QT, it was extracted from their "Assets" side of their balance sheet.
+
+1.  At the start of QE in 2008, there is a surge of assets due to the buying up of MBS's and treasuries.
+
+2.  Around 2018 the assets began to decline because the Fed attempted QT by pushing collateral back into the economy and sucking liquidity out.
+
+3.  Around September 2019 the assets began to increase again because the Fed went back to QE after realizing the negative effects it was having on the economy due to causing a liquidity shortage.
+
+So... what happened in September of 2019? Why did QT fail after a decade of QE?
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The Fed is pinned into a corner from the 2008 can-kick utilizing QE, and the economic effects of COVID. They are stuck battling a collateral crisis AND a liquidity crisis. The Fed is currently fudging the numbers of treasuries to hide a collateral shortage and to try to prop the ...](https://preview.redd.it/x6pfomz2ck671.png?width=893&format=png&auto=webp&s=1c667c5cc3dbc94de50944208f107aac1dd72d73)](https://preview.redd.it/x6pfomz2ck671.png?width=893&format=png&auto=webp&s=1c667c5cc3dbc94de50944208f107aac1dd72d73)
+
+https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/bst_recenttrends.htm
+
+3\. Quantitative Easing Cannot Be Reversed. The Can-Kick Continues Until The Economy Crashes
+
+Despite pumping in a bunch of liquidity into the market through QE, the economy was still lacking liquidity. When the Fed started to reverse QE through QT, the liquidity in the market tightened and thus the negative effects on the economy began to surface in September of 2019.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The Fed is pinned into a corner from the 2008 can-kick utilizing QE, and the economic effects of COVID. They are stuck battling a collateral crisis AND a liquidity crisis. The Fed is currently fudging the numbers of treasuries to hide a collateral shortage and to try to prop the ...](https://preview.redd.it/9sd32gdxdk671.png?width=630&format=png&auto=webp&s=0ee9d749419bc2b6c0a84682f6f9b0b886ceca93)](https://preview.redd.it/9sd32gdxdk671.png?width=630&format=png&auto=webp&s=0ee9d749419bc2b6c0a84682f6f9b0b886ceca93)
+
+https://blog.pimco.com/en/2019/09/repo-rate-spike-a-tail-of-low-liquidity
+
+Less than a year after starting QT, a liquidity crisis emerged on September 15th, 2019, when the repo rate spiked up severely. This was a clash of events surrounding the lower liquidity issue.
+
+> Banks' "reporting" dates are known inflection points in the short-term funding markets and typically fall at the end of the month, quarter, and of course the year. But periodically, the 15th of the month is also a pressure point. Such was the case this past Monday when a short-term funding rate that had been hovering around 2.21% soared as high as 10%.
+>
+> The funding market succumbed to a trifecta of pressures:
+>
+> 1.  Payments on corporate taxes were due on 15 September, leading to high redemptions of more than $35 billion in money market funds.
+>
+>
+> 2.  Cash balances increased by an additional $83 billion in the U.S. Treasury general account, which reduces excess reserves and simultaneously acts to reduce the aggregate supply of overnight liquidity available in funding markets.
+>
+>
+> 3.  Dealers needed an additional $20 billion in funding to finance the settlement of recent scheduled U.S. Treasury issuance.
+>
+>
+>
+> ...
+>
+> ...
+>
+> On September 15, as so many institutions needed funding, repo rates climbed well above the fed funds upper-end target at the time of 2.25% to briefly touch 5%. The following day, cash repo markets traded as high as 10% for those looking to finance agency mortgage positions overnight. Later that morning, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York acknowledged the pressures and conducted its first Open Market Operation (OMO) in more than a decade to add reserves to the funding markets that were clearly in need of the liquidity. Subsequently, after its meeting Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announced a cut in the interest on excess reserves (IOER) of 0.30% -- five basis points more than its cut in the fed funds rate -- providing some relief to the upper bound of money-market yields.  - [Source](https://blog.pimco.com/en/2019/09/repo-rate-spike-a-tail-of-low-liquidity)
+
+Due to the reduced liquidity from QT, because it sucks out liquidity and pushes in collateral, the markets hit a critical point where there was too much cash that was needed and not enough to supply those who needed the cash. There was huge amounts of strain on the economy.
+
+This was most likely due to continued large leverage + derivatives abuse stemming from what led to the 2000-2007 Housing Market Bubble. The Fed realized that QT could not continue because of the liquidity shortage that was arising. They had to stop QT and continue QE in order to continue to pull out collateral and pump in liquidity. And thus, the collateral shortage time bomb continued ticking.
+
+Below is the figure of when the repo rate shot up to ~10% within a day. This was awful, because it was much more expensive for loans to go out. The repo market would have shut down from nobody wanting to spend 10% on a repurchase agreement to get cash for the day. How would ANYONE get 10% return overnight to pay for these loans? The flow of cash was about to halt.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The Fed is pinned into a corner from the 2008 can-kick utilizing QE, and the economic effects of COVID. They are stuck battling a collateral crisis AND a liquidity crisis. The Fed is currently fudging the numbers of treasuries to hide a collateral shortage and to try to prop the ...](https://preview.redd.it/86p3getwwj671.png?width=771&format=png&auto=webp&s=2a503c9055d655f80557da8bf46744c205f60011)](https://preview.redd.it/86p3getwwj671.png?width=771&format=png&auto=webp&s=2a503c9055d655f80557da8bf46744c205f60011)
+
+https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/what-happened-in-money-markets-in-september-2019-20200227.htm
+
+4\. COVID Initiated A Liquidity Crisis In The Banks, Which Now Fights With The Collateral Shortage
+
+QE continued on until 2020, when suddenly, COVID came in. Nobody expected it.
+
+And boy, oh boy, did COVID wreak havoc on the economy and the financial world. While the Fed was slowly approaching a collateral crisis through QE, COVID exacerbated the issue due to the sudden impact it had on liquidity. COVID increased liquidity, and when you have a sudden surge of liquidity, you need to balance it with collateral. The economic balance was tipping as of March of 2020.
+
+This does not even take into account the effects of many people losing their jobs, being unable to pay rent/mortgages, and other issues that arose from COVID. Those all apply to another ticking time bomb: the CMBS issue, equivalent to the MBS bubble of 2000-2007, which I discussed in my other post.
+
+The COVID pandemic caused a surge of money being printed from stimulus packages in the US. When you print a bunch of money into the economy on a whim, you risk driving inflation of the currency itself. What does inflation encourage? Less spending from companies, due to the higher price. This leads to less loaning of cash in the repo market, and banks obtaining an ever-surplus of cash.
+
+COVID caused a sudden surge of trillions of dollars worth that the economy couldn't handle naturally. Compare the treasury balance versus the deposits over time, and the surge that occurred in 2020 in response to the pandemic. The COVID stimulus bills pumped in a massive amount of money into the economy at the risk of inflation. And we're already seeing the effects of inflation occur on the [supply chain](https://www.businessinsider.com/why-supply-shortages-economy-inventory-chips-lumber-cars-toilet-paper-2021-5):
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The Fed is pinned into a corner from the 2008 can-kick utilizing QE, and the economic effects of COVID. They are stuck battling a collateral crisis AND a liquidity crisis. The Fed is currently fudging the numbers of treasuries to hide a collateral shortage and to try to prop the ...](https://preview.redd.it/amwahlvykk671.png?width=877&format=png&auto=webp&s=1e343c265451a1b2d6754a4d04971bb445e58f43)](https://preview.redd.it/amwahlvykk671.png?width=877&format=png&auto=webp&s=1e343c265451a1b2d6754a4d04971bb445e58f43)
+
+https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/bst_recenttrends.htm
+
+Stimulus checks were sent out to retail. Companies were bailed out. Unemployment increased, resulting in more unemployment benefits going out due to the relief bills. More money printed. More money deposited at banks.
+
+There was a ton of cash (liquidity) being pumped into the economy over the past year from March 2020 to June 2021. Because of this, due to inflation and an excess of cash, banks began to get a surplus of cash deposited. People had more cash. They didn't need to spend money on rent/mortages. Companies didn't want to spend more due to fears of inflation. So, bank deposits went up.
+
+The main problem with this is that the cash deposited with the banks became a liability on their balance sheets. When you have a surplus of liabilities on your balance sheet, you need to 'balance' it out with assets, such as US Treasuries.
+
+The banks were now in trouble because they had way, way too many deposits. They were at risk of defaulting due to their SLR requirements. Here is a figure showing how deposits (liabilities) of banks increased over time. It mushroomed during the COVID pandemic:
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The Fed is pinned into a corner from the 2008 can-kick utilizing QE, and the economic effects of COVID. They are stuck battling a collateral crisis AND a liquidity crisis. The Fed is currently fudging the numbers of treasuries to hide a collateral shortage and to try to prop the ...](https://preview.redd.it/6dm07sa3oj671.png?width=891&format=png&auto=webp&s=9acce6ceb03841c64828198eefff21eb06b1e310)](https://preview.redd.it/6dm07sa3oj671.png?width=891&format=png&auto=webp&s=9acce6ceb03841c64828198eefff21eb06b1e310)
+
+https://www.ft.com/content/a5e165f7-a524-4b5b-9939-de689b6a1687
+
+To combat this issue, the Fed decided to introduce a relief program for banks regarding SLR because of the massive increase of liquidity due to the uppercut that COVID created on the financial world.
+
+> The supplementary leverage ratio (SLR) is the US implementation of the Basel III Tier 1 leverage ratio, with which banks calculate the amount of common equity capital they must hold relative to their total leverage exposure. Large US banks must hold 3%. Top-tier bank holding companies must also hold an extra 2% buffer, for a total of 5%. The SLR, which does not distinguish between assets based on risk, is conceived as a backstop to risk-weighted capital requirements. - [Source](https://www.risk.net/definition/supplementary-leverage-ratio-slr)
+
+In more of a simplified summary, SLR is a requirement of total equity that a bank must hold compared to their total leverage exposure. If they are exposed to leverage, they need to hold enough capital for that position otherwise they are at risk of defaulting. In this case, they only need to hold a measly 3%-5%, dependent on how large of a bank they are. Just like in 2008 - these banks can have massive leverage and SLR is to "help protect the economy" from them abusing leverage.
+
+But hey, the Fed put in place some protections for the year to help these banks since they were obviously overleveraged to begin with. These protections expired on March 31st, 2021.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The Fed is pinned into a corner from the 2008 can-kick utilizing QE, and the economic effects of COVID. They are stuck battling a collateral crisis AND a liquidity crisis. The Fed is currently fudging the numbers of treasuries to hide a collateral shortage and to try to prop the ...](https://preview.redd.it/14pa4yngtj671.png?width=1433&format=png&auto=webp&s=534726bcf83b0bf40ede7b196191d66c29094d6e)](https://preview.redd.it/14pa4yngtj671.png?width=1433&format=png&auto=webp&s=534726bcf83b0bf40ede7b196191d66c29094d6e)
+
+https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/03/29/the-fed-is-ending-one-of-its-pandemic-relief-progr/
+
+> The Fed's relief program last year allowed banks to exclude U.S. Treasuries and central bank reserves from the SLR calculation. The relief program was a response to the many non-banking institutions selling Treasuries to raise cash, and coincided with other measures, including the $2.2 trillion CARES Act, which resulted in even more Treasuries being sold into the market. - [Source](https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/03/29/the-fed-is-ending-one-of-its-pandemic-relief-progr/)
+
+Right after the expiration of the protection plans of SLR, the Reverse Repo market began to blow up because the banks had way too much liquidity and not enough treasuries on their balance sheets.
+
+The argument that the banks were "parking their money at the Fed" was a reasonable explanation at first. Though, with 0% ROI from the RRP at the time, the banks would literally get no return on their investments. So for that argument, all of their other investments would have had to yield negative in order for RRP to be more enticing. Does this make sense to you that they'd use 0% RRP to be an 'investment'?
+
+The fact that the RRP began to ramp up and then explode after the SLR protections lifted makes this look like a collateral shortage issue. And of course, with QE occurring over the past decade, makes it more likely, because collateral was sucked out of the economy and onto the Fed's balance sheet over the years.
+
+That was of course questionable on whether it was a liquidity or collateral issue, until, the RRP rate dropped negative in March of 2021, as well as in April of 2021.
+
+5\. Reverse Repo Rate Flips Negative; Warnings Of Collateral Shortage
+
+Think about it quite simply in a supply/demand factor and the reverse repo when the RRP rate dropped negative.
+
+You are a bank. You want to get Collateral from the Fed to balance your sheets. The Fed says they'll give you a small amount of interest for borrowing their collateral overnight. But now, imagine that the supply of collateral is too low and demand is too high. The Fed will no longer want to pay you for borrowing its collateral so it will shift the interest rate down. If demand really outweighs supply, then the Fed would then want cash from YOU in order for YOU to borrow the collateral.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The Fed is pinned into a corner from the 2008 can-kick utilizing QE, and the economic effects of COVID. They are stuck battling a collateral crisis AND a liquidity crisis. The Fed is currently fudging the numbers of treasuries to hide a collateral shortage and to try to prop the ...](https://preview.redd.it/eysh9mx9ok671.png?width=961&format=png&auto=webp&s=4d9d1695922b01651eae06c6bcc2753ad0f5b789)](https://preview.redd.it/eysh9mx9ok671.png?width=961&format=png&auto=webp&s=4d9d1695922b01651eae06c6bcc2753ad0f5b789)
+
+https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-bonds-repo-explainer/explainer-u-s-repo-market-flirts-with-negative-rates-as-fed-seeks-to-absorb-excess-cash-idUSKBN2C32AI
+
+This was just one of the warning signs that a collateral issue was arising. The RRP rates were already at 0%, so the only way for them to move was either up or down. An increase in treasury demand could shift it down, into the negatives, which it did.
+
+6\. The Fed Is Fudging The Numbers And Hiding A Collateral Shortage
+
+The drop in RRP interest rates to the negative came after the Fed increased the total borrowing amount of counterparties in the RRP from $30 Billion to $80 Billion.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The Fed is pinned into a corner from the 2008 can-kick utilizing QE, and the economic effects of COVID. They are stuck battling a collateral crisis AND a liquidity crisis. The Fed is currently fudging the numbers of treasuries to hide a collateral shortage and to try to prop the ...](https://preview.redd.it/by2ftlpopk671.png?width=1028&format=png&auto=webp&s=747f50e2fb63aabaedb6e9e947aa117f6c75f91b)](https://preview.redd.it/by2ftlpopk671.png?width=1028&format=png&auto=webp&s=747f50e2fb63aabaedb6e9e947aa117f6c75f91b)
+
+https://finadium.com/fed-increases-rrp-limits-from-30-billion-to-80-billion-to-ensure-supply-at-near-0-rates/
+
+Why did they do this? Think of it again as a supply versus demand issue. For simple math, imagine the Fed has 50 members.
+
+-   At a limit of $30 Billion per member, that is a total of $30B * 50 = $1.5 Trillion that can be borrowed.
+
+-   At a limit of $80 Billion per member, that is a total of $80B * 50 = $4 Trillion that can be borrowed.
+
+What is this doing? Why did the Fed increase the limit?
+
+It's artificially inflating the total "supply" of treasuries that can be borrowed by counterparties in the RRP. It is attempting to keep the interest rate positive because there is so much demand for collateral and not enough supply in the markets and on the Fed's balance sheet. The RRP was already at 0%, there was nowhere for it to go besides negative, which as you know implies a shortage of collateral and a red flag for the financial world.
+
+Not only did they artificially inflate the total supply to combat the demand by increasing the total borrow amount, the Fed decided to not affect the assets side of its balance sheet during these RRP transactions. This effectively leaves the supply of treasuries on the Fed's balance sheet the same. This is another method to can-kick to avoid interest rates going negative and flashing a collateral issue.
+
+> When the Desk conducts RRP open market operations, it sells securities held in the System Open Market Account (SOMA) to eligible RRP counterparties, with an agreement to buy the assets back on the RRP's specified maturity date. This leaves the SOMA portfolio the same size, as securities sold temporarily under repurchase agreements continue to be shown as assets held by the SOMA in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles, but the transaction shifts some of the liabilities on the Federal Reserve's balance sheet from deposits held by depository institutions (also known as bank reserves) to reverse repos while the trade is outstanding. - [Source](https://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/rrp_faq/rrp-faq-archive/rrp-faq-200715)
+
+We can see this visually from the Fed's balance sheet that they're not affecting their assets during the RRP. They're allowing counterparties to borrow treasuries WITHOUT affecting the supply - desperately trying to get away from the rising demand for treasuries and avoid treasury yields from snapping down (and likewise the price of treasuries up):
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The Fed is pinned into a corner from the 2008 can-kick utilizing QE, and the economic effects of COVID. They are stuck battling a collateral crisis AND a liquidity crisis. The Fed is currently fudging the numbers of treasuries to hide a collateral shortage and to try to prop the ...](https://preview.redd.it/evxua80crk671.png?width=893&format=png&auto=webp&s=6a925b05e7a460b252457923ca97c730c511da6b)](https://preview.redd.it/evxua80crk671.png?width=893&format=png&auto=webp&s=6a925b05e7a460b252457923ca97c730c511da6b)
+
+https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/bst_recenttrends.htm
+
+On top of this, the Fed showed their hand ONCE AGAIN of fudging the numbers on June 16th when they bumped up the RRP rate to 0.05%. The short-term treasury yields briefly went BELOW the RRP interest amount of 0.05% on June 17th when the new RRP ROI was in effect.
+
+This is a BAD sign because now overnight RRP had a higher return than 2-month and 3-month treasury bonds.
+
+The Fed is fudging the numbers trying to hide the treasury bond shortage.
+
+The Fed cannot keep this up. They're trying to keep the T-bill yield curve propped up despite the treasury shortage. They're not affecting their balance sheet, and they also artificially increased the amount of treasuries in their "supply" by increasing the counterparty borrow limit from $30 Billion to $80 Billion.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The Fed is pinned into a corner from the 2008 can-kick utilizing QE, and the economic effects of COVID. They are stuck battling a collateral crisis AND a liquidity crisis. The Fed is currently fudging the numbers of treasuries to hide a collateral shortage and to try to prop the ...](https://preview.redd.it/sp52qka5tj671.png?width=858&format=png&auto=webp&s=69d7ec8971035a7939f7bed116f7c923215019d6)](https://preview.redd.it/sp52qka5tj671.png?width=858&format=png&auto=webp&s=69d7ec8971035a7939f7bed116f7c923215019d6)
+
+https://alhambrapartners.com/2021/06/17/the-fomc-accidentally-exposes-itself-reverse-repo-style/
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The Fed is pinned into a corner from the 2008 can-kick utilizing QE, and the economic effects of COVID. They are stuck battling a collateral crisis AND a liquidity crisis. The Fed is currently fudging the numbers of treasuries to hide a collateral shortage and to try to prop the ...](https://preview.redd.it/1f64o77tsk671.png?width=972&format=png&auto=webp&s=48e83c02895066c4e300c5a8adf3d3a065a6b016)](https://preview.redd.it/1f64o77tsk671.png?width=972&format=png&auto=webp&s=48e83c02895066c4e300c5a8adf3d3a065a6b016)
+
+https://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=yield
+
+The Fed is also planning on increasing interest rates. This starts to scare the economy, which is most likely why we're now seeing the dump of the stock market over the past few days and the dump leading into the week of June 21st. This is bad for the markets because it means it's going to cost more for the economy to function (e.g. what happened in 2019 when Repo Rates spiked to 10%). Companies have to spend more to hire, produce, etc. It costs the economy more to function.
+
+The Fed is pinned between a collateral issue from QE sucking out collateral, and a liquidity issue and COVID pumping in too much liquidity for the banks to handle.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The Fed is pinned into a corner from the 2008 can-kick utilizing QE, and the economic effects of COVID. They are stuck battling a collateral crisis AND a liquidity crisis. The Fed is currently fudging the numbers of treasuries to hide a collateral shortage and to try to prop the ...](https://preview.redd.it/uhhhzguotk671.png?width=1202&format=png&auto=webp&s=cab32cef615311320c6cf27461fa7fb18b0fc7af)](https://preview.redd.it/uhhhzguotk671.png?width=1202&format=png&auto=webp&s=cab32cef615311320c6cf27461fa7fb18b0fc7af)
+
+https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/16/fed-holds-rates-steady-but-raises-inflation-expectations-sharply-and-makes-no-mention-of-taper.html
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The Fed is pinned into a corner from the 2008 can-kick utilizing QE, and the economic effects of COVID. They are stuck battling a collateral crisis AND a liquidity crisis. The Fed is currently fudging the numbers of treasuries to hide a collateral shortage and to try to prop the ...](https://preview.redd.it/p0v9ij2b0k671.png?width=1013&format=png&auto=webp&s=bf8f525bfc55e8f1287e921bbaaa408c5c27a253)](https://preview.redd.it/p0v9ij2b0k671.png?width=1013&format=png&auto=webp&s=bf8f525bfc55e8f1287e921bbaaa408c5c27a253)
+
+https://www.bbc.com/news/business-57090421
+
+7\. Quarter Ends Explode The Reverse Repo. The Next Quarter End Is June 30th, 2021.
+
+This is not a date to look forward to for GME potentially rising. This is a date of "Holy shit. The RRP could explode to the point where treasury supply vs demand is unable to take it any more".
+
+About 3-4 days prior to quarter ends, the RRP explodes up in the amount of collateral that is borrowed from the Fed. This is because of the underlying plumbing of the financial markets, identified in Section 3 above, causes additional strain on the financial markets. The banks need more collateral to prop up their balance sheets for the night of the quarter-ends.
+
+The RRP borrowed amount can shoot up almost 2-4x the current levels. The amount of RRP at the moment is $747 Billion. The RRP could explode 2-4x the amount it is at upon June 25th, 2021. What if it's $1 Trillion by then due to the massive amount of collateral needed by the banks? More?
+
+Can the Fed handle it?
+
+Can they still prop the yield curve up?
+
+Will the short-term treasuries dip below the RRP amount once more due to this shortage and flash red flags to the world of financial instability in the US?
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The Fed is pinned into a corner from the 2008 can-kick utilizing QE, and the economic effects of COVID. They are stuck battling a collateral crisis AND a liquidity crisis. The Fed is currently fudging the numbers of treasuries to hide a collateral shortage and to try to prop the ...](https://preview.redd.it/63daa1s8gk671.png?width=1277&format=png&auto=webp&s=d04d4a6b577152d26d6f7ea6e0c31f05f7ce80dc)](https://preview.redd.it/63daa1s8gk671.png?width=1277&format=png&auto=webp&s=d04d4a6b577152d26d6f7ea6e0c31f05f7ce80dc)
+
+https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nylihz/previous_rrp_behavior_on_quarter_ends_massive/
+
+If the US Treasury yield curve snaps down from this instability and the Fed no longer able to prop up the yield curve, then it can drive treasury prices up.
+
+If [/u/atobitt](https://www.reddit.com/u/atobitt/)'s "[Everything Short](https://www.reddit.com/r/GME/comments/mgucv2/the_everything_short/)" is true and they're actually shorting treasuries, then that can lead to banks defaulting due to the price of treasuries shooting up. When they default, they'll be forced to buy up all the treasuries that they've shorted into the market.
+
+And it is very possible that they are shorting treasuries.
+
+When performing RRP of 0%, the repo market was most likely shut down due to nobody needing cash loaned out. The banks only profitable move was to perform the RRP with the Fed and then short treasuries into the market, rehypothecating the treasuries to other parties. This would have also helped prop up the market by artificially increasing the supply of treasuries (collateral) in the market.
+
+If it's true, and they have truly been performing the "Everything Short", then it could initiate a Global Financial Crisis equivalent to The Great Depression.
+
+Do I want that to happen? No. But is there a chance? Yes, there is.
+
+Is GME going to squeeze? Is the DD just false hopium? I don't think it's just hopium. I believe in the DD.
+
+But some users might think otherwise and not believe in GME or the DD. Hello users outside of [r/superstonk](https://www.reddit.com/r/superstonk/)! If you're reading this, check out the DD on the subreddit!
+
+Even if there's a slight chance of a GME squeeze in your eyes, and all of these signs are pointing to a market crash...
+
+[Why not give it a shot](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l4nSHsbFe-o)?

01-Must-Read/2021-06-23-Updated-Go-No-Go-Launch-Checklist.md

@@ -0,0 +1,421 @@
+UPDATE -- Go / No-Go For Launch - The checklist keeping GME on the launchpad.
+=============================================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/nothingbuttherainsir](https://www.reddit.com/user/nothingbuttherainsir/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nhh0f1/update_go_nogo_for_launch_the_checklist_keeping/) | 
+
+---
+
+[Possible DD 👨‍🔬](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Possible%20DD%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%94%AC%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+*TL;DR:*\
+DTCC / OCC / ICC etc. & Wall St want key things in place before GME unwinds, and we're now looking at a list that's been mostly checked off. This rocket is just about cleared for launch.
+
+*Last updated: 2021-06-23* | [Original post from 2021-04-22](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mvq6rs/go_nogo_for_launch_the_dtcc_checklist_keeping_gme/)
+
+Go / No-Go For Launch
+
+Opinion - Status: Hold ❌\
+*We're on a scheduled hold. Preliminary system checks are good enough to launch, and now we are being held for atmospheric conditions to be just right.*
+
+*GME ignition needs to appear from the outside to be organic, or it will be fairly obvious to the public that The System is built on lies, and run by liars, completely unfair, and this stock was just being flat out controlled for months. Even if Wall St survives financially by implementing all these rules, if they lose the public trust then it is literally "game stopped." They need plausible cover to launch now, the rest is in place.*
+
+1 - Rules of Engagement ✅
+
+2 - Funding ✅
+
+3 - Cover Story for Timing ❌
+
+4 - Avoiding Perception of Responsibility ✅
+
+--- *End TL;DR* ---
+
+Busy few weeks, eh Apes? Figured I'd give this a brush up and post it again since it was a month ago I posted the original. So here's the refreshed, reviewed, reassessed, reformatted, and return of the Go / No-Go Checklist. Freshness stamp at the top, changes by date at the bottom. Please comment with any additions and corrections as always.
+
+Official notice that this is not financial advice, etc etc. I have no idea if any of this is indeed why these things are happening, or if they are even what I think they are. I bought a handful of shares before DFV's Congressional hearing because something seemed fucky, and that was my first stock purchase EVER. If you make financial decisions off of this speculation, you probably do eat crayons like me. I am literally just some Ape on the internet mashing buttons and you're gonna have to explain to your wife's boyfriend why you took this as advice and then spent your whole allowance already this week.
+
+So this [post](https://reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mu9xed/why_were_still_trading_sideways_and_why_we_havent/) from [u/c-digs](https://www.reddit.com/u/c-digs/) is about as close as anyone has come to my personal theory that there is a literal checklist somewhere that is getting marked off before this is allowed to unravel. The DTCC and Wall St (and probably the SEC) definitely do not want this spring to unwind before they are ready, and certainly not in a way in which they don't feel they are in control. These players are Big Corporate dicks with Big Corporate mindsets, and its my bet that they don't do anything without a plan that at least addresses all eventualities.
+
+However, as it is now probably alarmingly clear to them this isn't just gonna go away on its own (cue Apes waving from the windows of the rocket sitting on the launchpad), the DTCC and pals are now scrambling to get the last things in place before somebody trips over the cord to the shredder at 3am and lands on the launch button.
+
+I think the list goes something like this, but am intending this to be a crowdsourced document because there is no way I can keep this all straight on my own, and the GME Investor community has done so so much great DD already. There is definitely more to add in terms of DTCC / OCC / NSCC / SEC rules, and please comment with additional items & sources and I'll try to keep up with editing them into the list. Compiling it here can possibly help determine just how close GME probably is to liftoff. It feels like we aren't that far from it now.
+
+1 - Rules of Engagement
+
+Opinon - Status: Go for Launch ✅\
+*The System would benefit most if new rules about payments in a member default situation are in effect prior to launch, and as far as we know at this point, all rules to cover that scenario that were filed are now in place. They can use remaining days to shore up a few more monetary rules, but there aren't any disaster-level rules still pending out there. My opinion is at 100% Go for rules being in place.*
+
+Let's cover some basics before getting into each specific rule.
+
+Whose rules cover what:
+
+DTCC stands for Depoisitory Trust and Clearing Corporation which is made up of 3 self-regulating bodies:
+
+-   [DTC](https://www.dtcc.com/about/businesses-and-subsidiaries/dtc) - The Depository Trust Company
+
+-   [NSCC](https://www.dtcc.com/about/businesses-and-subsidiaries/nscc) - National Securities Clearing Corporation
+
+-   [FICC](https://www.dtcc.com/about/businesses-and-subsidiaries/ficc) - Fixed Income Clearing Corporation
+
+and handles:
+
+-   Physical Stock Certificates and ownership records, big institutional trades (DTC)
+
+-   Securities trades, clearing, and settlement for nearly all transactions involving US based marketplaces (NSCC)
+
+-   Government Securities and Mortgage-Backed Securities (FICC)
+
+[OCC](https://www.theocc.com/) - Options Clearing Coroporation handles:\
+Options (shocker, I know)
+
+[ICC](https://www.theice.com/clear-credit) - Intercontinental Exchance (ICE) Clear Credit handles:\
+Credit Default Swaps, or CDS for short.
+
+Naming Scheme (yes the whole thing is important)\
+example: SR-DTC-2021-005
+
+-   SR - Type of document filed, SR = Self Regulation
+
+-   DTC - Name of self regulated entity filing it
+
+-   2021 - Year regulation was filed
+
+-   005 - Sequence filed in (5th, so far)
+
+✅ = in effect now\
+❌ = pending review / revision
+
+Rules To Protect The System
+
+Stocks/Securities
+
+-   SR-DTC-2021-003: Obligation to Reconcile Activity on a Regular Basis ✅\
+    *The "You're gonna report your risk daily now, you little shits" Rule.*\
+    Filed 2021-03-09\
+    Effective 2021-03-16\
+    [src](https://www.reddit.com/r/GME/comments/m793h7/new_dtcc_rule_just_passed_in_effect_immediatly/)
+
+-   SR-DTC-2021-004: Amend the Recovery & Wind-down Plan ✅\
+    *The "We'll liquidate your asse(t)s if you default, then make your pals chip in, before we pay a dime ourselves" Rule.*\
+    Also stipulates what the DTCC is willing to cover when reconciling, as in only shares on the books, and why you (yes you Ape) should have a cash account and not a margin account.\
+    Filed 2021-03-29\
+    Effective Immediately\
+    [src](https://www.reddit.com/r/GME/comments/mgs05i/analysis_of_srdtc2021004_dtcc_changing_the_game/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf)
+
+-   SR-DTC-2021-005: Modify the DTC Settlement Service Guide and the Form of DTC Pledgee's Agreement ✅\
+    *The "We're tagging the shares you lend out so you can't do it more than once" Rule.*\
+    While this won't help prevent the current GME squeeze scenario, and would likely ignite the engines on its own, this will prevent a *GME-like* scenario from happening again in the future. [u/Leenixus](https://www.reddit.com/user/Leenixus/) has posted lots of info around DTC-2021-005 if you'd like to follow the saga.\
+    Filed 2021-04-01 [archived original](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/o2nx3z/i_have_the_original_sec_srdtc2021005_before_it/)\
+    Removed for further review src-1\
+    Refiled 2021-06-15 src-2\
+    Effective Immediately upon re-filing\
+    [src-1](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mpmcyz/good_news_update_on_dtc2021005_according_to_john/), [src-2](https://www.dtcc.com/-/media/Files/Downloads/legal/rule-filings/2021/DTC/SR-DTC-2021-005.pdf)
+
+-   SR-DTC-2021-006: Remove the Security Holder Tracking Service ✅\
+    *The "We're dropping the old way of tracking shares, cause it didn't work well, and DTC-2021-005 will do it better" Rule.*\
+    It was speculated in another post that the old system of tracking needed to be removed so there was no conflict in implementing DTC-2021-005 (I can't find that post here on reddit anymore, src needed!). It's likely that this could pave the way for 005 to be implemented. As if 2021-05-20 I am more inclined to think that it was removed to keep anyone from implementing share tracking prior to 005 being implemented. Filed 2021-04-22\
+    Effective Immediately\
+    [src](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mwhyhw/sec_files_srdtc2021006_removing_the_old_and/) <- also my post
+
+-   SR-DTC-2021-007: Update the DTC Corporate Actions Distributions Service Guide ✅\
+    *The "Stop bickering back and forth over the manual adjustments to your peer to peer trade records via the dumb APO method, and just use the GD computer validated Claim Connect system, please" Rule.*\
+    Way to make a super vague title DTC... This is mostly about borrowed shares and updating who pays how much when circumstances - like rates - change. The old system (APO) needed both parties to just agree on the adjustments and one side could only submit an adjustment at a time, so it was rarely agreed upon in one pass and the bad guys could likely stall with many back and forths. To me this reads as a please use this better thing now, because APO will go away on July 9th 2021 so you'll have to use Claim Connect by then anyways. Since the lender is likely incentivized to use the new system, it may get adopted in higher numbers sooner.\
+    Filed 2021-04-30\
+    Effective Immediately\
+    Mandatory 2021-07-09\
+    [src](https://www.sec.gov/rules/sro/dtc.htm#SR-DTC-2021-007), [Explainer post](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/n28jes/new_dtc_regulation_posted_srdtc2021007/)
+
+-   SR-DTC-2021-009: Provide Enhanced Clarity for Deadlines and Processing Times ✅\
+    *The "Don't assume we'll be keeping up with our own deadlines just because we have been in the past. We'll do what we want when we want. Also dont cry to us if our choices about deadlines, or someone else's rules about deadlines, kick you in the wallet. We're not chipping in for that." Rule.*\
+    This is basically a re-statement of an ongoing policy by the DTC that their precedent around deadlines/timetables that they themselves have control over should not be misunderstood as a guarantee of them adhering to those same deadlines/timetables in the future. This does not effect deadlines imposed by external regulations though. Further, the DTC stipulates that they are not liable for damages (monetary losses) that are incurred by members from the DTC's choices to act or not act in the same timeframes as they had before, or damages from the actions of anybody else's rules, (SEC, OCC, NSCC, etc).\
+    Filed 2021-06-08\
+    Effective Immediately\
+    [src](https://www.sec.gov/rules/sro/dtc/2021/34-92198.pdf), [Explainer post](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/o1ds30/new_dtc_filing_srdtc2021009_notice_of_filing_and/), [more info](https://reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/o63ev5/dtc2021009_implemented_tomorrow_saying_the_dtc/)
+
+-   SR-NSCC-2021-002: Amend the Supplemental Liquidity Deposit Requirements ✅\
+    *The "We'll margin call your ass if your new daily reports say you're overextended and make us feel scared" Rule.*\
+    Works in conjunction with DTC-2021-003. This rule now appears to be clear to be acted on by the SEC. NSCC filed a Partial Ammendment to this on June 17th for clarification.\
+    Possible insight on why this may have been strategically delayed, via [/u/yosaso](https://www.reddit.com/u/yosaso/) src-4\
+    NSCC-2021-801 Gave Advance Notice of this, and as of 2021-05-04 is cleared to be included with NSC-2021-002. src-2\
+    Filed 2021-03-05\
+    Comment Period Extended to 05-31 / Expected action on or before 2021-06-21 src-3\
+    Approved 2021-06-21 with partial ammendment src-4\
+    Effective 2021-06-23 src-5 [src](https://www.reddit.com/r/GME/comments/mc0zfn/too_ape_didnt_read_summary_of_srnscc2021801/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf), [src-2](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/n51u5d/sec_has_no_objections_to_nscc801/), [src-3](https://www.sec.gov/rules/sro/nscc/2021/34-91788.pdf), [src-4](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/n67h63/the_reason_why_may_4th_was_important/), [src-4](https://www.sec.gov/rules/sro/nscc/2021/34-92213.pdf), [src-5](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/o4z0jc/implementation_of_the_proposed_changes_to_the/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3)
+
+-   SR-NSCC-2021-004: Amend the Recovery & Wind-down Plan ✅\
+    *The "Just so we're clear about stocks specifically, we're really serious about us not paying for your fuckups unless we have to rule" Rule.*\
+    Works in conjunction with DTC-2021-004, but this is specific to securities and was filed first. src-1 This ALSO has language in it about clarifying the mass transfer of customer accounts from a failing member to a stable member. src-2\
+    Filed 2021-03-05\
+    Effective 2021-03-18\
+    [src-1](https://www.reddit.com/r/GME/comments/mc0zfn/too_ape_didnt_read_summary_of_srnscc2021801/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf), [src-2](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mvybgf/sec_is_expecting_the_need_for_a_mass_emergency/)
+
+-   NSCC-2021-005: Increase the NSCC's Minimum Required Fund Deposit *pending* ❌\
+    *The "We're gonna up your minimum deposit with us from an hysterically low $10K each, to an almost certainly still not enough $250k each" Rule.*\
+    DTCC has submitted this to SEC, but SEC has not approved / published yet, so details may change. src-1\
+    Filed 2021-04-26\
+    Published: 2021-05-10\
+    Approved: Pending, expected action on or before 2021-06-24 (45 days after publication)\
+    Effective: Approval + 10 days max\
+    [src-1](https://www.dtcc.com/legal), [Explainer post](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mz9gl6/nscc2021005_has_been_signed_today_implementation/)
+
+Options
+
+-   SR-OCC-2021-003: Increase Persistent Minimum Skin-In-The-Game / Waterfall ✅\
+    *The "You Market Makers are gonna give us more money now in case you fuck up with options later and owe someone more than you have" Rule.*\
+    This is the rule associated with the SR-OCC-2021-801 advanced notice, and SIG filed an opposition during the review period delaying the implementation. src-1 You can read that whiney rant here via this [comment](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nhh0f1/update_go_nogo_for_launch_the_checklist_keeping/gznui8r?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3)\
+    OCC-2021-003 is now approved and both should be in effect no later than Tuesday 2021-06-01 10am Eastern (if SEC approval notice counts as the official written notice to OCC members). src-2\
+    Filed 2021-02-10\
+    Approved 2021-05-27\
+    Effective on or before 2021-06-01 10am EST\
+    [src-1](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mm8pnz/update_from_sec_on_srocc2021801_aka_srocc2021203/), [src-2](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nmjbov/srocc2021003_approved_that_one_was_needed_for/gzqwqzc?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3)
+
+Credit Default Swaps
+
+-   SR-ICC-2021-005: Amend the ICC Recovery & Wind-down Plan ✅\
+    *The "Guys, DTC had a pretty good idea, lets also liquidate members first before touching our own cash." Rule.*\
+    Fairly straightforward with this nugget as described by [u/Criand](https://www.reddit.com/u/Criand/):\
+    "Something really cool is they'll not only wipe out members who default on a certain security, they'll wipe out similar positions in that same security of all their other members IF it's high risk/stress to the market."\
+    Filed 2021-03-23\
+    Approved 2021-05-10\
+    Effective Immediately\
+    [src](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nfl69o/new_icc_rules_summary_they_are_preparing_for/)
+
+-   SR-ICC-2021-007: Update the ICC's Treasury Operations Policies and Procedures ✅\
+    *The "Your capital balance sheet is looking a little shaggy there, we think you need a Collateral Haircut" Rule.*\
+    Tightens up what can and cant be considered as collateral, trimming off the stuff that is not deemed worthy, and reducing overall capital, which means you can handle less total risk and/or volatile CDS contracts.\
+    Filed 2021-03-29\
+    Approved 2021-05-13\
+    Effective Immediately\
+    [src](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nfl69o/new_icc_rules_summary_they_are_preparing_for/)
+
+-   SR-ICC-2021-008: Update the ICC Risk Management Model Description ✅\
+    *The "We're gonna start using our best guesses on if the collateral for the loans these psuedo-insurance contracts are based on might go crazy in the near future, 'cause shit is getting weird out there" Rule.*\
+    This is about [Credit Default Swaps](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/creditdefaultswap.asp), which are a bit complex. Essentially this rule appears it primarily will help to reduce the chances of say, BofA failing because they agreed to get paid to take on some of the risk of a loan made by say JP Morgan, and then BofA got fucked over just because JP Morgain made the loan using a volatile stock as collateral and then that stock went bananas... a stock which everyone probably knew was volatile but somehow wasn't a big factor in making the agreement before this rule. The rule also limits the ICC maximum total losses/payout, and ups initial margin requirements.\
+    Filed 2021-03-31\
+    Approved 2021-05-18\
+    Effective Immediately\
+    [src](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nfl69o/new_icc_rules_summary_they_are_preparing_for/)
+
+-   SR-ICC-2021-009: Update the ICC Risk Parameter Setting and Review Policy ✅\
+    *The "We're basing risk on day to day averages now instead of month to month averages" Rule.*\
+    When something strays too far outside of the acceptable baseline, it gets flagged. Now that baseline is automatically calculated day to day, instead of month to month, and manualy reviewed the old way at least monthly. It will result in faster response time to fast moving changes and real risks (safer), but also less shock from too few updates (smoother). All that so they can keep margin levels appropriate. Also cleans up some language to be more generic and descriptive like "Extreme Price Change Scenarios."\
+    Filed 2021-04-02\
+    Approved 2021-05-20\
+    Effective Immediately\
+    [src](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nhdw0f/rick_management_updates_just_went_from_monthly_to/)
+
+-   SR-ICC-2021-014: Update the ICC's Fee Schedules ✅\
+    *The "Huuuuuuuge discounts on swaps! Get 'em while they last!" Rule.*\
+    This cuts fees on CDS contracts about 25%, which sounds like they want to incentivize risk sharing even more. Program is for the 2nd half of 2021, and discounts start June 1st.\
+    Filed 2021-05-07\
+    Approved 2021-05-18\
+    Effective Immediately\
+    [src](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nfl69o/new_icc_rules_summary_they_are_preparing_for/)
+
+Rules to protect the value of the market in general as best as possible
+
+-   SR-OCC-2021-004: Revisions to OCC's Auction Participation Requirements ✅\
+    *The "Everyone can come to the feeding frenzy party when we liquidate one of you idiots" Rule.*\
+    Allows more firms that were traditionally excluded from an auction of this type to now join in, probably making the market wide bleeding end sooner, and retain more value overall.\
+    Filed 2021-03-19\
+    Effective 2021-05-19\
+    [src](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mnpzu5/srocc2021004_why_this_proposed_rule_change_is/)
+
+Non-regulation / Other Announcments
+
+-   Exchange Act Rule 15c3-3 Compliance Letter: Staff Statement on Fully Paid Lending ✅\
+    *The "We're making you keep full collateral on hand for your shit, you've got six months to get it together" letter.*\
+    Letter sent 2020-10-22\
+    Effective 2021-04-22\
+    [src](https://www.sec.gov/news/public-statement/staff-fully-paid-lending?utm_medium=email&utm_source=govdelivery)
+
+-   GOV-1085-21: DTCC / FICC White Paper Announcing WABR added as a Sponsored Member ✅\
+    WABR Cayman Limited is a firm specializing in helping Institutional Sales Traders in times of "thin markets". [u/stellarEVH](https://www.reddit.com/u/stellarEVH/) explains:\
+    *"When a company needs to quickly pay off their debts as in the case of a margin call, it can be challenging for them to gather all the money from their various investments. There are firms in place that are specialized in liquidating their portfolio in a manner to minimize market impact while they pay off their debt."*\
+    Announced 2021-04-23\
+    Effective 2021-04-29\
+    [src](https://www.dtcc.com/-/media/Files/pdf/2021/4/23/GOV1085-21PDF.PDF), via [this post & comments](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/my1hio/friday_the_dtcc_approved_wabra_morgan_stanley/), linked from [It's Just a Bug, Bro Part 6 - Bug Spray Edition](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/myl37p/its_just_a_bug_bro_part_6_bug_spray_edition/)\
+    [Additional info on who WABR is](https://reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mz4oza/the_rabbit_hole_of_wabr_cayman_company_limited/) 👀 *Spidey senses are tingling*\
+    *I love this community*
+
+-   MBS978-21: FICC Notice on MBSD Intraday Mark-to-Market Charge - Timing of Intraday Collection ✅\
+    *We've been lenient for the past year cause shit was wack, but we're going back on that regular hourly assesment for margins.* "Starting on May 3, 2021, the fixed time of 1:00PM will be eliminated and the MBSD Intraday Mark-to-Market Charge will return to an hourly assessment." This combined with other things will tighten the screws.\
+    [/u/stellarEVH](https://www.reddit.com/u/stellarEVH/) bringing that good good again: *"For example, it'll be much harder to short GameStop and/or trade in dark pools when you're expected to cover your margin every hour. For the last year, they've only needed to prove they were covered at 1pm."*\
+    Notice Date 2021-04-21\
+    Effective 2021-05-03\
+    [src post](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/n3m0qu/the_mandatory_dtcc_common_stock_reallocation_for/), [explainer comment](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/n3m0qu/the_mandatory_dtcc_common_stock_reallocation_for/gwr8n2a?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3)
+
+-   OCC Notice 48718: TEMPORARY INCREASE TO CLEARING FUND SIZE ✅\
+    *Yeah if you could give us some more of your money for a bit, that would be great.*\
+    Yeah they used all caps, and gave 2 days notice before they would just go into members bank accounts to get that money. Must've needed it bad for the 19th, because it normally is just increased monthly on the 1st. Total increase was $588,378,155.\
+    Notice Date 2021-05-17\
+    Deposit by Date 2021-05-19 [by 9am](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nfz9xa/huge_crypto_dump_currently_things_are_hotting_up/).\
+    [src](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nftyg4/occ_has_issued_a_statement_to_all_clearing/)
+
+*(please help me fill in other important rules via comments)*
+
+2 - Funding
+
+Opinion - Status: Go for Launch ✅
+
+To pay out for shares of GME
+
+-   [SHF Pulling money from crypt0](https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-doge-ethereum-ripple-price-monday-19-april-crypto-latest-081427050.html)
+
+-   SHF Pump and Dump on other stocks
+
+-   SHF Liquidate other Assets Under Management (market-wide dive on 2021-04-22?) [Citadel Sell-off?](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/n0fwx2/kenny_might_be_in_a_bit_of_a_pickle_right_now/)
+
+-   Wind Down and Recovery Strategies (SR-DTC-2021-004, SR-ICC-2021-005)
+
+-   *(other suggestions w/ sources wanted)*
+
+Secure cash to buy up liquidated assets to prevent total market collapse
+
+-   [Big Banks do a Bond Sales](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mu8a5m/6_out_of_the_7_top_listed_us_banks_have_made/), [Citigroup: "Me Too!"](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mzvcli/citigroup_borrowing_55_billion_in_latest_bank/)
+
+    -   Need plausible reasons for making those sales such as earnings report, or LIBOR to SOFR switch, or *insert wildcard like $50 Bil Football League*, etc ...
+
+-   Banks Re-Structuring / Netting [src](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mur8bz/srdtc2021004_the_dtcc_and_jp_morgan_theyre/)
+
+-   [Wells Fargo to liquidate two of its trusts](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nh5ed7/wells_fargo_to_liquidate_two_of_its_trusts/)
+
+-   Rule SR-OCC-2021-004 allowing more players at the auction of the defaulting member's assets.
+
+3 - Cover for Timing of Launch
+
+Opinion - Status: No-Go for Launch ❌\
+*This will likely be the very last one, and we'll only know what they will use as an excuse once it's started. I think all the other pieces would need to be in place* (Narrator: They are.) *for them to feel most confident to light the fuse. This will be more oportunistic in nature, I think.*
+
+I'm splitting this into 2 objectives: why GME is going up, and why the market in general is tanking.
+
+GME Go BRRRRRRRRRRRR! Cover
+
+Ideally a plausible Corporate or Market Event that the stock price "should" respond to in order to initiate upward price movement without the timing looking SUS AF and destabilizing the broader market due to fear of systemic problems and/or loss of public trust. These events are mostly out of the control of The System, and one will likely be the ignition.
+
+-   Corporate: ~~AGM Voting Proxy Release~~
+
+-   Corporate: ~~Quarterly Earnings (Q1 2021)~~
+
+-   Corporate: ~~CEO Announced~~
+
+-   Corporate: ~~AGM Vote Count + Board Elections~~
+
+-   Corporate: ~~RC Appointed as Chairman Official News~~
+
+-   Corporate: ~~New Cash Reserves from ATM Stock Offer~~
+
+-   Corporate: Dividend Issue / Stock Split
+
+-   Corporate: Major Partner Announcement
+
+-   Corporate: Possible NFT Announcement 2021-07-14?
+
+-   Market: Broader Retail Gains
+
+-   Market: $GME moves from Russell 2000 to Russell 1000 after close on 2021-06-25
+
+-   TBD / Unkown
+
+Markets Go clank! Cover
+
+Major policy announcements, world politics, regularly scheduled economic reports released... Pick your favorite here, cause they will and already have. This cover will justify why the markets are hemorhaging to hide the fact that positions are being liquidated to start paying for buying-back all those GME shares.
+
+-   Market: Global Supply Chain Issue
+
+-   Market: Liquidity Stress Tests
+
+    -   [April 26th, 2021](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mww2ah/dtcc_planning_liquidity_risk_testing_on_26th/)
+
+    -   [May 13th, 2021](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/n763vq/dtcc_members_are_having_a_liquidity_check_may_13th/)
+
+    -   Note: As far as I can tell, these happened yearly, typically in April/May, but only once... 2 back to back?
+
+-   Government: ~[POTUS joint address to Congress](https://apnews.com/article/joe-biden-nancy-pelosi-coronavirus-pandemic-267e753a5d1ab7a72d3274728b25f63c)\
+    Green New Deal? Capital Gains Announcement: [similar to BS on 2021-04-22?](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-04-22/biden-to-propose-capital-gains-tax-as-high-as-43-4-for-wealthy)
+
+-   Government: [2021-05-06 Congressional Hearing with SEC / Gensler, DTCC / Bodson, FINRA / Cook.](https://financialservices.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=407762)
+
+-   Government: [2021-05-26+27 Congressional Hearing with Big Banks](https://financialservices.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=407740)
+
+-   Government: Monthly [Consumer Price Index numbers released](https://www.bls.gov/schedule/news_release/cpi.htm), next is June 13th
+
+-   Government: [US Treasury Stability Council Meeting June 11th](https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-treasury-stability-idUSL2N2N638S)\
+    Possible platform for policy announcement? Typically hold 6 +/- a year, but this would be first of 2021 and was postponed from May 21st.
+
+-   Government: [US 2022 Fiscal Year Budget Proposal](https://www.reuters.com/world/us/biden-propose-6-trillion-us-budget-2022-fiscal-year-nyt-2021-05-27/)
+
+-   *(other suggestions wanted)*
+
+4 - Fallguy, and the Lack of Prevention
+
+Opinion - Status: Go for Launch ✅\
+*While they will likely have a fallguy decided upon prior to launch, I don't see it as a necessity that would delay it, certainly not like the Rules of Engagement or Funding would. I also think that nothing would keep them from changing the story if something else influences the narrative in an acceptable way shortly after liftoff.*
+
+Blame!
+
+After the market pain is significant enough that the public wants answers, why not lay all the blame on bad actors, and defer attention from the system to try to avoid additional exterior regulation.
+
+-   SHFs (now liquidated) as overly greedy and got what they deserved
+
+-   Retail (as Anarchists, or greedy and oportunistic)
+
+    -   [Forbes article on January Gamma Squeeze](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mvf7r3/forbes_reminder_as_we_hodl_towards_the_moass_gme/gvc5c8f/?context=3)
+
+-   Foreign Actors trying to destabilize the US Markets
+
+-   *(other suggestions w/ sources wanted)*
+
+Control Public Image of the System via PR
+
+-   DTCC: ["We're doing a great job! Take our word for it!"](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mvozps/dtcc_trying_to_get_ahead_of_the_story_the_most/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share)
+
+-   DTCC: "We're announcing our plan to keep working on a plan to kind of band-aid a problem that's pretty bad and we've known about for awhile, and like we have definitely been talking about it and stuff, but now we're like really gonna talk about it using words like "in-depth analysis" cause up to now we were mostly just talking about it like how you tell that one friend *"yeah, we should totally hang out soon"* and then you never do, but not now cause we're serious now, and it's definitely not because we've gotta talk to the US Congress this week or anything. Like, honestly." AKA the announcement of [the DTCC's T+1 Settlement Plan.](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/n5b91j/dtcc_rolls_out_plan_and_faq_for_a_new_t1/)
+
+* * * * *
+
+...Meanwhile, at the SEC
+
+"Let's at least *look* like we aren't asleep at the wheel here, lads"
+
+-   [Whistleblower Awards](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mrfxvg/secgov_sec_awards_over_50_million_to_joint/)
+
+    -   [47.4% of the Amount of all SEC Whistleblower Awards Ever Given Have Been Awarded in the Last 12 Months (Out of 105 Months of Program Activity)](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nf3n64/474_of_the_amount_of_all_sec_whistleblower_awards/)
+
+-   [Closed door meetings](https://www.reddit.com/r/GME/comments/mihiv9/another_sec_closed_door_meeting_scheduled_for_48/)
+
+-   [2021-05-27 Sunshine Act Meeting - Scheduled](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nhgh3i/sunshine_meeting_rescheduled_may_27/)
+
+    -   These have been cancelled 4 out of 7 times... so far!
+
+-   Speech by SEC Commissioner Peirce inlcuding the line that the SEC is *"working on a report about the events related to meme stock trading earlier this year, and some regulatory initiatives may come out of that work."* and a few other statements about how the SEC shouldn't be concerned with firms loosing money... aka Tough Titties Archegos, et al.\
+    [src post](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/n2ax63/something_apes_missed_read_this/)
+
+-   [SEC sues HF, filed 5/19/21- states NAKED SHORT SELLING is ILLEGAL and ask FOR a JULY TRIAL!!!](https://www.reddit.com/r/GME/comments/nhmaxw/sec_sues_hf_filed_51921_states_naked_short/)
+
+Any and all additions you think may belong on this list, feel free to put in the comments, and I'll try to update and give credit where possible. If I got any of these wrong, or you've found better links that explain the rules, let me know in the comments and I'll make those edits.
+
+Contributions noted where possible, and initial start from previous work on Recent Filings by [/u/Antioch_Orontes](https://www.reddit.com/u/Antioch_Orontes/) [here.](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/msh5mt/a_brief_overview_of_recent_filings_from_the_dtc/)
+
+Looking for the TL;DR? It's at the top.
+
+* * * * *
+
+Buy. Hodl. Buckle Up.
+
+... and make history.
+
+🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀
+
+Edit 2021-05-22:\
+Typos, add expected effective timeframe for DTC-2021-005. May 27th SEC Meeting Scheduled. SEC Lawsuit. Restructured the 3rd/Cover section to clarify for some comments and feedback about why I think cover is important. Also by now I've got plenty of reddit points/currency, so spend new money on GME!
+
+Edit 2021-05-28:\
+SR-OCC-2021-003 approved. Add CPI release as market drop cover, US Treasury meeting, US Budget Proposal.
+
+Edit 2021-06-21:\
+SR-DTC-005 approved and in effect, SR-NSCC-2021-002 / 801 approved. SR-DTC-2021-009 added. Updated expected timeline for SR-NSCC-2021-005
+
+Edit 2021-06-23:\
+SR-DTC-2021-009 updated with additional info. Added move to Russell 1000 as possible cover story (thanks [u/godkyle11](https://reddit.com/user/godkyle11/) for the prompt). Updated section 3 to better illustrate corporate events now in the past.

01-Must-Read/2021-06-24-Dark-Pools-Price-Discovery-and-Short-Selling.md

@@ -0,0 +1,34 @@
+Dark Pools, Price Discovery and Short Selling/Marking
+=====================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/dlauer](https://www.reddit.com/user/dlauer/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/o70lid/dark_pools_price_discovery_and_short/) | 
+
+---
+
+[DD 👨‍🔬](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22DD%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%94%AC%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+Recently, and since I've joined this sub-reddit, there have been a ton of questions around the role that Dark Pools play in US equity market structure. I wanted to put together a post to clarify some things about how they operate, what they do, and what they cannot do.
+
+Dark pools were created as part of Regulation ATS (Alternative Trading System) in 1998. Originally they were predominantly ECNs (Electronic Crossing Networks), including ones you're familiar with today as exchanges such as Arca and Direct Edge. Ultimately though, most dark pools after Reg NMS was implemented in 2007 were either broker-owned (such as UBS, Goldman, Credit Suisse and JP Morgan, to name the top 4 DPs today) or independent block trading facilities, such as Liquidnet. Note that I am not discussing OTC trading, which is what Citadel and Virtu do to internalize retail trades. I'll talk about that in a bit.
+
+To understand Dark Pools, and what makes them different from exchanges, you need to understand some regulatory nuances, and some market data characteristics. From a regulatory perspective, it is easier to get approval for a dark pool (regulated by FINRA), than an exchange (regulated by the SEC). This is on purpose - ATSs are supposed to be a way to foster competition and innovation. Unfortunately, that has resulted in 40+ dark pools and extreme off-exchange fragmentation.
+
+Most dark pools are there ostensibly to allow institutional asset managers to post large orders that they do not want to be visible on an exchange. This is the fundamental difference between dark pools and exchanges - no orders are visible on dark pools (hence "dark"), whereas you can have visible orders on exchanges. Now, you can also have hidden orders on exchanges. And there's nothing preventing an ATS from posting quotes (Bloomberg used to do this on the FINRA ADF). However, generally speaking, today, there aren't dark pools that show any posted orders.
+
+So what about trades? All trades in the national market system have to be printed to a SIP feed. It does not matter where they happen. And all trades during regular trading hours (9:30am - 4pm) MUST be within the NBBO. These are hard and fast rules that cannot be violated. All trades on exchanges are reported to the regular SIP. All trades that happen off exchange (ATS or OTC) are reported to the Trade Reporting Facility (TRF) run by NYSE, Nasdaq or FINRA (there are 3 of them). All trades have to be reported to the TRF within 10 seconds of being executed, though the reality is that they are reported nearly instantaneously:
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Dark Pools, Price Discovery and Short Selling/Marking](https://preview.redd.it/32d06z9kn7771.png?width=827&format=png&auto=webp&s=726e2d7857e2bf6d1baeea21eff3e696127ed8d5)](https://preview.redd.it/32d06z9kn7771.png?width=827&format=png&auto=webp&s=726e2d7857e2bf6d1baeea21eff3e696127ed8d5)
+
+There was a question on FOX and Twitter yesterday - can hedge funds "go short" in dark pools and not need to report it? I did not mean to be flippant in my tweet about how that is non-sensical, but I had a long day yesterday and had no brain power left. But such a statement is non-sensical. That's not how dark pools work.
+
+There is practically no difference at all between trades executed on-exchange or off-exchange, especially when you're talking about reporting short positions or short sale marking. The rules are identical, regardless. Short-sale marking is not dependent on whether you trade on-exchange or off-exchange. I'm not trying to make a statement as to whether firms are doing it adequately or accurately, but there is no nexus with dark pools here. I also have never heard of this idea that firms will choose whether to execute on-exchange or off-exchange based on where they want "buying pressure" or "selling pressure" to show up. Every sophisticated trading firm out there is watching the TRF and categorizing every trade that takes place relative to the NBBO. Every time a trade happens at the ask (or near it) they characterize that as a buy. Every time a trade happens at the bid (or near it) they characterize it as a sell. You cannot hide what you are doing in dark pools or through OTC internalization - it cannot be done. All trades are public and reported within 10 seconds.
+
+Here's what I think was trying to be said. If trades are taking place OTC, such as retail orders that are being internalized by Citadel or Virtu, both of those firms qualify as Market Makers. Market Makers DO have an exemption for short selling - they are allowed to do so without having located the shares first. However, they still have to mark those sales as "short" and they are still, under standard rules, required to ultimately locate those shares. Again, I'm not trying to get into whether there is naked shorting taking place, or whether these rules are being followed - that's a different conversation. I'm just trying to help you understand that dark pools are not nefarious, and that there is very little difference between dark pools and exchanges from a trading, position marking and reporting perspective.
+
+Ok, so finally, to get to the meat of this - can you use dark pools and off-exchange trading to artificially hold down the price of a stock? I struggle to see the mechanism by which this can be done. I've never heard of it, other than here. As I've said several times, every trade needs to be reported. Every single retail trade that buys GME at the ask is reported to the tape. There's no hiding that. The only market manipulation I've ever studied and measured, and that has been subject to enforcement action by the SEC, has been on exchanges. That is done with layer and spoofing, or other manipulative practices such as banging the close. Retail buying pressure OTC will be picked up on by firms watching the tape, and it will also find its way on to exchanges as the internalizers need to lay off their inventory (they will accumulate shorts, and want to close out those positions). You might claim that this is where naked shorting comes in, but again that's a speculative leap, and really hard to imagine that firms that excel at risk management would put themselves in such a position. I'm not saying it doesn't happen - enforcement actions and lawsuits make it clear that this is an issue. But even if it does happen, the trades to open those short positions were printed to the tape for everyone to see - they cannot be hidden.
+
+tldr; The only difference between dark pools and exchanges is that dark pools don't display quotes, where exchanges do. Dark pool trades are all publicly reported within 10 seconds. You cannot get around short sale marking and position reporting requirements based on where you trade (dark pool or exchange). I don't believe you can suppress the price of a stock through manipulation that only involves dark pools or off-exchange trading, as it is all publicly reported.
+
+EDIT: Let me clear on something: There is WAY too much off-exchange trading. This harms markets. It acts as a disincentive to market makers on lit exchanges. I want market makers on exchanges to make money, and I want open competition for order flow. Off exchange trading is antithetical to those aims. It has its place for institutional orders. But the level of off exchange trading, especially in stocks traded heavily by retail such as GME is a symptom of a broken market structure with intractable conflicts-of-interest, such as PFOF. When the head of NYSE says that the NBBO isn't doing its job for price discovery, this is what she is referring to. If I, as a market maker, post a better bid on-exchange, and then suddenly a bunch of off-exchange trades happen at the price level I just created, then the off-exchange trades are free-riding my quote. They are taking no risk, and reaping the reward, while I take all the risk on-exchange and do not get the trade. That's a real problem in markets, and it's why I have pushed hard for rules to limit dark pool trading, such as you find in Canada, UK, Europe and other markets.

01-Must-Read/Danger-Zone-by-Criand/2021-06-10-Danger-Zone-Part-II.md

@@ -0,0 +1,251 @@
+Danger Zone Part 2 - Shorts are terrified of a $310+ close. Projected price movement for the next few months based on T+21, ever-increasing, and poking harder at the first domino just waiting for it to fall.
+===============================================================================================================================================================================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/Criand](https://www.reddit.com/user/Criand/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nwgzw7/danger_zone_part_2_shorts_are_terrified_of_a_310/) | 
+
+---
+
+[DD 👨‍🔬](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22DD%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%94%AC%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+0\. Preface
+
+Welcome. WELCOME. More patterns. More dates (T+21 dates).
+
+I'm not a financial advisor - I don't provide financial advice. Also, you must be pretty nuts to be listening to a Pomeranian.
+
+I made a post before about the price entering the DANGER ZONE and thought it was above $160. Well, let's revisit that topic because of the interesting price movement we have been getting.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Danger Zone Part 2 - Shorts are terrified of a $310+ close. Projected price movement for the next few months based on T+21, ever-increasing, and poking harder at the first domino just waiting for it to fall.](https://preview.redd.it/9qtq30dyyc471.png?width=1556&format=png&auto=webp&s=0b90f2fc1155023373ec3c79ab08a03cba9d1c01)](https://preview.redd.it/9qtq30dyyc471.png?width=1556&format=png&auto=webp&s=0b90f2fc1155023373ec3c79ab08a03cba9d1c01)
+
+Somebody. PLEASE call Kenny. Marge? You there?
+
+TLDR: Danger Zone part 2
+
+-   The price floor continues to rise each T+21 cycle.
+
+-   Price goes on a Crabby Move 🦀on normal T+21 dates - floor rises about $30 each time.
+
+-   Price goes on a Parabolic Move 🚀between T+21 dates where major options come into play (January 15, April 16, July 16) - floor rises about $80 each time.
+
+-   If the price pattern continues, we should see a $500 floor by January 2022.
+
+-   Shorts haven't covered. They post unrealized losses and unrealized gains to mess with you.
+
+-   Retail average base cost is (probably) around $156.57. This is most likely the shorter average short price.
+
+-   Shorts with an average price of $156.57 would experience 100% loss around $313.14. (Speculative based on data - the real cost could be around $350).
+
+-   Shorters are terrified of $300+, there's been a big battle here for a few days, hinting that small short positions are about to hit margin call territory (the Danger Zone).
+
+-   The current price momentum in this gamma is much stronger than the previous two gammas of January and March. They're trying desperately to not let it take off.
+
+-   The moment one shorter falls, the dominos fall.
+
+-   I like the stock. I also like you. 😉
+
+1\. Ever-Rising Price Floor And Projection For The Next Few Cycles
+
+I've been getting pinged a lot on the next T+21 dates and when the next possible parabolic move could be coming. You might say "Past performance is no guarantee of future results" and generally I would agree. But with T+21 consistently occurring and the parabolic moves so far looking like they were triggered by major option dates, I'd say it's a pretty good bet that past performance will guarantee future results.
+
+-   Every 21 trading days a price spike occurs. Upon each spike, the clock resets to 0, and you count up 21 trading days following. Note that you must ignore holidays.
+
+-   Major options dates appear to drive parabolic moves upward. "Major dates" are the only option dates which were available early last year for the 2021 trading year.
+
+    -   January 15 --> February 24 - March 10; Parabolic Move
+
+    -   April 16 --> May 25 - June 9; Parabolic Move (Maybe more movement to come)
+
+    -   July 16 --> August 24 - September 8; Parabolic Move (Projected)
+
+I will say, the only thing that could make this crap the bed is if [DTC-2021-009](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nvlykp/dtcc2021009_dropped_today_lets_get_some_eyes_on/) somehow affects T+21. Guess we'll have to see what happens on June 24th, the next T+21. I'm thinking it does not, since T+21 is most likely not caused by a DTC rule, and therefore the DTC can't mess with that timeframe.
+
+On another note, [there is speculation that T+21 is not actually a thing](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nsady3/t21_is_not_actually_a_thing_counter_dd/). It could be due to other mechanics we don't fully understand (T+35 rule or Net Capital for example). That being said, we're consistently in this loop so far. So, for the sake of making it easy to understand the loop, I think it's safe to continue calling it T+21.
+
+Without further ado, here you go! Projection of price movements with T+21 dates labeled for the next few months.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Danger Zone Part 2 - Shorts are terrified of a $310+ close. Projected price movement for the next few months based on T+21, ever-increasing, and poking harder at the first domino just waiting for it to fall.](https://preview.redd.it/qjk1wao6tc471.png?width=1435&format=png&auto=webp&s=e0b15daee115b3bfa3bacce059dd64612aac6dc8)](https://preview.redd.it/qjk1wao6tc471.png?width=1435&format=png&auto=webp&s=e0b15daee115b3bfa3bacce059dd64612aac6dc8)
+
+Price Projection Based On Rising Floor Every T+21 Days And Major Option Expirations
+
+It's a bit of a wild chart, so I'm sorry if it's cluttered. I've plotted with curvy lines the parabolic momentum that we see, and the crabby moves we get dependent on the different factors at play that cycle:
+
+1.  February 24 -> March 25: Parabolic Move 🚀 (January 15 options)
+
+2.  March 25 -> April 26: Crabby Move 🦀
+
+3.  April 26 -> May 25: Crabby Move 🦀
+
+4.  May 25 -> June 24: Parabolic Move 🚀 (April 16 options)
+
+5.  June 24 -> July 26: Crabby Move 🦀
+
+6.  July 26 -> August 24: Crabby Move 🦀
+
+7.  August 24 -> September 8: Parabolic Move 🚀 (July 16 options)
+
+In the chart, there's blue boxes starting at the floor of the previous cycle and ending at the floor of the next cycle. I drew them very roughly, so the numbers on the graph aren't exact. Sorry. I'm moving a bit quick.
+
+You'll see that the floor has continued to rise. Although I'm sure many have already seen that from the exponential floor posts! This is expanding on those posts and is a visualization to show that the floor rises every T+21 day cycle. So far, it looks like it rises at a very nice rate, even with the crabby cycles:
+
+-   Crabby Moves 🦀 increase the floor roughly $30 each time.
+
+-   Parabolic Moves 🚀 increase the floor roughly $80 each time.
+
+If the patterns follow, we could see the following price floors. Note that between April 26 and May 25 that the price broke below the previous floor. That's ok and expected. They can short a hell of a lot more shares to try to pull the price down between these cycles, but the floor continues to rise upon each T+21 date, despite this trickery.
+
+| T+21 Date | Price Floor (Roughly) | $ Increase From Previous | % Increase From Previous (Rounded) |
+| --- | --- | --- | --- |
+| February 24 | $45 | - | - |
+| March 25 | $116 | $71 | 157% |
+| April 26 | $148 | $32 | 28% |
+| May 25 | $182 | $34 | 23% |
+| June 24 | $259 | $77 | 42% |
+| July 26 (Projected) | $289 | $30 | 12% |
+| August 24 (Projected) | $318 | $29 | 10% |
+| September 8 (Projected) | $396 | $78 | 25% |
+
+After September 8 I don't think we'll see another parabolic move for a while, since that would be due to the last "major option date" of 2021 (July 16 options). The next "major option date" would be for January 2022. But, if the pattern continues, then the price floor would be around $500 by January 2022. Ooftah. Think they could last that long?
+
+2\. Short Position "Gains" And "Losses" Are Unrealized. They Averaged Up.
+
+I want to bring your attention to another matter that has popped up a lot, and there's a lot of celebration around it. The articles about short sellers "losing" billions of dollars in short positions on meme stocks. Horray!!! Shorts are bleeding money! Right? I don't think so. They're bleeding, but not for this reason.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Danger Zone Part 2 - Shorts are terrified of a $310+ close. Projected price movement for the next few months based on T+21, ever-increasing, and poking harder at the first domino just waiting for it to fall.](https://preview.redd.it/kofqhc17vc471.png?width=1214&format=png&auto=webp&s=f33807074f7ea49bb10549e9cc4172ea0c12a02e)](https://preview.redd.it/kofqhc17vc471.png?width=1214&format=png&auto=webp&s=f33807074f7ea49bb10549e9cc4172ea0c12a02e)
+
+https://www.cnbc.com/video/2021/06/03/short-sellers-lose-almost-5-billion-in-one-day-on-meme-stocks.html#:~:text=CNBC's%20Kristina%20Partsinevelos%20reports%20on,investors%20push%20the%20names%20higher.
+
+I've always thought these articles being posted were interesting.... almost as if they wanted to convey that the shorters "covered". (A few small shorters, like new retail shorters, might have covered. But not the big ones).
+
+Hint hint. They haven't covered. They do not plan to cover. The margin call Thanos snap when they get liquidated will finally make them cover.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Danger Zone Part 2 - Shorts are terrified of a $310+ close. Projected price movement for the next few months based on T+21, ever-increasing, and poking harder at the first domino just waiting for it to fall.](https://preview.redd.it/zykwvr337d471.png?width=866&format=png&auto=webp&s=6dbc94d107f4d096bface007717ca9fbb9fd4860)](https://preview.redd.it/zykwvr337d471.png?width=866&format=png&auto=webp&s=6dbc94d107f4d096bface007717ca9fbb9fd4860)
+
+https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/lawubt/hey_everyone_its_mark_cuban_jumping_on_to_do_an/
+
+I always look back at the total PUT OI going on an absolute tear in January when they hid SI% and think to myself, "Damn. That's totally ~~not~~ normal."
+
+Take a look at this. PUT OI spikes to 2e6 OI = 200m shares worth in PUTs. These PUTs were spread far and wide to many options expiring from February 5 all the way to January 2023. What in the hell? Totally normal hedge move, yup. Totally normal.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Danger Zone Part 2 - Shorts are terrified of a $310+ close. Projected price movement for the next few months based on T+21, ever-increasing, and poking harder at the first domino just waiting for it to fall.](https://preview.redd.it/zc7xcrch7d471.png?width=399&format=png&auto=webp&s=6c28ec2b8a9f72f0b987c917a05784f1e68b9e5c)](https://preview.redd.it/zc7xcrch7d471.png?width=399&format=png&auto=webp&s=6c28ec2b8a9f72f0b987c917a05784f1e68b9e5c)
+
+CALL and PUT OI Comparison; Data from /u/yelyah2
+
+They're not covering. They're hiding their shorts and trying everything they can to scare you off.
+
+So in my eyes these articles are all bull. Especially this one from the start of March:
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Danger Zone Part 2 - Shorts are terrified of a $310+ close. Projected price movement for the next few months based on T+21, ever-increasing, and poking harder at the first domino just waiting for it to fall.](https://preview.redd.it/cpp93z94vc471.png?width=1124&format=png&auto=webp&s=369820614b757f66a48575a2b8cabdb233d9b410)](https://preview.redd.it/cpp93z94vc471.png?width=1124&format=png&auto=webp&s=369820614b757f66a48575a2b8cabdb233d9b410)
+
+https://www.cnbc.com/2021/03/03/melvin-capital-posts-return-of-more-than-20percent-in-february-sources-say.html
+
+I remember getting pinged about this article and being told that Melvin won, shorters exited, blah blah blah, that was the FUD back then.
+
+How could they possibly gain 20% in February after getting obliterated in January? Well... they, and other shorters, must have averaged up their short position price. Anyone who took advantage of the GME peak price in January was able to have a fun time with gains.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Danger Zone Part 2 - Shorts are terrified of a $310+ close. Projected price movement for the next few months based on T+21, ever-increasing, and poking harder at the first domino just waiting for it to fall.](https://preview.redd.it/jg8yflcpwc471.png?width=1435&format=png&auto=webp&s=ab99e5fe95799b7f65f76293d72366fee57e4591)](https://preview.redd.it/jg8yflcpwc471.png?width=1435&format=png&auto=webp&s=ab99e5fe95799b7f65f76293d72366fee57e4591)
+
+Short Position Unrealized Gains / Losses Based On Opening New Shorts
+
+Their overall short position price went up, so they could post that they had returns/gains on that massive downward momentum in February. But these gains are all unrealized. They aren't covering, they're just digging a deeper hole because that's all they can do.
+
+3\. Average Retail Buy Price; Average Short Position Price
+
+It's an absolute WARZONE right now. The price is so desperately trying to go on a run upward.
+
+Last week I was noticing [how similar this run was to February](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nqbera/things_are_shockingly_similar_to_the_february/), and I was predicting that we'd see [another Gamma Neutral spike](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nrwp82/gamma_bombs_all_over_the_market_today/) on June 4th. BUT IT SPIKED UP TWO DAYS EARLIER THAN EXPECTED ON JUNE 2nd. [Data courtesy of [/u/yelyah2](https://www.reddit.com/u/yelyah2/)]
+
+That was a big, "Wait. What?" moment for me because it implied this gamma was ready to take off much sooner than the previous gamma run of February 24 - March 10. I should have noticed earlier at how much stronger this run was compared to the previous two gammas. Check out this comparison of the price hammers for January, March, and June gamma runs. Big shout out to [/u/sharp717](https://www.reddit.com/u/sharp717/) for identifying [the similarities to the January run as well](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nrud2r/price_action_is_shockingly_similar_to_not_only/).
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Danger Zone Part 2 - Shorts are terrified of a $310+ close. Projected price movement for the next few months based on T+21, ever-increasing, and poking harder at the first domino just waiting for it to fall.](https://preview.redd.it/eyb1v0rldd471.png?width=1434&format=png&auto=webp&s=6a3342786074385bc694fcae316d116af4160946)](https://preview.redd.it/eyb1v0rldd471.png?width=1434&format=png&auto=webp&s=6a3342786074385bc694fcae316d116af4160946)
+
+Price Momentum Being Contained. January, March, and June Gamma Squeezes
+
+There's huuuuge momentum that they have been trying to contain ever since May 25th. The price has been swinging up and down massively each day in this parabolic cycle🚀.
+
+Have they succeeded with suppressing the gamma squeeze? I mean, time will tell. June 9th is when I expected it to either start to go parabolic or be flash crashed down. But it's a goddamn battlefield right now! And this parabolic run is much different and stronger than the previous one. I personally think this run isn't over with. Their attacks are weaker every time, and there's so much strength still in this parabolic cycle🚀.
+
+There's so much ammunition being thrown because it truly is getting close to margin call territory, and they're most likely hurting even more in captial from January 15 and April 16 options expiring.
+
+Did I say margin call territory? I mean - the DANGER ZONE. Marge, call Kenny. Please.
+
+Some big brain apes discussed this Webull chart and the implications of it relating to their "Danger Zone price". It truly is a goldmine. With how popular Webull is it's probably safe to use this as a baseline for retail (and indirectly a baseline for shorters).
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Danger Zone Part 2 - Shorts are terrified of a $310+ close. Projected price movement for the next few months based on T+21, ever-increasing, and poking harder at the first domino just waiting for it to fall.](https://preview.redd.it/tyfsbj2cuc471.png?width=947&format=png&auto=webp&s=a8414ca7d6e6866e8d5ba420f79114065e6cc1e3)](https://preview.redd.it/tyfsbj2cuc471.png?width=947&format=png&auto=webp&s=a8414ca7d6e6866e8d5ba420f79114065e6cc1e3)
+
+Webull GME Statistics. Average share cost of $156.57
+
+What is this telling us?
+
+1.  Each horizontal bar represents a cluster of cost basis for retail shares. For example you can see a huge cluster between $76.83 and $156.57. There's way more retail that own shares at that price point than anything above $302.56.
+
+2.  The red indicates that the shares owned above $302.56 (price point when this screenshot was captured) currently have unrealized losses. "They're in the red"
+
+3.  Likewise, the green indicates that the shares owned below $302.56 currently have unrealized gains. "They're in the green".
+
+4.  The blue price point of $156.57 is the average ownership price.
+
+Seems fair. We can most likely assume that retail's average base cost is around $156.57. Most retail probably started buying in around December, because that's when the news of a GME short squeeze started to really take off. We can now indirectly say that this is also the average short position price.
+
+GME was over 100% shorted in December:
+
+-   You have to have naked shorts to get over 100% in the first place.
+
+-   OBV implies that barely anyone is selling.
+
+-   This signifies a liquidity issue where synthetics are created, ever-increasing the SI%.
+
+-   Any retail buy was most likely a new short position that was opened or a swap between paper hands and diamond hands.
+
+Our dear shorties might have an average short position of around $156.57. Give or take a little bit.
+
+If you have a long position that you opened up at $156.57, and the price goes down to $78.28, you'll be down 50%. If it continues down to $39.14, you'll be down 75%.
+
+If you have a short position that you opened up at $156.57, and the price goes up to $234.855, you'll be down 50% on margin. If it continues up to $313.14, you'll be down 100% on margin. BOOM. Marge starts calling.
+
+Assumptions per a big brain ape who discussed this:
+
+1.  Generally the margin requirements on short positions is 100% cash value of the position
+
+    1.  When you hit 100% loss, marge starts to call. Example of $156.57 short hitting $313.14. You need $156.57 posted to cover your margin requirement.
+
+2.  WeBull is a large enough broker to likely be considered a representative sample of all GME holders.
+
+3.  This is assuming the positions are unlevered - levering would reduce the margin call point.
+
+4.  This is assuming additional capital was not raised against the positions [Such as shill stock tickers pumped and dumped / Crypto / etc].
+
+4\. Danger Zone Part 2
+
+They dun goofed. Their FUD attack today (which we expected) was fruitless. All their tricks have been found out lmao.
+
+Guess what, Ken? Here's my trick. It's crayons showing the goddamn Danger Zone you're entering and so desperately trying to stay out of.
+
+The new and improved danger zone is based on the average short price of $156.57 which would trigger 100% losses at $313.14 assuming 100% margin requirements.
+
+[Note: Speculative based on Webull data. This could very well be $350 or higher, but the battle at $300 signals that this is a very rough place for the shorters to be].
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Danger Zone Part 2 - Shorts are terrified of a $310+ close. Projected price movement for the next few months based on T+21, ever-increasing, and poking harder at the first domino just waiting for it to fall.](https://preview.redd.it/cquh2loutc471.png?width=1437&format=png&auto=webp&s=cefd9b0a8fd5e4287498468ad3388c1a845bcd4d)](https://preview.redd.it/cquh2loutc471.png?width=1437&format=png&auto=webp&s=cefd9b0a8fd5e4287498468ad3388c1a845bcd4d)
+
+Danger Zone Visualization
+
+Is this why there's such a huge battle around $300 right now? And why the price is SEVERELY smacked down when it tries to reach above $350? It's probably because this danger zone is when small HedgeFunds / shorters begin to fall, and it's getting so close to closing in the zone.
+
+When one of the small shorters fall, it becomes a domino effect. Not only would they initiate buy pressure from covering their short positions, but the banks which are connected to the shorters might get upper-cut just enough to [also send the banks defaulting with the ICC](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/ngru15/the_flurry_of_rules_before_the_storm_dtc_icc_occ/).
+
+This would then cascade to all the other shorters under that bank because their swaps with the bank for assets/liabilities to pump their balance sheets would get rug-pulled. Not just that... but everyone else on the brink of defaulting in the entire financial world connected to that bank would start to fall.
+
+You've all seen the reverse repo market. Things are bad bad BAD in the market. The amount has already reached an all-time high above $500 Billion in a non-quarter end. This is abnormal because quarter-ends are usually the time when banks would take advantage of the repo market to adjust their balance sheets.
+
+> Other than high levels immediately before a quarter-end, these levels of sustained reverse repo activity in excess of $300 Billion have not been seen since the Great Recession. - [Source](https://www.jdsupra.com/legalnews/repo-market-disruptions-in-reverse-6334085/)
+
+Everyone in the repo market is terrified of the 2008 bomb that wasn't allowed to finish going off. They're most likely [colluding to prop each other up](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nneg7p/european_financial_news_is_reporting_that_hedge/) because of the absolute insanity that could follow. Not just in the stock market. But the repo market, the crypto market, the treasury market, every market potentially.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Danger Zone Part 2 - Shorts are terrified of a $310+ close. Projected price movement for the next few months based on T+21, ever-increasing, and poking harder at the first domino just waiting for it to fall.](https://preview.redd.it/6fw8d1jild471.png?width=775&format=png&auto=webp&s=77e35c7d45e37fa81b0cc17e250dce5c13b4892b)](https://preview.redd.it/6fw8d1jild471.png?width=775&format=png&auto=webp&s=77e35c7d45e37fa81b0cc17e250dce5c13b4892b)
+
+Possible Collusion In Repo Market
+
+But hey, all it takes is that one.
+
+GME has to close just high enough for everything, everything, to come crashing down.

01-Must-Read/House-of-Cards-by-atobitt/2021-05-26-House-of-Cards-Part-II.md

@@ -0,0 +1,324 @@
+House of Cards - Part 2
+=======================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/atobitt](https://www.reddit.com/user/atobitt/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nlwaxv/house_of_cards_part_2/) | 
+
+---
+
+[DD 👨‍🔬](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22DD%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%94%AC%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+*Prerequisite DD:*
+
+1.  [Citadel Has No Clothes](https://www.reddit.com/r/GME/comments/m4c0p4/citadel_has_no_clothes/)
+
+2.  [The EVERYTHING Short](https://www.reddit.com/r/GME/comments/mgucv2/the_everything_short/)
+
+3.  [The House of Cards -- Part 1](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mvk5dv/a_house_of_cards_part_1/)
+
+____________________________________________________________________________________________________________
+
+TL;DR- No freaking way I can do that.
+
+____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
+
+1. Pilot
+
+I wasn't looking into GameStop when all of this began. Most of my time was spent researching the pandemic's impact on the economy. I'm talking about the economic steam engine that employs people and puts food on their tables. Especially the small businesses that were executively steamrolled by COVID lockdowns. It was scary how fast they had to close their doors.
+
+I spent a lot of time looking at companies like GameStop. Brick-n-mortar businesses were basically running out of bricks to sh*t. Frankly, GameStop looked a lot like the next Blockbuster and it just seemed like a matter of time before they went under. Had DFV not done his homework, it's possible we wouldn't have a rocket to HODL or a story to TODL.
+
+Whoever has/had a short position with GameStop was probably thinking the same thing. The number of shares that can be freely traded on a daily basis is referred to as "the float". GameStop has 70,000,000 shares outstanding, but 50,000,000 shares represented "the float". With a small float like this, a [short position of 20% becomes significant](https://bullishbears.com/vw-short-squeeze/). Heck, Volkswagen got squozed with just a [12.8%](https://bullishbears.com/vw-short-squeeze/) short position. So let's use little numbers to walk through an example of how this works.
+
+Assume VW has 100 shares outstanding. If 12.8% of the company has been sold short, then 12.8 shares (let's just say 13) must be available to purchase at a later date (assuming VW doesn't go bankrupt). However, VW had a float of 45% which meant there was no real strain to cover that 12.8% short position at any moment. However, when Porsche announced they wanted to increase their position in VW, they invested HEAVILY.
+
+*"The kicker was that Porsche owned 43% of VW shares, 32% in options, and the government owned 20.2%.... In plain terms, it meant that the actual available float went from 45% down to 1% of outstanding shares" (bullishbears.com/vw-short-squeeze/).*
+
+Let's revisit our scenario. With 100 shares outstanding and 13 shares sold short, what happens if only 1 share was available to cover instead of 45?
+
+Well..... THIS:
+
+[![r/Superstonk - House of Cards - Part 2](https://preview.redd.it/c1n24ypq5k171.jpg?width=348&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=2401d50c3ec1197e08564be1ffbd643558e52b6a)](https://preview.redd.it/c1n24ypq5k171.jpg?width=348&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=2401d50c3ec1197e08564be1ffbd643558e52b6a)
+
+____________________________________________________________________________________________________________
+
+GameStop is/was the victim of price suppression through short selling. I discussed this topic with [Dr. T](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fGVY2Kco8ng) and [Carl Hagberg](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KHnpPfWdf78) in [our AMAs.](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KHnpPfWdf78) Every transaction has two sides- a buy and a sell. Short selling artificially increases the *supply* of shares and causes the price to decline. When this happens, the price can only increase if *demand* exceeds the increase in supply.
+
+I started looking closely at GameStop after confirming their reported short position of [140%](https://www.reuters.com/article/us-retail-trading-congress-shorting/short-selling-under-spotlight-in-gamestop-hearing-idUSKBN2AJ026). It's important for me explain this why this is so much different than the VW example...
+
+140% of GameStop's FLOAT was sold short. There were 50,000,000 shares in that float, so 140% of this was equal to the 70,000,000 shares the company has outstanding. This means AT LEAST 100% of their outstanding shares has been sold short. Now compare that to VW where the short position was only 12.8%... Simply put, it is mathematically impossible to cover more than 100% of a company's outstanding stock.
+
+The *peak* of the VW squeeze was reached when the demand for shares became surpassed by the supply of those shares. Here, demand represents 12.8% of their stock which must be available to close the short position. With only 1% of shares available, this guaranteed a squeeze until the number of shares available to trade could satisfy the remaining short interest.
+
+When a company has a short position with more than 100% of total shares outstanding, the preceding argument is thrown out the window. Supply cannot surpass demand because the company can only issue 100% of itself at any given time. Therefore, the additional 40% could only be explained by multiple people claiming ownership of the same share... Surely this is a mistake.. right? I thought this level of short selling was impossible..
+
+..Until I saw the number of short selling violations issued by FINRA..
+
+As we go through these FINRA reports, there are a few things to keep in mind:
+
+1.  FINRA is not a part of the government. FINRA is a non-profit entity with [regulatory powers set by congress](https://www.finra.org/about). This makes FINRA the largest self-regulatory organization (SRO) in the United States. The SEC is responsible for setting rules which protect individual investors; FINRA is responsible for overseeing most of the brokers (collectively referred to as members) in the US. As an SRO, FINRA sets the rules by which their members must comply- they are not directly regulated by the SEC
+
+2.  FINRA investigates cases at their own pace. When looking at the "*Date Initiated"* on their reports, it is not synonymous with "*date of occurrence".* Many times, FINRA will not say when a problem occurred, just resolved. It can be YEARS after the initial occurrence. The [DTC participant report](https://www.dtcc.com/-/media/Files/Downloads/client-center/DTC/alpha.pdf) is littered with cases that were initiated in 2019 but occurred in 2015, etc. Many of the violations occurring today will take years to discover
+
+3.  FINRA can issue a violation for each occurrence using a 1:1 format. When it comes to violations like short selling, however, these "occurrences" can last months or even years. When this happens, FINRA issues a violation for multiple occurrences using a 1:MANY format. I discussed this event in [Citadel Has No Clothes](https://www.reddit.com/r/GME/comments/m4c0p4/citadel_has_no_clothes/) where one violation represented FOUR YEARS of market f*ckery. What's sh*tty is that FINRA doesn't tell you which violations are which. You have to read each line and see if they mention a date range of occurrence within each record. If they don't, you must assume it was for one event... BRUTAL
+
+4.  FINRA's investment portfolio is held by the same entities they are issuing violations to... Let that sink in for a minute
+
+____________________________________________________________________________________________________________
+
+2. State your case...
+
+Can you think of a reason why short sellers would want to understate their short positions? Put yourself in their situation and imagine you're running a hedge fund...
+
+You operate in a self-regulated (SRO) environment and your records are basically private. If the SEC asks you to justify suspicious behavior, you really don't have to provide it. The worst that could happen is a slap on the wrist. I wrote about this EXACT same thing in [Citadel Has No Clothes](https://www.reddit.com/r/GME/comments/m4c0p4/citadel_has_no_clothes/). They received a cease-and-desist order from the SEC on 12/10/2018 for failing to submit complete and accurate records. This 'occurred' from November 2012 through April 2016 and contained deficient information for over 80,000,000 trades. Their punishment... $3,500,000... So why even bother keeping an honest ledger?
+
+Now, suppose you short a bunch of shares into the market. When you report this to FINRA, they require you to mark the transaction with a short sale indicator. In doing so, FINRA builds a paper trail to your short selling activity.
+
+However... if you omit this indicator, FINRA can't distinguish that transaction from a long sale. Who else would there be to hold you accountable for covering your position? This is especially true for self-clearing organizations like Citadel because there are less parties involved to hold you accountable with recordkeeping. If FINRA thinks you physically owned those shares and sold them (long sale), they have no reason to revisit that transaction in the future... You could literally pocket the cash and dump the commitment to cover.
+
+Another very important advantage is that it allows short sellers to artificially increase the supply of shares while understating the outstanding short interest on that security. The supply of shares being sold will drive down the price, while the short interest on the stock remains the same.
+
+So.. aside from paying a fine, how could you possibly lose by "forgetting" to mark that trade with a short sale indicator? It would seem the system almost incentivizes this type of behavior.
+
+I combed through the [DTC participant report](https://www.dtcc.com/-/media/Files/Downloads/client-center/DTC/alpha.pdf) and found enough dirt to fill the empty chasm that is Ken Griffin's soul. Take a guess at what their most common short selling violation is.. I'm going to assume you said "FAILING TO PROPERLY MARK A SHORT SALE TRANSACTION".
+
+For the record, I just want to say I called this in March when I wrote [Citadel Has No Clothes](https://www.reddit.com/r/GME/comments/m4c0p4/citadel_has_no_clothes/). Citadel has one of the highest concentrations of short selling violations in their FINRA report. At the time, I didn't fully understand the consequences of this violation... After seeing how many participants received the same penalty, it finally made sense.
+
+There are roughly 240 participant account names on the DTC's list. Sh*t you not, I looked at every short selling violation that was published on [Brokercheck.finra.org](https://brokercheck.finra.org/). To be fair, I eliminated participants with only 1 or 2 violations related to short selling. There were PLENTY of bigger fish to fry.
+
+I literally picked the first participant at the top of the list and found three violations for short selling.
+
+*cracks knuckles*
+
+[ABN AMRO Clearing Chicago LLC](https://files.brokercheck.finra.org/firm/firm_14020.pdf) (AACC) is the 3rd largest bank in the Netherlands. They got popped for three short selling violations, one of which included a failure-to-deliver. In total, they have 78 violations from FINRA. Several of these are severe compared to their violations for short selling. However, the short selling violations revealed a MUCH bigger story:
+
+[![r/Superstonk - House of Cards - Part 2](https://preview.redd.it/3t5ylyfz5k171.jpg?width=1055&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=f961999d09eeee7fbe42364700cbc727869f9e3f)](https://preview.redd.it/3t5ylyfz5k171.jpg?width=1055&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=f961999d09eeee7fbe42364700cbc727869f9e3f)
+
+So... ABN AMRO submitted an inaccurate short interest position to the NYSE and FINRA and lacked the proper supervisory systems to comply with... practically everything...
+
+In 2014, AMRO forked over $95,000 to settle this and didn't even say they were sorry.
+
+In these situations, it's easy to think *"meh, could have been a fluke event"*. So I took a closer look and found violations by the same participants which made it much harder to argue their case of sheer negligence. Here are a couple for AMRO:
+
+[![r/Superstonk - House of Cards - Part 2](https://preview.redd.it/vir299076k171.jpg?width=1079&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=e17e6ceff040a4be0113c1bc4e435f29fb5ce0a6)](https://preview.redd.it/vir299076k171.jpg?width=1079&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=e17e6ceff040a4be0113c1bc4e435f29fb5ce0a6)
+
+ABN AMRO got slapped with a $1,000,000 fine for understating capital requirements, failing to maintain accurate books, and failing to supervise employees. If you mess up once or twice but end up fixing the problem- GREAT. When your primary business is to clear trades and you fail THIS bad, there is a much bigger problem going on. It gets hard to defend this as an accident when every stage of the trade recording process is fundamentally flawed. The following screenshot came from the same violation:
+
+[![r/Superstonk - House of Cards - Part 2](https://preview.redd.it/mnpm2gz96k171.jpg?width=733&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=7e5c66293566b7ca2329f20bcdb634c35395943f)](https://preview.redd.it/mnpm2gz96k171.jpg?width=733&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=7e5c66293566b7ca2329f20bcdb634c35395943f)
+
+[Warehouse receipts](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/w/warehousereceipt.asp#:~:text=A%20warehouse%20receipt%20is%20used,well%20as%20provide%20inventory%20management.) are like the receipts you get after buying lumber online. You can print these out and take them to Home-Depot, where you exchange them for the ACTUAL lumber in the store. Instead of trading the actual goods, you can trade a warehouse receipt instead... so yeah... since this ONE record allowed AMRO to meet their customer's margin requirement, it seems EXTREMELY suspicious that they didn't appropriately remove it once they were withdrawn.
+
+Do I think this was an accident? F*ck no. Because FINRA reported them 8 years later for doing the SAME F*CKING THING:
+
+[![r/Superstonk - House of Cards - Part 2](https://preview.redd.it/sv0v5igw6k171.jpg?width=1071&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=02f17082135c702fad6bbc064073ae031151cee7)](https://preview.redd.it/sv0v5igw6k171.jpg?width=1071&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=02f17082135c702fad6bbc064073ae031151cee7)
+
+Once again, AMRO got caught understating their margin requirements. Last time, they used the value of withdrawn warehouse receipts to meet their margin requirements. Here, they're using securities which weren't eligible for margin to meet their margin requirements..
+
+You can paint apple orange, but it's still an apple..
+
+The bullsh*t I read about in these reports doesn't really shock me anymore. It's actually the opposite.. You begin to *expect* bigger fines as they set higher benchmarks for misconduct. When I find a case like AMRO, I'll usually put more time into it because certain citations represent puzzle pieces. Once you find enough pieces, you can see the bigger picture. So believe me when I say I was genuinely shocked by the [detail report](https://www.finra.org/sites/default/files/fda_documents/2016049875801%20ABN%20AMRO%20Clearing%20Chicago%20LLC%20CRD%2014020%20AWC%20va%20%282019-1572740384682%29.pdf) on this case...
+
+[![r/Superstonk - House of Cards - Part 2](https://preview.redd.it/4lgyti547k171.jpg?width=844&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=633a928d28caef8cc6719873532aef60f271cefb)](https://preview.redd.it/4lgyti547k171.jpg?width=844&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=633a928d28caef8cc6719873532aef60f271cefb)
+
+This has been going on for 8 F*CKING YEARS!?
+
+Without a doubt, this is a great example of a violation where the misconduct supposedly *ended* in 2015 but took another 4 years for FINRA to publish the d*mn report. If my math is correct, the 8 year "relevant period" plus the 4 years FINRA spent... I don't know... reviewing?... yields a total of 12 years. In other words, from the time this problem started to the time it was publicized by FINRA, the kids in 1st grade had graduated high school...
+
+Does anyone else think these self-regulatory organizations (SROs) are doing a terrible job self-regulating...? How we can trust these situations are appropriately monitored if it takes 12 years for a sh*t blossom to bloom?
+
+...OH! I almost forgot... After understating their margin requirements in 22 accounts for over 8 years, ABN AMRO paid a $150,000 fine to settle the dust...
+
+____________________________________________________________________________________________________
+
+I know that was a sh*t load of information so let me summarize it for you:
+
+One of the most common citations occurs when a firm "accidently" marks a short sale as long, or misreports short interest positions to FINRA. When a short sale occurs, that transaction should be marked with a short sale indicator. Despite this, many participants do it to avoid the borrow requirements set by Regulation SHO. If they mark a short sale as long, they are not required to locate a borrow because FINRA doesn't know it's a short sale.
+
+This is why so many of these FINRA violations include a statement about the broker failing to locate a borrow along with the failure to mark a short sale indicator on the transaction. It literally means the broker was naked short selling a stock and telling FINRA they physically owned that share..
+
+Suddenly, a "small" violation had much bigger implications. The number of short shares that have been excluded from the short interest calculation is directly related to these violations... and there are HUNDREDS of them. Who knows how many companies have under reported short interest positions..
+
+To be clear, I did NOT choose them based on the amount of 'dirt' they had. AMRO's violations were like grains of sand on a beach and It's going to take A LOT of dirt to fill the bottomless pit that is Ken Griffin's soul. Frankly, ABN AMRO wouldn't get us there with 10,000 FINRA violations. So without further ado, let's get dirty..
+
+____________________________________________________________________________________________________
+
+2. Call em' out...
+
+When FINRA publishes one of their reports, the granular details like numbers and dates are often left out. This makes it impossible to determine how systematic a particular issue might be.
+
+For example, if you know that *"XYZ failed to comply with FINRA's short interest reporting requirements"* your only conclusion is that the violation occurred. However, if you know that *"XYZ failed to comply with FINRA's short interest reporting requirements on 15,000 transactions during 2020"* you can start investigating the magnitude of that violation. If XYZ only completed 100,000 transactions in 2020, it means 15% of their transactions failed to meet requirements. This represents a major systematic risk to XYZ and the parties it conducts business with.
+
+I spent some time analyzing [Apex Clearing Corporation](https://files.brokercheck.finra.org/firm/firm_13071.pdf) after I left ABN AMRO. Apex is 8th on the list and the 2nd participant I found with an evident short selling problem.
+
+In 2019, FINRA initiated a case against Apex for doing the same sh*t as ABN AMRO. However, the magnitude of this violation really put things into perspective: I got a small taste of how f*cked this house of cards truly is..
+
+[![r/Superstonk - House of Cards - Part 2](https://preview.redd.it/u1b4zh6m7k171.jpg?width=1076&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=0f14f5fa49e73dad79ff605464fc1c64fa73f5bd)](https://preview.redd.it/u1b4zh6m7k171.jpg?width=1076&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=0f14f5fa49e73dad79ff605464fc1c64fa73f5bd)
+
+This is practically a template of the first ABN AMRO violation we discussed. To see the difference, we need to look at their [letter of Acceptance, Waiver and Consent](https://www.finra.org/sites/default/files/fda_documents/2016049448301%20Apex%20Clearing%20Corporation%20CRD%2013071%20AWC%20va%20%282019-1573777189509%29.pdf) (AWC)..
+
+[![r/Superstonk - House of Cards - Part 2](https://preview.redd.it/zaiywobp7k171.jpg?width=938&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=7fe2d2323e757efcdedf2ab22aa1ff34e10d7d55)](https://preview.redd.it/zaiywobp7k171.jpg?width=938&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=7fe2d2323e757efcdedf2ab22aa1ff34e10d7d55)
+
+Let's break this down step-by-step...
+
+Apex had an issue for 47 months where certain customers recorded their short positions in an account which was NOT being sent to FINRA. It only takes a few wrinkles on the brain to realize this is a problem. The sample data tells us just how bad that problem is..
+
+When you see the term "*settlement days",* think "[T+2](https://www.schwab.com/resource-center/insights/content/stock-settlement-why-you-need-to-understand-t2-timeline#:~:text=the%20seller's%20account.-,When%20does%20settlement%20occur%3F,would%20typically%20settle%20on%20Wednesday.)". Apex follows the T+2 settlement period for both [cash accounts and margin accounts](https://www.apexclearing.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/Apex-Customer-Information-Brochure-2019.pdf) which means the trade *should* clear 2 days after the original trade date. When you buy stock on a Monday, it should settle by Wednesday.
+
+Ok.. quick maff...
+
+There are roughly [252 trading days](https://therobusttrader.com/how-many-trading-days-are-there-in-a-year/) in one year after removing weekends and holidays. Throughout the 47 month "review period", we can safely assume that Apex had roughly 987 ((252/ 12) * 47) settlement dates...
+
+In other words: 256 misstated reports over 47 months is more than 1 misstatement / week for nearly 4 years. Tell me again how this is *trivial?*
+
+The wording of the "sample settlement" section is a bit ambiguous... It doesn't clarify if those were the only 2 settlement dates they sampled, or if they were the only settlement dates with reportable issues. Honestly, I would be shocked if it was the latter because auditors don't examine every record, but I can't be certain...
+
+Anyway... FINRA discovered 256 short interest positions, consisting of 481,195 shares, were *incorrectly* excluded from their short interest report. In addition, they understated the share count by 879,321 in 130 separate short interest positions. Together, this makes 1,360,516 shares that were excluded from the short interest calculation. When you realize nearly 1.5 million 'excluded' shares were discovered in just 2 settlement periods and there were almost 1,000 dates to choose from, it seriously dilates the imagination...
+
+Once again... FINRA wiped the slate clean for just $140,000...
+
+I want to talk about one last thing before we jump to the next section. Did you happen to notice the different account types that Apex discussed in their [letter of Acceptance, Waiver and Consent](https://www.finra.org/sites/default/files/fda_documents/2016049448301%20Apex%20Clearing%20Corporation%20CRD%2013071%20AWC%20va%20%282019-1573777189509%29.pdf) ? They specifically instructed their customers to book short positions into a TYPE 1 (CASH) account, or TYPE 5 (SHORT MARGIN) account. A short margin account is just a margin account that holds short positions. The margin requirement for short positions are more strict than regular margin accounts, so I can see the advantage in separating them.
+
+In the [AMA with Wes Christian](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2rJujnpKiqM) *(starting at 7:30)*, he specifically discussed how a broker-dealer's margin account is used to locate shares for short sellers. However, the margin account contains shares that were previously pledged to another party. Given the lack of oversight in securities lending, the problem keeps compounding each time a new borrower claims ownership of that share.
+
+Now think back to the situation with Apex..
+
+They asked their customers to book short positions to a short-margin account or a cash account. The user agreement with a margin account allows Apex to continue lending those securities at any time. As discussed with Dr. T and Carl Hagberg, the broker collects interest for lending your margin shares and doesn't pay you anything in return. When multiple locates are authorized for the same share, the broker collects multiple lending fees on the same share.
+
+In contrast, the cash account falls under the protection of [SEA 15c3-3](https://www.finra.org/sites/default/files/SEA.Rule_.15c3-3.pdf) and consists of shares that have not been leveraged- or lent- like the margin-short account. According to Wes *(starting at 8:30)*, these shares are segregated and cannot be touched. The broker cannot encumber-or restrict- them in any way. However, according to Wes, this is currently happening. He also explained how Canada has legalized this and currently allows broker-dealers to short sell your cash account shares against you.
+
+____________________________________________________________________________________________________
+
+Alright.... I'll stop beating the dead horse regarding short sale indicators & inaccurate submissions of short interest positions. Given the volume of citations we haven't discussed, I'll summarize some of my findings, below.
+
+Keep in mind these are ONLY for "FAILURE TO REPORT SHORT INTEREST POSITIONS" or "FAILURE TO INDICATE A SHORT SALE MODIFIER". If the violations contain additional information, it's because that citation actually listed additional information. It does NOT represent an all-inclusive list of short selling violations for these participants.
+
+...You wanted to know how systematic this problem is, so here you go... *(EACH BROKER-DEALER NAME IS HYPERLINKED TO THEIR FINRA REPORT)*
+
+1.  [Barclays](https://files.brokercheck.finra.org/firm/firm_19714.pdf) | Disclosure 36 -- "SUBMITTED 86 SHORT INTEREST POSITIONS TOTALING 41,100,154 SHARES WHEN THE ACTUAL SHORT INTEREST POSITION WAS 44,535,151 SHARES.. FAILED TO REPORT 8 SHORT INTEREST POSITIONS TOTALING 1,110,420 SHARES"
+
+a. $10,000 FINE
+
+2\. [Barclays](https://files.brokercheck.finra.org/firm/firm_19714.pdf) | Disclosure 54 -- "SUBMITTED AN INACCURATE SHORT INTEREST POSITION TO FINRA AND FAILED TO REPORT ITS SHORT INTEREST POSITIONS IN 835 POSITIONS TOTALING 87,562,328 SHARES"
+
+a. $155,000 FINE
+
+3\. [BMO Capital Markets Corp](https://files.brokercheck.finra.org/firm/firm_16686.pdf) | Disclosure 23 -- "SUBMITTED SHORT INTEREST POSITIONS TO FINRA THAT WERE INCORRECT AND FAILED TO REPORT TO FINRA ITS SHORT INTEREST POSITIONS TOTALING OVER 72 MILLION SHARES FOR 11 MONTHS"
+
+a. $90,000 FINE
+
+4\. [BNP Paribas Securities Corp](https://files.brokercheck.finra.org/firm/firm_15794.pdf) | Disclosure 53 -- "FAILED TO REPORT TO FINRA ITS SHORT INTEREST IN 2,509 POSITIONS TOTALING 6,051,974 SHARES"
+
+a. $30,000 FINE
+
+5\. [BNP Paribas Securities Corp](https://files.brokercheck.finra.org/firm/firm_15794.pdf) | Disclosure 9 -- "ON 35 OCCASIONS OVER A FOUR-MONTH PERIOD, A HEDGE FUND SUBMITTED SALE ORDERS MARKED "LONG" TO BNP FOR CLEARING. FOR EACH OF THOSE "LONG" SALES, ON THE MORNING OF SETTLEMENT, THE HEDGE FUND DID NOT HAVE THE SHARES IN IT'S BNP ACCOUNT TO COVER THE SALE ORDER. IN ADDITION, BNP WAS ROUTINELY NOTIFIED THAT THE HEDGE FUND WOULD NOT BE ABLE TO COVER. NEVERTHELESS, WHEN EACH SETTLEMENT DATE ARRIVED AND THE HEDGE FUND WAS UNABLE TO COVER, BNP LOANED THE SHARES TO THE HEDGE FUND. IN TOTAL, BNP LOANED MORE THAN 8,000,000 SHARES TO COVER THESE PURPORTED "LONG" SALES"
+
+a. $250,000 FINE
+
+6\. [Cantor Fitzgerald & Co](https://files.brokercheck.finra.org/firm/firm_134.pdf) | Disclosure 1 - (literally came out on 5/6/2021) -- "THE FIRM SUBMITTED INACCURATE SHORT INTEREST POSITIONS TO FINRA. THE FIRM OVERREPORTED NEARLY [55,000,000 SHORT SHARES](https://www.finra.org/sites/default/files/fda_documents/2018059464001%20Cantor%20Fitzgerald%20%26%20Co.%20CRD%20134%20AWC%20va.pdf) WHICH WERE CUSTODIED WITH AND ALREADY REPORTED BY ITS CLEARING FIRM, WITH WHICH CANTOR MAINTAINS A FULLY DISCLOSED CLEARING AGREEMENT"
+
+a. $250,000 FINE
+
+7\. [Cantor Fitzgerald & Co](https://files.brokercheck.finra.org/firm/firm_134.pdf) | Disclosure 31 - "...THE FIRM EXECUTED NUMEROUS SHORT SALE ORDERS AND FAILED TO PROPERLY MARK THE ORDERS AS SHORT... THE FIRM, ON NUMEROUS OCCASIONS, ACCEPTED SHORT SALE ORDERS IN AN EQUITY SECURITY FROM ANOTHER PERSON, OR EFFECTED A SHORT SALE FROM ITS OWN ACCOUNT WITHOUT BORROWING THE SECURITY..."
+
+a. $53,500 FINE
+
+8\. [Cantor Fitzgerald & Co](https://files.brokercheck.finra.org/firm/firm_134.pdf) | Disclosure 33 - "...EXECUTED SHORT SALE ORDERS AND FAILED TO PROPERLY MARK THE ORDERS AS SHORT. THE FIRM HAD FAIL-TO-DELIVER POSITIONS AT A REGISTERED CLEARING AGENCY IN THRESHOLD SECURITIES FOR 13 CONSECUTIVE SETTLEMENT DAYS... FAILED TO IMMEDIATELY CLOSE OUT FTD POSITIONS... ACCEPTED SHORT SALE ORDERS FROM ANOTHER PERSON, OR EFFECTED A SHORT SALE FROM ITS OWN ACCOUNT, WITHOUT BORROWING THE SECURITY OR HAVING REASONABLE GROUNDS TO BELIEVE THAT THE SECURITY COULD BE BORROWED..."
+
+a. $125,000 FINE
+
+9\. [Canaccord Genuity Corp](https://files.brokercheck.finra.org/firm/firm_1020.pdf) | Disclosure 17 - "THE FIRM EXECUTED SALE TRANSACTIONS AND FAILED TO REPORT EACH OF THESE TRANSACTIONS TO THE FINRA/NASDAQ TRADE REPORTING FACILITY AS SHORT"
+
+a. $57,500 FINE
+
+10\. [Canaccord Genuity Corp](https://files.brokercheck.finra.org/firm/firm_1020.pdf) | Disclosure 20 - "THE FIRM EXECUTED SHORT SALE ORDERS AND FAILED TO PROPERLY MARK THE ORDERS AS SHORT"
+
+a. $27,500 FINE
+
+11\. [Canaccord Genuity Corp](https://files.brokercheck.finra.org/firm/firm_1020.pdf) | Disclosure 31 - "...SUBMITTED TO NASD MONTHLY SHORT INTEREST POSITION REPORTS THAT WERE INACCURATE"
+
+a. $85,000 FINE
+
+12\. Citadel Securities LLC | [Citadel Has No Clothes](https://www.reddit.com/r/GME/comments/m4c0p4/citadel_has_no_clothes/) -- LITERALLY ALL I TALK ABOUT IN THAT POST. GO READ IT
+
+13\. [Citigroup Global Markets](https://files.brokercheck.finra.org/firm/firm_7059.pdf) | Disclosure 10 -- "THE FIRMS TRADING PLATFORM FAILED TO RECOGNIZE THAT THE FIRM WAS SELLING SHORT WHEN IT WAS ACTING AS THE CONTRA PARTY TO A CUSTOMER TRADE. AS A RESULT, THE FIRM ERRONEOUSLY REPORTED SHORT SALES TO A FINRA TRADE REPORTING FACILITY AS LONG SALES... EFFECTING SHORT SALES FROM ITS OWN ACCOUNT WITHOUT BORROWING THE SECURITY..."
+
+a. $225,000 FINE
+
+14\. [Citigroup Global Markets](https://files.brokercheck.finra.org/firm/firm_7059.pdf) | Disclosure 59 -- "...THE FIRM RECORDED 203,653 SHORT SALE EXECUTIONS ON ITS BOOKS AND RECORDS AS LONG SALES, SUBMITTED INACCURATE ORDER ORIGINATION CODES AND ACCOUNT TYPE CODES TO THE AUDIT TRAIL SYSTEM FOR APPROXIMATELY 2,775,338 ORDERS... "
+
+a. $300,000 FINE
+
+15\. [Citigroup Global Markets](https://files.brokercheck.finra.org/firm/firm_7059.pdf) | Disclosure 76 -- "...FAILED TO PROPERLY MARK APPROXIMATELY 9,717,875 SALE ORDERS AS SHORT SALES... FINDINGS ALSO ESTIMATED THAT THE FIRM ENTERED 55 MILLION ORDERS INTO THE NASDAQ MARKET CENTER THAT IT FAILED TO CORRECTLY INDICATE AS SHORT SALES..."
+
+a. $2,250,000 FINE
+
+16\. [Cowen and Company LLC](https://files.brokercheck.finra.org/firm/firm_7616.pdf) | Several Disclosures -- almost every other disclosure is for failing to mark a sale with the appropriate indicator, including short AND long sale indicators
+
+17\. [Credit Suisse Securities LLC](https://files.brokercheck.finra.org/firm/firm_816.pdf) | Disclosure 34 -- "NEW ORDER REPORTS WERE INACCURATELY ENTERED INTO ORDER AUDIT TRAIL SYSTEM (OATS) AS LONG SALES BUT WERE TRADE REPORTED WITH A SHORT SALE INDICATOR"
+
+a. $50,000 FINE
+
+18\. [Credit Suisse Securities LLC](https://files.brokercheck.finra.org/firm/firm_816.pdf) | Disclosure 95 -- "BETWEEN SEPTEMBER 2006 AND JUNE 2008, CREDIT SUISSE FAILED TO SUBMIT ACCURATE PERIODIC REPORTS WITH RESPECT TO SHORT POSITIONS..."
+
+a. $40,000 FINE
+
+19\. [Deutsche Bank Securities INC.](https://files.brokercheck.finra.org/firm/firm_2525.pdf) | Disclosure 50 -- "THE FIRM FAILED TO REPORT SHORT INTEREST POSITIONS IN DUALLY-LISTED SECURITIES"
+
+a. $200,000 FINE
+
+20\. [Deutsche Bank Securities INC.](https://files.brokercheck.finra.org/firm/firm_2525.pdf) | Disclosure 52 -- "THE FIRM... EXPERIENCED MULTIPLE PROBLEMS WITH ITS BLUE SHEET SYSTEM THAT CAUSED IT TO SUBMIT INACCURATE BLUE SHEETS TO THE SEC AND FINRA... INCORRECTLY REPORTED LONG ON ITS BLUE SHEET TRANSACTIONS WHEN CERTAIN TRANSACTIONS SHOULD HAVE BEEN MARKED SHORT"
+
+a. $6,000,000 FINE (SEVERAL OTHER ISSUES REPORTED IN ADDITION TO SHORTS)
+
+21\. [Deutsche Bank Securities INC.](https://files.brokercheck.finra.org/firm/firm_2525.pdf) | Disclosure 58 -- "BETWEEN JANUARY 2005 AND CONTINUING THROUGH NOVEMBER 2015, THE FIRM IMPROPERLY INCLUDED THE AGGREGATION OF NET POSITIONS IN CERTAIN SECURITIES OF A NON-US BROKER AFFILIATE... IN ADDITION... DURING THE PERIOD BETWEEN APRIL 2004 AND SEPTEMBER 2012, THE FIRM INAPPROPRIATELY REPORTED CERTAIN SHORT INTEREST POSITIONS ON A NET, INSTEAD OF GROSS, BASIS.."
+
+a. $1,400,000 FINE
+
+22\. [Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC](https://files.brokercheck.finra.org/firm/firm_361.pdf) | Disclosure 32 -- "THE FIRM REPORTED SHORT SALE TRANSACTIONS TO FINRA TRADE REPORTING FACILITY WITHOUT THE REQUIRED SHORT SALE MODIFIER"
+
+a. $260,000 FINE (SEVERAL OTHER ISSUES REPORTED IN ADDITION TO SHORTS)
+
+23\. [Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC](https://files.brokercheck.finra.org/firm/firm_361.pdf) | Disclosure 54 -- "FAILED TO ACCURATELY APPEND THE SHORT SALE INDICATOR TO FINRA/NASDAQ TRADE REPORTING FACILITY REPORTS... INACCURATELY MARKED SELL TRANSACTIONS ON ITS TRADING LEDGER"
+
+a. $55,000 FINE
+
+24\. [Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC](https://files.brokercheck.finra.org/firm/firm_361.pdf) | Disclosure 63 -- "...SUBMITTED TO FINRA AND THE SEC BLUE SHEETS THAT INACCURATELY REPORTED CERTAIN SHORT SALE TRANSACTIONS AS LONG SALE TRANSACTIONS WITH RESPECT TO THE FIRM SIDE OF CUSTOMER FACILITATION TRADES... THE FIRM REPORTED SHORT SALES AS LONG SALES ON ITS BLUE SHEETS WHEN THE TRADING DESK USED A PARTICULAR MIDDLE OFFICE SYSTEM..."
+
+a. $1,000,000 FINE
+
+25\. [Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC](https://files.brokercheck.finra.org/firm/firm_361.pdf) | Disclosure 150 -- "GOLDMAN SACHS & CO. FAILED TO REPORT SHORT INTEREST POSITIONS FOR FOREIGN SECURITIES AND NUMEROUS SHARES ONE MONTH... THE FIRM REPORTED SHORT INTEREST POSITIONS IN SECURITIES TOTALING SEVERAL MILLION SHARES EACH TIME WHEN THE ACTUAL SHORT INTEREST POSITIONS IN THE SECURITIES WERE ZERO SHARES... ACCEPTING A SHORT SALE ORDER IN AN EQUITY SECURITY FROM ANOTHER PERSON, OR EFFECTED A SHORT SALE FROM ITS OWN ACCOUNT, WITHOUT BORROWING THE SECURITY OR BELIEVING THE SECURITY COULD BE BORROWED ON THE DATE OF DELIVERY..."
+
+a. $120,000 FINE
+
+26\. [Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC](https://files.brokercheck.finra.org/firm/firm_361.pdf) | Disclosure 167 -- "...THE FIRM FAILED TO REPORT TO THE NMC THE CORRECT SYMBOL INDICATING THAT THE TRANSACTION WAS A SHORT SALE FOR TRANSACTIONS IN REPORTABLE SECURITIES..."
+
+a. $600,000 FINE (SEVERAL OTHER ISSUES REPORTED IN ADDITION TO SHORTS)
+
+27\. [HSBC Securities (USA) INC.](https://files.brokercheck.finra.org/firm/firm_19585.pdf) | Disclosure 26 -- "FIRM EXECUTED SHORT SALE TRANSACTIONS AND FAILED TO MARK THEM AS SHORT... HSBC SECURITIES HAD A FAIL-TO-DELIVER SECURITY FOR 13 CONSECUTIVE SETTLEMENT DAYS AND FAILED TO IMMEDIATELY CLOSE OUT THE FTD POSITION... THE FIRM CONTINUED TO HAVE A FTD IN THE SECURITY AT A CLEARING AGENCY ON 79 ADDITIONAL SETTLEMENT DAYS..."
+
+a. $65,000 FINE
+
+____________________________________________________________________________________________________________
+
+I'm going to stop at 'H' because I'm tired of writing. Hopefully, you all understand the point so far. We're only 8 letters into the alphabet and have successfully buried Ken to his waist.
+
+The system that is used to mark the proper transaction type (sell, buy, short sell, short sell exempt, etc.) is obviously broken... There, I said it.. the system is INDUBITABLY, UNDOUBTEDLY, INEVITABLY F*CKED..
+
+Regardless of the cause- fraud or negligence- there are too many firms failing to accomplish a seemingly simple task. The consequences of which are creating far more shares than we can imagine. It's a gigantic domino effect. If you fail to properly mark 1,000,000 short shares and a year goes by without catching the problem, it's already too late. They're like the f*cking replicators from Stargate..
+
+In each of the examples listed above, the short interest on the stock was understated by the number of shares excluded... and that was just a handful..
+
+Knowing this, how can someone look at the evidence and say it's *trivial....?*
+
+No one really knows HOW systematic this issue is because it is so deeply incorporated in the market that it has BECOME the system itself. Therefore, there is obviously something much deeper going on, here.. How does one argue against the severity of these problems after reading this? There are FAR too many things that don't make sense and FAR too many people turning a blind eye..
+
+The only conclusion I keep coming back to is that the people with money know what's going on and are desperately trying to keep it under wraps..
+
+..So.... In an effort to prove this, I looked for violations that showed their desperation to protect this f*cked up system.
+
+..Buckle up..
+
+____________________________________________________________________________________________________________
+
+*HOUSE OF CARDS - PART 3 (I'm uploading it now; will link ASAP)*

01-Must-Read/House-of-Cards-by-atobitt/2021-05-26-House-of-Cards-Part-III.md

@@ -0,0 +1,140 @@
+House of Cards - Part 3
+=======================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/atobitt](https://www.reddit.com/user/atobitt/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nlwqyv/house_of_cards_part_3/) | 
+
+---
+
+[DD 👨‍🔬](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22DD%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%94%AC%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+*Prerequisite DD:*
+
+1.  [Citadel Has No Clothes](https://www.reddit.com/r/GME/comments/m4c0p4/citadel_has_no_clothes/)
+
+2.  [The EVERYTHING Short](https://www.reddit.com/r/GME/comments/mgucv2/the_everything_short/)
+
+3.  [The House of Cards -- Part 1](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mvk5dv/a_house_of_cards_part_1/)
+
+4.  [The House of Cards - Part 2](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nlwaxv/house_of_cards_part_2/)
+
+____________________________________________________________________________________________________________
+
+TL;DR- No freaking way I can do that.
+
+_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
+
+Continuing from HOC Part II...
+
+4. Slimy...
+
+If you watched the [AMA with Wes Christian](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2rJujnpKiqM), he talks about the number of occurrences where the actual short interest is severely understated based on the data his firm obtained for legal proceedings. According to his numbers, in most cases the short interest is 50% - 150% MORE than what is reported by the SEC *(starting at 14:30).*
+
+The objective isn't to address the issue: it's to keep the issue hidden. Firms that underreport their short interest are gaming the system by taking advantage of how the short interest calculation is done. When the SEC relies on reports that broker-dealers provide, and FINRA takes YEARS to reveal the lies within those reports, the broker-dealer can lie without immediately facing the consequences. It allows these firms to operate in a high-risk environment without exposing just HOW big their risk-appetite is.
+
+Another example that Wes mentioned was [Merrill Lynch](https://www.sec.gov/news/pressrelease/2016-128.html). Merrill was fined [$415,000,000](https://files.brokercheck.finra.org/firm/firm_16139.pdf) *(violation 3)* in 2016 for using securities held in their customer's accounts to cover their own trades. Check out this screenshot I took from that case:
+
+[![r/Superstonk - House of Cards - Part 3](https://preview.redd.it/v9625j8wek171.jpg?width=1115&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=85d43bc351fbda75e347bd33a1a550b67dda970e)](https://preview.redd.it/v9625j8wek171.jpg?width=1115&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=85d43bc351fbda75e347bd33a1a550b67dda970e)
+
+Remember when we mentioned [SEA 15c3-3](https://www.finra.org/sites/default/files/SEA.Rule_.15c3-3.pdf) in the case with Apex? They were asking customers to book short positions to either a cash account or a short margin account. [SEA 15c3-3](https://www.finra.org/sites/default/files/SEA.Rule_.15c3-3.pdf) protects those customers from allowing brokers to lend out the securities within their cash accounts...
+
+Well Merrill Lynch knocked that one right out of the f*cking park...
+
+[![r/Superstonk - House of Cards - Part 3](https://preview.redd.it/s3zok5wyek171.jpg?width=1129&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=815e5344912234ceba846dc0d45c8b8b488b82c4)](https://preview.redd.it/s3zok5wyek171.jpg?width=1129&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=815e5344912234ceba846dc0d45c8b8b488b82c4)
+
+Merrill made it seem like the required deposit in their customer reserve account was much lower than it truly was. They wouldn't have been able to use that cash if it reduced the amount below the minimum capital requirement, so they found a way to fudge the numbers. In doing so, they managed to prevent a CODE RED while reaping the benefits of a high-risk 'opportunity'. Should Merrill have filed bankruptcy during that time, those customers would have been completely blindsided.
+
+In the case of short selling, the *true* exposure of short interest is unknown... and I'm not just talking about the short sale indicator. When a firm fails to deliver securities that were sold short, there's a pretty good indication that they've exposed themselves to a bit of a problem.. Now imagine a case where the FTDs start piling up and they STILL continue to short sell that same security.. think I'm joking?
+
+Check out the [Royal Bank of Canada](https://files.brokercheck.finra.org/firm/firm_31194.pdf):
+
+[![r/Superstonk - House of Cards - Part 3](https://preview.redd.it/u6yl6tj2fk171.png?width=812&format=png&auto=webp&s=1e44cc507247db1e28c00a213f90054b9abdaa6a)](https://preview.redd.it/u6yl6tj2fk171.png?width=812&format=png&auto=webp&s=1e44cc507247db1e28c00a213f90054b9abdaa6a)
+
+Again... I was pretty shocked at that one. However, nothing rang-the-bell quite like this one from [Goldman Sachs](https://files.brokercheck.finra.org/firm/firm_361.pdf):
+
+[![r/Superstonk - House of Cards - Part 3](https://preview.redd.it/5f408er6fk171.png?width=1031&format=png&auto=webp&s=38b9ad83d2a07360af5b5cd99d834a8771b66c93)](https://preview.redd.it/5f408er6fk171.png?width=1031&format=png&auto=webp&s=38b9ad83d2a07360af5b5cd99d834a8771b66c93)
+
+Goldman had 68 occasions in 4 months where they didn't close a failure-to-deliver... In 45 occasions, they CONTINUED to accept customer short sale orders in securities which it had an active failure-to-deliver...
+
+When a firm is really starting to sweat, they pull certain tricks out of their ass to quell the situation. Again, this is nothing but smoke and mirrors because that's all they can really do. Just as Merrill Lynch artificially lowered their customer reserve deposit, other firms make it look like they cover their short positions.
+
+One of the ways they do this is by short selling a SH*T load of shares right before a buy-in... Since we're talking about Goldman Sachs, this seems like a great time to showcase their experience with this..
+
+[![r/Superstonk - House of Cards - Part 3](https://preview.redd.it/zhf1hr1afk171.png?width=1049&format=png&auto=webp&s=f704c3722ae287480057ce3e01c561a28b77cf4c)](https://preview.redd.it/zhf1hr1afk171.png?width=1049&format=png&auto=webp&s=f704c3722ae287480057ce3e01c561a28b77cf4c)
+
+I promise... It really is as dumb as it sounds...
+
+So the perception here is when Goldman's client has a FTD and they find out a buy-in is coming, the required buy-in would obviously be too extreme for the client to handle.. So they begin to buy those shares while simultaneously shorting AT LEAST the same amount they were required to purchase...
+
+Have you ever failed to repay a loan so you went to another bank and got a loan to cover the first one? Well that's exactly what this is... I know what you're probably thinking... "didn't that just kick the can down the road?". The answer is YES: it didn't actually solve anything..
+
+There's still one more citation that Goldman received which truly represents the pinnacle of *no-sh*ts-given.* After I cover this, I don't know how anyone could argue the systematic risks that exist within the securities lending business.. Check it out:
+
+[![r/Superstonk - House of Cards - Part 3](https://preview.redd.it/0md200bdfk171.png?width=940&format=png&auto=webp&s=cf5e8310fbcbd73699e3593b2ab5dab418055ab0)](https://preview.redd.it/0md200bdfk171.png?width=940&format=png&auto=webp&s=cf5e8310fbcbd73699e3593b2ab5dab418055ab0)
+
+For 5 years, Goldman relied on a team of 10-12 individuals to locate shares to be used by its clients for short selling. This group was known as the "demand team". Naturally, as the number of requests coming in the door started to increase, it became difficult for the team to properly document all of them. The volume peaked at 20,000 requests PER DAY, but the number of individuals that handled this job stayed the same.
+
+Obviously, this became too much for them to handle so they opted out of the manual process and found another solution- the F3 key....
+
+Yes- the F3 key... This button activated an autofill system which completed 98% of Goldman's orders to locate shares
+
+[![r/Superstonk - House of Cards - Part 3](https://preview.redd.it/exqzge3gfk171.png?width=964&format=png&auto=webp&s=ed9c8b740974dad01db69460332c56df81a8d768)](https://preview.redd.it/exqzge3gfk171.png?width=964&format=png&auto=webp&s=ed9c8b740974dad01db69460332c56df81a8d768)
+
+The problem with Goldman's autofill system was that it used the number of shares available to borrow at the beginning of that day, which had already been accounted for. After using the auto-locate feature, the demand team didn't even verify the accuracy of the autofill feature or document which method was used to locate the shares for each order... and this happened for 5 years..
+
+Just goes to show how dedicated firms like Goldman Sachs truly are to the smallest of details, you know? Great f*cking work, guys.
+
+By the way, I have to show one of Goldman's short sale indicator violations... It's too good to pass up.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - House of Cards - Part 3](https://preview.redd.it/5iuhlkcjfk171.png?width=1082&format=png&auto=webp&s=f4e2fa1f106e78b9d282b60c3cee9944e919ea82)](https://preview.redd.it/5iuhlkcjfk171.png?width=1082&format=png&auto=webp&s=f4e2fa1f106e78b9d282b60c3cee9944e919ea82)
+
+At some point, you just have to laugh at these ass clowns... I mean seriously... one violation for a 4 year period involving over 380,000,000 short interest positions... they have plenty of other short interest violations, I just laughed at how the magnitude of this one was summarized by FINRA with 10 lines and roughly 4 minutes... whoever wrote that one must have been late for lunch..
+
+The last thing I'd like to note here is the way in which short sellers use options to "cover" their positions. Wes gave a great overview of this in the AMA *(starting at 6:25)*. Basically, one group will buy puts and another group buys calls. This creates a synthetic share that is only provided if the option is activated. Regardless, short sellers will use that synthetic share to cover their short position and the regulators actually accept it...
+
+However, as Wes points out, most of those options expire without being activated which means the share is never delivered. This expiration can be set months down the road and allows the short seller to keep kicking the can.
+
+I doubt I need to say this, but we all remember the wild options activity that was happening shortly after GameStop spiked in January. [u/HeyItsPixel](https://www.reddit.com/u/HeyItsPixel/) was one of the first to point this out. While a lot of that activity was on the retail front, I suspect a lot of it was done by short sellers to cover those positions.
+
+____________________________________________________________________________________________________________
+
+5. Hedgies are f*cked...
+
+I'm officially +20 pages deep and there's still so much I'd like to say. It's best saved for another time and another post, I suppose. So I guess I'll wrap all of this up with some of the best news I can possibly provide...
+
+It all started with a [73 page PDF](https://www.sec.gov/comments/s7-08-08/s70808-318.pdf) that was published in 2005 by a silverback named John D. Finnerty.
+
+John was a Professor of Finance at Fordham University when he published *"short selling, death spiral convertibles, and the profitability of stock manipulation"*. The document is loaded with sh*t that's incredibly relevant today, especially when it comes to naked short selling. He dives into the exact formula that short sellers use, which is far beyond what my wrinkled brain can interpret, alone...
+
+..However, when firms are naked shorting a company with the goal of bankrupting them, they leave footprints which are only explained by this event. The proof is in the pudding, so to speak..
+
+[![r/Superstonk - House of Cards - Part 3](https://preview.redd.it/ax7u0r4wfk171.jpg?width=1072&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=1828755bfe49c47ca178d960f91dfd21d8b0d680)](https://preview.redd.it/ax7u0r4wfk171.jpg?width=1072&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=1828755bfe49c47ca178d960f91dfd21d8b0d680)
+
+Any of this sound familiar??
+
+*"The manipulator can not drive the share price close to zero unless he can naked short an extraordinary number of shares...* *this form of manipulation would result in... unusually heavy trading volume, and unusually large and persistent fails to deliver at the NSCC".*
+
+Anyone else remember the volume in GME during the run-up in January? The total volume traded between 1/31/2021 and 2/5/2021 was 1,508,793,439 shares, or an average daily trade volume of 88,752,555 shares. On 1/22/2021, the volume reached 197,157,946... that's roughly 3x the number of shares that exist..
+
+if this doesn't sound like unusual volume then I'm not sure what is. Furthermore, the FTD report on GameStop was through the roof during this time:
+
+[![r/Superstonk - House of Cards - Part 3](https://preview.redd.it/brz98nbzfk171.jpg?width=1625&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=83ae877853acd2ec65fa73f57216f00b708a7eab)](https://preview.redd.it/brz98nbzfk171.jpg?width=1625&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=83ae877853acd2ec65fa73f57216f00b708a7eab)
+
+[![r/Superstonk - House of Cards - Part 3](https://preview.redd.it/zlla3ak0gk171.jpg?width=1038&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=c5d4a1331f8c9d97b5338cc55a37310a95c9559b)](https://preview.redd.it/zlla3ak0gk171.jpg?width=1038&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=c5d4a1331f8c9d97b5338cc55a37310a95c9559b)
+
+Notice the statement where the manipulator will be relieved of its obligation to cover IF the firm's shares are cancelled in bankruptcy? Did you happen to see footnotes 65 & 66 in the first screenshot of his PDF? It references a company that he used for his analysis...
+
+[![r/Superstonk - House of Cards - Part 3](https://preview.redd.it/zdp3at43gk171.jpg?width=997&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=8508c9d0c869544f0ccd3a15477abfd64d38897c)](https://preview.redd.it/zdp3at43gk171.jpg?width=997&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=8508c9d0c869544f0ccd3a15477abfd64d38897c)
+
+Charter Communications had a whopping 241.8% short float in 2005... The ONLY way the manipulator could have escaped this was by bankrupting the company and relieving the obligation to repurchase those shares...
+
+Guess what happened to Charter? They filed for [bankruptcy](https://abcnews.go.com/Business/story?id=7189668&page=1) in 2009...
+
+However, unlike John's example where naked short sellers were driving down the price without opposition, GameStop had extremely high demand from retail investors to counter this activity. As I have discussed with Dr. T and Carl Hagberg, the run-up in volume during January and February was largely conducted by naked short sellers in an attempt to suppress the share price. As I have shown in the example with Goldman Sachs, firms will short sell during a buy-in for the same exact reason. To stabilize the price, you must stabilize supply and demand.
+
+...You know what Charter didn't have?
+
+AN ARMY OF APES TO HODL THE STONK
+
+DIAMOND. F*CKING. HANDS

01-Must-Read/House-of-Cards-by-atobitt/2021-05-27-House-of-Cards-Parts-I-II-and-III-PDF.md

@@ -1,9 +1,9 @@
 A House of Cards parts I, II, & III in PDF
 ==========================================
 
-| Author      | Source | 
-|  :----:     |    :----:   |        
-| [u/atobitt](https://www.reddit.com/user/atobitt/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nm83eb/a_house_of_cards_parts_i_ii_iii_in_pdf/) |
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/atobitt](https://www.reddit.com/user/atobitt/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nm83eb/a_house_of_cards_parts_i_ii_iii_in_pdf/) | 
 
 ---
 
@@ -12,3 +12,9 @@ A House of Cards parts I, II, & III in PDF
 <https://pdfhost.io/v/lRQ4HqpG0_House_of_Cards_Atobitt.pdf>
 
 BIIIIIIGGGG shoutout to [u/Softlykile2](https://www.reddit.com/u/Softlykile2/) for providing the link and [u/jupitair](https://www.reddit.com/u/jupitair/) for the post. Go forth and share across all of the interwebs. Let every boomer-ape absorb this information through a traditional & newspapery medium.
+
+---
+
+**Alternative PDF Location in case PDFHost is Down posted by [u/Meticulous-](https://www.reddit.com/user/Meticulous-/)**
+
+[House-of-Cards-by-atobitt.pdf](https://github.com/verymeticulous/wikAPEdia/files/6721578/House-of-Cards-by-atobitt.pdf)

01-Must-Read/MOASS-Preparation-Guide-by-socrates6210/2021-06-29-MOASS-Preparation-Guide-2.md

@@ -0,0 +1,238 @@
+The MOASS Preparation Guide 2.0
+===============================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/socrates6210](https://www.reddit.com/user/socrates6210/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/oakqvt/the_moass_preparation_guide_20/) | 
+
+---
+
+[DD 👨‍🔬](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22DD%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%94%AC%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+*******************************************************
+
+*I'm just gonna start off by saying that this is a sequel to* [*The MOASS Preparation Guide*](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mm5qle/the_moass_preparation_guide/)*, a post I wrote a few months ago. I felt it deserved an updated version considering so much that has happened recently, also i've learned a lot since then. This guide will be pretty in depth but don't worry, my view is that when you're explaining something, always imagine you're talking to a 5 year old (ELI5). So make yourself a cup of coffee, and grab a tasty crayola and enjoy.*
+
+*The subsequent sections are as follows:*
+
+-   *Pre-liftoff preparation*
+
+-   *D-Day*
+
+-   *During the MOASS*
+
+-   *Immediate Aftermath*
+
+-   *Long term aftermath*
+
+*******************************************************
+
+Please read though this as i believe it is important that we all have an understanding on the game plan 🚀
+
+Pre-liftoff Preparation
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The MOASS Preparation Guide 2.0](https://preview.redd.it/pskg3gxrka871.jpg?width=1280&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=09b3bccc95d16594bc2a8cf9e5307e08eaf11058)](https://preview.redd.it/pskg3gxrka871.jpg?width=1280&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=09b3bccc95d16594bc2a8cf9e5307e08eaf11058)
+
+-   Brokers preparation - I think everyone should take the time to understand the nuances and rules that the broker applies on trading. Some brokers may have some sneaky fine prints. So you should make sure that nothing can get in the way of you and your tendies.
+
+    -   Take note of the brokers that previous placed trade restrictions [here](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mowzjk/the_broker_preparation_guide/).
+
+    -   some brokers (Trading212 for example) have decided to restrict buying if you do not agree to their share lending program (*Do* *NOT* *agree to this.*)
+
+    -   If you have all your shares in one of these bad brokers and can't transfer, don't sweat it too much. JUST DO NOT SELL YOUR SHARES. The message was clear as crystal in January: if they prevent free trade like Robinhood did then that means they will lose customers and face litigation, so i *hope* for their sake that they have prepared for this.
+
+    -   It also wouldn't hurt to email your brokers customer service and ask them "*will you prevent me from selling if the price goes to X amount?*". Additionally, i would recommend keeping documentation, screenshots and recordings of your positions just incase f*ckery arises. It's good to create a paper trail just incase you need to bring them to court.
+
+-   Back up broker - If you can, open up an account as soon as possible on a reputable broker and buy at least 1 share. Don't aim to maximize gains but to minimize the regret of missing out just in case your broker decides to f*ck you. The rule of thumb is usually that commission based boomer brokers with horrible user interfaces are the most trustworthy. See the "good brokers" in the link above.
+
+-   Diversify Brokers - if you can, spread out your holdings across multiple brokers. Also take note of what clearing house they use. You don't want to be caught up in some f*ckery where both brokers wont let you sell because they share the same clearing house. A solution to this could be to transfer shares. Some brokers allow you to transfer shares to others, but small "shit" brokers like eToro for example, do not. If thats the case then hold tight and buy on a different broker, if you wanna buy more shares.
+
+    -   Here is a [list of some brokerages](https://investorjunkie.com/stock-brokers/broker-clearing-firms/) and the respective clearing houses they use.
+
+    -   Here is a list of [brokers who placed restrictions](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mowzjk/the_broker_preparation_guide/) in a follow up post i made.
+
+    -   Trading212 for example: they're becoming Robinhood 2.0 now as they decided [to place buy restrictions](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/oa7nq4/fud_alert_t212_simply_do_not_agree_to_terms_hold/) if you don't agree to their share lending program. Admittedly, I am a Trading212 customer. So this is why you should diversify brokers, you never know when they are going to pull some shady shit.
+
+    -   *side-note*: I would stay away from brokers that use Apex Clearing, they're shady as shit.
+
+-   Order Routing - Order routing is when an order to buy or sell a stock is sent from your broker to an exchange. There are two kinds of exchanges: *Lit pools and Dark pools.*
+
+    -   Dark pools do not display prices at which participants are willing to trade (ie; in the dark), whereas lit pools do show these various bids and offers in a stocks. It's been said that the naked shorting gang pay millions to brokers to have millions of orders routed through their own dark pools, to which they can perform shady business (skimming cents off the spread of every order, suppressing buying pressure etc).
+
+    -   This brings me to my point: If you are thinking about buying some shares, you should route it through IEX, which is an exchange that was made in order to mitigate the affects of high frequency trading. [Oh hey, look! Our friends at Citadel don't like IEX](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/oa7st6/citadel_really_doesnt_like_iex_if_you_have_the/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3).
+
+-   Cash account, not margin - if you haven't already, request your broker to change your account from a margin account to a cash account. This way your shares are entirely your own and aren't being lent out to short sellers. Note that you need to have no options or short positions active with your account before you do this. If you are reluctant to switching your account then make sure that you have no withstanding deficits in your account so you don't get margin called and your broker automatically closes positions without your consent. Yes, this has happened to people before.
+
+-   Online Security - If you have learned anything from all this it's that you should not trust anyone. Take the time to enable two-factor authentication on your bank/broker accounts. Also you should have a different password for each account, preferably 20+ characters with a mixture of alphanumeric characters and symbols.
+
+    -   Do not use public wifi to log into your broker account.
+
+    -   Use a VPN when possible.
+
+-   Taxes - It is crucial that you learn about your countries [capital gains taxes](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/capital_gains_tax.asp). I would go deeper into this, However different tax rates apply in different countries depending on how long you are holding the stock. To keep this general for all users i will say Just google "*what are the tax laws for stocks in <my country>?*". (If you're a smooth brain, dont worry. I have the solution for you in immediate aftermath section)
+
+-   Prepare a personal balance sheet - It may be a good idea to prepare a balance sheet. A balance sheet is a snapshot of net worth and lists all your assets, liabilities, cash etc. This will make your life (*and your accountants life*) easier when you need an accountant. If you need a better understanding of balance sheets see this [video here](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hhKO6MRvk_c).
+
+-   Mental preparation - This one isn't so obvious, but please prepare yourself for seeing life changing money in your possession. Have a long think what you are going to do with this money. And as a side note: try to not tell too people you're invested, the less people know the easier your life will be.
+
+D-Day
+
+0:04
+
+0:08
+
+-   Take care of your health - Firstly, on the day of lift off you will definitely feel overwhelmed with emotions and anxiety. You're probably going to feel a little dizzy seeing the price increase exponentially. Please sit down when you are checking the price. The last thing i want to hear is that a fellow ape fainted and cracked their head because of being overwhelmed with emotions. In my opinion, deep slow [diaphragmatic breathing](https://my.clevelandclinic.org/health/articles/9445-diaphragmatic-breathing) really helps to slow down your heart rate and reduce anxiety.
+
+-   Expect Trading Halts - There is a difference between trading suspension and trading halt. Securities exchanges have the power to temporarily [halt](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/tradinghalt.asp), in the middle of the trading day, or delay, at the beginning of the trading day, trading on a stock. halts and delays usually last less than one hour. As opposed to suspensions, which can last two weeks. Suspensions are enforced by the SEC
+
+    -   In the case of trading halt: The NYSE may stop trading if the price rises too quickly. This is usually done to prevent massive impulse waves and let people calm down for a few minutes. But this is futile in the setting of a short squeeze, because all shorts must cover regardless. You can also check when GME is halted [here](https://www.nyse.com/trade-halt-current). Do not freak out if the graph flatlines.
+
+    -   In the case of trading suspension: I believe that if the infinity pool happens, meaning shorts literally will not be able to cover the potentially billions of synthetic shares they have created, driving the price to literally infinity, that the SEC most likely implement a trading suspension. We won't know unless it happens. But, who knows? They might not. You can read about trading suspensions [here](https://www.sec.gov/oiea/investor-alerts-and-bulletins/ib_tradingsuspensions).
+
+-   BOTS, BOTS EVERYWHERE - This could go two ways: either the shorts don't have anymore money to pay shills or we will have a massive influx of bots/shills on here and <*other stonk subs*> trying to nudge people to sell. They will say something like "wow i sold my 3 shares for 30K" and try to create a narrative that below 100K is the peak. 100K is not the peak. don't listen to it. we set the price.
+
+-   Reddit might be down - during the rally from $40 to $90 in February Reddit inexplicably went offline. It happened a couple of other times before when the price rose considerably. This could be due to a DDOS attack or just too much traffic to the site. Either way, if Reddit does go down don't worry. We are all still here.
+
+    -   The only call to action would be to go to the [SuperStonk youtube](https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCI4EET9NJPWxUuXGlG6fxPA) channel, which the mods said they will do an emergency broadcast when things kick off. So go there for communication.
+
+    -   Backup places to check out would be the mods twitter pages
+
+        -   <https://twitter.com/rensole>
+
+        -   <https://twitter.com/RedChessQueen99>
+
+        -   <https://twitter.com/PinkCatsOnAcid>
+
+During the MOASS
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The MOASS Preparation Guide 2.0](https://preview.redd.it/54mzc28uka871.png?width=1890&format=png&auto=webp&s=e6554f4f0e276f93d84d22c6cd766167638bd9c1)](https://preview.redd.it/54mzc28uka871.png?width=1890&format=png&auto=webp&s=e6554f4f0e276f93d84d22c6cd766167638bd9c1)
+
+-   Diamond hands - This one i cannot stress enough, the mantra is clear: HOLD! If you sell early you creating downward pressure against the MOASS. If the short position is in the billions of shares (which has been theorized) then this shouldn't be too much of a problem, but regardless - KEEP THOSE HANDS DIAMOND! The squeeze could last a few days, week or indefinitely. At this point no one knows. Don't feel pressure to sell when it goes $100K+, if the DD is correct (and it has been so far) then we are not stopping add measly hundreds of thousands.
+
+    -   A forced buy-back differs from a Margin call, in which a margin call is just a notice to "*increase the amount of money in your account before we close your positions, because you won't be able pay us if this goes any higher*"
+
+    -   Prime brokers will implement forced buy-back of hedge funds to cover their short positions. This means they will go the open market and buy them for what ever someone is will to sell them for.
+
+    -   The stock price = the last price it sold for. If the only sells available were asking for 1 million, then that means the price will be 1 million. And since it's likely there aren't enough shares in existence to cover the amount of shorting that went on then theoretically this ape filled rocket could blast through the moon and land on Alpha centauri B.
+
+-   Whats an exit strategy? - This one isn't so obvious because the we don't know what the peak will be, but you should have an exit strategy: Plan out what you need on the day of selling, where do you need to be? think about that day and visualize it so you aren't overwhelmed with anxiety when it actually happens. As for selling: all i can say on this matter is do not sell on the way up as it's a bad idea. ([~~explained here that you should~~](https://www.reddit.com/r/GME/comments/m073v6/exit_strategy_dd_a_comprehensive_guide_to/)) Use [this exit strategy](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nogxnr/infinity_war_the_final_exit_dd_compilation/) instead by [u/gherkinit](https://www.reddit.com/u/gherkinit/):
+
+-   Understand the different types of orders - Limit Order, Market Order, Stop Limit Order and Stop Loss Order, explanations on the pro's and cons of each can also be found [here](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nogxnr/infinity_war_the_final_exit_dd_compilation/)
+
+    -   Some people have noted that certain brokers have limits on the amount you can place an order for online (in terms of dollar value). Just to be safe make sure you have phone credit and the number for your broker ready to contact them to execute an order if this applies to you.
+
+    -   Also, some brokers may not even limit orders (Revolut as far as i know). Don't sweat it, this is beyond your control. Just sell on the way down, or don't. I don't care this is not financial advice.
+
+-   Sit down when you decide to take gains - When the dust has settled and you decide to take gains, again, sit down and drink some water and breath.. because you may faint or possibly get sick from seeing that you have sold a single share for an ungodly amount.
+
+-   Don't publish your realised gains publicly - Obvious one, don't be that person who flaunts the gains online. You are going to cause a lot of fair-weather friends and family to crawl out of the woodwork trying to get their hands on your tendies. It may be tempting to rub it in the faces of the people who doubted you, but just don't. It's not worth it.
+
+-   T+2 settlement - When you sell a share, it actually doesn't get settled until 2 days after it's executed, meaning you don't actually have the money in your brokerage until 2 days later. Learn about the [settlement violations here](https://www.fidelity.com/learning-center/trading-investing/trading/avoiding-cash-trading-violations) before you start going off buying other stocks with your gains. This T+2 settlement also gives the SEC the power to reverse any transactions they seem fit due to violations. Not meant to be FUD, i just thought its useful to know. I doubt they will start reversing transactions during the MOASS, but if it does occur. Hold tight, again: we set the price.
+
+-   WHAT DO WITH MONEY? - It should be known that your regular current/checking account is only insured up to $250,000 if you're in the [US under the FDIC](https://www.fdic.gov/deposit/deposits/faq.html) and €100,000 if you are [in the European Union](https://ec.europa.eu/info/business-economy-euro/banking-and-finance/financial-supervision-and-risk-management/managing-risks-banks-and-financial-institutions/deposit-guarantee-schemes_en). So its not advised to dump all your money into your bank account straight away. I would wait for T+2 settlement to clear then invest in value stocks, so you're money isn't tied to your broker, should they have issues. This brings me to the next section...
+
+Immediate Aftermath
+
+0:00
+
+0:02
+
+-   Assemble a team of legal and financial advisers:
+
+    -   Lawyer up - Hire a [tax attorney](https://www.moneycrashers.com/when-to-hire-a-tax-attorney/) to deal with any problems that may arise from all of this. Hire a family law or estate planning attorney that can arrange a Will for your family immediately.
+
+        -   side note: do NOT sign anything, from your broker/bank/crayon dealer or anyone if you do not understand it. Make sure you have an attorney read anything you may or may not be asked to sign.
+
+    -   Get an accountant - Get certified public accountant who helps wealthy families organize their finances and guide you through your finances.
+
+    -   Hire a financial advisor - Make sure you hire a financial advisor that is sworn to act as a fiduciary (*acting in your best financial interests, not theirs*), preferably with experience managing significant wealth. Make sure you check their certifications and that they aren't trying to push you to buy some insurance policy. The requirements to be a FA aren't concrete so there are a lot of snake oil salesmen that really don't have your best interests at heart. Make sure how you ask how they profit from you being their client and make sure they aren't trying to make commissions. Also, look out for high fees. Minimum advisor fees based on AUM should not be over 1% unless they can justify it with amazing historical returns.
+
+-   Expect to vilified by MSM - In the case of a financial crisis, i can nearly guarantee that they will try to blame us rather than the hedgies and regulators who caused it. Pay no mind to mainstream media and stand your ground.
+
+    -   Expect people to say you just got lucky, expect them to speak as though we are ones who caused this. They will lie, twist and corrupt the truth. Expect your friend who paper-handed a few months back and still think's GameStop is dying brick-and-mortar resent you. You don't need to justify yourself. All of our research has been documented, archived and literally shouted from the rooftops for months. As Michael brrry would say "*I warned, but no one listened*".
+
+    -   They may also try and backtrack to a pro-GME narrative now that it's not financial in their interest to side with SHFs. Just remember: MSM is not your friend, these people are allows pushing the narrative that they are paid push. It's literally their business model.
+
+-   Do nothing with the money - this kind of piggy backs off the first point about assembling a team of advisors, but please don't just cash out and go crazy with the money. Sit and think about it for some time. Let reality settle in and decide how are you going to use this money to help yourself and the people around you. Lambos are great but they won't bring you happiness forever. Don't blow that money down the drain. Educate yourself on how wealthy people maintain their wealth.
+
+Longer Term aftermath
+
+-   Expect turbulence in the economy - this wont be just contained to the world of GME. This is going to have a ripple affect across the world economy as the powers-that-be, who have been taking advantage of the system loops holes, finally pay their debt. Here is some essentials you should check out (in order) if you haven't already, this is 2008 ~~all over again~~ continued:
+
+1.  [Inside Job (Full movie)](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T2IaJwkqgPk) - by [Charles Ferguson](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Charles_Ferguson_(filmmaker))
+
+2.  [The Bigger Short. How 2008 is repeating](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/o0scoy/the_bigger_short_how_2008_is_repeating_at_a_much/) - by [u/Criand](https://www.reddit.com/u/Criand/)
+
+3.  [A House of Cards](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nm83eb/a_house_of_cards_parts_i_ii_iii_in_pdf/) - by [u/atobitt](https://www.reddit.com/u/atobitt/)
+
+4.  [The EVERYTHING Short](https://www.reddit.com/r/GME/comments/mgucv2/the_everything_short/) - by [u/atobitt](https://www.reddit.com/u/atobitt/)
+
+High/hyper Inflation - We need to talk about [inflation](https://www.fdic.gov/deposit/deposits/faq.html). In v1.0 of this guide I mentioned a possibility of inflation, but as more news has come out it's pretty much a guarantee. Also, I didn't give much recommendations on what to do about it. So, i learned a bit about inflation so you don't have to:
+
+-   The What?
+
+    -   Since governments have moved away from the gold standard, countries have the power to create money out of thin air through [quantitative easing](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/q/quantitative-easing.asp).
+
+    -   Inflation is the annual percentage rise in the cost of living. Okay so what does that really mean? Here is smooth brain explanation: If you have $1 in 2020, and inflation rises 10% in 2021, you still have your $1 but you only have the buying power of $0.90 relative to last year. This is why holding onto cash is not good in a high inflationary economy.
+
+-   The How?
+
+    -   Everyone always says its from over-printing of money, but in reality this is just a symptom of a failing economy, and a byproduct of the citizens lack of confidence in the currency.
+
+    -   In order to counter these rise in prices, the FED (or central bank) will raise interest rates, essentially reducing the amount of money in circulation.
+
+    -   The chair of the Fed, JPOW himself, said interest rates won't be [raised until 2023](https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/16/fed-holds-rates-steady-but-raises-inflation-expectations-sharply-and-makes-no-mention-of-taper.html). However, fear is arising in the stock market as many speculate we have high inflation because the massive amount of "free money" initiatives to help the country get back on its feet, but it's just not being seen due to COVID-19.
+
+    -   I think it is also noteworthy to say there is a difference between high inflation and hyperinflation. Hyperinflation is a term to describe rapid, excessive, and out-of-control general price increases in an economy. While inflation is a measure of the pace of rising prices for goods and services, hyperinflation is rapidly rising inflation, typically measuring more than 50% per month.
+
+-   How to protect yourself?
+
+    -   Well firstly I'd like to note assets to avoid during high inflation:
+
+        -   [Fixed rate bonds](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/f/fixedrate-bond.asp)
+
+        -   [Growth stocks](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/g/growthstock.asp)
+
+        -   [Cash](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/cash.asp) (yes, that includes the money in your savings account)
+
+    -   The best investments during high inflation:
+
+        -   [Real estate/land](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/realestate.asp)
+
+        -   [Commodities](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/commodity.asp) (Gold, oil etc.)
+
+        -   [Boomer Value Stocks](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/v/valuestock.asp)
+
+-   How about crypt-0?
+
+    -   I can't name certain coins here because of auto-mod, but you know of the big ones I'm talking about.
+
+    -   It is assumed that anything with a limited supply will inevitably move with inflation. the loss in confidence people have in fiat currency is prevented with crypt-0-currency as it has an immutable finite supply.
+
+    -   However, you also need to bear in mind the *utility* of the asset. Just because something has a limited supply does not mean it's valuable (*The 2021 shit-coin craze being evidence of this*)
+
+    -   In a financial nuclear winter event, it may a case that some coins may become too expensive to mine due to rise in electricity prices, leading to a disinterest/disincentivization in holding the asset and thus reducing it's value.
+
+    -   Be careful if you decide to hedge with these assets as they are yet to be stress-tested during a financial crisis, some might succeed and many will fail.
+
+-   side-note: One silver lining i learned about inflation is that the burden of any debt you may have will be softened as the nominal value of the debt stays the same even as the value of the currency decreases. What does this mean? if you owe money, lets say a mortgage or student loan, it is easier to pay of that debt as it is assumed you wages will increase, while the number of dollars you owe stays the same. (*not that you will have a job after the MOASS anyway ( ͡° ͜ʖ ͡°)* )
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The MOASS Preparation Guide 2.0](https://preview.redd.it/4xpmi7xxka871.jpg?width=1908&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=1b1e4adfcd66be4d4003cbee35d6d0796c96badf)](https://preview.redd.it/4xpmi7xxka871.jpg?width=1908&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=1b1e4adfcd66be4d4003cbee35d6d0796c96badf)
+
+Taken during the 2011 Ocupy Wallstreet March (At National i
+
+*If there is anything else you think should be in here let me know in the comments. This is just my opinion and not financial advice. I am just an ape who eats crayons for fun. This will probably be my last DD before valhalla (financially speaking), I'll finish by leaving you with this image (above ^). Remember what happened in 2008 and don't show any mercy. HOLD.*
+
+- Socrates ( ͡° ͜ʖ ͡°)
+
+🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀
+
+TLDR: no tldr you lazy ape, go read it. Its important
+
+_____________________________________________
+
+- edits 1: Diamond hands section typo : "***aren't* *enough shares", not "are enough shares"*
+
+*- edits 2: removed WardenElites exit strategy, added the gherkinit's exit strategy*
+
+*- edits 3: added mods twitters in Reddit going down section*

01-Must-Read/The-Naked-Shorting-Scam-by-broccaaa/2021-06-16-Naked-Shorting-Scam-in-Numbers-Part-II.md

@@ -0,0 +1,194 @@
+The naked shorting scam in numbers part deux: Up to date FTD, ETF, SI, Options & Dark Pool Data. GME is the shorted to shit unicorn that can never happen again.
+================================================================================================================================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/broccaaa](https://www.reddit.com/user/broccaaa/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/o14ccz/the_naked_shorting_scam_in_numbers_part_deux_up/) | 
+
+---
+
+[DD 👨‍🔬](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22DD%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%94%AC%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+Introduction
+
+Since my last major post a lot's happened with our favourite stonk. Top DD apes like [u/criand](https://www.reddit.com/u/criand/) and [u/HomeDepotHank69](https://www.reddit.com/u/HomeDepotHank69/) have dug into how the FTD cycle impacts price down the road. [u/RocketApes](https://www.reddit.com/u/RocketApes/) managed to build a model to predict GME price movements. And we saw another big price movement up to the edge of $350.
+
+The purpose of this post is to update a lot of the figures I've shared previously while adding a few more observations. I'll give brief descriptions of what each figure is showing but I'll not go into deep speculation here. Instead I'll possibly work on a follow up theory post in the coming days but already make all the data in this post available to the community.
+
+My previous posts went into a lot more speculation and can be referenced if you're interested in going deeper in a particular area:
+
+1.  [The naked shorting scam revealed: lending of market maker privileges, the married put trade and why inflicting max pain will bleed them dry](https://www.reddit.com/r/GME/comments/mgj0j1/the_naked_shorting_scam_revealed_lending_of/)
+
+2.  [The naked shorting scam update: selling nude like its 2021](https://www.reddit.com/r/GME/comments/mh6lnz/the_naked_shorting_scam_update_selling_nude_like/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3)
+
+3.  [The naked shorting scam in numbers: AI detection of 140M hidden FTDs, up to 400M naked shorts in married puts and massive dark pool activity by Shitadel and the shorts](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mvdgf5/the_naked_shorting_scam_in_numbers_ai_detection/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3)
+
+4.  [The naked shorting scam using ETFs: mass shifting of FTDs from GME to 20+ ETFs & 27+ billion dollars still owed in remaining SI](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/n1vgbb/the_naked_shorting_scam_using_etfs_mass_shifting/)
+
+5.  [All New 13F filings: data visualised for all major fund position changes and the new short players in GME](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nev6po/all_new_13f_filings_data_visualised_for_all_major/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3)
+
+6.  [Analysis deep dive: looking at historical SI% + FTD data and modelling share borrow fees since Jan](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mma7eh/analysis_deep_dive_looking_at_historical_si_ftd/)
+
+Now to get into the data and see what the fuck has been going on with reported stonk numbers in the last weeks.
+
+*Note: this is not financial advice. I am not a cat. I gathered some data, made some figures and tried to understand them. Any number of my interpretations could be flawed and wrong. Do your own research, make your own mind up.*
+
+Understanding the Cycle: Fails to deliver (FTDs) in GME and linked ETFs
+
+A lot of great posts in recent weeks have looked at T-21, T-35 and more recently net capital requirement cycles. Other apes have pointed out that price often moves upward just before short interest (SI) reporting cycles to manipulate down their numbers.
+
+Although elements to all these theories are now close to proven there remain some outstanding questions. Why are the cycles apparently so clean without many overlapping cycles? What is the exact trigger for the shorts' FTD countdowns?
+
+I don't have the answer to these but I'll put out a bunch of data that might help the other wrinkly apes improve their theories. In later sections I also try to understand what is linking the different 'meme' stock price movements in 2021.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The naked shorting scam in numbers part deux: Up to date FTD, ETF, SI, Options & Dark Pool Data. GME is the shorted to shit unicorn that can never happen again.](https://preview.redd.it/vd301zksol571.png?width=4500&format=png&auto=webp&s=fc0e1e050248189449d35e7cb5f498a39bb694d3)](https://preview.redd.it/vd301zksol571.png?width=4500&format=png&auto=webp&s=fc0e1e050248189449d35e7cb5f498a39bb694d3)
+
+Total FTDs for GME and selected ETFs in 2021 with GME close price overlaid.
+
+Fails in GME dropped off after the January mini-squeeze but were transferred over to GME containing ETFs from February onwards. IWM and XRT are the most popular ETFs to naked short and fail on. In mid-May IWM, the *iShares Russell 2000 ETF*, had a massive 4 million share spike in FTDs. GME price began to rise steadily shortly after.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The naked shorting scam in numbers part deux: Up to date FTD, ETF, SI, Options & Dark Pool Data. GME is the shorted to shit unicorn that can never happen again.](https://preview.redd.it/12jl7hzuol571.png?width=4500&format=png&auto=webp&s=d2cde3c0a6237ea464cb419c6664b5b9fba393ce)](https://preview.redd.it/12jl7hzuol571.png?width=4500&format=png&auto=webp&s=d2cde3c0a6237ea464cb419c6664b5b9fba393ce)
+
+Total FTDs for GME and all ETFs combined in 2021 with GME close price overlaid.
+
+Although I only selected the top 19 GME containing ETFs for most of the analyses (first figure), when I grouped all GME containing ETFs together (more than 70 of them) we see that the pattern of FTDs in 2021 is very similar. This means that the selected 19 ETFs contain almost all of the interesting FTD info.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The naked shorting scam in numbers part deux: Up to date FTD, ETF, SI, Options & Dark Pool Data. GME is the shorted to shit unicorn that can never happen again.](https://preview.redd.it/wb6gjdhzll571.png?width=4500&format=png&auto=webp&s=cdf92de9dbaebbd1542211b936f8ade353235cc9)](https://preview.redd.it/wb6gjdhzll571.png?width=4500&format=png&auto=webp&s=cdf92de9dbaebbd1542211b936f8ade353235cc9)
+
+Total FTDs for GME and selected ETFs in since Jan 2020 with GME close price overlaid.
+
+Looking back on GME and ETF FTDs since Jan 2020 we see that the recent large spike in IWM FTDs is actually relatively small compared to some of the FTD spikes seen in 2020. On 3 separate occasions in 2020 IWM FTDs spiked to over 8 million shares.
+
+The link between GME and other 'meme' stocks
+
+So it's clear to anyone that's been watching GME and the 'movie stock' for a while that they move together in a way that would not make sense in a free market.
+
+Here's a figure I put together covering up to the end of May 2021. Clear correlation and fuckery between these 3 stocks.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The naked shorting scam in numbers part deux: Up to date FTD, ETF, SI, Options & Dark Pool Data. GME is the shorted to shit unicorn that can never happen again.](https://preview.redd.it/0oeky4jf5m571.jpg?width=2414&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=3fb2229a8e39b33b8e9cd7475ab6c2febb67b7c7)](https://preview.redd.it/0oeky4jf5m571.jpg?width=2414&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=3fb2229a8e39b33b8e9cd7475ab6c2febb67b7c7)
+
+2021 price movements for GME and 2 other well known 'meme' stocks
+
+Since I made this figure the movie stock has diverged from the GME trend. But why? Here are some figures to compare and some basic speculation.
+
+Value of fails for meme stocks: GME, movie and headphone stocks
+
+These plots take a look at total fail values for meme stocks and associated ETFs. It's important to plot these in fail value rather than total failed shares because each stock has a different free float and share price.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The naked shorting scam in numbers part deux: Up to date FTD, ETF, SI, Options & Dark Pool Data. GME is the shorted to shit unicorn that can never happen again.](https://preview.redd.it/jf8ckih0pl571.png?width=4500&format=png&auto=webp&s=18d9d3ad79f57ed2b9e9c91523f37a255abee1d1)](https://preview.redd.it/jf8ckih0pl571.png?width=4500&format=png&auto=webp&s=18d9d3ad79f57ed2b9e9c91523f37a255abee1d1)
+
+Total Value of FTD fails for GME and selected ETFs in 2021 with GME close price overlaid.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The naked shorting scam in numbers part deux: Up to date FTD, ETF, SI, Options & Dark Pool Data. GME is the shorted to shit unicorn that can never happen again.](https://preview.redd.it/36ip4ow4pl571.png?width=4500&format=png&auto=webp&s=c64a8b6b2019578e71414cddd1c7cb0e722b2dff)](https://preview.redd.it/36ip4ow4pl571.png?width=4500&format=png&auto=webp&s=c64a8b6b2019578e71414cddd1c7cb0e722b2dff)
+
+Total Value of FTD fails for movie-stock and selected ETFs in 2021 with close price overlaid.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The naked shorting scam in numbers part deux: Up to date FTD, ETF, SI, Options & Dark Pool Data. GME is the shorted to shit unicorn that can never happen again.](https://preview.redd.it/lkyluj83pl571.png?width=4500&format=png&auto=webp&s=966ade7d1862e23bfe7c7f65c95a40de19812295)](https://preview.redd.it/lkyluj83pl571.png?width=4500&format=png&auto=webp&s=966ade7d1862e23bfe7c7f65c95a40de19812295)
+
+Total Value of FTD fails for headphone-stock and selected ETFs in 2021 with close price overlaid.
+
+What do we notice? Well the value of fails for movie-stock and headphone-stock has always been relatively small with just a single day in January with large $100+ million dollar for each of these. GME has larger fail values in Jan across multiple days but has then dropped off in following months.
+
+GME also has large fails across a bunch of ETFs but with most of the fail values occurring in IWM. *The movie-stock and headphone-stock only have fails for IWM*.
+
+What links these different meme-stocks is their inclusion in the same *iShares Russell 2000 ETF - IWM.* IWM has been shorted to shit since Covid came around. It must've seemed like an obvious choice to short a bunch of vulnerable companies all at the same time. Fails are massive for IWM with up to 5-10% of total ETF shares failing on certain days in the last year.
+
+Reported Short Interest for meme stocks: GME, movie and headphone stocks
+
+Now we've looked at FTDs in these meme stocks let's take a look at reported short interest. This number is prone to manipulation and is reported by the very people that benefit from manipulating the number down. That being said let's see how the 'official' numbers compare.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The naked shorting scam in numbers part deux: Up to date FTD, ETF, SI, Options & Dark Pool Data. GME is the shorted to shit unicorn that can never happen again.](https://preview.redd.it/pcnirq7lpl571.png?width=4500&format=png&auto=webp&s=fe4db101d80512e6893f3556bf013cbaea7581bb)](https://preview.redd.it/pcnirq7lpl571.png?width=4500&format=png&auto=webp&s=fe4db101d80512e6893f3556bf013cbaea7581bb)
+
+Total value of reported SI for GME and selected ETFs.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The naked shorting scam in numbers part deux: Up to date FTD, ETF, SI, Options & Dark Pool Data. GME is the shorted to shit unicorn that can never happen again.](https://preview.redd.it/ww7elprnql571.png?width=4500&format=png&auto=webp&s=8f655b223c2d571cf593e298c7819b1d40780daf)](https://preview.redd.it/ww7elprnql571.png?width=4500&format=png&auto=webp&s=8f655b223c2d571cf593e298c7819b1d40780daf)
+
+Total value of reported SI for movie-stock and selected ETFs.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The naked shorting scam in numbers part deux: Up to date FTD, ETF, SI, Options & Dark Pool Data. GME is the shorted to shit unicorn that can never happen again.](https://preview.redd.it/a7w7eufpql571.png?width=4500&format=png&auto=webp&s=bb7e5662c999646ea6ac02d539ebf6de29a6b9c6)](https://preview.redd.it/a7w7eufpql571.png?width=4500&format=png&auto=webp&s=bb7e5662c999646ea6ac02d539ebf6de29a6b9c6)
+
+Total value of reported SI for headphone-stock and selected ETFs.
+
+Movie-stock SI value owed is almost exclusively coming from IWM. Since the recent run up the reported SI for the movie-stock has also increased to a similar value owed for current GME reported SI value.
+
+For the headphone-stock the vast amount of reported SI value is coming from the IWM and XOP ETFs.
+
+The value of GME reported OI is also dominated by the huge open short position in IWM but also with relatively large short positions in XRT and VTI.
+
+So the IWM open short position is insane. Current value owed by reported IWM shorts is $30 billion when total IWM net assets are just $68 billion. That's 44% of all assets in the ETF that have been short sold with a borrow. This doesn't even include the huge number of FTDs and naked short selling for IWM in the last year.
+
+Open Options Interest for meme stocks: GME and movie stocks
+
+One of the weirdest things that happened after the end of Jan mini-squeeze is that open put interest in GME spiked to some pretty insane levels. [I previously suggested that this could be due to options fuckery to hide short positions](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mvdgf5/the_naked_shorting_scam_in_numbers_ai_detection/).
+
+At the end of Jan 1.5 million new put contracts were opened in just a couple of days. These contracts cover 150 million shares. Most were in junk strike prices (e.g. $0.50) that were never likely to be reached again. Recently other DD apes like [u/Leenixus](https://www.reddit.com/user/Leenixus/) have [reported finding more weird put option activity](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nxgcu5/i_taut_i_taw_a_married_put_i_did_i_did_see/).
+
+Here I'll compare open option interest for GME and the movie-stock. Headphone-stock does not have options as far as I can tell. Data was obtained from [marketchameleon.com](https://marketchameleon.com/) .
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The naked shorting scam in numbers part deux: Up to date FTD, ETF, SI, Options & Dark Pool Data. GME is the shorted to shit unicorn that can never happen again.](https://preview.redd.it/za8mj3bexl571.png?width=4032&format=png&auto=webp&s=3d0dd92c078bf8fba10cb2c4e542788a7d098610)](https://preview.redd.it/za8mj3bexl571.png?width=4032&format=png&auto=webp&s=3d0dd92c078bf8fba10cb2c4e542788a7d098610)
+
+Total open interest for puts & calls for GME since Jan 2020.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The naked shorting scam in numbers part deux: Up to date FTD, ETF, SI, Options & Dark Pool Data. GME is the shorted to shit unicorn that can never happen again.](https://preview.redd.it/ozvo22ffxl571.png?width=4032&format=png&auto=webp&s=aea9d6aa5a6fcb77a45467dc49add853196c7e8e)](https://preview.redd.it/ozvo22ffxl571.png?width=4032&format=png&auto=webp&s=aea9d6aa5a6fcb77a45467dc49add853196c7e8e)
+
+Total open interest for puts & calls for GME since Jan 2020.
+
+So a massive spike in GME open put interest in January that disconnected from all previous levels. A large number of puts expired in April and 410k more will expire on July 16th. Despite prices dropping down to $40 in Feb and many options expiry dates coming and going, open put interest for GME still sits at around 1 million contracts. For GME only approx. 300k put contracts were reported in 13Fs despite 1.5 million being held. *Who holds the puts? Family offices?? Shells??*
+
+For the movie-stock the picture is quite different. Puts and call open interest never really diverged. The recent major run up has increased the number of open put contracts but it's still in line with the number of calls. Even at this high of 2 million open contracts it is important to remember that the movie-stock free float is approx. 10-times larger than for GME. So even with this recent bump in open interest, options fuckery is much less obvious and even if it were occurring the magnitude is 10% or less than what we've seen in GME.
+
+Meme Stock Summary
+
+Many of the weird indicators for GME do not show up as clearly in other meme-stocks. The most obvious similarity between them is that all 3 of the main meme stocks are part of the IWM ETF which has been shorted to shit this last year. GME is about to move out of the IWM Russell 2000 ETF and this could explode the shorts FTD juggling.
+
+Why is the movie-stock moving more than GME recently? I don't really know. My guess would be that it's got extra hype at the moment but the naked short indicators are just not there. They never have been. In 2020 the max movie-stock reported SI was about 20% while GME was at the reporting limit of 140% for months. Why would they manipulate movie-stock reporting when they were so careless to report GME SI% of 140%??
+
+In terms of options fuckery I just don't see it as clearly for movie-stock as for GME. There is nothing particularly out of the ordinary in the open interest. I've also not seen anyone identify deep ITM calls or married puts for the movie-stock when it's been so easy for GME and found independently over many different dates.
+
+I wish the movie-stock apes all the best but worry that they might just be riding the hype. For GME on the other hand I believe that the hole has been getting deeper and deeper since the known minimum SI% of 140% reported in Jan before the major fuckery even began.
+
+Dark Pool Trading in 'Squeeze Stocks'
+
+In the past I reported some weird behaviour in OTC trading in GME. I took anther look and extended the analysis to 73 stocks that appear to have squeezed in 2021. This list of stocks was taken from the work of [u/BurnieSlander](https://www.reddit.com/user/BurnieSlander/) and [his post on squeeze stocks](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nzajpv/the_matrix_is_everywhere_a_quant_dd/).
+
+I selected 73 stocks that have sustained a 200% growth since Jan. I then compared how these stocks have been trading compared to 9600 other stocks that trade OTC.
+
+*Important note: Each stock has a different number of shares outstanding and share price. To compare these stocks I first normalised each of them by subtracting their mean value for the window and dividing by the standard deviation.*
+
+The following plots show relative differences in OTC trading based on each shares' normalised values.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The naked shorting scam in numbers part deux: Up to date FTD, ETF, SI, Options & Dark Pool Data. GME is the shorted to shit unicorn that can never happen again.](https://preview.redd.it/4ilrlxa7ul571.png?width=4500&format=png&auto=webp&s=ed29834cb0cbe1ad488e59e687438ef10df52d02)](https://preview.redd.it/4ilrlxa7ul571.png?width=4500&format=png&auto=webp&s=ed29834cb0cbe1ad488e59e687438ef10df52d02)
+
+Normalised OCT trading volumes for 'Squeeze' stocks and other typical stocks.
+
+Through January and early Feb the squeeze stocks saw a spike in OTC trading volume on average compared to a typical stock. The total shares traded OTC were not substantially different to other stocks before or after the January period.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The naked shorting scam in numbers part deux: Up to date FTD, ETF, SI, Options & Dark Pool Data. GME is the shorted to shit unicorn that can never happen again.](https://preview.redd.it/g5emeccotl571.png?width=4500&format=png&auto=webp&s=76d9229b8cdfffef0e2286f523c19e3998dc74a5)](https://preview.redd.it/g5emeccotl571.png?width=4500&format=png&auto=webp&s=76d9229b8cdfffef0e2286f523c19e3998dc74a5)
+
+Normalised OCT trading volumes for 'Squeeze' stocks and other typical stocks.
+
+When we look at average shares per trade the picture is different. Note that because the data is normalised we are just looking at the relative changes over time for the squeeze stock and typical stock groups.
+
+Typical stocks have not seen any major change in the average OTC trade size. The value is flat over time. For the squeeze stocks we see a dramatic shift. Particularly from January onwards, the number of shares per trade seen OTC dropped dramatically. This means smaller and smaller batches are traded OTC compared to their historical norm.
+
+Some of this could be because of retail taking part in more trades and PFOF issues but I can't believe that retail is driving this consistently across 73 different stocks. Why would order size OTC drop in recent months? Could it be wash sales or 'short ladder attacks' to manipulate prices? Wrinkle apes needed for this!
+
+TLDR; / Conclusion
+
+Go take a look at the figures! I tried to explain as clearly as I could. The best way to understand is to look at the figures yourself. That being said here are some highlights:
+
+-   Huge FTDs and SI% in the IWM ETF appear to link GME and other meme stonks
+
+-   A recent spike in IWM FTDs may have helped to drive the recent run up in meme-stocks
+
+-   IWM is the iShares Russell 2000 ETF. GME will move out of this soon. How will the shorts adapt their FTD juggling? Will it even be possible for them??
+
+-   GME continues to have huge open put interest and observed options fuckery. Many more puts expiring on July 16.
+
+-   Movie stock does not have any obvious options fuckery as far as I can see. If it's there then the scale is probably no more than 10% compared to GME.
+
+-   OTC data is weird and consistent across more than 70 different stocks that have maintained 200%+ gains since January. Why are average OTC trade sizes so small for these 70 stocks? Could this be wash sales to manipulate prices down? Something else??
+
+I've been zen with GME for months now and full YOLO. I wanted to get a 200+ million vote count announced but what we got changes nothing. Evidence of mass fuckery with GME for months. Price movements that make the fuckery undeniable. Huge GME fails and SI hidden in options and ETFs that will eventually unravel. A great team of execs now at Gamestop leading the turn around. In short, I like the stock.
+
+🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀

02-Resources/2021-07-01-Resources.md

@@ -0,0 +1,75 @@
+# Resources
+
+| Name | Description |
+| :---: | :---: |
+| [GameStop Newsroom](https://gamestop.gcs-web.com/news-releases-0) | Stay up to date with GameStop's latest strategic initiatives. |
+| [GameStop Investor Relations](https://gamestop.gcs-web.com/home) | Source for GameStop's financial news. |
+| [GME DD](https://gmedd.com/) | Resource that aggregates a compilation of GME due diligence. |
+| [GME Timeline](https://gmetimeline.com/) | Comprehensive timeline of GME-related events. |
+| [GME Technical Analysis](https://www.investing.com/equities/gamestop-corp-technical) | Tracks technical analysis, news, and other insights for a particular stock. |
+| [IBorrowDesk](https://iborrowdesk.com/report/GME) | Monitors borrow rates and availability using Interactive Broker's freely available data. |
+| [Stonk-O-Tracker](https://gme.crazyawesomecompany.com/) | Tracks available shares to borrow, options data, FTDs, and more. |
+| [Where are the Shares?](https://wherearetheshares.com/) | Tool that monitors FTDs. |
+| [SEC - Fails-to-Deliver Data](https://www.sec.gov/data/foiadocsfailsdatahtm) | Website that provides FTD data. |
+| [GME ETFs](https://www.etf.com/stock/GME) | Tracks how many ETFs hold GME. |
+| [ETF Channel](https://www.etfchannel.com/symbol/gme/) | Website that shows ETF holdings of a particular stock. |
+| [NASDAQ Short Interest](https://www.nasdaqtrader.com/Trader.aspx?id=ShortInterest#) | Provides short interest data for mid-month and end of month settlement dates for a particular stock. |
+| [Ortex - Short Interest](https://www.ortex.com/symbol/NYSE/GME/short_interest) | Dashboard that show short interest data. |
+| [NASDAQ - Real Time Trades](https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/stocks/gme/latest-real-time-trades) | Tool to monitor real time trades. |
+| [S&P 500 Heatmap](https://finviz.com/map.ashx) | Website that allows you to observe when Hedge Funds are liquidating in which sector(s). |
+| [Holdings Channel](https://www.holdingschannel.com/bystock/?symbol=gme) | Displays a list of funds holding GME. |
+| [Fintel - GME Institutional Ownership](https://fintel.io/so/us/gme) | Dashboard that shown ownership data, short interest %, and other reports. |
+| [FINRA - Morningstar](http://finra-markets.morningstar.com/MarketData/EquityOptions/detail.jsp?query=14%3A0P000002CH&sdkVersion=2.60.0) | Tracks equity and options data along with other information. |
+| [Yahoo - GME Historical Data](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GME/history?p=GME) | Shows a running history of GME previous open and closing prices, volume, etc. |
+| [Superstonk Quants](https://www.superstonkquant.org/) | Open-source resource that aims to provide quantitative analysis on the market. |
+| [Gamestonk Terminal](https://www.reddit.com/r/DDintoGME/comments/mxl0co/move_over_bloomberg_terminal_here_comes_gamestonk/) | Bloomberg-like Terminal created by [u/SexyYear](https://www.reddit.com/u/SexyYear/) |
+| [Stockgrid - Dark Pool Data](https://www.stockgrid.io/darkpools) | Dashboard that shows dark pool data. |
+| [NASDAQ - Reg SHO Threshold List](https://www.nasdaqtrader.com/Trader.aspx?id=RegSHOThreshold) | List that displays securities that are currently on threshold. |
+| [Repo and Reverse Repo Operations](https://apps.newyorkfed.org/markets/autorates/tomo-results-display?SHOWMORE=TRUE&startDate=01/01/2000&enddate=01/01/2000) | Tracks ON-RRP and participants daily. |
+| [Buffet Indicator](https://currentmarketvaluation.com/models/buffett-indicator.php) | Resource that depicts when the market is overvalued or undervalued. |
+| [Advisor Perspectives](https://www.advisorperspectives.com/dshort/updates/2021/06/04/the-s-p-500-dow-and-nasdaq-since-their-2000-highs) | Shows inflation-adjusted charts of the S&P 500, Dow 30, and Nasdaq. |
+| [DTCC - SEC Rule Filings](https://www.dtcc.com/legal/sec-rule-filings) | Lists rule filings from major institutions. |
+| [US Senate Stock Watcher](https://senatestockwatcher.com/) | Website created by [u/rambat1994](https://www.reddit.com/u/rambat1994/) that tracks stock trades of US Senate Members. |
+| [US House of Representatives Stock Watcher](https://housestockwatcher.com/) | Website created by [u/rambat1994](https://www.reddit.com/u/rambat1994/) that tracks stock trades of US House of Representatives. |
+| [Investor.gov - Researching Investments](https://www.investor.gov/introduction-investing/getting-started/researching-investments) | Website that you walks you through how to do your due diligence. |
+| [Tax My Tendies](https://taxmytendies.com/) | Tools that helps you calculate how much you'll owe in taxes post-MOASS. (US only). |
+
+*Table inspired by [u/Truffluscious](https://www.reddit.com/user/Truffluscious/)*
+
+# GameStop 
+| Show support at | 
+| :-: |
+| [Gamestop.com](https://www.gamestop.com/) | 
+| [Become a PowerUp Rewards Member](https://www.gamestop.com/poweruprewards/) | 
+| [... Which gets you a subscription to Game Informer Magazine](https://www.gameinformer.com/) | 
+| [Follow Gamestop on Twitter](https://twitter.com/GameStop) | 
+| [Subscribe to Gamestop's YouTube Channel](https://www.youtube.com/user/gamestopvideo) | 
+| [Follow Gamestop on Twitch](https://www.twitch.tv/gamestop) | 
+| [Follow Gamestop on Instagram](https://www.instagram.com/gamestop/?hl=en) | 
+| [Follow Gamestop on Facebook](https://www.facebook.com/GameStop) | 
+| [Apple Devices- Download the Gamestop App](https://apps.apple.com/us/app/gamestop/id406033647) (Link to App Store) | 
+| [Android Devices- Download the Gamestop App](https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.gamestop.powerup) (Link to Play Shop) |
+| Brands owned by Gamestop; ThinkGeek, GameInformer, [MicroMania](https://www.micromania.fr/), and [EB Games](https://www.ebgames.ca/) |
+| [Gamestop Ireland](https://www.gamestop.ie/), [Gamestop Germany](https://www.gamestop.de/) |
+
+*Table created by [u/pinkcatsonacid](https://www.reddit.com/user/pinkcatsonacid/)*
+ 
+# Social Media
+| Name | Twitter | YouTube |
+| :-: | :-: | :-: |
+| [Superstonk](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/) | | 🚨 [Superstonk Emergency Broadcast](https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCI4EET9NJPWxUuXGlG6fxPA) 🚨 |
+| [u/DeepFuckingValue](https://www.reddit.com/user/DeepFuckingValue/) | [@TheRoaringKitty](https://twitter.com/theroaringkitty?lang=en) | [Roaring Kitty](https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC0patpmwYbhcEUap0bTX3JQ) |
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AMAs/Carl-Hagberg-AMA/2021-05-14-Carl-Hagberg-AMA-Transcript-Part-I.md

@@ -0,0 +1,373 @@
+🚨 Carl Hagberg AMA Transcript/Summary (1/2) 🚨
+===============================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/Bye_Triangle](https://www.reddit.com/user/Bye_Triangle/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nce9kq/carl_hagberg_ama_transcriptsummary_12/) | 
+
+---
+
+
+[Education 👨‍🏫 | Data 🔢](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Education%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%8F%AB%20%7C%20Data%20%F0%9F%94%A2%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+[![r/Superstonk - 🚨 Carl Hagberg AMA Transcript/Summary (1/2) 🚨](https://preview.redd.it/wmd6r8zx94z61.jpg?width=1432&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=e40eb88b7cf9525252cefa4e8d270225bc00e807)](https://preview.redd.it/wmd6r8zx94z61.jpg?width=1432&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=e40eb88b7cf9525252cefa4e8d270225bc00e807)
+
+"... And another one"
+
+_____________________________________________________________________________________________________
+
+Hello Apes! We are back to bring you another transcript/summary!
+
+Since these take a gargantuan amount of work, and there are two AMA's this week I chose to focus on just one AMA to provide a transcript for. Given the incoming proxy vote and the importance of everyone being informed about our rights with regards to this matter, I felt that Carl Hagberg's AMA was more pressing.
+
+That being said, Lucy Komisar is an absolute SUPERSTAR, and I do not want to suggest that her AMA isn't going to be a bombshell. Komisar has an absolutely amazing background. Furthermore, she is one of the only journalists actually understanding and covering our story well, [see this article](https://prospect.org/power/gamestop-mess-exposes-the-naked-short-selling-scam/).
+
+With that out of the way...
+
+Carl Hagberg, you are awesome! I wish we had more time so you could have expanded more on some of your topics! This was an incredible AMA. There are so many moments in here that just get me so HYPED. This AMA was eye-opening in so many ways. Though, I believe the most important message to take from this, is that we are the catalyst...
+
+That's right Apes, you and me... and the friends we have made along the way.
+
+We are about to catalyze the collapse of this entire charade. For once the short sellers aren't going to be able to get away without repercussions... The only way out was for GameStop to go bust... and we all know that ain't happenin'. In this AMA Carl explains that the vote count is hugely important here. This is how we truly *Stop* this *Game.*
+
+_____________________________________________________________________________________________________
+
+INTRODUCTIONS
+
+-   Ato
+
+    -   Hello, hello, hello. Welcome to our third live-streamed, Superstock AMA,
+
+    -   We are so excited, I am excited-- Well, I'm stoked. I know, he's probably very excited as well let me tell you about it.
+
+    -   We have Carl Hagberg, who was referred to multiple times through Dr.T's book, joining us here today.
+
+    -   I pulled this from one of his comment letters to the SEC in 2018.
+
+        -   Carl has nearly 50 years of hands-on experience as a manager of transfer agency, proxy distribution, tabulation, solicitation, and proxy adjudication services. He has also served as an Inspector of Elections at literally hundreds and hundreds of shareholder meetings, including hundreds of proxy contests and numerous other situations. Many of these situations resulted in differences of less than 1% between approvals & disapprovals.
+
+        -   Over the past 25 years, Carl has built and managed a team that now consists of approximately 40 expert Inspectors of Elections who, collectively, have acted at well over 20,000 shareholder meetings
+
+    -   So we are talking to Dr.T's number one, go-to guy when it comes to shareholder rights and corporate governance.
+
+    -   so he has agreed to take time out of the day and talk with us about all of his experience, as much as we can cram into a 40-minute session. and explain how this is going on today and we'll talk about some examples for that.
+
+    -   So let's bring Carl on and give him some time to kind of speak to his own credentials. Car, How are you doing today?
+
+-   Carl
+
+    -   I'm doing great! Greetings everyone!
+
+    -   I'm happy to be here and I, as I told [u/Atobitt](https://www.reddit.com/u/Atobitt/), I don't recall anyone ever describing me as a retail shareholder rights advocate, but you know what, I guess I've been advocating for retail investors for 60+ years and I'm still trying to do it.
+
+    -   I'm a great believer in the power of individual investors. I have to say I'm a pretty good example of someone who's been successful at investing his own money and so, I wish more and more people would pay attention to us so maybe we can get that going.
+
+-   Ato
+
+    -   I think we're kind of preaching the same song there, that's what we're aiming to do.
+
+    -   I believe very much in this movement. Just the fact that we've been able to kind of start documenting this stuff for the past five, six months and then and then put it together into a community that is eager to get more information, has been incredible. I can't remember the last time somebody was interested this much in something finance-related or audit-related. It's unreal.
+
+TL:DR 🦍 Summary:
+
+-   Ato and Carl share greetings, Carl explains the sheer length of time he has supported retail investor's rights, especially given he too is a retail investor.
+
+-   Carl has an astonishing amount of time in this field, starting when he was just 16 years old, Carl has over 60 years of experience.
+
+-   Carl now mainly focuses on managing a team of about 40 Inspectors of Election.
+
+-   This is Dr.T's Go-To guy when it comes to matters relating to corporate elections, and shareholder's rights.
+
+_____________________________________________________________________________________________________
+
+ROBBER BARONS
+
+-   Ato
+
+    -   So, you are very much appreciated, we appreciate you coming here and giving your background on that.
+
+    -   So, if you want to go ahead and take just a couple of minutes to talk about what are some of the biggest problems that you're seeing right now, or throughout your career? Kind of, walk through the timeline of where this all started.
+
+-   Carl
+
+    -   That'd be great. I think we follow along in my career and my experience in shareholder voting and shareholders being denied votes or being somehow done out of their voting rights. The whole story of *short selling*, and of *naked short selling* and how that can deprive people of their whole investment.
+
+    -   I'll kind of take you along on my experiences along the way. So let me start way back in the beginning, I started in this industry, when I was 16 I was a college dropout.
+
+    -   I eventually got my master's and my BA, but all paid for by my employer, which was nice, but at the time, I was too young for college so off I went to the stock transfer department of Manufacturers Trust Company.
+
+    -   it was before they merged even with the Hanover bank, and we were a transfer agent, and we were Trust Company, and so I was in a unit that was in charge of keeping the books were publicly traded companies both their stocks and their bonds,
+
+    -   and in those days, virtually all of the major transfer agents were trust companies, and there was a reason behind that. There have been a lot of scandalous and ruinous things that had been done when companies were left to keep their own books. Okay? And so, the first rule of being in a trust division was the customer came first and, and we owed our duty, first and foremost, to our customers who were public companies and their stockholders, but the second rule was the debits and the credits, always had to be equal,
+
+    -   In the *bad* old days, about half of the 20th century. When we had the robber barons, when they needed some extra money, they would print up some new stock certificates and sell them into the market, but instead of putting the money into the companies, they would keep it for themselves, which is why they would call them Robber Barons.
+
+    -   But then, the SEC was formed and said *we have to stop doing this, we have to make sure that the debits equal the credits* unless you made a public offering and told people what you were selling and how much you wanted to get for it, and then made sure that the money was plowed back into the enterprise itself.
+
+    -   So that's what we did is it as a Trust Company. In those days, as well, 70% of all shares in US companies were owned by individual investors, (editor's note: WOW) - most of them were rich by the way.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - 🚨 Carl Hagberg AMA Transcript/Summary (1/2) 🚨](https://preview.redd.it/4j0a959ya4z61.jpg?width=577&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=253691359446b7d16a52480317c160d9645bf869)](https://preview.redd.it/4j0a959ya4z61.jpg?width=577&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=253691359446b7d16a52480317c160d9645bf869)
+
+TL:DR 🦍 Summary:
+
+-   Carl explains that he was a 'college dropout' but worked his way towards a masters' degree paid for by his employers.
+
+-   Too young for college, Carl made his way to the Manufacturer's Trust Company, where he excelled with his knowledge of long division.
+
+-   Carl states at that time, most companies that dealt with stocks and bonds were 'trust companies' i.e. a specific company that acts as a fiduciary, trustee or agent of trusts and agencies.
+
+-   This was the case owing to companies doing... *questionable* things with their own books when left to do it themselves.
+
+-   Carl lays out two rules for Trust Companies:
+
+    -   1\. Customers and stockholders come first.
+
+    -   2\. Debits and Credits *MUST* be equal.
+
+-   Why? In the time of the 'Robber Barons', ".*..when they needed some extra money, they would print up some new stock certificates and sell them into the market*" Sounds like naked-short sellers are just the new Robber Barons
+
+-   Finally, a trust company's purpose was to ensure money gained from issued shares was put back into the company, and at that time, retail owned *70%* of stocks.
+
+_____________________________________________________________________________________________________
+
+THE PAPERWORK CRISIS - A BIG MESS
+
+-   Carl
+
+    -   It wasn't like a mass democracy. But suddenly, share ownership got democratized.
+
+    -   Somewhere in about the late 50s, early 60s Merrill Lynch had a big campaign "*own your share in America*".
+
+    -   Millions and millions of people took up this idea, and started to buy shares in American companies and started to do very well because, as we know, when there are lots of eager buyers *that makes prices go up*, so everyone started to do quite well.
+
+    -   And then, around 1958 or 59. We had what was called the Paperwork Crisis.
+
+    -   The stock exchanges had to shut down early, they closed every Wednesday when normally they would have been open. *They couldn't keep up with all the paperwork*, in those days there were no computers. They didn't even have handheld calculators until about the late 70s
+
+    -   So anyway, we were working around the clock mandatory overtime working Saturday Sundays to try to keep up with the paperwork and a number of brokerage firms failed because they couldn't balance their books and they couldn't keep track of the money that they couldn't collect money that was due them.
+
+    -   *So it was a big mess*.
+
+    -   So in the next little phase of my career, I was present at the birth of the Depository Trust Company. I had been sort of seconded over by my company to what was called BASIC, the Banking and Securities Industry Committee.
+
+    -   Walter Wriston was there, chairman of JPMorgan Chase, and the Bankers Trust and of the stock exchanges, because they realized, if they couldn't get control of this paperwork mess, the Fed would take them over the way they run the market for Treasury securities
+
+    -   So, they are pulled out of a very profitable business, they said we've got to straighten this thing out.
+
+    -   So, five other colleagues and I, realized that we were the 'leg' men, who would go and take surveys and talk to people and try to work on solutions and then write position papers and argue them out.
+
+    -   The banks and brokers, basically hated each other and they didn't really want to do business with each other, but they had to. So that was that.
+
+    -   Pretty quickly-- Within a matter of two years, the paperwork crisis got solved, the volumes were still high. By having a securities depository, and computers (which were brand new). They enabled people to cope with all of this paperwork and substitute bookkeeping, you know accounting entries for paper. And so it was quite a success.
+
+TL:DR 🦍 Summary:
+
+-   At some point, share ownership became democratized (i.e. made accessible) to everyone, likely pushed by Merryl Lynch campaigns, and stonks went up with the increase in volume.
+
+-   Problem? Paperwork crisis. Put simply, shares were traded by paper and the stock exchanges literally could *not keep up***. They didn't even have handheld calculators, much less computers, so brokerage firms failed** *en masse***. As Carl puts it? It was a big mess.**
+
+-   In order to solve the 'paper crisis', Carl and 'leg men' like him went out, took surveys, and tried to find solutions.
+
+-   The above together with the advent of computing, and the birth of the securities depository, resolved the crisis within 2 years. (Thanks Carl!)
+
+_____________________________________________________________________________________________________
+
+THE GOOD, THE BAD, AND THE UGLY
+
+-   Carl
+
+    -   Throughout that whole time, I had always been involved in shareholder meetings, I started going when I was 16 or 17.
+
+    -   It was because I knew long division, since all they had were those mechanical handheld calculators that weighed about 80 pounds, and you know, made *a lot* of noise, interrupting the meeting. But, since I could do long division they let me come, so I've been going to shareholder meetings since I was a kid. You see the good, bad, and the ugly. One of my greatest lessons was when you saw a management that was really really good. *Consider investing***.**
+
+    -   When you see management, the CEO was a stinker, that he wasn't nice to his staff, that the staff didn't really like him... (and believe me, I saw plenty) If you have *that* stock, sell it quickly, but anyway let's keep going.
+
+-   Ato
+
+    -   Yeah, that's a really good point, the number of people that are able to own shares and have influence over a company through this shareholder, into the lending of shares and buying of shares.... The prevalence of that speaks volumes to our situation, so getting that direct experience is awesome.
+
+-   Carl
+
+    -   There had always been some short-sellers as long as I can remember that had been short-sellers, and most of them were opportunists, you know, and they were literally vulture capitalists. They would move in on companies that were sort of weak and then try to drive them down to zero.
+
+    -   You know, so they could sell while there was still some life in them, and then buy them back... or not even have to buy them back.
+
+TL:DR 🦍 Summary:
+
+-   Through this wealth of experience, Carl saw the good, bad, and the ugly in boardrooms, and learned to invest where he saw good.
+
+-   Carl clarifies the issue of short-sellers, or *vulture capitalists* is an issue long faced in the industry.
+
+-   Carl
+
+    -   So, there was only some of this, but it was never a major thing until sometime in the 90s
+
+    -   Shortly after, I left the bank, Chemical Bank, and so I stayed there a year. I then deployed my tin parachute to go off on my own.
+
+    -   I started a business where I consulted with companies mainly about their retail ownership programs because it costs a lot of money to have retail holders, in those days especially, everything was paper-based.
+
+    -   Then I published a newsletter, where I would try to sniff out problems within the industry that needed that work, and I still do. Then, I started my inspector of election business, but back then it was on a small scale.
+
+    -   Now, it's a lot bigger, because as we've discovered there's a lot of Hanky Panky going on out there!
+
+    -   Okay, so that's what I did. About that very same time, I started getting calls from clients from colleagues from other transfer agents saying
+
+        -   There's something radically wrong here. We had our shareholder meeting, and we have a million shares outstanding, and we got votes of a million and a half shares**. What is going on?**
+
+    -   Well, what indeed?
+
+    -   It was because of short selling, you don't even have to have naked short selling.
+
+    -   I'll try to explain in very simple terms how this actually happens, that you have a meeting, and there are 50% more votes than there are shares outstanding, and if you subtract the ones that are held by the management and by long term mutual funds. It's really more like three times the number of shares that are held by real people!
+
+-   Ato
+
+    -   The float.
+
+-   Carl
+
+    -   Yup, the float, That's right.
+
+    -   So we were trying to get to the bottom of this, and we were trying to figure out,
+
+        -   *Well, how do you stop this?* , but more important for the given meeting,
+
+        -   *How do you reconcile this?*
+
+    -   Well, the fact of the matter is, even when you're not 'naked' when you borrow the shares and say okay I've set some shares aside, the Lender He keeps his vote, he's still the owner, okay? He's only lent them.
+
+    -   It's like if I lent you a shovel, I'm still the owner.
+
+    -   and... I still get my voting rights. Meanwhile, if a short-seller actually *sells*... Well, the law of economics says that you cannot have a seller, without a buyer.
+
+    -   So, the short seller sells, then the buyer also gets ownership too! On another set of books.
+
+    -   And so what has happened-- well, you say, *Alright, I'm going to repay you the loan.* Where you now have to go into the market to buy the shares and close the deal... You've got, what are known as, Phantom Shares.
+
+    -   So, when you have an excess of sellers, as we've seen in GameStop stock, and, you have a finite universe of buyers, the debits don't equal the credits anymore. Okay.
+
+    -   Sometimes the votes are two-and-a-half or three times than the shares that are officially outstanding.
+
+    -   This is a *very bad thing*.
+
+TL:DR 🦍 Summary:
+
+-   Carl explains when he was a young boy (not in Bulgaria) he had been a part of shareholder meetings and can spot a good and bad CEO.
+
+-   Carl goes on to explain that the issue of short selling has been going on for years and years, such that even good companies having even a 'bad year' could be shorted out of existence.
+
+-   Carl then used his position and experience to create his own company and many clients were then asking, how is it possible 150% of my shares have voted?
+
+-   How? Short selling and *naked* short selling.
+
+-   Carl explains that even in non 'naked' short-selling situations, both the lender and buyer have voting rights, which leads to an increase above the total percentage of stockholders voting in an AGM.
+
+-   When the sellers vastly outweigh the buyers, you have people trading in 'phantom shares' such that the sellers and buyers *do not match* the total stock, or float as we all well know.
+
+_____________________________________________________________________________________________________
+
+INFINITE LIQUIDITY CHEAT CODE
+
+-   Carl
+
+    -   Sometimes (and people are doing this quite often) they're doing this with malice and forethought. They're looking to drive the company down to zero. Or they can short sell at $50 And they drive the price down to $1 or $2.
+
+    -   When you have unfettered securities lending, okay, and people can just keep lending to you and you can keep doing more deals and sending more shares to buyers, you've diluted the voting power and you've diluted the apparent liquidity for the stock,
+
+    -   Because what you have is infinite liquidity. You can just keep borrowing more, and you can borrow against what you borrowed.
+
+-   Ato
+
+    -   I just want to, kind of, drill that home. That is the *exact* thing we are seeing right now.
+
+    -   The situation where the attempt (and what we'll talk about this in a little bit) is, for an institution, to short sell a company into oblivion and trigger this criticism or unfavorable position amongst retail owners, to then *abandon* their position, take the loss to where these eventually get completely closed out. So, they don't have that obligation as they do now, where you have so many shareholders that are still holding through all these time periods it's just drying up the volume and the liquidity that is being traded daily right now.
+
+-   Carl
+
+    -   Right. And so around that time when this was so *clearly* out of control-- I have to hand it to the then CEO of overstock.com. That's how I met Dr. T and how I met West Christian**(who will be on next week if I am not mistaken(Editor's Note: He's not mistaken))** who's a prominent, highly successful lawyer, in this field.
+
+    -   We were all outraged and it's like wait a minute, how can this possibly be going on. And by the way, there's another element here too, is the short seller-- sometimes they actually have this belief that the company is just a bag of feathers, you know what I mean?
+
+    -   But sometimes, they just exercise their First Amendment rights and spread rumors, and then when you see the stock prices go down, the rumors seem to be true, and people act as if they are true and that's how stocks get to zero.
+
+    -   So, Overstock and Wes really were... I don't know what the right thing is... (editor's note: *pathfinders*) let's just say it was an important inflection point to say, *this can't go on here, this is just not right, it's not just it's not legal, it's not ethical,*
+
+TL:DR 🦍 Summary:
+
+-   Unfettered securities lending is a very problematic thing. A system such as this allows for what can essentially be described as "Infinite Liquidity" meaning they can just *borrow again, and again, what was already borrowed before***.**
+
+-   Further to the last point, these problematic securities lending practices lead to dilution of not only the value of the securities in question but also their voting power as well.
+
+-   Ato reflects that borrowing against borrowing (read: hypothecation) is exactly what is going on with GME right now.
+
+-   Carl agrees and goes on to state the then CEO of Overstock and Wes Christian led the way in exposing this behavior.
+
+-   Carl then goes on to state that sometimes short-sellers *genuinely believe* a company will go bust, but other times, rumors would spread which, taken together with a fall in stock price, would *seem true***, even if it wasn't.**
+
+-   Carl, Ato and the mods agree such behavior is unethical and illegal.
+
+_____________________________________________________________________________________________________
+
+SUPPLY AND DEMAND, OUT THE WINDOW
+
+-   Carl
+
+    -   I personally knew many companies that folded, not just because their share price dropped. but when it dropped they couldn't borrow any money, and then they could certainly couldn't sell any more stock and their credit rating was ruined,
+
+    -   Before you know it, good businesses literally have to fold, they just went bankrupt. They couldn't fund their businesses anymore.
+
+    -   So, the SEC started to pay a little bit of attention. But I must tell you, this is back in 2000, in the early 2000s mid-2000s, and from that time till now, they have a terrible, terrible, terrible record here.
+
+    -   So, they did pass a regulation, Reg SHO, and it actually put a bandaid over things, then the market started to simmer down... a little bit anyway. I think mainly for other reasons, but they put this band-aid over, and it kind of quieted down for a bit.
+
+    -   Okay, then lo and behold, came the financial crash of 2008/ 2009, when we saw short-sellers *again*, reaping tremendous profits. And then guess what! There *were* instances where many of these firms were destined for failure, but they were being pushed down the drain, twice as fast by everyone giving up on them and selling, and selling short.
+
+    -   So the SEC kind of woke up again, and said, Oh, maybe we need to look again, I have this little thing, it'll take only a minute to read it. They published this big thing here, and it was a Report of the Office of Inspector General of the Office of Audit of the SEC, And so here is what that here's what it said in the middle *and they made 11 recommendations* by the way. So, toward the middle it says:
+
+        -   *As we have stated on several prior occasions, (which is an understatement). We are concerned about the negative effect that failures to deliver may have on markets and shareholders. In addition, issuers and investors have repeatedly expressed concerns about failures to deliver in connection with manipulative," Naked" short selling. To the extent that fails to deliver might be part of manipulative Naked short selling, which could be used as a tool to drive down a company's stock price such fails to deliver may undermine the confidence of investors,*
+
+    -   which by the way, the understatement of the year,
+
+        -   *unwanted reputational damage caused by fails-to-deliver might have an adverse impact on the securities price.*
+
+    -   Oh? Don't you read the newspapers? (/s)
+
+    -   Well, anyway so that's what they put out. So then they included 11 recommendations for the SEC to consider. Basically, it was to try to detect things early, get complaints early they were mainly ignoring them, and then follow up on the complaints.
+
+    -   Well, lo and behold, after all of this, only one of the 11 recommendations was adopted.
+
+    -   Almost all over the next few years, almost all of the temporary regulations they had put into effect around the time of financial crisis ('08), they'd all lapsed too.
+
+    -   And Dr.T, who saw this with her own eyes, she saw the effect that was happening in the business world was businesses were adopting new audit standards and they called them *Risk Based Standards*, and it was you judge the risk by the dollar amounts, that's outstanding.
+
+    -   Well that's not really a bad idea... except... as Dr.T said, when the stocks keep falling, falling, falling, they're like problem 1 million on your list of problems.
+
+    -   you decide which problems need attention by the size of the outstanding share value, and so they weren't cutting the mustard and no one was paying any attention.
+
+    -   So, we went along... until the latest round that we're seeing now, where GameStop stock (and there were probably three or four other companies), where people were selling shares, and they were what I call Phantom Shares outstanding, and Phantom votes.
+
+    -   *Except*... those, those phantom votes work really well, that is, if you were lucky enough to get your vote cast. So, that continued along until pretty recently-- actually, through until the present.
+
+    -   So let's see, what's wrong with naked short selling? I hope I kind of made this clear, they create an economic dislocation, *to put it kindly*. and they basically by providing unlimited liquidity, they basically take the most basic law of supply and demand, and they throw it out the window
+
+    -   because now suddenly supply of shares is unlimited, and demand is kind of sketchy... *especially* if you're spreading rumors that might be kind of sketchy too. (Editor's note: Sound Familiar?)
+
+    -   So, that is the biggest problem with this, and the Phantom shares themselves.
+
+    -   Everyone kind of knows, y'know? You go to the supermarket, you don't have to count the carrots in the apples to know what's in demand and what's not and what looks like a good product and what doesn't. But, when you have this many more shares floating out there, it distorts the market.
+
+    -   The other thing is... Well... this is basically it; until the trade is settled by delivering the security so that that can be canceled so that the debits equal the credits, you're going to have this continue.
+
+TL:DR 🦍 Summary:
+
+-   Carl explains that the issues raised here were noticed by the SEC and have been for some time, *except they have a terrible track record of doing anything about it***.**
+
+-   Not even *their own report,* which detailed actionable steps *from their Office of Audit* was followed and put into practice. Oh, except 1 of *11***.**
+
+-   What's worse is that temporary regulations, like bandaids on a leaky pipe, fell off and nothing concrete was ever put in place to prevent this from happening.
+
+-   Further, these issues and problems never truly saw the light of day as the *investigations were based on dollar values***. What does short selling do?** *Decreases the price and therefore, so decreases the chances of investigation and notice***.**
+
+-   Allowing naked short selling throws the laws of supply and demand out the window.
+
+-   The only way Carl sees the problem can be resolved is to have debits and credits equal to one another, or this will just keep continuing.

AMAs/Carl-Hagberg-AMA/2021-05-14-Carl-Hagberg-AMA-Transcript-Part-II.md

@@ -0,0 +1,420 @@
+🚨 Carl Hagberg AMA Transcript/Summary (2/2) 🚨
+===============================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/Bye_Triangle](https://www.reddit.com/user/Bye_Triangle/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nceapj/carl_hagberg_ama_transcriptsummary_22/) | 
+
+---
+
+
+[Education 👨‍🏫 | Data 🔢](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Education%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%8F%AB%20%7C%20Data%20%F0%9F%94%A2%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+This is Part 2, See comments for [Part 1](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nce9kq/carl_hagberg_ama_transcriptsummary_12/)
+
+_____________________________________________________________________
+
+WHOSE VOTE IS IT ANYWAY
+
+-   Carl
+
+    -   let's just say, both the lender and the buyer end up having voting rights, right. And so there are a couple of problems. One is, no one knows this, most of the time unless their custodial bank or broker goes to vote over 100% And most of the time, no one ever goes over 100 in a good year 70% Of all the shares. Maybe 80% will be voted 20% will never get voted, so unless you go over that 100% number at a particular bank or a particular broker, no one is ever the wiser. Okay, then more of these votes have been cast.
+
+    -   There was a famous incident that was one of the most contested mergers of all times, it was the HP Compaq thing,
+
+    -   and institutional investors who were dead set against this merger they thought it was a horrible deal, which I believe turned out to be discussed discovered that because they had lent their shares their vote didn't count in, and in fact, the people who borrow the shares their vote carried the day.
+
+    -   And so it wasn't economically right it wasn't morally right, But that's what was happening. Okay. And then, so sometimes, of course, they have to somehow come up with the right numbers. And so they go back to the banks and brokers and say well look you voted a million and you only have 500,000 Please set up straight. And so this reconciliation takes place in a dark room somewhere. No one ever explains how they did it, and they're not obliged to explain, but somehow, in the end, it comes right.
+
+TL:DR 🦍 Summary:
+
+-   Carl explains that it is very rare that votes ever exceed 100%, so often the issue of short/naked short selling rarely comes up. Wonder what happens when it does?
+
+-   Carl then explains a famous merger happened on the basis that those who lent their shares became unable to vote on the basis they lent their shares and in fact, *those they lent succeeded in making a horrible deal***.**
+
+-   Carl then goes on to explain somehow, when this does happen, it gets 'straightened out' and no one understands how.
+
+_____________________________________________________________________________________________________
+
+MONSTER MONEY
+
+-   Ato
+
+    -   So we've got about 10 minutes. I'm loving the information that you're throwing out but I do want to tie some of this into some of the things that we're talking about here. I know I can sit here and I can listen to what you're saying, all day,
+
+    -   Finding that common ground where we understand that this position this is happening right you're explaining it this is happening and how we're leading it to today where you and I both talked on the phone last week talking about that current position in Gamestop and having, you know 140% flow versus being mathematically impossible to kind of escape that
+
+-   Carl
+
+    -   Exactly right and that the reconciliation takes place unbeknownst or unscrutinized by any regulatory authority or anybody at all.
+
+    -   And then comes the last part, and this should be close to the heart of Gamestop owners, and that is that institutional investors, by the way, big pension funds or big mutual funds, make monster money, enormous amounts of money by lending shares to the people who want to sell short.
+
+    -   So, let's say I have a brokerage account, if I have signed a margin agreement-- I signed to allow my account to be a margin account. They can lend my shares to anybody, make money, unbeknownst to me, I lose my vote because the disclosure is really very, very poor. I hear that some Gamestop owners have been finding... *Where's my proxy?! Where's my annual report?!*
+
+    -   Now, they got canceled out. because they happen to have a margin account. *Regardless* of the fact that they may not have had a penny in margin loans, but they had signed an agreement that allows the bank or broker to vote and to lend their shares.
+
+    -   They don't even get a penny of compensation. So, the agent is making millions and millions of dollars, individual investors who are in the dark about this, they're not even discovering it. Most times you don't know you didn't get a vote.
+
+    -   Now with Gamestop because the imbalance is so big, people are asking *where's my vote* and if you have a margin account you often don't get a vote, or, no, *you missed the day you missed the magic day you don't get a vote.* And so that is one of the worst,
+
+    -   Now I have my very last of the worst. And I was very happy to see that the interim SEC chair woman, Alison Heron Lee
+
+    -   She was the interim Chair, and she's still an SEC Commissioner. While Gensler hadn't been confirmed yet, the instructed staff to look into mutual fund voting because mutual funds are often like non-voting, or they're giving the vote to somebody who's voting against their very own positions. And mutual funds, many of them, are deciding that shareholder votes do indeed have value.
+
+    -   Whether they're economic proposals or social proposals or environmental proposals, your vote on these proposals has a value of its own.
+
+    -   *And* companies that are good citizens, create more value than companies who are scoundrels. So now, Alison Herron Lee, God bless her, she said,
+
+        -   *We need to study, we need greater disclosure as to what mutual funds are doing with their shares, are they lending them to third parties who are voting, in many cases against the positions that they uphold?*
+
+TL:DR 🦍 Summary:
+
+-   Carl explains that the game for institutions and mutual funds is to make millions by lending shares out any which way you can, including allowing retail investors to enter agreements to allow them to do so without providing much obvious notice.
+
+-   Carl
+
+    -   By the way, these mutual funds are fiduciaries, as I was back in my days as a banker, and our duty is to our clients, to the shareholders. Okay, and not to the almighty dollar. Those are the issues that I think are in front of us now.
+
+    -   I'm really pleased to see so many Gamestop owners are stepping up and asking hard questions,
+
+    -   And I'm sure that, based on the numbers I've been hearing, that come to their meeting, there's going to be significant, over-voting.
+
+    -   That is unless people spend hours and hours ahead of time in their dark, back offices trying to reconcile this before the day of the meeting. /s
+
+-   Ato
+
+    -   I mean... wow... okay, so I have, I have a lot there I want to address with you.
+
+TL:DR 🦍 Summary:
+
+-   Carl explains that the game for institutions and mutual funds is to make millions by lending shares out any which way you can. Including, allowing retail investors to enter agreements without being super to allow them to do so without providing much in the way of *obvious* notice.
+
+_____________________________________________________________________________________________________
+
+MATHEMATICAL IMPOSSIBILITIES
+
+-   Ato
+
+    -   One of the biggest things, I think, are the numbers that you were talking about they're the things that are evidence of naked short selling.
+
+    -   Dr.T was mentioning in her AMA, one of these places that you can kind of see the evidence of naked short selling, bubble up is in the shareholder meeting.
+
+    -   Which you've talked about, I mean, obviously this is a pervasive issue.
+
+    -   I'd like to kind of start walking through some of those numbers that we sent to you for review and then talk about some of the effects of this upcoming vote and the significance of *potentially* being the first company in a very long time (if not ever) to have this vote where you're seeing, potentially hundreds of percentages above what was possible.
+
+    -   On that note, because we have about eight minutes Are you okay going a little bit over?
+
+-   Carl
+
+    -   Yeah, that's fine!
+
+-   Ato
+
+    -   Okay, good. Thanks, I appreciate everything that you just talked about, I really do. I don't want to have to cut off the rest of this.
+
+    -   I have people who are wanting to know-- institutional shareholders, international shareholders... we've got questions. for them people that are having issues finding their control numbers, for example.
+
+    -   I know Dr. T was stressing the issue, the importance of that for being able to get their voice out. So yeah, if you don't mind, that would be great if we could take a few extra minutes.
+
+    -   So let's do that!
+
+    -   You point out in your 2019 comment letter to the SEC, where you're talking about these huge implications and how pervasive this issue is, and one thing that stands out to me was this concept of over-voting.
+
+    -   What you just described. Not just through *naked* short selling, but through short selling, and so that has kind of led up to this position where we're at today.
+
+    -   we have the run-up 2019 along with the narrative people are able to spin through media, like you talked about-- *that GameStop is the next blockbuster,* so to speak
+
+    -   so there was this huge downward pressure on GameStop for years, and even in 2019 this was a heavily shorted stock, and a lot of people caught on to that.
+
+    -   And so the run-up in the beginning of 2021, when we got into January, was where we started to see this tremendous share volume coming out. The biggest red flag, I think, for most people in this subreddit, was the total reported shares outstanding.
+
+    -   At the end of 2020, including restricted shares, (those internal shares that are being held by insiders) was about 69 million shares.
+
+    -   And so when we see a period of 17 days, from January 13th through the 5th of February, where average daily trading volume is 88 million, and the peak during that was 197 million, totaling 1.5 billion shares exchanged over 17 days. Does that not scream naked short selling to you?
+
+-   Carl
+
+    -   Oh, absolutely. It's mathematically impossible for this to happen, except for the fact that it's not just the "Naked" part that is important to focus on... it's important to focus on short selling, itself. When you allow people to keep reselling these imaginary shares to make these loans, y'know?
+
+    -   If I lend you a shovel, you've got my shovel, but I lend you stock, you don't just have my stock, you have a voting right. And you get a credit somewhere, but you don't really have my stock, you know what I mean?
+
+    -   So, in other words, it's mathematically impossible to have trading volumes like this.
+
+    -   what it's done, it's pumped in this infinite supply of shares that can get bought by somebody, you know, albeit at lower prices, so yes, this is a problem in itself. There's no way around it, it's not a mystery. Okay, the numbers are clear, they are what they are.
+
+    -   So I think the real thing will be, what happens when the meeting convenes? And... *It could be* that people are feverishly working in their backrooms, to try to cook the books.
+
+    -   Trying to deprive enough people of voting their shares that you won't see them anymore. So... that could be one thing...
+
+    -   So we'll see what happens when the Annual Meeting convenes.
+
+    -   If there aren't more votes present than there are shares, I'll eat my hat.
+
+    -   It's almost impossible to fix this, even in the darkest of dark back rooms. So that's, that's probably problem number one. The other thing I would say, as I, as I alluded to this is getting, thanks to retail investors, it's getting attention.
+
+TL:DR 🦍 Summary:
+
+-   The vote count is the missing piece of this puzzle as of now.
+
+-   Carl essentially confirms that it seems mathematically impossible that the shorts have covered.
+
+-   He goes on to stress how difficult it would be for the bad actors in this situation, to reconcile the votes prior to the meeting.\
+    _____________________________________________________________________________________________________
+
+WE NEED A GOOD PLUMBER
+
+-   Carl
+
+    -   So there have been some hearings. I was really happy with what Allison Lee did, and I'm very encouraged by Gary Gensler, he is a man with tremendous integrity, not to say that our former commissioners didn't have integrity, but Gensler gets it. He's got a mathematical mind, he understands systems.
+
+    -   For all these 40 years that I've been writing about this, people have kept their heads in the sand and they've been willfully blind or willfully unwilling to dig into what they call *proxy plumbing.*
+
+    -   I always thought plumbing is a good thing, but for 40 years, plumbing for us has been a bad thing. It hasn't been so good. It's had a lot of "smelly overflows", so to speak. So, I do think that there's some momentum, now, at the FCC, and from the public, and even in Congress a little bit.
+
+    -   And so hopefully we'll see some progress made on this.
+
+-   Ato
+
+    -   I know that you were talking about Gensler pushing for a lot of this reformation back in 2008 as well, so he's been championing this cause for quite some time.
+
+    -   That encouraged me when I heard him in that committee meeting, just recently. It seemed like he was nailing these on the head, and the difference between what we've had, versus what we need... is that action.
+
+-   Carl
+
+    -   Yeah.
+
+-   Ato
+
+    -   And so, it's getting to where this community is growing so big, that we are just a handshake away from Gary Gensler. I mean we have the data we have the numbers, this is what the people are wanting, are these answers.
+
+    -   We're putting forth the evidence that this is happening, we have the experts like you, and Dr. T, that are in the field and Wes Christian.
+
+    -   So, I'm glad to see that you're excited about it because I really do think that this is the time for change.
+
+-   Carl
+
+    -   Right! Let's hope so. As I say, it's time, we need a good plumber, we never had a good plumber.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - 🚨 Carl Hagberg AMA Transcript/Summary (2/2) 🚨](https://preview.redd.it/2364vij5g4z61.jpg?width=820&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=04d2da4df98a22e00ce75e35e84c40def7983832)](https://preview.redd.it/2364vij5g4z61.jpg?width=820&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=04d2da4df98a22e00ce75e35e84c40def7983832)
+
+Thanks for this u/pinkcatsonacid
+
+-   Carl
+
+    -   Most of our regulators, in my opinion, they are the regulated, they're made up of the very people who are being regulated, the ones who are making billions of dollars in these deals.
+
+    -   You can imagine, I tried to explain to them... They shut their ears. they're willfully deaf, dumb, and blind to all this. So we need somebody who says,
+
+        -   *I think this problem has become big enough that you can't ignore it, let's talk about the elephant in the room. You can't ignore this elephant anymore*
+
+    -   The SEC knew this was wrong in 2009 when the inspector general told them, but they did nothing about it... fortunately, for them, markets got a little quiet and that went away, but then it comes back, and that's the way it will be.
+
+    -   So in any event... So, I had asked you, make sure that I get my point across, which is; *how do we solve this*. We need to figure out how to solve this.
+
+    -   The first thing is, there needs to be a pre-reconciliation. People should never get a proxy unless they are holders in due course, and people who are not, should not be getting proxy materials. But it needs to be a valid-- legitimate reconciliation, and that's very hard to do.
+
+    -   when you sell the same *banana* 158 billion times, and you only have 72 million bananas... reconciling This is not an easy thing to do.
+
+-   Ato
+
+    -   Bananas.. Hahaha
+
+-   Carl
+
+    -   So in order to really solve anything... It's sort of after the fact, you know, you clean up you throw something over it
+
+    -   The next thing though that can and should be done is to force lenders to recall their shares before the Annual Meeting record date comes along.
+
+    -   That's where the mutual funds and the big pension funds come in... They really do have a fiduciary duty to recall their shares so they can vote on it themselves. There are no two ways about that.
+
+    -   So, that would help, big time. Although again, the numbers are so big, it's like *hmmm, I got to start a year in advance* *to get my shares back*.
+
+    -   The other thing is, I feel that brokers should be prohibited from lending shares that belong to individual investors, without better disclosure. Full disclosure would be,
+
+        -   *oh I can lend your shares and I can make a lot of money doing it anytime I want. And by the way, I owe you nothing, and you can't protest.*
+
+    -   This is not ethical-- it's not correct. People need to be told no, you cannot be doing this.
+
+    -   Maybe, if somebody is stupid enough to say,
+
+        -   *yes, okay I'll let you do this, take my shares, take my votes, take the money and give me none...*
+
+    -   ... Well, God bless.
+
+    -   but, if you make decent disclosure mandatory, I don't think this will be lasting very long. But, bear in mind this is a multi billion dollar source of revenue to banks and brokers and custodians and middlemen... and to the mutual funds themselves.
+
+    -   Okay, so the next thing, and Dr. T said this as well, and I think this is what's going to happen in the Eurozone.
+
+        -   That is to say, *we'll give you up to five days. You're supposed to settle your debts, settle your accounts where the debits and credits end up equal within two days of the trade.*
+
+        -   *well all right we'll cut a little slack but within five days of the trade. If there was short interest, it needs to be bought in period, so that the debits equal the credits, and the votes equal shares outstanding.*
+
+    -   That's the only real solution... otherwise, people will continue the game for another 60 years.
+
+    -   So... Maybe I am looking at the world through rose-colored glasses... but people like Gamestop holders should keep on doing what they're doing, realize that votes have value.
+
+    -   They had real value. This was a stock that was fast going down to tubes until they said,
+
+        -   *No, I don't believe all these things and I don't think this is a company that is going down or should be going down the tubes,*
+
+    -   But, they need to raise their voices, they need to speak up to the regulators. And, They absolutely need, especially this year, to try to cast their votes. and when they don't cast their votes, ask their intermediary, and then publish the crazy stories that they get back as to why they're not entitled to vote.
+
+    -   They paid their money and they're on the books as stockholders. Why did they not get their vote? And if you keep going like that. I think we will force a solution
+
+TL:DR 🦍 Summary:
+
+-   Carl states he is hopeful that we will see change with Gary Gensler taking the lead. Going on to say we need a so-called "Plumber" for this system, someone to do some real work on this messy system.
+
+-   Carl touches on a similar topic to what Dr.T was talking about, with regards to legislation being worked on in the "Eurozone" that could really bring forth material change.
+
+-   Voting and being outspoken is the best way to force a solution here, and if you cannot vote, find out why from your broker, because as a shareholder, who has entrusted your money with this company, IT IS YOUR RIGHT. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________
+
+FOREIGN VOTING
+
+-   Ato
+
+    -   Can I ask one more question?
+
+-   Carl
+
+    -   Of course!
+
+-   Ato
+
+    -   So, several foreign investors, non-US investors, are holding potentially millions of shares here. They're receiving excuses from their brokers like you were saying,
+
+        -   *you just have no involvement,* or *we don't have the voting rights for you.*
+
+    -   So how can they go about this? Is there something where they can tell their brokers, *I know I have voting rights* and fight this? or how can we help them?
+
+-   Carl
+
+    -   This is a very difficult thing to do. Historically, foreign investors never really voted their shares. Individual shareholder ownership was almost unheard of in a lot of Europe, you know unless they were an oligarch, a multi Millionaire, or Billionaire, It wasn't something that the average person was doing.
+
+    -   Even when they did, they're typically getting their proxy materials in English... I got emails from people in Swedish and my Swedish isn't good enough to read it anymore and so... there is also the language barrier to consider. So there's a problem facing foreign investors.
+
+    -   I say they need to go public. They need to get an answer from their broker or their financial intermediary in writing,
+
+    -   But, this is actually much harder, to be honest with you, than it would be for US citizens. What we barely understand here, over there, they just don't understand it. You know it's just not something that's percolated down, to where you can even have a conversation with somebody.
+
+-   Ato
+
+    -   I am seeing, and I think a lot of people on the subreddit are seeing this. Things are starting to change. We have posts on Reddit being translated into German, (Editor's note: More than just German) it's definitely a transition. I think we're at a point where we are seeing that involvement.
+
+    -   The sense of comfort, I've had with it, up to this point is, to treat everything equally. So if we had a percentage of people that were domestic that were voting, we still had a percentage, back then, that people that were non-domestic that weren't voting.
+
+    -   So, as the pie on the left has grown the pie on the right has grown, we should still see a prevalent issue with the domestic vote. The ability for these people overseas to be able to go public with that will help, I think it's essential.
+
+TL:DR 🦍 Summary:
+
+-   This is one of the more difficult matters to address, solely due to the fact that foreign investors usually don't vote, or don't care to vote in corporate elections across the pond.
+
+-   Despite the difficulties, remember, VOTING IS YOUR RIGHT. If you are investing your hard-earned money in a company, you're damn right you deserve a vote.
+
+-   If you are a Euro-Ape and your broker is being sketchy about letting you vote, you must do everything you can to speak up and speak out.
+
+_____________________________________________________________________________________________________
+
+ADVICE FOR GAMESTOP
+
+-   Carl
+
+    -   You know you made a very, very good point here, that we didn't focus on enough. I want to say two things and then I'm going to quit.
+
+        -   One is, if you own shares, you're the owner, you have rights. You need to assert them, and failure to do that is really, you're not doing right by yourself.
+
+        -   The second thing, and you've just touched on this, the power of social media. I've been writing these letters and they're all posted on the SEC website and nobody's ever reading them and no one's ever responding to them, but social media doesn't go away, it can only grow. I think I was to be optimistic. That would be the source of my optimism.
+
+    -   When you say *oh, we're putting the proxy statements in German, or whatever* so people can read them. These are revolutionary developments. So I end up feeling optimistic at the end of the day.
+
+-   Ato
+
+    -   Thank you for that response Carl
+
+    -   If you don't mind, I have one final question for you, and I appreciate you going over time.
+
+    -   I'm just blown away by your experience. I know people on this sub, we have so many people, turning out to ask you questions continuously. You'll probably still have referrals for answering questions even after this, I would fully expect that.
+
+    -   But, anyway, for the executives at GameStop that may be watching, what are some actions that they can take that are the best fit for them in terms of protecting investor rights and shareholder rights? If and when they start to see this blown-up issue of over-voting occur, what are some of the best things they can do to put the boot down?
+
+-   Carl
+
+    -   What they need to do is pay attention. They need to pay careful attention to the voting reports that come in.
+
+    -   The first thing I'd looked at when I heard about this was, *who was the lucky company that was going to be the proxy tabulator.* I was afraid that it was somebody in, you know, out of Mongolia who was going to be counting these votes but they have a very good tabulator, and a lot of these votes are going through well-automated systems.
+
+    -   They also need to hire a good inspector. I'm sure they have, but they need to have a good inspector of election who won't be fooled. An inspector who will work like a *demon* to make sure that the reconciliation is appropriate. Except... piercing that veil is really still next to impossible to do.
+
+    -   So, I would say the management, pay attention to the election. Respect your stockholders, read the mail and emails from people who feel they've been disenfranchised, and hopefully, they'll realize that yes, many people are being disenfranchised...
+
+    -   and who are they? They're their best customers, you know, their best friends.
+
+    -   So, that's an injustice in itself. That we're letting hedge fund managers, speculators, and gamblers, run away with our electoral system, at the expense of our customers and our boosters that the people who keep us alive as a company, so I say, they gotta toughen up
+
+-   Ato
+
+    -   I got one final question for you, sorry, hold you up for a minute.
+
+    -   I know you and I talked about this, shorts covering. The can, perpetually getting kicked down the road but, long story short, shorts have to cover?
+
+-   Carl
+
+    -   Not really, some of them never covered because there wasn't a market, the stock got delisted, going under a dollar... and so they never covered, *they just walked away... laughing.*
+
+    -   So no, unfortunately.
+
+    -   And that's probably a good place to end. This is what happens if you don't have a well-regulated system. You get a bunch of criminals, pushing down the price of a stock, until it goes to zero, and laughing all the way to the bank.
+
+    -   So, the evil-doers go away with money and the loyal stockholders, get ripped off.
+
+    -   Unfortunately, I think a lot of stockholders were frightened out of the market and sold their shares at a loss so what has been the gain, have they held on. So, this is really a classic example of how unjust and how untenable, these practices are.
+
+-   Ato
+
+    -   Well, I am optimistic about the number of people that have held and have continued holding, even with the pressure that's being put on them today. So, we'll see what happens with this voter turnout, but I really do think that it's going to be a crucial point and the most consequential event that we've had so far.
+
+-   Carl
+
+    -   Well, do stay in touch. If you have questions, send them to me and I will try my best to answer them. I hope I did pretty good.
+
+    -   It's cocktail time, here in sunny Florida. So, goodbye everyone. Thank you so much!
+
+TL:DR 🦍 Summary:
+
+-   Carl's advice to the heads at GameStop:
+
+    -   PAY VERY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE VOTE REPORTS
+
+    -   Read the Mail and Email from the stockholders, pay attention to those that feel disenfranchised
+
+    -   Hire an especially diligent inspector of elections
+
+    -   "TOUGHEN UP"
+
+-   In past circumstances, predatory short sellers have gotten away with this game-- pushing the stock price to the point of being delisted so they don't have to ever reconcile their massive dump of phantom shares.
+
+    -   There was confusion over the last section of the interview when Carl stated that shorts don't HAVE to cover, I believe if you take this statement in context with the rest of the AMA, he is clearly referring to shorts having to cover, generally. Carl already states multiple times in the AMA that he is very optimistic about this GameStop situation. Anyone trying to twist this narrative is acting in bad faith
+
+_____________________________________________________________________________________________________
+
+That was incredible, Thank you so much Carl Hagberg, your input on these matters was incredibly eye-opening and reassuring.
+
+I believe I can speak for the Apes when I say, that we are proud to have been the ones to which the torch has been passed so to speak. Continuing to fight for the change that Susanne and Carl have been pushing for for decades.\
+Apes, if there is anything to take from this, it should be this:\
+VOTE YOUR SHARES and if you cannot vote, for one reason or another, then YOU MUST SPEAK-UP.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - 🚨 Carl Hagberg AMA Transcript/Summary (2/2) 🚨](https://preview.redd.it/j5uprrmbg4z61.jpg?width=1000&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=43dcdd15bfe04bd9595799b60b7d0dcf6554b772)](https://preview.redd.it/j5uprrmbg4z61.jpg?width=1000&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=43dcdd15bfe04bd9595799b60b7d0dcf6554b772)
+
+_____________________________________________________________________________________________________
+
+One final reminder, do not miss the AMA with Lucy Komisar TODAY, May 14, 4:30PM EDT. As I said at the beginning of this, unfortunately, there will not be a formal AMA transcript/summary like this for that AMA. The amount of work that it takes to pull these together, with this level of quality, is way larger than you think-- as a result, I thought it best to keep it to one of these a week as to not burn out our team trying to crank these out under strict time constraints.
+
+That being said, if you are at the end, you clearly find some value in these posts... So if you as one of those Apes that find this invaluable, you can let me know. If there is enough desire, I can post the rough copy transcript, so at least the Apes that need the AMA's in this format (the deaf community, those with ADHD, etc), can still have it in writing, though without the formatting, editing and summaries. Next week there will be one of these for our AMA though, don't worry.
+
+Finally, One huge thank you for the support that myself, [u/Luridess](https://www.reddit.com/u/Luridess/)**,** [u/Leaglese](https://www.reddit.com/u/Leaglese/)**, and** [u/Cuttingwater_](https://www.reddit.com/u/Cuttingwater_/) have received on these posts, it is what keeps us going!
+
+Cheers,
+
+B_T

AMAs/Lucy-Komisar-AMA/Part-I/2021-05-24-Lucy-Komisar-AMA-Powerpoint-and-Partial-Script.md

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+POST AMA DD- Lucy Komisar AMA powerpoint and partial script
+===========================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/pinkcatsonacid](https://www.reddit.com/user/pinkcatsonacid/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nke7sp/post_ama_dd_lucy_komisar_ama_powerpoint_and/) | 
+
+---
+
+[Education 👨‍🏫 | Data 🔢](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Education%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%8F%AB%20%7C%20Data%20%F0%9F%94%A2%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+Many of you noticed I made a snazzy powerpoint to use during the Lucy K AMA today, but didn't get to use it due to technical difficulties. So even though it's not the same, here is the bulk of what was intended for the interview, including Lucy's written script. Knowledge is Power! 💪
+
+[![r/Superstonk - POST AMA DD- Lucy Komisar AMA powerpoint and partial script](https://preview.redd.it/g8nivrt6l6171.jpg?width=677&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=60102104cecd6de43dfc9d914a4525be62e1f80b)](https://preview.redd.it/g8nivrt6l6171.jpg?width=677&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=60102104cecd6de43dfc9d914a4525be62e1f80b)
+
+🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀
+
+Lucy Komisar AMA Part 2 [(Link here)](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wuPizlDY0Ys&t=22s)
+
+Topic of Discussion- The SEC
+
+[![r/Superstonk - POST AMA DD- Lucy Komisar AMA powerpoint and partial script](https://preview.redd.it/p98qxh2476171.jpg?width=180&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=463cc9d081a8fa5a35b8828dd41b6121dd2737ec)](https://preview.redd.it/p98qxh2476171.jpg?width=180&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=463cc9d081a8fa5a35b8828dd41b6121dd2737ec)
+
+Securities and Exchange Commission
+
+THE SEC for Superstonk- Script By Lucy Komisar
+
+*When plunder becomes a way of life for a group of men in a society, over the course of time they create for themselves a legal system that authorizes it and a moral code that glorifies it."* --- Frédéric Bastiat, 19th century French Economist
+
+How the SEC was created
+
+One reason for the stock market collapses in 1929 was watering stock. A meme went "he who sells what isn't his'n must pay it back or go to prison." Traders would print up counterfeit stock certificates. Sound familiar. Naked short selling. The crash that started the depression.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - POST AMA DD- Lucy Komisar AMA powerpoint and partial script](https://preview.redd.it/l346v5i456171.jpg?width=470&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=dbf1ac2b34080b60690ed448ed917fbce742f990)](https://preview.redd.it/l346v5i456171.jpg?width=470&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=dbf1ac2b34080b60690ed448ed917fbce742f990)
+
+Ferdinand Pecora
+
+1932 Ferdinand Pecora was an immigrant working class kid from Sicily who put himself through New York Law School. He was hired in 1932 by the Senate Banking Committee to investigate the causes of the crash, to do a whitewash, but he didn't get the memo. His hearings exposed such practices as pools to support bank stock prices. Such as Let's all coordinate trades to pump up the stock. Sound familiar? GameStop? National City Bank (now Citibank) had hidden bad loans by packaging them into securities and selling them off to unwary investors. Sound familiar? Mortgage-backed securities that tanked? And that the bank sellers knew would tank?
+
+The findings of the Pecora Commission exposing corruption of the financial industry let to public support for regulation, -- it took really dirty stuff to move the pubic -which would be the Glass--Steagall Banking Act of 1933, the Securities Act of 1933, and the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. That last set up the SEC.
+
+Franklin Roosevelt appointed Joseph Kennedy (father of Jack and Robert) SEC chair. He had built the family fortune on financial manipulation, but Roosevelt thought he knew where the bodies were buried, who the miscreants. So the SEC cleaned up the Wall Street stables for five years. Then Kennedy's buddies of the financial oligarchy took charge again, in early regulatory capture.
+
+Pecora wrote a memoir, Wall Street Under Oath. He said: "Bitterly hostile was Wall Street to the enactment of the regulatory legislation." What, the thieves don't want rule of law? About disclosure rules, he said that "Had there been full disclosure of what was being done in furtherance of these schemes, they could not long have survived the fierce light of publicity and criticism. Legal chicanery and pitch darkness were the banker's stoutest allies." Think about who are their allies today.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - POST AMA DD- Lucy Komisar AMA powerpoint and partial script](https://preview.redd.it/kulo5kk756171.jpg?width=354&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=89e834a1f13f04b2d889fdc66e9156d0bab67db1)](https://preview.redd.it/kulo5kk756171.jpg?width=354&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=89e834a1f13f04b2d889fdc66e9156d0bab67db1)
+
+Irving Pollack- Father of the SEC Division of Enforcement
+
+1985 Irving Pollack
+
+Fast forward about half a century. With the support of friends in Congress, Wall Street has neutered the securities acts by assuring the SEC would not enforce them. It made sure its foxes were guarding the henhouse. But the corruption was sometimes inconvenient. In 1985, the National Association of Securities Dealers, now FINRA, which represents the brokers, hired Irving Pollack, a former SEC commissioner who was honest, to look at short selling. Among his report's proposals: reporting of short interest -- the amount of short sales not yet covered -- should be public and perhaps more frequent. A borrowing for delivery in broker-dealer transactions should be required. A mandatory buy-in should be adopted for a delivery after a reasonable period when there has been a fail. That means the broker for the buyer who hasn't gotten the shares can buy them on the market and charge the short seller's broker. There should be surveillance of large short-interest positions, shorts not yet covered.
+
+Did the SEC adopt these proposals with enthusiasm? Obviously not. Short interest is not reported frequently. Broker dealers "locate" instead of borrow or they use counterfeit shares. There's no buy-in. Buy-ins were allowed but not required. And Leslie Boni, an academic who in 2004 did a paper for the SEC on buy-ins said they were rare. But requiring buy-ins would make the stock go up, the shorts lose money.
+
+And there was no surveillance of large short-interest positions.
+
+In fact, corruption would be increased thanks to friends of Wall Street president Bill Clinton and his collaborator Treasury Secretary Robert Rubin (formerly of Citibank) who in 1999, killed the Glass-Steagall Act which had separated investment banking from retail banking. Retail banks till then could not use depositors' funds for risky investments. Only 10% of their income could come from selling securities.
+
+That sets the stage for the last few decades.
+
+2004 RegSHO set up to fail
+
+The SEC, battered with complaints, in July 2004 promulgated Reg SHO, SHO for short selling. The hedge funds and big brokers who had been or would be shown to be illegally shorting all lobbied against it. It was a tepid reform of short selling that was Swiss-cheesed with loopholes. Think of Al Capone writing the tax laws. (On the other hand, his crooked progeny do write the tax laws!) Reg SHO would be implemented in 2005
+
+The SEC knocked out a proposal for penalties for failing to deliver.
+
+And it wrote two giant exceptions into Reg SHO. Ex-clearing and market makers.
+
+The rule didn't apply to ex-clearing, which means clearing outside the DTCC, The Depository Trust Clearing Corporation, the national stock clearing company. (Yes, it's a private company owned by the broker dealers) It applied only to trades going through a registered clearing agency, i.e. what got sent through the DTCC. It said ex-clearing was "rare."
+
+Sales that avoided clearing agencies could fail -- not be delivered -- without buyers' brokers reporting the fails to the DTCC or buying in, requiring the short sellers broker to buy shares on the market and deliver them. To protect short sellers and avoid Reg SHO, dealers went ex-clearing. They either cleared internally or with a cooperating broker-dealer or they went through dark pools. They were private exchanges set up by the big prime brokers and banks.
+
+The major perpetrators are the large banks, doing it for large clients, hedge funds, or their own accounts. If they can do the transaction privately [ex-clearing], RegSHO doesn't apply. Now about 40% of trades go through dark pools. *If a trade failed ex-clearing, it didn't fail at the DTCC!*
+
+Reg SHO also didn't apply to derivatives, the financial casino bets acknowledged as a prime cause of the current economic crisis and which also did not trade through a clearing house.
+
+Even stocks that cleared through the DTCC were not always covered. The brokers got a "grandfather clause" that allowed existing fails to continue! Because we know that brokers simply rolled them over. And brokers didn't have to close out the shares they had sold short before the stock went on the Threshold List which includes shares that for five consecutive settlement days had fails to deliver of 10,000 shares or more at a clearing agency and where the level of fails was equal to at least one-half of one percent of the issuer's outstanding shares.
+
+Then brokers were subject to mandatory covering only on the fifth day. Then the broker-dealer had 13 days to deliver the shares to the buyer or lender, and if it failed to do so, it could not trade that stock until it did. But the SEC knew, because staff wrote a paper on it, how options conversions allowed brokers to put off fail dates forever.
+
+MARKET MAKERS
+
+RegSHO allowed an options market maker exception, called after the person who designed and pushed for it: the Madoff Exception! (Did I say the crooks wrote the rules?)
+
+[![r/Superstonk - POST AMA DD- Lucy Komisar AMA powerpoint and partial script](https://preview.redd.it/ndifb6fvk6171.png?width=1482&format=png&auto=webp&s=4b96285ed2e17c6fa057802f34861c4c532400c0)](https://preview.redd.it/ndifb6fvk6171.png?width=1482&format=png&auto=webp&s=4b96285ed2e17c6fa057802f34861c4c532400c0)
+
+Bernie Madoff, who died in prison in Apr 2021
+
+In prison in 2012 Madoff told Forbes journalist Diana Henriques: "I fell into my crime of staying Naked Short. The fact that the prosecutor and Trustee seemed clueless of this is why my frustration is so great." Clueless, or complicit? You just don't go there.
+
+The SEC in 2007 eliminated Uptick Rule that requires short sales to be conducted at a higher price than the previous trade. Not helpful if the purpose is to batter down the stock price. It was never enforced.
+
+2008 Stock lending and taking care of the banks
+
+According to the SEC Office of Economic Analysis (2008) Reg SHO in effect since 2005 had not reduced outstanding fails. Many stocks remained on the SEC Regulation SHO Threshold List for hundreds of trading days
+
+For years, the SEC claimed naked short selling and fails to deliver were not a problem. Once things began to go sour in 2008, the first thing the SEC did was ban naked short selling in 17 financial stocks plus Fannie and Freddie. It was ironic, since the big banks/brokers had been carrying out the scam on others. Hoist on their own petard.
+
+And they chose the solution that people battling naked short selling had advocated for years. A July 2008 order said no traders could make trades involving those institutions unless they had pre-borrowed the security or otherwise had it available in their inventory. They had to deliver the security on the settlement date. Borrow shares before you sell them short. Stop the counterfeiting. All the regs that came out were because naked shorting, the counterfeiting of shares, was undermining banks. The SEC went from nothing is happening till the fall of 2008 that the market coming apart because of naked shorting. They chose the solution that people battling naked short selling had advocated for years. Borrow shares before you sell them short. Stop the counterfeiting.
+
+The SEC said it was investigating the collapse of Bear Stearns. It had been massively naked shorted. The SEC didn't come up with anything.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - POST AMA DD- Lucy Komisar AMA powerpoint and partial script](https://preview.redd.it/jca68d5g56171.jpg?width=330&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=741e78b0f0b0ac9ab85b0f27f872316eabbca976)](https://preview.redd.it/jca68d5g56171.jpg?width=330&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=741e78b0f0b0ac9ab85b0f27f872316eabbca976)
+
+Ted Kaufman- former US Senator, Delaware
+
+2009 Kaufman and the hard locate
+
+A little-known backstory involved former Delaware Senator Ted Kaufman who ran Biden's post-election transition team. It shows how big stock market players and the institutions they control have blocked attempts to deal with naked short selling. Kaufman was Biden's longtime chief of staff, and was named to the Senate seat vacated by his boss when Biden became Barack Obama's vice president.
+
+After the 2008 market meltdown that included abusive naked short selling of Bear Stearns and Lehman Brothers, Kaufman, a Democrat, and Georgia senator Johnny Isakson, a Republican, introduced legislation that directed the SEC to write regulations to end the practice. They determined that the SEC's current regulations were unenforceable. Hedge funds could spread rumors, do massive shorts without locating stocks, and deliver after the prices dropped.
+
+In July 2009, Kaufman and six colleagues from both parties wrote to the SEC, proposing a "hard locate" plan that would ban all short sales unless the executing broker first obtained a unique identification number for the shares, perhaps through an automated centralized system. This would prevent multiple short sales on the basis of a single share.
+
+According to Jeff Connaughton, then Kaufman's chief of staff, months before the letter, "the DTCC (the national stock clearing agency) had gone to the SEC with a proposed solution to naked short selling that looked like Kaufman's solution, with the DTCC creating a centralized database that would prevent the same shares from being used for multiple short sales.
+
+The DTCC told Connaughton, 'We got pulled back.' They meant, he said, by their board, by the Wall Street powers-that-be." Because in the case of the DTCC as well as the SEC, the fox is guarding the henhouse.
+
+In 2009 staffers of the Senators met with the SEC's Enforcement Division to find out the status of its investigation into the naked short selling of Bear Stearns and Lehman stock. SEC lawyers told them they'd have to be patient and that the investigation would take at least another year. It never happened.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - POST AMA DD- Lucy Komisar AMA powerpoint and partial script](https://preview.redd.it/m6a9h2jl56171.png?width=263&format=png&auto=webp&s=4074499e1301f9ad2712d1a806d20a0383873fa2)](https://preview.redd.it/m6a9h2jl56171.png?width=263&format=png&auto=webp&s=4074499e1301f9ad2712d1a806d20a0383873fa2)
+
+Ted Kaufman as long time advisor to the current President
+
+2010 Kaufman continued to try to fight naked short selling in the Dodd-Frank debate. SEC had been ordered by the Dodd-Frank law of 2010 11 years ago to require more transparency in short selling and stock lending. It has ignored it.
+
+There were some alleged improvements made that year, 2008.
+
+The market makers exemption was eliminated, because the SEC said substantial levels of fails had continued in Threshold securities, and a significant number were the result of market maker exceptions. But they still had 6 days to settle their trades. So you have market makers failing and rolling their shares over every 5 ½ days.
+
+The grandfather provision on Threshold securities was eliminated. Unless its position in Threshold securities was closed, a broker-dealer couldn't effect further shorts in them without borrowing or arranging to borrow the securities. Don't worry, they finessed that.
+
+The amendments addressed fake borrows. It said that where a broker-dealer entered into an arrangement with another party to purchase or borrow securities, and the broker-dealer knew or has reason to know that the other party would not deliver securities in settlement of the transaction, the purchase or borrow would not be *"bona fide."*
+
+It repeated that: "The NSCC - clears and settles the majority of equity securities trades conducted on the exchanges and in the over-the-counter market."
+
+So the rules still didn't apply to ex-clearing and dark pools. So the ex-clearing route to naked shorts was protected. fails could be concealed at the start by ex-by not reporting them to the NSCC, the National Securities Clearing Corporation.
+
+In fact, the dealers could use ex-clearing to opt out of fails from trades through the exchanges. They could take them onto their own books and deal with the fails as they chose to, meaning do nothing, let the fails sit*.*
+
+And protecting the interests of the big banks/brokerages, the SEC did not include a hard locate requirement in its amendments to Reg SHO.
+
+But the SEC occasionally takes enforcement actions that go after low-hanging fruit, ie don't bother anyone significant or don't order more than minor penalties, the cost of doing business.
+
+2003 Sedona/Badians
+
+The Sedona case, where the Badian brothers ran a death spiral financing scheme that in 2001 involved providing a loan that would be repaid in shares. And then it did a massive shorting attack that knocked down the price of the shares from $6 to 20cents. the SEC in February 2003 filed a complaint against Thomas Badian and his company, Rhino, for fraud and market manipulation of Sedona shares. Badian and Rhino immediately settled with the SEC for a $1-million fine without admitting or denying guilt. The $1 mil was a pittance, cost of doing business.
+
+In 2006, the SEC filed a civil suit against Andreas Badian, four officials of Pond Equities and a trader at Refco, all involved directly in the naked shorting, but not against Ladenburg, the high-profile broker-dealer that facilitated the deals and collaborators.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - POST AMA DD- Lucy Komisar AMA powerpoint and partial script](https://preview.redd.it/fqrt6qam66171.jpg?width=960&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=f91e36651dc8f18ba0e83a6e77d3bc079b718f3c)](https://preview.redd.it/fqrt6qam66171.jpg?width=960&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=f91e36651dc8f18ba0e83a6e77d3bc079b718f3c)
+
+2005 Eagletech
+
+Eagletech, which had an invention, new at the time, to push phone calls to other devices. letting people to usee a single phone number that followed them from phone to phone. He became a target of a group of death spiral financing criminals working with Salomon Smith Barney in New York five Salomon officers and a group of investors offering to buy convertible preferred shares from Eagletech for up to $6 million
+
+They did a pump up and then naked shorting so the stock dropped from $14 to 75 cents, reducing the market value by $113 ml. The stock went to 2 cents. The FBI was investigating. They busted 17 members of organized crime, including the crooks that ran the scheme against Eagletech.
+
+SEC filed suit against Serubo, Labella and organized crime collaborators who ran the corrupt operation that got control of stock of Eagletech. It said they generated in excess of $12.7 million from the sale of Eagletech stock. Members of his Salomon Smith Barney financing team and their options market-makers in Chicago were selling shares and then failing to deliver.
+
+Serubo, Labella and organized crime collaborators would be banned from penny stock trading and pay back the ill-gotten gains and fines. I couldn't find any penalties against the Salomon Smith Barney team or their options market maker collaborators.
+
+Then the SEC filed suit against the victim, Eagletech, to deregister its shares because it couldn't afford several hundred thousand dollars to file audited financial reports. The delisting is like a bankruptcy, all investors are wiped out and the naked shorters never have to cover. The SEC finished what the mob started, it killed the company.
+
+2007 Goldman
+
+From at least March 2000 to May 2002, that's more than 2 years, certain customers of Goldman Clearing used the firm's direct market access, automated trading system to unlawfully sell securities short in advance of follow-on and secondary offerings when they could get the shares cheaper.
+
+Although they were selling the offered securities short, used Goldman Clearing's direct market access, automated trading platform, the REDI System, preparing their own orders to sell on computer terminals and falsely marked them "long." The orders were routed directly to the New York Stock Exchange and other markets for execution.
+
+Goldman Clearing's own records contained information that Customers were selling securities short and that they were misrepresenting their "short" sales as "long". Goldman Clearing's records showed that the customers were repeatedly failing to deliver to Goldman Clearing the securities that they purported to sell long.
+
+So for two years of allowing shorts to be marked longs, Goldman had to pay civil money penalty of -- wait for it -- $1 million
+
+2012 SEC v OptionsXpress
+
+OptionsXpress, a wholly-owned subsidiary of Charles Schwab repeatedly engaged in sham transactions, known as "resets," designed to give the appearance of having purchased shares to close-out an open failure-to-deliver position while in fact not doing so.
+
+OptionsXpress had its customers buying shares and simultaneously selling call options that were the equivalent of selling shares short. The purchase of shares created the illusion that the firm had covered the short; however, the shares were never actually delivered to the buyers because on the same day, calls were exercised, effectively reselling the shares. The purpose was to perpetuate an open short position.
+
+In 2009, the six optionsXpress customer accounts bought $5.7 billion worth of securities and sold short approximately $4 billion of options. They did this to a couple of dozen companies. In January 2010, the customers who did the scam accounted for 48% of the daily trading volume in Sears. In the end OptionsXpress had to pay $4 million. Cost of doing business.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - POST AMA DD- Lucy Komisar AMA powerpoint and partial script](https://preview.redd.it/si49uknr56171.jpg?width=206&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=56bf1d0512b8fdfc9e42c662d506fd8bc85c821f)](https://preview.redd.it/si49uknr56171.jpg?width=206&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=56bf1d0512b8fdfc9e42c662d506fd8bc85c821f)
+
+Gary Aguirre- Former Investigator for SEC & Whistleblower
+
+The insiders tell the SEC corruption
+
+The story of Gary Aguirre says it all
+
+As a student at Georgetown Law School, Aguirre got a prize from the SEC for paper on Wall Street corruption as detailed in the Pecora hearings that led to passage of the Securities Act of 1933. So we know where he stands. In September 2004, he started as a senior counsel at the SEC Division of Enforcement. He said, "I understood what SEC was supposed to be doing: keep Wall Street from running amok. The SEC in July had promulgated Reg SHO, which it said would stop abusive naked short selling. He recalled, "The first thing I noticed is there seemed to be a deference to the large law firms who represented Wall Street players. And there were a lot of people there not at the same skill set level as the attorneys representing some of the players from Wall Street.
+
+Aguirre was assigned to an investigation that implicated a powerful Wall Street insider. John Mack had been head of the hedge fund Pequot Capital Management. The suspicion was that Mack had tipped Pequot's then CEO, Arthur Samberg, of General Electric's pending acquisition of Heller Financial. Mack was the only suspect. Without that investigation, the SEC would never be able to even consider the filing of insider trading charges against Mack, Samberg, Pequot or anyone else arising out of Pequot's trading in GE and Heller
+
+Aguirre refused to stop his investigation; Senior officials within the SEC's Division of Enforcement blocked an SEC subpoena seeking Mack's testimony and records in the investigation. Aguirre had contacted the Office of Special Counsel to discuss the filing of a complaint about the SEC's protection of Mack. Three days later, while on vacation, Aguirre was abruptly fired without warning on September 1, 2005, he was fired by phone.
+
+An SEC official told him it would be very difficult to take Mack's testimony because of his political influence. He told him that Mack was "an industry captain," that he had powerful contacts . . . , that Mary Jo White could contact a number of powerful individuals, any of whom could call Linda about the examination. Mary Jo White was a lawyer at a Wall Street firm, Linda was Linda Thomsen, the head of enforcement. Aguirre confirmed the conversation in two e-mails to the official the next morning. The first email referenced Ferdinand Pecora.
+
+Aguirre gave key papers to Charles Grassley on the Senate Finance Committee. And to the Judiciary Cmte. There were hearings in 2006.
+
+He told Congress that an SEC official told him it would be very difficult to take Mack's testimony because of his political influence. The official told him Mack was "an industry captain," that he had powerful contacts . . . , that Mary Jo White could contact a number of powerful individuals, any of whom could call Linda about the examination. Mary Jo White was a lawyer at a Wall Street firm, Linda Thomsen was head of enforcement.
+
+He said the SEC "favor" to Mack cleared the way for his return on June 30, 2005, as Morgan Stanley's CEO with no danger of an SEC lawsuit for insider trading. Mary Jo White would become chair of the SEC 2013 to 2017, appointed by Wall Street's favorite guy, Barak Obama, who apparently didn't know the Aguirre story.
+
+Later David Kotz, the SEC's inspector general, said he had found evidence that "raised serious questions about the impartiality and fairness" of the SEC's investigation of possible insider trading at the Pequot Capital Management hedge fund.
+
+Kotz also condemned what he called the "common practice" of giving outside lawyers' clients access to high-level SEC officials when they had complaints about front-line investigators. Kotz made numerous recommendations for reform, which the SEC ignored.
+
+Aguirre sued the SEC and won ¾ of million $ in back pay and damages.
+
+Mack, after being CEO Morgan Stanley, became CEO of Credit Suisse, then chair of Morgan Stanley and now is senior advisor to the global investment firm Kohlberg Kravis Roberts, whose strategic partners are hedge funds.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - POST AMA DD- Lucy Komisar AMA powerpoint and partial script](https://preview.redd.it/odru363cqa171.jpg?width=200&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=852f95acbb1d5354e65c9f6b1fc32c131c93a32a)](https://preview.redd.it/odru363cqa171.jpg?width=200&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=852f95acbb1d5354e65c9f6b1fc32c131c93a32a)
+
+Mark Fickes
+
+2005 Fickes and Overstock, Chris Cox
+
+Here's another case of an SEC staffer who tried to do the right thing but was pulled back. In August 2005, Overstock.com filed suit against hedge fund Rocker Partners and the equities research firm, Gradient Analytics saying they illegally colluded in short-selling the company while paying for negative reports to drive down share prices.
+
+Byrne took his information to the SEC. Mark Fickes of the SEC San Francisco office. He said, "Look at the patterns, their stocks are naked shorted by Dan Loeb, David Einhorn, Steven Cohen, David Rocker. [Look at] the dates journalists Bethany, Boyd, Remond, Greenberg wrote trash jobs. [that was Bethany McLean writing for Fortune, Carol Remond for Dow Jones, Roddy Boyd for the NY Post, Herb Greenberg for MarketWatch] Byrne said, "It was the same pattern, each one of these one of these journalists writes a hatchet job, there is naked shorting, SEC action begins against them, and the Milberg Weiss lawsuit. In every case, it's part of same bum rush on the stock."
+
+Byrne argued that Gradient, an investment advisor which was putting out fraudulent reports the shorters used, should be investigated -- and that the journalists were central to his case. The subpoenas were issued to Carol Remond and Herb Greenberg to provide information about conversations that they had with stock traders and analysts.
+
+Fickes issued the subpoenas with the approval of the SEC's head of enforcement, Linda Thomsen. It was announced that the SEC was investigating Gradient and had issued subpoenas to Carol Remond, Herb Greenberg and to Jim Cramer of TheStreet. David Rocker sold his shares in TheStreet. A month later Cramer sold some of his shares.
+
+Bryne: "Jim Cramer gets a subpoena; you have three days to disclose it. He knows TheStreet will crater, he can't just go sell it with undisclosed material information. He can get a plan to sell x amount per quarter after he gets the subpoena. TheStreet broke under a dollar."
+
+"Why would a hedge fund guy have an interest to own a financial publication? Cramer discloses in his books stuff that is widely illegal. Protection for journalists is about protecting sources about stories they are writing, not about their own corrupt market manipulation."
+
+The question is whether freedom of the press extends to reporters whose articles are part of illegal naked short selling scams. Fickes wanted to know.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - POST AMA DD- Lucy Komisar AMA powerpoint and partial script](https://preview.redd.it/s650tr5z56171.jpg?width=330&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=e085154954818611d3c78b7b0ed95a00a02303c7)](https://preview.redd.it/s650tr5z56171.jpg?width=330&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=e085154954818611d3c78b7b0ed95a00a02303c7)
+
+Chris Cox- Former SEC Chair
+
+He was summoned to Washington to meet with the new SEC chair, Cris Cox. Ultimately, Byrne said, the SEC caved under the media pressure. Cox killed the subpoenas and the SEC dropped its investigation of Gradient. Cox was SEC chair when Gary Aguirre was fired.
+
+What should the SEC do now? Solutions are there if it wants to protect investors, not do as it is told by the big broker-dealers.
+
+-   Require buy-ins. Require the broker of the investor who doesn't get shorted stock delivered to buy it on the market and charge the seller's broker. Of course, requiring buy-ins would make the stock go up, the shorters lose money.
+
+-   Restore the uptick rule so shorters can't sell for less that the last shorted trade. That would stop shorters hammering a stock down to bankruptcy.
+
+-   Create a consolidated audit trail (CAT) to collect order and trade execution information to identify and enable punishment of illegal trading activities, including naked short selling. More than a decade after the SEC promised it, following the 2010 flash crash, CAT doesn't exist.
+
+-   Impose real penalties on transgressors, like loss of license.
+
+-   Send cases of serial trading cheats to the Justice Department for criminal prosecution.
+
+-   End the revolving door with Wall Street.
+
+-   What will Gary Gensler do? And will he listen most to the pushback from the big brokers or investors like people on Superstonk?
+
+[![r/Superstonk - POST AMA DD- Lucy Komisar AMA powerpoint and partial script](https://preview.redd.it/8x1el37566171.jpg?width=988&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=296865c7cefe2fbb38b2ce25f4e6730bb498fa2a)](https://preview.redd.it/8x1el37566171.jpg?width=988&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=296865c7cefe2fbb38b2ce25f4e6730bb498fa2a)
+
+Gary Gensler- Current SEC Chair
+
+_____________________________________________________________________________________
+
+Questions
+
+[![r/Superstonk - POST AMA DD- Lucy Komisar AMA powerpoint and partial script](https://preview.redd.it/wwox8t4896171.jpg?width=998&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=01378e780fc8c6f174a6c840b76132b2b9e33c1e)](https://preview.redd.it/wwox8t4896171.jpg?width=998&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=01378e780fc8c6f174a6c840b76132b2b9e33c1e)
+
+-   You mentioned in your last interview that NSS has been going on for a very long time, but that it ends with Gamestop. Can you clarify further *how* you see this ending with Gamestop?
+
+>LK: I meant the story I tell in the book I am writing ends with GameStop. NSS goes on.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - POST AMA DD- Lucy Komisar AMA powerpoint and partial script](https://preview.redd.it/x8tcjb0m96171.png?width=1234&format=png&auto=webp&s=051d06480a45392f1cf48bd7579fc85a6f609447)](https://preview.redd.it/x8tcjb0m96171.png?width=1234&format=png&auto=webp&s=051d06480a45392f1cf48bd7579fc85a6f609447)
+
+-   Understanding that this is an unprecedented situation, we would simply like your personal opinion: Do you think that Wall Street/ US Gov't could/would pull some "trickery" to prevent the short squeeze from happening? What rules are they unable, or unwilling to break?
+
+>LK: We saw in GameStop trickery using dark pool trades of single shares. We know -- even the SEC admits -- that brokers create fake options conversions shares. They will break every rule, helped by the SEC which chooses not to enforce or orders mild penalties.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - POST AMA DD- Lucy Komisar AMA powerpoint and partial script](https://preview.redd.it/6prc9two96171.jpg?width=1079&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=5901203d74c13d3f0177dc484a6838a6b62a12e6)](https://preview.redd.it/6prc9two96171.jpg?width=1079&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=5901203d74c13d3f0177dc484a6838a6b62a12e6)
+
+now i want to play stardew valley
+
+-   What is your recommendation for finding a trustworthy, easily digestible news source for those of us who "don't have the time" to watch full hearings or read full bills?
+
+>LK: Depends on the subject. An aggregator I like is Naked Capitalism which has a lot of economic stories. The Daily Poster of David Sirota. I think the American Prospect that ran my NSS story is good. You have to try various online media to find the ones that do what your asking.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - POST AMA DD- Lucy Komisar AMA powerpoint and partial script](https://preview.redd.it/iosfnjcv96171.jpg?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=dc409dc5f02241f1aa8d009096fcb65758e029a9)](https://preview.redd.it/iosfnjcv96171.jpg?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=dc409dc5f02241f1aa8d009096fcb65758e029a9)
+
+*For clarification- The Hearings will be held: by U.S. Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs on May 26, and by the U.S. House Committee on Financial Services on May 27.*
+
+-   Congress has 2 hearings scheduled this week that are bringing megabank execs up to testify. In your opinion, will the correct questions be asked, or do you believe this is just political theatre?
+
+>LK: It's political theater. This is the same congress that has not reinstated the Glass -Steagall act of 1933 that separated commercial and investment banking, meaning keeping depositors' money from being used for banks own investments. thanks to Bill Clinton and Robert Rubin, the friends of Wall Street. You can tie the 2008 crash to that.
+
+_________________________________________________________________________________________________
+
+Thank y'all again for being so awesome through technical difficulties!! The show must go on, right?
+
+Thanks again to Lucy Komisar for joining us for a second time. Lucy will be back next Wednesday to speak with Wes Christian. Details to come in tomorrow's Jungle Beat! Be sure to follow [u/theJungleBeat](https://www.reddit.com/u/theJungleBeat/) so you catch the latest news from around Superstonk, every day at market close!
+
+I did speak to Lucy on the phone tonight and we agreed to both have a glass of wine in honor of Supertonk. And she said she will be sure to charge her iPad ;) 🥂

Confirmation-Bias-and-Discussion/2021-01-31-The-Only-Squeeze-that-Hurts-Citadel-and-Point72-is-GME.md

@@ -0,0 +1,50 @@
+You are being played: Citadel and Point72--major hedge funds and investors in Melvin--own tons of AMC, NOK, and BB. The only squeeze that hurts them is GME 🚀
+==============================================================================================================================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/meta-cognizant](https://www.reddit.com/user/meta-cognizant/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/l9o3vs/you_are_being_played_citadel_and_point72major/) | 
+
+---
+
+[Discussion](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Discussion%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+*Edit as of May 27th, 2021*: I posted this back in something like January of this year. Stop commenting on it. Of course things have changed since then. But the price action you saw in AMC today was not shorts covering, it was options driven. Take a look at call volume today.
+
+The punchline: Citadel and Point72 own shit tons of AMC, BB, and NOK, and presumably want them to increase.
+
+I've found it somewhat suspicious that most accounts saying to buy/hold AMC, NOK, and to a degree BB are new. In addition, when each of these stocks started getting promoted here, other than GME (which was pretty much all that was talked about at the time) we were still almost exclusively an options subreddit. It took forever for most of us retards to learn that shares were important for GME as a special case, but all of the support for AMC, NOK, and to a degree BB was/is about holding shares, which was grounds to get booted to [r/investing](https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/) prior to GME. We're wallstreet*bets* after all. We trade high-risk options and share in our love of excruciatingly erotic loss porn. The people promoting AMC, NOK, and BB didn't/don't seem to fit in with their recommendations of shares. So I decided to look into this more.
+
+After being reminded by Cramer's video that hedge funds will often manipulate sentiment premarket by pushing the stock up and then slowly dumping it, I decided to look into a premarket comparison of GME and AMC on a random recent day. As you can see below, GME and AMC are both pumped up premarket, but by open GME has been shorted down (and it pops up) whereas AMC is in the stratosphere and falls sharply once everyone in the market is trading freely:
+
+<https://preview.redd.it/zgykmt8mqqe61.png?width=1678&format=png&auto=webp&s=eeae992d385ba8529a99e2558b270146099f7646>
+
+This seems like they may be trying to manipulate GME and AMC in opposite ways. This premarket activity can make people pile into non-GME stocks if it looks like GME peaked and others haven't. I haven't looked at BB or NOK, but my guess is that we'd see a similar divergence between GME and those stocks in after hours/premarket as well.
+
+Most importantly, Citadel and Point72 are long on BB, AMC, and NOK.
+
+BB
+
+[According to 13F filings](https://fintel.io/so/us/bb), Citadel owns a whopping 1,068,700 shares of BB, and Point72 owns 519,200 shares. No options are owned by either fund. Point72 and Citadel clearly profit from BB's rise.
+
+AMC
+
+[According to 13F filings](https://fintel.io/so/us/amc) (Ctrl+F citadel or point72), Citadel owns 292,926 shares of, call options on, and put options on AMC, and Point72 owns 21,758 shares. It's not possible to know what options strategy (e.g., long straddle) Citadel has in play, but it's clear Point72 and Citadel have both benefited from AMC's enormous increase.
+
+NOK
+
+[According to 13F filings](https://fintel.io/so/us/nok), Citadel owns an enormous 2,950,823 shares of, call options on, and put options on NOK, and Point72 does not own shares of NOK. It's not possible to know what options strategy (e.g., long straddle) Citadel has in play, but it's clear Citadel has benefited from NOK's rise.
+
+We already learned this morning that Citadel owns a humongous stake in silver, so that is most likely being shilled too. Importantly, if any of these funds sell off AMC, BB, NOK, or silver during their increase, they all have more capital to short GME with.
+
+*The only stock increase that really hurts either of these funds or Melvin is GME***.** *These funds shorted a viable and successful company to 140%. I know I would prefer to specifically focus on hedge funds that seem to have knowingly engaged in illegal naked shorting (Melvin, probably), appear to have forced Robinhood to stop allowing purchase orders (Citadel, Robinhood's primary financer), or are literally run by people who have been convicted of securities fraud (Point72).*
+
+Why did AMC, BB, or NOK get restricted too, then?
+
+The question remains as to why all of these stocks were restricted by many brokers at around the same time as GME. My belief is that purchases on these stocks were restricted in order to make them look like they were stocks that these hedge funds didn't want us to buy. Alternatively, *some* hedge funds are short these other stocks, so it's possible that they were having liquidity issues that also affected the market. But, like I mentioned above, I'd prefer to focus on hurting hedge funds engaging in illegal activities.
+
+TLDR: hedge funds profit off of your buying AMC, BB, and NOK calls/shares. These stocks seem to be shilled on here as alternatives to GME to distract us. Unless you want to line the pockets of Citadel, Point72, and indirectly Melvin, stay away from AMC, BB, and NOK. BUY AND HOLD GME IF YOU WANT TO REALLY HURT THESE ASSHOLES. GME TO THE MOON 🚀🚀🚀🚀
+
+Disclaimer: I am retarded and not a financial advisor, so this isn't financial advice. I am long GME and not long any of the other positions mentioned in this post (for the reasons I have outlined in this post). I also regularly scrub my post history but have been on this subreddit long enough to be a member of tanker gang.
+
+EDIT: READ THE HUGE EDIT AT THE BEGINNING OF THIS POST YOU RETARDS, THIS POST IS OLDER THAN YOU.

Confirmation-Bias-and-Discussion/2021-05-19-Theory-The-SLGG-Merger-is-Happening-Potentitally-Launching-MOASS.md

@@ -0,0 +1,112 @@
+Theory: The SLGG merger IS happening, it's a MOASS launching button and RC has been pointing it out for a long time (TODAY AS WELL ♥)
+=====================================================================================================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/pepsodont](https://www.reddit.com/user/pepsodont/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/ngdwjj/theory_the_slgg_merger_is_happening_its_a_moass/) | 
+
+---
+
+[Opinion 👽](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Opinion%20%F0%9F%91%BD%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+I think it might be apparent from my posts now that I'm not wrinkle-brained in financials, chart reading and other ~~boring~~ important stuff but I like finding patterns. I've been working as a psychologist and a marketer for a long time, so believe me when I tell you there's a lot to be uncovered by understanding behavior patterns or just patterns of things that look unrelated, but really aren't.
+
+Some people call it far-reaching, tinfoil, confirmation bias, whatever - but check my post history and you'll see I've been more right than wrong.
+
+As one of the veteran apes wrote in a comment in here once: "One weird thing happening is a coincidence, two is enemy action".
+
+So with that in mind, let's check out why I think this is a pattern (not a coincidence) which is pointing into Gamestop merging with SLGG after all. Yes, even after we forgot about it because we thought it was a nothingburger.
+
+Once again - this is a "tinfoil" theorycrafting. Don't go into comments telling me that, I KNOW. Get in here to get your tits jacked and drink up on confirmation bias. Alright, retards?
+
+1\. Gamestop changing its logo
+
+Today, apes started reporting Gamestop changing its logo from "Gamestop" to just "GS" on WeBull. We also saw a changed logo on their astronaut tweet.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Theory: The SLGG merger IS happening, it's a MOASS launching button and RC has been pointing it out for a long time (TODAY AS WELL ♥)](https://preview.redd.it/rt1hpjcyo5071.png?width=591&format=png&auto=webp&s=b62b363068dbe4a36e486f62cfa77e83dffec0b1)](https://preview.redd.it/rt1hpjcyo5071.png?width=591&format=png&auto=webp&s=b62b363068dbe4a36e486f62cfa77e83dffec0b1)
+
+There's no reason to do it unless you're planning on changing that logo - if they wanted it shorter, they could've gone for "GME" which is standard and everybody knows it.
+
+Conclusion: It looks like Gamestop is signaling a logo change. When do you usually change a company's logo? When the company goes through a transformation, maybe a merger.
+
+2\. The astronaut is drinking Carlsberg beer which underwent a notable merger recently
+
+We thought that the Carlsberg beer was a nod to our AMA with Carl Hagberg, but was it really?
+
+Just google "Carlsberg" and "merge" - [one of the biggest merges in the last year](https://www.bighospitality.co.uk/Article/2020/10/30/Carlsberg-and-Marston-s-merger-completes) with Marston's taking a smaller position of 40% despite their much more superior valuation with difference in 380 million of british pounds.
+
+3\. A merger would put GME shares on the moon, it's a fucking launch button
+
+If you don't know, I'll tell you something juicy. If, theoretically, Gamestop were to merge with another entity (RC Ventures, SLGG) and decided on changing their name even slightly, they would get a new stock market ticker.
+
+That would initiate a mother of all share recalls since ALL the issued shares would have to be taken in for ~~questioning about Kenny's mayo habits~~ a reissuance - which means all the lent shares would be requested back and the naked ones would have to be bought at market price. That would initiate the MOASS.
+
+4\. Gamestop has a brand new official esports Twitter page
+
+If you create an esports Twitter page, you probably want to start dabbling in esports, right? But damn, it's fucking hard for a transforming company to just start an esports division on their own from scratch, where would they even begin? They didn't even hire key managers for this, so how are they gonna navigate through these salty waters?
+
+Well, the industry standard for companies who want to enter a new market and have cash is to simply BUY A COMPANY THAT SPECIALIZES IN THAT MARKET.
+
+Boy, would it be fortunate if such a company was aro....oh fuck me Ryan, where exactly were you a few weeks ago?
+
+5\. RC was near SLGG HQ and he tweeted about it
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Theory: The SLGG merger IS happening, it's a MOASS launching button and RC has been pointing it out for a long time (TODAY AS WELL ♥)](https://preview.redd.it/o9lwxqvcp5071.png?width=1507&format=png&auto=webp&s=f08bd9a69f46f5094c7a85985d2c316db526603a)](https://preview.redd.it/o9lwxqvcp5071.png?width=1507&format=png&auto=webp&s=f08bd9a69f46f5094c7a85985d2c316db526603a)
+
+Why would you pinpoint where you are Ryan?
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Theory: The SLGG merger IS happening, it's a MOASS launching button and RC has been pointing it out for a long time (TODAY AS WELL ♥)](https://preview.redd.it/puf08k8fp5071.png?width=967&format=png&auto=webp&s=77f5e8eac8974c2b6d58f82e5dfd08a480b4e737)](https://preview.redd.it/puf08k8fp5071.png?width=967&format=png&auto=webp&s=77f5e8eac8974c2b6d58f82e5dfd08a480b4e737)
+
+Oh that's why!
+
+6\. RC tweeted an ice-cream and a frog pointing at Ann Hand, CEO of SLGG
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Theory: The SLGG merger IS happening, it's a MOASS launching button and RC has been pointing it out for a long time (TODAY AS WELL ♥)](https://preview.redd.it/yvw3kl3ip5071.png?width=603&format=png&auto=webp&s=bd5b09f8fcc79eca28bbe14cbe22cc5938bd9a36)](https://preview.redd.it/yvw3kl3ip5071.png?width=603&format=png&auto=webp&s=bd5b09f8fcc79eca28bbe14cbe22cc5938bd9a36)
+
+I was there, 3000 years ago...
+
+Yeah, the famous ice-cream and a frog tweet. I don't think any of the theories as of to its significance paid off so let me offer one of the less popular ones.
+
+Check out where did Ann Hand, the CEO of SLGG work before.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Theory: The SLGG merger IS happening, it's a MOASS launching button and RC has been pointing it out for a long time (TODAY AS WELL ♥)](https://preview.redd.it/7swu9s1pp5071.png?width=796&format=png&auto=webp&s=3d421bcdf96bf5f2ca0faeb564c0f6ba0ad82088)](https://preview.redd.it/7swu9s1pp5071.png?width=796&format=png&auto=webp&s=3d421bcdf96bf5f2ca0faeb564c0f6ba0ad82088)
+
+Coincidences, huh?
+
+7\. He tweeted "love" recently and a heart / love today (probably completely wrong, check EDIT)
+
+Why repeat the same sentiment Ryan? What's so important about love? Are you just sending positive vibes our way? You never did this before, why would you start now, without reason?
+
+My personal opinion on this is that the grandma tweet didn't work the way he wanted to - maybe it was a funny coincidence it worked so well with lyrics saying hold me hold me squeeze me or maybe he didn't realize. After all, he never tried decrypting his tweets in song lyrics so I don't think it was intentional.
+
+Did you guys realize how fast this tweet came? It's almost like "yeah, but I wanted to tell you something else".
+
+By going with that theory - what does "love" usually mean? Love, sex, all that stuff - isn't it a merger between 2 people usually? Hmmm? HMMMMMMM?
+
+I know many people will say "tinfoil", "far-reaching", "reaching", "speculating", blahblah, miss me with that noise. No shit this is a speculation, there's nothing else to do with it.
+
+But that's how investigation works. You create a hypothesis, a theory and later you'll see if you were right or not. For me personally, these things are adding up too nicely for them to be "just coincidences" or "glitches" or shit.
+
+No, this is a pattern.
+
+Could I be wrong? Most likely. But it's the best we got imo. Have fun jacking them tits to this motherload of confirmation bias! 🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀
+
+*- Jacques Le Titz*
+
+EDIT: It came into my attention that the heart ❤️ tweet would be much simpler to explain with "hedgies are on their last life". I'm a big fan of Occam's Razor, so I'm going to go with it - the grandma tweet has therefore been decrypted nicely and "love" isn't the concept he's going for!
+
+I also like the theory it's a < and 3, which means "less than 3" weeks to the meeting. Theorycrafting is fun!
+
+EDIT 2: Ugh, because I probably should've seen it coming - no people, I'm not encouraging anyone to buy SLGG. The only position I have is GME, because that's the only play.
+
+But if you want to I mean, sure, I'm pumping it and then dumping with a fucking tinfoil hat theory, Jesus. I have the dump button right before me and it's big and red (that's what she said). SMH
+
+EDIT 3 because of course: Guys, please, be careful about buying SLGG. People are already going apeshit (haha) on me that this is a pump and dump post since Citadel is long on SLGG.
+
+That fact alone doesn't mean anything since Shitadel is long on thousands of stocks and they could expect GME to do exactly what I've been saying and maybe they want to block them by voting against or they wanna ride the wave, I don't know. Nobody knows. Just...fuck other stocks except GME okay?
+
+It's also up by 15% or so AH so yay for the power of Superstonk I guess?
+
+EDIT 4: No I don't have a damn clue what's going on with the All Seeing Awards. Maybe DFV's mouse button got stuck and he needs help with the mouse since he's not a cat?
+
+EDIT 5: For those who STILL don't believe this is an organic post, here are the screenshots ( <https://i.imgur.com/naiRTJP.png> and <https://i.imgur.com/f3CEioL.png> ) of how the idea originated in our private Discord and that should be the end of it or I swear to Wendy's tendies I will turn into a vibrator from so much shaking of my head.

Confirmation-Bias-and-Discussion/2021-05-22-Every-Apes-Gets-Paid.md

@@ -0,0 +1,42 @@
+Every ape gets paid. A look at the numbers.
+===========================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/Themeloncalling](https://www.reddit.com/user/Themeloncalling/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nihl31/every_ape_gets_paid_a_look_at_the_numbers/) | 
+
+---
+
+[Education 👨‍🏫 | Data 🔢](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Education%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%8F%AB%20%7C%20Data%20%F0%9F%94%A2%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+TL;DR: Apes can get tendies. No doomsday for world economy. Ook ook. 🚀 🚀 🚀
+
+Who pays the apes?
+
+Let's take a look at the chain of failures. Short hedgies go broke trying to pay the apes with shares. Their positions are transferred to their creditors, the big banks. What happens when they don't have enough money? They go to the lender of last resort, in this case, the Federal Reserve. Here's a video on it:
+
+<https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tb4Dkf5puJg>
+
+The last time this happened was in 2008, when among others, AIG latched onto the Federal tit for a massive bailout and later paid hundreds of millions in bonuses to the very department that triggered the bailout. Seriously, this happened: <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AIG_bonus_payments_controversy>
+
+If any of you XX or higher shareholders out there are holding past $218 million in payouts as a symbolic gesture, just remember, you deserve it more than AIG. Anyone who says otherwise can go play leapfrog with unicorns.
+
+How much will the Fed need to print?
+
+According to this DD on Geometric Mean: <https://www.reddit.com/r/GME/comments/m9td6w/estimations_for_the_total_payout_of_gme_based_on/>
+
+Around 5 trillion dollars at the $20 million a share range, averaged out for paper hands along the way. Assuming that 20% of the ownership is outside of America, that leaves 4 trillion going into the domestic economy. But wait! Taxes. 2 trillion goes to apes, 2 trillion goes to the treasury. If I was the ruling party, 2 trillion dollars with no strings attached to advance my party's interests would be pretty sweet, another reason why doing nothing is the best approach. The budgetary spending for 2020 was 4.79 trillion dollars. This windfall would be worth around 41.8% of their budget. Imagine if the government was an average person, 41.8% of what they spend for the year is a small jackpot but not life changing. It is definitely not enough to be considered hyperinflation. Assuming that 80% of this subreddit is American shareholders, this works out to be 240,000 shareholders / 331 million people = 0.0725% of the population. Spreading the payout around such a small group of people will not have a huge effect on the consumer price index or put a lot of pressure on demand, unless you are considering fringe categories like Lambos and McLarens.
+
+Won't all this money ruin the economy?
+
+NO! According to the Fed data gathered by Forbes, the top 1% of Americans have a combined net worth of 34.2 trillion dollars: <https://www.forbes.com/sites/tommybeer/2020/10/08/top-1-of-us-households-hold-15-times-more-wealth-than-bottom-50-combined/?sh=5b0c5c835179>
+
+The top 1% own 43% of the world's wealth, totaling over 173.3 trillion dollars in 2019: <https://inequality.org/facts/global-inequality/>
+
+With the geometric mean, the top 1% of wealth in America will increase by 5.8%. On a global scale, 3 trillion dollars after taxes is a 1.7% increase. The payout will register a small blip, and those who paper hand early may not even make the cut for the top 1%. What does this conclude? Fears of an ape payout causing hyperinflation is FUD. The payout causing global hyperinflation or massive distortion of the world's wealth is FUD. Don't hold for a number that seems big to you. Hold for a number that seems big to THEM. Even if the number of diamond hands doubles or triples, 9 trillion dollars after taxes is a small ripple in the global supply of wealth. Let's hope some of you apes will know how to create a positive butterfly effect with your tendies.
+
+Edit: [u/Allohn](https://www.reddit.com/u/Allohn/) pointed out this DD here has a more correct Apeish number of 60 trillion:
+
+<https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mmt8rh/geometric_mean_exponential_increase_and_gme_price/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share>
+
+How does that change the overall picture? 25 trillion taxes, 25 trillion to apes, 10 trillion abroad. Net impact of 35 trillion. 20.2% increase in the top 1% of worldwide wealth with ultimate diamond hands. Still not enough to pay off the national debt of 28 trillion and counting. Seeing as how M2 is no longer counted, and the true number of shares to be paid out is unknown, I wonder if they can sweep this much money under the rug. Only one way to find out!

Confirmation-Bias-and-Discussion/2021-05-23-Crypto-Market-Liquidated-Over-One-Trillion-Dollars-since-May.md

@@ -0,0 +1,42 @@
+According to TradingView.com, Crypto market has liquidated over $1,000,000,000,000 USD since May. The price of GME has no limit.
+================================================================================================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/KFC_just](https://www.reddit.com/user/KFC_just/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nj5beh/according_to_tradingviewcom_crypto_market_has/) | 
+
+---
+
+[Discussion 🦍](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Discussion%20%F0%9F%A6%8D%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+TL;DR: Pretty picture show hedgies r fukt.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - According to TradingView.com, Crypto market has liquidated over $1,000,000,000,000 USD since May. The price of GME has no limit.](https://preview.redd.it/vvr25m60ku071.png?width=2048&format=png&auto=webp&s=0eb9c9f529beb404146c59563a9efc161919386f)](https://preview.redd.it/vvr25m60ku071.png?width=2048&format=png&auto=webp&s=0eb9c9f529beb404146c59563a9efc161919386f)
+
+1Trillion gone from Crypto since May 2021
+
+So i have seen several posts debating firstly the potential size of the collective payout that is going to come for GME, and secondly what the maximum price that will actually be paid for GME is likely to be.
+
+While everything is a hypothetical until it happens, and I am by no means a maths guy, I submit that the evidence of massive liquidations of the crypto currency market which we strongly think is being cyclically pumped and dumped to raise cash for Citadel and co, I submit that the grand total of 1 Trillion dollars so far just on crypto means that we control the price.
+
+There are of course the usual caveats that not all of this is GME related, or Citadel related, but involve every other possible reason in addition for every other player involved, preparations for Atobitt to release HOC 2 and 3 and trigger the liquidity crisis, and yada tada yada you get the point.
+
+But, caveats aside, the fact that 1 Trillion dollars has already been pulled out of just one sector of the market in preparation should be sufficient to jack your tits.
+
+Every single share of Gamestop both real and synthetic, in market, in dark pools, in ETFs, in options and calls and puts and shorts and everything else under the sun, every single one of them already has a designated owner before this started. Remember that. Before apes began mass buying and holding every single share was already owned. And now they're all "owned" many times over. What fun.
+
+This is why they cheated and lied and stole and counterfeited more shares than could ever exist in this company. This is why it is impossible for them to close their positions. This is why they are collectively collecting 1 Trillion dollars just to start with.
+
+Because every single paper handed bitch in the world selling low couldnt possibly change this maths now that so many synthetic shares are due. Every single share, real and synthetic, must be purchased at whatever price is available. And as the paper hands leave, and shares concentrate in the diamond hands of the apes, the price to buy increases exponentially.
+
+All shorts must cover
+
+This is why you are going to win.
+
+Edit: [Link to TradingView source](https://www.tradingview.com/markets/cryptocurrencies/global-charts/) damn watching that go down in real time across the whole crypto, rather than any particular stock is quite the sight.
+
+Edit 2 shills got to pump it
+
+[![r/Superstonk - According to TradingView.com, Crypto market has liquidated over $1,000,000,000,000 USD since May. The price of GME has no limit.](https://preview.redd.it/hywxgvkqrx071.png?width=2048&format=png&auto=webp&s=1cc378aeff2e99171575895b61a1dfe1c4de4655)](https://preview.redd.it/hywxgvkqrx071.png?width=2048&format=png&auto=webp&s=1cc378aeff2e99171575895b61a1dfe1c4de4655)
+
+Headline 1: Bitcoin tumbles 50%. Headline 2: Buy now you fool. Transparent much

Confirmation-Bias-and-Discussion/2021-06-07-A-Theory-of-Everything.md

@@ -0,0 +1,74 @@
+Final Pre-MOASS Post: A Theory of Everything (My Convo With Papa Broviet) 🙌💎🚀❤❤❤
+===================================================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/Broviet](https://www.reddit.com/user/Broviet/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nu8ycl/final_premoass_post_a_theory_of_everything_my/) | 
+
+---
+
+[Opinion 👽](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Opinion%20%F0%9F%91%BD%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+Well well well well wellllllllllll well.
+
+Where do I even begin? I'm high, tipsy, and just trying to come to terms with this past weekend. I saw my father for the first time in over a year today. Some of you know me, some of you don't, so I'll give you the quick rundown. Pops is a former MD at a major Wall St firm, reserved and skeptical boomer, who at the same time loathes market manipulators and regulatory bodies. BIG YUGE long-on-GME ape-loving genius boomer. He has his biases, but he's objective to a fault, and this weekend marked an enormous change in our relationship. I've legitimately been on the verge of tears for the last six hours just thinking about what you guys, and he, mean to me, and how on Earth I was going to try to structure this post.
+
+So I've decided... not to, really. I'm just going to tell it stream-of-consciousness as I felt it, not as I "wrote" it. You can choose to take from it what you will. Take inspiration, take resilience, take whatever, or nothing at all. I truly don't care. I've been found and contacted, received buyout offers, received threats, received threats about revealing threats, it is what it is. What happens to me, you the reader, or any of us, is out of our hands. We stand and fight and what happens happens. But this weekend changed me, so I'm gonna be telling it like it is. Warning: this is gonna be LONG. If you don't want to stick around, I don't blame you. This is just a story of a kid finally meeting his dad on common ground, and there are plenty other BRILLIANT posts. For those still interested...
+
+My father and I's paths to Finance were vastly different. Out of college, he was pursuing an entirely different vocation before switching to Finance, whereas I went towards it directly after school. He had his MBA before setting foot on a much kinder Street. Whereas mine marked the end of my appetite for endless moral qualms and empty bottles. So he settled in as a much more journeyed and composed adult, whereas I floundered. I tried to salvage it with a graduate degree and a focus change, but it did nothing for me. To this second, my parents still don't know that most of the time they thought I was on the other coast of this continent doing consulting work, I was on another continent(s) working for a couple public sector entities. International Relations was always my greatest educational love, so I wanted to try my hand at humanitarian/peacekeeping work, and enjoyed it a great deal. If I lost a tooth, I'd tell my mother I took up boxing and had a rough day sparring. Or that my constant cough was a result of change in climate and not pollution. If they ever read this, it'll be the first time they've heard. Still haven't decided if I do or don't want them to ever find out.
+
+Eventually, that experience broke me down, and I returned home to pursue an entirely new industry and career path, which I also love. Diving into behavioral economics and data science has been incredible, and GME couldn't have hit at a more perfect time. Y'all are everything to me, truly. I had barely even dabbled in investing since I'd left the Street, and you not only brought me back full tilt, but have also shown me what I want to do for the rest of my life. As a thank you, if I can, I want to give you the most insight I can into a genuine battle between the skepticism and disbelief that comes from age, wisdom, and shattered expectations, and the hope, optimism, and doggedness that can only be born of youth.
+
+We discussed everything. [/u/atobitt](https://www.reddit.com/u/atobitt/)'s prescient HoCs, leavemeanon's speculations regarding ETFs and arbitrage, sovereign wealth funds divesting from USD, Fed divesting corporate bonds, MSM brainfarts, etc. You name it, we went over it. And after it all, he was still cautiously optimistic. You have to understand... this man was not born with a silver spoon. I was, thanks to him. He busted his ass, one of many kids, and ascended to the top of the industry. He earned every dollar he ever made, and I would put his moral compass up against anyone else's on Earth, and that's "on God", as the younger apes say. So while he was there, he was able to benefit from having the power of the system behind him. But once he was out, he was just another John Q Public. No matter how he worked, that was how he lived. And he would always tell me, same as you'll hear on Superstonk, "Nobody is your friend. They're always gonna step in and bailout the offender, because it's easier than the alternative."
+
+And he planted that notion firmly in my head. Thankfully, 6 months with you glorious bastards has eradicated my doubt.... But I was a kid in 2008. This dude lived through '62, '73, worked through Black Monday, Black Wednesday, Dotcom, and, with all that knowledge, watched '08 unfold in front of his eyes with complete and total understanding of the fuckery afoot. He saw, as he calls it, the government's preferred method of "dealing" with these situations. Stepping in and "taking over" the offenders. Years later, those offending institutions are right back to their old game. No justice for retail. NEVER. Like you guys say, they're ALL out to get you, you have no friends in this game, you can't win....
+
+"But," I asked, "What if they CAN'T step in and unwind this?" He asked why that wouldn't be possible. So I explained that, if everything we'd just discussed was accurate, there are, at minimum, hundreds of other mini-GME bombs out there just waiting to detonate. The SEC abolished grandfathering/"forgiving" phantom shares in 2008 after the Overstock situation was exposed, swearing they'd never do it again. So...let's say they decided to do something similar and spit in the face of their own regulations. They step in and shut it down, forgiving all those shares. So now you've pissed off 5+ million retail investors, dozens of sovereign nations, and everyone is frothing at the mouth, calling for heads to roll. People might already be out in the streets, orchestrating massive movements that co-opt the many already-existing groups of citizens with massive disdain for the current system....
+
+And while that's happening, you've still got hundreds of other companies shorted to the tits that you need to address. What are you gonna do? Start working your way down the list, giving Wall St a do-over on every last one of them? Try that shit with the whole world watching, as their retirement accounts tank 60%, because that's where it's going regardless. "So how do they fix it piece by piece?"
+
+That was the longest silence of my life. I had gone full tin foil, as far as my family is concerned. I was making connections that bordered on irresponsible, but I hadn't been immediately shot down yet. My father has this..... very judgmental expression that he somehow limits solely to his eyes. But even those alone just scream "You're an idiot, but I love and pity you." Instead, I was now getting "hold on, lemme think." Then he said it. "They cant."
+
+This was the breakthrough that I'd been searching for, without knowing it was there. I had no idea that his mental block as to the possibility of a deviation from the status quo hinged on the severity of a situation. He had never seen something THIS systemic before. There was always a culprit, or culprits. I was able to convince him to buy in because he believed in the fundamentals, but he never REALLY believed that it had the capacity for such a monumental squeeze until just now. Because by his view of the government's favored "M.O.", they would just step in and take over. Well, if the government needs to "own" Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, the ten largest banks, most hedge funds, the DTCC, and every other large regulatory and clearing institution just for their citizens not to be destitute, maybe it's time they just take the whole thing over, eh?
+
+He agreed that this course of action was simply untenable. "So...what's the right play?", I asked.
+
+"I don't know."
+
+Not sure I've ever heard those words from him before.
+
+With all his somberness in how he said it, his eyes somehow brightened. Like..... somehow, the fact that his brain didn't IMMEDIATELY take the skeptic's path amused and enthused him. We are different. We were born with this hope, this insane belief that we could somehow claw our way through all the bullshit to a meaningful existence, all thanks to beautiful internet movements like this one. His eyes now screamed "there's something to this. I don't know what this feeling is, but for once it's not disappointment." It was beautiful. I don't think I've ever been more ecstatic to score such a small victory.
+
+This was his core tenet. After all, one of his favorite quotes is a Superstonk staple, by J Paul Getty: "If you owe the bank $100 that's your problem. If you owe the bank $100 million, that's the bank's problem." He was amazed that they may actually have dug the hole THAT fucking deep, and he just opened up. He actually entertained a MODERATE amount of my tinfoil! We talked about how the implications of this.....
+
+Okay, time out. I gotta address this. To the "the market is not the economy" squad: FUCK YOURSELVES. When the hole is THIS deep, it penetrates not just the economy, but geopolitical power dynamics. Take, for example, our relations with South Korea and Japan. When I informed pops that the Russians had divested their USD holdings, he commented about the paltry amount that was compared to an entity like China. Come to find out, Japan, one of our most important allies, holds more US treasuries than the mother fucking PRC. And how Korea had abolished naked shorting a month after learning of its existence. Whereas their greatest strategic ally was allowing this behavior to continue unchecked, to the point where U.S. markets collapse, cascading and destroying the Korean market in turn. How many sovereign nations must we betray before everyone turns on us? How many global citizens must we disenfranchise before we are exiled from the global community? Okay, sorry, moving on!...
+
+Dont take this the wrong way....but my father hates Europe. Well...mostly France. I kid I kid. He's one of the most inclusive dudes ever. But he's also a rurally-raised, All-American boy that jokes about soccer being communist and the French rifles being "never fired, dropped once". Truly all in good humor, but he's just...that dude, you know? But that dude, swear to god, actually said "If they actually stepped in and stopped this from happening....I really don't know why anyone wouldn't just immediately move to Europe."
+
+Blew my mother fuckin mind, y'all. I can't even put it into words.
+
+He drew a connection this weekend. He's a huge golf fan. His favorite golfer is Brooks Koepka, who hates this other golfer Bryson DeChambeau, who hates him back even more. Pops was THOROUGHLY amused to find out that Koepka was offering free beer to people that taunted DeChambeau on social media. He then likened that situation to the power of the GME memes I'd shown him courtesy of Reddit and Twitter...
+
+He was getting it. He was seeing the value in our way of doing things, and the power it has on society. How it drives engagement, involvement, INTEREST. Leveraging the fascination with social media to drive REAL interest to a cause.
+
+I don't know what's gonna happen for sure. Neither does pops. All we've managed to see eye to eye on is that the government has two options. In either, the current system goes away. Either you leave retail with one last giant "FUCK YOU!", leaving millions disenfranchised and destitute, chomping at the bit for politician and banker blood. Or you give retail a win. One fucking win, as a gesture of good faith, that whatever new system that arises from the ashes of this fraudulent one might be the SLIGHTEST bit friendly to middle America.
+
+Pops was mystified by the lengths we were willing to take this. 6 months of endless fuckery. 24/7 FUD, no safe harbor in sight. And still we persevered. He believes that we've finally reached Malcolm Gladwell's "Tipping Point", that us 20% of people were finally doing the 80% of the work necessary to meet the Pareto Principle. That the citizens of the world finally had sufficient interest and involvement to to drive undeniable change. And that that is what we are seeing right now. There are so many eyes, so many fingers, so many minds on this trade, there's no way to lose. We have no liquidity requirements. We have no deadlines. We just BUY. We just HODL. That's all there is. That's all there's ever been. Apes have awakened and discovered this principle, and they truly believe it. Pornstars are posing with 'The Intelligent Investor'. Floyd Mayweather is wearing CRYP70 shorts into his fight. I'm personally seeing Shibecrap headlines by boomer news anchors on NYC cab screens. This shit is really and truly mother fucking unprecedented.
+
+History doesn't repeat itself, but it does rhyme. Much like the boom/bust cycle, the wave recedes only to crash harder the next time around. The proletariat is only docile until they're not. Is this the wave that levels everything?
+
+"I don't know. But it's sure gonna be interesting", pops said.
+
+I'm not sure I can properly thank you all for opening my father's mind up to the idea of a decentralized movement triumphing over entrenched power. I really, truly, deeply, and forever will love each and every one of you. No matter what happens, I know what I want to dedicate the rest of my life to, but I (and papa Brov) are pretty damn bullish about the fact that apes have adopted an entire second job to combat fuckery.
+
+Which brings me to my last point. I know you are all just as flabbergasted as me that we've managed to beat hedgies into submission when this isn't even our day job. But that's just the point. If you're still reading this, you've dedicated most of your free time for the last 6 months to this movement. You've read every DD, every News, every Opinion, just to make sure you've got the full picture. And the result? You've got a better picture than the people you're up against. Because you genuinely care. Feel pretty good, eh? Well.... I hate to be the bearer of bad news, but this isn't magic, it's math. This isn't a miraculous movement. You saw a problem, you identified the issues, and went about solving them. Hundreds of thousands of you. And what you were left with was a prime example of "wisdom of the crowds". One step ahead in every way. Smarter, better, faster, stronger. I worry that some of you are viewing this battle in a vacuum, rather than as what it represents...
+
+We can call for campaign finance reform, to expel outside influences, etc, but at the end of the day, the only person you can trust is YOURSELF.
+
+This is something you need to understand. This trade, this movement...is not a mistake. Because of the wisdom of the crowds, we accumulated enough data to make an intelligent play. But going forward..... you must understand this is your new second job. Yes, it already has been for months, but now we're making it official. If you want to beat the street, you have to put in the hours. Thankfully, between us, we have hours to spare! But only if you remain diligent. This is your life now. Even if the current system collapses, the next one will be built against your interests. Are you ready to put in the work to combat fuckery? I think you are. So does pops.
+
+I saw a light in my father's eyes this weekend that I've never seen before. And I've never felt closer to him, and it's all thanks to you. So much love to each and every one of you.
+
+TLDR: "The price of liberty is eternal vigilance" - Wendel Phillips
+
+🙌💎🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤

Confirmation-Bias-and-Discussion/2021-06-08-350-Might-Be-Endgame.md

@@ -0,0 +1,30 @@
+$350 might be the absolute endgame. Here's why.
+===============================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/Schwaggaccino](https://www.reddit.com/user/Schwaggaccino/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nvc6g5/350_might_be_the_absolute_endgame_heres_why/) | 
+
+---
+
+[Possible DD 👨‍🔬](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Possible%20DD%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%94%AC%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+I feel like $350 at close is the absolute endgame for hedgies. True, don't place your faith in any dates or numbers however, over the course of the past 5 months, we've got more and more data and are now able to notice certain patterns and trends. Right around the ballpark of $350 (could be $348 or $352 - give or take a few) is where we see a crazy amount of resistance from shorters. Forget about peaking at a really high number for an hour, we are more concerned at closing at a really high number - above $350. Margin calls take place after trading hours. Most hedgies have 2-5 days to meet margin requirements and if they fail to do so, it's absolutely game over and they start buying back in, the dominos start to fall and put an unimaginable amount of pressure on Shitadel and other giant hedgies to stay alive. Let's take a look at some dates.
+
+Reminder: We've never closed above $350
+
+1/27 - $347 at close ($380 peak)
+
+1/28 - $193 at close ($483 peak)
+
+1/29 - $325 at close ($413 peak)
+
+3/10 - $265 at close ($348 peak)
+
+6/8 - $300 at close ($344 peak)
+
+It's not a coincidence they absolutely start shitting their pants above $350 and shorting it with everything they have. The only difference between today and Jan/March peaks are the repo agreements which gives hedgies access to fast cash to meet margin requirements (in other words, they are on life support right now unlike back in Jan/March when they didn't need it). The difference for us are the steadily rising support levels. It's not any easily manipulatable gamma spike with paperhands selling early anymore. There's a solid support line for us to keep their shorts from sending us back down to $40 again. In March, the effectiveness of their shorts weakened from tanking the price from 90% to just 50%. Today, it was a sub 20% drop. Their shorts are becoming less and less effective as the price continues trending upwards on utterly miniscule volume. Tick tock hedgies. Sooner or later we'll close above $350.
+
+Once again, don't place any hope on certain dates or numbers as we've already seen too many come and go, however closing above $350 is just too interesting to ignore. It might be your final chance to buy in.
+
+tl;dr: HEDGIES R FUKT

Confirmation-Bias-and-Discussion/2021-06-11-GME-Dates-and-End-Game-Predictions.md

@@ -0,0 +1,196 @@
+Let's Talk Dates....the Last Few Weeks of June Are Turning Me On......I Know We Don't do Dates But Here Are Some Dates.....and End Game Predictions
+===========================================================================================================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/Ginger_Libra](https://www.reddit.com/user/Ginger_Libra/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nxu1ck/lets_talk_datesthe_last_few_weeks_of_june_are/) | 
+
+---
+
+[Education 👨‍🏫 | Data 🔢](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Education%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%8F%AB%20%7C%20Data%20%F0%9F%94%A2%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+Apes, you ever held something for 6 months and wake up one day fucking sick and tired of Games Kenny plays? That was me on Wednesday. For the love of Harambe, I've had enough of the corruption.
+
+Well, strap in. I'm jacked to my tits and I've got some dates for you.
+
+Saturday June 12th-Tuesday June 15th- [E3, biggest gaming industry event usually with lots of good news and announcements. PC Mag has the deets for you.](https://www.pcgamer.com/e3-2021-schedule-dates-lineup/) Thanks to several Gamer Apes in the comments.
+
+Rumor: managers at GameStop have been told to expect something big the 15th to coincide with E3 but haven't been told what. See comments.
+
+Monday June 14th- Small T+21 FTD date from May 21 (according to some monkeys on Discord. Correct if wrong. It's not big volume).
+
+Am leaving this so you can keep an eye on it but [u/criand](https://www.reddit.com/u/criand/) may have disapproved his own FTD theory for the new, sexy, holy fuck net capital theory. [And holy fuck, I am jacked. Go read it.](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/ny2ov4/a_revisit_to_net_capital_what_is_truly_driving/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf)
+
+Tuesday June 15th- [Emergency Meeting at the Fed](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nxnyxf/emergency_fed_meeting_called_for_tuesday_june_15/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=mweb) credit to Smart Ape [u/TreeSquid007](https://www.reddit.com/u/TreeSquid007/) for reading good.
+
+*Wut doing JPow?*
+
+Edit: apes in the comments say this is a normally scheduled meeting with standard language. But you know they are talking about us.
+
+June 15th-16th- JPow do a meet about raising interest rates. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC).
+
+To those of you who can only focus on the next date out of all the dates and rocket fuel here and have to comment, fuck off. Tell your wife to top up my cell phone so I can FaceTime her tonight. She keeps begging me to switch teams. She says you've got a tool you don't know how to use.
+
+Now keep reading.
+
+Friday June 18- [Quadruple Witching Day](https://investinganswers.com/dictionary/q/quadruple-witching)
+
+*What Is Quadruple Witching?*
+
+Quadruple witching (also called "quad witching") refers to the third Friday of every March, June, September and December. On these days, derivatives (e.g. market index futures, options futures, stock options, stock futures) expire, usually resulting in increased volatility.
+
+You know what I like? Volatility. You don't scare me anymore, Kenny. I'm into that shit. I've got daddy and mommy issues.
+
+I know the last one was a letdown. Don't focus on one date.
+
+Edit: Wrinkly Ape [u/Francis46n2WSB](https://www.reddit.com/u/Francis46n2WSB/) pointed out last Quad Witching wasn't normal and Kenny was stressed.
+
+*The last quadruple witching day was not a letdown, it had an enormous explosion in volatility.
+
+What happened was, if you check the charts you'll notice, Kenny and friends massively suppressed the the price so that the volatility wouldn't be noticed. I compare it to diving and laying over a grenade.
+
+This time I think they're running out of stuff to contain the blast.*
+
+Also on Friday June 18th [Some crazy junk bond shit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/ns7k6q/could_gamestops_liftoff_unravel_corporate_junk/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share) that everyone is balls deep in except us and Goldman Sacks. Thanks to Literate Ape [u/Get-It-Got](https://www.reddit.com/u/Get-It-Got/) for this one. Go put some wrinkles on this one. OP is asking for more eyes.
+
+Also Friday June 18th- tons of SPY puts. Usually about a billion. At 60 billion. Thanks to SPY ape [u/rabsgood](https://www.reddit.com/u/rabsgood/). We aren't sure what this means. Could be nothing. Could be fuckery.
+
+Monday June 21st- NSCC 002 most likely falls into place. You know what that means? More on NSCC 002 below. Marge is a demanding bitch.
+
+Also June 21st- ~~Aussie~~ Ape Matt Furlong becomes CEO of GameStop.
+
+Detail Ape clarified Matty isn't from Oz....just ran the Amazon for them for 2 years. 8 years total at Amazon. Welcome back to cold Christmas, my dude. I hear Texas has snow now.
+
+Tuesday June 22nd to Thursday June 24th- Net Capital, aka margin call spikes. [u/criand](https://www.reddit.com/u/criand/) has redone his FTD predictions to include Net Capital, AKA margin call requirements. [here.](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/ny2ov4/a_revisit_to_net_capital_what_is_truly_driving/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf)
+
+Wednesday June 23rd and Thursday June 24- Big Wrinkly Brain Ape [u/criand](https://www.reddit.com/u/criand/) says another FTD cycle. [Danger Zone 2 here](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nwgzw7/danger_zone_part_2_shorts_are_terrified_of_a_310/) and [comment from today here](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nxajjj/comment/h1fns10) **see above for new Net Capital updates from criand.
+
+Thursday June 24th- Kenny wants to look clean and tidy for FINRA. Cleans up his shorts to make a pretty for the paper. Short interest report day from [FINRA. ](https://www.finra.org/filing-reporting/regulatory-filing-systems/short-interest)often causes the price to rise. It's GME so expect it to fall, even if they reveal it's shorted 2000% (they won't). Thanks to new redditor [u/Superstonkfollow](https://www.reddit.com/u/Superstonkfollow/) for the message.
+
+Look at previous FINA SI receipt dates. 27 Jan. 9 Feb. 24 Feb. 9 Mar. 24 Mar. 12 Apr. 26 Apr. 11 May. 25 May. 9 June. Overlap with the T+21/ T+35 on 24 Feb, 26 Apr, 25 May. [When the dates align, the wombo combo happens](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nf22qz/theory_on_the_ftd_loop_missing_link_a_t35_surge/?utm_source=reddit&utm_medium=usertext&utm_name=stocks&utm_content=t1_h0qiqzc) [u/criand](https://www.reddit.com/u/criand/) got another wombo wrinkle. Thanks again to [u/superstonkfollow](https://www.reddit.com/u/superstonkfollow/) for putting all that together.
+
+Friday June 25th- JPow wants 715 BILLION in reverse repo payments back. [Holy Fuck. ](https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h41/current/h41.pdf)Thanks to Detail Ape [u/aquadisaster](https://www.reddit.com/u/aquadisaster/) for the wrinkle.
+
+Also Friday June 25th- Mr. Russell Gets a Extreme Stonk Makeover..... after hours. See [this thread](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nxjvpg/gme_russell_1000_rebalance_day_and_t21_and_t35/) from Wrinkly Ape [u/vierzehnter](https://www.reddit.com/u/vierzehnter/) for in depth Mr. Russell wardrobe change analysis.
+
+But the summary is this: paraphrasing OG Wrinky Ape d/lauer.....Russell rebalance is volatile AF.
+
+Papa Cohen said to buckle up.
+
+Monday June 28th First day of trading after Mr. Russell gets a makeover
+
+AND
+
+T+35 FTD date according to Math Ape [u/Unsure_if_relevant](https://www.reddit.com/u/Unsure_if_relevant/) Check out criands new [Net Capital 21 Day Loop here.](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/ny2ov4/a_revisit_to_net_capital_what_is_truly_driving/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf)
+
+EDIT: wrong year. Another ape caught it. June 2023. ~~Wednesday June 30th-US switches from LIBOR to SOFR. Fuck if I remember what any of this means. LIBOR is the The London Inter-bank Offered Rate. SOFR is Secured Overnight Financing Rate.
+
+This is the rate which determines how much it costs BofA to borrow from Wells, etc. Ape do a wrinkle and link and explain more, pls and thank.
+
+New redidior [u/SuperStonkFollow](https://www.reddit.com/u/SuperStonkFollow/) linked me to Big Wrinkly Mod Ape [u/sharkbaitlol](https://www.reddit.com/u/sharkbaitlol/)'s Magnum Opus [Chaos Theory involving LIBOR and SOFR](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mseyai/chaos_theory_the_final_connection/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf) and holy fuck. I can't sum it up. Go read it again.
+
+Holy fuck moment: SOFR the last time it was attempted to transitioned into (in 2019) almost IMPLODED the market due to many realizing that banks and others could not handle a higher interest rate (based off the DAILY TRESURY YIELD RATE) versus the fabricated one that banks provide.
+
+This can be postponed......again. someone call JPow and tell him we are done fucking around.~~
+
+LIBOR to SOFR isn't happening until June 30, 2023.
+
+But I'll still jacked.
+
+Add this with reverse repo and I'm jacked.
+
+Monday July 5th just a reminder the casino is closed ~~so that Kenny and Steve and Gabe and Mikey can have a much deserved day of rest~~ Murica celebrates its birthday, Bitches.
+
+Wednesday July 14th GameStops NFT on E-network word I can't say ~~but I can't find thread. Linky me, pls.~~ High tech Ape says more [here.](https://www.reddit.com/r/GME/comments/nkzqyv/gamestop_crypto_or_nft_to_go_live_july_14_2021_at/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf)
+
+Friday July 16 [Crazy high option volume](https://gme.crazyawesomecompany.com/)
+
+Also Friday July 16th- crazy amount of SPY puts. Could be nothing. Could be sus. Keep an eye peeled.
+
+Monday July 26th- 21 Day Net Capital cycle. Fresh off the press from criand. [Here.](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/ny2ov4/a_revisit_to_net_capital_what_is_truly_driving/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf)
+
+Monday August 16th- T+21 for the July 16th giant tidal wave of options
+
+Friday August 20th- T+35 for July 16th tidal wave 🌊
+
+Do you see why I'm jacked??
+
+Now a note on NSCC 002/801 because everyone seems to be confused. This is *the* margin call rule.
+
+Marge: Hello, Kenny? It's Marge.
+
+Kenny, peeing his pants: Yes, Marge?
+
+Marge: Pay me more money. You've got 1 hour.
+
+No more days to fuck around and come up with funds.
+
+Now I want to clarify here because I see a lot of misconception floating around this jungle about Marge.
+
+When Marge calls, hedgies can meet their margin, meaning they can deposit more funds with their co-conspirators the DTCC and NSCC and keep on trading.
+
+A margin call doesn't automatically mean default or MOASS.
+
+Funny, cause if Marge calls my dumb ass I can't trade the rest of the day until I get my balance over 25k, so most likely out two days while my wire goes through. But Kenny and Steve and Gabe are special and previously they had days to meet their margin call.
+
+Apes seem to think that when Marge calls, it's game over for the hedgies. Not true. They've probably already been margin called and met their margin requirements several times already. But now they only have 1 hour.
+
+It's when they can't meet their margin calls that shit gets fun. Once 002 is in place, 1 hour. I expect to see more sell offs of their long positions when this happens. And I can't wait. Isn't Citadel long on Tesla and Burry short?
+
+Now, when they can't meet their margin (or supplemental liquidity requirements) that's when they default. Default is what we are waiting for, my ape relations.
+
+When default happens, that's when the DTC computer starts closing positions. Computer don't care how many zeros. [More about that process here.](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nvrouv/i_feel_like_this_deserves_its_own_post_remember/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=mweb)
+
+Also remember there are multiple hedgies playing fuck you in the ass here.
+
+My guess (and I'm a dumb internet ape so don't listen to me or take this as financial advice) is that when the price skyrockets, the not quite as dumb hedgies will try to get out first and save themselves and add fuel to the fire.
+
+Expect trading halts. Expect wild swings. Expect the rest of the market in the red and VIX going crazy. That's when you know MOASS is here.
+
+Note I'm not saying MOASS will start when 002 falls into place. I'm saying 002 tightens the noose.
+
+NSCC 002 is the rule that makes 801 actually work, in case you're keeping track.
+
+Thanks to Smart Astronaut Ape [u/MoonTellsMeASecret](https://www.reddit.com/u/MoonTellsMeASecret/) for this [801/NSCC 002 Ape Guide Here](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/n5idj9/801_and_nscc002/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf).
+
+Now some of you wrinkly brains are wondering where is DTC 005.
+
+[u/Existing-Reference53](https://www.reddit.com/u/Existing-Reference53/) did an email [with the DTC](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/ngwhzu/where_is_srdtc2021005_the_update/) and they say it's being reformatted and posted soon.
+
+DTC 005 is the rule that says Bad Kenny can't hide his dirty undies in the options anymore. Some apes say it's mission critical. Some say not. I'm too dumb to weight in on this.
+
+Wut doing [Mikey](https://www.dtcc.com/about/leadership/board)? DTC need to borrow my paid license for Microsoft Word to hurry up that formatting? DM me. I'll hook you up.
+
+But I smell a fucky here. If it is the lynchpin and I was DTC Mikey and also a co-conspirator in massive fraud (Lawyer Ape Wes said trillions in fraud in our lifetimes) I would hold it back as long I could too. My guess is they are waiting for the first wave of defaults and it will magically be done with formatting. According to the emails once it's published it is approved.
+
+Which leads me to this. My End Game Theory: No one wants to be a market manipulator or set off The Greatest Transfer of Wealth EVER. No one will force it. Not BlackRock. Not the DTC. Not GameStop or Papa Cohen.
+
+It will happen when it happens. No dates, but taking all these things into account.....soon.
+
+Kenny and Steve and Gabe and Mikey want it to be bad enough they can get a bailout. Then they can blame us.
+
+[That scene in The Big Short about the bailout rattles in my mind.](https://youtu.be/RvI5mN3RIAI) Steve Carrell says "Paulson and Bernanke just left the White House. There's going to be a bailout."
+
+[Guess where former Fed Chair Ben Bernanke works now?](https://www.citadel.com/leadership/dr-ben-s-bernanke/) He's probably helping write the bailout as we speak. Remember, this is bigger than Kenny and Steve and Gabe. This is also Mikey at the DTC. It's the prime brokers. It's the banks. The ones who allowed illegal naked shorting to happen.
+
+Also. Don't forget. Fed Repo rate breaking records daily. Elliot Wave guy says up. Sign Guy is epic. DFV still in. Papa Cohen in the Cap'n seat of the rocket.
+
+Your homework this weekend: hydrate. Play. Leave the basement and get some sun on your skin. For fucks sake, watch The Big Short if you haven't already. It's free in the US on Hoopla with a library card if you're temporarily broke AF (because you're about to be rich). If someone will willingly and enthusiastically consent to shagging you then do that too.
+
+Film Noir Ape [u/Best_Account](https://www.reddit.com/u/Best_Account/) also recommends you watch [The Inside Job (YT)](https://youtu.be/T2IaJwkqgPk) and [Princes of the Yen (YT)](https://youtu.be/5-IZZxyb1GI) to the weekend watch list.
+
+I also recommend Margin Call and Billions. And The Big Short book is even crazier than the movie.
+
+If you've got any other important dates let me know and I'll add them here. Them just corrected to 🌝. It's a sign.
+
+Past 4pm my time. Signing off for a strong beverage.
+
+Buckle up.
+
+TL,DR: just skim for FFS.
+
+Lots of fuel in the rocket. Andromeda called. She's ready for the apes.
+
+Thanks for all the awards! I've had so many anonymous ones I'm going to pretend both DFV and Papa Cohen have sent at least one each.
+
+Edit again: Jesus H. Roosevelt Christ. I mention Quadruple Witching Day as 1 of 20 other dates with things going on and it's all some of you can see. STFU and read the rest.

Confirmation-Bias-and-Discussion/2021-06-12-Analysis-of-Ryan-Cohens-Tweet-Activity-and-T+21-Dates.md

@@ -0,0 +1,112 @@
+Cohen has reached the same conclusion as u/Criand's T+21 Net Capital thesis: An analysis of tweet activity and corporate announcements
+======================================================================================================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/Nalifi](https://www.reddit.com/user/Nalifi/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nycuk4/cohen_has_reached_the_same_conclusion_as_ucriands/) | 
+
+---
+
+[DD 👨‍🔬](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22DD%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%94%AC%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+*This is not financial advice. I am a retard who always lets one banana in the bunch he buys go bad because I can't time eating the bananas correctly.*
+
+This post will re-analyze Cohen's tweets and Gamestop's positive price movements in relation to [u/Criand](https://www.reddit.com/u/Criand/)'s new T+21 net capital thesis.
+
+First of all I would like to lead you to Criand's new post, "Revisit to Net Capital".
+
+<https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/ny2ov4/a_revisit_to_net_capital_what_is_truly_driving/>
+
+I believe that TA does not apply to our favorite stock (but look forward to Elliot Wave guys proving me wrong), but the initial T+21/T+35 cycles were unique in that they don't rely on normal stock behavior, and instead analyze the unique situation GME is in (excessive shorting, FTD's). Additionally, it has had almost a 100% success rate at predicting price movements.
+
+I believe the net capital requirement thesis ties this together by eliminating loose ends in the previous theory, such as the shaky T+35 price movements, in addition to providing a solid explanation as to *why* these movements occur.
+
+I decided to take this opportunity to revisit speculation on Cohen's tweets/Gamestop major news, their timing, and analyze if these were the causes of price movements (and thus not the actual cycles). I decided to investigate by going full retard on my only day off and investigating each news report compared to the net capital cycle. The result has my *tits absolutely, indescribably jacked***:**
+
+If you'd like to follow along, let's open Criand's beautiful chart -
+
+<https://preview.redd.it/xh4u2ugmfs471.png?width=1438&format=png&auto=webp&s=85188eccc2bf3841bb98e37e5be98b8badcc01c7>
+
+and take a look with some positive Gamestop news catalysts and tweets from our favorite Ryan Cohen. I'll keep this area to data only and leave speculations for the end.
+
+1\. The Ice Cream Cone
+
+<https://twitter.com/ryancohen/status/1364650709669601289>
+
+Ryan Cohen tweets the famous ice cream cone on Feb 24, lining up perfectly with the T+21 net capital requirement date. The price rockets that day.
+
+2\. Voluntary redemption of senior notes is announced.
+
+<https://news.gamestop.com/news-releases/news-release-details/gamestop-announces-voluntary-early-redemption-senior-notes-0>
+
+GME announces a voluntary early redemption of senior notes on April 13th. Price spike is April 13 AH -- T+14 date is April 15th. The positive news does not correlate with price movement.
+
+*Side note:* DFV Final Yolo update: April 16th
+
+3\. Cohen train tweet.
+
+<https://twitter.com/ryancohen/status/1386485746916380673>
+
+April 25th: Cohen tweets a train coming. South Park. This is one day before the T+21 or 75% Net capital cycle. Additionally:
+
+4\. Gamestop announces completion of the At-The-Market equity offering program.
+
+<https://news.gamestop.com/news-releases/news-release-details/gamestop-completes-market-equity-offering-program#:~:text=GameStop%20disclosed%20on%20April%205,time%20through%20the%20ATM%20Offering>.
+
+This news is placed directly on the T+21 date. *Price spikes.*
+
+May 3rd; Gamestop completes voluntary early redemption of senior notes, leading them out of debt.
+
+T+7 is May 5th, no price movement on this announcement. They also announce acquisition of a 700,000 sq. ft fulfillment center, resulting in *no price movement*.
+
+May 11; Gamestop tweets man on the moon, T+14 is May 14th,
+
+May 12, Gamestop Esports twitter profile is launched.
+
+None of these announcements result in significant price movement.
+
+May 25, Ryan Cohen tweets "Don't try this at home" at 12:32 AM, midnight before market open on the T+21 cycle the next day.
+
+<https://twitter.com/ryancohen/status/1397047791889879041>
+
+*Price spike.*
+
+Later that day, the Gamestop NFT is found. It has a launch date of July 14, 1 day before June 24 T+14 cycle.
+
+May 29, Cohen tweets "R.I.P. dumb ass", noting that the T+21 cycle has been figured out and the Hedgies. Are. Fuk.
+
+Speculation:
+
+Cohen is *fully aware* of the T+21 net capital loop that the hedge funds are trapped in. Given that both good news and hype tweets are clearly insufficient to result in a positive price movement (See: May 3rd, May 11, May 12, April 13), I am highly doubtful that an ice cream cone tweet is enough to drive up the price by over 100%.
+
+I believe that Cohen has had this figured out since very early on, and that's clear in his tweet behavior on later T+21 dates.
+
+This can also explain why Gamestop made the choice to conduct a share offering on 6/9 -
+
+6/9, the Gamestop shareholder meeting, as meme of a date as it may be, is *not* on a significant net capital requirement date, and thus Cohen and friends were well aware that the price would fall again. To counteract negative sentiment, he announces the share offering; effectively, FUD immunity, because any negative movement can be attributed to it. Additionally, it provides *1 billion dollars* in capital for future positive announcements, which he can place on the T+21 dates; for example, the June 24 T+21, which is in close proximity to the Russel rebalancing. Note: So far, only Cohen tweets have lined up with T+21 dates. If positive Gamestop news; an acquisition, a dividend, NFT's, esports deals lines up... oh god. No dates, but those with shares have nothing to worry about - they're in good hands. *Only up.*
+
+Tl;dr: Cohen is well aware of the T+21 dates and has lined up his own tweets *in clear indication* of it. The 6/9 ATM market offering, although I know many apes including myself were disappointed by, is basically FUD immunity as the price falls in between T+21 cycles. Furthermore, it raises capital for positive corporate announcements which can be lined up with T+21 dates, which so far, only Cohen tweets have lined up with. Price movements are largely irrelevant to news.
+
+*We're in good hands. If you hodl shares, there's nothing to worry about. HODL!*
+
+Edit: formatting. If anyone has criticisms, announcements, or additional news that I missed, please comment below.
+
+*Not financial advice.*
+
+EDIT: Guys I fucking missed one.
+
+On March 25, Cohen tweets our smoky teddy,
+
+<https://twitter.com/ryancohen/status/1375159657166209031>
+
+Lining up with the T+21 date on March 25th.
+
+With this, out of 18 Cohen tweets since his activity in Gamestop, 4 of them line up with the 5 T+21 cycle days thus far, missing only the first one on January. While it is *possible* that this is a coincidence, given that there's about 180 days since the beginning of all this I don't think it's very likely. If anyone is a statistics legend and could calculate the probability that this is random it would be much appreciated. Also, I don't think there's much of another reason why he would tweet an ice cream cone.
+
+edit: Reached out to friend who is a statistics major. He just graduated and doesn't want to do math but his response was - "Pretty sure though just from inspection it'll be statistically significant". Statisticians who are *not* lazy bums please comment if you can figure this out!
+
+edit 2: Update - math wrinkle brain messaged me with:
+
+"I can't post bc of karma but the probability of having at least 4 right dates on 5 while picking 18 out of 180 is 0.0339% It's an hypergeometric law."
+
+In basically any statistical research model this is *significant*. As always if anyone has any corrections to this please comment or message me. Tits jacked!

Confirmation-Bias-and-Discussion/2021-06-14-FINRA-Short-Interest-Reporting-Suggests-Hedge-Funds-are-Giving-Up.md

@@ -0,0 +1,79 @@
+FINRA short interest reporting: The current price action is anomalous
+=====================================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/No1Important_4real](https://www.reddit.com/user/No1Important_4real/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nztx4l/finra_short_interest_reporting_the_current_price/) | 
+
+---
+
+[Education 👨‍🏫 | Data 🔢](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Education%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%8F%AB%20%7C%20Data%20%F0%9F%94%A2%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+----TLDR; No price jump before a Short Interest Report date might mean Citadel and friends are unable to continue hiding their short interest. Reported SI numbers will climb.----
+
+For the year of 2021 two major events have been clearly and predictably affecting the price of GME, what's know as the FTD cycle, and FINRA reporting. I want to discuss the FINRA reporting.
+
+Many apes are unaware of the FINRA short interest reports and their affect on GME's price because they are largely eclipsed by the larger and more scandalous FTD cycle, but it's affect on the price action has been clear and predictable since the start.
+
+WHAT IS SHORT INTEREST REPORTING
+
+To summarize here is a quote from FINRA's own site:
+
+```
+FINRA requires firms to report short interest positions in all customer and proprietary accounts in all equity securities twice a month. All short interest positions must be reported by 6 p.m. Eastern Time on the second business day after the reporting settlement date designated by FINRA.
+
+```
+
+Also on the FINRA site is a calendar of important short interest reporting dates (<https://www.finra.org/filing-reporting/regulatory-filing-systems/short-interest>). There are three terms that are important with this calendar. Settlement Date, Due Date, and Exchange Receipt Date.
+
+Firstly, for those who aren't familiar, Short Interest is the term used to describe shares sold short but not yet covered or closed out. In terms of GME, this is all those synthetic shares and the whole reason this ape party is happening.
+
+Settlement Date is the date of the snapshot of short interest. If the settlement date is Friday, then the current short interest on Friday is used to as the data source to compile the report.
+
+Due Date is the date on which the reports must be submitted to FINRA.
+
+Exchange Receipt Date is the date on which the reports are published.
+
+From what I can discern though, there is possibly wiggle room within those dates. For example, it seems as though the reports are compiled with data from market open on the Settlement Dates, as often massive shorting begin anew on each Settlement Date. I assume the same is true on the opposite end and the published reports may not be until the end of the receipt date, which means they aren't readily available until the following business day for retail public.
+
+HOW SHORT INTEREST REPORTING AFFECTS PRICE
+
+Basically, the entities shorting GME don't want their short positions published. By design, shorts are supposed to be settled within a matter of days and it's only through gross manipulation and breaking of rules have they been able to draw them out (which is how the FTD cycle comes into play). What the short entities don't want is their true Short Interest to be known, and these reports are supposed to do exactly that. So, to get around the reports, they hide their positions (covered in many of the wonderful DD on the topic on the FTD cycle and Deep ITM hiding), or they close their short positions long enough to create the report.
+
+In any given day, more and more short positions are created and hidden away, but between report Settlement Dates, any short positions that can't be swept under a rug need to be closed, which causes price climbs in the days leading up to the Settlement Date. Typically on Settlement Date, after the data for the report has been captured, they will then begin shorting with abandon again to suppress the price.
+
+HISTORICAL PRICING
+
+[![r/Superstonk - FINRA short interest reporting: The current price action is anomalous](https://preview.redd.it/s4fo6knrx9571.png?width=1866&format=png&auto=webp&s=57f1a9e5effe14f1d14ef0e4e0b5c3ad77085d51)](https://preview.redd.it/s4fo6knrx9571.png?width=1866&format=png&auto=webp&s=57f1a9e5effe14f1d14ef0e4e0b5c3ad77085d51)
+
+FINRA Short Interest Reporting Dates
+
+I have taken the time to draw each Settlement Date on the graph of the calendar year for GME price. Each blue vertical line is a Settlement Date. You can clearly see in the day or two before each date the price will climb modestly or steeply. That is the closing of unhidden short positions. The two times this didn't happen was Feb 12 and April 30. Those two dates though were preceded by a flat period, most likely the open short positions were close or hidden within that flat period. It's most noticeable on April 30th where the was a large rally in the days preceding. If you increase the granularity of the candles you'll also find that on the days leading up to April 30th all the steep deeps were immediately met with steep climbs, I believe this is them closing their short positions on the same day they open them, keeping the price effectively flat.
+
+From the above chart, an minimum there is a moderately strong relationship between FINRA Short Interest Settlement Dates and the price of GME rising. You don't see a huge dip two days before a Settlement Date due to them not opening large quantities of new short positions, though actual market trading still does occur like on Feb 25th.
+
+WHATS HAPPENING NOW
+
+Right now we're in the midst of another anomaly when it comes with FINRA reporting. The price for the last two days has been flat and dipped hard just before then. If they need to close their short positions before the Settlement Date, it raises the question as to what's going on.
+
+As I see it, there are three scenarios that can account for what's happening.
+
+1.  The sale of 5 million shares is entirely at fault the for 30% price decline, open short positions were closed over the days leading up to that fall, or were able to be hidden during that time.
+
+2.  They are going to lie on their report more than usual and have no intention on playing the "hide the short" game anymore
+
+3.  They aren't bothering hiding anymore
+
+DISCLAIMER: The following is merely my opinion and not a factual analysis:
+
+I don't believe possibility of option 1 is very likely, simply due to the scale of the 5 million shares. That dilution would affect around 7-9% of the share price, and buy pressure has been steadily increasing. There would be people fighting to buy the 5 million shares with the shorts attempting to cover shares they couldn't hide. I don't believe there would be enough power in that sale to drop the price a whole 30%.
+
+Option two is possible, but would open up someone for clear fraud, probably a chain of individuals. Why go to jail for your boss, why go to jail as well as go bankrupt, especially if it doesn't change the outcome.
+
+Option three is the one that makes the most sense to me. They don't plan on hiding their positions any longer, either because doing so it's prohibitive, or they believe that Gamestop will report the full count of the vote and make hiding unnecessary.
+
+Should that be the case, we would find out on the 25th.
+
+Please comment below if you have any better understanding and deeper insight into this.
+
+EDIT: Added a disclaimer before my opinion and changed the tag from DD to education as some felt the DD tag should be used for more data driven analysis.

Confirmation-Bias-and-Discussion/2021-06-21-GME-Banks-The-Movie-Stock-and-Elliot-Waves.md

@@ -0,0 +1,100 @@
+GME, Banks Falling Off a Cliff, The Movie Stock, Elliot Waves, WUT Mean For This Week? 🚀
+=========================================================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/possibly6](https://www.reddit.com/user/possibly6/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/o4jxb3/gme_banks_falling_off_a_cliff_the_movie_stock/) | 
+
+---
+
+[DD 👨‍🔬](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22DD%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%94%AC%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+Sup Apes
+
+Elliot waves guy here doing my best to give you your daily dose of confirmation bias before the market opens!
+
+Not financial advice, I do unimaginable things with the crayons I get when I ask for a kid's menu at restaurants.
+
+NON NEGOTIABLE: PLAY THIS AS YOU READ (This song slowly builds, idk the vibes feel right <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bvBfiRWLj_0>)
+
+HAPPY FUCKING FATHERS DAY TO ALL YOU PAPA SILVERBACKS OUT THERE!!! If you're drunk from the day's festivities, this read will be even better.
+
+This might be a shorter post, I don't have too much to say as of yet other than I'm FUCKING JACKED 🚀
+
+First off, I'm sure you all have seen the posts regarding bank stocks following and how we can potentially use that as a predictive indicator in terms of GME stock price. Great work here if you missed the post: <https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/o42bfm/big_banks_lost_a_lot_of_value_on_january_14th_but/>
+
+Let's take a look at the banks last week:
+
+[OOOOF](https://preview.redd.it/vqt6zzy8ji671.png?width=2802&format=png&auto=webp&s=0e482ac603a8601e6d2988e8ac7e1475473c5140)
+
+This might be one of my favorite screenshots of all time. Let's take a look at the banks back in the middle of january and see if that had any correlation to GME goin bananas at the end of January.
+
+[death to big banks](https://preview.redd.it/eb9h44rgji671.png?width=2806&format=png&auto=webp&s=d45dcd5616c6db3ab3d85698ad1f65b9c31dc424)
+
+Given that GME's run peaked in the end of January, the conclusions that I draw from that are the banks hit a low around GME's peak. Granted, there were many outside factors at play back then, so this is all speculative. However, Let's look at GME in january now, pay close attention to the dates on the bottom and compare those to the banks above:
+
+[squeeze for ants](https://preview.redd.it/jg73y59tji671.png?width=2770&format=png&auto=webp&s=0af347858b726f3fe3104a2339cd794cc2412543)
+
+just from eyeballing, we can see that the banks seem to find their "bottom" as GME begins to lift off. Does this mean the banks will go to zero before GME squeezes? absolutely not, please don't think that will be the case. HOWEVER, we can assume that the financial sector and GME have some sort of inverse relationship, simply based on the erratic price action between the pairs.
+
+This time around, I'm expecting banks to continue to fall as GME rises. Can't halt buying this time around!
+
+I haven't charted out the bank stocks because frankly I don't really care, I want the major banks at 0 personally, wouldn't pay a penny more to hold that garbage (all my homies hate the financials sector)
+
+Alright, so we can *seemingly* use the falling stock price of banks as a predictive indicator for upwards GME price action. Do note, I didn't conduct any significance tests or anything, this is all simply from comparing candle charts and looking for similarities/differences.
+
+Speaking of comparing candle charts, something super interesting was brought to my attention in a group discussion, big shoutout to [u/roman_axt](https://www.reddit.com/u/roman_axt/) for the hard work you ultra wrinkly brained primate. Below are images of GME and the movie company, courtesy of [u/roman_axt](https://www.reddit.com/u/roman_axt/) as the arrows are drawn so the smoothest of brains can interpret what tf is going on. Do note, these are from about a week ago, so not all candles are up to date (if it even matters)
+
+[movie company](https://preview.redd.it/k6na9x1ali671.png?width=1642&format=png&auto=webp&s=b76c79799b8653e2f7a1abd4519511f3ec4de0d9)
+
+[GME](https://preview.redd.it/vsbpkxlqli671.png?width=1652&format=png&auto=webp&s=968f2fdef4407b30ca589c9c7b6ad887dec9fc4e)
+
+The reason I bring this up is because some of my friends in the trading world (that only trade off price action mind you, they don't really understand the whole GME saga) noticed this as well. It APPEARS that the movie company and GME not only move in a somewhat similar/predictable pattern, but GME seems to be lagging behind by about 2 or so weeks. Do note, this is just an approximation from eyeballing, please take this all with a grain of salt and remember I am retarded.
+
+Here is a view sent to me by one of my good friends who noticed the same fishiness occurring (from mobile thinkorswim):
+
+[moveee stonk](https://preview.redd.it/uq7aosflmi671.png?width=457&format=png&auto=webp&s=a068716cd483c2b6793e4d54d98ed2e1f852c613)
+
+[gAmEsToNk](https://preview.redd.it/1xw8lktmmi671.png?width=457&format=png&auto=webp&s=ad27d18e0a9739aa32ec178e69b29a6a39f9dc4f)
+
+now what REALLY has me jacked is the pattern lines up from a few weeks ago, when the movie stock was trading for sub $16/share. It then ran to upwards of 70+. I was able to predict the movie stock's relative high's and low's using EW as well, which I've gotta say is actually super exciting. I own none, BUT it worked on a seemingly "impossible" to time stock. Idk about you, but I don't believe in coincidences.
+
+Disclaimer, I hodl ZERO of the movie stock, I have always believed it was a distraction. the fact that the media is talking about it should tell you enough.
+
+Now let's tie this assumption into my GME elliot waves analysis, try not to get too jacked:
+
+[4hr](https://preview.redd.it/04006jafni671.png?width=2812&format=png&auto=webp&s=eb668952f63ba29226abd0855cbecd476b479466)
+
+As stated time and time again, we are in a 3 within a 3 within a 3, which is quite literally an elliot wave trader's wet dream. This setup is valid down to about 113, so I wouldn't worry about "is the structure still valid?" yes. yes it is.
+
+This is literally as bullish a setup you can get, all we need is a match to light the fuse. Our cycle 3 (white line) is targeting at the MINIMUM 440, though I would love to see the 1.618:1 ratio hit, as is most common for wave 3. This puts GME at roughly 582, though remember this is all pre squeeze.
+
+As always, the motto is simple. Buy hodl, sell for life changing money (not no 10k/share bullshit, 8 figures/share is life changing in my eyes, and that's just my floor).
+
+I'm not saying we will break into the 400+ range this week by any means, but man the stars are aligning for some crazy shit to go down. I'm fookin jacked m8.
+
+Lastly, let's take a look at SPY and the VIX, as we can use each as a tool to gauge not only sentiment, but potential fuckery before it happens. In my post regarding the SP500 and GME, I brought up how In the January squeeze, SPY took a fucking HIT as GME broke into the hundreds for the first time ever. Here's my view of SPY:
+
+[4hr](https://preview.redd.it/tg53oi4ioi671.png?width=2830&format=png&auto=webp&s=fb523f927bed85a65d2e1a43b2b000295e84d8bf)
+
+NGL, SPY is kind of in no man's land right now. I'll have to see how we open to have a better idea of where it's going. By all means this COULD be the beginning of our long awaited bear market, but it could very well form an impulsive wave 1 to the upside to make for a final push to around 430 before shit hits the fan
+
+My OWN PERSONAL THESIS is that we will see the markets pumped to valhalla 1 last time to try and draw as many "suckers" in so wall street can offload the bag at the peak. Put yourself in their shoes, seems like a logical play to strike fear into everyone, then prop the markets up a bit longer to make everyone think its okay, then proceed to dump the bag on them
+
+Lastly, the VIX, the fear/volatility indicator:
+
+[VIX](https://preview.redd.it/58x900k3pi671.png?width=2802&format=png&auto=webp&s=5ee14be1a71b82ca0ab2cde627b5e47467dad7f5)
+
+Finished up 16% on friday? spicy. In one of my posts I mentioned how we can use the VIX to gauge when GME will potentially do something erratic. just compare the spikes of the VIX and GME, you'll see there's at least some correlation there. I mean shit, end of january? Clear as kenny's "for sale" sign on his marked down penthouse that he suddenly is in a rush to sell. wonder why? (I think it sold actually lol, even funnier).
+
+I'm preparing for the best while always expecting the worst. I'm never disappointed this way and always excited, 10/10 would recommend.
+
+June 30 is the end of the grace period for banks, worth noting. I'm expecting the VIX to FLY when that happens, though again, pure speculation.
+
+TLDR: worth the read. Banks falling is a potential indicator that GME will do some crazy shit, GME also *appears* to be lagging behind the movie stock. That part is pure speculation, but speculation is part of the fun part no? (Sorry the song doesn't fit perfectly, you'd be surprised how much time i spend trying to link a fitting song lol. as long as you're jacked, i consider this a job well done)
+
+Now Imma go get high af so I'm well rested for MONDAY🚀 🚀 🚀
+
+edit: funny story cause y'all are fam, I went to the porsche dealer yesterday to test drive my post-moass whip, and the salesman googled me before I came in to make sure I wasn't some degenerate looking to crash their pristine GT4. I get there, and the salesman said he googled me and knew me as the elliot wave guy. Simulation confirmed. during the drive we talked about trading, I showed him my wave count, hopefully he got some GME. idk, random. Thought I'd share cause I thought it's a nice story. This movement is bigger than we can comprehend. EW guy is in the bio of my socials, so he put 2 and 2 together after googling my real name.
+
+Edit 2: proof I went and they let me drive the gt4: <https://imgur.com/a/uzTn3OR>

Confirmation-Bias-and-Discussion/2021-06-22-Is-NSCC-002-about-to-turn-the-T+21-T+35-Loop-into-a-Death-Spiral.md

@@ -0,0 +1,145 @@
+Wait... Is NSCC-002 about to turn the T+21/T+35 loop into a death spiral of T+0 as we approach Q2 end?
+======================================================================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/Criand](https://www.reddit.com/user/Criand/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/o5ingt/wait_is_nscc002_about_to_turn_the_t21t35_loop/) | 
+
+---
+
+[Possible DD 👨‍🔬](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Possible%20DD%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%94%AC%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+0\. Preface
+
+I am not a financial advisor. I do not provide financial advice. Many thoughts here are my opinion, and others can be speculative.
+
+So, NSCC-002 just got approved, along with NSCC-801 for one-hour margin calls. Not only did it get approved, it got accelerated approval and will be in effect Wednesday, June 23rd.
+
+This got me JACKED. But of course don't get too hyped just because of me. It could all be a nothing burger in the end. But, there's some crazy shit going down that I think is telling of what is about to come.
+
+There's also comments of "these rules mean nothing until they are enforced". Yes, I agree. But, consider the fact that the NSCC, ICC, OCC, DTC have all been drafting up rules to protect themselves in the event of member defaults and extreme market stress. They aren't just drafting these up to say, "Meh. Nevermind". The NSCC, ICC, OCC, DTC are full of members who are NOT short on GameStop or other positions that put these entities at risk. The other members have influence and do not want to be dragged down either. It's a battle of survival.
+
+I also apologize if anyone has already posted about this. I do know that [/u/dentisttft](https://www.reddit.com/u/dentisttft/) had identified these SLD periods in their post about T+35 when tying in the spikes of price! Such a smart ape! I'm going to expand on their post here, identifying the importance of NSCC-002 to the theory.
+
+A comment by [/u/minnowstogetherstonk](https://www.reddit.com/u/minnowstogetherstonk/) also encouraged this discussion, first identifying [that T+35/T+21 could turn into T+0 that feeds on itself.](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/o4y2so/nscc2021002_approved_with_partial_amendments/h2k0os3?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3) If this is what is about to happen... genius ape!
+
+I personally think that NSCC-002 will trigger a death-spiral for SHFs as we approach Q2 end, and shit is about to hit the fan across all markets.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Wait... Is NSCC-002 about to turn the T+21/T+35 loop into a death spiral of T+0 as we approach Q2 end?](https://preview.redd.it/q1te0jsbzr671.png?width=1686&format=png&auto=webp&s=4407f66bc6efcdd10e5d6323bea7bc2611371385)](https://preview.redd.it/q1te0jsbzr671.png?width=1686&format=png&auto=webp&s=4407f66bc6efcdd10e5d6323bea7bc2611371385)
+
+Awww shit
+
+1\. NSCC-002 And It's Effects On Liquidity Deposits
+
+Note: Like I said above, this is expanding off of [/u/dentisttft](https://www.reddit.com/u/dentisttft/)'s post of T+35 found here: [T+35 Is The One True Cycle](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/o155a6/t35_is_the_one_true_cycle_evidence_to_back_my/). It visually showed the NSCC liquidity cycle times and the effects it had on FTDs, which never really clicked until thinking about NSCC-002 a bit more. Give their post a read! :)
+
+Something big to remember is that NSCC-801 now goes into effect along with NSCC-002, which allows for one-hour margin calls. This means that when a member does not have sufficient liquidity, they will be asked to post it within one hour to the NSCC. If they do not post the liquidity, then the member defaults. And thus, the snappening begins.
+
+Let's investigate the most important bits of NSCC-002. First, a glance at what the rules used to be and the NSCC's concern driving the rule change**:**
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Wait... Is NSCC-002 about to turn the T+21/T+35 loop into a death spiral of T+0 as we approach Q2 end?](https://preview.redd.it/yjhyg0vrzr671.png?width=793&format=png&auto=webp&s=1c593670c431dca25f897bf1ffa26197b3b60fc9)](https://preview.redd.it/yjhyg0vrzr671.png?width=793&format=png&auto=webp&s=1c593670c431dca25f897bf1ffa26197b3b60fc9)
+
+NSCC-002 Part 1; Old Liquidity Requirements
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Wait... Is NSCC-002 about to turn the T+21/T+35 loop into a death spiral of T+0 as we approach Q2 end?](https://preview.redd.it/k7sfq4iszr671.png?width=784&format=png&auto=webp&s=61deac31a63ecb823c3ea5939792043b2b890a87)](https://preview.redd.it/k7sfq4iszr671.png?width=784&format=png&auto=webp&s=61deac31a63ecb823c3ea5939792043b2b890a87)
+
+NSCC-002 Part 2; Old Liquidity Requirements
+
+Prior to this rule change, the NSCC would collect liquidity deposits only during Monthly Options expiry periods. What is a monthly option? It is the third Friday of each month:
+
+-   January 15
+
+-   February 19
+
+-   March 19
+
+-   April 16
+
+-   May 21
+
+-   June 18
+
+-   July 16
+
+-   Etc.
+
+The NSCC realized that shit could get really wonky between those liquidity periods of the monthly options. These volatile movements in the markets would put the NSCC itself at risk due to some of its members positions. So, they decided to draft up this rule which allowed them to not only grab liquidity around monthly options, but to be able to ask for more liquidity on a daily basis. This allows the NSCC to take hold of volatility and say, "enough is enough, you're done for".
+
+Now, check this out:
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Wait... Is NSCC-002 about to turn the T+21/T+35 loop into a death spiral of T+0 as we approach Q2 end?](https://preview.redd.it/754z0dte1s671.png?width=799&format=png&auto=webp&s=736bb773f6515211f916788f10fe1ba914c1569c)](https://preview.redd.it/754z0dte1s671.png?width=799&format=png&auto=webp&s=736bb773f6515211f916788f10fe1ba914c1569c)
+
+NSCC-002 Part 2; New Liquidity Requirements
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Wait... Is NSCC-002 about to turn the T+21/T+35 loop into a death spiral of T+0 as we approach Q2 end?](https://preview.redd.it/wp8f279f1s671.png?width=741&format=png&auto=webp&s=cae04b68606972c68160dc782ad61d53a9bbac03)](https://preview.redd.it/wp8f279f1s671.png?width=741&format=png&auto=webp&s=cae04b68606972c68160dc782ad61d53a9bbac03)
+
+NSCC-002 Part 2; New Liquidity Requirements
+
+The NSCC defined a period of grabbing liquidity and holding it to be 2 business days prior to monthly expiration, and ending 7 days after monthly expiration. From the dates listed above, this gives you the following time periods of liquidity deposits for monthly expirations:
+
+| Monthly Option Date | Liquidity Deposit Given By Member To NSCC | Liquidity Deposit Returned To Member From NSCC |
+| --- | --- | --- |
+| January 15 | January 13 | January 27 |
+| February 19 | February 17 | March 2 |
+| March 19 | March 17 | March 30 |
+| April 16 | April 14 | April 27 |
+| May 21 | May 19 | June 2 |
+| June 18 | June 16 | June 29 |
+
+And if you remember from [/u/dentisttft](https://www.reddit.com/u/dentisttft/)'s posts, these periods all contain the T+21/T+35 dates of January 25, February 24, March 25, April 26, May 25, and June 24. So it appears that, as [/u/dentisttft](https://www.reddit.com/u/dentisttft/) concluded, that they struggle with liquidity during these time periods of FTD deliveries and the price gets much greater upward momentum.
+
+Going back to the images above of NSCC-002... notice that in the old rule that the amount of liquidity that needed to be posted for monthly expirations was based on settlement activity of the prior 24 months. That's a lot of leeway on how much liquidity is needed per member as it was not checking real-time data.
+
+NOW... the NSCC is changing it to a daily calculation. It's no longer a one-and-done deal of the monthly liquidity based on the prior 24 months. It is going to be based on a constant check of real-time data. This can shift the total liquidity required from the previous rule up significantly, mainly because it is no longer based on the prior 24 months of settlement activity.
+
+2\. T+21/T+35 Loop Turns Into A T+0 Death Spiral
+
+Remember how shit went absolutely wild around March 10th? That was outside of a liquidity deposit phase. And then, the price was tanked and brought down severely JUST BEFORE the next liquidity deposit was required.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Wait... Is NSCC-002 about to turn the T+21/T+35 loop into a death spiral of T+0 as we approach Q2 end?](https://preview.redd.it/yv2xmolw2s671.png?width=251&format=png&auto=webp&s=972401702a7cdee5648397fb0a827f137d3c1902)](https://preview.redd.it/yv2xmolw2s671.png?width=251&format=png&auto=webp&s=972401702a7cdee5648397fb0a827f137d3c1902)
+
+GME Price Action Prior To Next Liquidity Requirement
+
+In fact, something curious is that the price has never been above $228 entering the next liquidity posting date, and has never been above $300 during these liquidity dates. Hmmm? Margin call price could be dangerously close. And with NSCC-002/801, it can absolutely screw the SHFs.
+
+What does this all mean in the end? Well, it can turn the T+21/T+35 loop into a T+0 death spiral.
+
+They used to have to post liquidity two days prior to the monthly options. But now, the NSCC has the discretion to ask for MORE liquidity at ANY time based on daily movements of prices. The previous liquidity posting was a one-and-done deal instead of a liquidity requirement that would constantly update every day of the year. And if they fail these new liquidity checks? One. Hour. Margin calls.
+
+Here's a figure based on [/u/dentisttft](https://www.reddit.com/u/dentisttft/)'s liquidity deposit phases identifying what could happen starting Wednesday, June 23rd:
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Wait... Is NSCC-002 about to turn the T+21/T+35 loop into a death spiral of T+0 as we approach Q2 end?](https://preview.redd.it/ebuouwrl4s671.png?width=1536&format=png&auto=webp&s=adb54e7938d647d2f1d43f1b9ccbaeeac3701cad)](https://preview.redd.it/ebuouwrl4s671.png?width=1536&format=png&auto=webp&s=adb54e7938d647d2f1d43f1b9ccbaeeac3701cad)
+
+GME Price Action And Liquidity Deposit Phases
+
+This could very well be why they are trying to obliterate the price at the moment.
+
+The next FTD spike can cause the price to absolutely soar into a price range which requires more liquidity, making it harder for them to suppress the price, and pushing GME more towards the margin call price. Which then feeds on itself requiring more liquidity, and it continues on an absolute death spiral.
+
+Which can then lead to this:
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Wait... Is NSCC-002 about to turn the T+21/T+35 loop into a death spiral of T+0 as we approach Q2 end?](https://preview.redd.it/emkfeo659s671.png?width=1536&format=png&auto=webp&s=a1459a1ed24e63e7193930567c2dbcd1c4917884)](https://preview.redd.it/emkfeo659s671.png?width=1536&format=png&auto=webp&s=a1459a1ed24e63e7193930567c2dbcd1c4917884)
+
+Happy GME TA
+
+2\. Urgency to Approve NSCC-002; Quarter End Of June 30th; Meeting Between Biden, Powell, Yellen, Gensler
+
+Guess what? The 2008 crash "started" around the end of Q3 with the collapse of Lehman Bros on September 15, 2008. End of quarters are when the system gets really strained due to the underlying plumbing of the markets and the necessity to pump balance sheets.
+
+> Banks' "reporting" dates are known inflection points in the short-term funding markets and typically fall at the end of the month, quarter, and of course the year. But periodically, the 15th of the month is also a pressure point. - [Source](https://blog.pimco.com/en/2019/09/repo-rate-spike-a-tail-of-low-liquidity)
+
+Fast forward to when the Fed attempted to reverse QE. A year after performing QT (reverse of QE), the repo market blew up to 10% interest on September 15, 2019 due to way way way too many loans that had to be handled. You can see how strain on the markets starts to amplify around particular dates of Quarter-ends and occasionally the 15th of months.
+
+We're approaching the end of Q2 which is June 30th. Hm. Quarter end?! Sound familiar? 👀
+
+The NSCC-002/801 is having accelerated effectiveness. There is huuuge urgency to get this passed for margin requirements and margin calling members. Why would they be pushing this to get it out the door? I think shits about to hit the fan. They NEED to protect themselves.
+
+Something else to note is that Biden, Yellen, Gensler, and Powell all met for "Climate Change" discussions today.
+
+> "The regulators reported that the financial system is in strong condition," the White House said in a readout of the meeting. - [Source](https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2021/06/21/joe-biden-live-updates/)
+
+That's the entire context of the quote. That the financial system is "in strong condition". What are they actually doing at this meeting? Something similar to discussing letting X Y and Z fail just like they discussed letting Lehman Bros fail in 2008?
+
+The [Jungle Beat Monday Post](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/o54hl2/the_jungle_beat_monday_06212021/) talked about this very briefly and it was something I latched onto immediately. I remembered [the meeting for 2008](https://www.cnbc.com/2018/09/12/bernanke-paulson-and-geithner-say-they-bailed-out-wall-street-to-help-main-street.html) but did not connect the dots to this meeting between Biden, Powell, Yellen, and Gensler possibly being similar in scope.
+
+Wild times we live in. But remember - don't fuckin' dance.

Confirmation-Bias-and-Discussion/2021-06-29-NYSE-Threshold-List-Collapsing-Shorts-and-Launching-the-MOASS.md

@@ -0,0 +1,56 @@
+The NYSE threshold list: collapsing shorts and launching the MOASS
+==================================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/Bladeace](https://www.reddit.com/user/Bladeace/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/oao9oo/the_nyse_threshold_list_collapsing_shorts_and/) | 
+
+---
+
+[DD 👨‍🔬](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22DD%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%94%AC%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+TA;DR: threshold list killed small shorts in January. Big shorts took on their positions. Threshold list restrictions coming for big shorts too. Watch for GME being added to the threshold list.
+
+TL;DR: restrictions associated with extended periods of failures to deliver inform the past six months of GME shenanigans. These restrictions killed the small players who were short GME in January and allowed big players to take on their position. Big players assumed they could use their powers and resources to turn this losing hand into a big win. Apes stopped them. Now, finally, the big players are going to find these same restrictions applied to them - watch for GME being added to the threshold list.
+
+Background
+
+The New York Stock Exchange provides a list of 'threshold securities', which are securities that are regarded as difficult to borrow due to a large number of recent failures to deliver. When a security is on this list, there are limits on a market maker's ability to short sell the security in question and obligations regarding delivery requirements. These restrictions and obligations can increase the longer the security stays on the list. For further information and some relevant links, please see [this comment](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/o9x3hf/guys_before_you_downvote_this_to_hell_bc_its_not/h3e1asv?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3) by [u/Cirand](https://www.reddit.com/u/Cirand/). There is currently some discussion of this topic because moviestock has been added to the threshold list recently, [this post](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/o9x3hf/guys_before_you_downvote_this_to_hell_bc_its_not/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3) by [u/OrwellsWarning](https://www.reddit.com/u/OrwellsWarning/) presents tweets by [u/dlauer](https://www.reddit.com/u/dlauer/) and Susanne Trimbath which is a good place to look for discussion of the significance of the threshold list (see the comments).
+
+In short, the ability to perform fucketry is diminished when a security is on the threshold list. /udlauer tweets that it might be unusual for companies like GME to make it onto this list (usually it's small companies). [This rather underappreciated post](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/oadcb3/i_made_these_charts_illustrating_occurrences_of/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3) by [u/mlebjerg](https://www.reddit.com/u/mlebjerg/) provides graphs of the price of moviestock and GME in relation to their being on the threshold list. Notice that the price of moviestock does not appear to be related to their being on the threshold list. Neither does the price of GME, with a notable exception.
+
+Key point
+
+Given the restrictions that come with being on the threshold list and its relationship with the historical prices of the two securities, I suspect the effect of being on the threshold list do not translate to price changes until the security has been on the list for long enough to compromise the ability of those with short positions to manipulate the price. On the below graph I compare the price of GME with the number of concurrent days it has been on the threshold list:
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The NYSE threshold list: collapsing shorts and launching the MOASS](https://preview.redd.it/yfmbrye3lb871.png?width=685&format=png&auto=webp&s=c28e1c25971667b38fc8717aba790de881771e86)](https://preview.redd.it/yfmbrye3lb871.png?width=685&format=png&auto=webp&s=c28e1c25971667b38fc8717aba790de881771e86)
+
+From the end of December 2020 and into the beginning of February 2021 GME was on the threshold list for 39 market days. I believe that this answers an important question that has been outstanding since February: it explains why they needed to resort to a market halt to stop the January spike but not the February gamma.
+
+The difference between January and February
+
+In [this post](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mvvuhp/feb_2426_failed_launch_attempt_and_proof_the_dtcc/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3) from April I argue that the unusual market activity during February, the 'gamma swarm' or 'gamma squeeze', was an attempt to launch the MOASS that failed due to those shorting GME flooding the market with ever more short positions, which mitigated attempts to rapidly rise the price. In [this post](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nc1h4o/findings_from_my_analysis_of_605_data_huge_short/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3) from May I argue that the changes in order flow indicate that the market center Citadel Securities was used to open a large short position in January and the NASDAQ market center was used to manipulate the price in February. These two arguments leave an unanswered question: if the spike in February was prevented by manipulation involving inter-market-center fucketry, why did they need to resort to a trading halt to prevent the January spike?
+
+I think the threshold list answers that question: trading was halted in January because GME had been on the threshold list for weeks prior to the spike, which prevented the other methods of price restricting manipulation available to those shorting GME. After weeks on the threshold list, and in the face of massive buying pressure, they had no winning play left - so they halted trading. I suspect that, with trading halted, they then brought the minimum number of GME shares required to cover the outstanding failures to deliver which then removed GME from the threshold list. I expect that this actually left them with *an even bigger* outstanding short position, considering how much it would have expanded during the January spike: they opened a bigger position due tomorrow, to close the positions keeping GME on the list today. I think this led to the game they've been playing since February.
+
+The story so far
+
+Notice that GME has not returned to the threshold list since early February. I think that this is because the parties shorting GME since then have been more competent, better resourced, and more powerful. I suspect that GME went onto the threshold list in December 2020 because a smaller player, perhaps Melvin Capital, was failing to cover or defer their short positions. Ultimately, this led to the January spike and a more powerful institution capable of the manipulation required to stop the spike stepping in. Essentially, I think at least one smaller player who was short GME collapsed in December and January which undermined the ability of the larger players to control the situation. In response, I suspect that the larger players with market maker privileges and influence over market centers took over these collapsing players.
+
+This is why I think that the short position was *expanded* in January even though I also think some positions were covered. As I discuss [in my post regarding the 605](https://www.reddit.com/r/GME/comments/nc2zcc/findings_from_my_analysis_of_605_data_huge_short/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3) data (also linked earlier, the may post), it appears that the market center Citadel Securities was used to expand a short position during the January spike. Notice that the restrictions associated with a security being on the threshold list are not applied to all parties equally. This is how shorting took place in January, despite GME having been on the list for weeks - it was one of the smaller players failing to deliver that got GME on the list, so the big players were not suffering all of the related restrictions (especially those with influence over their own market center). I suspect that the short position was expanded dramatically in the leadup to the January spike and then, after the trading halt, the *oldest positions* were covered to resolve those failures to deliver that were keeping GME on the threshold list. In this manner, the short position was moved from small players to the big ones and the overall short position expanded while the reported short position lowered substantially.
+
+With their short position bigger than ever, I suspect that they attempted to crash the price in February to convince everyone that it's time to sell their GME shares. At this point, their position is likely looking quite strong - the short positions opened in January were at a high price per share, which means they've received more money from buyers than the current share price. So, on paper anway, they are in a strong position - yes, they owe an insane amount of GME shares, but the price of GME is now much lower. As long as they can *eventually* convince everyone this is over, they'll likely come out of this stronger than ever. If they can keep issuing more short positions that they eventually cover at a much lower price, after shareholders give up and move on, they'll actually have profited over this debacle and gobbled up smaller players. Provided the apes stop buying and move on, they've turned an infinite loss position into a huge win. Masterstroke.
+
+This is a bold plan, it will turn a massive loss into a huge win. So, they go all in and do an excellent job of it. The trading halt works by allowing them to consolidate the short positions into only those players big enough to pull this strategy off. Expanding the short position provides an influx of cash from buyers. Further shorting after the trading halt drops the price in early February. The political fallout allows them to announce very publicly that they've closed their positions. The media narrative fits perfectly to what they need to portray. For the first few weeks of February, it's working.
+
+Except, it doesn't work. It's an excellent play and they executed it well. Regardless, two factors prevent their success. Firstly, millions of weirdos from the internet appear to have disregarded all traditionally authoritative sources of information and keep buying more shares. Given the complete lack of any evidence to justify this behaviour, it's understandable that this caught the shorts off guard. At this point, it's too late - they're beyond fully committed to this play, they've gambled everything they have and the health of the entire financial markets on this. So, they do what they can to undermine this bizarre online resistance. Unfortunately, for them, they are also facing resistance from other big players who, for whatever reason, are not willing to allow them this victory. This resistance from other big players comes in the form of the February gamma, which attempts to launch the squeeze that was prevented with the trading halt ([link to my April post on this](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mvvuhp/feb_2426_failed_launch_attempt_and_proof_the_dtcc/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3), also linked earlier).
+
+This sets the stage for everything that follows, March onwards. In January and early February the shorts win the battles. Smaller players die and cause a massive mess, but this allows the big-shorts to take over their positions and expand their short positions at a favorable price point while doing so. They gamble on an extreme play, a trading halt, to crash the price and it works. However, Apes pervert their attempts to motivate selloffs and realize they are being targeted with misinformation - so, they gather together to defend themselves. Ultimately, this becomes [r/SuperStonk](https://www.reddit.com/r/SuperStonk/). Other big players, perhaps fearing what the big-shorts have become and are doing, instigate the February gamma which reverses a large portion of the price crash and exposes the ongoing manipulation. As February draws to a close, the gamma has failed to launch the rocket and the Apes have only a vague understanding of what is happening. It's a stalemate.
+
+I think the battles fought in January and February have informed everything that followed. The big players short GME have used their power, influence, and resources to avoid any further restrictions on their GME activities. The big players opposing them have done what they can, but can't launch the rocket. Apes' might be described as the wildcard, but I think they're better understood as the battleground. As the months drag on, they grow in sophistication, numbers, and power. Six months into this mess, they're the ones holding the winning hand. It's the Apes' whose shares need to be brought: the shorts always needed retail shares, but after six months of endless shorting they now need *a lot* of retail shares and, much worse, the retail holders know it.
+
+If my outline, story I guess, is correct, then the outcome is inevitable. At least, assuming Apes hold. Eventually, especially in the face of tightening restrictions, GME is going to end up back on that threshold list. Once it does, the powers and privileges allowing those short GME to fight will be steadily stripped away until they can't do anything except watch as their obligations to the NSCC kick in and the attempt to close the infinite loss position they have burdened their peers with begins. I suspect this is why the new restrictions are finishing off with 'rules clarifications' that limit rehypothecation and prevent a borrowed share from being used to 'deliver' an earlier position. Once the failures to deliver can no longer be hidden, GME is going to end up back on that threshold list. Once it's there, those with outstanding failures to deliver will have their ability to short GME restricted and the big-shorts will be caught in the same trap they 'saved' the little shorts from in January.
+
+Finally, please note a recent by [u/Feeling_Point_5978](https://www.reddit.com/u/Feeling_Point_5978/) yesterday (I can't link, it's on a different subreddit) for discussion of this in the context of Moviestock. For what it's worth, I think that Moviestock is our canary in the coal mines on this issue. I suspect that the new restrictions, finally in effect from last week, will result in the failures to deliver GME to being piling up quite soon. If this happens, expect to see GME on the threshold list soon after. Once it's there, the restrictions escalate until it's off the list. I suspect that there is only one way GME is getting off that list once it's back on it, and that's the MOASS.
+
+(Please note that my incompetence limits the reliability of any of the above. I argue, think, and suspect many things; my saying it doesn't mean much regardless of how I phrase it - read with caution!)

Confirmation-Bias-and-Discussion/2021-06-29-RRP-is-the-Reason-for-No-Margin-Call-Liquidations.md

@@ -0,0 +1,30 @@
+Holy shit, THOSE MOTHER FUCKERS. thesis 2.0: RRP is the reason there has been no big boy margin call liquidations in the states. US T Bonds are considered collateral, its funding rehypothication, allows dividends, and finally institutions are able to circle jerk each other ETFs as their holdings.
+=========================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/A_KY_gardener](https://www.reddit.com/user/A_KY_gardener/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/oab880/holy_shit_those_mother_fuckers_thesis_20_rrp_is/) | 
+
+---
+
+[Discussion 🦍](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Discussion%20%F0%9F%A6%8D%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+![Collateral is US T bonds](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/123951557-ec5dc700-d972-11eb-841d-c3509a0c643d.png)
+
+![RRP 06.28](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/123951619-fb447980-d972-11eb-852f-e0fad949a813.png)
+
+![TDA Investing in Friendly Competitors](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/123951648-05667800-d973-11eb-896c-d3fe59d37308.png)
+
+![TDA funds detailed](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/123951747-1fa05600-d973-11eb-954f-fcb6839b4180.png)
+
+![TDA trust owning all sorts of Schwab in 2019](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/123951774-27f89100-d973-11eb-89b4-e04f55e06657.png)
+
+!["Collateral will be in the form of US Treasury Bonds"](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/123951843-38a90700-d973-11eb-90a8-b9826a51c35f.png)
+
+![Schwab investing in themselves?](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/123951915-4e1e3100-d973-11eb-85d9-acdcd17a64f8.png)
+
+
+
+
+
+

Confirmation-Bias-and-Discussion/2021-06-30-Hanks-Thot-Experiment.md

@@ -0,0 +1,51 @@
+Hank's thot experiment
+======================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/HomeDepotHank69](https://www.reddit.com/user/HomeDepotHank69/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/oay9vr/hanks_thot_experiment/) | 
+
+---
+
+[Discussion 🦍](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Discussion%20%F0%9F%A6%8D%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+******** I am not a financial advisor, this is not financial advice *********
+
+Hey everyone thanks for reading my post yesterday. I'm still on a break from making big DDs (unless I stumble upon something major that warrants immediate attention), but in the mean time I wanted to create a dialogue, a thought experiment if you will.
+
+The point of this post is simply to create a discussion in the comments that will serve as ideas for future DDs for myself and other wrinkles as well as to generally facilitate a discussion.
+
+Here are my discussion questions:
+
+GENERAL QUESTIONS:
+
+In your opinion, what is the most likely trajectory of GME (i.e. if you had to predict what it will do for the next few months, what would you say)?
+
+```
+   What other scenarios could you see?
+
+```
+
+What topics do you want to see wrinkles make DDs about?
+
+What are the biggest weaknesses in the body of content of our current DD (i.e. what topics do we need to focus on because they are weaker)?
+
+What is the weakest part of the general theory of GME? What is the strongest?
+
+SPECIFIC QUESTIONS:
+
+Even if the FTD cycle theory is incorrect, it's still true that each cycle, the floor/support increases, which means that the price has increased steadily since February. However, as we all know, volume has been absolutely horrible -- pathetic. In a normal stock, this increase would be called a nonvolume supported trend; however, I think most of us believe this is happening because apes are holding, so the volume is just day traders and the HFs have moved buying volume into OTC trades. With that in mind, let's say that volume continues to decrease. If volume continues to decrease, assuming nothing material changes about GME, what do you think is the most likely trajectory (i.e. is there a point we could get to where volume would be miniscule or close to zero and if so what would do you think will happen)?
+
+The $350 level seems to be significant. The previous two times we got near it, we were BRUTALLY rejected and saw HUGE downtrends. The only time we got over it was January, when the market literally shut down buying. With that in mind, what is your take on the significance of this level? Is there a method we could use to reverse engineer it to try to find SI? What would you like to see us focus on with DD here?
+
+Do you think the MOASS will happen sooner (let's say before the end of August) or later and why?
+
+Many of you probably saw my last post where I used data from the absolute beauties that are our quants to determine that the "meme stocks" are correlated. My thoughts were that it indicated that institutions took large short positions on them all at the same time. What are your thoughts? Why do you think all of these stocks have been following similar patterns? IMO I don't think retail is behind it because it's impossible for a nonorganized/noncorrdinated group to make multiple stocks behave the same way for months. Though we undoubtedly have power, we can't coordinate like HFs, so I don't think that retail just randomly decided to buy and sell all of these at the same time? What do you think?
+
+What do you think about GME and coin (can't say because of automod)? I've documented the FTD cycle connection and how it might be used for covering, but what do you think?
+
+We all thought that RC being named board lord would be the "catalyst" causing the MOASS, but GME has reacted inconsistently to catalysts. Do you think catalysts have are relevant anymore? Do you think a catalyst will cause the MOASS or do you think it will be random like January?
+
+Finally, I expect this post to get a fair amount of activity, so if you have anything interesting to say or ask that I didn't cover above please put it below!
+
+******** I am not a financial advisor, this is not financial advice *********

Confirmation-Bias-and-Discussion/2021-06-30-The-Final-Battle.md

@@ -0,0 +1,46 @@
+The Final Battle
+================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/thomas798354](https://www.reddit.com/user/thomas798354/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/DDintoGME/comments/oar709/the_final_battle/) | 
+
+---
+
+[𝗦𝗽𝗲𝗰𝘂𝗹𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻](https://www.reddit.com/r/DDintoGME/search?q=flair_name%3A%22%F0%9D%97%A6%F0%9D%97%BD%F0%9D%97%B2%F0%9D%97%B0%F0%9D%98%82%F0%9D%97%B9%F0%9D%97%AE%F0%9D%98%81%F0%9D%97%B6%F0%9D%97%BC%F0%9D%97%BB%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+Apes as I see my fellow comrades disappointed on the battlefield I began to go back to my drawing board and think tactfully as how I would wargame from Citadel's point of view. I realize a lot of you are mad about T+21 and I must really have supporting documents this time so I will proceed slowly with lots of quotes and rule references, I invite anyone to politely cite their opinion.
+
+TLDR; Citadel used the OTM options locates one last time to the extreme before 005 came into effect to try and buy back shares at the lowest price possible. Hold the Stock, don't fall for the other baited plays coming up, and be patient apes. Short squeezes will be a thing of the past after this. 005 will hopefully stop locates in options chains and also prevent a lent shares from being rehypothecated and leant to someone else. We could see the borrow time reduced to a maximum of T+6.
+
+REG SHO 101-
+
+Rule 203: Locate requirement- *Locate Requirement*. Regulation SHO requires a broker-dealer to have reasonable grounds to believe that the security can be borrowed so that it can be delivered on the date delivery is due before effecting a short sale order in any equity security.[[7]](https://www.sec.gov/investor/pubs/regsho.htm#_ftn7) This "locate" must be made and documented prior to effecting the short sale.
+
+Rule 204: *Close-out Requirement*. Rule 204 requires brokers and dealers that are participants of a registered clearing agency[[8]](https://www.sec.gov/investor/pubs/regsho.htm#_ftn8) to take action to close out failure to deliver positions. Closing out requires the broker or dealer to purchase or borrow securities of like kind and quantity. The participant must close out a failure to deliver for a short sale transaction by no later than the beginning of regular trading hours on the settlement day following the settlement date, referred to as T+4. If a participant has a failure to deliver that the participant can demonstrate on its books and records resulted from a long sale, or that is attributable to bona fide market making activities, the participant must close out the failure to deliver by no later than the beginning of regular trading hours on the third consecutive settlement day following the settlement date, referred to as T+6. If the position is not closed out, the broker or dealer and any broker or dealer for which it clears transactions (for example, an introducing broker)[[9]](https://www.sec.gov/investor/pubs/regsho.htm#_ftn9) may not effect further short sales in that security without borrowing or entering into a bona fide agreement to borrow the security (known as the "pre-borrowing" requirement) until the broker or dealer purchases shares to close out the position and the purchase clears and settles. In addition, Rule 203(b)(3) of Regulation SHO requires that participants of a registered clearing agency must immediately purchase shares to close out failures to deliver in securities with large and persistent failures to deliver, referred to as "threshold securities," if the failures to deliver persist for 13 consecutive settlement days.[[10]](https://www.sec.gov/investor/pubs/regsho.htm#_ftn10) Threshold securities are equity securities[[11]](https://www.sec.gov/investor/pubs/regsho.htm#_ftn11) that have an aggregate fail to deliver position for five consecutive settlement days at a registered clearing agency (e.g., National Securities Clearing Corporation (NSCC)); totaling 10,000 shares or more; and equal to at least 0.5% of the issuer's total shares outstanding. As provided in Rule 203 of Regulation SHO, threshold securities are included on a list disseminated by a self-regulatory organization ("SRO"). Although as a result of compliance with Rule 204, generally a participant's fail to deliver positions will not remain for 13 consecutive settlement days, if, for whatever reason, a participant of a registered clearing agency has a fail to deliver position at a registered clearing agency in a threshold security for 13 consecutive settlement days, the requirement to close-out such position under Rule 203(b)(3) remains in effect.
+
+Rule 204 Exception: Rule 204 provides an extended period of time to close out certain failures to deliver. Specifically, if a failure to deliver position results from the sale of a security that a person is deemed to own and that such person intends to deliver as soon as all restrictions on delivery have been removed, the firm has up to 35 calendar days following the trade date to close out the failure to deliver position by purchasing securities of like kind and quantity.
+
+Okay lets start with what is happening, since before January the SHF (short Hedge Funds) realized that they couldn't bankrupt GME anymore. Their new goal is to get the price to be as low as possible before they cover due to almost all the Hedge Funds short already being at 49% losses or more. In 2019, before they were going to short GME to death they wanted to profit off of the derivatives market and placed puts on Jan 15th a huge options date that could have been bet on years out. At T+3 we saw a big run up Jan 22 from T+4 opened 42$ closed 65$ running to 96$ before premarket. The next day, T+5 was trash it opened at 96$ and closed at 76.79$ (not special). This was followed with T+6 where the latest date to close was opened at 88.56 and closed at 147.98 after markets running to 354.83. May 21 lead to May 26/27 and June 1/2 T+3, T+6 sometimes the deliveries catch up after market and premarket.
+
+Time to start explaining my little working theory. I am now a hedge fund, come join me in shorting GME (theoretically). So imagine this, we want to short the crap out of GME in a few different ways. Everyday downwards pressure to suppress price, and once a month we want to unload to spike it down. In order to short GME we must first find a broker willing to lend us shares, but this provides us with a problem because we don't own these shares we have to return them in T+3 or T+6. If we provide the locate for these shares meaning we own them or a security that is "like" them then we fall under the exception.
+
+Let me paint a picture for you, June 2 closed high from the T+6 from May. June 4th I was eating a protein bar on a ruck march thinking about how fucked the HF were when I saw SSR for AMC and GME.....Then the SHF borrow shares 3 & 4 June to short and replace them T+3 which was June 8/9 the SSR was because the HF borrowed all the shares possible from the brokers and ETFs. We are hype going into the shareholder meeting, so hype about 350$ no one is questioning why the SHF bought so many OTM options on July 16th. The HF loaded their short cannons with locates for the earnings report meaning they could short shares as much as possible with their locates at close to 85M total shares in JULY-JAN2022 options chain.
+
+"If a failure to deliver position results from the sale of a security that a person is deemed to own and that such person intends to deliver", "the firm has up to 35 calendar days following the trade date to close out the failure to deliver position by purchasing securities of like kind and quantity." Funny how they shorted the crap out of GME June 10th and 35 calendar days is July 15th, the day prior to their options expiring.
+
+Let me show you what this looks like from the round table at citadel securities:
+
+Hey Ken, I can't buy you anymore time over at DTCC. I have to pass 005 but I can make sure we file it June 24 and that it doesn't get sent to the federal register until June 30th. This buys you enough time to trick them with a T+3 borrow and a massive located short sale during a share offering, not to mention their disappointment that the new rules don't work at all. The short will cause apes to lose faith when 30% of the value disappears, and the only risk is that if you cant get the price low enough to cover under 350$ before July 16th. We lose anyways because 005 is in effect and July 16th will have T+3, T+6 buys when those OTM locates expire and cannot be kicked. To make matters worse the ETFs cannot help them anymore, the Russel 1k has even less shares to borrow. This is the last ditch effort to get the price down before they have to cover. Simultaneously they are attacking us with all of these "buy this instead" plays while GME sits idle and loses value, look at the threshold securities list! Half the people hyping it don't even know wtf it means.
+
+Remember the DFV tweet from Ready Player One, sometimes we must go backwards to win the race. Remember the latest cohen tweet with the fart alluding to the south park movie where kenny watches Terrance and Phillip in the movie theater and lights his own fart on fire, then he dies by getting dumped on by a "russell's" salt truck.
+
+[I'm not making this up](https://preview.redd.it/thwgb9sjic871.png?width=926&format=png&auto=webp&s=a33017b3e7998cdb02a1f66fdabda05cce27fca2)
+
+Threshold Securities List- Threshold securities are equity securities[[11]](https://www.sec.gov/investor/pubs/regsho.htm#_ftn11) that have an aggregate fail to deliver position for five consecutive settlement days at a registered clearing agency (e.g., National Securities Clearing Corporation (NSCC)); totaling 10,000 shares or more; and equal to at least 0.5% of the issuer's total shares outstanding. Let me show you how easy this is to do with large float stocks for insert example stock...... borrow 500M*.005 shares= 2.5M and then don't return them.
+
+That's it! That's all they have to do borrow less than 1% of the float and not return it.
+
+Edit: Let me explain why I don't think net settlement is a big deal, these bad guys have an unfathomable amount of money. I highly doubt someone that controls 30% of all trading is going to go bankrupt over a single security guys. These little HFs have been going bankrupt, they have. Look at Melvin, archegos, greensill, GFG, the new one out of London. They are feeling the heat, one by one they have been failing. Getting these giant bosses to fail is a completely different story, as much as we want to see these giant ones fall it's most likely not going to happen. They will survive with bailouts, tricks, illegal trading, whatever the reason may be. Make no mistake however this is a financial revolution and we got what we wanted. These rules that are put in place will stop them from doing what they have been doing under REG SHO. Will they take a big hit at the end of the day? Yes, will they all die? No, did we change the way the game is played? Certainly. They paid to take over Reddit nuff said.
+
+Just buy and hold GME. Our time is coming.

Confirmation-Bias-and-Discussion/2021-07-01-GME-Appears-to-have-Thirty-Times-more-FTDs-than-TSLA.md

@@ -0,0 +1,46 @@
+Simple FTD math based on u/ChrisCraftTexasUSA post... GME appears to only have about 30 times more FTDs than TSLA... Just...
+============================================================================================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/taranasus](https://www.reddit.com/user/taranasus/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/obh3z3/simple_ftd_math_based_on_uchriscrafttexasusa_post/) | 
+
+---
+
+[Possible DD 👨‍🔬](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Possible%20DD%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%94%AC%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+The starting point of my maths: [(1) GME FTD shares Failed to Deliver SEC link: https://sec.report/fails.php?tc=36467W109 : Superstonk (reddit.com)](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/obet09/gme_ftd_shares_failed_to_deliver_sec_link/)
+
+I think "FUCK ME" is an understatement here. I've been comparing GME FTDs with TSLA FTDs since TSLA is the more "Volatile" of the stocks out there. The numbers are mind blowing.
+
+The very last datapoint we have on GME is June 14, with a FTD count of 105,712
+
+The highest ever nr of FTDs in one day for TSLA was on DEC 17, 2020, at 1,382,452 FTDs.
+
+At first glance, it would look like the tesla number is 10 bigger than the GME one no? Well you'd be right, however we need to remember that the number of outstanding shares for the two companies are wildly different. On Dec 17, TSLA had 905,000,000 outstanding shares, while on June 14, GME had only (assumed) 77,000,000 outstanding shares.
+
+So if you put these percentage wise:
+
+- TSLA: 1382452 / 905000000 * 100 = 0.1527 % of total shares were FTD
+
+- GME: 105172 / 77000000 * 100 = 0.1372 % of total shares were FTD
+
+So just a random day in June for GME had as many FTDs as Tesla did in its highest day ever in its history.
+
+So then... the question on everyone's mind... what was GME's highest FTD day? Well you see everyone, Oct 13 2020: 3,210,148. On that date, according to ycharts, GME had 65.2M outstanding shares. I'm actually going to go with 70 mill shares as I think the 65M number is wrong. So
+
+- 3210148 / 70000000 * 100 = 4.5% of total shares were FTD. THEY COULDN'T LOCATE 4.5% OF THE GOD DAMN COMPANY!
+
+SEC what the fuck are you doing??? Seriously who looks at these numbers and goes like "YEP, THIS IS FINE!". Do your god damn job!
+
+Sources:
+
+GME FTD data <https://sec.report/fails.php?tc=36467W109>
+
+TSLA FTD data <https://sec.report/fails.php?tc=TSLA>
+
+GME Outstanding Share Count data: <https://ycharts.com/companies/GME/shares_outstanding>
+
+TSLA Outstanding Share Count data: <https://ycharts.com/companies/TSLA/shares_outstanding>
+
+No fuckery going on here people....

Confirmation-Bias-and-Discussion/2021-07-01-T+35-Follow-Up.md

@@ -0,0 +1,90 @@
+T+35 Follow Up [some general thoughts]
+======================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/dentisttft](https://www.reddit.com/user/dentisttft/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/obng9s/t35_follow_up_some_general_thoughts/) | 
+
+---
+
+[Discussion 🦍](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Discussion%20%F0%9F%A6%8D%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+Hello everybody! Yes, I'm still here.
+
+I wrote a post a couple weeks ago about T+35 FTD's. [T+35 is the one true "cycle"](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/o155a6/t35_is_the_one_true_cycle_evidence_to_back_my/)
+
+I've been wanting to write a follow up post for a while, but I didn't want to write it until I had more answers. That led me down a very deep and confusing path tracking ETFs, and to be honest, I probably won't be able to get a full picture for a bit. So I'll go ahead and do a quick follow up post now.
+
+Does T+35 still happen?
+
+Yes. They're not always easy to spot. 6/25 had 40,000 FTDs were most likely covered at 12:20 EST. 6/17 had a 90,000 volume candle which could have easily been the next three days worth of FTDs. Remember, there is nothing forcing them to wait until the last day. This is just what they HAVE been doing. After my post got some attention, I noticed a difference in the FTD behavior. Either they wait until the last possible minute, they cover in the first minute, they cover multiple days early, etc.
+
+Why is it 35 days? (technically, before the 35th day)
+
+The stock gets shorted and settles into an FTD in T+2. Normally, Rule 204 would require them to close the FTD within a day or two. But on the FTD day, they sell a put giving them the "deem to own" clause of Rule 204. When they are "deemed to own" a share, they are able to wait 35 days from the *transaction date*. This is why the 34 days starts on the FTD date, not the date it was shorted like you may think.
+
+If you want proof of this, there is a certain stock that reminds me of a leprechaun. It had a HUGE FTD day in early june. Next thing you know, Put OI sky rocketed. Check other less popular meme stocks and you will probably see the same thing.
+
+What about ETF FTDs?
+
+In my post I stated that ETF FTDs behave the same way as GME FTDs. This is only partially true. They DO get delayed 35 days. They DO NOT get covered on the 34th day following the FTD. There are details within Rule 204 that make the timing slightly different. I've spent the last couple of weeks figuring out all the nitty gritty details... but woah... it's a mess. I'd like to make a post sometime soon with my findings.
+
+Why do FTDs not do much anymore?
+
+It looks like they are shorting the ETFs when they have GME FTDs due and shorting GME when they have ETF FTDs due. You can see this by going 34 days from an ETF FTD. The ETF and other non meme stock in the ETF will rise from the cover but GME will stay flat. I plan on covering this more in my future ETF post. But damn, that spring is getting extremely coiled.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - T+35 Follow Up [some general thoughts]](https://preview.redd.it/tzjywmtg4m871.png?width=2242&format=png&auto=webp&s=3d1b425ba9041c37465618d6181449f8d8ab3d19)](https://preview.redd.it/tzjywmtg4m871.png?width=2242&format=png&auto=webp&s=3d1b425ba9041c37465618d6181449f8d8ab3d19)
+
+Heatmap of ETF FTDs (not weighted by %GME). Each ETF is colored individually so they are on their own scale.
+
+The top third is the heavier ETFs. Look at those cycles. Fun stuff.
+
+Why didn't the new 002 rule do anything?
+
+I tried leaving a few comments to explain this, but I'm sure a lot of people didn't see it. Remember they were *already* satisfying the requirements of the old monthly rules when the new rule came into effect. The deposit for the old monthly rule was already made. I don't see any reason why they suddenly would be over budget from a daily check. The effects of 002 probably won't be seen until the next GME run up.
+
+Do the FTDs even matter?
+
+GME FTDs, no... ETF FTDs, yes. The problems that were coming from the high numbers of GME FTDs have moved to the ETFs. Until the ETF FTDs hit a breaking point, GME will most likely stay flat and have an occasional spike like we saw on Wednesday. The way I see it, moving the problems to ETFs only delays everything at the cost of inflating the entire market.
+
+When is the next big T+35 day?
+
+Friday and Tuesday look decent. But history tells me it will be a spike and then settle again. They are putting in a lot of money to keep GME from taking off.
+
+What does that mean for me?
+
+Keep doing what you're doing. It's building up. It's coming, probably sooner than you think. Future posts will cover this.
+
+Want to see something fun? GME is repeating itself.
+
+The weeks after January are currently happening again at a higher floor. Why? I don't know. It might have to do with quarterly options that have been open for a while. But I wouldn't expect anything to happen for a week or two. ** not manipulated... I swear... hehe **
+
+[![r/Superstonk - T+35 Follow Up [some general thoughts]](https://preview.redd.it/cb1m05dm5m871.png?width=1097&format=png&auto=webp&s=5605fd333b0ac1d9b31c6ad16a290acd15d9202a)](https://preview.redd.it/cb1m05dm5m871.png?width=1097&format=png&auto=webp&s=5605fd333b0ac1d9b31c6ad16a290acd15d9202a)
+
+What about T+21?
+
+I don't know. I'm still not sure T+21 is a thing. I think there are other factors in play that ended up giving GME spikes 21 days apart. Possibly two T+35 cycles at the same time. I have reason to believe the spike in May and the two in June came from ETFs. These are the same reasons I don't think there will be much longer to wait. A couple weeks... but more on that in another post.
+
+---------------------------------------------------------------------------
+
+Alright, that's about all I wanted to cover as a follow up. Sorry it isn't full of juicy content. I was waiting to post until I had real answers, but it's taking longer than expected. The ETFs are the key to the puzzle and they're hitting a boiling point.
+
+TL;DR:
+
+-   T+35 with GME FTDs still is a thing, but GME is being suppressed pretty hard right now.
+
+-   T+35 with ETF FTDs works, but it's not 35. It's 35 days from the puts being sold. I'll have a new post in the future with more details.
+
+-   The driving forces behind GME have moved into the ETFs.
+
+-   HFs are switching back and forth between shorting GME directly and shorting the ETFs to keep GME consistently down.
+
+-   I'll have a post about ETFs in the next 4-5 days.
+
+Also, I made a twitter account so I can post thoughts throughout the day without needing to write a full post. I don't know how much I'll use it. <https://twitter.com/dentisttft>
+
+I had to turn off most of my notifications. The best way to get a hold of me is by tagging me in a comment. It never notifies me of tags in posts... so make sure it's a comment. I try to respond to all tags.
+
+Alright, pce~~~
+
+- [u/dentisttft](https://www.reddit.com/u/dentisttft/)

Confirmation-Bias-and-Discussion/Married-Put-Forensic-Analysis-by-AlexanderHood/2021-04-18-Calculating-Potential-Short-Interst-from-Married-Put-Remnants-and-Share-Rehypothecation.md

@@ -0,0 +1,121 @@
+Calculating potential Short Interest from Married Put remnants and Share Rehypothecation
+
+========================================================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/AlexanderHood](https://www.reddit.com/user/AlexanderHood/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mtnohj/calculating_potential_short_interest_from_married/) | 
+
+---
+
+[DD 👨‍🔬](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22DD%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%94%AC%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+There have been a lot of posts floating around the subs postulating the real short interest.
+
+I wanted to take a stab at it using what we know for sure about the mechanism for how the FTD's are hidden, the latest put option open interest and why the new DTC rule about double-borrow shares was implemented.
+
+Assumptions
+
+1\.  Citadel and friends are using the Married Put method of hiding FTD's.
+
+2\.  Any Put for a strike of $20 or less for the rest of the year is an irrational option play no sane person would make.
+
+3\.  These apprently irrational puts are in fact part of a rational mechanism for hiding a FTD.
+
+4\.  The current outstanding number of irrational puts is correlated to the number of FTD's resulting from naked shorts.
+
+5\.  Basically all available shares to legally borrow have been legally borrowed.
+
+Shares in cash accounts should not be made available to borrow. (Note the use of the S-word) With much of retail on RH or other brokers who may not be able to resist the temptation to make free money, I'm going to assume the borrow is 100%. (See disc below. If you disagree, swap in your own number and recalculate.) Due to re-hypothecation where a share sold short can be borrowed again and sold short again, the shares borrow number *could* exceed 100%. The daily available shares available to borrow often taps the zero shares mark before magically finding more shares the next day.
+
+Let's math
+
+GME Shares outstanding: 70.03M
+
+GME Float: 45.99M
+
+Irrational Puts from now until Jan 2023:
+
+Apr 16 7,067
+
+Apr 30 6,124
+
+May 7 577
+
+May 14 135
+
+May 21 3,648
+
+May 28 150
+
+Jul 16 299,922
+
+Oct 15 14,736
+
+Nov 19 22,760
+
+Jan 22 220,355
+
+Jan 23 43,984
+
+Total puts: 619,458
+
+Shares equivaluent: 61,945,800
+
+Shares borrowed & rehypothecated for shorting: 45.99M (100% of the float)
+
+Shares failed to deliver: 61.95M (From Married Put remnants)
+
+Estaimted Short Interest: 107.94M total shares
+
+Estimated Short Interest: 234% using the proper industry-standard technique for calculating it
+
+Estimated Short Interest: 70% using the dumb new method S3 Partners invented of calculating it
+
+Discussion
+
+Through the magic of re-borrowing a share sold short, there could be an infinite number of shares rehypothecated but in practice if we assume all shares purchased and placed in a cash account by and honorable broker, only X% of shares could be borrowed back so we have a case of diminishing returns. No idea what X% is here, but if you are reading this post please please move your shares to a cash account or take some action to prevent them from being borrowed. *Small changes to this X percentage have a dramatic effect on the ability to do this type of re-borrowing.*
+
+Conjecture
+
+Personally, I think X% here is 50%, which after maximum re-borrowing works out to be equal to the entire float. i.e. Half the shares are not available to borrow but the ones that are have been re-borrowed. (0.5 + 0.25 + 0.125 + 0.0625 + 0.03125 ... = 0.99) This is why I made the assumption above that shares equal to 100% of the float have been borrowed.
+
+DTC Borrow Rule
+
+Yes, the new DTC rules would prohibit this type of re-borrowing because you cannot borrow a share that has alredy been borrowed. All the shares borrowed more than once would have to be covered, which is half the outstanding float if you subscribe to my 50% estimate.
+
+Very Conjectural
+
+From the latest Bloomberg dump, the Institutions own 122% of the float and from my math we own about 105%. This is actually the reason I did this specific calculation, because I wanted to know if retail owned enough shares to force a moass even if all the Institutions were ordered to paper-hand by the PTB. If Institutions paper-hand in exchange for a seat at the asset auction for Citadels corpse, the moass hits Millions per shares rather than Trillions per share.
+
+And at a minimum, 61.6M shares must be covered just to get back to a (legal) 100% Short Interest on the stock.
+
+Sources
+
+[What DFV knows](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mtftsq/i_think_i_figured_out_what_dfv_knows_and_its/)
+
+[Original Post on Married Puts](https://www.reddit.com/r/GME/comments/mgj0j1/the_naked_shorting_scam_revealed_lending_of/)
+
+[Finra](https://finra-markets.morningstar.com/MarketData/EquityOptions/detail.jsp?query=126%3A0P000002CH&sdkVersion=2.59.0)
+
+[Yahoo Finance](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GME/key-statistics?p=GME) [Stonk Tracker](https://gme.crazyawesomecompany.com/)
+
+---
+
+**Relevant Comment by [u/Soulsauce042689](https://www.reddit.com/user/Soulsauce042689/)**
+
+Just a quick couple of notes, on some common misunderstandings that DO NOT contradict OP's points, but do shore up some things:
+
+Real shares can not be double borrowed DTC has been tracking lent shares since 2008 if not longer. [Relevant filing: DTC-2021-05]
+
+"if that's the case, how does the SI% reach 226% then?" Best possible answer I can come with is naked shorting - illegal if entity is not a bonafide market maker.
+
+* * * * *
+
+Rehypothection is a lender (broker in this case) using collateralized assets as collateral to borrow from another lender. An example - your home is collateral for your mortgage, your mortgage lender may use your home to gain borrow from their lender.
+
+Relevant note on margin accounts - In margin accounts up to 140% of your equity can be used in rehypothection to borrow capital from another lender.
+
+* * * * *
+
+One big piece to watch this week (22/04) is if brokers have lent more shares than they have the ability to cover. I'm going to be keeping a close eye on borrowable shares and borrow rate. If a significant portion or brokers are over extended on lent shares we can see a massive recall resulting in shorts being (hopefully) forced to cover.

Confirmation-Bias-and-Discussion/Married-Put-Forensic-Analysis-by-AlexanderHood/2021-05-11-Married-Put-Forensic-Analysis.md

@@ -0,0 +1,133 @@
+May Update on the Married-Put Forensic Analysis
+
+===============================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/AlexanderHood](https://www.reddit.com/user/AlexanderHood/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nacqtm/may_update_on_the_marriedput_forensic_analysis/) | 
+
+---
+
+[DD 👨‍🔬](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22DD%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%94%AC%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+About a month ago I did an analysis for the real short interest (SI) for GME using what know about the legal Married Put mechanism for creating naked shorts.
+
+I wanted to revisit what we know for sure about the mechanism for how the FTD's are hidden, the latest put option open interest and why the new DTC rule about double-borrow shares was implemented. Yes, I know some people don't think these remnants don't mean what we think they mean, but maybe they do.
+
+TLDR Married Puts continue to be used to create naked shorts. Short Interest is at least 152% and increasing by over 100,000 shares per week.
+
+Assumptions
+
+1\.  Citadel and friends are using the Married Put method of hiding FTD's.
+
+2\.  Any Put at a strike of $20 or less is an irrational option play no sane person would make.
+
+3\.  These apprently irrational puts are in fact part of a rational mechanism for hiding a FTD.
+
+4\.  The current outstanding number of irrational puts is correlated to the number of FTD's resulting from naked shorts.
+
+What does irrational mean? Betting GME will drop below $1 by the end of the year is bonkers.
+
+Let's math!
+
+GME Shares outstanding: 70.77M
+
+GME Float: 47.75M
+
+Irrational Puts from now until Jan 2023:
+
+| Option Expiry | Open Interest Apr 18 | Open Interest May 11 |
+
+| --- | --- | --- |
+
+| Apr 16 | 7,067 | 0 |
+
+| Apr 30 | 6,124 | 0 |
+
+| May 14 | 135 | 683 |
+
+| May 21 | 3,648 | 3,990 |
+
+| May 28 | 150 | 412 |
+
+| Jun 4 | 0 | 64 |
+
+| Jun 11 | 0 | 11 |
+
+| Jun 18 | 0 | 1,046 |
+
+| Jun 25 | 0 | 13 |
+
+| Jul 16 | 299,922 | 303,927 |
+
+| Oct 15 | 14,736 | 19,223 |
+
+| Nov 19 | 22,760 | 22,601 |
+
+| Jan 21, 2022 | 220,355 | 224,653 |
+
+| Jan 20, 2023 | 43,984 | 46,136 |
+
+| Total puts | 619, 458 | 622,769 |
+
+Shares short from Married Put remnants on April 18th: 61.9M
+
+Shares short from Married Put remnants on May 11th: 62.2M
+
+Ok, what is this?
+
+The number of naked short shares implied by Married Put remnants has increased by 331,100 shares in the last three weeks.
+
+-   Over 13k of irrational puts that expired worthless in the last three weeks but the total number of Irrational Puts continues to increase. Not only are they are continuing to utilize this method of shorting, but they are increasing in number as well by apx 100k per week.
+
+-   Ortex has 'exchange reported' Short Interest at 22.2%, or 10.6M shares.
+
+-   Combing the calculated naked short interest of 62.2M with the official short interest, we get 72.8M shares short or *152.5% SI*.
+
+-   On May 21st we have another 3,648 of irrational puts expiring, we'll see if they get 'rolled' over as well.
+
+-   The next BIG batch of Irrational Puts is set to expire in just 8 weeks, July 16th, over 300,000 or nearly HALF of them our there in fact. If we see a fresh batch of about 300,000 puts get created that day for an Op Ex six months in the future, I'll be on the phone to the SEC telling them they need to end this little charade. But do they need to get rolled? No. If apes keep buying, they need to short that number of shares, whatever the cost and by any means.
+
+Discussion
+
+Could the Short Interest be higher than this? ABSOLUTELY. This calculation does NOT include short shares created directly using legal Market Maker provisions and have not yet been covered by that Market Maker. This calculation does NOT include legal short shares created using the re-borrowing method. This calculation does not include shares shorted via the ETF's. (62 [ETF's](https://www.etf.com/stock/GME) hold 10.5M GME shares.) This calculation does not include any other means of shorting.
+
+The new DTCC rule SR-DTC-2021-005 would prohibit the re-borrowing of a borrowed share. Will that rule apply the NSCC Share Borrow Program as well? Let's hope so. They pulled the draft of this but I'm hoping to see it make a return soon. (See links below for more detail on 005.)
+
+Once the new DTCC rule prohibiting the re-borrowing of borrowed shares kicks in we should expect the borrowing costs to spike like crazy. It is the end, effectively, and will trigger squeezes everywhere. They pulled the first draft, probably becasuse the timing isn't right. Anxiously awaiting the re-release of 005 and the implementation timing. Aren't we all!
+
+Disposing of the Evidence
+
+When these expire, they're gone. Wiped off the books. Of course they are, these puts are worthless after all. Never intended to be exercised.
+
+~~HELP! If anyone has the options data from Jan 15th and Mar 16th, would like to see how many more of these puts expired on those dates. i.e. How much were they using this before GME went all baby-squeeze January 28th?~~ Edit: Got the data, stay tuned! Thanks to Full_Option_6067 for the info! There are more shorts!
+
+The advantage of picking options expiries with each quarter is that you get super-cost efficient strikes at like $0.50 but the big disadvantage is that the open interest SITS out there for months on end, waiting for some smooth-brained apes to figure out what it means.
+
+When are they going to end the Married-Put shanannigans? Who knows.
+
+Total Conjecture
+
+Why was 005 delayed? Officially, for "reformatting". Tin-foil hat time: After posting it they found out this loophole for legally naked shorting stocks is in widespread use by every Hedgie and on hundreds of other distressed stocks. It's not just AMC and GME. If they nerf it we could be looking at a crack-up boom in the market and dozens of bankrupt hedges. Why a crack-up boom?? I'll give you a few million reasons: [Because every FTD is a naked short](https://wherearetheshares.com/).
+
+The Great Halvening
+
+[Never forget this happened](https://www.reddit.com/user/RubinoffButtChug69/comments/lfdcv1/fintel_changed_their_short_volume_data_after_my/?context=3)
+
+I saw the Great Halvening happen with my own eyes, so I've just been multiplying all their SI numbers by 2 to figure out the in-adjusted SI. Where they hid the rest of the original '140%' short of GameStop ... remains a mystery.
+
+Sources
+
+[Original Post on Married Puts](https://www.reddit.com/r/GME/comments/mgj0j1/the_naked_shorting_scam_revealed_lending_of/)
+
+[DTC-005 Original Doc](https://zenodo.org/record/4718936/files/005%20-%20SEC%20SR-DTC-2021-005-2%20-%20submission%20of%20rule%20finding.pdf?download=1)
+
+[DTC-005 Analysis](https://www.reddit.com/r/GME/comments/mi8mo9/legal_interpretation_of_the_proposed_srdtc2021005/)
+
+[Share Borrowing Program](https://smithonstocks.com/part-7-illegal-naked-shorting-dtcc-continuous-net-settlement-and-stock-borrowing-programs-have-loopholes-that-facilitate-illegal-naked-shorting/)
+
+[Yahoo Finance](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GME/key-statistics?p=GME)
+
+[Stonk Tracker](https://gme.crazyawesomecompany.com/)
+
+Edit: As requested 🚀🚀🚀

Confirmation-Bias-and-Discussion/Married-Put-Forensic-Analysis-by-AlexanderHood/2021-05-19-Married-Put-Forensic-Analysis.md

@@ -0,0 +1,147 @@
+May 19th Update on the Married-Put Forensic Analysis
+====================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/AlexanderHood](https://www.reddit.com/user/AlexanderHood/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/ngp969/may_19th_update_on_the_marriedput_forensic/) | 
+
+---
+
+[DD 👨‍🔬](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22DD%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%94%AC%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+If you're feeling blue cause of all the red, I have some confirmation for your bias right here. :)
+
+You shouldn't need it, cause the [004](https://www.sec.gov/rules/sro/occ.htm) news should have every part of your body totally jacked.
+
+Since we just had such a blood-red day I wanted to check the current option Open Interest to see how much of todays selling pressure was from Naked Shorting. Well, we know Apes certainly aren't selling, so its gotta be bare nekkid!
+
+This is an update to my previous post on Married-Put Remnant Forensics [here.](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nacqtm/may_update_on_the_marriedput_forensic_analysis/) If you haven't read that, read it first for the context of this post.
+
+TLDR Short Interest increased by another 5% last week to 155% of the float and there may be even more shorts hiding in short-term put options for an additional 17% short interest.
+
+No, seriously, go back and read that first one then come back.
+
+Let's go!
+
+Updated Calculated Short Interest from Married-Put Remnants
+
+GME Shares outstanding: 70.77M
+
+GME Float: 47.75M
+
+Irrational Puts from now until Jan 2023:
+
+| Option Expiry | Open Interest Apr 18 | Open Interest May 11 | Open Interest May 28 |
+| --- | --- | --- | --- |
+| Apr 16 | 7,067 | 0 | 0 |
+| Apr 30 | 6,124 | 0 | 0 |
+| May 14 | 135 | 683 | 0 |
+| May 21 | 3,648 | 3,990 | 0 |
+| May 28 | 150 | 412 | 484 |
+| Jun 4 | 0 | 64 | 211 |
+| Jun 11 | 0 | 11 | 108 |
+| Jun 18 | 0 | 1,046 | 1,458 |
+| Jun 25 | 0 | 13 | 28 |
+| Jul 16 | 299,922 | 303,927 | 303,679 |
+| Oct 15 | 14,736 | 19,223 | 19,285 |
+| Nov 19 | 22,760 | 22,601 | 22,527 |
+| Jan 21, 2022 | 220,355 | 224,653 | 226,991 |
+| Jan 20, 2023 | 43,984 | 46,136 | 45,859 |
+| Total puts | 619, 458 | 622,769 | 624,608 |
+| Shares short | 61.88M | 62.27M | 62.46M |
+
+Ok, what does fox say?
+
+The number of naked short shares implied by Married Put remnants has increased by the equivalent 184,900 shares in just the last week.
+
+-   Ortex has 'exchange reported' Short Interest at 11.82M shares.
+
+-   4,600 put contracts have expired since the previous post but there is still a net *increase* of 1,839 contracts.
+
+-   Combining the calculated Naked Short interest of 62.46M with the official 11.82M short interest, we get 74.28M shares short or *155.6% SI*.
+
+So, the Short Interest has *increased* by another ~5% over the last week while GME went from $146 to $168. (Wow. Apes are crushing!)
+
+The Great Put Embiggening
+
+Thanks to [u/Full_Option_8067](https://www.reddit.com/u/Full_Option_8067/) for digging up the options chain from January!
+
+Back on January 15th the open interest for sub $20 Jan 2022 Puts was 22,278 which today has over 223,653 puts. The March sub $20 Puts was 29,374 and today that has ballooned to 224,653 puts.
+
+Yup. No real suprise here, the baby-squeeze on Jan 28th sorta marked the beginning of the marry-them-puts shenannigans to drive the price action down down down.
+
+Could this indicate naked shorting was occuring back in Jan? Possibly and probably. Certainly not to the extent it is today or at least the means to short GME were not predominantly Married-Put naked shorting.
+
+The Wedding Planner
+
+Considering the Put part of a Married-Put trade is NEVER gonna be used, it makes sense to minimize the cost the these types of puts. If you look at the January 2022 put options, the $0.50 strike costs just 2 cents! Two freaking cents! I guess even hedgies don't like throwing money away if they don't have to.
+
+This explains why the pattern for these is densely clustered around just two Option dates a super-low-strikes. July 16th and Jan 21, 2022. These are the most cost-effective places to dump irrational puts. Only one problem, they stick out like a sore thumb. This got me thinking, where else can they hide shorts?
+
+When you make an Assumption ...
+
+When I wrote my original post on this topic I picked $20 as the cutoff strike price to delimit rational from irrational puts. I did that by eyeballing the double-distribution of puts across the Option Expiry dates and found a valley. Normal stocks don't have such exaggerated double humps and instead call/put action *generally* creates a nice camel hump pattern around the current stock price with the sporradic YOLO or fatfinger bet outliers.
+
+That was a bad assumption and the more correct way to do it would be to define irrational puts by their implied volatility or more directly by their cost-effectiveness, knowing that anything spent on the cost of that put option is totally written off.
+
+BUT, you can't just load up on *half a million* $0.01 put options in July at a $0.50 strike! That's gonna stand out like a big turd on the sidewalk, apes or somebody might notice that. You gotta spread those puts around a bit. So they grabbed 148k at $0.50 strike, 30k more at the $1.00 strike and well ... that's really not very well spread out. In thier defense, only the July 16 and Jan 21, 2022 Option Expiry dates have these ridiculous strikes so if there really wasn't a lot of other places to spread these turds out.
+
+Shotgun Weddings
+
+After snorting a few more crayons and reconsidering what an 'irrational put' is defined as, the next most obvious place to look was ANY puts that are really cost-effective with high-implied volality. (i.e. fat chance in hell of hitting that strike price.)
+
+Of course, SHORT TERM put options!
+
+Perfect place to hide more turds. You can get them cheap cause of the greeks, very often less than ten cents for the contract! Yeah, they expire within days, but there is a solution to that: Let them. Buy more next week.
+
+Let's look at the irrational puts for the next couple of months option expiry and filter for *ten cent* put options with 200%+ Implied Volatility:
+
+| Option Expiry | 10 cent puts, high IV |
+| --- | --- |
+| May 21 | *75,971* |
+| May 28 | 2,717 |
+| Jun 4 | 1,036 |
+| Jun 11 | 306 |
+| Jun 18 | 1,948 |
+| Jun 25 | 36 |
+| Total | 82,014 |
+
+Boom! This Friday, nearly 76 thousand *worthless* puts expiring. Go look at the put option chain yourself [here](https://www.barchart.com/stocks/quotes/GME/options?expiration=2021-05-21-m&moneyness=allRows). Seriously, look at it. Does it make any sense? Dirt cheap puts with over 300% IV all the way up to a $80 strike. Who would buy an insane option like this? Anyone here think GME is going to drop by half in two days? Yeah, me either.
+
+That's potentially another 8.2M shares short, bringing our calculated Short Interest up to 82.5M shares short or 172.8% Shorted of the float.
+
+How can we confirm they are rolling short-term puts as part of married put trades? We should know Monday, cause the total open interest for irrational puts needs to be maintained in order for them to continue under the pretense of using this as a *legal* means of naked short selling. And this is a ton of open interest that's gotta get rolled. The OI for next week is a mere 2,717 contracts so if we see massive amounts of irrational puts Monday, there you go.
+
+Could the Short Interest be even higher?
+
+ABSOLUTELY.
+
+This calculation does NOT include short shares created directly using legal Market Maker provisions and have not yet been covered (T+21) by that Market Maker. This calculation does NOT include legal short shares created using the re-borrowing method. (See 005 below.) This calculation does not include shares shorted via the ETF's. (62 [ETF's](https://www.etf.com/stock/GME) hold 10.5M GME shares and that undoubtedly all been shorted.)
+
+Conclusion
+
+Hedgies r fuk. They're digging an even deeper hole with every passing day. Every time I look at it there are more shorts. Naked shorts, everywhere. And I don't think we've found them all. There could be millions more hidden using 005 re-borrowing and millions more in rolling FTD's. I will not be surprised, if it turns out the real number was closer to 1,000% SI.
+
+I do believe they are limiting themselves to only *legal* mechanisms for shorting the stock. Otherwise we would *not* see all the evidence they have left behind, like open puts, FTD reports, 13F's, etc. Which is probably a wise decision, when they get busted, none of them will actually go to jail.
+
+The rate the SI in increasing is clearly unsustainable. The DTCC needs to margin call them ASAP. Every day they delay increases the cost by ~21 thousand shares, or about $210 million a day if the moass geometric mean is $10k. *cough* or higher. ;)
+
+Sources
+
+[Citadel 13F - Fintel](https://fintel.io/i13f/citadel-advisors-llc/2021-03-31-0)
+
+[Original Post on Married Puts](https://www.reddit.com/r/GME/comments/mgj0j1/the_naked_shorting_scam_revealed_lending_of/)
+
+[DTC-005 Original Doc](https://zenodo.org/record/4718936/files/005%20-%20SEC%20SR-DTC-2021-005-2%20-%20submission%20of%20rule%20finding.pdf?download=1)
+
+[DTC-005 Analysis](https://www.reddit.com/r/GME/comments/mi8mo9/legal_interpretation_of_the_proposed_srdtc2021005/)
+
+[Share Borrowing Program](https://smithonstocks.com/part-7-illegal-naked-shorting-dtcc-continuous-net-settlement-and-stock-borrowing-programs-have-loopholes-that-facilitate-illegal-naked-shorting/)
+
+[Barchart Options](https://www.barchart.com/stocks/quotes/GME/options?expiration=2021-05-21-m&moneyness=allRows)
+
+[Stonk Tracker](https://gme.crazyawesomecompany.com/)
+
+Required
+
+🚀🚀🚀

Confirmation-Bias-and-Discussion/Married-Put-Forensic-Analysis-by-AlexanderHood/2021-05-26-Married-Put-Forensic-Analysis.md

@@ -0,0 +1,159 @@
+May 26th Update on the Married-Put Forensic Analysis - Shorts all the way down
+
+==============================================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/AlexanderHood](https://www.reddit.com/user/AlexanderHood/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nl90c5/may_26th_update_on_the_marriedput_forensic/) | 
+
+---
+
+[DD 👨‍🔬](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22DD%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%94%AC%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+T'was the night before MOASS'mas and if you're too jacked to sleep, I have something to keep you jacked until Market Open.
+
+Following up to my post from last week, [here](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/ngp969/may_19th_update_on_the_marriedput_forensic/).
+
+If you haven't already that, this business about Married-Put-Remnants and Irrational-Puts won't make much sense, so go catch up and then pop back here after, kthxbye!
+
+Last week, on Days of our Lives Buying and Hodling ...
+
+We saw about 75k Irrational Puts expire. Poof! Gone. Where did they go?
+
+What we did *not* see Monday morning was an additonal 75k Irrational Put options get opened up, that's for sure. What we *did* see yesterday and today, was a nice well-distributed build up of Irrational puts all across the board, spread out like sand on a beach. Totally innocuous.
+
+Pop quiz hot shot! It's 2:30pm on a Tuesday, GME is ripping faces and chewing bubble-gum, boosters firing from $180 to over $210! What do you do?
+
+*Buy put options at a $30 strike for this Friday.*
+
+What??? No. Why on earth would anyone buy that crap? It's worthless. *Irrational*, if you will. ;) But that's exactly what happened today. And a lot more of it.
+
+(Note: Some of todays largest put option trades were late afternoon, low-strike, low-cost and interestingly, not out of the *PHLX* exchange! Aha!)
+
+Naked Naked Naked ... Pop Pop Pop
+
+I've been watching the low-strike put options open interest to see how it changes day-to-day. Here is a comparison of today to yesterday, a snap-shot of some Irrational Puts popping into existence:
+
+Option Expiry Date: May 28th
+
+| Strike | OI May 24 | OI May 25 | Delta |
+
+| --- | --- | --- | --- |
+
+| $10.00 | 348 | 363 | 15 |
+
+| $20.00 | 137 | 205 | 68 |
+
+| $30.00 | 603 | 756 | 153 |
+
+| $40.00 | 501 | 647 | 146 |
+
+| $50.00 | 296 | 704 | 408 |
+
+| $60.00 | 457 | 404 | -53 |
+
+| $70.00 | 759 | 813 | 54 |
+
+| $80.00 | 327 | 395 | 68 |
+
+| $90.00 | 185 | 493 | 308 |
+
+| $100.00 | 3,006 | 3125 | 119 |
+
+| $110.00 | 1,027 | 954 | -73 |
+
+| $120.00 | 806 | 901 | 95 |
+
+| $130.00 | 560 | 973 | 413 |
+
+| Sum | 9012 | 10733 | +1,721 |
+
+With GME soaring, the cost of most of these low-strike options dropped to super-cheap levels. You could pick up puts at even a $130 stike for just $0.23 cents! Looking over the distribution of puts at strikes today, we saw widespread increases all the way up to about the $130 strike. So it would seem that whoever programmed the algo to distribute these evenly doesn't want to pay more than about $0.25 per contract.
+
+If the Hedgies have a budget of about $0.25 max for Married Put contract, let's take a look at the following week's Op Ex to see if we see the same pattern of evenly distributed puts added today for low-strike options.
+
+Option Expiry Date: Jun 4
+
+| Strike | May 24 | May 25 | Delta |
+
+| --- | --- | --- | --- |
+
+| $10.00 | 134 | 134 | 0 |
+
+| $20.00 | 83 | 92 | 9 |
+
+| $30.00 | 270 | 291 | 21 |
+
+| $40.00 | 186 | 233 | 47 |
+
+| $50.00 | 424 | 476 | 52 |
+
+| $60.00 | 262 | 278 | 16 |
+
+| $70.00 | 76 | 102 | 26 |
+
+| $80.00 | 58 | 62 | 4 |
+
+| $90.00 | 77 | 114 | 37 |
+
+| $100.00 | 361 | 466 | 105 |
+
+| $110.00 | 239 | 315 | 76 |
+
+| $120.00 | 260 | 389 | 129 |
+
+| $130.00 | 174 | 224 | 50 |
+
+| Sum | 2604 | 3176 | +572 |
+
+Yup.
+
+And we see even more of these Irrational Puts added to June 11th Op Ex contracts, more added into the Hedgie perennial favorite the July 16th contracts and a few more in the Jan 21, 2022 contracts. (Refer to previous post for the last analysis I did for these last two dates.)
+
+Every day we are seeing more and more of these Short-Term put options come into existence, about 4-5,000 per day representing about 400 to 500,000 shares.
+
+What does all this mean?
+
+Short Interest continues to be hidden in Long-Term Low-Strike Put options as well as low-cost Short-Term put options.
+
+In my previous post I did an analysis using a new criteria for what an Irrational Put is, a contract for $0.10 or less with high IV. Looking at today's newly minted put contracts, these are getting up to the $0.25 range on the high-end, although the *majority* remain clustered below $0.10 there are some few being added at even these higher ranges most likely due to some semi-random algo trying to hide these puts here without accidentally making it totally obvious that they have some specific allocaation.
+
+What about the puts that expired last week?
+
+Yes indeed. What about them.
+
+Nothing. They expired.
+
+After yesterday and today's powerful confirmation of the T+35, T+21 theory, I am inclined to think the Hedgies just stuck the Market Maker with them. Legally, the Married-Put is used to justify the creation of the Naked Short, the two allow the MM to remain 'neutral'. Ok, but what happen's when those Naked Shorts are still out there and the Put contract that was balancing them out expires? *The MM has to cover them.*
+
+Not straight away, the day after Op Ex (the following Monday) begins the T+35 part of the FTD cycle. They will cover those shares 35 days hence.
+
+The MM's are out there covering Naked Shorts on the 35th day, which would start spiking the price action so the SHF need to create *more* Married-Puts to create *more* Naked Shorts to again push GME down.
+
+Today, GME shot up 20% and the Short Interest *increased*! The MM's are buying to cover which is spiking the price and the SHF continue to drive it down with Married-Put Naked shorts. The SHF have *not* started covering, still just kicking the can another 35 days down the road.
+
+Implications for Short Interest
+
+I had previously estimated SI using Married Put remnants at 172%, but now that we are seeing Irrational Puts being created *daily*, that estimate is very, very low. There are way more Irrational Puts in existence, *including Short-Term puts and also expired puts* than I had accounted for. By the time I finish adding all of it together the Short Interest is going to be north of 340% at a minimum.
+
+Each week as these Short-Term Irrational puts expire, they are kicking off a batch of FTD's that need to get covered ~35 days later. Expired yeah, but the impact they had on the price action when they were first created persists, with GME trading sideways for weeks and weeks on end. Eventually they get covered (often at a lower price) and new Naked Shorts are created to replace them. In the meantime, every Monday a huge new batch of Naked Shorts is being created and *juggled* in a huge T+35 day loop.
+
+Last week the equivalent of over 7.5M shares worth of puts expired. That doesn't mean every week they have been creating millions of Naked Shorts, but if they want to keep the price action from rising, sufficient Naked Shorts need to be created equal to the total retail buying pressure. How much is that? We'd need to go count all the expired Irrational Puts since Jan to get an estimate. If we knew, we could better estimate the true SI and the MOASS peak & geometric mean. Data from Jan did indicate this practice of using Married-Puts increased by 10x after Jan 28th.
+
+I really hope Cohen just comes out and tells us how many shares are outstanding. That would be easier. :/
+
+Sources
+
+[Original Post on Married Puts](https://www.reddit.com/r/GME/comments/mgj0j1/the_naked_shorting_scam_revealed_lending_of/)
+
+[DTC-005 Original Doc](https://zenodo.org/record/4718936/files/005%20-%20SEC%20SR-DTC-2021-005-2%20-%20submission%20of%20rule%20finding.pdf?download=1)
+
+[Share Borrowing Program](https://smithonstocks.com/part-7-illegal-naked-shorting-dtcc-continuous-net-settlement-and-stock-borrowing-programs-have-loopholes-that-facilitate-illegal-naked-shorting/)
+
+[Barchart Options](https://www.barchart.com/stocks/quotes/GME/options?expiration=2021-05-21-m&moneyness=allRows)
+
+[Stonk Tracker](https://gme.crazyawesomecompany.com/)
+
+Required
+
+🚀🚀🚀

DD/2021-04-21-Failed-Launch-Attemp-in-Late-February-and-Proof-that-the-DTCC-Must-be-the-Catalyst.md

@@ -0,0 +1,80 @@
+Feb 24-26: failed launch attempt and proof the DTCC must be the catalyst?
+=========================================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/Bladeace](https://www.reddit.com/user/Bladeace/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mvvuhp/feb_2426_failed_launch_attempt_and_proof_the_dtcc/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3) | 
+
+---
+
+[DD 👨‍🔬](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22DD%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%94%AC%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+TL;DR: This never should have gone on for this long, it's too dangerous for everyone involved. Whales tried to solve this themselves and attempted to launch the rocket in February with a gamma squeeze. This failed, so they have no choice except to fight a holding pattern until the DTCC and the feds step in. I hold because I think they are all working hard to bring me a very large bucket of tendies.
+
+I think the gamma squeeze in February was an attempt to launch the rocket and begin the squeeze. The shorts foiled the attempt by recklessly flooding the market with even more naked shorts. This terrified all involved and prompted the DTCC to begin the preparations required to step in. If my speculation is accurate, actors in the market cannot instigate the squeeze (they tried and failed). So, we wait for the DTCC.
+
+I wrote the below speculation because I am having a difficult time understanding why the financial institutions competing against the shorts haven't instigated the squeeze. I believe they have a clear motive to instigate the squeeze and should have done so before the situation got this far. Accordingly, I suspect the February gamma squeeze to be evidence they did make such an attempt but realized the situation was beyond their ability to resolve. I think that it is this failure that resulted in their decision to fight for a holding pattern until the cavalry arrives to put down the rogue element.
+
+The February gamma squeeze
+
+During February the amount of GME shares traded peaked at a mindboggling high of four times the float being traded in one day. [This](https://www.forbes.com/sites/georgecalhoun/2021/03/10/gamestop-the-second-surgeanatomy-of-a-gamma-swarm/?sh=662560a24225) article from Forbes summarizes the volume of trades:
+
+[Yeah, four times the float of a large company is fucking loads.](https://preview.redd.it/lo63uje4jmu61.png?width=972&format=png&auto=webp&s=db1f700de4a32bb02dc19c9fa61181a7e8bcac1d)
+
+Before this massive spike in volume, slightly more than the entire float is being traded daily. That's already ridiculous, so the trade volume is spiking from ridiculous to insane. The same article provides this chart to illustrate how sharply it rose:
+
+[What. The. Fuck.](https://preview.redd.it/lzezctvhkmu61.png?width=959&format=png&auto=webp&s=860b09112f8b610dc76e81bf579248f97f6b7475)
+
+Unsurprisingly, the price goes up by a lot during this period. The author of this chart argues that this is because of a gamma squeeze which is, basically, when options are used to drive price rises. The following chart supports their assertion:
+
+[Yep, that's a fuck ton of options alright!](https://preview.redd.it/bsyczqiflmu61.png?width=959&format=png&auto=webp&s=9bab12f029d2deba0b09529c6b326c8ae28eb683)
+
+I think the author makes a strong case for these claims. By using options, the volume of trades was driven way up very quickly. The price rose accordingly. However, the author goes on to argue that this was caused by reddit users coordinating options purchases. I'm not going to spend time discussing that claim here because I think it's absurd1.
+
+1: The author argues we can multiply the impact of our buying power on the volume by up to 50 times using this method. Even multiplied by 50 times, this is far too much money being spent in far too short a period to be reddit users. It's also notable that this level of coordination would require communication and I haven't seen any posts attempting to organize a huge coordinated purchase of options. Reddit did cause a similar volume in January, but doing so was *very* public. Our ability to move money is proportional to the visibility of our responsibility; if Feburary gamma was us, every user here would know that. The article in the link is excellent, but their claim regarding reddits behavior during the Feburary gamma is unfounded.
+
+The gamma squeeze as an attempt to launch the rocket
+
+So, there was a gamma squeeze. I suspect this gamma squeeze was an attempt to launch the short squeeze.
+
+Before I continue, I think it's important to note that the wash sales which, we suspect, are being used to artificially lower the price are distinct from the phenomenon being discussed here. In this case, the massive volume was causing rapid price rises. Unlike the wash sales, I think the volume during this gamma squeeze was caused by shares trading from one party to another *without the two parties coordinating on a desired direction of the price.* I think one party was trying to rise the price substantially while the other was trying to keep it low.
+
+It might help to remember what the price charts looked like during this period. You'll all probably remember this bizarre graph:
+
+[The graph my broker provides wasn't this dramatic but it still looked fucky](https://preview.redd.it/gb4sy55ynmu61.png?width=1669&format=png&auto=webp&s=c4ddece1f2c8cf16a85fd4e4dfb5804b50d32d55)
+
+I think what we're seeing during this period is two high frequency traders directly competing to change the price, one trying to drive the price up by buying all the shares and the other trying to drive the price down by selling enough shares that the other can't buy them all. One party is using options to flood the market with buy orders while the other is flooding it with sell orders. These orders change the price, the buys raise the price and the sells lower it. Given how quickly this happens it looks, on the graph, like there are some points in time with no price (the vertical lines); this is because there is a large range of prices being traded at during the moment that point on the graph represents. At least, that's my understanding of the graph. Someone in the comments may clarify further, or correct an error on my part, in which case I'll edit accordingly.
+
+The key point isn't actually what the graph shows anyway. What's important is that the large volume on these days is caused by two parties competing to alter the price. One party wants to raise it and one wants to lower it. The party that wants to raise the price does so by buying up a lot of shares and the party that wants to lower the price does so by selling a lot of shares. Unlike wash sales, the parties aren't cooperating so this volume isn't just the same shares going back and forth. This is why the price rises over this period - the price rise is the result of one of the parties buying shares and then not letting them back into the market.
+
+I think this period in February saw massive volume because a whale attempted to buy so many shares the price would rise high enough to launch the rocket. The only way for the shorts to stop this from happening was for them to sell enough shares at low enough prices. I think they failed because the shorts sold so many shares the price rise was minimized. Let me explain a little more to help clarify, if a friendly whale buys a million options to rise the price but the shorts sell enough shares to cover those options, the price isn't going to rise. Basically, if a friendly whale was sick of this situation and wanted to launch the rocket it could do so by buying a lot of shares to drive the price up, *unless* the shorts were willing to simply flood the market to match their buying spree.
+
+So, if I'm right about this, the February gamma squeeze was an attempt to launch the rocket by buying so many shares the price spiked. They tried so hard the entire float was traded nearly ten times in three days: this wasn't a small effort, they tried really hard to launch the rocket. They failed because the shorts were willing to sell as many shares as they could buy. Well, almost - they still rose the price significantly, just not enough to launch.
+
+This is significant because it demonstrates just how many shorted shares team short are capable of putting into the market. We already knew they could flood the market with a lot of these fraudulent shares. I think the February gamma squeeze showed our whales that team short would simply flood the market even more if they tried to launch the rocket. The result is stalemate, the shorts can't short enough to lower the price any further and the longs can't buy enough to launch the rocket. So, we trade sideways until something changes.
+
+During this stalemate the shorts wash shares to keep the price from rising and use various shenanigans to offset their failures to deliver the fabricated shares they've sold. I think this is why the volume remains high after the gamma squeeze and through March. The high volume is the shenanigans of the shorts. Over this period the DTCC puts new rules into place that incrementally clamp down on these shenanigans until, eventually, we get the low volume numbers we're seeing at the moment. I think the low volume reflects the increasingly weak position of team short.
+
+Notice that this would mean that the low volume indicates team long has another opportunity to launch the rocket. I believe that they have elected not to do so after seeing what team short was willing to do during their February attempt. I think team short flooding the market with a huge number of shorted shares terrified everyone involved. The more shorted shares team short releases, the worse the problem gets for every member of the NSCC/DTCC that has to help pick up the pieces when this thing goes off. So, team long decided to abandon any attempt to launch the rocket on their own and maintained a holding pattern while pressuring the DTCC to get their house in order. Another users post, [Why We're STILL trading sideways and Why We Haven't Launched](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mu9xed/why_were_still_trading_sideways_and_why_we_havent/), expands on why we are still waiting for launch. My addition to their commentary is that I think the Febuary gamma squeeze is what convinced team long to wait rather than attempt to launch the rocket on their own.
+
+This is a precarious situation for all involved. Every day this continues team short leaks more shorted shares into the market. Every day team long waits for the DTCC to prepare risks someone doing something unexpected, like leaking to the press. The only thing worse for the DTCC than MOASS is everyone learning about it before it begins. The longer this continues the more other members of the market will know about what's happening; eventually, someone will leak it to everyone. My guess is that everyone involved wants this finished with *asap*. I think the only reason it's still going is because of how recklessly the shorts fought during the February gamma squeeze.
+
+It's my suspicion that the new head of the SEC intends to resolve this *fast*. I think he knows his window to handle this his way is small. If he does this right, he can be the person who stepped in and protected everyone from a rogue element threatening an outright system failure. But, that only works if he comes in hard and gets it done quickly. The longer he waits, the more it looks like his failure rather than him stepping in to pick up his predecessors mess.
+
+Relating this to the wider context
+
+I think [A House of Cards - Part 1](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mvk5dv/a_house_of_cards_part_1/) is correct, the system is overrun with phantom shares because the DTCC is essentially running a fractional reserve security market without the protections in place to ensure its fractional reserve, of any given security, doesn't all get called up at the same time. I suspect that, over time, its members have issued increasing numbers of shares which means the reserves have become less able to deliver on the sales when required. In January, one of its members was caught out by this and forced a trading halt to prevent disaster. Unfortunately, for them, this made the situation worse because retail traders didn't sell. During February they expanded their short position in an attempt to lower the price enough for them to close.
+
+The expansion of their short position in February and our unwillingness to sell forced the hands of other financial institutions who were not willing to watch the shorts make the problem even worse. So, they attempted to launch the rocket with a gamma squeeze. This would have hurt every member of the financial community, but it would have stopped the shorts from causing even more damage. This was an attempt to cut off the diseased limb.
+
+The shorts fought back and went further than the longs expected. To avoid launch, they flooded the market with even more shorted shares. This showed the other financial institutions that they couldn't launch the rocket and the diseased limb had gone so rogue it was willing to bring the entire system down rather than be amputated. This is why I think the February gamma squeeze is so important. I think it shows that longs *did* try to launch the rocket. Which is important, because I think they have had a motivation to do so this entire time and our theories need to take account of that motive.
+
+So, they turned to the DTCC and advised them they had to sort it out. For this reason, we get a growing raft of new regulations designed to prevent this from happening again and allowing them to resolve the mess. I believe the current low volume indicates team longs are now in a position to launch the rocket if they desire. I think they are waiting because the DTCC has shown they are taking action and the longs are willing to give them a little time to prepare.
+
+As this has all transpired, I think the wider financial community has begun to become aware of what is happening. I think the unusual bank activity is them preparing for this. If this is true, launch is likely imminent. I say this because no one involved wants this to make it into mainstream media before it begins. They can't stop people from knowing about it after it's begun, but they *really* don't want to give the public notice. My guess is that [this](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mvoi4h/gme_closed_001_from_previous_day_close_this_has/) recent post is correct and we're currently looking at the final preparations in the market.
+
+Summary
+
+In January, the shorts were going to die so they broke the market. In February, I think the market tried to correct itself with the gamma squeeze. In March, I think the DTCC took over and began preparations to solve the situation. In April, I think the feds are in charge and the entire finance sector is preparing for the hammer to come down.
+
+(This is all *very* speculative and shouldn't be treated as financial advice! Please correct me on any errors and I will alter my claims accordingly. Thank you for reading my work.)

DD/2021-05-13-Fed-Reverse-Repos-are-Not-Tied-to-Margin-Calls.md

@@ -0,0 +1,160 @@
+Counter DD: NY Fed $400 bln reverse repos is not tied to margin calls. It's worse.
+==================================================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/ZKShao](https://www.reddit.com/user/ZKShao/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nbt1sp/counter_dd_ny_fed_400_bln_reverse_repos_is_not/) | 
+
+---
+
+[Possible DD 👨‍🔬](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Possible%20DD%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%94%AC%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+Changed May 16th: Please see Update at bottom of post.
+
+Today there is hype about an Italian financial news site reporting that the New York Fed has lent 400 billion USD to 39 financial institutes over the past two days. It concludes that big Wall Street parties have been margin called and are panic borrowing from the Fed to make margin. Link: <https://www.money.it/Fed-repo-miliardi-Wall-Street>
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Counter DD: NY Fed $400 bln reverse repos is not tied to margin calls. It's worse.](https://preview.redd.it/x2vo22t7cyy61.png?width=697&format=png&auto=webp&s=8bdb221c2f8ba0330f3a9e5601463ce51a2b2c4b)](https://preview.redd.it/x2vo22t7cyy61.png?width=697&format=png&auto=webp&s=8bdb221c2f8ba0330f3a9e5601463ce51a2b2c4b)
+
+Google translated screenshot of the news article
+
+None of it is correct.
+
+TL;DR
+
+-   The numbers are about reverse repos, which mean that the Fed is the one borrowing cash and providing US Treasury bonds as collateral.
+
+-   The numbers are about overnight reverse repos (ON RRP) which have same day settlement. The cash makes a roundtrip in the same day so cannot be added together: there will be significant overlap between the numbers of subsequent days.
+
+-   ON RPP rate is currently 0%, which means the Fed borrows cash at 0% interest and provides US Treasury bonds as collateral. The incentive why someone would lend to the Fed at 0% interest rate is to hold the bond, perhaps for short term shorting.
+
+-   The Fed has on March 16 increased the maximum amount of cash they will borrow daily from a counterparty from 30 billion to 80 billion per counterparty. Reverse repo transactions have increased daily since.
+
+-   It's not financial institutes borrowing cash because they got margin called. It's the contrary: it's them depositing cash to profit from babysitting holding US Treasury bonds.
+
+    -   ~~which they perhaps use for nefarious purposes~~ ~~this is an understatement~~
+
+    -   Please see Update.
+
+Good day apes! This is my first attempt at a DD if you can call it that. I'm actually just formulating an in-depth reply to other daily trending posts:
+
+-   20k upvotes: <https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nb9pon/european_financial_news_is_reporting_major_margin/>
+
+-   11k upvotes: <https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nbg01m/regarding_recent_rumors_about_fed_bailing_out_hfs/>
+
+-   8.3k upvotes: <https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nbbrg6/margin_called_front_page_moneyit/>
+
+-   5.3k upvotes: <https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nbbg13/reverse_repo_loan_amounts_by_day_since_january/>
+
+If I'm wrong then shame be on me and I will delete this post or leave it up for posterity, whatever the people deem best. If I'm right, a lot of people are getting excited about some news site that is wrongly interpreting what it means when the Fed conducts reverse repo operations: it's the opposite. So here goes.
+
+WHERE ARE THE NUMBERS FROM?
+
+So first off, what is this $400 billion figure coming from? Again look at the shared news article: <https://www.money.it/Fed-repo-miliardi-Wall-Street>
+
+400 billion is the lazy sum of 209 billion and 181 billion (context: Italians call a billion a milliardi). Those numbers can be found on the NY Fed site here: <https://apps.newyorkfed.org/markets/autorates/tomo-results-display?SHOWMORE=TRUE&startDate=01/01/2000&enddate=01/01/2000>
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Counter DD: NY Fed $400 bln reverse repos is not tied to margin calls. It's worse.](https://preview.redd.it/phgs140fdyy61.png?width=1119&format=png&auto=webp&s=50cd1533a4e1000d7238f940ce59ad364e49fcdf)](https://preview.redd.it/phgs140fdyy61.png?width=1119&format=png&auto=webp&s=50cd1533a4e1000d7238f940ce59ad364e49fcdf)
+
+The numbers are from reverse repos
+
+Take note that the page contains daily summaries of repos and reverse repos. Nothing is happening in terms of repos (.000 abound), the numbers are about reverse repos.
+
+WHAT ARE REVERSE REPOS?
+
+I've only learned today what a repo or reverse repo is, but it's enough to conclude that the news site has it wrong. There seems to be some confusion today because of one definition on Investopedia, and another definition on the Fed site. But we are talking about numbers posted on the Fed site, so lets look at their FAQ.
+
+Here is what the NY Fed's FAQ says:
+
+"A reverse repurchase agreement conducted by the Desk, also called a "reverse repo" or "RRP," is a transaction in which the Desk sells a security to an eligible counterparty with an agreement to repurchase that same security at a specified price at a specific time in the future."
+
+Source: <https://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/rrp_faq.html>
+
+"The Desk" refers to the Open Market Trading Desk which represents the Fed. So in a reverse repo (RRP) the Fed sells a security to gain cash, but has an agreement to buy the security back. That's where we can already conclude the 400 billion is not being lent to Wall Street at all, it's being borrowed from Wall Street. It has nothing to do with margin calls.
+
+If I'm wrong, correct me please, but here is a few more sources to back up this interpretation.
+
+-   <https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/overnight-reverse-repurchase-agreements.htm>"When the Federal Reserve conducts an overnight RRP, it sells a security to an eligible counterparty and simultaneously agrees to buy the security back the next day."
+
+-   <https://www.learningmarkets.com/the-federal-reserves-open-market-operations/>"When the Fed wants to extract money from the system, it sells Treasury securities to its primary dealers in a reverse repo."
+
+Moreover, the reverse repos involving the reported numbers are overnight reverse repos, meaning the transaction is inverted the next day. Therefore it's also incorrect to just sum up the numbers: the 209 billion of one day and the 181 billion of the day before probably have a lot of overlap. So scrap that 400 billion number altogether.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Counter DD: NY Fed $400 bln reverse repos is not tied to margin calls. It's worse.](https://preview.redd.it/ygb2nqbrbyy61.png?width=599&format=png&auto=webp&s=26645b6faf328e475ad1436b39d351ab745e9d82)](https://preview.redd.it/ygb2nqbrbyy61.png?width=599&format=png&auto=webp&s=26645b6faf328e475ad1436b39d351ab745e9d82)
+
+Numbers are from same-day settlement reverse repos, i.e. 'overnight'
+
+Until this part is just setting the record straight. I do have an alternative theory to propose.
+
+Reminder: My personal stance has changed, feel free to entertain the theory but please make sure to also read the update at the end of the post and the referenced counter perspectives.
+
+Remainder of the post is the original theory.
+
+SO WHAT IS ACTUALLY GOING ON WITH THESE INCREASING NUMBERS?
+
+If you look at the data again on the NY Fed site, numbers have been increasing steadily every week day: 154, 161, 175, 181, 209 billion. That can be seen in this graph, which was made by [u/xpurplexamyx](https://www.reddit.com/u/xpurplexamyx/) today:
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Counter DD: NY Fed $400 bln reverse repos is not tied to margin calls. It's worse.](https://preview.redd.it/wr801288eyy61.png?width=960&format=png&auto=webp&s=b4821e15abc01e14e0f4ea6401fe1cdbfe03daaa)](https://preview.redd.it/wr801288eyy61.png?width=960&format=png&auto=webp&s=b4821e15abc01e14e0f4ea6401fe1cdbfe03daaa)
+
+All credit to u/xpurplexamyx and her post at https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nbbg13/reverse_repo_loan_amounts_by_day_since_january/
+
+If you look at the graph, you can see the numbers start increasing rapidly after March 17. Well something very relevant happened on that day. Before March 17, any reverse repo (RRP) counter party could deposit up to 30 billion per day at the Fed. On March 17, this changed to 80 billion.
+
+Source: <https://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/opolicy/operating_policy_210317> and <https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20210428a1.htm>
+
+Now assuming there is incentive for counterparties (that would be banks) to participate in the Fed's RRP program, it is to be expected that numbers would rise from that point on. Why did it increase gradually instead of immediately from March 17 onward? What is that spike on March 31? I don't know, hope someone can fill us in. Why did the Fed decide to raise the limit to 80 billion? I don't know either but it has something to do with that bRRR-man. I hope someone with knowledge of monetary policy can jump in here.
+
+Lets talk about incentives. Normally the incentive for counterparties to take part in the reverse repo program, i.e. deposit cash at the Fed is because they make interest on that deposit. Otherwise, why wouldn't they rather use that money to make money? So normally, the Fed offers some interest, but not more than other banks. The interest rate for reverse repos is tweaked by the Fed to act as a lower limit to what interest banks charge each other, the latter is called the federal funds rate.
+
+My crude attempt at summarizing this: the interest rate that the Fed pays in reverse repos can be decreased by the Fed to incentivize banks to borrow from each other, and increased to incentivize borrowing from the Fed. People that actually know economics can come shit over me now.
+
+What is interesting to me and a bit surprising is that the current interest rate for overnight reverse repos, the ON RRP rate, is currently 0.00%. Source: <https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20210428a1.htm>.
+
+Again, the interest rate that one would get for using the Fed as a daycare for their cash, is currently 0.00%. Yet participation in the ON RRP program is increasing daily, both in terms of money exchanged and number of counterparties participating as evidenced by those 181 billion, 209 billion and today 235 billion. The 400 billion number from the Italian site was summed up where summing isn't valid, but at this rate we will reach it soon on a single day!
+
+What's the incentive? Well perhaps you want the collateral that the Fed offers, which in the case of the reverse repos we are looking at are exclusively Treasury Bonds. The Fed gets to babysit your cash, you get to babysit some US treasury bonds.
+
+The incentive may be that when you park your cash at the Fed and get to hold on to US Treasury bonds, you can do stuff with those bonds for a day since you do own them until the Fed purchases them back the next day. Here are some things I can think of to do with these freely borrowed bonds:
+
+-   Lend them to short sellers for a borrow fee
+
+-   Use them yourself to short
+
+-   If anyone can come up with other reasons to deposit funds somewhere for 0% interest, receiving treasury bonds as collateral, please fill me in. I would like to know the least nefarious reason for someone to make use of this reverse repo program.
+
+I mean, look at what's been trending downwards:
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Counter DD: NY Fed $400 bln reverse repos is not tied to margin calls. It's worse.](https://preview.redd.it/e2ply48ihyy61.png?width=853&format=png&auto=webp&s=85a103ff44d76ff96bec4f4498d2bf3878cd5bad)](https://preview.redd.it/e2ply48ihyy61.png?width=853&format=png&auto=webp&s=85a103ff44d76ff96bec4f4498d2bf3878cd5bad)
+
+Price of treasury bonds has been trending down
+
+For more juicy cooking recipes with treasury bonds, please refer to the Everything Short by [u/atobitt](https://www.reddit.com/u/atobitt/). I'm not saying the Everything Short and this here are the same argument, actually I need to reread it knowing everything I learned today. What I am saying is that treasury bonds are shiny.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Counter DD: NY Fed $400 bln reverse repos is not tied to margin calls. It's worse.](https://preview.redd.it/vb55e9krpyy61.jpg?width=650&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=028788f1a02e5299329a2d00b65f7ea253a5d148)](https://preview.redd.it/vb55e9krpyy61.jpg?width=650&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=028788f1a02e5299329a2d00b65f7ea253a5d148)
+
+And I don't even know what they look like!
+
+Since the value of treasury bonds is trending downward and these financial institutes can borrow treasury bonds from the Fed free of charge via reverse repos, that might explain why so many parties are participating in this reverse repo program and why daily cash deposited at the Fed is ever increasing. Although this mechanism was made by the Fed as a way to withhold money from the market, in effect they are lending out treasury bonds for free.
+
+They have quite the conundrum: the ON RPP rate is zero, which should be no incentive for banks to deposit cash at the Fed daily, yet they do. That means that babysitting treasury bonds is profitable and the ON RPP rate should be negative, which means institutes pays the Fed a fee to borrow those treasury bonds. But the ON RPP rate is also meant to be a lower limit for federal funds rate, which they don't want going negative.
+
+If I understand all of this correctly, the ability to short treasury bonds is like an exploit that makes the reverse repo program ripe for exploitation. Financial institutes can borrow treasury bonds for free, which can be turned into profit with a little creativity, and the Fed can't charge for it because that could unintentionally cause negative interest rates across the economy.
+
+Please let me know your thoughts. I do not have much confidence in this theory, but it's the only one I could come up with to explain things that otherwise don't make sense to me.
+
+Why did the Fed increase the daily limit for any RRP counterparty from 30 billion to 80 billion?
+
+Can the reverse repo program be used as an exploit to borrow treasury bonds for free and then short the bonds using them? If not, why are banks participating in the reverse repo program at 0.00% interest?
+
+Why is the ON RPP rate 0.00%, what's the objective? Does it make sense for the Fed to set it at 0.00% as opposed to negative?
+
+Update: Mostly harmless
+
+I asked for opposing perspectives to my tinfoil hat theory and received several. Please see [u/usefully_useless](https://www.reddit.com/u/usefully_useless/)'s [reply](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nbt1sp/counter_dd_ny_fed_400_bln_reverse_repos_is_not/gy7zdhr/?utm_source=reddit&utm_medium=web2x&context=3) for a counter perspective that this is just the money market working as intended. The fact that we're seeing record numbers in reverse repos day by day can be explained by record numbers of excess cash. Incentive to store at the cash at the Fed at 0% is due to the obligation of money market funds to lend (forbidden to hoard). Lending to other financial institutions is currently not as competitive as usual (overnight interest only 0.01% on average), so there are clear reasons to park excess cash at the Fed (low overhead, zero insolvency risk).
+
+On the other side of the equation, [u/jsmar18](https://www.reddit.com/u/jsmar18/) stressed the role of the Fed in their [reply](https://www.reddit.com/user/jsmar18/) and I would like to highlight that although I posed the question 'why would the Fed do x', I meant it as a general inquiry and not an accusation of suspicion. However read his summary of RRP history and Fed goals. Fed actions sus? No, in line with their monetary policy and their hyperfocus on controlling inflation.
+
+[u/HotBoyFF](https://www.reddit.com/u/HotBoyFF/) also remarked with his experience that it's likely not daily short selling, but it could be that the financial institutions desperately need treasury securities for something other, such as reporting reasons. [u/jsmar18](https://www.reddit.com/u/jsmar18/) in their reply also linked some good information on that. Treasuries are certainly used for 'window-dressing' (cooking books legally). I found this study on that subject if anyone is interested: <https://www.aeaweb.org/conference/2018/preliminary/paper/KdB9i9QE>
+
+A popular question was: does this align with [u/atobitt](https://www.reddit.com/u/atobitt/)'s [Everything Short](https://www.reddit.com/r/GME/comments/mgucv2/the_everything_short/)? Now that I believe that it's mostly money market funds using the reverse repo program, who cannot directly in a legal way tunnel assets to hedge funds, I think it is more likely that hedge funds would just naked short over exploiting the reverse repo program. The original theory aligned with Everything Short, my updated stance just says: The NY Fed's reverse repo program is probably not an efficient way for hedgies to implement the Everything Short. Here is a little snack that does support the Everything Short, which is [JPow's Q&A from April 27-28](https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomcpresconf20210428.htm) time 47:00. "As you know at the beginning of this recent crisis, there was such a demand for selling treasuries, including by foreign central banks, that really the dealers could not handle the volume." Insane demand so the dealers couldn't handle it, could that have included naked short selling? Likely.
+
+But while we should keep an eye on Citadel and any parties trying to short *attack* the US treasuries, I don't believe Citadel is overleveraged in naked shorting US treasuries because retail and whales catching a falling GME was the big surprise to them. In US treasuries, the 52wk high-low (for example TLT: 177 - 136) is much tighter than GME (483 - 3.77) and the market for treasuries is much more resilient. So US treasuries no squeeze potential in case you were considering it (and I know some of you apes did). The ball is still GME.

DD/2021-05-14-Citadel-opened-a-Huge-Short-Position-in-January-which-has-not-been-Closed-Yet.md

@@ -0,0 +1,117 @@
+Findings from my analysis of 605 data: Huge short position opened in January. Expanded in February and March. Has not been closed. (Also posted on Superstonk)
+==============================================================================================================================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/Bladeace](https://www.reddit.com/user/Bladeace/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/DDintoGME/comments/nc2ujg/findings_from_my_analysis_of_605_data_huge_short/) | 
+
+---
+
+
+[𝘜𝘯𝘷𝘦𝘳𝘪𝘧𝘪𝘦𝘥 𝘋𝘋](https://www.reddit.com/r/DDintoGME/search?q=flair_name%3A%22%F0%9D%98%9C%F0%9D%98%AF%F0%9D%98%B7%F0%9D%98%A6%F0%9D%98%B3%F0%9D%98%AA%F0%9D%98%A7%F0%9D%98%AA%F0%9D%98%A6%F0%9D%98%A5%20%F0%9D%98%8B%F0%9D%98%8B%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+TA;DR: I looked at the 605 data - Citadel's short position is so huge it's distorted the order flow. It's so massive you can see it merely by looking at where the GME orders are being executed. It also shows they haven't closed.
+
+TL;DR: Opening a huge naked short position requires market maker shenanigans. Leaving it unclosed requires further market maker fucketry. Both of these should be reflected in the proportion of GME shares executed at various market centers. I looked, it is. A market maker closing a massive short position should be reflected too. I looked, it isn't.
+
+I have been examining the order execution data for market centers handling GME order executions, read on for my findings. Citadel appears to have taken a *massive* short position in Gamestop in January. It looks like they continued to expand this short position via NASDAQ during February and March. They do not seem to have closed this position.
+
+Opening a massive naked short position in a very short period of time requires abusing market maker privileges. Doing this would result in distorting the order flow. Market centers where the shorting is taking place would see a spike in the proportion of the shares they were executing for the security being shorted. A market maker closing a massive position would cause the opposite. So, if Citadel has opened a huge short position and not closed it we should see evidence of this in the order flow. I looked at the 605 reports and found exactly this.
+
+According to my analysis of the order flow, Citadel has opened a huge short position, very quickly, in January, expanded it since then, and hasn't closed it. Please read the following and come to your own conclusions on the quality of my analysis. This is not financial advice. I am an ape on a large dose of Ritalin.
+
+Important background information on the special privileges of market makers when shorting *(OK TO SKIP)*:
+
+When opening a short position in your capacity as a market maker you do so by covering a buy order with your own capital. So, an order comes in for a security and you cover it, which is a way of saying 'yes, I'll sell that stock at X price' even though you don't already have a seller lined up to sell the share at that price. This is not uncommon, it's definitely not illegal, and it's very helpful to the market. In fact, one of the reasons market makers exist is to sell shares they haven't yet lined up a seller for. This allows the market to flow smoothly as sales can happen quickly. It's expected that the market maker will line up a seller for the share you brought from them very soon afterwards (often within seconds). However, they are not required to do so. Instead of lining up a seller for the purchase you just made from them, the market maker can take on a short position for that share (they are 'short' the share they sold you, so you essentially have an IOU from them).
+
+When shorting in this manner, the market maker gets special privileges under regulation [SHO §§ 242.200 - 242.204](https://www.law.cornell.edu/cfr/text/17/part-242) which allow them to short in cases where others cannot. Regulation [242.203](https://www.law.cornell.edu/cfr/text/17/242.203) allows market makers to be exempt from some restrictions when engaging in market making activities and regulation [242.204](https://www.law.cornell.edu/cfr/text/17/242.204) allows some leniency for failures to deliver when the transaction was for market making purposes. Essentially, the regulations covering short sales provide some leeway for short selling while market making. This is good, in theory, because it keeps the market flowing smoothly.
+
+The SEC explains the importance of market makers shorting [here](https://www.sec.gov/investor/pubs/regsho.htm) where they explain "market makers must sell a security to a buyer even when there are temporary shortages of that security available in the market". See the SEC link for a further explanation, they do a fair job of explaining it in section II of that link. The key point is that naked short sales by market makers are not an accident, they are a feature of the market.
+
+The MOASS theory *(OK TO SKIP)*:
+
+Citadel has opened a *huge* short position in GameStop and hasn't closed it. The position was large in 2020, but expanded significantly in January of 2021 and continued to expand during February and March (I do not discuss any points after March as my data ends there). This short position is so large that it is multiple times the outstanding shares. Opening such a large short position, so quickly, requires that most of the short positions are naked.
+
+This is the theory I set out to test - has anyone opened a large naked short position during January and then expanded it during February and March?
+
+Order flow data *(OK TO SKIP)*:
+
+[SEC rule 605](https://www.sec.gov/rules/final/34-43590.htm) requires market centers to release data on the orders they execute. This data excludes most retail sales and multiple forms of conditional sales. However, it does include a substantial portion of the volume, enough to give us information on which market center is executing orders for a particular security during a given month. Crucially, for my purposes, it allows us to identify broad trends in the order flow between these market centers. In most cases, this data is not very helpful because it is missing most of the interesting information (for example, it won't distinguish between short and long sales). However, in my case it's perfect because I do not want to rely on any information except the volume - I don't want my findings to rely on Citadel accurately reporting anything else.
+
+It's worth stressing that *rule 605 data excludes most retail orders*. This is important for us because we already know Citadel is handling most GME retail orders. The short position Citadel has, supposedly, opened is so huge that the distortion in order flow caused would extend beyond retail orders, which makes 605 data the perfect place to look.
+
+Order flow data and the MOASS theory *(READ THIS)*:
+
+The MOASS theory isn't just about a short position, it's about a *huge* short position. So huge that it can only have been created by a market maker abusing their naked shorting privileges. This would require them to sell the security they are shorting for a cheaper price than other sellers on the market at a large scale. Accordingly, more of the orders for the security in question would be executed by the market maker doing the shorting.
+
+In most cases the proportion of orders being executed is going to remain fairly stable because the selling pressure is going to be widely dispersed. If a share is being sold for X price at one market center, it'll be sold at a similar enough price at the other market centers too. Sellers will gravitate towards the market center with the best price, so the prices remain almost identical. However, if one of the market center's is driving the selling pressure by selling for a cheaper price than everyone else, the other market centers won't be getting sell orders low enough to compete and they will lose out on the volume. Accordingly, if the number of short positions being opened at a particular market center spiked during January, we should see the proportion of orders being executed at that market center spike too.
+
+The same is true for closing a massive short position. If a market center is buying up a huge amount of shares, there will be a drop in the number of buy orders they execute (because they're buying the shares themselves rather than selling them to others). The market center will also be reaching out to other centers to buy from them, which will raise the proportion of volume to those centers.
+
+So, my prediction is simple: if a market maker is opening a massive amount of naked shorts very quickly, they will have a higher proportion of the order execution volume. Conversely, if a market maker is closing a massive amount of naked shorts very quickly, they will have a lower proportion of the order execution volume.
+
+How the data should look in the three possible cases:
+
+*Hypothesis 1* - Citadel shorted GME a lot in January and then continued to do so through February and March:
+
+1.  The proportion of orders being executed by Citadel will spike in January.
+
+2.  The proportion of orders being executed by Citadel will not go below the baseline in February or March.
+
+3.  The proportion of orders being executed by NADAQ or CBOE will spike in February and March (but probably not at both centers).
+
+4.  The NADAQ or CBOE spike, if it exists, will be accompanied by an anomalous number of their orders being executed outside of their venue (an artifact of an abrupt shift in order flow without adequate preparation by the market maker responsible).
+
+*Hypothesis 2* - Citadel opened a large short position in January and then closed it during February:
+
+1.  The proportion of orders being executed by Citadel will spike in January.
+
+2.  The proportion of orders being executed by Citadel will drop below the baseline in February.
+
+3.  The proportion of orders being executed by the other exchanges will all rise, with Citadel's lost share being shared approximately equally (as it buys up all it can).
+
+*Hypothesis 3* - Citadel opened a large short position in January and then closed it in January or they never opened a large short position at all:
+
+1.  The proportion of orders being executed by Citadel will remain at baseline levels.
+
+Notes on Citadel and NASDAQ/CBOE spikes or drops:
+
+MOASS theory implies that Citadel would have been absolutely hammered in January during the massive influx of buying pressure and the threat of Melvin being forced into closing their position and beginning a squeeze. Accordingly, they would have been drawing all of the order volume to them by shorting all the orders they could to mitigate the upwards price pressure. This would result in the proportion of orders executed at Citadel spiking during January.
+
+MOASS theory implies that Citadel would have been expanding their short position in February and March while also avoiding their delivery obligations for the shorts opened in January. Expanding their short positions and opening new short positions to defer existing short positions can be accomplished by utilising two market centers with Citadel operating as a market maker in both. Essentially, Citadel could use its own market center and its privileges as market maker (for GME) at a second market center to make a market for itself. This would allow it to continue opening short positions while also shuffling existing short positions through the market. This would result in the proportion of orders executed at CBOE or NASDAQ to spike during February and March. I suspect Citadel would use either CBOE or NASDAQ for this because they are a market maker at both. I do not think they would use the NYSE for this as that exchange allows its market makers less latitude (and makes them compete against one another to a greater extent). NASDAQ is the most likely candidate as, prior to 2020, it does not execute many GME orders which allows Citadel a freer reign over any such orders that suddenly begin coming through that center.
+
+MOASS theory implies that Citadel would not have been covering their short position throughout this period. Closing a huge short position would cause a drop in the orders being executed at that center (because the center is buying instead of selling and will buy from other centers too). Accordingly, we should not see Citadel's proportion of order execution drop below the baseline levels.
+
+Proportion of GME shares executed at market centers *(READ THIS)*:
+
+[![r/DDintoGME - Findings from my analysis of 605 data: Huge short position opened in January. Expanded in February and March. Has not been closed. (Also posted on Superstonk)](https://preview.redd.it/omun1qdnh1z61.png?width=713&format=png&auto=webp&s=415dfbc44fbfc3998a70b6bf1d9070b5ceabdfe9)](https://preview.redd.it/omun1qdnh1z61.png?width=713&format=png&auto=webp&s=415dfbc44fbfc3998a70b6bf1d9070b5ceabdfe9)
+
+As you can see, the proportion of shares being executed at Citadel's market center spikes in January, which is consistent with hypothesis 1 and inconsistent with hypothesis 3. The proportion of shares being executed at NASDAQ spikes in February and March which is also consistent with hypothesis 1. There is no drop below baseline in the proportion of shares executed at Citadel's market center, which is inconsistent with hypothesis 2.
+
+The proportion of GME shares being executed by the major market centers, as reported under rule 605 data, is consistent with what we would expect if a market center were opening a huge short position in January and then using their market maker status at a second market center to expand and obscure that short position during February and March.
+
+Related speculation:
+
+Notice the relationship between the drops/spikes in proportion of shares executed at Citadel and NASDAQ. This is consistent with Citadel being the market maker for GME at both. I suspect that the sharp changes in where these orders are being executed reflects Citadel's attempts to open, expand, and manage their short position. The best places for them to do this are their own market center and NASDAQ, which matches the changes in order flow. I am hoping to gain access to historical NASDAQ level 2 data for this period which may show which of their designated market makers is responsible for their GME executions during this time period. Unfortunately I do not have this data yet, but I have reached out to NASDAQ and others who may be able to provide me with this data soon.
+
+Proportion of covered shares executed at alternative venues *(OK TO SKIP):*
+
+[![r/DDintoGME - Findings from my analysis of 605 data: Huge short position opened in January. Expanded in February and March. Has not been closed. (Also posted on Superstonk)](https://preview.redd.it/o9q0gzzqh1z61.png?width=686&format=png&auto=webp&s=cc2f097de7b70da493c65f4c123b029a9d21efac)](https://preview.redd.it/o9q0gzzqh1z61.png?width=686&format=png&auto=webp&s=cc2f097de7b70da493c65f4c123b029a9d21efac)
+
+As you can see, the spike of shares being executed at NASDAQ in February is accompanied by a spike in the proportion of orders being covered by NASDAQ but executed at another venue. This is consistent with hypothesis 1, it may indicate the orders being executed by a market maker abruptly moving their execution of a large number of trades from one center to another.
+
+Related speculation:
+
+This may be related to an attempt by Citadel to market make for themselves and push the price lower. Fighting back the February gamma may also be a factor.
+
+Proportion of shares reported under rule 605 compared to total volume *(OK TO SKIP)*:
+
+[![r/DDintoGME - Findings from my analysis of 605 data: Huge short position opened in January. Expanded in February and March. Has not been closed. (Also posted on Superstonk)](https://preview.redd.it/6ec6r8evh1z61.png?width=817&format=png&auto=webp&s=b9fb6aa224c1a142141cc872b8cb5a47fa5a4453)](https://preview.redd.it/6ec6r8evh1z61.png?width=817&format=png&auto=webp&s=b9fb6aa224c1a142141cc872b8cb5a47fa5a4453)
+
+I am using 605 data because I believe it to be the most reliable data we have access to. However, it is possible the 605 data could be misreported. Conveniently, we can check to see whether such misreporting is likely by comparing the number of shares being reported under the 605 data to the overall volume for the same period. If there were a sudden drop in the proportion of the GME volume reported under 605, it suggests there may be a reporting error. As you can see, I found no evidence of such an error. This doesn't mean there wasn't misreporting, but it allows me to continue regarding the 605 data as the most reliable we have access to.
+
+Thank you for reading
+
+Thank you for reading my analysis. As I mentioned above, I have more data coming. I have also reached out to relevant experts who might allow me to expand, clarify, or correct my findings. I will update this post accordingly. There may be a follow up post if I have additional findings worth sharing.
+
+*Please be aware that this is not financial advice and all conclusions I have given are tentative. My findings are limited by my own shortcomings, which are numerous.*

DD/2021-05-14-Findings-from-605-Data-Analysis-Huge-Short-Position-Opened-in-January-and-Expanded-in-February-and-March.md

@@ -0,0 +1,116 @@
+Findings from my analysis of 605 data: Huge short position opened in January. Expanded in February and March. Has not been closed.
+==================================================================================================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/Bladeace](https://www.reddit.com/user/Bladeace/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nc1h4o/findings_from_my_analysis_of_605_data_huge_short/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3) | 
+
+---
+
+[DD 👨‍🔬](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22DD%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%94%AC%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+TA;DR: I looked at the 605 data - Citadel's short position is so huge it's distorted the order flow. It's so massive you can see it merely by looking at where the GME orders are being executed. It also shows they haven't closed.
+
+TL;DR: Opening a huge naked short position requires market maker shenanigans. Leaving it unclosed requires further market maker fucketry. Both of these should be reflected in the proportion of GME shares executed at various market centers. I looked, it is. A market maker closing a massive short position should be reflected too. I looked, it isn't.
+
+I have been examining the order execution data for market centers handling GME order executions, read on for my findings. Citadel appears to have taken a *massive* short position in Gamestop in January. It looks like they continued to expand this short position via NASDAQ during February and March. They do not seem to have closed this position.
+
+Opening a massive naked short position in a very short period of time requires abusing market maker privileges. Doing this would result in distorting the order flow. Market centers where the shorting is taking place would see a spike in the proportion of the shares they were executing for the security being shorted. A market maker closing a massive position would cause the opposite. So, if Citadel has opened a huge short position and not closed it we should see evidence of this in the order flow. I looked at the 605 reports and found exactly this.
+
+According to my analysis of the order flow, Citadel has opened a huge short position, very quickly, in January, expanded it since then, and hasn't closed it. Please read the following and come to your own conclusions on the quality of my analysis. This is not financial advice. I am an ape on a large dose of Ritalin.
+
+Important background information on the special privileges of market makers when shorting *(OK TO SKIP)*:
+
+When opening a short position in your capacity as a market maker you do so by covering a buy order with your own capital. So, an order comes in for a security and you cover it, which is a way of saying 'yes, I'll sell that stock at X price' even though you don't already have a seller lined up to sell the share at that price. This is not uncommon, it's definitely not illegal, and it's very helpful to the market. In fact, one of the reasons market makers exist is to sell shares they haven't yet lined up a seller for. This allows the market to flow smoothly as sales can happen quickly. It's expected that the market maker will line up a seller for the share you brought from them very soon afterwards (often within seconds). However, they are not required to do so. Instead of lining up a seller for the purchase you just made from them, the market maker can take on a short position for that share (they are 'short' the share they sold you, so you essentially have an IOU from them).
+
+When shorting in this manner, the market maker gets special privileges under regulation [SHO §§ 242.200 - 242.204](https://www.law.cornell.edu/cfr/text/17/part-242) which allow them to short in cases where others cannot. Regulation [242.203](https://www.law.cornell.edu/cfr/text/17/242.203) allows market makers to be exempt from some restrictions when engaging in market making activities and regulation [242.204](https://www.law.cornell.edu/cfr/text/17/242.204) allows some leniency for failures to deliver when the transaction was for market making purposes. Essentially, the regulations covering short sales provide some leeway for short selling while market making. This is good, in theory, because it keeps the market flowing smoothly.
+
+The SEC explains the importance of market makers shorting [here](https://www.sec.gov/investor/pubs/regsho.htm) where they explain "market makers must sell a security to a buyer even when there are temporary shortages of that security available in the market". See the SEC link for a further explanation, they do a fair job of explaining it in section II of that link. The key point is that naked short sales by market makers are not an accident, they are a feature of the market.
+
+The MOASS theory *(OK TO SKIP)*:
+
+Citadel has opened a *huge* short position in GameStop and hasn't closed it. The position was large in 2020, but expanded significantly in January of 2021 and continued to expand during February and March (I do not discuss any points after March as my data ends there). This short position is so large that it is multiple times the outstanding shares. Opening such a large short position, so quickly, requires that most of the short positions are naked.
+
+This is the theory I set out to test - has anyone opened a large naked short position during January and then expanded it during February and March?
+
+Order flow data *(OK TO SKIP)*:
+
+[SEC rule 605](https://www.sec.gov/rules/final/34-43590.htm) requires market centers to release data on the orders they execute. This data excludes most retail sales and multiple forms of conditional sales. However, it does include a substantial portion of the volume, enough to give us information on which market center is executing orders for a particular security during a given month. Crucially, for my purposes, it allows us to identify broad trends in the order flow between these market centers. In most cases, this data is not very helpful because it is missing most of the interesting information (for example, it won't distinguish between short and long sales). However, in my case it's perfect because I do not want to rely on any information except the volume - I don't want my findings to rely on Citadel accurately reporting anything else.
+
+It's worth stressing that *rule 605 data excludes most retail orders*. This is important for us because we already know Citadel is handling most GME retail orders. The short position Citadel has, supposedly, opened is so huge that the distortion in order flow caused would extend beyond retail orders, which makes 605 data the perfect place to look.
+
+Order flow data and the MOASS theory *(READ THIS)*:
+
+The MOASS theory isn't just about a short position, it's about a *huge* short position. So huge that it can only have been created by a market maker abusing their naked shorting privileges. This would require them to sell the security they are shorting for a cheaper price than other sellers on the market at a large scale. Accordingly, more of the orders for the security in question would be executed by the market maker doing the shorting.
+
+In most cases the proportion of orders being executed is going to remain fairly stable because the selling pressure is going to be widely dispersed. If a share is being sold for X price at one market center, it'll be sold at a similar enough price at the other market centers too. Sellers will gravitate towards the market center with the best price, so the prices remain almost identical. However, if one of the market center's is driving the selling pressure by selling for a cheaper price than everyone else, the other market centers won't be getting sell orders low enough to compete and they will lose out on the volume. Accordingly, if the number of short positions being opened at a particular market center spiked during January, we should see the proportion of orders being executed at that market center spike too.
+
+The same is true for closing a massive short position. If a market center is buying up a huge amount of shares, there will be a drop in the number of buy orders they execute (because they're buying the shares themselves rather than selling them to others). The market center will also be reaching out to other centers to buy from them, which will raise the proportion of volume to those centers.
+
+So, my prediction is simple: if a market maker is opening a massive amount of naked shorts very quickly, they will have a higher proportion of the order execution volume. Conversely, if a market maker is closing a massive amount of naked shorts very quickly, they will have a lower proportion of the order execution volume.
+
+How the data should look in the three possible cases:
+
+*Hypothesis 1* - Citadel shorted GME a lot in January and then continued to do so through February and March:
+
+1.  The proportion of orders being executed by Citadel will spike in January.
+
+2.  The proportion of orders being executed by Citadel will not go below the baseline in February or March.
+
+3.  The proportion of orders being executed by NADAQ or CBOE will spike in February and March (but probably not at both centers).
+
+4.  The NADAQ or CBOE spike, if it exists, will be accompanied by an anomalous number of their orders being executed outside of their venue (an artifact of an abrupt shift in order flow without adequate preparation by the market maker responsible).
+
+*Hypothesis 2* - Citadel opened a large short position in January and then closed it during February:
+
+1.  The proportion of orders being executed by Citadel will spike in January.
+
+2.  The proportion of orders being executed by Citadel will drop below the baseline in February.
+
+3.  The proportion of orders being executed by the other exchanges will all rise, with Citadel's lost share being shared approximately equally (as it buys up all it can).
+
+*Hypothesis 3* - Citadel opened a large short position in January and then closed it in January or they never opened a large short position at all:
+
+1.  The proportion of orders being executed by Citadel will remain at baseline levels.
+
+Notes on Citadel and NASDAQ/CBOE spikes or drops:
+
+MOASS theory implies that Citadel would have been absolutely hammered in January during the massive influx of buying pressure and the threat of Melvin being forced into closing their position and beginning a squeeze. Accordingly, they would have been drawing all of the order volume to them by shorting all the orders they could to mitigate the upwards price pressure. This would result in the proportion of orders executed at Citadel spiking during January.
+
+MOASS theory implies that Citadel would have been expanding their short position in February and March while also avoiding their delivery obligations for the shorts opened in January. Expanding their short positions and opening new short positions to defer existing short positions can be accomplished by utilising two market centers with Citadel operating as a market maker in both. Essentially, Citadel could use its own market center and its privileges as market maker (for GME) at a second market center to make a market for itself. This would allow it to continue opening short positions while also shuffling existing short positions through the market. This would result in the proportion of orders executed at CBOE or NASDAQ to spike during February and March. I suspect Citadel would use either CBOE or NASDAQ for this because they are a market maker at both. I do not think they would use the NYSE for this as that exchange allows its market makers less latitude (and makes them compete against one another to a greater extent). NASDAQ is the most likely candidate as, prior to 2020, it does not execute many GME orders which allows Citadel a freer reign over any such orders that suddenly begin coming through that center.
+
+MOASS theory implies that Citadel would not have been covering their short position throughout this period. Closing a huge short position would cause a drop in the orders being executed at that center (because the center is buying instead of selling and will buy from other centers too). Accordingly, we should not see Citadel's proportion of order execution drop below the baseline levels.
+
+Proportion of GME shares executed at market centers *(READ THIS)*:
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Findings from my analysis of 605 data: Huge short position opened in January. Expanded in February and March. Has not been closed.](https://preview.redd.it/anepludcx0z61.png?width=713&format=png&auto=webp&s=0f8e55d6589f05bc2d9b1968d75e757f07a66c65)](https://preview.redd.it/anepludcx0z61.png?width=713&format=png&auto=webp&s=0f8e55d6589f05bc2d9b1968d75e757f07a66c65)
+
+As you can see, the proportion of shares being executed at Citadel's market center spikes in January, which is consistent with hypothesis 1 and inconsistent with hypothesis 3. The proportion of shares being executed at NASDAQ spikes in February and March which is also consistent with hypothesis 1. There is no drop below baseline in the proportion of shares executed at Citadel's market center, which is inconsistent with hypothesis 2.
+
+The proportion of GME shares being executed by the major market centers, as reported under rule 605 data, is consistent with what we would expect if a market center were opening a huge short position in January and then using their market maker status at a second market center to expand and obscure that short position during February and March.
+
+Related speculation:
+
+Notice the relationship between the drops/spikes in proportion of shares executed at Citadel and NASDAQ. This is consistent with Citadel being the market maker for GME at both. I suspect that the sharp changes in where these orders are being executed reflects Citadel's attempts to open, expand, and manage their short position. The best places for them to do this are their own market center and NASDAQ, which matches the changes in order flow. I am hoping to gain access to historical NASDAQ level 2 data for this period which may show which of their designated market makers is responsible for their GME executions during this time period. Unfortunately I do not have this data yet, but I have reached out to NASDAQ and others who may be able to provide me with this data soon.
+
+Proportion of covered shares executed at alternative venues *(OK TO SKIP):*
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Findings from my analysis of 605 data: Huge short position opened in January. Expanded in February and March. Has not been closed.](https://preview.redd.it/b1pefghhx0z61.png?width=686&format=png&auto=webp&s=af51e5492c62c779eb9882f8ebdae69ffb1ea147)](https://preview.redd.it/b1pefghhx0z61.png?width=686&format=png&auto=webp&s=af51e5492c62c779eb9882f8ebdae69ffb1ea147)
+
+As you can see, the spike of shares being executed at NASDAQ in February is accompanied by a spike in the proportion of orders being covered by NASDAQ but executed at another venue. This is consistent with hypothesis 1, it may indicate the orders being executed by a market maker abruptly moving their execution of a large number of trades from one center to another.
+
+Related speculation:
+
+This may be related to an attempt by Citadel to market make for themselves and push the price lower. Fighting back the February gamma may also be a factor.
+
+Proportion of shares reported under rule 605 compared to total volume *(OK TO SKIP)*:
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Findings from my analysis of 605 data: Huge short position opened in January. Expanded in February and March. Has not been closed.](https://preview.redd.it/k7e578csx0z61.png?width=817&format=png&auto=webp&s=e9ee738f2c85938b38cc1dfccd39d05e662318c0)](https://preview.redd.it/k7e578csx0z61.png?width=817&format=png&auto=webp&s=e9ee738f2c85938b38cc1dfccd39d05e662318c0)
+
+I am using 605 data because I believe it to be the most reliable data we have access to. However, it is possible the 605 data could be misreported. Conveniently, we can check to see whether such misreporting is likely by comparing the number of shares being reported under the 605 data to the overall volume for the same period. If there were a sudden drop in the proportion of the GME volume reported under 605, it suggests there may be a reporting error. As you can see, I found no evidence of such an error. This doesn't mean there wasn't misreporting, but it allows me to continue regarding the 605 data as the most reliable we have access to.
+
+Thank you for reading
+
+Thank you for reading my analysis. As I mentioned above, I have more data coming. I have also reached out to relevant experts who might allow me to expand, clarify, or correct my findings. I will update this post accordingly. There may be a follow up post if I have additional findings worth sharing.
+
+*Please be aware that this is not financial advice and all conclusions I have given are tentative. My findings are limited by my own shortcomings, which are numerous.*

DD/2021-05-17-13F-Filings-Analysis-for-all-Major-Fund-Position-Changes-and-New-Short-Players-in-GME.md

@@ -0,0 +1,142 @@
+All New 13F filings: data visualised for all major fund position changes and the new short players in GME
+=========================================================================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/broccaaa](https://www.reddit.com/user/broccaaa/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nev6po/all_new_13f_filings_data_visualised_for_all_major/) | 
+
+---
+
+[DD 👨‍🔬](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22DD%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%94%AC%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+Edit: I posted this to make the data available to everyone and start discussions around the 13Fs. The reported numbers are a bit meh but I don't see this as being FUD. Despite some funds selling, price has been supported. SI% is still likely 200%+ but can't be seen in 13Fs. Shorts remain fukd.
+
+Edit2: Updated the figures to not use scientific notation for the numbers, now in millions of shares.
+
+Edit3: We now have data for Jane Street with massive increased put positions!! I also updated and improved clarity for all the figures.
+
+This post takes the most recent 13F filings that were finally submitted today and compares them with the previous reported positions. I mostly focus on looking at changes for funds with large short positions (predominantly puts) but also include data in the plots for the long whales.
+
+The new positions should be accurate up until March 31 2021 provided that the funds didn't fudge their filings expecting just a small 'cost of doing business' fine..[.](https://preview.redd.it/jbqrepkbwvz61.png?width=3364&format=png&auto=webp&s=16f28d7a1b11f318a520fb6221434451236ee9fa)
+
+I might have made some errors so let me know in the comments if I missed something.
+
+*Note: some funds have not yet filed their updated 13Fs*. I'll edit the post and figures once these filings become available.
+
+Intro and what we're looking for 'aka' show me the PUTs
+
+Many DD posts have looked into different tricks to create naked shares using options. I previously wrote [a post describing the married put naked short selling trick](https://www.reddit.com/r/GME/comments/mgj0j1/the_naked_shorting_scam_revealed_lending_of/) and [gathered as much data as I could to detect options fuckery in GME in 2021](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mvdgf5/the_naked_shorting_scam_in_numbers_ai_detection/).
+
+The biggest evidence for naked short selling fuckery to my mind is the massive increase in open put interest at the end of Jan that coincides with decreases in reported short interest (SI%), FTDs and GME share price.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - All New 13F filings: data visualised for all major fund position changes and the new short players in GME](https://preview.redd.it/jy1dfqamkpz61.png?width=4500&format=png&auto=webp&s=7dc9264c12190d89d469e4a237ff37376405e3d7)](https://preview.redd.it/jy1dfqamkpz61.png?width=4500&format=png&auto=webp&s=7dc9264c12190d89d469e4a237ff37376405e3d7)
+
+SI% and FTDs decreased at the end of Jan 2021 as a massive increase on open interest occurred for GME puts. This is suggestive of naked short selling options fuckery.
+
+At the end of march open interest for GME puts was 1.29 Million contracts. This equals the equivalent of 129 Million shares. I checked this in 2 separate sources just to be sure. We should see close to 129 million shares in puts listed in the new 13Fs.
+
+*So who dun goofed and bought all those puts??*
+
+Major holdings for large short/long funds - Mar 31 2021
+
+Here I've selected any firm that has at least 500K shares or 300K worth of shares in put/call options in the new filings. Any fund that has a large short position in PUTs is labelled as potentially short although more digging would be required to confirm for some of the funds.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - All New 13F filings: data visualised for all major fund position changes and the new short players in GME](https://preview.redd.it/e5dkghleqvz61.png?width=5322&format=png&auto=webp&s=d420bb529bdbf39fcd7091c1270acf00a827d471)](https://preview.redd.it/e5dkghleqvz61.png?width=5322&format=png&auto=webp&s=d420bb529bdbf39fcd7091c1270acf00a827d471)
+
+Positions for Funds with large holdings in puts, calls or shares.
+
+A number of the large long position holders have sold their stake in GME over recent months. Blackrock and Vanguard still hold significant positions. On the short side we have a number of the usual suspects plus some new funds with large put positions.
+
+Total shares, put and call positions in recent 13F filings
+
+This is a simple sum of all the shares reported by funds in the last two 13F filings separated out into shares, put or call positions.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - All New 13F filings: data visualised for all major fund position changes and the new short players in GME](https://preview.redd.it/vxo08agjqvz61.png?width=2164&format=png&auto=webp&s=4daee5a1ba94eb1e1221e5eeb77358e437da5aac)](https://preview.redd.it/vxo08agjqvz61.png?width=2164&format=png&auto=webp&s=4daee5a1ba94eb1e1221e5eeb77358e437da5aac)
+
+Total summed positions across all funds in recent 13F filings.
+
+We only see 25 million shares in puts reported fo far in the 13F filings. *Where are the other 100 Million that we know were held due to the open interest on March 31 2021??!?*
+
+Large changes in positions from Dec 31 2020 to March 31 2021
+
+This first plot show the positions for any fund with at least 500k shares or more than 300k shares in puts or calls at either time point.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - All New 13F filings: data visualised for all major fund position changes and the new short players in GME](https://preview.redd.it/jbqrepkbwvz61.png?width=3364&format=png&auto=webp&s=16f28d7a1b11f318a520fb6221434451236ee9fa)](https://preview.redd.it/jbqrepkbwvz61.png?width=3364&format=png&auto=webp&s=16f28d7a1b11f318a520fb6221434451236ee9fa)
+
+13F large fund positions for GME for the last 2 quarters.
+
+We can see that some of the funds with medium to large holdings in GME shares have sold their positions in the last months. The big positions of Blackrock, Vanguard and RC Ventures remain the same. Changes and put/call positions can be seen easily from the lower 2 plots.
+
+Note that Fidelity (*Fmr llc*) probably didn't sell their position. [u/Rehypothecator](https://www.reddit.com/u/Rehypothecator/) pointed out that Fidelity likely still has a vast number of shares but moved them to their mutual funds meaning they are no longer reported in the 13Fs.
+
+The next figure shows all fund positions with a change of at least +/- 300k shares in either shares, puts or calls between time points.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - All New 13F filings: data visualised for all major fund position changes and the new short players in GME](https://preview.redd.it/1s0ps7utqvz61.png?width=4680&format=png&auto=webp&s=8d39021e5a0ecf950a6efac6078d40eeaeab664e)](https://preview.redd.it/1s0ps7utqvz61.png?width=4680&format=png&auto=webp&s=8d39021e5a0ecf950a6efac6078d40eeaeab664e)
+
+Position changes for all funds with a change of at least 300k shares in either of the position types.
+
+Observations from different funds
+
+Short funds
+
+*Citadel advisors llc* Increased their put position by more than 1 million shares this quarter. Less than we might have thought but as you'll see down below they seem to be coordinating with other funds (e.g. *Imc-chicago*). Citadel report selling off all their shares and increasing their put and call holdings.
+
+*Susquehanna international group llp* similar situation to Citadel with more than 1 million new shares in puts, some additional call options and all of the shares they previously owned now sold.
+
+*Melvin capital management lp* were the biggest GME losers in Jan. They reported 6 million shares in puts at the end of Dec 2020 suggesting a massive naked short position. Since then very little has been revealed about Melvin.
+
+Edit: Melvin requested special permission to not disclose some of their positions (from a useful comment below):
+
+> THIS FILING LISTS SECURITIES HOLDINGS REPORTED ON THE FORM 13F FILED ON FEBRUARY 16, 2021, PURSUANT TO A REQUEST FOR CONFIDENTIAL TREATMENT AND FOR WHICH CERTAIN HOLDINGS WERE VOLUNTARILY WITHDRAWN FROM THE CONFIDENTIAL TREATMENT REQUEST.
+>
+> <https://sec.report/Document/0000905718-21-000618/>
+>
+> Published: 2021-04-28 17:15:15
+
+*Maplelane capital llc* was the second biggest loser to GME in January. They had a massive short position of 2 million shares held in puts at the end of 2020. In their new 13F they report that they sold all of their puts and now have zero exposure to GME.
+
+*Imc-chicago llc* has a newly created options position with a massive 2 million shares in puts, 1 million shares in calls and zero actual GME shares. [*The designated market maker business of Imc-chicago llc is owned by Citadel after it was purchased at the end of 2020*](https://www.citadelsecurities.com/news/citadel-securities-expands-leading-dmm-business/). The change in position for this fund suggests that Citadel is using it as part of the naked shorting scam to hide FTDs and suppress price.
+
+*Wolverine trading llc* has a similar short position as before at the end of 2020 with almost 2 million shares in puts. Given the number of expiry dates with huge numbers of put open interest expiry it is very likely that *Wolverine trading llc* opened up new contracts to maintain their short position. The below quote if from Lucy Komisar:
+
+> In 2004, when new Reg SHO rules were being considered, *Wolverine trading llc* argued that market makers should not be required to cover shorts. It was adopted and known, after its author and prime proponent, as "The Madoff Exception."
+>
+> Later legal cases revealed that *Goldman Sachs* wrote to *Wolverine trading llc* saying, "[W]e will let you fail." We will let you fail violates SEC rules; it's illegal market manipulation. The email was obtained in discovery in 2011 in the Overstock legal case against conspiring broker-dealers. With the fraud impossible to refute, Goldman settled with Overstock for $20 million.
+
+*Goldman sachs group inc* have been involved in multiple naked short selling law suits. Their new 13F filing shows that they sold most of their GME puts and shares but acquired about 30k more shares covered by call contracts.
+
+*Jane street group llc* reports a massive 2.5 million shares in puts increase and 2 million shares in calls increase. Jane street reports that they hold more puts than Citadel.
+
+*Ubs group ag* have cut back from a position of 4 million shares in puts at the end of 2020 down to about 1 million at the end of March 2021. Their position was definitely suspicious before but it seems like they are reducing their exposure to GME quite significantly.
+
+*Citigroup inc* had a large position in GME calls/puts at the end of 2020 but appears to have reduced their GME exposure since.
+
+*TACONIC CAPITAL ADVISORS LP* now owns half a million shares in puts without holding any actual shares. [Senior management at the company have a number of strong ties with Citadel employees](https://relationshipscience.com/person/clay-calhoon-3905596).
+
+*PRELUDE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC* sold all of their 10k GME shares but is now short and owns 1.3 million shares in puts.
+
+*NOMURA HOLDINGS INC*, *BLUEFIN CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC* and *CAPTION MANAGEMENT, LLC* have each newly acquired approx. 200k shares in puts and 200k shares in calls. None of these funds have any meaningful amount of real shares. Possible married-put/reverse conversions here.
+
+*GROUP ONE TRADING, L.P.* reduced their put position by approx. 1 million shares but remain short with 2.5 million shares in puts.
+
+*SESSA CAPITAL IM, L.P.* has opened a new 1.8 million share put position. The have no shares or call options.
+
+Long whales
+
+Here I'll just list the funds with with 200k shares or more. DFV whale kinda size or bigger.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - All New 13F filings: data visualised for all major fund position changes and the new short players in GME](https://preview.redd.it/cvg4d183zuz61.png?width=784&format=png&auto=webp&s=b8dadb242fc92b31c897e59666c7829827c267fb)](https://preview.redd.it/cvg4d183zuz61.png?width=784&format=png&auto=webp&s=b8dadb242fc92b31c897e59666c7829827c267fb)
+
+Shares held and change in position for all funds with at least 300k in GME shares on March 31st 2021.
+
+Conclusions
+
+Looking through the 13Fs has been kinda odd. There were 130 Million shares in puts open on March 31st but only 30 Million reported in the 13Fs. Who else could have that many contracts if not the large funds reporting to the SEC?
+
+Aside from that we did see a number of smaller long funds sell their GME stake in early 2021 but some others jumped in. Blockrock maintained their position. Vanguard added another 400k shares. [u/Rehypothecator](https://www.reddit.com/u/Rehypothecator/) pointed out that Fidelity likely still has a vast number of shares but moved them to their [mutual funds meaning they are no longer reported in the 13Fs](https://i.imgur.com/3MaFVXC.jpg).
+
+The number of short funds appears to have increased with some more players entering with big put positions. Melvin requested special confidential treatment for some of their positions to the SEC which could explain why we don't see anything for them. Jane Street bought more than 2.5 million more shares in puts. Prelude and Sessa have bought in with more than 1 million shares in puts a piece. Citadel and Susquehanna have very similar positions to before. However, the Citadel owned *Imc-chicago llc* has a newly created options position with a massive 2 million shares in puts and nothing else.
+
+Definitely some interesting details in these new 13Fs but no obvious smoking gun yet. *What happened to those extra 100 Million shares held in puts??*
+
+Shorts didn't cover in Jan. Apes own the float.

DD/2021-05-20-Go-No-Go-Launch-Checklist-Update.md

@@ -0,0 +1,421 @@
+UPDATE -- Go / No-Go For Launch - The checklist keeping GME on the launchpad.
+=============================================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/nothingbuttherainsir](https://www.reddit.com/user/nothingbuttherainsir/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nhh0f1/update_go_nogo_for_launch_the_checklist_keeping/) | 
+
+---
+
+[Possible DD 👨‍🔬](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Possible%20DD%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%94%AC%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+*TL;DR:*\
+DTCC / OCC / ICC etc. & Wall St want key things in place before GME unwinds, and we're now looking at a list that's been mostly checked off. This rocket is just about cleared for launch.
+
+*Last updated: 2021-06-23* | [Original post from 2021-04-22](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mvq6rs/go_nogo_for_launch_the_dtcc_checklist_keeping_gme/)
+
+Go / No-Go For Launch
+
+Opinion - Status: Hold ❌\
+*We're on a scheduled hold. Preliminary system checks are good enough to launch, and now we are being held for atmospheric conditions to be just right.*
+
+*GME ignition needs to appear from the outside to be organic, or it will be fairly obvious to the public that The System is built on lies, and run by liars, completely unfair, and this stock was just being flat out controlled for months. Even if Wall St survives financially by implementing all these rules, if they lose the public trust then it is literally "game stopped." They need plausible cover to launch now, the rest is in place.*
+
+1 - Rules of Engagement ✅
+
+2 - Funding ✅
+
+3 - Cover Story for Timing ❌
+
+4 - Avoiding Perception of Responsibility ✅
+
+--- *End TL;DR* ---
+
+Busy few weeks, eh Apes? Figured I'd give this a brush up and post it again since it was a month ago I posted the original. So here's the refreshed, reviewed, reassessed, reformatted, and return of the Go / No-Go Checklist. Freshness stamp at the top, changes by date at the bottom. Please comment with any additions and corrections as always.
+
+Official notice that this is not financial advice, etc etc. I have no idea if any of this is indeed why these things are happening, or if they are even what I think they are. I bought a handful of shares before DFV's Congressional hearing because something seemed fucky, and that was my first stock purchase EVER. If you make financial decisions off of this speculation, you probably do eat crayons like me. I am literally just some Ape on the internet mashing buttons and you're gonna have to explain to your wife's boyfriend why you took this as advice and then spent your whole allowance already this week.
+
+So this [post](https://reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mu9xed/why_were_still_trading_sideways_and_why_we_havent/) from [u/c-digs](https://www.reddit.com/u/c-digs/) is about as close as anyone has come to my personal theory that there is a literal checklist somewhere that is getting marked off before this is allowed to unravel. The DTCC and Wall St (and probably the SEC) definitely do not want this spring to unwind before they are ready, and certainly not in a way in which they don't feel they are in control. These players are Big Corporate dicks with Big Corporate mindsets, and its my bet that they don't do anything without a plan that at least addresses all eventualities.
+
+However, as it is now probably alarmingly clear to them this isn't just gonna go away on its own (cue Apes waving from the windows of the rocket sitting on the launchpad), the DTCC and pals are now scrambling to get the last things in place before somebody trips over the cord to the shredder at 3am and lands on the launch button.
+
+I think the list goes something like this, but am intending this to be a crowdsourced document because there is no way I can keep this all straight on my own, and the GME Investor community has done so so much great DD already. There is definitely more to add in terms of DTCC / OCC / NSCC / SEC rules, and please comment with additional items & sources and I'll try to keep up with editing them into the list. Compiling it here can possibly help determine just how close GME probably is to liftoff. It feels like we aren't that far from it now.
+
+1 - Rules of Engagement
+
+Opinon - Status: Go for Launch ✅\
+*The System would benefit most if new rules about payments in a member default situation are in effect prior to launch, and as far as we know at this point, all rules to cover that scenario that were filed are now in place. They can use remaining days to shore up a few more monetary rules, but there aren't any disaster-level rules still pending out there. My opinion is at 100% Go for rules being in place.*
+
+Let's cover some basics before getting into each specific rule.
+
+Whose rules cover what:
+
+DTCC stands for Depoisitory Trust and Clearing Corporation which is made up of 3 self-regulating bodies:
+
+-   [DTC](https://www.dtcc.com/about/businesses-and-subsidiaries/dtc) - The Depository Trust Company
+
+-   [NSCC](https://www.dtcc.com/about/businesses-and-subsidiaries/nscc) - National Securities Clearing Corporation
+
+-   [FICC](https://www.dtcc.com/about/businesses-and-subsidiaries/ficc) - Fixed Income Clearing Corporation
+
+and handles:
+
+-   Physical Stock Certificates and ownership records, big institutional trades (DTC)
+
+-   Securities trades, clearing, and settlement for nearly all transactions involving US based marketplaces (NSCC)
+
+-   Government Securities and Mortgage-Backed Securities (FICC)
+
+[OCC](https://www.theocc.com/) - Options Clearing Coroporation handles:\
+Options (shocker, I know)
+
+[ICC](https://www.theice.com/clear-credit) - Intercontinental Exchance (ICE) Clear Credit handles:\
+Credit Default Swaps, or CDS for short.
+
+Naming Scheme (yes the whole thing is important)\
+example: SR-DTC-2021-005
+
+-   SR - Type of document filed, SR = Self Regulation
+
+-   DTC - Name of self regulated entity filing it
+
+-   2021 - Year regulation was filed
+
+-   005 - Sequence filed in (5th, so far)
+
+✅ = in effect now\
+❌ = pending review / revision
+
+Rules To Protect The System
+
+Stocks/Securities
+
+-   SR-DTC-2021-003: Obligation to Reconcile Activity on a Regular Basis ✅\
+    *The "You're gonna report your risk daily now, you little shits" Rule.*\
+    Filed 2021-03-09\
+    Effective 2021-03-16\
+    [src](https://www.reddit.com/r/GME/comments/m793h7/new_dtcc_rule_just_passed_in_effect_immediatly/)
+
+-   SR-DTC-2021-004: Amend the Recovery & Wind-down Plan ✅\
+    *The "We'll liquidate your asse(t)s if you default, then make your pals chip in, before we pay a dime ourselves" Rule.*\
+    Also stipulates what the DTCC is willing to cover when reconciling, as in only shares on the books, and why you (yes you Ape) should have a cash account and not a margin account.\
+    Filed 2021-03-29\
+    Effective Immediately\
+    [src](https://www.reddit.com/r/GME/comments/mgs05i/analysis_of_srdtc2021004_dtcc_changing_the_game/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf)
+
+-   SR-DTC-2021-005: Modify the DTC Settlement Service Guide and the Form of DTC Pledgee's Agreement ✅\
+    *The "We're tagging the shares you lend out so you can't do it more than once" Rule.*\
+    While this won't help prevent the current GME squeeze scenario, and would likely ignite the engines on its own, this will prevent a *GME-like* scenario from happening again in the future. [u/Leenixus](https://www.reddit.com/user/Leenixus/) has posted lots of info around DTC-2021-005 if you'd like to follow the saga.\
+    Filed 2021-04-01 [archived original](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/o2nx3z/i_have_the_original_sec_srdtc2021005_before_it/)\
+    Removed for further review src-1\
+    Refiled 2021-06-15 src-2\
+    Effective Immediately upon re-filing\
+    [src-1](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mpmcyz/good_news_update_on_dtc2021005_according_to_john/), [src-2](https://www.dtcc.com/-/media/Files/Downloads/legal/rule-filings/2021/DTC/SR-DTC-2021-005.pdf)
+
+-   SR-DTC-2021-006: Remove the Security Holder Tracking Service ✅\
+    *The "We're dropping the old way of tracking shares, cause it didn't work well, and DTC-2021-005 will do it better" Rule.*\
+    It was speculated in another post that the old system of tracking needed to be removed so there was no conflict in implementing DTC-2021-005 (I can't find that post here on reddit anymore, src needed!). It's likely that this could pave the way for 005 to be implemented. As if 2021-05-20 I am more inclined to think that it was removed to keep anyone from implementing share tracking prior to 005 being implemented. Filed 2021-04-22\
+    Effective Immediately\
+    [src](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mwhyhw/sec_files_srdtc2021006_removing_the_old_and/) <- also my post
+
+-   SR-DTC-2021-007: Update the DTC Corporate Actions Distributions Service Guide ✅\
+    *The "Stop bickering back and forth over the manual adjustments to your peer to peer trade records via the dumb APO method, and just use the GD computer validated Claim Connect system, please" Rule.*\
+    Way to make a super vague title DTC... This is mostly about borrowed shares and updating who pays how much when circumstances - like rates - change. The old system (APO) needed both parties to just agree on the adjustments and one side could only submit an adjustment at a time, so it was rarely agreed upon in one pass and the bad guys could likely stall with many back and forths. To me this reads as a please use this better thing now, because APO will go away on July 9th 2021 so you'll have to use Claim Connect by then anyways. Since the lender is likely incentivized to use the new system, it may get adopted in higher numbers sooner.\
+    Filed 2021-04-30\
+    Effective Immediately\
+    Mandatory 2021-07-09\
+    [src](https://www.sec.gov/rules/sro/dtc.htm#SR-DTC-2021-007), [Explainer post](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/n28jes/new_dtc_regulation_posted_srdtc2021007/)
+
+-   SR-DTC-2021-009: Provide Enhanced Clarity for Deadlines and Processing Times ✅\
+    *The "Don't assume we'll be keeping up with our own deadlines just because we have been in the past. We'll do what we want when we want. Also dont cry to us if our choices about deadlines, or someone else's rules about deadlines, kick you in the wallet. We're not chipping in for that." Rule.*\
+    This is basically a re-statement of an ongoing policy by the DTC that their precedent around deadlines/timetables that they themselves have control over should not be misunderstood as a guarantee of them adhering to those same deadlines/timetables in the future. This does not effect deadlines imposed by external regulations though. Further, the DTC stipulates that they are not liable for damages (monetary losses) that are incurred by members from the DTC's choices to act or not act in the same timeframes as they had before, or damages from the actions of anybody else's rules, (SEC, OCC, NSCC, etc).\
+    Filed 2021-06-08\
+    Effective Immediately\
+    [src](https://www.sec.gov/rules/sro/dtc/2021/34-92198.pdf), [Explainer post](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/o1ds30/new_dtc_filing_srdtc2021009_notice_of_filing_and/), [more info](https://reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/o63ev5/dtc2021009_implemented_tomorrow_saying_the_dtc/)
+
+-   SR-NSCC-2021-002: Amend the Supplemental Liquidity Deposit Requirements ✅\
+    *The "We'll margin call your ass if your new daily reports say you're overextended and make us feel scared" Rule.*\
+    Works in conjunction with DTC-2021-003. This rule now appears to be clear to be acted on by the SEC. NSCC filed a Partial Ammendment to this on June 17th for clarification.\
+    Possible insight on why this may have been strategically delayed, via [/u/yosaso](https://www.reddit.com/u/yosaso/) src-4\
+    NSCC-2021-801 Gave Advance Notice of this, and as of 2021-05-04 is cleared to be included with NSC-2021-002. src-2\
+    Filed 2021-03-05\
+    Comment Period Extended to 05-31 / Expected action on or before 2021-06-21 src-3\
+    Approved 2021-06-21 with partial ammendment src-4\
+    Effective 2021-06-23 src-5 [src](https://www.reddit.com/r/GME/comments/mc0zfn/too_ape_didnt_read_summary_of_srnscc2021801/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf), [src-2](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/n51u5d/sec_has_no_objections_to_nscc801/), [src-3](https://www.sec.gov/rules/sro/nscc/2021/34-91788.pdf), [src-4](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/n67h63/the_reason_why_may_4th_was_important/), [src-4](https://www.sec.gov/rules/sro/nscc/2021/34-92213.pdf), [src-5](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/o4z0jc/implementation_of_the_proposed_changes_to_the/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3)
+
+-   SR-NSCC-2021-004: Amend the Recovery & Wind-down Plan ✅\
+    *The "Just so we're clear about stocks specifically, we're really serious about us not paying for your fuckups unless we have to rule" Rule.*\
+    Works in conjunction with DTC-2021-004, but this is specific to securities and was filed first. src-1 This ALSO has language in it about clarifying the mass transfer of customer accounts from a failing member to a stable member. src-2\
+    Filed 2021-03-05\
+    Effective 2021-03-18\
+    [src-1](https://www.reddit.com/r/GME/comments/mc0zfn/too_ape_didnt_read_summary_of_srnscc2021801/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf), [src-2](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mvybgf/sec_is_expecting_the_need_for_a_mass_emergency/)
+
+-   NSCC-2021-005: Increase the NSCC's Minimum Required Fund Deposit *pending* ❌\
+    *The "We're gonna up your minimum deposit with us from an hysterically low $10K each, to an almost certainly still not enough $250k each" Rule.*\
+    DTCC has submitted this to SEC, but SEC has not approved / published yet, so details may change. src-1\
+    Filed 2021-04-26\
+    Published: 2021-05-10\
+    Approved: Pending, expected action on or before 2021-06-24 (45 days after publication)\
+    Effective: Approval + 10 days max\
+    [src-1](https://www.dtcc.com/legal), [Explainer post](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mz9gl6/nscc2021005_has_been_signed_today_implementation/)
+
+Options
+
+-   SR-OCC-2021-003: Increase Persistent Minimum Skin-In-The-Game / Waterfall ✅\
+    *The "You Market Makers are gonna give us more money now in case you fuck up with options later and owe someone more than you have" Rule.*\
+    This is the rule associated with the SR-OCC-2021-801 advanced notice, and SIG filed an opposition during the review period delaying the implementation. src-1 You can read that whiney rant here via this [comment](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nhh0f1/update_go_nogo_for_launch_the_checklist_keeping/gznui8r?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3)\
+    OCC-2021-003 is now approved and both should be in effect no later than Tuesday 2021-06-01 10am Eastern (if SEC approval notice counts as the official written notice to OCC members). src-2\
+    Filed 2021-02-10\
+    Approved 2021-05-27\
+    Effective on or before 2021-06-01 10am EST\
+    [src-1](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mm8pnz/update_from_sec_on_srocc2021801_aka_srocc2021203/), [src-2](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nmjbov/srocc2021003_approved_that_one_was_needed_for/gzqwqzc?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3)
+
+Credit Default Swaps
+
+-   SR-ICC-2021-005: Amend the ICC Recovery & Wind-down Plan ✅\
+    *The "Guys, DTC had a pretty good idea, lets also liquidate members first before touching our own cash." Rule.*\
+    Fairly straightforward with this nugget as described by [u/Criand](https://www.reddit.com/u/Criand/):\
+    "Something really cool is they'll not only wipe out members who default on a certain security, they'll wipe out similar positions in that same security of all their other members IF it's high risk/stress to the market."\
+    Filed 2021-03-23\
+    Approved 2021-05-10\
+    Effective Immediately\
+    [src](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nfl69o/new_icc_rules_summary_they_are_preparing_for/)
+
+-   SR-ICC-2021-007: Update the ICC's Treasury Operations Policies and Procedures ✅\
+    *The "Your capital balance sheet is looking a little shaggy there, we think you need a Collateral Haircut" Rule.*\
+    Tightens up what can and cant be considered as collateral, trimming off the stuff that is not deemed worthy, and reducing overall capital, which means you can handle less total risk and/or volatile CDS contracts.\
+    Filed 2021-03-29\
+    Approved 2021-05-13\
+    Effective Immediately\
+    [src](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nfl69o/new_icc_rules_summary_they_are_preparing_for/)
+
+-   SR-ICC-2021-008: Update the ICC Risk Management Model Description ✅\
+    *The "We're gonna start using our best guesses on if the collateral for the loans these psuedo-insurance contracts are based on might go crazy in the near future, 'cause shit is getting weird out there" Rule.*\
+    This is about [Credit Default Swaps](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/creditdefaultswap.asp), which are a bit complex. Essentially this rule appears it primarily will help to reduce the chances of say, BofA failing because they agreed to get paid to take on some of the risk of a loan made by say JP Morgan, and then BofA got fucked over just because JP Morgain made the loan using a volatile stock as collateral and then that stock went bananas... a stock which everyone probably knew was volatile but somehow wasn't a big factor in making the agreement before this rule. The rule also limits the ICC maximum total losses/payout, and ups initial margin requirements.\
+    Filed 2021-03-31\
+    Approved 2021-05-18\
+    Effective Immediately\
+    [src](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nfl69o/new_icc_rules_summary_they_are_preparing_for/)
+
+-   SR-ICC-2021-009: Update the ICC Risk Parameter Setting and Review Policy ✅\
+    *The "We're basing risk on day to day averages now instead of month to month averages" Rule.*\
+    When something strays too far outside of the acceptable baseline, it gets flagged. Now that baseline is automatically calculated day to day, instead of month to month, and manualy reviewed the old way at least monthly. It will result in faster response time to fast moving changes and real risks (safer), but also less shock from too few updates (smoother). All that so they can keep margin levels appropriate. Also cleans up some language to be more generic and descriptive like "Extreme Price Change Scenarios."\
+    Filed 2021-04-02\
+    Approved 2021-05-20\
+    Effective Immediately\
+    [src](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nhdw0f/rick_management_updates_just_went_from_monthly_to/)
+
+-   SR-ICC-2021-014: Update the ICC's Fee Schedules ✅\
+    *The "Huuuuuuuge discounts on swaps! Get 'em while they last!" Rule.*\
+    This cuts fees on CDS contracts about 25%, which sounds like they want to incentivize risk sharing even more. Program is for the 2nd half of 2021, and discounts start June 1st.\
+    Filed 2021-05-07\
+    Approved 2021-05-18\
+    Effective Immediately\
+    [src](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nfl69o/new_icc_rules_summary_they_are_preparing_for/)
+
+Rules to protect the value of the market in general as best as possible
+
+-   SR-OCC-2021-004: Revisions to OCC's Auction Participation Requirements ✅\
+    *The "Everyone can come to the feeding frenzy party when we liquidate one of you idiots" Rule.*\
+    Allows more firms that were traditionally excluded from an auction of this type to now join in, probably making the market wide bleeding end sooner, and retain more value overall.\
+    Filed 2021-03-19\
+    Effective 2021-05-19\
+    [src](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mnpzu5/srocc2021004_why_this_proposed_rule_change_is/)
+
+Non-regulation / Other Announcments
+
+-   Exchange Act Rule 15c3-3 Compliance Letter: Staff Statement on Fully Paid Lending ✅\
+    *The "We're making you keep full collateral on hand for your shit, you've got six months to get it together" letter.*\
+    Letter sent 2020-10-22\
+    Effective 2021-04-22\
+    [src](https://www.sec.gov/news/public-statement/staff-fully-paid-lending?utm_medium=email&utm_source=govdelivery)
+
+-   GOV-1085-21: DTCC / FICC White Paper Announcing WABR added as a Sponsored Member ✅\
+    WABR Cayman Limited is a firm specializing in helping Institutional Sales Traders in times of "thin markets". [u/stellarEVH](https://www.reddit.com/u/stellarEVH/) explains:\
+    *"When a company needs to quickly pay off their debts as in the case of a margin call, it can be challenging for them to gather all the money from their various investments. There are firms in place that are specialized in liquidating their portfolio in a manner to minimize market impact while they pay off their debt."*\
+    Announced 2021-04-23\
+    Effective 2021-04-29\
+    [src](https://www.dtcc.com/-/media/Files/pdf/2021/4/23/GOV1085-21PDF.PDF), via [this post & comments](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/my1hio/friday_the_dtcc_approved_wabra_morgan_stanley/), linked from [It's Just a Bug, Bro Part 6 - Bug Spray Edition](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/myl37p/its_just_a_bug_bro_part_6_bug_spray_edition/)\
+    [Additional info on who WABR is](https://reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mz4oza/the_rabbit_hole_of_wabr_cayman_company_limited/) 👀 *Spidey senses are tingling*\
+    *I love this community*
+
+-   MBS978-21: FICC Notice on MBSD Intraday Mark-to-Market Charge - Timing of Intraday Collection ✅\
+    *We've been lenient for the past year cause shit was wack, but we're going back on that regular hourly assesment for margins.* "Starting on May 3, 2021, the fixed time of 1:00PM will be eliminated and the MBSD Intraday Mark-to-Market Charge will return to an hourly assessment." This combined with other things will tighten the screws.\
+    [/u/stellarEVH](https://www.reddit.com/u/stellarEVH/) bringing that good good again: *"For example, it'll be much harder to short GameStop and/or trade in dark pools when you're expected to cover your margin every hour. For the last year, they've only needed to prove they were covered at 1pm."*\
+    Notice Date 2021-04-21\
+    Effective 2021-05-03\
+    [src post](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/n3m0qu/the_mandatory_dtcc_common_stock_reallocation_for/), [explainer comment](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/n3m0qu/the_mandatory_dtcc_common_stock_reallocation_for/gwr8n2a?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3)
+
+-   OCC Notice 48718: TEMPORARY INCREASE TO CLEARING FUND SIZE ✅\
+    *Yeah if you could give us some more of your money for a bit, that would be great.*\
+    Yeah they used all caps, and gave 2 days notice before they would just go into members bank accounts to get that money. Must've needed it bad for the 19th, because it normally is just increased monthly on the 1st. Total increase was $588,378,155.\
+    Notice Date 2021-05-17\
+    Deposit by Date 2021-05-19 [by 9am](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nfz9xa/huge_crypto_dump_currently_things_are_hotting_up/).\
+    [src](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nftyg4/occ_has_issued_a_statement_to_all_clearing/)
+
+*(please help me fill in other important rules via comments)*
+
+2 - Funding
+
+Opinion - Status: Go for Launch ✅
+
+To pay out for shares of GME
+
+-   [SHF Pulling money from crypt0](https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-doge-ethereum-ripple-price-monday-19-april-crypto-latest-081427050.html)
+
+-   SHF Pump and Dump on other stocks
+
+-   SHF Liquidate other Assets Under Management (market-wide dive on 2021-04-22?) [Citadel Sell-off?](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/n0fwx2/kenny_might_be_in_a_bit_of_a_pickle_right_now/)
+
+-   Wind Down and Recovery Strategies (SR-DTC-2021-004, SR-ICC-2021-005)
+
+-   *(other suggestions w/ sources wanted)*
+
+Secure cash to buy up liquidated assets to prevent total market collapse
+
+-   [Big Banks do a Bond Sales](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mu8a5m/6_out_of_the_7_top_listed_us_banks_have_made/), [Citigroup: "Me Too!"](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mzvcli/citigroup_borrowing_55_billion_in_latest_bank/)
+
+    -   Need plausible reasons for making those sales such as earnings report, or LIBOR to SOFR switch, or *insert wildcard like $50 Bil Football League*, etc ...
+
+-   Banks Re-Structuring / Netting [src](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mur8bz/srdtc2021004_the_dtcc_and_jp_morgan_theyre/)
+
+-   [Wells Fargo to liquidate two of its trusts](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nh5ed7/wells_fargo_to_liquidate_two_of_its_trusts/)
+
+-   Rule SR-OCC-2021-004 allowing more players at the auction of the defaulting member's assets.
+
+3 - Cover for Timing of Launch
+
+Opinion - Status: No-Go for Launch ❌\
+*This will likely be the very last one, and we'll only know what they will use as an excuse once it's started. I think all the other pieces would need to be in place* (Narrator: They are.) *for them to feel most confident to light the fuse. This will be more oportunistic in nature, I think.*
+
+I'm splitting this into 2 objectives: why GME is going up, and why the market in general is tanking.
+
+GME Go BRRRRRRRRRRRR! Cover
+
+Ideally a plausible Corporate or Market Event that the stock price "should" respond to in order to initiate upward price movement without the timing looking SUS AF and destabilizing the broader market due to fear of systemic problems and/or loss of public trust. These events are mostly out of the control of The System, and one will likely be the ignition.
+
+-   Corporate: ~~AGM Voting Proxy Release~~
+
+-   Corporate: ~~Quarterly Earnings (Q1 2021)~~
+
+-   Corporate: ~~CEO Announced~~
+
+-   Corporate: ~~AGM Vote Count + Board Elections~~
+
+-   Corporate: ~~RC Appointed as Chairman Official News~~
+
+-   Corporate: ~~New Cash Reserves from ATM Stock Offer~~
+
+-   Corporate: Dividend Issue / Stock Split
+
+-   Corporate: Major Partner Announcement
+
+-   Corporate: Possible NFT Announcement 2021-07-14?
+
+-   Market: Broader Retail Gains
+
+-   Market: $GME moves from Russell 2000 to Russell 1000 after close on 2021-06-25
+
+-   TBD / Unkown
+
+Markets Go clank! Cover
+
+Major policy announcements, world politics, regularly scheduled economic reports released... Pick your favorite here, cause they will and already have. This cover will justify why the markets are hemorhaging to hide the fact that positions are being liquidated to start paying for buying-back all those GME shares.
+
+-   Market: Global Supply Chain Issue
+
+-   Market: Liquidity Stress Tests
+
+    -   [April 26th, 2021](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mww2ah/dtcc_planning_liquidity_risk_testing_on_26th/)
+
+    -   [May 13th, 2021](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/n763vq/dtcc_members_are_having_a_liquidity_check_may_13th/)
+
+    -   Note: As far as I can tell, these happened yearly, typically in April/May, but only once... 2 back to back?
+
+-   Government: ~[POTUS joint address to Congress](https://apnews.com/article/joe-biden-nancy-pelosi-coronavirus-pandemic-267e753a5d1ab7a72d3274728b25f63c)\
+    Green New Deal? Capital Gains Announcement: [similar to BS on 2021-04-22?](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-04-22/biden-to-propose-capital-gains-tax-as-high-as-43-4-for-wealthy)
+
+-   Government: [2021-05-06 Congressional Hearing with SEC / Gensler, DTCC / Bodson, FINRA / Cook.](https://financialservices.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=407762)
+
+-   Government: [2021-05-26+27 Congressional Hearing with Big Banks](https://financialservices.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=407740)
+
+-   Government: Monthly [Consumer Price Index numbers released](https://www.bls.gov/schedule/news_release/cpi.htm), next is June 13th
+
+-   Government: [US Treasury Stability Council Meeting June 11th](https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-treasury-stability-idUSL2N2N638S)\
+    Possible platform for policy announcement? Typically hold 6 +/- a year, but this would be first of 2021 and was postponed from May 21st.
+
+-   Government: [US 2022 Fiscal Year Budget Proposal](https://www.reuters.com/world/us/biden-propose-6-trillion-us-budget-2022-fiscal-year-nyt-2021-05-27/)
+
+-   *(other suggestions wanted)*
+
+4 - Fallguy, and the Lack of Prevention
+
+Opinion - Status: Go for Launch ✅\
+*While they will likely have a fallguy decided upon prior to launch, I don't see it as a necessity that would delay it, certainly not like the Rules of Engagement or Funding would. I also think that nothing would keep them from changing the story if something else influences the narrative in an acceptable way shortly after liftoff.*
+
+Blame!
+
+After the market pain is significant enough that the public wants answers, why not lay all the blame on bad actors, and defer attention from the system to try to avoid additional exterior regulation.
+
+-   SHFs (now liquidated) as overly greedy and got what they deserved
+
+-   Retail (as Anarchists, or greedy and oportunistic)
+
+    -   [Forbes article on January Gamma Squeeze](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mvf7r3/forbes_reminder_as_we_hodl_towards_the_moass_gme/gvc5c8f/?context=3)
+
+-   Foreign Actors trying to destabilize the US Markets
+
+-   *(other suggestions w/ sources wanted)*
+
+Control Public Image of the System via PR
+
+-   DTCC: ["We're doing a great job! Take our word for it!"](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mvozps/dtcc_trying_to_get_ahead_of_the_story_the_most/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share)
+
+-   DTCC: "We're announcing our plan to keep working on a plan to kind of band-aid a problem that's pretty bad and we've known about for awhile, and like we have definitely been talking about it and stuff, but now we're like really gonna talk about it using words like "in-depth analysis" cause up to now we were mostly just talking about it like how you tell that one friend *"yeah, we should totally hang out soon"* and then you never do, but not now cause we're serious now, and it's definitely not because we've gotta talk to the US Congress this week or anything. Like, honestly." AKA the announcement of [the DTCC's T+1 Settlement Plan.](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/n5b91j/dtcc_rolls_out_plan_and_faq_for_a_new_t1/)
+
+* * * * *
+
+...Meanwhile, at the SEC
+
+"Let's at least *look* like we aren't asleep at the wheel here, lads"
+
+-   [Whistleblower Awards](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mrfxvg/secgov_sec_awards_over_50_million_to_joint/)
+
+    -   [47.4% of the Amount of all SEC Whistleblower Awards Ever Given Have Been Awarded in the Last 12 Months (Out of 105 Months of Program Activity)](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nf3n64/474_of_the_amount_of_all_sec_whistleblower_awards/)
+
+-   [Closed door meetings](https://www.reddit.com/r/GME/comments/mihiv9/another_sec_closed_door_meeting_scheduled_for_48/)
+
+-   [2021-05-27 Sunshine Act Meeting - Scheduled](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nhgh3i/sunshine_meeting_rescheduled_may_27/)
+
+    -   These have been cancelled 4 out of 7 times... so far!
+
+-   Speech by SEC Commissioner Peirce inlcuding the line that the SEC is *"working on a report about the events related to meme stock trading earlier this year, and some regulatory initiatives may come out of that work."* and a few other statements about how the SEC shouldn't be concerned with firms loosing money... aka Tough Titties Archegos, et al.\
+    [src post](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/n2ax63/something_apes_missed_read_this/)
+
+-   [SEC sues HF, filed 5/19/21- states NAKED SHORT SELLING is ILLEGAL and ask FOR a JULY TRIAL!!!](https://www.reddit.com/r/GME/comments/nhmaxw/sec_sues_hf_filed_51921_states_naked_short/)
+
+Any and all additions you think may belong on this list, feel free to put in the comments, and I'll try to update and give credit where possible. If I got any of these wrong, or you've found better links that explain the rules, let me know in the comments and I'll make those edits.
+
+Contributions noted where possible, and initial start from previous work on Recent Filings by [/u/Antioch_Orontes](https://www.reddit.com/u/Antioch_Orontes/) [here.](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/msh5mt/a_brief_overview_of_recent_filings_from_the_dtc/)
+
+Looking for the TL;DR? It's at the top.
+
+* * * * *
+
+Buy. Hodl. Buckle Up.
+
+... and make history.
+
+🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀
+
+Edit 2021-05-22:\
+Typos, add expected effective timeframe for DTC-2021-005. May 27th SEC Meeting Scheduled. SEC Lawsuit. Restructured the 3rd/Cover section to clarify for some comments and feedback about why I think cover is important. Also by now I've got plenty of reddit points/currency, so spend new money on GME!
+
+Edit 2021-05-28:\
+SR-OCC-2021-003 approved. Add CPI release as market drop cover, US Treasury meeting, US Budget Proposal.
+
+Edit 2021-06-21:\
+SR-DTC-005 approved and in effect, SR-NSCC-2021-002 / 801 approved. SR-DTC-2021-009 added. Updated expected timeline for SR-NSCC-2021-005
+
+Edit 2021-06-23:\
+SR-DTC-2021-009 updated with additional info. Added move to Russell 1000 as possible cover story (thanks [u/godkyle11](https://reddit.com/user/godkyle11/) for the prompt). Updated section 3 to better illustrate corporate events now in the past.

DD/2021-05-21-Hank-Returns-from-the-Dead-and-Takes-a-Dump.md

@@ -0,0 +1,114 @@
+Hank returns from the dead and takes a dump
+===========================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/HomeDepotHank69](https://www.reddit.com/user/HomeDepotHank69/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nhs1wy/hank_returns_from_the_dead_and_takes_a_dump/) | 
+
+---
+
+[DD 👨‍🔬](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22DD%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%94%AC%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+********* I am not a financial advisor, this is not financial advice **********
+
+Good morning apes, I'm back.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Hank returns from the dead and takes a dump](https://preview.redd.it/zab5b8c2oe071.png?width=648&format=png&auto=webp&s=d180afc080ba02d1d170f5b2344372b9ccaadbdc)](https://preview.redd.it/zab5b8c2oe071.png?width=648&format=png&auto=webp&s=d180afc080ba02d1d170f5b2344372b9ccaadbdc)
+
+BEFORE YOU SAY IT: Ik this technically makes me Kenny's son; however, as per the laws of nature, a human cannot birth a retarded ape.
+
+Boy is it good to be back, apes. I've missed you all. I've been gone for a while but have not left the cause. I've been lurking in the shadows, jacking off to DD, and huffing WD40. When I was just a child (a boy in Bulgaria), my father said he was going to the store to get cigarettes... I think he's still there, must've been a long line for those Marlboros. Well apes, unlike my dad, I am returning to you.
+
+Seriously though, thanks for all the messages and comments asking where I was. I fucking love this community. This has been an extremely busy week for me so I was not able to post any updates. My schedule is still pretty busy but it seems that the worst part is over, so I will hopefully be back more regularly to feed you that sweet confirmation bias. As many of you know, I have posted a few meme dumps. Well apes, today I will be taking another dump... A FUCKING DD DUMP (very sexual). So, this post will not be like the usual ones where it has one long theory, instead, it's gonna be a few theories and ideas.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Hank returns from the dead and takes a dump](https://preview.redd.it/o15bfun4be071.png?width=922&format=png&auto=webp&s=ee145f5b13d10dd67ac639b287283af7fc49079c)](https://preview.redd.it/o15bfun4be071.png?width=922&format=png&auto=webp&s=ee145f5b13d10dd67ac639b287283af7fc49079c)
+
+Covid-19, Jerome Powell, and January Squeezes
+
+I think that everyone (us and Wallstreet included) has kind of brushed off just how crazy the end of January was. Five stocks squeezed to over double in value... all in the same week (BB, KOSS, EXPR, NOK, AMC)... oh yeah and this one stock had a mega-boner-super-asstastic-squeeze (GME). Short squeezes of those magnitudes are rare. But all of these stocks simultaneously squeezing is not weird... it's unprecedented. For a squeeze to happen, a stock must be heavily shorted and a rapid price movement must cause the shorts to be squeezed out of their positions, which adds more buying pressure. So you're telling me that all of these smaller, struggling companies had insanely high short interest and were squeezed at the same time and are not related? Yeah, I don't buy it. Below I will explain why.
+
+Major short squeezes happen every few years. Little short squeezes may happen every so often, but the big ones happen very rarely. Why are they rare? Shorting is at the core of many HF strategies. It can be extremely profitable. When a fund decides to go short what do they do? They always announce it on CNBC, make a report, stir up news, and hope that others go in with them (they usually do). They only short companies that are overextended or are on the brink of bankruptcy, so it's usually a pretty sure thing. But sometimes, they're wrong. Sometimes they're wrong BIG.
+
+Why do some of these monster squeezes happen? They usually happen because HFs overly short a stock and get hit by some bombshell news piece that squeezes them out of their position. Again, this does not happen often. Remember, HFs are run by very smart people with extensive resources and experience. When they make a bet, it's usually pretty well thought out.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Hank returns from the dead and takes a dump](https://preview.redd.it/br3vblz3le071.png?width=828&format=png&auto=webp&s=69291c102a2e1a485be8f83c7297d484bd5da18f)](https://preview.redd.it/br3vblz3le071.png?width=828&format=png&auto=webp&s=69291c102a2e1a485be8f83c7297d484bd5da18f)
+
+Enter Covid-19. Covid essentially opened the flood gates to shorting. Why? Because Covid promised to shut down the in-person economy for at least a year and promised to obliterate the stock market. Covid-19 created a unique financial situation. Obviously, it led to mass unemployment and a crushed stock market, but what was strange about Covid was that it crushed an extremely strong economy by prolonging and increasing unemployment and decreasing business activity without an actual economic disaster (i.e. most recessions happen because of a system or economic problem, this happened because of a virus, not a systemic economic problem). So, the general idea was that the economy, though strong, would be extremely slow for at least a year because of covid. What a perfect storm? The economy is in ruins, struggling brick and mortars will likely go bankrupt, you won't make any money going long on stocks because the market will be bad, we won't get a vaccine for at least a year, and the general economy will suck (these were their assumptions). So what did they do? They shorted.... a lot. Here is a chart of the volume and short volume of SPY:
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Hank returns from the dead and takes a dump](https://preview.redd.it/kv85w7ns0h071.png?width=1214&format=png&auto=webp&s=d4338a41854ee42b8c9e6c98cd3fb32b0ee1eab7)](https://preview.redd.it/kv85w7ns0h071.png?width=1214&format=png&auto=webp&s=d4338a41854ee42b8c9e6c98cd3fb32b0ee1eab7)
+
+Obviously, this does not give a full picture of the market, but it gives the general picture that shorting increased dramatically during the covid crash. So yeah, they shorted. They shorted a lot, and it makes sense, it was rational. Remember when I said that certain struggling companies would be pushed to the brink of bankruptcy? Wow, another great shorting opportunity. So, they shorted BB, KOSS, EXPR, NOK, AMC, and GME extensively because of the premise that the economy would be shit for a while and that already struggling companies would go bankrupt (especially ones relying on in-person sales). How could you not profit on that? It's a slam dunk, right? RIGHT?
+
+Well, they got two premises wrong. First, the vaccine came out way quicker than anyone expected. Second:
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Hank returns from the dead and takes a dump](https://preview.redd.it/gs1iomezxd071.png?width=640&format=png&auto=webp&s=c29f5f22da63d376f0fe408282355e9ac6587187)](https://preview.redd.it/gs1iomezxd071.png?width=640&format=png&auto=webp&s=c29f5f22da63d376f0fe408282355e9ac6587187)
+
+JPow turned on the money machines an unprecedented amount:
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Hank returns from the dead and takes a dump](https://preview.redd.it/gqaopf35yd071.png?width=676&format=png&auto=webp&s=a5bd411020e4e236e73548fde85908a028ab6cb6)](https://preview.redd.it/gqaopf35yd071.png?width=676&format=png&auto=webp&s=a5bd411020e4e236e73548fde85908a028ab6cb6)
+
+Now one saw that coming. I mean people don't take the time to realize that the market is literally $100 higher now than it was precovid and we haven't even fully reopened. No one could've predicted that.
+
+So they were wrong - the market recovered WAYYYY quicker. What were the consequences of that? Well, basically every single stock rose significantly and must faster than expected and the market made a full 180. Now obviously, they weren't short on everything in the market and still made tons of money on the 180 turn. However, I think that they over shorted the previously mentioned stocks because they thought they could hit the bankruptcy jackpot, which is why they all squoze together.
+
+BUT, they wrong the worst with GME and that's why it squoze the most. Out of all the stocks, GME had the most positive news in 2020. On top of that, because of GME's debt and financials, they shorted it the most (we all know the famous 138%). That's why GME squoze the most, it's because the best things happened to the most shorted stock. That's why we're in this situation now.
+
+Finally, I want to reemphasize how weird this all is. Please tell me how it is normal that 6 stocks, all formerly on the verge of bankruptcy traded in nearly identical patterns for the past year. Seriously look it up for yourself. They all squeeze at the end of January, shoot back up on February 24th, have a huge rise and fall on March 10th and are all trading significantly above their book value. HOW THE FUCK CAN YOU DENY THAT NOTHING IS GOING ON HERE? Do you really think that all of these stocks would trade in identical patterns like this? Yes, stocks trade in similar patterns all the time, but those are usually stocks that follow the SPX in an upward trend. I challenge you to find stocks that trade in such an obscure pattern so identically close to each other as these do. Seriously, does it make any sense that GME is trading at 5x what analysts say it should be? Same for AMC. It makes even less sense that all 6 of these stocks trade in an identical obscure pattern.
+
+So why does that matter?
+
+IMO, this observation highlights an absolutely terrifying market situation. We all know that naked/abusive shorting has been around for a while. However, it appears that because of low-interest rates and an ease of restrictions, it probably increased more during covid. There has been great reporting in this sub about the repo market, which demonstrates liquidity issues (for wrinkle brains, liquidity issues happen when you've borrowed too much and/or don't have many liquid assets (cash) and is how literally every financial crisis happens because overleveraging creates a house of cards that eventually crashes). Liquidity issues are insanely dangerous in today's market conditions. The FED has been aggressively pursuing quantitative easing (QE) policies where it buys bonds and other assets to help stabilize prices. This helps to push up the economy, along with low-interest rates. Well, when there's a liquidity crisis, the FED literally cannot purchase the bonds and could lose control of the economy. What could be even worse is if we see inflation happen. We are already seeing it happen but according to JPow iTs tRaNsiToRy... yeah I bet that ages well. If inflation happens, then the FED will probably have to raise rates to slow down the economy, which will also hurt the market.
+
+This terrifies me because it means that institutions are overleveraged because of the easy money interest rates and we are nearing a liquidity crisis AND inflation could force the fed to hike rates. What happens when all of these things meet? The house of cards falls. So, let's say that there's an economic downturn (not a collapse, not a recession, not a depression, but a significant correction). That will lead to margin calls. If you get margin called and you have a significant short stake in, oh I don't know, a formerly struggling brick and mortar gaming retailer that just so happened to tongue punch the fart box of the entire market, that makes you........ FUCKED. Now let me make this clear, we should not be praying on the economy to collapse, that's idiotic. A collapsing economy means people lose their jobs, pensions, and people die. However, we need to be cognizant that we may have found a way to profit off of an impending correction.
+
+GME and SPY
+
+My DDs have also been laced with comparisons of SPY, VIX, and GME. As we know, GME has a negative beta so it is usually inversely proportional to SPY, which is extremely abnormal. GME seems to be directly proportional to the VIX. The VIX spikes during market volatility, which usually comes with margin calls. You put the rest together.
+
+However, I found something very, very interesting. According to my chart, it seems that GME is consolidating to earnings and the annual meeting. Obviously, this could be broken at any time or I could be completely wrong. It could also do what I said it's doing in my last DD and just keep forming new consolidations. Here's what I drew for GME:
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Hank returns from the dead and takes a dump](https://preview.redd.it/r0wws7b78e071.png?width=1882&format=png&auto=webp&s=880c42035e34628a43a14f1d18c000f50b2a1585)](https://preview.redd.it/r0wws7b78e071.png?width=1882&format=png&auto=webp&s=880c42035e34628a43a14f1d18c000f50b2a1585)
+
+It seems that they line up right around the blue question mark, which is earnings. The annual meeting is the very next day 6/9 (lmao nice). For those of you who just popped a quarter chub because you saw the yellow lines, yes those are my FTD cycle lines. The next one is sometime next week. Refer to [u/criand](https://www.reddit.com/u/criand/)'s DD because I am crowning him FTDaddy.
+
+It would make sense for GME to consolidate up to this point. Last earnings we saw a big move (not in our fucking favor though). This earnings, however, comes before the meeting, which is significant. As many of you have pointed out, this meeting could expose the massive number of synthetic shares through voting numbers. I have also noticed that there has been absolutely no news relating to GME for the past few weeks, which is very strange considering the barrage we've been getting the last few months. Could this mean they are saving something(s) up for the annual meeting? This is all speculation but it would make sense to me.
+
+So, remember that date, 6/9 (lmao)? Well, look at SPY:
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Hank returns from the dead and takes a dump](https://preview.redd.it/33ede0v39e071.png?width=1818&format=png&auto=webp&s=6d2564167f462ae8cdbb28ed41328d569b0936a9)](https://preview.redd.it/33ede0v39e071.png?width=1818&format=png&auto=webp&s=6d2564167f462ae8cdbb28ed41328d569b0936a9)
+
+I call the red line the death line because it's where I call BS on this absolutely crazy pricing based on historical pricing TA (this is a week chart btw). See that apex, guess what day it converges? 6/9. Coincidence? Yeah probably. Something to give you hope and help you sleep at night? Of course. Just to give you a little more confirmation bias, check out RIS (again one week chart), last time we were this oversold, the market literally died. Considering what I said above about liquidity, we could be seeing some major, major shit happen soon. AGAIN, this is just absolute speculation and conjecture and is probably not related...
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Hank returns from the dead and takes a dump](https://preview.redd.it/xxrtd1os9e071.jpg?width=1804&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=c50f0c0d9652d570b14bb3bbc6414fde12a073d1)](https://preview.redd.it/xxrtd1os9e071.jpg?width=1804&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=c50f0c0d9652d570b14bb3bbc6414fde12a073d1)
+
+The point of this is that SPY cannot keep these prices up forever especially considering the likelihood of inflation, the possible liquidity crisis, and the overleveraging we are seeing. GME, moreover, should not be behaving like it is without something fucky going on underneath. Something's gonna give soon, apes.
+
+The Fucking midday volume spikes
+
+The stuff above was mostly my theories and opinions, this is probably the best actual new DD that I have in this post. I have said in many of my DDs that there are these random midday positive volume spikes. I always noticed them, as I'm sure many of you have, but never took the time to document them or to do anything with them, until now. Below is a table of these spikes from the past few weeks:
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Hank returns from the dead and takes a dump](https://preview.redd.it/pxhieq516e071.png?width=1284&format=png&auto=webp&s=e40f6d81c2f5761ca021f1f6721e595ee81030ad)](https://preview.redd.it/pxhieq516e071.png?width=1284&format=png&auto=webp&s=e40f6d81c2f5761ca021f1f6721e595ee81030ad)
+
+EDIT: This is what the volume spikes look like (don't mind the blue and yellow lines, just look at that giant green dildo in the middle of the day:
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Hank returns from the dead and takes a dump](https://preview.redd.it/cfqnjxjr5h071.png?width=850&format=png&auto=webp&s=60194d4a42674e06cdeceaff0f3f110d69942e12)](https://preview.redd.it/cfqnjxjr5h071.png?width=850&format=png&auto=webp&s=60194d4a42674e06cdeceaff0f3f110d69942e12)
+
+The commonalities in all of these are: they are positive volume (i.e. price goes higher), they are the highest candle in their given day BY A MILE, they happen between 11 am-2 pm, they happen on absolutely no news. This is only from a few trading days, so it is by no means exhaustive. However, I went through and looked and this has been happening for a very long time now and it is consistent and common. Seriously check it out for yourself. Go on a 1-minute time frame on any given week and you'll find at least one of these random spikes. I also looked at AMC... same exact thing happens with that stock (goes back to my theory about them being related). So what does this mean? Quite honestly I have no clue. It's strange that it happens in the same time period, is the highest volume in the day, and is positive. Could it be a short covering? That's what I'm guessing. However, I need more data to make that conclusion. My next DD will probably be about uncovering more to this. Note that I did not cherry-pick the above data, this is just the most recent data from the past few weeks, this trend is extremely persistent and I intend to look into it more and invite other apes to do the same. IMO, this probably has something to do with a smaller time frame FTD cycle because of how common and persistent it is. So, expect my next DD to be something about this. Sorry I couldn't do a full DD on this right now, again don't have the time currently, so this is just a little cock tease, but expect something about this in the future.
+
+With that in mind, just wanna give a shoutout to [u/criand](https://www.reddit.com/u/criand/) for being an absolute god. This guy pumps out DD I like I pump out turds after Chipotle. His recent DD on the FTD cycle is the best FTD cycle DD on this sub by far and he basically cracked the FTD cycle code.
+
+Closing Thots
+
+Apes, I'll say it again, none of what is happening with GME is normal. I could make a laundry list of the abnormalities - the price being 5x analyst predictions but not budging, OTC trading, random volume spikes, FTD cycle, difficulty to borrow, relatedness to other shorted stocks, consolidation patterns, gigantic drops, etc. etc. etc. The point is, something's going on and something's gotta give. What do all of these abnormalities make me?
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Hank returns from the dead and takes a dump](https://preview.redd.it/6adccfbabe071.png?width=1080&format=png&auto=webp&s=f17c0be2c20907e258334ba516103fadfb4fc868)](https://preview.redd.it/6adccfbabe071.png?width=1080&format=png&auto=webp&s=f17c0be2c20907e258334ba516103fadfb4fc868)
+
+HARDER THAN EVER
+
+Thanks again for understanding why I was gone for a little bit, I really appreciate it. Idk when I'll be coming back because the next few weeks are not super predictable for me and could be busy... but I will be here... watching.... reading.... jacking off. As always, stay strong apes.
+
+TL;DR
+
+Hank is back. Thanks for your patience. Look closer at the January squeeze. Group of stocks moving in unison. Not a coincidence. Covid created perfect storm for all of this. Economy could correct/crash. Inflation/leveraging/liquidity bad. SPY too big. GME might benefit from this. Midday volume spikes exist. I am curious. I will investigate more. I have a half chub.
+
+********* I am not a financial advisor, this is not financial advice **********

DD/2021-05-25-Here-is-What-Will-Happen-After-the-Reverse-Repo-Limit-Reaches-Its-Maxiumum.md

@@ -0,0 +1,53 @@
+Here's what will happen after the Reverse Repo Limit Reaches Its Maximum (Spoilers: Very much NOT good for Citadel and friends)
+
+===============================================================================================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/AcedVector](https://www.reddit.com/user/AcedVector/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nkgqje/heres_what_will_happen_after_the_reverse_repo/) | 
+
+---
+
+[DD 👨‍🔬](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22DD%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%94%AC%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+I recently saw a post from [r/DDIntoGME](https://www.reddit.com/r/DDIntoGME/) which had said that essentially, if the overnight reverse repo lending that's been going on keeps going in the same pattern it has been, it is going to start reaching its "maximum" amount of lending(500 BIllion) around Friday.
+
+I wanted to piggyback off of that post because it brought to my mind the question, "What would genuinely happen once it reached its maximum? Would the whole system go kaboom?" Well, to answer that question, let's try to understand the context here a bit first.
+
+In these reverse repo agreements, the FED is selling bonds to banks (which are presumably lent to HFs) which takes AWAY liquidity(cash money) from the market as the banks are paying cash for the bonds. This isn't necessarily a bad thing given the amount of liquidity that was added TO the market from stimulus checks and overall money supply being at all time highs.
+
+EDIT: Clarified on the liquidity part as it wasn't as clear
+
+What's causing the proverbial wrench in the gears here are that these hedgies are overleverged to the tits from not only shorting the treasuries bond market, but also having shit for mortgage backed securities in the housing market, and naked shorting a whole bunch of other stocks with unlimited leverage, with the pure intention of driving multiple companies to bankruptcy.
+
+Here's where it gets really bad: these banks and hedgefunds absolutely NEED these bonds as collateral because they have overleveraged so hard there aren't enough bonds to go around, most likely multiple times over; the FED is in possession of a lot of these bonds so by temporarily allowing banks to come into possession of them they can kick the can down the road, but what happens when the maximum amount of lending is reached?
+
+Let's walk through the process:
+
+1\.  As time goes on, theoretically either more counterparties would need bonds as collateral or the existing counterparties would need MORE bonds to post as collateral to keep kicking the can down the road and prevent being margin called.
+
+2\.  Someone gets margin called as they can't post enough collateral (theoretically bonds lent by the FED), causing a cascade of margin calls across the bonds market leading to a short squeeze of treasury bonds from liquidation.
+
+3\.  The liquidation of various securities (such as stock postions) coupled with the spike in treasuries bond price would lead to a stock market crash, leading to even MORE margin calls from overleveraged short positions(some even within the same firms that got margin called before, this is probably where Citadel would be in this scenario as they shorted both the treasury bonds market and meme stocks)
+
+4\.  Short squeeze of all meme stocks from forced liquidation as the tendieman cometh.
+
+(This part is edited as of edit 3) How soon would this be able to happen? Well, this still remains more of a theoretical unfortunately. Since after some kind redditors corrected me and I found out the 500 billion limit was for repo agreements only and that the reverse repo agreement is limited to 80 billion per counterparty (as of right now there is an estimated 7.2 billion per counterparty, read edit 3 to see why), it would seem there's a while before it gets to that point, IF it gets to that point. I doubt the FED would accept lending 80 billion per counterparty (there's 54 counterparties as of the most current agreement), so in my opinion I feel like the only way we see this happen is if someone gets margin called, or the FED stops accepting to lend as many bonds to counterparties. The more likely option, believe it or not is that someone (maybe a certain hedgie Citadel 😉) gets margin called. The FED doesn't really have enough of a reason to say "hey you look fucked and giving you bonds doesn't look like it'll help", so that would leave the margin call option. Given the other catalysts Citadel and co have to watch out for in the near future (T + 21 today, gamestop earnings, the shareholder meetings, how fucked they are in the housing market, the list goes on), I wouldn't be surprised if we see a margin call happen soon that would trip some wires in the bonds market and cause a short squeeze that leads to the MOASS.
+
+Hope this jumbled mess made some sense to you all, as I'm writing this now its about midnight so I wouldn't be surprised if I happened to make a couple of mistakes when writing this out. If anything, I'll hang out in the comments and make some edits along the way. :)
+
+Edit: people were asking about the source post I pulled the limit from so I've linked it below. Give that OP some love!
+
+Edit 2: I've seen some questions asking if cash can just be used as collateral instead for treasury bonds. Now, this may be wrong so take this answer with a grain of salt, but as far as I understand, you need treasury bonds as collateral to prevent being margin called from shorting treasury bonds. These are government bonds, which people have invested in with the idea that their money is safe and sound. If at any point they need to take money out of, say a 10 year bond, but all of a sudden the bond disappeared, thats ALL of their money gone.. and I doubt the US wants THAT to happen because of what it means for the US economy.
+
+Edit 3(Edited once again): There's some talk about the 500 billion cap being for repo agreements only and not reverse repo agreements, after researching more and some friendly redditors correcting me in the comments about it I saw that it seems like this is the case as the reverse repo cap had been virtually removed in 2013. The only type of cap I see is that there is a maximum of 80 billion per counterparty when it comes to reverse repo overnight agreements. Given there are currently 54 counterparties as of the latest agreement of 394 billion, there's an average of 7.2 billion per counterparty as of right now. However, I genuinely doubt the FED would accept lending 54 counterparties 80 BILLION each. That would be over 4 trillion used daily in bonds lent out. A margin call by other means would be more likely to happen in my opinion.
+
+Edit 4: I've seen a lot of questions asking if the FED would just raise the limit to try to kick the can down the road, and I don't think they would do that for a couple of reasons. The first is that I presume they have the foresight (unlike the greedy hedgefunds) to see that many people's finances are being put at risk so they would rather have this end sooner than later. That, and they stand to gain a lot from squeezing hedgefunds and liquidating. The main argument that comes to my mind is that when the MOASS happens and everyone gets their tendies they are going to be able to get some nice tax money off of that (a lot of rich people hide their wealth in offshore accounts so they don't have to pay as many taxes, so its good for some of this money to be in the hands of retail).
+
+Source post I got the upper limit from:
+
+<https://www.reddit.com/r/DDintoGME/comments/nk9979/reverse_repo_overnight_lending_will_hit_the_upper/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share>
+
+FED links about the reverse repo/ repo agreements: <https://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/domestic-market-operations/monetary-policy-implementation/repo-reverse-repo-agreements/repurchase-agreement-operational-details>
+
+<https://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/rrp_faq>

DD/2021-06-05-A-Look-into-GME-without-the-Squeeze.md

@@ -0,0 +1,140 @@
+Came for the Memes, Stayed for the Fundamentals: A Look into GME Without The Squeeze
+====================================================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/jarofmy](https://www.reddit.com/user/jarofmy/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nt31x2/came_for_the_memes_stayed_for_the_fundamentals_a/) | 
+
+---
+
+[DD 👨‍🔬](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22DD%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%94%AC%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+**Intro/Observation:
+
+God damn, god damn! Some of us have really come a long ass way since January. Might've even gained a few wrinkles along the way. Like many, I joined the party on the hype regarding "meme-stocks". I joined for the "squeeze", or more importantly, the MOASS. After months of constant hedge-fuckery, straight overdosing on hardcore DD, and everyone talking about squeeze this and squeeze that, I had completely forgotten that normally, people would simply invest in companies for FUNDAMENTAL reasons.
+
+[](https://preview.redd.it/1qn8uqovkn371.gif?format=mp4&s=fcb739f25ddcefdf1b0cdc01c2b7108cc66dba8f)
+
+Snorting god-tier DD, I said god damn!
+
+This thought occurred to me when talking to someone this past week about other rising stocks. They said: "if you inflate the value of (insert rising meme-stock) to drive out the short sellers but in the end you own a company that was struggling. What gives?"
+
+As fun as the squeeze will be, I wanted sound reasons to definitively YOLO. I wanted concrete evidence to harden my resolve. I wanted to be assured that, even without a squeeze, the company would still be a great investment. And so my goal is to completely ignore any potential squeeze theories, and explain why the current valuation of GME, on a fundamental basis, is STILL deeply undervalued. None of this is financial advice. I just like the freaking stock.
+
+TL;DR:
+
+Fundamentally, there are so many reasons why Gamestop is still deeply undervalued. By simply expanding their total accessible market, this stock is worth 100x AT A MINIMUM WITHOUT THE SQUEEZE. This is only possible due to the unique situation GME has, which is having a small amount of public float of shares "available to trade".
+
+I am not a financial advisor, and none of this is financial advise. I am just documenting what I've observed after shoving some crayons too far up my nose.
+
+**Thesis:
+
+To some, the valuation of GME may seem absurd in isolation. However, when compared to its potential accessible market, it becomes clear that Gamestop is deeply undervalued.
+
+For example: "GME at $250 per share is a really high price!" vs "GME at $250 per share means that it's market cap is valued at only $17 billion, in a potentially $2 TRILLION accessible industry"
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Came for the Memes, Stayed for the Fundamentals: A Look into GME Without The Squeeze](https://preview.redd.it/585vflo8on371.jpg?width=500&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=83eebc5024e774f8150da93efa094fe983e423de)](https://preview.redd.it/585vflo8on371.jpg?width=500&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=83eebc5024e774f8150da93efa094fe983e423de)
+
+Gamestop's previous brick-and-mortar focused model limited the company's accessible market. The new transformation under Ryan Cohen's helm will lead to the company's explosion into capitalizing on various untapped, and growing markets. And if you want to see what someone can do, you should look at what they've already done...
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Came for the Memes, Stayed for the Fundamentals: A Look into GME Without The Squeeze](https://preview.redd.it/7y3b6z8zkn371.jpg?width=512&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b4f4413c93d039dcc0125da7aabbd4e935da511f)](https://preview.redd.it/7y3b6z8zkn371.jpg?width=512&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b4f4413c93d039dcc0125da7aabbd4e935da511f)
+
+Brief History Lesson, Chewy was the Blueprint
+
+Ryan Cohen founded Chewy in 2011, in the face of industry competition such as Petsmart, Petco, and Amazon. He began by poaching talents from Amazon, Petsmart, and Wayfair (any of this sound familiar?). In their first year, despite losing money in the first half year, Chewy had a $26 million dollar revenue. It is widely known that Ryan Cohen follows a business model that priorities customer experience.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Came for the Memes, Stayed for the Fundamentals: A Look into GME Without The Squeeze](https://preview.redd.it/vr62shj1ln371.png?width=1574&format=png&auto=webp&s=7ab3ee8bdb1a4ca98104265e15d923c665ebdd8a)](https://preview.redd.it/vr62shj1ln371.png?width=1574&format=png&auto=webp&s=7ab3ee8bdb1a4ca98104265e15d923c665ebdd8a)
+
+"If you take a carload of this, you'll make more money. But if you take a carload of that, you'll make less money, but you'll keep the customer. So take a carload of that." - Ryan's father
+
+With a heavy focus on customer service and user experience, by 2017, Chewy was offered a merger deal by both Petco and Petsmart, and was finally acquired by Petsmart for $3.35 billion dollars, which at the time was the [largest merger acquisition](https://www.vox.com/2017/12/6/16681040/ryan-cohen-chewy-recode-100) of an e-commerce business. How's it doing now? Thriving. Not only did Chewy survive against established industry players, Chewy now has a respectable portion of the pet industry market.
+
+**CHEWY:
+
+Current market cap: $32b @ $77/share
+
+[Pet Industry TAM](https://www.americanpetproducts.org/press_industrytrends.asp): $103b in 2020
+
+Market percentage: 30% of market
+
+[](https://preview.redd.it/chwh6fj5ln371.gif?format=mp4&s=0a40d29a4c361f5000a96369adc703cbcc70cf58)
+
+Gamestop's back alright!
+
+Where are we now?
+
+**GAMESTOP:
+
+Current market cap: $20b @ $280/share (at the time of writing this)
+
+Video Game TAM: $159b
+
+Market percentage: 12.5% of market
+
+**Previous Business Model (Pre-Cohen):
+
+Video Game Retailer: limited to games, relying on seasonal console releases to help boost general sales.
+
+As a result, while Amazon has been the most popular stop for digital/online video game purchases, Gamestop still remains the leader in hard copy video games and consoles.
+
+This business model "over-prioritizes its brick-and-mortar footprint, and stumbles around the online ecosystem." - a direct quote directly from Ryan Cohen.
+
+PLEASE TAKE SOME TIME TO READ RYAN COHEN'S LETTER TO THE GME Board on 11/16/2020. This man has been planning everything we've talked about all along.
+
+<https://sec.report/Document/0001013594-20-000821/rc13da3-111620.pdf>
+
+**New Business Model (Since Ryan Cohen):
+
+*Retail Expansion:
+
+We are already seeing an influx of computer hardware, GPUs, TV's, Cameras, Audio, Clothing, and general expansion of consumer electronic products added to Gamestop's accessible inventory.
+
+Why is this important?
+
+GME is not only transitioning to remain a leader in the video game retail industry, but they are also expanding their market into the [computer hardware industry ($863 billion market)](https://www.thebusinessresearchcompany.com/report/computer-hardware-global-market-report-2020-30-covid-19-impact-and-recovery) along with [general consumer electronics](https://www.statista.com/study/55488/consumer-electronics-market-report/) (~$1 trillion dollar market). We're not even talking about e-commerce yet either. This is simply general product/market expansion.
+
+Just think about this: The bear thesis of GME being undervalued implies that expanding to a $1.8 trillion market (while being debt-free by the way) will somehow decrease revenue.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Came for the Memes, Stayed for the Fundamentals: A Look into GME Without The Squeeze](https://preview.redd.it/qg2cia78ln371.jpg?width=500&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=14dee08399be0f8faf2b6e4646d88e802f7d4084)](https://preview.redd.it/qg2cia78ln371.jpg?width=500&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=14dee08399be0f8faf2b6e4646d88e802f7d4084)
+
+So you're telling me expanding to a $1.9 trillion accessible market will decrease GME's value?
+
+[*New Microsoft Deal:](https://news.microsoft.com/2020/10/08/gamestop-announces-multiyear-strategic-partnership-with-microsoft/)
+
+"This partnership aims to advance Gamestop's key strategic pillars and extend its digital omni-channel ecosystem" - Microsoft
+
+In other words, Microsoft is jacked to the tits about Gamestop's move into digital sales. How jacked are they? This deal gives percentage royalty on all digital goods bought on xbox consoles that are sold at gamestop. This deal also notes that Microsoft is essentially decking out Gamestop retail locations with tech/hardware necessary to improve the workflow/life of the people actually working at Gamestop and therefore indirectly improving customer service.
+
+So on top of already leading video game retail revenue, and adding the expansion of accessible market revenue, GME will also pull revenue percentages from all digital sales on xbox consoles.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Came for the Memes, Stayed for the Fundamentals: A Look into GME Without The Squeeze](https://preview.redd.it/ublyks2aln371.jpg?width=622&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=adab0189f62f3cb8fe3fd5842dd04f537c067c5e)](https://preview.redd.it/ublyks2aln371.jpg?width=622&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=adab0189f62f3cb8fe3fd5842dd04f537c067c5e)
+
+Yo we heard you liked revenue, so we added revenue on your revenue on top of your revenue!
+
+[*Service and Delivery:](https://www.gamestop.com/collection/same-day-delivery)
+
+Gamestop has already proven that it can out-price-match and out-deliver current "giant" Amazon. On top of brand new [major distribution warehouses](https://www.foxbusiness.com/retail/gamestop-opening-new-distribution-center-to-support-e-commerce-push), Gamestop has started utilizing their (already 4,816) locations as smaller distribution centers.
+
+By expanding their retail locations to act as mini-distribution centers, Gamestop has potential to deliver products within [2 hours or less](https://www.reddit.com/r/GME/comments/mgo5df/gamestop_2_hour_delivery/).
+
+[](https://preview.redd.it/vevbawfbln371.gif?format=mp4&s=f8ce3e9b0c6b57123a6d27923ef23b5df51bc83b)
+
+But wait, there's more!
+
+[*eSports/Gaming:](https://gspc.gg/)
+
+Gamestop has signed a [multi-year deal](https://esportsobserver.com/gamestop-jan2021-market-upset/) with multiple esports companies, such as Complexity Gaming, sharing a new 11,000 sqft Gamestop Performance Center with the Dallas Cowboys. This expansion into the eSports industry opens Gamestop's exposure to an additional [$1 billion market](https://www.statista.com/statistics/490522/global-esports-market-revenue/#:~:text=In%202021%2C%20the%20global%20eSports,billion%20U.S.%20dollars%20in%202024).
+
+Conclusion:
+
+Gamestop is primed to be transformed by Ryan Cohen, the same way he transformed Chewy. (PLEASE REFER TO HIS LETTER TO THE BOARD)
+
+While Chewy occupies about 30% of the pet industry, if we assume Gamestop can access 30% of it's new total accessible market (modest estimate of $1.8 trillion), that puts GME at $8,400 per share. If we assume only 10% of its new market, that still puts GME at $2,500 per share. THIS IS ALL STILL ASSUMING NO SQUEEZE!
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Came for the Memes, Stayed for the Fundamentals: A Look into GME Without The Squeeze](https://preview.redd.it/zw4su4yejw371.jpg?width=640&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=94c1288754523bf25762787a8297d4c8184a2f9f)](https://preview.redd.it/zw4su4yejw371.jpg?width=640&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=94c1288754523bf25762787a8297d4c8184a2f9f)
+
+Don't just take it from me....
+
+(I hadn't even brought up their NFT-platform yet because the automod keeps deleting my post, but just know that this would further open GME's accessible market.)
+
+I cannot emphasize this enough, GME is currently debt free with over half a billion dollars in additional cash on hand to jumpstart Ryan Cohen's transformation. As of writing this, Ryan Cohen still is not "officially" chairman of the board yet (this will happen on 6/9). The proxy votes have not been released. There has been no official announcements from Ryan at all. The stock is still up $25 from last week's close. I'm so freaking jacked.

DD/2021-06-06-Synopsis-of-GMEs-One-Percent-Borrow-Rate.md

@@ -0,0 +1,116 @@
+Never a Borrower Be: A synopsis of GME's 1% Borrow Rate
+=======================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/gherkinit](https://www.reddit.com/user/gherkinit/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/ntpkuy/never_a_borrower_be_a_synopsis_of_gmes_1_borrow/) | 
+
+---
+
+[DD 👨‍🔬](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22DD%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%94%AC%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+Hello Superstonk!
+
+I just wanted to do another compilation this weekend. Re-iterating some old DD I have written as it starts to become applicable to the current situation.
+
+Jefferies and BOA coming out this week and declaring no more short positions would be allowed to be taken, added some weight to a thesis I had come up with a few weeks ago. I was getting frequently asked on reddit and YouTube. Why is GME's borrow rate so low. Well I came up with a logical answer and now as I feel that theory is becoming more likely I wanted to re-iterate it hopefully to a broader audience as I feel that this is something we should all understand.
+
+So here it is...
+
+Why so short? or Lender's Fuk Hedges?
+
+This part is speculative but I think it makes sense and the conclusions add up. In my experience, that's usually a good place to start. (no more so than when I originally wrote this)
+
+Why keep making or buying these synthetic shares?
+
+If they are in fact losing the ability to net a positive change for the short side why keep compounding the problem?...
+
+Incentive.
+
+I was looking through the Dave Lauer AMA and he kept mentioning rebates, not related, but it triggered this thought. I don't typically go short stocks except through options and I don't use margin. So this is only something I vaguely remembered from school and had to embarrassingly look up.
+
+Basically any time you short a stock you borrow the share from a lender and you pay a stock loan fee
+
+*value of securities borrowed X number of days borrowed X agreed rate/number of days in the year = Stock Loan Fee*
+
+In addition you must post collateral of:
+
+*value of securities borrowed X the agreed margin = stock loan collateral*
+
+This collateral can be non-cash (eg other liquid equities or government bonds) or you can post cash collateral.
+
+Now here is what intrigued me.
+
+Sometimes in certain arrangements with larger investors a lender will offer a [rebate](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/stock-loan-rebate.asp) for using cash collateral. These rebates are a payment on interest or earnings for the cash held to cover collateral from the lender to the borrower. This rebate typically can offset all or some of the lender's fees to the borrower depending on the Securities Lending Agreement between the two parties.
+
+So how does all this tie into GME?
+
+The first thing that got me looking into this was a question I get five times a day on my stream, at least.
+
+"Why is the borrow rate on GME so low?"
+
+GME has a ludicrously low borrow rate for a stock that has as much short interest (as shown above) as it does, currently 0.94%. Other stocks with I suspect are significantly less short (eg AMC: 26.64%,KOSS: 90.80%) have much higher borrow fees than GME.
+
+This led me to the thought
+
+"What if it was in the lenders best interest to keep the rate as low as possible to incentivize SHFs (short hedge funds) to continue shorting the stock ?"
+
+It could be if the lenders can make it lucrative for the SHFs to short why would they stop so I started building a scenario in my head what if the deal looks something like this.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Never a Borrower Be: A synopsis of GME's 1% Borrow Rate](https://preview.redd.it/5xm15c5r6o371.png?width=1300&format=png&auto=webp&s=eb18908ca4ca150abc6725bea4786ee5b3179e75)](https://preview.redd.it/5xm15c5r6o371.png?width=1300&format=png&auto=webp&s=eb18908ca4ca150abc6725bea4786ee5b3179e75)
+
+Incentivized borrowing agreement
+
+So the lender lays out a deal where simply by posting the cash collateral the SHF is able to short the stock at no fee while earning the interest or profits off the cash held in collateral. This incentivizes the SHF to continue shorting the stock as the are making profits while accumulating larger and larger short positions. While the Lender accrues more and more collateral.
+
+The more cash held the higher the interest payment and the more short they can be on GME. In this scenario they are essentially being paid to short the stock.
+
+Sounds like the deal of a lifetime. So, what's in it for the lender?
+
+Well if I were a lender for a SHF I would have intimate knowledge of what their positions looked like. I would also know that when they extended their positions instead of closing the loans they were at risk of defaulting. If they default I keep their collateral.
+
+Why would I only want some of their collateral when I found a way to have it all.
+
+Well for this to work the hedge funds would have to be trapped in a cycle of shorting, a lost position with no way out.
+
+Conclusion
+
+So I am gonna attempt to tie all this together.
+
+My theory is, they never covered not only because they couldn't, but also because the lenders have been incentivizing them to continue shorting through profitable rebate agreements that allow them to short the stock infinitely.
+
+What the lenders, I believe, realized is that the were trapped in the positions they had no option but to continue shorting the stock hoping the interest would die down and retail would back out.
+
+The Lenders took advantage of their "trapped" positions by structuring deals that would help them continually short the stock at the cost of cash collateral. The lenders win either way either off the profit of the borrowed shares or accruing collateral on loans that were guaranteed to default.
+
+The lenders are lending synthetic shares because they know that in the event of a default it won't matter, because the shares will be diluted along with the rest of the assets. (Sound familiar? It should the lenders are doing to the SHFs, what the SHFs are doing to GameStop)
+
+The only missing piece of this,
+
+Do lenders pay taxes on seized collateral from a defaulted loan?
+
+I'm currently unsure it looks like they do, but I am not experienced with tax law I have no idea the value of unrecovered synthetic shares that could be claimed as a loss.
+
+Normally I don't post my video's directly on here but this topic came up on my livestream on Friday and I covered some Q&A on it. I do not have time to transcribe it as this is the first of two DD's I will be writing today.
+
+Video Q&A
+
+Additionally for anybody with reading comprehension issues I hope this helps in understanding this complex topic.
+
+**This video is "monetized" if that is something you are uncomfortable with, I understand, while I wouldn't say I profit greatly from the views, I do suggest you use ad-block when viewing it if you feel so compelled.*
+
+[Video Q&A](https://youtu.be/EIs5Ay6OEYk)
+
+As always thank you all, my weekly technical analysis DD will coming out later tonight I will link it here when it is up
+
+❤️🦍
+
+- Gherkinit
+
+Edit 1: [Weekly TA DD up for 6/7](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/ntsm5a/jerkin_it_with_gherkinit_forward_looking_ta_for/)
+
+Edit 2: I believe the order of liability to cover FTDs goes like this
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Never a Borrower Be: A synopsis of GME's 1% Borrow Rate](https://preview.redd.it/gsg8f950pq371.png?width=2054&format=png&auto=webp&s=c989d7296d8bef057d5669bd86f4dc9eacbc5448)](https://preview.redd.it/gsg8f950pq371.png?width=2054&format=png&auto=webp&s=c989d7296d8bef057d5669bd86f4dc9eacbc5448)
+
+FTD clearing chain in the event of liquidation

DD/2021-06-07-How-to-Fill-out-a-FOIA-Request.md

@@ -0,0 +1,169 @@
+SR-DTC-2021-005 FOIA's & Option Flow Analysis
+
+=============================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/Leenixus](https://www.reddit.com/user/Leenixus/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nu8uex/srdtc2021005_foias_option_flow_analysis/) | 
+
+---
+
+[Education 👨‍🏫 | Data 🔢](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Education%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%8F%AB%20%7C%20Data%20%F0%9F%94%A2%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+Hi all,
+
+Before starting with this informative data DD or whatever you want to call it, i'd like to bring to your attention the subject matter of the missing ruling/filing in regards to SR-DTC-2021-005.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - SR-DTC-2021-005 FOIA's & Option Flow Analysis](https://preview.redd.it/3uni4sgq6t371.jpg?width=500&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=2dec37fcb6695f8d303b02eb942d3d079b6e25ff)](https://preview.redd.it/3uni4sgq6t371.jpg?width=500&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=2dec37fcb6695f8d303b02eb942d3d079b6e25ff)
+
+This ruling was filed by the SEC with the DTC and it was going to fix share rehypothecation, but someone removed it completely from the DTC website with no prior or post notice.
+
+Me and other apes have contacted the SEC and have requested information asking what happened to this document/ruling/filing and have used the FOIA / Freedom of information act to get this information.
+
+Since it's been 1-2 months of no communications in regards to the removal of this critical ruling, i believe it's extremely appropriate for anyone interested to ask the SEC about information in regards to SR-DTC-2021-005. It's your right and anyone telling you otherwise in my opinion is misinformed or has an agenda. You're not going to cause "Delays" as some people would like you to think by submitting these types of requests, the SEC has a department and people at hand specifically for processing FOIA requests.
+
+Besides, even if somehow you were creating "delays"... create delays in WHAT? The document has been removed and doesn't exist. By remaining silent and not exercising your right for information on this subject that directly affects you, you're indirectly contributing to the issue. If someone's truly removed SR-DTC-2021-005 maliciously, your silence is exactly what is needed for SR-DTC-2021-005 to never be seen again.
+
+So again, please don't mindlessly parrot things like:
+
+-   "You'll cause delays"
+
+-   "Don't spam the SEC with FOIA requests"
+
+-   "It doesn't matter"
+
+SR-DTC-2021-005 is GONE. It affects YOU and ME. Stay silent if you will. There are those of "us" who prefer action over inaction.
+
+Me
+
+I've already filed my own FOIA request about a week ago with some replies so far. My intentions are to light a fire under whoever's ass it was that removed the SR-DTC-2021-005 document without following appropriate procedures (no notice of removal before or after).
+
+My hope is that by filing a FOIA with the SEC in regards to the SR-DTC-2021-005, the SEC people will have a small investigation and check up with the person who signed SR-DTC-2021-005 and the person who filed and authored it.
+
+Once questions are asked in regards to this SR-DTC-2021-005 and it's whereabouts with the SEC and DTCC, the internal paper trails should show where SR-DTC-2021-005 is, what happened to it, and who's responsible for it in general.
+
+In the end, i filed a FOIA appeal form and personally requested to pay up to $1500 so that they'd spend more than 2hours of work checking this subject. I didn't have to. I offered because i think SR-DTC-2021-005 is important and i also want to light a fire under the ass of whoever intentionally or unintentionally removed it and i'm willing to pay to see that happen. Also i hold tons of GME, i'm not gonna have some guy at the DTC arbitrarily remove critical documents like this that affect me and you.
+
+You
+
+I don't know what your intentions are with SR-DTC-2021-005 and honestly they don't concern me and neither should they concern my in any way. You're an ape, i'm an ape. There is no "we".
+
+I'm only pointing you to publicly available information. The Freedom of Information Act is literally your right. I would be skeptical of someone's intentions if someone told me not to submit a FOIA...
+
+[![r/Superstonk - SR-DTC-2021-005 FOIA's & Option Flow Analysis](https://preview.redd.it/kxbeu37wat371.jpg?width=500&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=f61a979709f7903d88cc5a3edcf1c11e4207b1d9)](https://preview.redd.it/kxbeu37wat371.jpg?width=500&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=f61a979709f7903d88cc5a3edcf1c11e4207b1d9)
+
+BE POLITE. BE RESPECTFUL.
+
+If you're going to fill in a FOIA request, don't be vulgar. Don't be just polite, be MORE than polite. There are people on the other side of the conversation.
+
+-   You shitting on them in a FOIA request makes apes/retail look bad.
+
+-   You shitting on them will get your FOIA rejected.
+
+-   You being SNARKY in your FOIA request is likely not to get you the information you want.
+
+BE POLITE. BE RESPECTFUL. If you can't write a FOIA to the SEC without your blood boiling and letting your emotions overwhelm you, you have no business writing a FOIA request to the SEC.
+
+Really, even if you are an ape, you can't just shit where you want to eat. Be polite.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - SR-DTC-2021-005 FOIA's & Option Flow Analysis](https://preview.redd.it/efg4d6g9bt371.jpg?width=720&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=0e7a7b36d6be14be6c237177f84ee11d8b03e608)](https://preview.redd.it/efg4d6g9bt371.jpg?width=720&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=0e7a7b36d6be14be6c237177f84ee11d8b03e608)
+
+Submitting a FOIA request
+
+Now, IF you TRULY want to be constructive and TRULY want to exercise your right in accordance to the FOIA / Freedom of information act, you can simply fill in the form below and submit it. That's it.
+
+This is the form: <https://www.sec.gov/forms/request_public_docs#no-back>
+
+ANYONE CAN SEND A FOIA. Call me Mr Worldwide because i'm from the EU and i've submitted a FOIA. If i can do it, you can do it.
+
+It's NOT ROCKET SCIENCE.
+
+Extra information about FOIAs
+
+If the SEC finds your FOIA request to be reasonable and does decide to service it, they'll likely assign 2 hours of free research to you as well as 100 pages max worth of print out material on the subject you requested.
+
+*Mind you that they reserve the right to request $61 dollars up to $250 to process your FOIA request.*
+
+You can offer to sponsor/pay any amount you like. If accepted, this will increase the research duration period & amount of print outs they'll make for the subject you requested.
+
+List of costs: <https://www.sec.gov/Article/foia-reference-guide.htm>
+
+Free to paid cost tiers: <https://www.sec.gov/foia/howfo2.htm>
+
+Special fields and how to fill them
+
+There's a few fields in the electronic form that you may not be aware on how to fill. Here's a quick and easy guide/way on how to fill them.
+
+Also here's the missing SR-DTC-2021-005 PDF
+
+-   <https://www.file.io/download/thMvWcJ8wirp>
+
+[![r/Superstonk - SR-DTC-2021-005 FOIA's & Option Flow Analysis](https://preview.redd.it/teisku3vct371.png?width=1226&format=png&auto=webp&s=a08aa49cbc3bc39706f83f5604795e0c2fe88630)](https://preview.redd.it/teisku3vct371.png?width=1226&format=png&auto=webp&s=a08aa49cbc3bc39706f83f5604795e0c2fe88630)
+
+Fee authorization
+
+The FOIA is likely to be free, however you'll need to show your willingness to pay at least a certain amount for processing fees. If you're not willing to pay anything, click on "Other Amount" and put 0.
+
+I initially put $100 dollars in the field, they e-mails me back and said they'll do 2 hours of research for free and 100 pages of print outs. This is the free tier that is reserved for non-organizations e.g retail like you and me.
+
+*Mind you that they reserve the right to request $61 dollars up to $250 to process your FOIA request.*
+
+[![r/Superstonk - SR-DTC-2021-005 FOIA's & Option Flow Analysis](https://preview.redd.it/xo980wc9dt371.png?width=1204&format=png&auto=webp&s=5f0a16f0b9436a6d9b5e085e835b45ba78902aa3)](https://preview.redd.it/xo980wc9dt371.png?width=1204&format=png&auto=webp&s=5f0a16f0b9436a6d9b5e085e835b45ba78902aa3)
+
+Fee Waiver
+
+The SEC is very unlikely to waive your FOIA fee. It's more likely to assign you directly to their free service tier of 2hrs of research and 100 pages of print outs. They also still reserve the right to charge you or reject you. See previous terms above.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - SR-DTC-2021-005 FOIA's & Option Flow Analysis](https://preview.redd.it/kjqp6ux6et371.png?width=1213&format=png&auto=webp&s=85c6993c69f5a3aa751dbd7ed5c6322afe642697)](https://preview.redd.it/kjqp6ux6et371.png?width=1213&format=png&auto=webp&s=85c6993c69f5a3aa751dbd7ed5c6322afe642697)
+
+Expedited Request
+
+Fill this with: "NO"
+
+Simply because expedited delivery is only for critical situations like a court case and things like that. Since you're just requesting information just for the information, you don't fulfill the requirements for expedited treatment.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - SR-DTC-2021-005 FOIA's & Option Flow Analysis](https://preview.redd.it/tsv8wgweet371.png?width=1264&format=png&auto=webp&s=41403e18e55bf4495db0a25c341c3f5dda06fcb8)](https://preview.redd.it/tsv8wgweet371.png?width=1264&format=png&auto=webp&s=41403e18e55bf4495db0a25c341c3f5dda06fcb8)
+
+Now onto the option flow DD
+
+*(This was supposed to be an option flow DD only but then i the spirit of SR-DTC-2021-005 came to my sleep and told me to avenge it).*
+
+Here's some basic legends:
+
+-   DTE: Days to expiry
+
+-   OI: Open Interest (Current snapshot of how many contracts have been purchased)
+
+-   Premium: Amount paid in $ for those option contracts
+
+-   Volume: Amount of option contracts purchased
+
+The source of the data is a live option flow streaming service called BlackBoxStocks. It's pretty expensive, but i pay for it so i can get this nice juicy data.
+
+1 Month Option Flow (May 5 - June 4)
+
+[![r/Superstonk - SR-DTC-2021-005 FOIA's & Option Flow Analysis](https://preview.redd.it/2wfr6dq5gt371.png?width=1611&format=png&auto=webp&s=9e4c8a30a2203496aa5cb38734f361d577e8240d)](https://preview.redd.it/2wfr6dq5gt371.png?width=1611&format=png&auto=webp&s=9e4c8a30a2203496aa5cb38734f361d577e8240d)
+
+-   As i posted in my previous DD about the option flow, those big spikes for PUTs at the $0.5 - 5$ range were made in 1 single multi-leg order all at the same time for a premium of around $61 million dollars on the 23'rd of May with an expiry of January 2022 and January 2023.
+
+-   Additionally, there was a huge amount of ITM puts purchased near the end of May at $300 puts. I speculated that these were somehow a safety buffer so that they could flash crash the price when we reached a price near $300 and indeed that's what happened once we touched $292 and got puked down to $252.Market mechanics don't work like that. Buying puts at $300 and exercising them shouldn't do that. It's not how it works. I do have my own theory on how they're using those $300 puts though to achieve a "crash" and it's ridiculous to believe that they'd go this far... but i won't mention it here. Let's keep this purely data driven and speculation-less.
+
+-   Call open interest at $800 is still as huge as ever, about 120 million shares worth.
+
+1 Week Option Flow (May 31 - June 4)
+
+[![r/Superstonk - SR-DTC-2021-005 FOIA's & Option Flow Analysis](https://preview.redd.it/wqvyb8626t371.png?width=1614&format=png&auto=webp&s=0b5cc94f4900ebda1319f3f288ae6ec881208c42)](https://preview.redd.it/wqvyb8626t371.png?width=1614&format=png&auto=webp&s=0b5cc94f4900ebda1319f3f288ae6ec881208c42)
+
+This data indicates last week's option flow. You can purely see what was done in terms of options last week.
+
+-   We can see a spike in volume for $300 calls all mostly short expiry dated. Indicates the likeliness of retail and less likely to be big money.
+
+-   We can see that puts still prefer those 2022 January and 2023 January dates. Very sus. Indicates someone with big money and not retail.
+
+-   OTM put options purchased at $20-50 ranges. At least they didn't go for the super OTM $0.5 to 5$ range they usually do.
+
+-   Some decent put purchases at the $230 range.
+
+I have another chart/analytic that shows me the Max Pain based on a few or all days of the last week. I've seen that if i adjust the max pain analytic to only use 1-2-3 days of the week that the Max Pain point moves almost exactly as GME's price. Last week's Max Pain was fluctuating between $250 - $290 with the majority of the time being at the $290 range.
+
+Current full week data still indicate that Max Pain is at $290. If this IS true, then it means the $250 dump is 100% artificial and done via ETFs or something else we're not aware of and that it will recover to $290 and likely more due to the momentum from $250 to $290. My educated guess is that we're going to see $317 tomorrow 6/8/2021 and that's just the start as the option tug of war is lost by the other side.

DD/2021-06-11-GME-Russell-1000-Rebalance-Day.md

@@ -0,0 +1,220 @@
+GME Russell 1000 Rebalance Day and T+21 and T+35: One Of The Highest Volume Days Of The Year. Every time any of the indices add or delete a stock, the funds must also buy or sell the stock.
+=============================================================================================================================================================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/vierzehnter](https://www.reddit.com/user/vierzehnter/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nxjvpg/gme_russell_1000_rebalance_day_and_t21_and_t35/) | 
+
+---
+
+[Education 👨‍🏫 | Data 🔢](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Education%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%8F%AB%20%7C%20Data%20%F0%9F%94%A2%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+*Edit 1: Coincidence or not, CNBC wants us to sell our shares in 2 weeks, a few days before rebalancing day:* [*If you're thinking of riding the next meme stock mania, be sure to sell in about 2 weeks*](https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/09/if-youre-thinking-of-riding-the-next-meme-stock-mania-be-sure-to-sell-in-about-2-weeks.html)
+
+~~*Edit 2: As far as I remember, a T+21 cycle finishes on June 24th right? Can somebody help me there?*~~
+
+*Edit 3: Added information*
+
+*Edit 4:* *T+21 falls on June 24. T+35 falls on June 28. Thanks to* [r/Throcked](https://www.reddit.com/r/Throcked/)
+
+EDIT 5: I just learned that you can not change the title. ~~and T+21 and T+35~~
+
+*Edit 6: This is my first time I put so much time in a post for this community. One thing I learned from this one is that I should only write about things that I can source, not things that I merely remember.* *I am very sorry for the confusion!*
+
+*Edit 7: Added Information on stocks being added to the Russell 1000*
+
+*Edit 8:* [*720B reverse repo might be due at the same time*](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nxtguc/bottom_of_page_4_seems_to_say_theres_720b_worth/)*, it's all adding up to the same date. See Edit 1. What is going to happen?*
+
+*.*
+
+.
+
+.
+
+*We have seen a lot of posts about the highly possible migration of GameStop into the Russell 1000 Index.*
+
+*I did my small DD and I wanted to share a bit of information with you. Please don't expect too much from this post, it's my first DD if you can call it that; maybe rather a compilation of free information I found on the internet. Please tell me if I make mistakes or if I should add something!*
+
+Introduction: What is the Russell 1000?
+
+The term Russell 1000 Index refers to a stock market index that is used as a benchmark by investors. It is a subset of the larger Russell 3000 Index and represents the 1000 top companies by market capitalization in the United States. The Russell 1000 is owned and operated by FTSE Russell Group, which is based in the United Kingdom. The Russell 1000 is considered a bellwether index for large-cap investing. [[1]](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/russell_1000index.asp)
+
+FTSE Russell provides float-adjusted, market capitalization--weighted indexes for a precise picture of the market. Today, $9.1 trillion in assets are benchmarked to the Russell US indexes. [[2]](https://research.ftserussell.com/products/downloads/Russell-US-indexes.pdf)
+
+What does this have to do with GameStop?
+
+*You may have heard: your favorite company GameStop will probably be moved into the Russell 1000. As of now, GameStop is in the Russell 2000 Index* [[3]](https://content.ftserussell.com/sites/default/files/ru2000_membershiplist_20200629.pdf)*.*
+
+An existing Russell 2000 index member would have had to have a total market cap exceeding $7.3 billion in order to move into the Russell 1000 index, she said.
+
+Going by that, [...] GameStop and its $11.97 billion market cap would make it. [[4]](https://finance.yahoo.com/news/tell-whether-amc-gamestop-russell-120012129.html)
+
+*As this PDF* [[5]](https://content.ftserussell.com/sites/default/files/russell_microcap_deletions_-_2021.pdf) *shows, GameStop will be preliminary deleted from the Russell Microcap Index* [[6]](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/russell-microcap-index.asp).
+
+2021 Index Reconstitution
+
+Each year in May and June, the Russell Indexes release an updated list [[7]](https://www.ftserussell.com/resources/russell-reconstitution) of the constituents for their various indexes, notably the Russell 2000 and Russell 1000. Many exchange-traded funds and mutual funds are constructed to track these indexes, so official index rebalances force these funds to transact large volumes of stocks that move in or out of the index. This drives major changes in demand for stocks, generating significant volatility. [[8]](https://www.investopedia.com/articles/stock-analysis/062516/russell-rebalance-study-what-you-need-know.asp) [...]
+
+*Check* [this](https://www.ftserussell.com/research-insights/russell-reconstitution/reconstitution-frequently-asked-questions) *page for frequently asked questions about the reconstruction.*
+
+[![r/Superstonk - GME Russell 1000 Rebalance Day and T+21 and T+35: One Of The Highest Volume Days Of The Year. Every time any of the indices add or delete a stock, the funds must also buy or sell the stock.](https://preview.redd.it/dwvv41zzhn471.jpg?width=943&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=59d53dc221aa6deb5808f69f671b531c99d84707)](https://preview.redd.it/dwvv41zzhn471.jpg?width=943&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=59d53dc221aa6deb5808f69f671b531c99d84707)
+
+2021 Reconstitution calendar for the Russell US Indexes [7]
+
+*Today, June 11th, the mentioned preliminary lists was updated.*
+
+What happens with stocks when they get added to indices?
+
+*Zoom Video Communications, Inc. (ZM):* How Zoom zoomed into the Russell 1000 [[9]](https://www.ftserussell.com/blogs/how-zoom-zoomed-russell-1000)[...] After its IPO in April 2019, Zoom was evaluated for inclusion in Russell US Indexes during our June 2019 annual Russell reconstitution. The company met some Russell 1000 eligibility requirements---including a market cap in excess of $20 billion--- but fell short of the minimum voting rights hurdle. [...]
+
+When Zoom eligibility was revisited in June 2020, it was a changed world in many respects---and very much a changed Zoom. The company's market cap had more than doubled to $46.8 billion, placing it well into Russell 1000 Index eligibility. [...]
+
+Zoom's June 2020 addition to the Russell 1000 meant that it leapfrogged the Russell 2000, bypassing the initial step of many companies that later grow to become eligible for the Russell 1000. [...] And since its inclusion in the Russell 1000, Zoom's growth trajectory has continued. As shown below, as of September 30, 2020, the company's market cap has reached $132.5 billion and is now larger than the broader Russell 1000 dollar-weighted median market cap.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - GME Russell 1000 Rebalance Day and T+21 and T+35: One Of The Highest Volume Days Of The Year. Every time any of the indices add or delete a stock, the funds must also buy or sell the stock.](https://preview.redd.it/ir0jmjofzs471.png?width=619&format=png&auto=webp&s=bfaa044b083da8503cd0594292397c465617ede2)](https://preview.redd.it/ir0jmjofzs471.png?width=619&format=png&auto=webp&s=bfaa044b083da8503cd0594292397c465617ede2)
+
+[![r/Superstonk - GME Russell 1000 Rebalance Day and T+21 and T+35: One Of The Highest Volume Days Of The Year. Every time any of the indices add or delete a stock, the funds must also buy or sell the stock.](https://preview.redd.it/xtt848ej0t471.jpg?width=1920&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=0e44c91c7546310c2b86f6e4c418f596607b1dff)](https://preview.redd.it/xtt848ej0t471.jpg?width=1920&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=0e44c91c7546310c2b86f6e4c418f596607b1dff)
+
+ZM prices before and after Reconstruction Day 07/29/20
+
+[![r/Superstonk - GME Russell 1000 Rebalance Day and T+21 and T+35: One Of The Highest Volume Days Of The Year. Every time any of the indices add or delete a stock, the funds must also buy or sell the stock.](https://preview.redd.it/706rlrcykp471.jpg?width=855&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=05b120a9d84af12b1cadc38c68802ad47b23c104)](https://preview.redd.it/706rlrcykp471.jpg?width=855&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=05b120a9d84af12b1cadc38c68802ad47b23c104)
+
+u/onlyhereforthelmaos research on companies that moved from R2k to R1k [10,11]
+
+[![r/Superstonk - GME Russell 1000 Rebalance Day and T+21 and T+35: One Of The Highest Volume Days Of The Year. Every time any of the indices add or delete a stock, the funds must also buy or sell the stock.](https://preview.redd.it/i5kkcl2v8o471.jpg?width=1920&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b2de67bab2cba3ecd798bce50c27e2832b42a1ec)](https://preview.redd.it/i5kkcl2v8o471.jpg?width=1920&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b2de67bab2cba3ecd798bce50c27e2832b42a1ec)
+
+TSLA price when it was added to S&P 500 12/21/20
+
+.
+
+*(May 2020)* Tech stocks are expected to claim a greater presence in large-cap growth and value indexes, while industrials will shift to value from growth across market caps. [...]
+
+For investors, the run-up to the rebalancing presents an opportunity to get ahead of some of the fund flows into and out of stocks that are joining or leaving the indexes.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - GME Russell 1000 Rebalance Day and T+21 and T+35: One Of The Highest Volume Days Of The Year. Every time any of the indices add or delete a stock, the funds must also buy or sell the stock.](https://preview.redd.it/lvyz7qob2t471.jpg?width=633&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=a873a825572c753196ba14447a18b9c5fe03deee)](https://preview.redd.it/lvyz7qob2t471.jpg?width=633&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=a873a825572c753196ba14447a18b9c5fe03deee)
+
+Buying and selling pressure of companies added/ leaving the Index
+
+Private-equity firm KKR (ticker: KKR), for example, has cited Russell index inclusion in 2020 as a strategic priority. If added to the Russell 1000, KKR shares could see $644 million worth of buying pressure from exchange-traded funds and passive investors, equal to almost seven trading days of average volume for the stock, estimates Jefferies equity strategist Steven DeSanctis.
+
+That is a lot of extra demand, but nowhere near what some thinly traded small-caps entering the Russell 2000 could see. DeSanctis points to ATCX, SWKH, and AUBN as among the shares that could have hundreds of times greater buying pressure than their average daily volumes.
+
+Traders and hedge funds approach the rebalancing several months before with multiple strategies. The simplest is to buy the stocks that could get a boost from buying by ETFs and other passive investors, thanks to being reclassified into a more-popular index or having their relative weight increase. Ditto for shorting shares moving in the opposite direction. [[12]](https://www.barrons.com/articles/how-investors-can-play-the-rebalancing-of-the-russell-indexes-51590158778)
+
+.
+
+*Nobody fully knows what will happen with GME. But as* [u/dlauer](https://www.reddit.com/u/dlauer/) *states* [here](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nvnslz/have_we_downplayed_the_importance_of_gme_entering/h15susc/?context=3)*, "the announcement is usually bullish because it adds buying pressure."*
+
+[![r/Superstonk - GME Russell 1000 Rebalance Day and T+21 and T+35: One Of The Highest Volume Days Of The Year. Every time any of the indices add or delete a stock, the funds must also buy or sell the stock.](https://preview.redd.it/l7hu03ruin471.jpg?width=712&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=3f3957884f89ee1679388ad9bfbb05d82792e08a)](https://preview.redd.it/l7hu03ruin471.jpg?width=712&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=3f3957884f89ee1679388ad9bfbb05d82792e08a)
+
+u/dlauer on Russell Rebalance Day
+
+The annual reconstitution is one of the most significant drivers of short-term shifts in supply and demand for US equities, often leading to sizable price movements and volatility in individual company names or industry sectors. The final day of the reconstitution is typically one of the highest trading-volume days of the year in US equity markets.
+
+[...] Similarly, it can create opportunities for investors seeking to benefit from the price moves which may be created from the reconstitution.
+
+Countless ETFs, mutual funds, and managed asset programs mirror the composition of the Russell US Indexes in their investment funds, structured products, and index-based derivatives. With close to 70% of actively-managed institutional US equity assets currently benchmarked to a Russell Index, changes to index composition are apt to reverberate widely across the market. [[13]](https://www.cmegroup.com/education/articles-and-reports/the-russell-2000-index-reconstitution-2020.html)
+
+Index funds make up a substantial percentage of the daily trading in the stock market. The S&P 500 ETF [...] trade billions of dollars each day, and every time any of the indices add or delete a stock, the funds must also buy or sell the stock. This can create some large moves for the stocks involved and can be an interesting source of volatility for traders.
+
+At the close on June 25, 2021, the Russell indices will be rebalanced. [...] Thousands of stocks are impacted by what Russell calls its 'reconstitution.' Typically the day on which the reconstitution is down is one of the highest volume days of the year as a slew of huge blocks are transferred to various index funds. [[14]](https://realmoney.thestreet.com/investing/trading-the-russell-indices-rebalancing-15677149)
+
+.
+
+[Here](https://www.etfchannel.com/type/most-shorted-etfs/) *you can see the most heavily shorted ETFs. 0.44% of IWM is GME; it's #6 with 43.48% Short Interest.* [*[15]*](https://www.etfchannel.com/type/most-shorted-etfs/) 
+
+*As far as I understand, FTSE Russell shared on May 7th already that GME would move into the Russell 1000, but eversince then, we have seen posts of shorties heavily shorting some ETFs, yesterday and today.*
+
+.
+
+*Shoutout to* [u/gooseears](https://www.reddit.com/u/gooseears/):
+
+I think people are confusing what can force someone to cover their shorts. No one can directly make anyone cover their shorts directly. As long as they have their margin requirements covered, they can keep those positions open. In fact, the lenders want those positions open as long as possible to make dat interest off it.
+
+BUT, when the ETFs rebalance and there is a load of volatility, this COULD cause GME to skyrocket in price due to the potential buying pressure, which COULD lead to margin calls which COULD lead to force liquidations to cover open short positions.
+
+Notice the word "could" each time. This is a series of possible events that could lead to the squeeze. But don't think this is a certain date. As always, no dates. Anything could happen on that day. [[16]](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nx3abo/udlauer_knows_twothree_things_more_listen_to_what/h1cldzw/?context=3)
+
+*TL;DR:*
+
+*GME is very likely to move from the Russell 2000 to the Russell 1000 Index. Rebalancing is happening right now,* *the newly reconstituted indexes take effect after the market close on June 25, data will be published on Monday, June 28 when the Russell Reconstitution takes effect and the newly reconstituted indexes begin to operate.*
+
+*One can not say what will happen with the GME price. Typically, index rebalancing day one of the highest volume days of the year.* W*hat we do know is that someone big is going to have to buy shares, and they will likely have some impact on the trading.*
+
+~~*Fun fact: As you have read in the title, T+21 and T+35 both land on the same day, two days before the Russell indices rebalance.*~~
+
+.
+
+.
+
+.
+
+[[1] https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/russell_1000index.asp](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/russell_1000index.asp)
+
+[[2] https://research.ftserussell.com/products/downloads/Russell-US-indexes.pdf](https://research.ftserussell.com/products/downloads/Russell-US-indexes.pdf)
+
+[[3] https://content.ftserussell.com/sites/default/files/ru2000_membershiplist_20200629.pdf](https://content.ftserussell.com/sites/default/files/ru2000_membershiplist_20200629.pdf)
+
+[[4] https://finance.yahoo.com/news/tell-whether-amc-gamestop-russell-120012129.html](https://finance.yahoo.com/news/tell-whether-amc-gamestop-russell-120012129.html)
+
+[[5] https://content.ftserussell.com/sites/default/files/russell_microcap_deletions_-_2021.pdf](https://content.ftserussell.com/sites/default/files/russell_microcap_deletions_-_2021.pdf)
+
+[[6] https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/russell-microcap-index.asp](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/russell-microcap-index.asp)
+
+[[7] https://www.ftserussell.com/resources/russell-reconstitution](https://www.ftserussell.com/resources/russell-reconstitution)
+
+[[8] https://www.investopedia.com/articles/stock-analysis/062516/russell-rebalance-study-what-you-need-know.asp](https://www.investopedia.com/articles/stock-analysis/062516/russell-rebalance-study-what-you-need-know.asp)
+
+[[9] https://www.ftserussell.com/blogs/how-zoom-zoomed-russell-1000](https://www.ftserussell.com/blogs/how-zoom-zoomed-russell-1000)
+
+[[10] 'Gen Z' comes to Russell 1000 Index as Russell Rebalance nears (2019)](https://www.ftserussell.com/blogs/gen-z-comes-russell-1000-index-russell-rebalance-nears)
+
+[[11] Stocks in the Russell 1000 Index](https://stockmarketmba.com/stocksintherussell1000.php)
+
+[[12] ](https://www.barrons.com/articles/how-investors-can-play-the-rebalancing-of-the-russell-indexes-51590158778)<https://www.barrons.com/articles/how-investors-can-play-the-rebalancing-of-the-russell-indexes-51590158778>
+
+[[13] https://www.cmegroup.com/education/articles-and-reports/the-russell-2000-index-reconstitution-2020.html](https://www.cmegroup.com/education/articles-and-reports/the-russell-2000-index-reconstitution-2020.html)
+
+[[14] https://realmoney.thestreet.com/investing/trading-the-russell-indices-rebalancing-15677149](https://realmoney.thestreet.com/investing/trading-the-russell-indices-rebalancing-15677149)
+
+[[15] https://www.etfchannel.com/type/most-shorted-etfs/](https://www.etfchannel.com/type/most-shorted-etfs/)
+
+[[16] https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nx3abo/udlauer_knows_twothree_things_more_listen_to_what/h1cldzw/?context=3](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nx3abo/udlauer_knows_twothree_things_more_listen_to_what/h1cldzw/?context=3)
+
+.
+
+.
+
+.
+
+*HERE ARE SOME GREAT FOLLOW UP LINKS:*
+
+[No matter what the price is, Gamestop should be upgraded to the Russell 1000 index on June 28th](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nwvyfg/no_matter_what_the_price_is_gamestop_should_be/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf)
+
+[FTSE Russell begins 33rd annual Russell US Indexes Reconstitution](https://www.ftserussell.com/press/ftse-russell-begins-33rd-annual-russell-us-indexes-reconstitution)
+
+[Russell 1000: Many poorly researched or purely speculative DD today about this. Here is the actual DATA and explanation of what impact the reconstitution is likely to have.](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nu91kx/russell_1000_many_poorly_researched_or_purely/)
+
+[S&P 500 index inclusion (follow-up to my Russell 1000 DD yesterday): A potential CATALYST that is surprisingly *very* close...and which SHFs are powerless to prevent!](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nv3n42/sp_500_index_inclusion_followup_to_my_russell/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf)
+
+[Ape Andy shares about GME into Russel 1000 from Russell 2000](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SCxZpkfW-P8)
+
+- *He explains that end of June when there is a rebalancing that all shorted Russel 200 ETFs containing GME need to be closed, meaning there will be buying pressure. Andy also mentions that the Russel 2000 ETFs are shorted 500%.*
+
+*.*
+
+.
+
+.
+
+*and... just putting this here:* [*https://www.gmefloor.com/*](https://www.gmefloor.com/)
+
+.
+
+.
+
+.
+
+*I am not a financial advisor. I am just compiling some information I found on the internet. But please let me give you one advice: Buckle the f*ck up.*
+
+*I love you.*

DD/2021-06-13-Correlation-between-Rising-Reverse-Repo-Rates-Gamestop-and-Crypto.md

@@ -0,0 +1,140 @@
+I found a correlation in why REVERSE REPO RATES are exponentially growing, Gamestop & crypto and its in NSCC 802
+================================================================================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/con101smd](https://www.reddit.com/user/con101smd/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nz0fsz/i_found_a_correlation_in_why_reverse_repo_rates/) | 
+
+---
+
+[DD 👨‍🔬](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22DD%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%94%AC%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+A very tiny bit about my backround.
+
+I worked in private banking and savings and investments for a big bank in the UK and then moved to a competitor in which I worked in ISA investments for some time.
+
+I have always been entrepenuerial and have for the last few years been out on my own having had enough of banking I ended up getting into GPU mining and running passive incomes through PoW mining and then PoS mining (this is relevent bare with me)
+
+So currently I mine crypto into my ewallet portfolio and then I run my stocks and shares portfolio.
+
+In crypto you have 2 ways to create it.
+
+1: PoW - Proof of work mining.
+
+This is the physical eletric consuming hardware route. You use this method to unlock the next block in the blockchain (the B coin and the E coin)
+
+2\. PoS - Proof of stake (Staking)
+
+(now this is important)
+
+This is DeFi - Decentralized Finance.
+
+This is a non physical way of creating crypto and it is based around the fundamentals that if you stake your asset, you add your funds to a giant liquidity pool in which the more funds in it, the easier the flow of transactions in and out to bounce off other curriences against it. In short you get paid handsomely to be an automatic market maker through whats called 'smart contracts'
+
+In return for staking your money in these liquidity pools you are paid a live constantly rolling interest payment that works out on average maybe 100% per annum. These interest payments can be capitalized and compounded in your intial investment.
+
+In other words, whilst you buy and hold a crypto, you are earning a constant high yielding dividend payment on it and still have the ability to move funds in and out without any hinderence or clauses.
+
+there are several DeFi platforms that are popular like:
+
+PANCAKE SWAP <https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/pancakeswap/>
+
+and
+
+UNI SWAP <https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/uniswap/>
+
+SO YOURE WONDERING RIGHT NOW WHY IN THE FUCK AM I TALKING CRYPTO ON SUPERSTONK?
+
+[![r/Superstonk - I found a correlation in why REVERSE REPO RATES are exponentially growing, Gamestop & crypto and its in NSCC 802](https://preview.redd.it/0xii24b9a2571.png?width=2000&format=png&auto=webp&s=7cac90e8e601f9391df0ba1196ba5bc6612dd120)](https://preview.redd.it/0xii24b9a2571.png?width=2000&format=png&auto=webp&s=7cac90e8e601f9391df0ba1196ba5bc6612dd120)
+
+I see what your at Kenny, I se ya buddy
+
+When the filing: SR-NSCC-2021-802 was posted I can remember at the time hearing grumblings about crypto not being accepted as liquidity on balance books but had never considered its ramifications.
+
+please find below some of my findings.
+
+on page 14 of SR-NSCC-2021-802 April 29, 2021
+
+[![r/Superstonk - I found a correlation in why REVERSE REPO RATES are exponentially growing, Gamestop & crypto and its in NSCC 802](https://preview.redd.it/se13ie46a2571.png?width=746&format=png&auto=webp&s=9912fa13f4fdcffd7b0d65a1529d41a9bb15f4f0)](https://preview.redd.it/se13ie46a2571.png?width=746&format=png&auto=webp&s=9912fa13f4fdcffd7b0d65a1529d41a9bb15f4f0)
+
+https://www.sec.gov/rules/sro/nscc-an/2021/34-91720.pdf PG 14
+
+[![r/Superstonk - I found a correlation in why REVERSE REPO RATES are exponentially growing, Gamestop & crypto and its in NSCC 802](https://preview.redd.it/ooadzkjz92571.png?width=742&format=png&auto=webp&s=b63eabf13080da8d41024afd8320cff7edda69f3)](https://preview.redd.it/ooadzkjz92571.png?width=742&format=png&auto=webp&s=b63eabf13080da8d41024afd8320cff7edda69f3)
+
+https://www.sec.gov/rules/sro/nscc-an/2021/34-91720.pdf PG 14
+
+So in the NSCC filing it defines that the only acceptable form of 'qualifying liquid resources' to include, among other things, lines of credit without material adverse change provisions, that are readily available and convertible into cash.
+
+Now this filing was on april 29th and had 5 business days to be enacted.
+
+This takes us to May 4th.
+
+Remember me randomly talking about DeFi UNI SWAP AND PANCAKE SWAP?
+
+Well have a look at this.........
+
+[![r/Superstonk - I found a correlation in why REVERSE REPO RATES are exponentially growing, Gamestop & crypto and its in NSCC 802](https://preview.redd.it/knp62xbl92571.png?width=975&format=png&auto=webp&s=b6fbf88630618801c8eff7634e4c7937e996f961)](https://preview.redd.it/knp62xbl92571.png?width=975&format=png&auto=webp&s=b6fbf88630618801c8eff7634e4c7937e996f961)
+
+https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/pancakeswap/
+
+[![r/Superstonk - I found a correlation in why REVERSE REPO RATES are exponentially growing, Gamestop & crypto and its in NSCC 802](https://preview.redd.it/9qjsb3vn92571.png?width=963&format=png&auto=webp&s=52a252ca5d1e66ca6b25a64d0a3a5fa2d54eca21)](https://preview.redd.it/9qjsb3vn92571.png?width=963&format=png&auto=webp&s=52a252ca5d1e66ca6b25a64d0a3a5fa2d54eca21)
+
+https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/uniswap/
+
+you can see volume increases similar to short sold volume on GME : every spike in volume relates to a movement in GME
+
+They were parking their money in places where the daily returns were better than the daily interest costs to borrow the shares
+
+Nearly all the PoS cryptos peaked on May 3rd evening time rolling into May 4th
+
+So when did our reverse repo rates kick off, oh go on lets have a wee lookie look and see.........
+
+Looks like the exponential rocket ignited some time between may 3rd overnight and oh my god May the forth be with you right before Cinco De Buyo day happened.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - I found a correlation in why REVERSE REPO RATES are exponentially growing, Gamestop & crypto and its in NSCC 802](https://preview.redd.it/ou630ghi92571.png?width=1168&format=png&auto=webp&s=601fcb2809df51fa1d478744ff8be45e474ff3d1)](https://preview.redd.it/ou630ghi92571.png?width=1168&format=png&auto=webp&s=601fcb2809df51fa1d478744ff8be45e474ff3d1)
+
+https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/RRPONTSYD#
+
+I believe that prior to the NSCC filing being passed and enacted, the SHF have been using DeFi Proof of stake coins to hide a lot of the cash that had been amassed from having sold short soo many shares across the field, not only in GME.
+
+If you look at the correlation of when the Reverse Repo Rates ignited, it is the same time of this filing, the same time crypto PoS tanks, and the same time that the NSCC enacts the filing to prevent crypto being used as liquid.
+
+I believe that prior to May 4th, these coins have been the primary location for hiding funds gathered through naked short selling, and prior to may 4th these coins were considered liquid assets on the bank balance sheets. Post May 4th, they are no longer considered liquid but rather assets and so we then saw the overall down turn of the crypto markets.
+
+I cannot find the specific document but from memory I believe there was further information late apr/early may that procluded that Crypto due to reclassification as an asset rather than liquid would be eligibl for different tax status (commodities/equities taxes i have no idea about sorry)
+
+EDIT: Timeline added from comments courtesy of [u/Taimpeng](https://www.reddit.com/u/Taimpeng/) tyvm kind ape, you rock
+
+End of Q1/March: DTC/creditors realize this is not going away.
+
+[April 1st, SR-DTC-2021-005 announced for review](https://www.reddit.com/r/GME/comments/mi3xdt/dtcc_new_proposed_rule_change_dtc2021005/) - The nuclear option ("MAD"). Would blow up GME shorts and also everyone else in the market running similar scams.
+
+[April 8th, SR-NSCC-2021-802 announced for review, comments, etc.](https://www.dtcc.com/-/media/Files/Downloads/legal/rule-filings/2021/NSCC/SR-NSCC-2021-802.pdf) - A tactical nuke revealed. By removing the ability to leverage crypto markets *simultaneously for revenue and collateral reqs*, the short position will be unsustainable.
+
+[April 12th, SR-DTC-2021-005 PULLED (INDEFINITELY) FOR "REFORMATTING"](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mpmcyz/good_news_update_on_dtc2021005_according_to_john/) - With the tactical nuke in place, no need to keep full-scale Armageddon on the table, right?
+
+[May 4th, SR-NSCC-2021-802 takes effect](https://www.dtcc.com/-/media/Files/Downloads/legal/rule-filings/2021/NSCC/SR-NSCC-2021-802-Approval-Notice.pdf) - Tactical nuke detonation.
+
+[May 5th+ Overnight repos explode](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/RRPONTSYD#). Many DDs suggest the ON RRP is "a liquidity problem framed as a collateral problem". It's both because the tactical nuke hit both.
+
+TL:DR:
+
+SHF used proof of stake crypto to churn profits from their large lumps of cash from naked short selling. the SEC said no, not happening. SHF now all of a sudden have all these tendies and no where to park them that they can get safety or high yield profits so they are parking their tendies with the fed.
+
+Now remember the way I mentioned several dates:
+
+April 26th: this was the cut off point for NSCC 802 to be contested. It was not contested.
+
+R C tweeted on apr 26th that everything was on track
+
+April 29th was the date that NSCC 802 would start to be initated to be completed by 4th May
+
+R C tweeted on Apr 29th a meme of Mr Hanky
+
+APE NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR
+
+BUY, HODL, BUCKLE UP
+
+All of those charts, all those repo spike tendies, all that money across the board is bubbling out of every seem and the ony place it can go is into our pockets!
+
+CANTSTOP. WONTSTOP. GAMESTOP.

DD/2021-06-21-Friendly-Reminder-that-Shorts-Never-Covered.md

@@ -0,0 +1,22 @@
+A friendly reminder that shorts never covered: 3 images that clearly reveal the short fuckery 🚨📈🚀🚀🚀🚀
+==========================================================================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/broccaaa](https://www.reddit.com/user/broccaaa/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/o4ps1c/a_friendly_reminder_that_shorts_never_covered_3/) | 
+
+---
+
+[Education 👨‍🏫 | Data 🔢](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Education%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%8F%AB%20%7C%20Data%20%F0%9F%94%A2%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+![1. Enough Put contracts to hide 200M shares -  3-times all outstanding shares - were opened over 3 days in January!!! Short interest and Fails to Deliver immediately dropped after.](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/122753272-02c39e80-d260-11eb-9830-6deace0a0c9a.png)
+
+[Source](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mvdgf5/the_naked_shorting_scam_in_numbers_ai_detection/)
+
+![2. Deep in the money (ITM) calls were bought and exercised the same day in huge numbers in January. Up to 150M phantom shares.](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/122753335-1ff86d00-d260-11eb-8c48-3edd7a2132a9.png)
+
+[Source](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mvdgf5/the_naked_shorting_scam_in_numbers_ai_detection/)
+
+![3. Authorised market participants can break up and repackage ETFs to short the underlying (GME). After January a huge number of FTDs shifted to GME containing ETFs.](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/82035192/122753447-47e7d080-d260-11eb-8ce8-f89758609b14.png)
+
+[Source](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/n1vgbb/the_naked_shorting_scam_using_etfs_mass_shifting/)

DD/2021-06-28-Infinity-Pool-How-GME-Will-Breaks-the-Laws-of-Supply-and-Demand.md

@@ -0,0 +1,236 @@
+Infinity Pool: How GME Will Break the Laws of Supply and Demand and Enable the Money Glitch
+===========================================================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/Hemoglobin_trotter](https://www.reddit.com/user/Hemoglobin_trotter/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/o9ifjx/infinity_pool_how_gme_will_break_the_laws_of/) | 
+
+---
+
+[DD 👨‍🔬](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22DD%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%94%AC%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+Introduction
+
+*Welcome to Theoretical Microeconomics for Apes.*
+
+This post will discuss the interactions of fundamental microeconomic principles of supply, demand, price, and quantity during the MOASS, pose a theoretical example based on a hypothetical Short Interest, and discuss the possible impact of an Infinity Pool depending on its size. One of many reasons that GME will be studied for centuries is because it will stretch fundamentals of supply and demand to their theoretical limits. There are a handful of terms used repetitively throughout this post, so put your wrinkle-caps on and do some word learnin'. Fortunately, there is no quiz or attendance record.
+
+-   Section 1: Microeconomic Principles
+
+-   Section 2: Microeconomic Principles Applied to the MOASS
+
+-   Section 3: Key Takeaways
+
+*Disclaimer: I am by no means an expert, nor am I giving advice. My goal here is to understand and discuss theoretical microeconomic principles in relation to the MOASS due to my interest in the underlying mechanics of supply and demand at play. Please refute any incorrect assumptions in the comments and I will amend the post as necessary.*
+
+ta;dr: GME is a fascinating experiment of Supply and Demand. Diamond-handed Ape names price for banana
+
+* * * * *
+
+SECTION 1: MICROECONOMIC PRINCIPLES
+
+I will provide a brief overview of each concept, with links. It is worthwhile to read the entirety of each article if you are interested in the topic(s).
+
+If you are already familiar with these principles, you can skip to the next section.
+
+* * * * *
+
+1.1 Theory of Price - [Link to Article](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/theory-of-price.asp#:~:text=Understanding%20the%20Theory%20of%20Price,a%20given%20good%20or%20service.&text=The%20concept%20of%20price%20theory,adjustments%20as%20market%20conditions%20change.)
+
+> The theory of price---also referred to as "price theory"---is a microeconomic principle that uses the concept of supply and demand to determine the appropriate price point for a given good or service [or in the case of GME, a security].
+
+> The goal is to achieve the equilibrium where the quantity of the goods or services provided matches the demand of the corresponding market and its ability to acquire the good or service. The concept of price theory allows for price adjustments as market conditions change.
+
+Ape Speak: In general, price will go up when demand exceeds supply. When supply = demand, price stay same. When supply exceeds demand, price go down.
+
+* * * * *
+
+1.2 The Laws of Supply and Demand
+
+*Law of Supply* - [Link to Article](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/l/lawofsupply.asp)
+
+> The law of supply is the microeconomic law that states that, all other factors being equal, as the price of a good or service increases, the quantity of goods or services that suppliers offer will increase, and vice versa. The law of supply says that as the price of an item goes up, suppliers will attempt to maximize their profits by increasing the quantity offered for sale.
+
+> SUPPLY CURVE: Supply in a market can be depicted as an upward sloping supply curve *that shows how the quantity supplied will respond to various prices over a period of time.*
+
+Ape Speak: higher prices gradually convince more Apes to sell over time.
+
+*Law of Demand* - [Link to Article](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/l/lawofdemand.asp)
+
+> The law of demand states that quantity purchased varies inversely with price. In other words, the higher the price, the lower the quantity demanded.
+
+> DEMAND CURVE: A market demand curve expresses the sum of quantity demanded at each price across all consumers in the market.
+
+> Changes in price can be reflected in movement along a demand curve, but do not by themselves increase or decrease demand.
+
+Ape Speak: [Typically, higher prices make people buy fewer of something.](https://imgur.com/a/WlR7tGv)
+
+* * * * *
+
+1.3 Supply and Demand Curves - [Link to Article](https://open.lib.umn.edu/principleseconomics/chapter/3-3-demand-supply-and-equilibrium/)
+
+[Pic#1: Example Supply and Demand Curves plotted together.](https://imgur.com/a/xVsyDnh)
+
+> The demand curve shows the quantities of a particular good or service that buyers will be willing and able to purchase at each price during a specified period. The supply curve shows the quantities that sellers will offer for sale at each price during that same period. By putting the two curves together, we should be able to find a price at which the quantity buyers are willing and able to purchase equals the quantity sellers will offer for sale.
+
+Any individual point along the Supply or Demand Curve identifies the quantity that will be supplied or demanded at a particular price (i.e., *Quantity Supplied & Quantity Demanded*). When supply exceeds demand, there is a *surplus*. When demand exceeds supply, there is a *shortage*.
+
+Ape Speak: Typically, demand and supply move in opposite directions in relation to price. When you put the two lines on a graph, they intersect at a specific price and quantity - these graphs are useful for analyzing prices.
+
+* * * * *
+
+1.4 Equilibrium - [Link to Article](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/e/equilibrium.asp#:~:text=The%20equilibrium%20price%20is%20where,in%20a%20state%20of%20equilibrium.)
+
+Equilibrium (artificial or otherwise) is something GME users have come to know intimately over the last month. During the MOASS, the price of GME will begin moving wildly towards a new market equilibrium (extreme rising and dipping), after which prices will stabilize and return to earth.
+
+> Equilibrium is the state in which market supply and demand balance each other, and as a result prices become stable. Generally, an over-supply of goods or services causes prices to go down, which results in higher demand---while an under-supply or shortage causes prices to go up resulting in less demand. The balancing effect of supply and demand results in a state of equilibrium.
+
+Because Equilibrium is a singular point on a standard graph where two curves intersect, it produces an Equilibrium Price (the Y axis), and an Equilibrium Quantity (the X axis).
+
+> A market in equilibrium demonstrates three characteristics: the behavior of agents is consistent, there are no incentives for agents to change behavior, and a dynamic process governs equilibrium outcome.
+
+*This is where Apes combined with astronomical Short Interest throw a wrench into the market machinery and stretch the mechanics of supply and demand to the limit.*
+
+Ape Speak: Equilibrium is reached when quantity supplied = quantity demanded. Equilibrium produces a measurable *Equilibrium Price* and *Equilibrium Quantity*. Equilibrium = market harmony.
+
+* * * * *
+
+1.5 Price Elasticity of Supply and Price Elasticity of Demand
+
+[Elasticity vs. Inelasticity](https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/012915/what-difference-between-inelasticity-and-elasticity-demand.asp) - [Perfect Elasticity and Zero Elasticity](https://opentextbc.ca/principlesofeconomics/chapter/5-2-polar-cases-of-elasticity-and-constant-elasticity/) - [Inelastic Supply Explained](https://www.economicshelp.org/concepts/inelastic-supply/)
+
+*Elasticity:* In this context, elasticity is another way of saying "rate of change" of a curve. Both Supply and Demand Curves have their own elasticity, [which determines exactly how steep the curve is on the graph](https://imgur.com/a/xVsyDnh). See Pic#1. Determining the elasticity of each curve is helpful for understanding where the curves might intersect to create market equilibrium price and quantity.
+
+Elasticity, expressed mathematically, is: E = (% Change in Quantity (Supplied or Demanded) / % Change in Price). It expresses the relationship of how many units become available from sellers or are demanded by buyers in response to changes in price. In theory, Demand and Supply Curves can reach extremes of elasticity - either perfect elasticity, or zero elasticity. It is important to note that elasticity is subject to market conditions, and changes over time - this means that Supply and Demand Curves can have different slopes at different quantities/prices. (Hint: supply being held by a diamond-handed Ape is a market condition that impacts elasticity of supply!)
+
+-   Perfect elasticity means that your Supply or Demand Curve is completely flat, and that Quantity Supplied or Demanded changes by an infinite amount in response to any change in price. (We don't really care about this in the context of GME, except to the extent that it helps us understand the flip-side, zero elasticity).
+
+-   Zero elasticity (E = 0), which is what we care about in our GME example, refers to extreme cases where a % change in price, no matter how large, results in zero change in Quantity Supplied or Demanded. When elasticity is zero, supply and demand are irresponsive to any change in price, no matter how large.
+
+Ape Speak: Elasticity determines the slope of the Supply and Demand Curves. Low *Elasticity of Supply* means that a big change in price has a small impact on the quantity of shares supplied to the market. Low/zero *Elasticity of Demand* means that a big change in price does not impact demand (in this case, the requirement to close a fixed quantity of short positions).
+
+* * * * *
+
+SECTION 2: MICROECONOMIC PRINCIPLES APPLIED TO THE MOASS
+
+*Disclaimer: This is the point of the post at which my understanding of the material presented above collides with my understanding of the last few months of DD. In other words, the proceeding sections could be most accurately classified as an opinion or educated guess.*
+
+[We're gonna hypothetical them hedgies' clavicles!](https://imgur.com/a/09lARpM)
+
+Here, I will apply the above-reference microeconomic principles to a MOASS that uses hypothetical numbers. Short Interest is critical here because it represents the number of shares at which the QUANTITY DEMANDED WILL BE FIXED. (Note: this is not a discussion about the possible short interest. I personally believe that the real SI is much higher than in the example I am about to pose.)
+
+[Pic#2: Money Glitch Activated: A Hypothetical GME MOASS Supply & Demand Curve](https://imgur.com/a/xVsyDnh)
+
+Important Numbers for this example:
+
+-   Short Interest: ~400% (280m shares)
+
+-   Float: 25m (for ease of calculation)
+
+-   Float repurchases to cover shorted shares: 11.2 float repurchases (the last ~25m shares - the final whole float repurchase - is important later on)
+
+* * * * *
+
+2.1. GME Demand Curve and Price Elasticity of Demand - Fixed Demand Enables Infinite Losses
+
+*GME Demand Curve*
+
+-   When shorts must cover and close their positions, they will require a fixed quantity of shares to do so.
+
+-   This fixed *Quantity Demanded* means that shorts must cover at any price until the *Quantity Supplied* reaches the *Quantity Demanded*.
+
+*GME Price Elasticity of Demand*
+
+-   Because *Quantity Demanded* is fixed, *Price Elasticity of Demand* is ZERO - the *Demand Curve* is VERTICAL.
+
+-   *Quantity Demanded* will not change NO MATTER THE CHANGE IN PRICE.
+
+* * * * *
+
+2.2. GME Supply Curve and Price Elasticity of Supply - The Ceiling is Your Imagination
+
+*GME Supply Curve*
+
+-   The GME *Supply Curve* is the single most important factor for determining the "price ceiling" of the MOASS.
+
+-   Because the *Demand Curve* is a vertical line, *Equilibrium Price* is determined by whatever point the *Supply Curve* intersects the *Demand Curve* (in other terms, when *Quantity Supplied* equals *Quantity Demanded*).
+
+-   The steeper the slope of the *Supply Curve*, the higher the "price ceiling" of the MOASS
+
+*GME Price Elasticity of Supply (PES)*
+
+-   In practice, GME *PES* (the slope of the *Supply Curve*) will change over time and according to market conditions.
+
+-   Paperhands lead to higher *PES* and flatter *Supply Curves*, whereas Diamond hands lead to near-zero *PES* and more vertical *Supply Curves* (Remember when I said that having diamond hands is a market condition?)
+
+-   When PES is high, more shares will trade between trading halts. When *PES* is low, fewer shares will be exchanged between trading halts. (Theoretically, as little as a single share could be traded between trading halts).
+
+-   At the beginning of the MOASS, *PES* will be higher as paperhands are tempted to sell in the 3-6 figure range. (Smaller changes in price will cause higher quantities to become available)
+
+-   The real squeeze begins when Diamond hands begin setting/lowering the *PES*, enabling share prices to exceed 7 figures. (Larger changes in price cause very low quantities to become available)
+
+* * * * *
+
+2.3. GME Theory of Price and Equilibrium - Ape Names Price
+
+Bringing it back to this graphic: [Pic#2: Hypothetical GME MOASS Supply & Demand Curve](https://imgur.com/a/xVsyDnh), you can see that a hypothetical *Equilibrium Price* has been established.
+
+*Disclaimer: This example does not account for the fact that some amount of the final ~25m shares (the final float once rehypothecated shares are gone) will be re-circulated and change the Price Elasticity of Supply as the Supply Curve approaches the Demand Curve. In other words, the Supply Curve could begin to flatten once Quantity Supplied is one whole float away from Quantity Demanded.*
+
+-   In this example, a price somewhere between $10m-$100m is sufficient to convince Diamond-Handed Apes to provide enough supply of shares to meet the demand created by Marge's call and create the required liquidity to close all of the outstanding short positions.
+
+-   When the short positions are closed, *Equilibrium* has been achieved, *Quantity Supplied* equals *Quantity Demanded*, and the price begins to stabilize (crash). This does not imply that the peak occurs exactly at the moment that the last short position is closed. I believe that the peak will occur sometime shortly after the first of the real shares enter the market, and liquidity begins to normalize.
+
+* * * * *
+
+2.4. GME MOASS, Infinity Pool Edition - The Forever Shorts
+
+*But what happens if the Quantity Supplied never reaches the Quantity Demanded?*
+
+It would look something like this: [Pic#3: GME MOASS Supply & Demand Curve: INFINITY POOL EDITION](https://imgur.com/a/xVsyDnh)
+
+-   An Infinity Pool of any size will reduce *Price Elasticity of Supply*, thus maintaining a more vertical *Supply Curve* even as real shares enter the market for re-circulation.
+
+-   If there is an Infinity Pool that equals or exceeds one whole float (~25m shares +1 share), then the *Price Elasticity of Supply* becomes ZERO, the *Supply Curve* becomes COMPLETELY VERTICAL and never intersects the *Demand Curve*, and Apes can truly name whatever price their broker allows them to enter at the time. There is an absolute *Shortage* of shares.
+
+* * * * *
+
+SECTION 3: KEY TAKEAWAYS
+
+*I believe these key takeaways are reasonable given the information already known and presented here, but these are best classified as opinions/ educated guesses*:
+
+-   Current State of Relative Equilibrium: Currently, so long as shorts create artificial equilibrium by meeting demand with artificial supply, the market will remain in a state of pseudo-equilibrium. When the downward price pressure of artificial supply inverts itself into upward price pressure from buying to cover, a wormhole opens. (This is nothing new, but I have yet to hear it expressed in these terms)
+
+-   Real-time Supply & Demand Curve: Monitoring activity on the bid/ask spread and volume between trading halts during the MOASS will provide insight into the current state of *Price Elasticity of Supply*. At times, the bid/ask spread will be as wide as brokerage maximum-price limits allow.
+
+-   When is the Infinity Squeeze phase of the MOASS truly getting started? When the *Price Elasticity of Supply* is stupidly low and getting lower. Assuming that Diamond Handed Apes own the float, the real squeeze hasn't started until GME is trading over 7-8 digits. Apes will be some of the last sellers to get in line, so any price action prior to Apes getting in line to name their price is only a buildup to the Infinity Squeeze.
+
+-   Utility of Volume During MOASS as a Predictor of a Potential Peak: In all likelihood, total volume is not a reliable indicator of a squeeze peak. You would have to possess a relatively accurate idea of the true size of the short position (a.k.a. *Quantity Demanded*), know that there is no additional volume being created by new short positions that open during the MOASS, and know the impact of real shares beginning to re-circulate.
+
+-   Infinity Pool Can Create a True Infinity Squeeze: Suppose that Apes own the float two-times over. If each Ape placed half of their shares into the Infinity Pool, then the final ~25m shares will be inaccessible by the market, and the short positions can't be closed until other sources of liquidity become available. In that scenario, Apes can name their price for the half of their shares that do not go into the Infinity Pool. I cannot personally fathom what would happen to the price if the entire current float could not re-enter circulation - perhaps institutional sellers would provide liquidity to stabilize the price later-on, but I do not know the details of how or how long it would take.
+
+-   Dips on the way up: No matter how far the price crashes down on the way up, I will not be convinced that the squeeze has started until the price is rocketing past $100k-$1m and very few shares are exchanging hands between the trading halts. IMO, any dip between $1m-$10m cannot be the true peak, because by that point it is clear that Apes are diamond handing enough shares to allow Apes to name their own price if they continue to hold.
+
+-   Closing the Last Short Position vs. Timing of the Peak: When the short positions are closed, *Equilibrium* has been momentarily achieved, *Quantity Supplied* equals *Quantity Demanded*, and the price begins to move towards a new *Equilibrium* with different market conditions. This does not imply that the peak or crash occurs exactly at the moment that the last short position is closed. I believe that the peak will occur sometime shortly after the first of the real shares enter the market, but IDK though.
+
+-   USE LIMIT ORDERS: How can an Ape name their price if they let the market name the price for them?
+
+* * * * *
+
+As many have said, if everyone waits until backside of the MOASS to sell, there will be no backside.
+
+My personal opinion on the matter, which is obviously not financial advice, is that holding all but 1 share would be the optimal way to assure an Infinity Pool is achieved!
+
+* * * * *
+
+ta;dr: GME is a fascinating experiment of Supply and Demand. Diamond-handed Ape names price for banana
+
+[Pic #1: Ordinary Supply and Demand Curves](https://imgur.com/a/xVsyDnh)
+
+[Pic #2: Money Glitch Activated: A Hypothetical GME MOASS Supply & Demand Curve](https://imgur.com/a/xVsyDnh)
+
+[Pic #3: GME MOASS Supply & Demand Curve: INFINITY POOL EDITION](https://imgur.com/a/xVsyDnh)
+
+* * * * *
+
+This is a repost of my content from a month ago. [Further reading on Infinity Pool concept by [/u/bluprince](https://www.reddit.com/u/bluprince/) can be found here.] (<https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/mpvx9n/the_infinity_pool_naming_a_theoretical_posit_for>). This is a case of two people independently arriving at the same conclusion using different methodologies, which ought to jack your tits that much more.

DD/2021-06-30-Demystifying-the-Feds-ON-RRP-Operations.md

@@ -0,0 +1,216 @@
+Demystify the Feds ON-RRP Operations, Why do we care so much about them? | Finally figured out what Michael Burrry IS trying to tell the world
+==============================================================================================================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/jsmar18](https://www.reddit.com/user/jsmar18/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/oaw2ls/demystify_the_feds_onrrp_operations_why_do_we/) | 
+
+---
+
+[DD 👨‍🔬](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22DD%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%94%AC%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+Two things that have led me here 1. Trying to figure out WTF Michael Burrry was trying to reference and getting it wrong several times 2. Why the fuck do we care so much about the Feds ON-RRP operation?
+
+There's been so much hype about the ON-RRP volume the past three months or so, and it made me reflect. I don't actually know why I'm hyped about it or why people keep posting about it. I had a good idea of why, at least I thought I did, but I decided to go about researching it further and ended up collaborating with a repo expert who's had over 20+ years in the industry working at 3 different primary dealers.
+
+All I knew was incorrect. From how the Feds ON-RRPs are used, who is putting the money into ON-RRPs, and why I was hyped about it increasing every day.
+
+So let's go on a journey to understand some history of the Feds ON-RRP operations and how that led me to realising I was looking at the wrong hints from Michael Burrry.
+
+1.  A Series of Unfortunate Events
+
+2.  Honey, I Sucked All the Liquidity Out
+
+3.  Honey, I Blew up the Rates
+
+4.  Star Wars: The Fed Strikes Back
+
+5.  What Michael Burrrry was trying to allude to (ran outa puns)
+
+A Series of Unfortunate Events
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Demystify the Feds ON-RRP Operations, Why do we care so much about them? | Finally figured out what Michael Burrry IS trying to tell the world](https://preview.redd.it/d9o37zup8e871.png?width=960&format=png&auto=webp&s=245f72ebfbbe0147f89cb7643aed6196546202b6)](https://preview.redd.it/d9o37zup8e871.png?width=960&format=png&auto=webp&s=245f72ebfbbe0147f89cb7643aed6196546202b6)
+
+From the above, you can see how this was a disaster waiting from back in 2008 when they started buying up assets due to the GFC. It all came to nip them back in the butt, let's see what happened next shall we?
+
+Honey, I Sucked All the Liquidity Out
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Demystify the Feds ON-RRP Operations, Why do we care so much about them? | Finally figured out what Michael Burrry IS trying to tell the world](https://preview.redd.it/jikg6isy8e871.png?width=960&format=png&auto=webp&s=6d1c0ccd93eead724b0230da757905b1e1edfd41)](https://preview.redd.it/jikg6isy8e871.png?width=960&format=png&auto=webp&s=6d1c0ccd93eead724b0230da757905b1e1edfd41)
+
+Despite people often referring to 6. (myself included in a past DD) as Quantitative Easing (QE), it's not. It looks like it though on face value. The Fed had to say it was not specifically in previous notes and meetings, as these types of operations do not stimulate the economy, it's just the get the markets "oiled up again". We're talking about their repo operations here specifically, not adding back assets to their balance sheet.
+
+Rates, Rates and Rates
+
+Before we get into the next section, let's understand the floor system that the Fed uses. The general gist of a floor with subfloor system, the fed sets several targets. Policy is announced as a target range for fed funds rate, top range of that is given by the IOER that they set and the bottom is the ON-RRP.
+
+Interest Rate on Excess Reserves = IOER = Floor
+
+Overnight Reverse Repo= ON-RRP = Subfloor
+
+Why not call it a roof and floor? To make it confusing for anyone that's not in their world to understand 😂
+
+Below is a visualisation to help put it in perspective, the federal funds rate aims to sit in the middle generally.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Demystify the Feds ON-RRP Operations, Why do we care so much about them? | Finally figured out what Michael Burrry IS trying to tell the world](https://preview.redd.it/bkzktfp59e871.png?width=651&format=png&auto=webp&s=dc73e43dbe1db2a77215cf5642b3d7229f298387)](https://preview.redd.it/bkzktfp59e871.png?width=651&format=png&auto=webp&s=dc73e43dbe1db2a77215cf5642b3d7229f298387)
+
+Honey, I Blew up the Rates
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Demystify the Feds ON-RRP Operations, Why do we care so much about them? | Finally figured out what Michael Burrry IS trying to tell the world](https://preview.redd.it/og4qpt799e871.png?width=960&format=png&auto=webp&s=57a0af2bdb7c3d3250e437308781107ee451707a)](https://preview.redd.it/og4qpt799e871.png?width=960&format=png&auto=webp&s=57a0af2bdb7c3d3250e437308781107ee451707a)
+
+What happens if the fed funds rate were higher than the IOER?
+
+That would mean a bank wanting to lend their cash would earn more interest on the fed funds market compared to lending to the fed at the IOER - aka the money the fed pays them on their reserves. This demand for fed funds would then cause the fed funds rate to go down (theoretically).
+
+Let's Chat ON-RRP
+
+We only talk about the recent spike in activity, and totally ignore what's happened previously. This ends up leaving us uninformed of the contextual reasons for it spiking.
+
+So starting in that rough 2018 period, it becomes obvious that the ON-RRP facility is not actually helping all that much when it comes to their ability to control the federal funds rate, keeping it within the 25-basis point target range they had back then.
+
+There's also another reason for their disappearance which is to do with the Fed hiking rates from 2016 onwards, the banks can now get paid more in interest from the Fed on their reserves in comparison. There's liquidity regulations nowadays in comparison to pre GFC times. The Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR) is a big boi, but in summary, banks just need to hold some combination of reserves and U.S. treasury securities to guard against deposit outflows in times of market stress.
+
+Due to a range of reasons, banks actually prefer reserves compared to securities - main reason being if treasuries are sold off quickly, it'll drive prices down, so in the end, reserves are preferred.
+
+Rate Wars: The Fed Strikes Back
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Demystify the Feds ON-RRP Operations, Why do we care so much about them? | Finally figured out what Michael Burrry IS trying to tell the world](https://preview.redd.it/8mlk2m0e9e871.png?width=960&format=png&auto=webp&s=7bc4dd1536cee9bf4e59eb274b6f3cc288553793)](https://preview.redd.it/8mlk2m0e9e871.png?width=960&format=png&auto=webp&s=7bc4dd1536cee9bf4e59eb274b6f3cc288553793)
+
+That was a lengthy one, but now you know the contextual history of how the Fed manages its rates and why RRP is exploding (on purpose to manage rates, if that was not clear already). It's honestly not that big of a deal that people make it. Please remember online new sources do tend to write for viewership, as such, disaster writing will bring in more viewership than boring macro economics talk....
+
+Let's dig into some myths that often get talked about incorrectly in relation to ON-RRPs operations of the Fed. Before we get to debunking, let's understand Tri Party and what itm eans.
+
+Tri Party Repos
+
+Both Repo and Reverse Repo operations are done in a triparty format (also remember, they are one in the same transaction). Only around 0.1% are done DVP (directly). This is largely for efficiency purposes - let's visualise what this tri party process looks like.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Demystify the Feds ON-RRP Operations, Why do we care so much about them? | Finally figured out what Michael Burrry IS trying to tell the world](https://preview.redd.it/uen1anm8re871.png?width=967&format=png&auto=webp&s=aee789cfa3951aea8ce1a72e9bc51cb697ccc31c)](https://preview.redd.it/uen1anm8re871.png?width=967&format=png&auto=webp&s=aee789cfa3951aea8ce1a72e9bc51cb697ccc31c)
+
+The most obvious thing with a triparty repo is that the customer receiving the collateral does not have access it. It's sitting in the trade shell the custodial bank set-up. So if the they want to re-use the collateral sitting in that shell, it's actually the custodial bank that'll set that up. DVP (Direct) can't be reused unlike Tri-party.
+
+Collateral Re-use is simply as follows, custodial bank takes the existing shell and puts it into another shell.
+
+I think we know enough now, so let's get to debunking!
+
+Debunk Time!
+
+Hedge Funds are involved with RRP
+
+This is not exactly a popular one, but i've seen it mentioned before. HFs have zero involvement in the Feds' ON-RRP market. The following link plainly debunks this one. <https://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/rrp_counterparties#reverse-repo-counterparties>
+
+While HFs are not involved with the Feds' ON-RRP market, they certainly are in the repo market as it's how they leverage their long positions and cover their short positions.
+
+The effect of the high RRP amounts will blow up everything
+
+The above is dramatic, but you get the general vibe that's shared within the sub. All the analysis we've done above should give you the answer. Once rates increase, money market funds will move elsewhere. We've seen recent increases, so why no change in ON-RRP volume? Because MMFs are not gonna show a rate better than 5bps, as the repo market also moved up the same amount... So why move your money if there's no benefit? We can observe the recent days tapering off in volume since the 5bps increase, so this will likely be the future trend, if not decreasing.
+
+The Fed will continue its balancing act. It is very much a build-up from 2008 and [u/criand](https://www.reddit.com/u/criand/) 's recent post is some good storytelling on it (as well as this DD from a more technical standpoint). As such the Fed are learning as they go, it's becoming clear that loading up the ON-RRP facility is not sufficient to influence rates, which is displayed through the most recent rate increase by 0.05%. They just does not care about the volume of ON-RRP being high, because that's how it's designed to work, policy-wise. They have far more assets than the participants have cash, so as long as demand is there it'll keep rising until something otherwise changes (such as rates increasing as mentioned above).
+
+We're only noticing this because big numbers attract attention and we made a connection between rehypothecation and reverse repos. But wrongly so in my opinion. (pls no pitch forks).
+
+RRP is used to support trading/margin functions
+
+This is not a popular theory either, but better to touch on it while we're here.
+
+It's illogical to use RRP as a way to post margin. It "could" be done, but why would you spend cash to borrow treasury securities? You end up in the same spot regardless if you're using cash or a security to post for margin.
+
+Trading 212
+
+May as well touch on this topic while it's making its rounds. What's described in their terms they are trying to get people to agree to is described as a collateral swap with a haircut. The haircut is anything over that 100% mark. To be clear, it's very common and it should not come as a surprise to anyone who has bought shares through a broker that lends out customers' shares.
+
+You should get in contact and ask what type of collateral is posted and MORE IMPORTANTLY ask for your shares not to be lent out. If they say "nah dawg", then ask if you get the profits reaped from the haircut in the case above, or any interest charged.
+
+As to what happens when the MOASS happens and HFs start going bankrupt, no clue. A good topic for someone to delve into. What about bond value taking a dive? Dunno, best guess would be they'd have brokers knocking on their door.
+
+Treasury Securities are being shorted utilising rehypothecation
+
+I think this is probably the biggest theory that's misunderstood.
+
+It's technically possible to do this, the problem is that it just makes no sense to do it. The main reason is due to how the shell functions that the Custodial bank sets up. They create a shell for the collateral that the Fed dumps their securities into, the only problem is, the dealer/counterparty does not know which issue they'll get in that shell. The Fed decides what to put in that shell.
+
+So let's imagine you are wanting to short a bill and you have a crystal ball.
+
+You're not gonna be shorting a 3 month bill simply due to the maturity of the trade, and more likely a longer dated issue such as the 30yr where you'll make far more money.
+
+Using the crystal ball:
+
+IF you knew the bill or bond being given in the RRP shell
+
+AND IF you could sell that issue in time before the market closed for the day AND sell it for cash (same day) settlement.
+
+AND IF the Fed whispered in your ear that you'd have it for a week straight (meaning you won't have any fail to delivers)
+
+AND IF the Fed did this all in DVP for you (0.1% of all ON-RRP trades, Fed only does Tri-party), else you can't touch the security as it's in a shell created by the custodial bank
+
+So if all these unlikely things were to occur, you're still in the pickle of being in the need to buy back the bond you shorted the next day (because these are overnight transactions remember), if you don't find it then you'll be on the hook for 300bps (3%) a day on FTD charges, which in the bond world, is a big deal.
+
+You'd also likely need to be a primary dealer (big boys like goldman) to pull this off in the first place, but the Fed would get pissed and you're jeopardizing your primary dealership status - which is something you don't want to risk as you'll make more money being a primary dealer rather than being kicked out of the club.
+
+The source i've been working with has said over his 24 years time at a variety of primary dealers, Not one would have voluntarily shorted ON-RRP bonds. It's just way too risky and there's virtually no upside - IF you could even pull off the above in the first place.
+
+Figuring out what MB meant this whole damn time....
+
+There's been three things that Michael Burrry mainly tweets about
+
+1.  Cryptocurrency
+
+2.  Inflation
+
+3.  Leverage
+
+(and random non financial stuff - borrrrinnngggg)
+
+I've personally been on a mission to understand wtf he meant ever since he deleted his profile the first time, leaving us a link to a note from the federal reserves on the in and outs of collateral re-use (pictured below).
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Demystify the Feds ON-RRP Operations, Why do we care so much about them? | Finally figured out what Michael Burrry IS trying to tell the world](https://preview.redd.it/5am3ooiw9e871.png?width=293&format=png&auto=webp&s=b82b1cf9a74245668d1b6e70c38cce817ca7d23c)](https://preview.redd.it/5am3ooiw9e871.png?width=293&format=png&auto=webp&s=b82b1cf9a74245668d1b6e70c38cce817ca7d23c)
+
+The Fed note was so so heavily focused on Reverse Repos, Repos, Rehypothecation that it clouded my judgement in terms of what he was trying to reference within that paper. Largely because it was the talk of the town at the time (and still is), but as we went through above, the purpose of that was to show that the ON-RRP numbers we screenshot all day are not a huge concern.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Demystify the Feds ON-RRP Operations, Why do we care so much about them? | Finally figured out what Michael Burrry IS trying to tell the world](https://preview.redd.it/lvvgvacy9e871.png?width=943&format=png&auto=webp&s=5cd3a571ee45636e2cff0878f4124c3e2e0004c5)](https://preview.redd.it/lvvgvacy9e871.png?width=943&format=png&auto=webp&s=5cd3a571ee45636e2cff0878f4124c3e2e0004c5)
+
+It's the tweet above that ironically connected the dots for me, but also answered the question in itself as it gave us what we already knew in a way. But i'll walk you through what i perceived him trying to point out in regards to the speculative bubble. I believe this was the chart he was alluding reference to, specifically, the margin loans trend.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Demystify the Feds ON-RRP Operations, Why do we care so much about them? | Finally figured out what Michael Burrry IS trying to tell the world](https://preview.redd.it/y00d0gx0ae871.png?width=596&format=png&auto=webp&s=ca28cbc11b56922c5258057dc421f8eb3ac2e545)](https://preview.redd.it/y00d0gx0ae871.png?width=596&format=png&auto=webp&s=ca28cbc11b56922c5258057dc421f8eb3ac2e545)
+
+Unencumbered Products
+
+This refers to positions that are purchased outright that are free of legal, regulatory, contractual or other restriction on the ability of the reporting entity to monetize the assets. The entity in this case are primary dealers, the big bois of the world, of which 24 exist. You can find the list [here](https://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/primarydealers), names from Goldman, Morgan Stanley to you get the gist. Now note, the chart above is only based on a subset of primary dealers, so the numbers could very well be bigger.
+
+Back to the Chart
+
+What we can see is the following:
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Demystify the Feds ON-RRP Operations, Why do we care so much about them? | Finally figured out what Michael Burrry IS trying to tell the world](https://preview.redd.it/913chwt2ae871.png?width=960&format=png&auto=webp&s=db38ca9e7f2d6172edff30ab7ddaf924f4d72571)](https://preview.redd.it/913chwt2ae871.png?width=960&format=png&auto=webp&s=db38ca9e7f2d6172edff30ab7ddaf924f4d72571)
+
+I was attempting to find what "order of magnitude by 2" he was referring to, and the closest thing i can refer to is the total is how margin+cash accounts have gone from millions -> billions -> trillions. The greatest crash in US history was "The Wall Street Crash" in 1929 (or at least most famous, please correct me if i'm wrong), sadly i don't have data that goes back that far - but i don't think it'd be a long shot to imagine that aggregate margin+cash accounts may have been in the tippy top of the millions in the 1920's.
+
+Therefore we've gone from millions in the 1920's to billions in the late 1900's and we've just hit the trillion mark in Dec-2020. So there are your two orders of magnitude ladies and gentlemen.
+
+And that is what i believe MB has been referring to, we obviously did not figure it out, because the dude had to come back from his SEC enforced slumber to literally serve it up on a plate via a tweet.
+
+It essentially comes down to this logic in the past year since COVID happened, with primary dealers, aka big banks like Goldman saying "Yeah nah, we're not gonna get fucked, let's pump cash into the market via our HF buddies to make sure they don't tank and continue their bull run" - *All while being leveraged to the tits...* pretty easy judgement to make from my POV. As we say, kick that can down the road.
+
+TL;DR
+
+-   The Feds ON-RRP are really nothing to be worrying about, let alone posting everyday. As soon as rates go up high enough, Money Market Funds (make up majority of ON-RRP volume) will take their cash elsewhere (we're starting to see this already)
+
+-   Hedge funds are not involved in ON-RRP as they are not "on the VIP list" if ya get what i mean
+
+-   ON-RRP is not used to support margin/trading functions
+
+-   Treasury securities that are rehypothecated are not being shorted (it's purely illogical)
+
+-   Margin balances are fucked at $800b+ an ~83% increase from last year. It really feels like they are trying to prop the market up via speculative and spectacularly dumping cash into the market (don't forget the increased presence of retail in these markets now as well)
+
+Counter DD
+
+The first part of the DD tends to go against the grain of <https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/o9aanm/black_monday_events_are_mondays_which_experience/> which is [u/Criand](https://www.reddit.com/u/Criand/)'s post about RRP in some areas. To note, i agree on most points about the spikes re EOM dates.
+
+The thing i have the largest disagreeance with is that the Feds ON-RRP operations are something to worry about. As soon as rates go up to a certain level, MMFs will start moving their cash elsewhere and ON-RRP volume will shrink again (and treasury balance for the Fed increases as a result). My prediction is that we'll enter a similar cycle before 2020 where rate increases become more abundant (we're seeing hints of this already with recent 5bps increase).
+
+Edit: Fuck. Ignore the orders of magnitude part. I overshot big-time 😅 10^6, 10^12, 10^18, far more than two orders of magnitude. It however may be referring to different events 🤔Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
+
+Edit:
+
+Thanks for taking the time to read, judging by the top comments while I was asleep, it looks like i succeeded in creating some awesome discussion and further thoughts on this topic! I encourage you to take this further and write even better DDs that help promote our knowledge within the sub on the matter!
+
+Thanks for the great comments [u/Longjumping_College](https://www.reddit.com/u/Longjumping_College/), [u/Criand](https://www.reddit.com/u/Criand/), [u/lightwhite](https://www.reddit.com/u/lightwhite/) [u/Modswithnobods](https://www.reddit.com/u/Modswithnobods/)!

DD/2021-06-30-The-Long-Con.md

@@ -0,0 +1,9 @@
+# The Long Con 
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  Saved by [u/bossmighty](https://www.reddit.com/user/bossmighty/) | [PDF Host](https://pdfhost.io/v/O.YHbvSRP_TLC_THE_LONG_CON_The_markets_are_frothing_with_liquiditypdf.pdf) | 
+
+---
+
+[The-Long-Con.pdf](https://github.com/verymeticulous/wikAPEdia/files/6744919/The-Long-Con.pdf)

DD/2021-06-30-Through-the-Looking-Glass.md

@@ -0,0 +1,10 @@
+# Through the Looking Glass
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+| Saved by [u/bossmighty](https://www.reddit.com/user/bossmighty/) | [PDF Host](https://pdfhost.io/v/KhuW5HZ~N_THROUGH_THE_LOOKING_GLASS.pdf) | 
+
+---
+
+[Through-the-Looking-Glass.pdf](https://github.com/verymeticulous/wikAPEdia/files/6744911/Through-the-Looking-Glass.pdf)
+

DD/2021-07-02-DTCC-Covered-up-the-Fraud-that-Enables-Naked-Short-Selling.md

@@ -0,0 +1,116 @@
+The DTCC (Depository That Clears Counterfeits) is finished. They covered up the fraud that enables naked short selling and are why we will MOASS to epic proportions.
+=====================================================================================================================================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/JustBeingPunny](https://www.reddit.com/user/JustBeingPunny/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/ocds1m/the_dtcc_depository_that_clears_counterfeits_is/) | 
+
+---
+
+[DD 👨‍🔬](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22DD%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%94%AC%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+TL;DR - The naked shorting scandal is much worse than you may have first believed. The 'real' shares in your account hold the exact same rights as any other, but behind the curtain, the DTCC has historically covered up the FTDs and mass naked shorting using CEBE (Counterfeit Electronic Book Entries). This is the DTCC's way of maintaining this reverse Ponzi scheme. This is why an NFT dividend would ruin them, as they can't 'cook the books' for everyone to get one. The DTCC is fuk.
+
+Edit - If the DTCC wasn't royally fucked...why would they be passing so many rules to push the blame on to the participants? Tits = Jacqued
+
+House of Cards was an extraordinary insight to the inner workings of the DTCC. If you haven't read it by now, you should before you read this post, as it assumes a fundamental knowledge of them. I have also obtained much data here from the naked short selling expert Jim DeCosta. If you haven't read his letters to the SEC, I urge you too. They're long but they were dumbed down so even the SEC could understand them.
+
+I ain't no financial advisor.
+
+________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
+
+A brief history -
+
+*For ease of typing I will be using NSS to refer to Naked Short Selling.*
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The DTCC (Depository That Clears Counterfeits) is finished. They covered up the fraud that enables naked short selling and are why we will MOASS to epic proportions.](https://preview.redd.it/97pzaly4tt871.png?width=254&format=png&auto=webp&s=c655a0725b3d4a01b5a28cbaed1df4e3b02a36e3)](https://preview.redd.it/97pzaly4tt871.png?width=254&format=png&auto=webp&s=c655a0725b3d4a01b5a28cbaed1df4e3b02a36e3)
+
+NSS has been as systemic issue YEARS before the financial crash of 2008. There were warnings of this to the SEC back in 2006 and of course, they did nothing. The small changes they did implement were miniscule in effect, which continued to enable predatory short sellers to cause financial 'death spirals' to bankruptcy.
+
+Do you know how institutions defended NSS as a necessary evil in the markets? Pump and dumps.
+
+NSS was meant to 'curb the fraud' and 'protect investors'. It was argued that pump and dumps would run riot without the ability to sell shares they couldn't borrow. Collectively, these 'shareholder advocates' are generously offering their services in the fight back against pump and dumps.
+
+They're offering to step up and volunteer to become a pseudo-sheriff and sell non-existent stocks into the hands of 'about to become victims'. They don't own the shares, nor did they check the 'borrowability' of them. They're generously volunteering to take the investors money in exchange for a CEBE, artificially raising the supply. This of course, immediately does damage to the investment, the company and existing shareholders.
+
+After the naked short has been done, what now? Well the 'would be victim' and the 'shareholder advocate' now fundamentally have goals that are polar opposite. The buyer wants the stock to go to the moon. The naked short seller wants the business to bankrupt. It begs the question; why would an entity volunteering to protect against fraud, still take the money of the investor?
+
+*Wouldn't you agree that pump and dumps and NSS go hand in hand? Pump up a stock and then bear raid it into the ground? It was a way to maximize profit on the DOWN in the dump phase.*
+
+_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
+
+1+1 = 3
+
+The maximum amount of shares that can LEGALLY be sold short is governed by the number shares that can LEGALLY be borrowed. NSS ignores this fundamental basic mechanism. In fact, the DTCC enables this further due to the fact a single share can be lent out in multiple directions. This is the reason for FTDs in the hundreds of percent.
+
+So how does this play into GameStop? How do you know your share is a real share and not a CEBE?
+
+Answer : YOU DON'T, AND IT DOESN'T FUCKING MATTER. ONE. BIT.
+
+To the general public, your share is as good as my share. It holds the same rights as any other. If I hold 100 shares of the same 1 share, it doesn't matter one bit. I have the legal rights to 100 shares.
+
+You know who it does matter to? The DTCC and its' participants. They have an accounting nightmare on their hands.
+
+Imagine the DTCC selling the same lambo 100 times? Those 100 buyers believe they own a lambo, can sell the title to the lambo, heck they can even use the car as collateral! Well, what happens when Lamborghini decide to issue every single owner with a special keychain?
+
+The DTCC can't replicate this keychain and you as an owner are still legally entitled to receive it.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The DTCC (Depository That Clears Counterfeits) is finished. They covered up the fraud that enables naked short selling and are why we will MOASS to epic proportions.](https://preview.redd.it/x6835ephtt871.png?width=679&format=png&auto=webp&s=8c81d33ae1ab915c044ac27395a8ff5d79d769ce)](https://preview.redd.it/x6835ephtt871.png?width=679&format=png&auto=webp&s=8c81d33ae1ab915c044ac27395a8ff5d79d769ce)
+
+This is the same situation as GameStop. You thought you were buying shares from a 'real shareholder'. You see a number of shares in your brokerage account. Why would you even think for one second that the shares aren't even there? You see no reason to ask for the validity of the delivery of certificated shares. It's also why brokers strongly advocate against clients demanding paper certificates of their shares. One firm in 1999 urged fellow DTCC participants to hike up fees for share certificates to hinder investors demanding proof of purchase.
+
+So you bought some shares. You see the number. Where are they? Well, they're 'conveniently' held in an anonymous 'pool' of all of the other shares. It's like taking a bunch of green skittles (real shares) and red skittles (naked shares) and throwing them into a bag, mixing em' up and asking a colorblind person to pick one out?
+
+To them? It's any old skittle.
+
+Now what if all the red skittles all needed to be taken back?
+
+What if the bag was FULL of red skittles.
+
+*The only person who knew what color went where was the person holding the bag (The DTCC). (wow irony)*
+
+________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
+
+The CEBEs at the DTCC do not represent what you think of as 'shares'. Shares are a 'package of rights' attached to a public company. I hate to break it but this doesn't include the other millions of shares (beyond the public float) that are counterfeit in the system. Real shares also hold the right to any dividends distributed.
+
+So say a company issued dividends that were shares to all shareholders? You hold one share? You get another one! The float is 100 million shares. The transfer agent would send a 'real' certificate made out to Cede and Co. for another 100 million shares to give to each and every share holder. What happens when an extra 400 million show up as being 'delivered' to shareholders?
+
+Because the DTCC are complicit in ensuring that this fraud is covered up every time a shareholder tries to exercise of the rights attached to only 'real' shares. These CEBEs at the DTCC are NOT real shares and do not have the rights attached with them. HOWEVER, THEY HAVE TO MAINTAIN THE ILLUSION THAT THEY HAVE THESE RIGHTS TO NOT EXPOSE THIS FRAUD.
+
+Why would they do this? THEY HAD TO. Otherwise, they would have to inform the owners of these other 300 million shares that what they had was:
+
+- non-existent
+
+- not actually real
+
+- no rights to the dividend
+
+- their money in the pockets of the seller
+
+What happens if you want to sell your share. The DTCC won't turn around and say, '*you can't sell that because we never got good delivery of your purchase*'. The broker would have normally just sold your counterfeit shares to the next naïve investor. Have you ever heard of an investor who got a proxy solicitation statement that indicated that he or she can't vote his or her shares because they are counterfeit and there never were any voting rights attached? The DTCC has to maintain this illusion otherwise the reverse ponzi scheme will be revealed.
+
+So what happens if an NFT is issued as a dividend? The DTCC can't 'cook the books' and are forced to reconcile the float back down to its' issued amount.
+
+Shorts HAVE to close their positions. They need everyone to sell to cancel out their 'fake borrow'. What if no one sells? YOU GET THE FUCKING MOASS.
+
+______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
+
+So what did you actually buy?'
+
+You bought the right to sell a Counterfeit Electronic Book Entry.
+
+You bought a put option with no expiry date.
+
+You were conned.
+
+Does it matter? Not a fucking bit. You are entitled to the rights just as much as anyone else and the DTCC are going to have a really hard time getting you a dividend that isn't cash or stock.
+
+And if they can't, they have to buy back your share at a price YOU STATE AND THERE IS NOTHING THEY CAN DO ABOUT IT.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The DTCC (Depository That Clears Counterfeits) is finished. They covered up the fraud that enables naked short selling and are why we will MOASS to epic proportions.](https://preview.redd.it/4ykybhextt871.png?width=941&format=png&auto=webp&s=790e1fb7bda1744e9c09d76896b34876d83bb888)](https://preview.redd.it/4ykybhextt871.png?width=941&format=png&auto=webp&s=790e1fb7bda1744e9c09d76896b34876d83bb888)
+
+The irony? For them to cover, you're going to have to sell something that doesn't exist. That is...if you ever sell...
+
+________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
+
+*Part two?- How T+0 is the best case for the DTCC, naked short selling and outright fraud*

DD/2021-07-02-More-Evidence-Pointing-to-the-use-of-Deep-ITM-Calls-and-Deep-OTM-Puts-to-Hide-Short-Interest.md

@@ -0,0 +1,12 @@
+Well, there it is. More math/evidence pointing to the use of Deep ITM CALLs and Deep OTM PUTs to hide SI in synthetics rather than covering their shorts. This was done through buy-write trades to dodge Reg Sho Close-Out obligations.
+========================================================================================================================================================================================================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/Criand](https://www.reddit.com/user/Criand/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/oc4f79/well_there_it_is_more_mathevidence_pointing_to/) | 
+
+---
+
+[Education 👨‍🏫 | Data 🔢](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Education%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%8F%AB%20%7C%20Data%20%F0%9F%94%A2%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Well, there it is. More math/evidence pointing to the use of Deep ITM CALLs and Deep OTM PUTs to hide SI in synthetics rather than covering their shorts. This was done through buy-write trades to dodge Reg Sho Close-Out obligations.](https://i.redd.it/z7k7jiowsq871.png)](https://i.redd.it/z7k7jiowsq871.png)

DD/ETFs/2021-06-05-ETF-Holdings-of-GME-have-Increased-by-Ten-Percent-Over-the-Past-Three-Months.md

@@ -0,0 +1,23 @@
+ETF Holdings of GME have increased 10.6% over the past 3 months
+===============================================================
+
+[DD 👨‍🔬](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22DD%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%94%AC%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/the_nebraskan](https://www.reddit.com/user/the_nebraskan/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nt9vj1/etf_holdings_of_gme_have_increased_106_over_the/) | 
+
+---
+
+TLDR; ETFs are continuing to BUY and HOLD.
+
+3 months ago, on 19 Mar, I created a spreadsheet that tracked the holdings reports of the top 30+ ETFs that hold GME. Today I revisited that spreadsheet and updated the numbers with current reporting. The biggest updates came from Vanguard who published their quarterly holdings update at the end of April. Unlike the other tracked ETFs, Vanguard does not post daily holdings reports. Here are my findings.
+
+Total share count amongst the 32 tracked ETFs increased from 11.7 Million to 13.0 Million (+10.6%). Vanguard specifically had an increase in GME holdings from 3.7 Million to 4.8 Million (+30%).
+
+This increase in position comes with an increase in stock price. On 19 Mar, GME closed at $200.27. On 4 Jun it closed at $248.36. This shows that as a whole, ETFs have increased their total stake in GME and these changes were not due to adjustments from price alone.
+
+Spreadsheet Link
+
+<https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1SWK2krtYHqrGu222bVGhRwTP9niW-0t-_9Bbpwru3jY/edit?usp=sharing>
+

DD/ETFs/2021-06-12-Beware-of-Passive-Investing-in-Index-Funds-and-ETFs-Post-MOASS.md

@@ -0,0 +1,108 @@
+Beware of Passive Investing (Index Funds and ETFs) Post-MOASS - Growing Wrinkles with Michael Burry, weekend of June 11th 2021
+==============================================================================================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/Pop-Tart_Rabies_Monk](https://www.reddit.com/user/Pop-Tart_Rabies_Monk/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/ny9rxv/beware_of_passive_investing_index_funds_and_etfs/) | 
+
+---
+
+[DD 👨‍🔬](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22DD%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%94%AC%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+APES. What a week it has been. We saw some gains. We had them taken away. [We felt woozy.](https://mobile.twitter.com/TheRoaringKitty/status/1403060736889344004) But we HODLd. And we dealt with some serious uncertainty with the shareholder meeting on Wednesday, and the flurry of new info from GameStop. I don't know about you, but it felt pretty shilly in here. Give the shills credit - they tried sooo hard! But we apes are strong together.
+
+Many of you were kind enough to read [my post on Michael Burry last weekend](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nsmbnk/a_look_back_at_what_michael_burry_knew/) and offer your thoughts, your updoots, and your awards. I had a lot of fun writing it, and I was overwhelmed with the response it received. So why don't we make it a regular thing? I will try to post it on Friday evenings or Saturdays as I am able. I can't promise it will be every weekend, but I know those times have a reputation for being rather... meme-filled on Superstonk 😁 (not that I don't enjoy the weekend shitpost, fluff, and meme frenzy! Last weekend was great with all the Melissa Lee memes, and in 20 or 30 years when I look back fondly on this saga, I will 100% remember the Melissa Lee weekend. "Naked shorts, yeah" 😳), and I have seen many apes calling for more weekend DD warriors to fill the void. I will step in as much as I am able, and also try to offer something a little different to the community.
+
+I'm not exactly a quant or a technical analysis guy. Other than detecting a basic bull flag on the stock chart, I have absolutely 0 predictive abilities for the price action of GME during the week. But what I do have is the ability to understand complex ideas, and to translate them into apespeak. So I thought it would be a worthwhile project to spend some time going through different things that Michael Burry has written, said, and done. I know I can certainly learn a lot from it, and hopefully you can too. Besides, the way I see it, when we have our tendies we will need to have all the right moves in order to bring about change and to be better rich people than the ones we are betting against. So what better time to learn all these things than right now, while we are HODLing and meme-ing and vibing and waiting for the rocket engines to come online?
+
+This week, I have ETFs, Index funds, and passive investing on the mind. At the beginning of The Big Short, it was said that Michael Burry and the others did something nobody else did leading up to 2008 - they looked. Michael Burry has warned of another bubble forming again, similar and yet different from last time. So let's try and be like Burry this time around. Let's be among The Ones That Looked. So grab your weekend beverage of choice, and let's do some looking, shall we?
+
+Passive Investing
+
+We begin this week, just as we did last week, with a tweet by Burry.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Beware of Passive Investing (Index Funds and ETFs) Post-MOASS - Growing Wrinkles with Michael Burry, weekend of June 11th 2021](https://preview.redd.it/urkvn2b0lu471.jpg?width=1100&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b3070056e7884a100e9bcbb7ffb05ef1999c379c)](https://preview.redd.it/urkvn2b0lu471.jpg?width=1100&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b3070056e7884a100e9bcbb7ffb05ef1999c379c)
+
+February 21st Tweet
+
+There's a lot going on in this one. Look at it as long as you need to. Took me a while too.
+
+So this graph tracks the price of the S&P 500. And (surprise!) it has a direct relationship with the collective amount of margin debt (note that the units for margin debt are reversed on the left because... well... it's *debt*).
+
+I looked up the version of this chart that has been updated as of April 2021. Here is the non-inversed version, so you can see just how close the correlation is. Over 24 years!
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Beware of Passive Investing (Index Funds and ETFs) Post-MOASS - Growing Wrinkles with Michael Burry, weekend of June 11th 2021](https://preview.redd.it/319eyr6olu471.png?width=1379&format=png&auto=webp&s=d222cf2abf998786a7bdf2da33f352c55628eae2)](https://preview.redd.it/319eyr6olu471.png?width=1379&format=png&auto=webp&s=d222cf2abf998786a7bdf2da33f352c55628eae2)
+
+S&P 500 vs Margin Debt
+
+Now, at first glance this set off a couple of bells in my mind. First was an [interview I heard with Steve Eisman](https://youtu.be/NJodqhzqPKQ) (the real-life Mark Baum from The Big Short - the part in question starts around 13:00). He said that, leading up to 2008, the biggest of the idiots "mistook leverage for genius." Leverage, by the way, = margin debt. Is it concerning to you that the S&P 500, which is one of the key indices of the stock market, only seems to go up on the strength of margin debt? Doesn't seem like the best foundation for financial growth, IDK. And margin debt is spiking like crazy ever since the end of 2020, as the chart shows (sidenote: what situation do we know of that has seen big players in Wall Street taking on tons and tons of margin debt? And I can't remember, does that situation seem to have an inverse relationship with the S&P 500? 🤔)
+
+At this point I should mention that Index Funds and ETFs (Exchange-Traded Funds) are both funds that track a sector or a large sampling of the entire market. The key difference between the two is that Index Funds cannot be traded during the day - you can only get into an index fund with an up front investment, usually $2000 or $3000. ETFs on the other hand, track the exact same things that Index Funds do, except ETFs can be traded during the day just like shares of a company. So for example the S&P 500 is an Index Fund. SPY is an ETF (some people have called it the granddaddy of all ETFs) that tracks the S&P 500 Index.
+
+ETFs and Index Funds have a pretty special relationship with GME and market manipulation in general. I give a TON of credit to [u/ahh_soy](https://www.reddit.com/u/ahh_soy/), who [in this post](https://www.reddit.com/r/GME/comments/ljwo3v/serious_researchers_needed_now_i_think_i_know/) back in the doldrums of February discovered that Kenny & company were using ETFs that contained GME to hide their short interest in GME. They essentially paid their credit card bill with another credit card bill (hellooooo, margin debt!), to bring the short interest down and to make it look like they had covered during the craziness of January. There are other examples too. The Russell 2000 has been shorted just to affect the price of GME in recent months as well. Seems like a super inefficient way of going about it Kenny, but whatever. Anyways, the point is that ETFs are a favorite tool for the kind of people that we are betting against.
+
+Michael Burry's tweet above paints a very dark picture. And ETFs are at the center of it. In doing a little research on the subject, [I discovered that Michael Burry has compared Index Funds and ETFs to the CDOs](https://money.usnews.com/investing/funds/articles/do-index-funds-etfs-quietly-pose-a-systemic-risk-michael-burry-thinks-so) that caused the 2008 collapse. If you don't know what a CDO is, I could try and explain it to you. Or I could link to a clip of Jared Vennet explaining it in The Big Short.
+
+[Oh what the heck, I'll just do both.](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xbiDrzTd8fE)
+
+It's complicated, but basically CDOs are a type of hybrid security which is backed by parts of other securities (usually loans of some sort, especially mortgages). It is a convenient way for the big banks and their lackeys to refinance mortgages and to create securities based off of subprime loans that didn't make it into the big Mortgage-Backed Securities. Then they sell those new hybrid securities to make even more money off of it. Is it their problem if what they are selling is over 50% hot garbage?! Nope!
+
+An Index fund or an ETF is similar in the sense that you are buying or investing a security with an incredibly diverse list of holdings, some of them very good and some of them bad. For example, if you wanted to invest in the airline industry but don't want to get into picking companies for fear that one of the two or 3 you pick go bankrupt, you could just buy an ETF based off the airline industry. You might buy one ETF that has shares of multiple airlines and aircraft manufacturers, some of which are exceptional and some of which are not (smh, still can't believe what Boeing did with the 737 MAX). But the idea is that through diversification you overcome any potential risks.
+
+And I can understand why people would think this way! I personally know multiple people who ONLY INVEST in ETFs and Index funds (i.e. they only invest passively) because they think it is safer. I can hear the voice of one of them in my head now as I type this: "the S&P 500 grows by 6-8% like clockwork every single year. It is THE safest way to invest." But even with diversification you still have hundreds of billions of dollars invested in a security that is in large part composed of smaller market-cap, lower volume-traded stocks. Now, I grant you, there are nuanced differences between passive investing and CDOs that I don't fully understand. But the basic principle is the same, the market is betting unimaginable sums of money on securities with significant "subprime" holdings. It is the same problem as with CDOs, except that now we have no excuse for not knowing better.
+
+I might even go so far as to say that the bull run we are seeing on many ETFs and Index funds is a mirage. CNBC looks at the price of the S&P 500 these days and thinks "wow, we sure recovered from the pandemic quick!" But it isn't that simple. Michael Burry compares passive investing to a theater that keeps getting more and more crowded, but the exit stays the same - just one little door. If the show stinks, or worse if their is a fire, it will be deadly. Essentially the money is "trapped" in the market. And when the flow of money reverses from in to out eventually, there isn't enough liquidity to withstand it. It will create the mother of all bottlenecks (MOABN? Meh. I'll keep thinking). People will be literally trampled to death on their way to the exits. Like, hypothetically, if a global pandemic were to come along and weaken the value of like the bottom 2/3rds of every stock included in these index funds and ETFs.
+
+"But Poptart," you might say, "how could the pandemic be the final straw if the pandemic is already over? The first chart you posted even puts an end-date to the recession at earlier this year. What gives?"
+
+Well, dear ape, let me put it to you this way. Look at the chart of the S&P 500 again here.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Beware of Passive Investing (Index Funds and ETFs) Post-MOASS - Growing Wrinkles with Michael Burry, weekend of June 11th 2021](https://preview.redd.it/ctv95wgqqu471.png?width=1549&format=png&auto=webp&s=19461c245c1989cb8654e5ed872d664e36213eec)](https://preview.redd.it/ctv95wgqqu471.png?width=1549&format=png&auto=webp&s=19461c245c1989cb8654e5ed872d664e36213eec)
+
+Ruh roh
+
+See how right after the Covid dip, the price starts to take a parabolic turn north? Does that look natural to you? Can you think of anything natural in the economy that would have happened since then to bring about that growth? Or does it seem more likely to you that it is just the result of quantitative easing, inflation, and stimulus checks trapped in the market? (sidenote: I am NOT placing the blame for this on either of the parties that introduced stimulus checks into the economy, nor am I placing blame on people like you and me who invested them into the market. I am just saying that it is delaying the inevitable.) Does that look like a natural recovery, or does it look like the market was given a shot of a steroid and now it feels great even though it is dying? (dark, I know... sorry)
+
+Price Discovery
+
+The other problem that Burry has with Index funds and ETFs is that they make it impossible for "price discovery to occur. Price Discovery is the process of the market weeding out businesses that don't perform well and that deserve to go bankrupt, and also conversely the process of rewarding companies that do well. It is essentially the idea that a company's performance should have a direct relationship with its stock price. This is really just a free market functioning as it should.
+
+ETFs and Index funds hurt price discovery in the market because the businesses in the fund move not according to what the market dictates, but according to how the overall fund is moving. Don't believe me? Here, take a look at a few holdings of the S&P 500. Represented here are technology, energy, manufacturing, airline, and retail. But do they move together? You bet they do.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Beware of Passive Investing (Index Funds and ETFs) Post-MOASS - Growing Wrinkles with Michael Burry, weekend of June 11th 2021](https://preview.redd.it/515d36poru471.png?width=994&format=png&auto=webp&s=fd009526e6a8b00f01e274d6223bcc707c70b32d)](https://preview.redd.it/515d36poru471.png?width=994&format=png&auto=webp&s=fd009526e6a8b00f01e274d6223bcc707c70b32d)
+
+Technology
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Beware of Passive Investing (Index Funds and ETFs) Post-MOASS - Growing Wrinkles with Michael Burry, weekend of June 11th 2021](https://preview.redd.it/00v3e4rsru471.png?width=990&format=png&auto=webp&s=34395dedf841a62efafad015d607a662679f6e8d)](https://preview.redd.it/00v3e4rsru471.png?width=990&format=png&auto=webp&s=34395dedf841a62efafad015d607a662679f6e8d)
+
+Energy
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Beware of Passive Investing (Index Funds and ETFs) Post-MOASS - Growing Wrinkles with Michael Burry, weekend of June 11th 2021](https://preview.redd.it/alnhlbuxru471.png?width=1025&format=png&auto=webp&s=f89fd9dc4927e3bd944155200594321b87e691c1)](https://preview.redd.it/alnhlbuxru471.png?width=1025&format=png&auto=webp&s=f89fd9dc4927e3bd944155200594321b87e691c1)
+
+Airline
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Beware of Passive Investing (Index Funds and ETFs) Post-MOASS - Growing Wrinkles with Michael Burry, weekend of June 11th 2021](https://preview.redd.it/zsibrimvru471.png?width=1020&format=png&auto=webp&s=4adb3fcc71341df58db32d90e5309c4cb94ad69b)](https://preview.redd.it/zsibrimvru471.png?width=1020&format=png&auto=webp&s=4adb3fcc71341df58db32d90e5309c4cb94ad69b)
+
+Manufacturing
+
+[![r/Superstonk - Beware of Passive Investing (Index Funds and ETFs) Post-MOASS - Growing Wrinkles with Michael Burry, weekend of June 11th 2021](https://preview.redd.it/nswxamgzru471.png?width=1073&format=png&auto=webp&s=5e2ca05a6da8dfb73ed636101a8a4b6bb192d850)](https://preview.redd.it/nswxamgzru471.png?width=1073&format=png&auto=webp&s=5e2ca05a6da8dfb73ed636101a8a4b6bb192d850)
+
+Retail
+
+Notice how every time there is a sharp divergence on one of the stocks, it immediately corrects back to the general path of the fund?
+
+When a market is drunk on Index funds and ETFs, the price discovery is taken out of the hands of individual investors and put into the hands of the people with the cushy job in downtown Manhattan who decide which stocks will go into the fund. In other words, the price discovery is left to the kinds of people like the CDO managers and the stuff-shirt working for Standard & Poors in The Big Short. You know, the kind of people who can easily be bribed to make certain decisions. The kind of people who will pick stocks not so much based on which ones are more deserving, but based on how much money they will get paid. Does that scare you? It sure does me.
+
+One final note on price discovery before we go... what Citadel and friends tried to do to GME, just as they did to Toys R Us, and SEARS, and many others before GME, is the enemy of price discovery just as much as ETFs and Index funds are. In fact if you squint when you look at the two problems, it is just one problem - rich people thinking they should be the ones to determine which companies survive; rich people thinking they know better than the free market; rich people not caring who they screw up in order to make money. Do we live in a free market or don't we? Because right now it doesn't feel like it.
+
+My main takeaways after this exercise:
+
+1.  What I just said about price discovery and GME can't be repeated enough. And THIS is why the GME situation is so terrifying for them. GME doesn't just represent them losing out on the bankruptcy jackpot with one company. The more people learn about what is going on with GME and especially what is going here on Superstonk, the more democratized the market becomes. The more people will learn that-- *looks at hands* -- WE have the power. This is why CNBC tries to ignore us except to nervous laugh at us when GME is up big. They know that we aren't just winning this game - we are establishing a whole new paradigm, and the powers that be don't want to let the cat out of the bag. They are in damage-control mode. I really believe that future generations will read about GameStop in their high school economics textbooks. And THAT is a very happy thought, isn't it apes?
+
+2.  I didn't have time to go over this in the main body but thought it was important to address: I do not think Burry is criticizing us directly when he says "#stonksgoup hype" adds to the problem, and the reason for this is simple: I cannot believe that Burry would think a bunch of people deciding they like the stock, then buying and holding it is the problem. It has to be much more intelligent and nuanced than that, coming from Burry. I think he is criticizing the people who push stocks or crypto just for the laughs but don't really believe they have any value (I am thinking especially of proponents of a certain canine-inspired crypto here). What we are talking about here with GME (and I also include our movie theater friends in this) is that we are trying to stand up for price discovery. We are calling bull💩 on the game that market manipulators are playing. If anything, we are taking a stand against the very problem that Burry is identifying.
+
+3.  BUY. HODL. ~~VOTE.~~ 😅
+
+TLDR: Get ready because the market is gonna need our tendies. And when the time comes, invest in STOCKS. Not Funds or ETFs.
+
+Not financial advice. I literally can't tell my own rear end from a coconut FYI.

DD/Forecasting-GME-Prices-by-RocketApes/2021-05-30-Forecasting-GME-Closing-Prices-Part-I.md

@@ -0,0 +1,99 @@
+I successfully forecasted GME closing prices for the last two weeks based on your DD (proof included). Can therefore prove FTD and SI DD and that Hediges haven't started covering big time. Want me to share the model?
+========================================================================================================================================================================================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/RocketApes](https://www.reddit.com/user/RocketApes/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/noih5m/i_successfully_forecasted_gme_closing_prices_for/) | 
+
+---
+
+[Education 👨‍🏫 | Data 🔢](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Education%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%8F%AB%20%7C%20Data%20%F0%9F%94%A2%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+*edit2: Fixed broken links.*
+
+*edit1: Formatting. Proof for successful predictions now better visible.*
+
+Hi to all the apes out there,
+
+I do data stuff for a living and since I basically spend my work hours staring at green and red GME dildos since January I thought:
+
+*"Why not try to predict GME movement for today?"*
+
+So I did. And it worked, I predicted the general movement of the last two weeks including last weeks crazy price action pretty accurately. That is why I am accused of witchcraft in the German Sub where I published my forecasts ;)
+
+Don't believe me? Neither would I. But I will deliver proof.
+
+*Before I start: I am a data scientist, but not financial expert or advisor. Don't base investments on anything you see here, a model can always fail. If you really want, I can be your wifes boyfriend, though.*
+
+That is how it looks:
+
+[![r/Superstonk - I successfully forecasted GME closing prices for the last two weeks based on your DD (proof included). Can therefore prove FTD and SI DD and that Hediges haven't started covering big time. Want me to share the model?](https://preview.redd.it/3ce2pe9p6b271.png?width=913&format=png&auto=webp&s=562b5bccbd0ed527e0f87aebab74f61eccd747fa)](https://preview.redd.it/3ce2pe9p6b271.png?width=913&format=png&auto=webp&s=562b5bccbd0ed527e0f87aebab74f61eccd747fa)
+
+GME price vs. my forecast
+
+Want proof? Alright, the forecasts where announced in the German *Unter* [r/spielstopp](https://www.reddit.com/r/spielstopp/) in the following posts or comments (model was improved over time, old descriptions are not up to date):
+
+| Date | Forecast | Link / Proof |
+| --- | --- | --- |
+| 2020-05-17 | 5 to 7.5% | [Here](https://www.reddit.com/r/Spielstopp/comments/ne9vhn/neues_kursmodell_zur_vorhersage_f%C3%BCr_euch_zum/) |
+| 2020-05-18 | -6 to -9% | [Here](https://www.reddit.com/r/Spielstopp/comments/nf4mgo/kursmodell_20_und_offenlegung_von_daten_und_modell/) |
+| 2020-05-19 | -5 to -8% | [Here](https://www.reddit.com/r/Spielstopp/comments/nfz5x7/ich_habe_euch_entt%C3%A4uscht_gebt_mir_noch_ne_chance/) |
+| 2020-05-20 | 0 to 2.5% (Model 1) | [Here](https://www.reddit.com/r/Spielstopp/comments/ngoyj4/t%C3%A4glicher_spielstopp_sammelfaden_20052021/gysw3ug?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3) |
+| 2020-05-21 | 2.5 to 5% (Model 2) | [Here](https://www.reddit.com/r/Spielstopp/comments/nhihrz/t%C3%A4glicher_spielstopp_sammelfaden_21052021/gyx9xad?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3) |
+| 2020-05-24 to 2020-05-28 (whole week because I was on vacation) | Longterm forecast (NOT up to date) | [Here](https://www.reddit.com/r/Spielstopp/comments/ngyrai/langfristige_kursvorhersage_von_spielstopp/) |
+
+*Alright, what did I do? (You can skip this part if you like)*
+
+I developed a relatively simple linear regression model and optimized it with a little Monte-Carlo-Simulation to improve the forecast. R² is 0.62, overfitting was hopefully countered by stepwise reduction of variables.
+
+I am sure there are smart apes out there who could improve the model by adding non-linear regression terms, time series analysis and so on, but I had no time for that yet ;) If I chose to share my model, I would be happy to assist with improvements.
+
+*Why should I care? I am just an ape who buy and holds? (DONT skip this part!)*
+
+I will tell you why! Because I can proof some DDs floating around here right.And, most importantly, the fact that GME price movements especially in this week were predictable, shows that we are still in the "Hedgie manipulated area", no covering of shorts or crazy staff has yet happened!
+
+What variables did I include in my model (bold ones are of greater significance)?
+
+1.  Volume und Price movements of afterhours previous day and first hour of the premarket (prediction for the day is therefore available at 5am EST or 10am my time ;))
+
+2.  FTD cycle. Hell yeah, this one IS important, we saw that last week. Hank and all the other's theories seem to be right
+
+3.  Day of week (NOT that important, also no special movements on fridays (options) or tuesday (option hedging) to be seen)
+
+4.  SPY movement (previous day)
+
+5.  Price movement of 10Y US treasuries
+
+6.  Price movement B...Coin (previous day)
+
+7.  Price movement of a certain Cinema (previous day). Not that important as a predictor but of course still correlated to GME!
+
+8.  Change in max pain price (not that important either)
+
+9.  Did RC tweet (previous day)? For the lulz, also not that important
+
+10. RSI (Relative strength index) at the end of previous day
+
+11. 3 month, 4 week, 2 week and 1 week beta. VERY relevant and, to be clear, betas are POSITIVE most of the time
+
+12. SI settlement dates as described in [this](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nc1lny/ive_estimated_the_current_si_based_on_the_si/) DD are extremely relevant
+
+(So why did the price go up this week? in simple terms: FTD+21 plus SI settlement dates plus a little FOMO)
+
+You can find more explanation at my github: <https://github.com/rocketapes123/GMEmodel> or in a little pastebin: <https://controlc.com/9e895bdb>
+
+I set the project to private temporarily, though. Why? Read on.
+
+*Ok, now to the most important question? Should I publish the model and / or forecasts? To be clear, I don't want to farm karma, I am not going to monetize, stream, ask for funding or similar bullshit. I just want to share my findings.*
+
+Whats stops me from doing it? What are my doubts?
+
+1.  Hedgies can read this, too. My model shows that DD here is on spot. (Counter argument: They not it anyways)
+
+2.  A model is a model. It can be wrong, there can be new factors, fuckery or FOMO it can not predict. If people rely on it too much, a wrong prediction could spread doubt.
+
+3.  Danger of "self-fulfilling prophecy": If I, lets say, predict that price is going to drop 5% tomorrow, some people may sell their shares and accelerate a decline
+
+What do you say? Mods and wrinkly apes, I need your input:
+
+[u/rensole](https://www.reddit.com/u/rensole/)**,** [u/redchessqueen99](https://www.reddit.com/u/redchessqueen99/)**,** [u/dlauer](https://www.reddit.com/u/dlauer/)**,** [u/atobitt](https://www.reddit.com/u/atobitt/)

DD/Forecasting-GME-Prices-by-RocketApes/2021-05-31-Forecasting-GME-Closing-Prices-Part-II.md

@@ -0,0 +1,60 @@
+The price of GME since February is completely predictable: "Kicking the can down the road" mathematically deciphered. See what determines GMEs price.
+=====================================================================================================================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/RocketApes](https://www.reddit.com/user/RocketApes/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/np9a0k/the_price_of_gme_since_february_is_completely/) | 
+
+---
+
+[DD 👨‍🔬](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22DD%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%94%AC%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+*edit3: Sent the sub with my forecasts to* [/u/rensole](https://www.reddit.com/u/rensole/) *and* [*u/h4nsm0le*](https://www.reddit.com/user/h4nsm0le/)*,* *they will prove it have been my forecasts.*
+
+*edit2: Here is my base data, go and play with it :)* [*https://ethercalc.net/gt5qilibiv*](https://ethercalc.net/gt5qilibiv)
+
+*Variable description here:* [*https://controlc.com/9e895bdb*](https://controlc.com/9e895bdb)
+
+*edit1: i am sad, my last posting was deleted :( Mods can you help me?*
+
+LAPEies and GAPElemen,
+
+*I present you the final (?) solution to the GME price riddle since February*. Been leveling down this game and I stand on the shoulder of giants to finally solve it.
+
+As explained to you in my [*last* posting](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/noih5m/i_successfully_forecasted_gme_closing_prices_for/), I developed a mathematical model to predict GME prive movements which has proven (to my big surprise!) almost completely accurate in the last two weeks (I have witnesses ;)).
+
+You have convinced me to not share the model or any future predictions with you (and therefore the whole world). Instead I will post it with a different account in an obscure subreddit (either [r/kennysbuttplugs](https://www.reddit.com/r/kennysbuttplugs/) or [r/whenIwasAboyinbulgaria](https://www.reddit.com/r/whenIwasAboyinbulgaria/)**) and show the results to you end of the week with timestamps.**
+
+Anyways, I figured out that I can give you the driving forces behind GMEs price development without giving away the details to actually make predictions based on it.
+
+My first and important result is: GME stock price is extremely different from "normal" stock price developments and is totally and utterly manipulated (come on, a small ape with a computer can predict it?)
+
+With a technique called factor analysis I can extract the strength of each factor in driving GME's price (adds up to 100% naturally):
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The price of GME since February is completely predictable: "Kicking the can down the road" mathematically deciphered. See what determines GMEs price.](https://preview.redd.it/7lef0ay7oh271.png?width=786&format=png&auto=webp&s=0d6218c3a6032228a5fb3f8c8e1a8c83592107a7)](https://preview.redd.it/7lef0ay7oh271.png?width=786&format=png&auto=webp&s=0d6218c3a6032228a5fb3f8c8e1a8c83592107a7)
+
+Influence factors on GME price
+
+These factors, along with the "unknown" factors, for which my model cannot get an explanation (34%, almost nothing for models like these), can be summed up as follows:
+
+[![r/Superstonk - The price of GME since February is completely predictable: "Kicking the can down the road" mathematically deciphered. See what determines GMEs price.](https://preview.redd.it/xt025ydgoh271.png?width=808&format=png&auto=webp&s=559ed62360ecb79e67f6b8c130fb9e9dd3d1b162)](https://preview.redd.it/xt025ydgoh271.png?width=808&format=png&auto=webp&s=559ed62360ecb79e67f6b8c130fb9e9dd3d1b162)
+
+The five pillars of GME price making
+
+1.  Technical factors like RSI: These factors contribute little influence to the GME price, although some more influence like Elliott wave factors may be hidden in the unknown factors
+
+2.  SI-Reporting: Based on [this](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nc1lny/ive_estimated_the_current_si_based_on_the_si/) DD by [/u/criand](https://www.reddit.com/u/criand/), Hedgies try to supress the SI interest by covering right before the SI settlement days which can be found [here](https://www.finra.org/filing-reporting/regulatory-filing-systems/short-interest) (basically every 14 days). Afterwards they short the fuck out of GME again.
+
+3.  FTD Cycle: As pointed out by various posters here, every 21 days, FTD are "renewed", the can is kicked further down the road. This fact is INCREDIBLY visible in the data and ALONE accountable for 20% of the GME prive movement. Fun Fact you should know: Last week, SI-Reporting and FTD Cycle (T+21) were on two consecutive days (Tuesday 05/25 and Wednesday 05/26) - this is the main reason the price exploded (plus a little FOMO). Sorry to disappoint you, nothing substantial happened. The price explosion was predicted by my model ([proof](https://www.reddit.com/r/Spielstopp/comments/ngyrai/langfristige_kursvorhersage_von_spielstopp/))
+
+4.  Movement with the market: Less visible then with other stocks, but still significant:Gme moves with the market. On days without special occurances like SI Reporting or T+21, we have a positive beta. Market movement is accountable for 25% on average but for > 50% on normal days
+
+5.  Unknown factors: "Normal" price drivers like Whales, Retail trading, unknown technical factors and - theoretically - shorts covering are included here. 33% influence is very little, most of the GME price movement is completely deterministic aka manipulated.
+
+As my model cannot predict massive short covering or predict the MOASS, any deviation of the price from my model could show something is brewing. But until now, there are none.
+
+Shorts have not yet covered, they are just kicking the can down the road. I can prove it mathematically. Apes buy and hold.
+
+If interested, I can share the model and predictions with any mod or qualified person for review. I would love to get input and improve the model (or have someone smarter than me improve it) and question my motives but understand that it might not be strategically wise to publically share it.
+
+*That being sad, I am just playing around with numbers and am by no means any advisor for anything (says my wifes boyfriend).*

DD/Forecasting-GME-Prices-by-RocketApes/2021-06-12-Forecasting-GME-Closing-Prices-Part-III.md

@@ -0,0 +1,254 @@
+GME price development decoded: A final update on GME price prediction
+=====================================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/RocketApes](https://www.reddit.com/user/RocketApes/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/DDintoGME/comments/nxyul2/gme_price_development_decoded_a_final_update_on/) | 
+
+---
+
+[𝘜𝘯𝘷𝘦𝘳𝘪𝘧𝘪𝘦𝘥 𝘋𝘋](https://www.reddit.com/r/DDintoGME/search?q=flair_name%3A%22%F0%9D%98%9C%F0%9D%98%AF%F0%9D%98%B7%F0%9D%98%A6%F0%9D%98%B3%F0%9D%98%AA%F0%9D%98%A7%F0%9D%98%AA%F0%9D%98%A6%F0%9D%98%A5%20%F0%9D%98%8B%F0%9D%98%8B%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+*edit2: You asked for pictures, I give you a picture:*
+
+[![r/DDintoGME - GME price development decoded: A final update on GME price prediction](https://preview.redd.it/ygzikkivbv471.png?width=864&format=png&auto=webp&s=687ba1a0b09b08d5a6527e6e82248a2ac02ea1e6)](https://preview.redd.it/ygzikkivbv471.png?width=864&format=png&auto=webp&s=687ba1a0b09b08d5a6527e6e82248a2ac02ea1e6)
+
+Variable influence. Bold area is 90% percentile. Variables not crossing the 0-line are significant, influence on GME price change in percent at x-axis. Example: VIXPD (Vix, previous day) has a positive and almost significant influence on GME price
+
+*edit: Forgot to add, buy and hold. I am not a financial advisor or your mummy (say hello if you meet her!), but daytrading based on any of this stuff could be a very bad idea: Firstly, the model is not ALWAYS correct, secondly if only lasts for a day and who knows what is tomorrow. You could miss stuff like DFV returning or the MOASS. Just buy and hold, I'd say.*
+
+tl;dr: I developed a very good model for GME price prediction (success rate > 90%) and found out by which factors the GME prices is moved. It is moved by FTD cylce, SI reporting, Beta values and MACD, maybe VIX, Options, Movie Theatres. It is NOT moved by cr*pto, longterm Beta, ETF FTD and the max pain price.
+
+LAPEies and GAPElemen,
+
+To complete the trilogy of GME price prediction posts which started [here](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/noih5m/i_successfully_forecasted_gme_closing_prices_for/) and [here](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/np9a0k/the_price_of_gme_since_february_is_completely/), I present the infamous third part: The final problem.
+
+Didn't watch the first two movies and now getting on everyones nerves by asking what the story is about? Let me help you:
+
+I developed a linear model to predict the price of GME after the first hour of premarket. I have been really successful with that. And now I improved it even further.
+
+*Oh, and before you ask: No, I will not make predictions for each and every single day now. I will do something better: I will tell you which data you need to do it yourself and which theories on price influence are true - and which can mathematically be debunked.*
+
+So, how good is your model, rocketGapes? Oh, glad you asked:
+
+I could successfully predict the direction of movement in 97% of all cases in the extensive model (incl. FTD data until May) and 91% in the more up to date model until yesterday. The median error was about 3%.
+
+R squared (where 1 is absolute perfect prediction and anything above roughly 0.4 is really good) is 0.65 for the up to date model and incredible 0.815 for the extensive model. So extremely good.
+
+-   Question for the wrinkle brains: There were only two dates which none of the models could predict right: 2021/04/07 and 2021/04/16. Both should have been really good dates (strong upward movement) but the price moved down instead. *What happened on these dates?*
+
+I will have a data section at the very bottom of the post where all the ANALysts can get extensive information on the models. The source code is available on my [github](https://github.com/rocketapes123/GMEmodel) and you can download the raw data [here](https://github.com/rocketapes123/GMEmodel/blob/main/LMGME_e.csv).
+
+Alright, let us dig into the influential factors on GME price (important: These factors add up, they ALL need to be taken into consideration):
+
+Factors of highest significance and importance
+
+-   FTD-Cycle: Everyone talks about it and everyone is right: on the 21st day, statistically proven the shit hits the fan as hedgies try to kick the can down the road. But there is more:
+
+    -   On day 2 and 3 as well as 12 and 13, the price declines quite often. Question for the wrinkle brains: Why could this be the case?
+
+-   SI reporting: as the famous [/u/Criand](https://www.reddit.com/u/Criand/) found out [here](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nc1lny/ive_estimated_the_current_si_based_on_the_si/) and I could now prove, the price spikes up in the days previous to SI reporting days you can find [here](https://www.finra.org/filing-reporting/regulatory-filing-systems/short-interest). More specifically, the price explodes on one or both of the days prior to the SI reporting settlement days twice a month.
+
+-   Movement in after hours and premarket: Not surprisingly, the direction of AH and first hour of PM is a big determinator of closing price
+
+Factors of high significance and importance
+
+-   Beta values: The beta values (how GME moves with the market) for various time periods (1W, 2W and 4W beta) have a big influence on the price as there seem to be cycles in which GME moves better or worse compared to the market in a predictable way (more wrinkle brains please interpret the numbers I provide below)
+
+-   Previous Day movement of GME: Generally speaking, GME price movement uses to change direction quite often - the previous day price movement tends to inverse
+
+-   First hour premarket volume: Interestingly, the volume of the first hour in PM has a big effect on the closing price: The higher the volume, the lower the closing price. Why? No idea :)
+
+-   Earnings: Ok, I covered only two dated with earnings but the price decline on the after was so significant and unexplicable with other factors that this still shows up here
+
+-   MACD: The value change of the daily MACD histogram (further explanation [here](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/macd.asp)) is another good price predictor. It has a positive sign, meaning: MACD moves up -> price tends to move up the next day. MACD moves down -> price tends to move down the next day
+
+Factors which could very well play a role
+
+-   Change of the Max Pain Price: The change of max pain price (call against put options) on the previous day has a positive correlation with the closing price of today: The price tends to reflect those changes, which only makes sense.
+
+-   A certain theatre chain: The stock which may not be named not only has a big correlation to GME but also the closing prices of the previous day have a small, but interesting connection to today's GME price: It is negative, meaning: A::C moves up -> GME tends to move down the next day. Take it with a grain of salt, though.
+
+-   VIX: Previous day VIX (measure of volatiliy in the market) correlates positively to today's GME closing prices: High VIX -> Better change of GME price rising
+
+-   GME FTD: Failures to deliver of yesterday have a positive correlation to today's price: Many FTD's yesterdays -> Better change of GME price rising
+
+-   RSI: RSI, a measure of whether a stock is over- or underbought, has a positive correlation to GME price
+
+-   Ten year treasury yield: The change of yield of the 10Y treasury bond of the previous day, which is used as a significant indicator of stock market strength, has a negative correlation also to GME prices, so: Higher yield yesterday -> weaker GME price. Take it with a grain of salt though, the mathematical evidence is rather weak
+
+Factors with little to no influence on GME price
+
+-   Market movement (previous day): Yesterdays market movements almost have no influence on today's GME price
+
+-   First hour movements of SPY and movie theater: Although there is some correlation between GME and movies / SPY, you cannot determine the development of today's price by looking at the first hour price movements of those two
+
+-   Day of week: The day of the week has no real influence on prices. You could believe otherwise with weekly options and stuff, but no.
+
+-   Difference of stock price to max pain price: This surprised me, but the difference of yesterdays stock price to the max pain price does not have an influence on the price (the direction of max pain movement price via options has, though). To me, this means that the theory, that the stock price always moves to the max pain price, is wrong. You might think so, because options are naturally playing around the current price but they dont determine it.
+
+-   ETF FTDs: The failure to delivers of ETFs containing GME DONT have an influence on GME price.
+
+-   B*C: As opposed to some of the theories here, the previous day B*C change does not have an influence on GME price. Maybe you find a relationship if you look at longer or shorter time periods, but I did not find indication that cr*pto currency sell offs lead to GME price spikes or anything.
+
+-   What you know as beta: The longterm Beta which is calculated on weekly or monthly basis over more than a year and was hyped here because it was negative has no influence on GME price, sorry guys. GME generally moves with the market and if it doesn't, this has a reason.
+
+Alright, this was long, sorry for that. But as a transparent community, I would like to have theories on price movement and influential factors proven. We see many theories around here, not all of them are true. Thanks for many smart apes, we can prove some and debunk others.
+
+Model details
+
+You find all the model details here: <https://github.com/rocketapes123/GMEmodel>
+
+With a linear model, you can model a variable (in this case: GME price change to previous day in percent) as simple equation:
+
+GME price change = Intercept + Estimate_a * Var_a + Estimate_b * Var_b.....
+
+I have started with two models:
+
+Model 1 including FTDs until mid of may:
+
+```
+ReturnGME~Sett+Volume1HPM+Return1H+FTD+Weekday+Beta.3M+Beta4W+Beta2W+Beta1W+B...C+MaxPain+RGME_PD+RA*C_PD+ReturnAMPD+TenYCPD+ReturnSPY+RSIPD+SP1H+A*C1H+MACDHISTPD+EarningsPD+VIXPD+mPlastPrice+GMEFTDPD+ETFFTDPD
+
+```
+
+Model 2 excluding FTDs until June 11:
+
+```
+ReturnGME~Sett+Volume1HPM+Return1H+FTD+Weekday+Beta.3M+Beta4W+Beta2W+Beta1W+B*C+MaxPain+RGME_PD+RA*C_PD+ReturnAMPD+TenYCPD+ReturnSPY+RSIPD+SP1H+A*C1H+MACDHISTPD+EarningsPD+VIXPD+mPlastPrice+GMEFTDPD+ETFFTDPD
+
+```
+
+With stepwise elimination of variables, I reduced the model to the relevant variables:
+
+Model 1 compressed:
+
+```
+ReturnGME ~ Sett + Volume1HPM + Return1H + FTD +  Beta4W + Beta2W + Beta1W + MaxPain + RGME_PD + ReturnAMPD + A...C1H + MACDHISTPD + EarningsPD + VIXPD + GMEFTDPD
+
+```
+
+Model 2 compressed:
+
+```
+ReturnGME ~ Sett + Volume1HPM + Return1H + FTD + Beta4W + Beta2W + Beta1W + B*C + RGME_PD + RA...C_PD + ReturnAMPD + TenYCPD + RSIPD + MACDHISTPD + EarningsPD + VIXPD
+
+```
+
+Results of the models:
+
+Model 1 compressed:
+
+```
+Call:
+lm(formula = ReturnGME ~ Sett + Volume1HPM + Return1H + FTD +
+    Beta4W + Beta2W + Beta1W + MaxPain + RGME_PD + ReturnAMPD +
+    A*C1H + MACDHISTPD + EarningsPD + VIXPD + GMEFTDPD, data = data)
+
+Residuals:
+    Min      1Q  Median      3Q     Max
+-13.064  -3.617   0.000   3.296  14.404
+
+Coefficients:
+              Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
+(Intercept) -1.089e+01  1.191e+01  -0.914 0.367437
+Sett1        3.641e+01  5.779e+00   6.301 4.55e-07 ***
+Volume1HPM  -6.383e-05  3.034e-05  -2.104 0.043350 *
+Return1H     2.631e+00  4.183e-01   6.290 4.70e-07 ***
+FTD2        -5.024e+01  1.064e+01  -4.721 4.46e-05 ***
+FTD3        -4.474e+01  1.114e+01  -4.015 0.000335 ***
+FTD4        -1.962e+01  8.175e+00  -2.400 0.022407 *
+FTD5        -1.564e+01  8.444e+00  -1.853 0.073182 .
+FTD6        -1.196e+01  8.441e+00  -1.417 0.166289
+FTD7        -9.609e+00  8.527e+00  -1.127 0.268163
+FTD8        -1.017e+01  8.360e+00  -1.217 0.232590
+FTD9        -1.074e+01  8.348e+00  -1.287 0.207281
+FTD10       -2.731e+01  8.155e+00  -3.350 0.002085 **
+FTD11       -1.871e+01  9.679e+00  -1.933 0.062089 .
+FTD12       -4.335e+01  1.045e+01  -4.148 0.000231 ***
+FTD13       -4.216e+01  9.586e+00  -4.398 0.000113 ***
+FTD14       -1.123e+01  7.802e+00  -1.440 0.159666
+FTD15       -7.598e+00  8.420e+00  -0.902 0.373609
+FTD16       -1.371e+01  8.580e+00  -1.598 0.119820
+FTD17       -1.423e+01  8.278e+00  -1.719 0.095223 .
+FTD18       -1.588e+01  8.637e+00  -1.838 0.075329 .
+FTD19       -1.373e+01  8.509e+00  -1.613 0.116579
+FTD20       -9.808e+00  8.535e+00  -1.149 0.259011
+FTD21        1.911e+01  9.799e+00   1.950 0.059921 .
+Beta4W      -3.992e-01  1.729e-01  -2.310 0.027517 *
+Beta2W       5.655e-01  2.330e-01   2.427 0.021019 *
+Beta1W      -3.329e-01  1.616e-01  -2.060 0.047609 *
+MaxPain      2.792e-01  1.635e-01   1.707 0.097437 .
+RGME_PD     -5.448e-01  1.530e-01  -3.561 0.001181 **
+ReturnAMPD   1.397e+00  3.667e-01   3.810 0.000595 ***
+A*C1H       -7.257e-01  4.269e-01  -1.700 0.098876 .
+MACDHISTPD   2.140e+00  6.889e-01   3.107 0.003948 **
+EarningsPD  -2.731e+01  1.160e+01  -2.355 0.024824 *
+VIXPD        9.884e-01  5.047e-01   1.958 0.058947 .
+GMEFTDPD     6.550e-05  3.731e-05   1.756 0.088738 .
+---
+Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
+
+Residual standard error: 7.413 on 32 degrees of freedom
+Multiple R-squared:  0.9103,	Adjusted R-squared:  0.8149
+F-statistic: 9.548 on 34 and 32 DF,  p-value: 2.596e-09
+
+```
+
+Model 2 compressed:
+
+```
+Call:
+lm(formula = ReturnGME ~ Sett + Volume1HPM + Return1H + FTD +
+    Beta4W + Beta2W + Beta1W + B*C + RGME_PD + RA*C_PD + ReturnAMPD +
+    TenYCPD + RSIPD + MACDHISTPD + EarningsPD + VIXPD, data = data)
+
+Residuals:
+     Min       1Q   Median       3Q      Max
+-16.6535  -4.4684  -0.6397   4.4523  25.7623
+
+Coefficients:
+              Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
+(Intercept) -4.074e+01  1.598e+01  -2.549 0.013989 *
+Sett1        1.565e+01  5.028e+00   3.113 0.003088 **
+Volume1HPM  -8.234e-05  3.577e-05  -2.302 0.025637 *
+Return1H     2.007e+00  5.069e-01   3.959 0.000243 ***
+FTD2        -5.185e+00  1.013e+01  -0.512 0.611216
+FTD3        -1.211e+01  8.966e+00  -1.350 0.183168
+FTD4         5.329e+00  8.798e+00   0.606 0.547468
+FTD5        -1.206e+00  8.464e+00  -0.142 0.887296
+FTD6         1.198e+00  8.737e+00   0.137 0.891454
+FTD7         8.505e-02  9.220e+00   0.009 0.992677
+FTD8         1.327e+01  8.470e+00   1.566 0.123737
+FTD9         7.258e+00  8.522e+00   0.852 0.398582
+FTD10       -1.385e+01  8.327e+00  -1.663 0.102749
+FTD11       -1.024e-14  9.909e+00   0.000 1.000000
+FTD12       -7.953e+00  9.406e+00  -0.845 0.401959
+FTD13       -5.410e+00  9.009e+00  -0.600 0.550974
+FTD14        9.777e-15  8.865e+00   0.000 1.000000
+FTD15        1.063e+01  8.958e+00   1.187 0.240998
+FTD16        2.623e+00  8.929e+00   0.294 0.770202
+FTD17       -7.713e+00  8.858e+00  -0.871 0.388130
+FTD18       -1.733e+00  9.249e+00  -0.187 0.852146
+FTD19        2.827e+00  8.567e+00   0.330 0.742814
+FTD20       -1.729e-14  9.230e+00   0.000 1.000000
+FTD21        1.948e+01  9.232e+00   2.110 0.039948 *
+Beta4W      -1.007e-01  2.195e-01  -0.459 0.648532
+Beta2W       2.997e-01  2.478e-01   1.210 0.232146
+Beta1W      -1.873e-01  1.625e-01  -1.153 0.254594
+B*C         -1.793e-01  2.701e-01  -0.664 0.509813
+RGME_PD     -1.556e-01  1.817e-01  -0.856 0.395913
+RA*C_PD     -1.865e-01  1.094e-01  -1.705 0.094556 .
+ReturnAMPD   1.772e+00  4.559e-01   3.887 0.000305 ***
+TenYCPD     -5.988e-01  3.491e-01  -1.715 0.092623 .
+RSIPD        3.419e-01  1.802e-01   1.897 0.063783 .
+MACDHISTPD   1.959e+00  8.426e-01   2.325 0.024262 *
+EarningsPD  -1.611e+01  9.099e+00  -1.770 0.082947 .
+VIXPD        1.049e+00  6.372e-01   1.646 0.106149
+---
+Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
+
+Residual standard error: 9.569 on 49 degrees of freedom
+Multiple R-squared:  0.7932,	Adjusted R-squared:  0.6455
+F-statistic:  5.37 on 35 and 49 DF,  p-value: 5.649e-08
+```

DD/Gamma-Signals-by-yelyah2/2021-06-06-Gamma-Signal-Update.md

@@ -0,0 +1,110 @@
+6/6/2021 Gamma Update - Review of Gamma Maximums
+================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/yelyah2](https://www.reddit.com/user/yelyah2/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/ntw1h1/662021_gamma_update_review_of_gamma_maximums/) | 
+
+---
+
+[Education 👨‍🏫 | Data 🔢](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Education%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%8F%AB%20%7C%20Data%20%F0%9F%94%A2%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+TLDR: Potential new indicator - Gamma Maximum prices could identify potential ceilings for an underlying price, and a threshold to catapult the stock upwards if it can break through.
+
+Few Quick Words
+
+As my posts have recently gained some attention, thought I'd like say a few quick things before digging in:
+
+-   I use raw options data from [historicaloptiondata.com](https://historicaloptiondata.com/), write my own algos, and these are just Excel graphs I made.
+
+-   I have a few motivations for sharing this information:
+
+    -   Give back to this community. It's awesome, and has given me so much knowledge already.
+
+    -   Get feedback and suggestions. I do this as a hobby. I'm not a professional, and this is a pool of very intelligent people who have a lot of good ideas. This post is dedicated to one suggestion I received this last week, and was excited to dig into. I appreciate all your comments and suggestions.
+
+        -   Just be kind if you see something you don't agree with. I'd love an honest discourse!
+
+-   I try to read/reply to all your comments, messages and chats. If I don't respond and you wanted a chat, just bug me again. Like everyone, I have a lot going on in life, but this is important to me.
+
+-   I'm giving away a lot of my sauce, but I choose to keep some of my sauce secret. Hoping you can understand if I don't give away all secrets of what I do with trading this model.
+
+Recap
+
+My work is built on the idea that the market is largely unpredictable, but one particular kind of behavior is certain - hedgies like to hedge. It's written into their algorithms. Specifically, they like to delta hedge and gamma hedge. This work tries to profit on this one particular type of buying/selling behavior. I have a little data dictionary at the bottom if you need a refresher on terminology.
+
+Usual Graph Update
+
+Here's the graph you're used to seeing, and it includes the Close Price (green), delta neutral (blue), gamma neutral (orange) and max pain (blue).
+
+[![r/Superstonk - 6/6/2021 Gamma Update - Review of Gamma Maximums](https://preview.redd.it/4lrpvevj5p371.png?width=910&format=png&auto=webp&s=7d8a66d7133074756b822614a74b5389553390e3)](https://preview.redd.it/4lrpvevj5p371.png?width=910&format=png&auto=webp&s=7d8a66d7133074756b822614a74b5389553390e3)
+
+GME 12/3/2020 - 6/4/2021
+
+And on a log-based 10 scale:
+
+[![r/Superstonk - 6/6/2021 Gamma Update - Review of Gamma Maximums](https://preview.redd.it/w8hji3wc5p371.png?width=910&format=png&auto=webp&s=e6f2d7ff15bb04826059d30df5e473bef9998ff7)](https://preview.redd.it/w8hji3wc5p371.png?width=910&format=png&auto=webp&s=e6f2d7ff15bb04826059d30df5e473bef9998ff7)
+
+GME 12/3/2020 - 6/4/2021 - Log Base 10 Scale
+
+Some people are expecting another drop as the GME price climbs up. The Delta Neutral was at $164 on Friday, and I am projecting that it will climb to $168 by tomorrow, so if the price does dump, don't panic!
+
+Gamma Maximum
+
+As I said, I try to read/reply to all your comments and appreciate all feedback/ideas. For this post, I want to highlight one idea by [u/pennyether](https://www.reddit.com/u/pennyether/):
+
+*"I have a hunch that the price point that has "peak gamma" is more predictive than the point that has "zero gamma". I would be very interested to "peak gamma price point" plotted with the other values.*
+
+*I think "zero gamma" is overall just indicative of call/put ratio, and how far out they are. It's more of a measurement of "how much are people gambling?".*
+
+*"Peak Gamma" acts more like magnet in some respects. It's easier to move the price around through price points of high gamma (since each buy or sell is magnified by delta hedging). So if you're just below the peak, buying will push you up slightly more than selling will push you down.*
+
+Before I show you GME, I wanted to show you the Amazon graph with the "Max Gamma", in a nice red crayon color, and represents underlying price that would achieve the maximum total gamma for the day. I picked Amazon because it's a stock that behaves really well, it has some of the highest underlying equity and options volume on the stock market.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - 6/6/2021 Gamma Update - Review of Gamma Maximums](https://preview.redd.it/rtcns36a7p371.png?width=910&format=png&auto=webp&s=43fa5f0686002248a5e11f018a4eaf02c096ae87)](https://preview.redd.it/rtcns36a7p371.png?width=910&format=png&auto=webp&s=43fa5f0686002248a5e11f018a4eaf02c096ae87)
+
+AMZN 12/1/2020 - 6/4/2021
+
+A couple quick comments:
+
+-   For Amazon, it does seem like the gamma maximum could be acting like a magnet, as [u/pennyether](https://www.reddit.com/u/pennyether/) suggested.
+
+-   It also seems to act like a ceiling for Amazon on a couple points
+
+So with that here's the GME graph, in all its madness:
+
+[![r/Superstonk - 6/6/2021 Gamma Update - Review of Gamma Maximums](https://preview.redd.it/tamz8rn28p371.png?width=910&format=png&auto=webp&s=ead72bace85cb8bc461acf3292186c10ee5c5274)](https://preview.redd.it/tamz8rn28p371.png?width=910&format=png&auto=webp&s=ead72bace85cb8bc461acf3292186c10ee5c5274)
+
+GME 12/3/2020 - 6/4/2021
+
+I also zoomed in so you could see the run-up to the January squeeze:
+
+[![r/Superstonk - 6/6/2021 Gamma Update - Review of Gamma Maximums](https://preview.redd.it/3a3gy4kb8p371.png?width=910&format=png&auto=webp&s=78f250da0d58caa3a196a6e75f48ad2f9f31604b)](https://preview.redd.it/3a3gy4kb8p371.png?width=910&format=png&auto=webp&s=78f250da0d58caa3a196a6e75f48ad2f9f31604b)
+
+GME 12/3/2020 - 1/24/2021
+
+I'm really interested to hear about what you see here, and what you think the maximum gamma could represent. I have a few thoughts/observations:
+
+-   It does seem like the gamma max could act like a ceiling, as I showed with Amazon
+
+-   but if the price breaks through the gamma maximum barrier, then it seems like it gives it the power to accelerate the underlying price upwards
+
+-   If so, does that mean the ceiling tomorrow is ~$280 that we have to break through to get to the next level? Maybe? It definitely seems like the latest battles have been centered around $280. Here's hoping we can break through it!
+
+Just for fun, here's a logarithmic scale showing the maximum gamma from the January squeeze. As you can see, the gamma maximum would have been $12,270,857,810,209,300,000,000,000,000,000 on 1/28/2021.
+
+[![r/Superstonk - 6/6/2021 Gamma Update - Review of Gamma Maximums](https://preview.redd.it/kxbmw9gq5l371.png?width=910&format=png&auto=webp&s=4b2f236f63e054d5cb07ccd5d7901929ca008c31)](https://preview.redd.it/kxbmw9gq5l371.png?width=910&format=png&auto=webp&s=4b2f236f63e054d5cb07ccd5d7901929ca008c31)
+
+Do I think that was really the ceiling? No.... not really... but I have a feeling some will say it's the new "floor" :) I'm guessing it's an infinite glitch as the optimizer tries to find a solution (I know you love that "g" word...).
+
+Ok that's it for today, see you out there tomorrow! Keep your ideas coming! I love looking at this stuff!!
+
+*Data Dictionary*
+
+-   Delta Neutral: price that creates a total market delta of 0 across all GME options (all expiration dates) for a given date. General observation is it acts like a theoretical floor (although the price can go lower, as seen in February). My theory is that as the underlying approaches the delta neutral, call options go on sale. As people buy call options, MM have to buy the stocks which increases the price. Most stocks like to hang out above the delta neutral, some dip below and create pressure that can shoot them back over the delta neutral (like what happened in February), and some like to hang out below (like the VIX).
+
+-   Gamma Neutral: price that creates a total market gamma of 0 across all GME options (all expiration dates) for a given date. General observation is it acts like support/resistance between the delta neutral and the underlying, and typically bounces around between the two prices for most plan (like we have seen with GME since April). It also goes crazy in periods of high volatility (as you can see by the infinite spikes).
+
+-   Max Pain: price that creates largest loss for option buyers and largest gain for option sellers. This is a controversial topic because underlying prices can drift towards this point. There are typically large areas around the max pain that doesn't make a lot of difference to the profits for option buyer/sellers. It can be used to help gauge where the equilibrium of the options data is, but there is often a wide range around this price point that does not meaningfully affect MM profits.
+
+Disclaimer: I'm just a person that likes to play with options data and builds models to trade for a hobby. I have no experience trading professionally or offering any advice to anyone. Nothing is certain in trading. It's all probabilities and what increases/decreases your chance at a profit. This is just one indicator for one type of price movement, and there are many other indicators that can help you make investment decisions.

DD/Gamma-Signals-by-yelyah2/2021-06-08-Delta-Neutral-Update.md

@@ -0,0 +1,72 @@
+6/8 Delta Neutral Update - Flash Crash Preparedness Plan
+========================================================
+
+| Author       | Source       | 
+| :-------------: |:-------------:|
+|  [u/yelyah2](https://www.reddit.com/user/yelyah2/) | [Reddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/nvl0sy/68_delta_neutral_update_flash_crash_preparedness/) | 
+
+---
+
+[Education 👨‍🏫 | Data 🔢](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/search?q=flair_name%3A%22Education%20%F0%9F%91%A8%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%8F%AB%20%7C%20Data%20%F0%9F%94%A2%22&restrict_sr=1)
+
+TLDR: If there is a flash crash tomorrow, don't panic. Expect for it to bounce off the $160 price point.
+
+Edit: Added the Maximum Gamma point to the graph below.
+
+Recap
+
+My work is built on the idea that the market is largely unpredictable, but one particular kind of behavior is certain - hedgies like to hedge. It's written into their algorithms. Specifically, they like to delta hedge and gamma hedge. This work tries to profit on this one particular type of buying/selling behavior. I have a little data dictionary at the bottom if you need a refresher on terminology.
+
+This post is mostly an update to the delta neutral (underlying price where the total market delta is zero). My general theory is that as the underlying approaches the delta neutral, the call options have a flash sale. As people buy up the call options, MM have to buy the stocks, which shoots the price back up.
+
+Usual Graph Update
+
+Here's the graph you're used to seeing, and it includes the Close Price (green), delta neutral (blue), gamma neutral (orange), and gamma maximum (red)
+
+[![r/Superstonk - 6/8 Delta Neutral Update - Flash Crash Preparedness Plan](https://preview.redd.it/fefq4x4a16471.png?width=911&format=png&auto=webp&s=9834b4d8bb54e803a45be68746d35629ce15504d)](https://preview.redd.it/fefq4x4a16471.png?width=911&format=png&auto=webp&s=9834b4d8bb54e803a45be68746d35629ce15504d)
+
+GME 1/4/2021 - 6/8/2021
+
+[![r/Superstonk - 6/8 Delta Neutral Update - Flash Crash Preparedness Plan](https://preview.redd.it/8o5n1n5z16471.png?width=911&format=png&auto=webp&s=a6d4979f5cbd45d5a74b88a9c68ab0ac0896003d)](https://preview.redd.it/8o5n1n5z16471.png?width=911&format=png&auto=webp&s=a6d4979f5cbd45d5a74b88a9c68ab0ac0896003d)
+
+GME 1/4/2021 - 6/8/2021 - Log Based 10 Scale
+
+Few notes:
+
+-   She's moving on up!!
+
+-   Delta Discussion:
+
+    -   The delta neutral today is $157.04, and I'm projecting it will be $159.70 tomorrow. That means if there's a flash crash tomorrow, don't panic, it will probably bounce off that point like it has in the past.
+
+    -   If you're new to my posts, I started posting when the price was dropping on 5/10. I wanted to reassure everyone that the price would probably bounce off the $143 mark, then warned everyone that it may bounce off the $135 mark the next day. She's been going up ever since! Links to old posts if you're interested:
+
+        -   [5/10 Update](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/n9cutk/gme_bouncing_off_delta_neutral_price_today/)
+
+        -   [5/11 Update](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/na952e/gme_delta_neutral_price_update/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3)
+
+    -   If the price drops below the delta neutral price, then pressure starts to build-up. If the delta neutral doesn't drop with the price, then the underlying price usually bounces back over the delta neutral, like what you can see in February.
+
+        -   Note this is mostly how I trade on my model. I watch for equities that drop below the delta neutral. The other one I trade on is gamma spikes...
+
+-   Gamma Discussion:
+
+    -   Added the maximum gamma price point to the graph, which is currently sitting at $301.
+
+        -   See my last update for a discussion on this new indicator: [Maximum Gamma Indicator](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/ntw1h1/662021_gamma_update_review_of_gamma_maximums/)
+
+    -   It seems like these significant spikes run along side the gamma maximums price points (see the January/March squeezes), and we're currently in one of these runs alongside the underlying price with the maximum gamma.
+
+    -   No gamma spikes today for GME, but that's ok, I can feel they are coming!
+
+I hope we all have an easy day tomorrow with no crazy turbulence/crashes. See you out there tomorrow!
+
+*Data Dictionary*
+
+-   Delta Neutral: price that creates a total market delta of 0 across all GME options (all expiration dates) for a given date. General observation is it acts like a theoretical floor (although the price can go lower, as seen in February). My theory is that as the underlying approaches the delta neutral, call options go on sale. As people buy call options, MM have to buy the stocks which increases the price. Most stocks like to hang out above the delta neutral, some dip below and create pressure that can shoot them back over the delta neutral (like what happened in February), and some like to hang out below (like the VIX).
+
+-   Gamma Neutral: price that creates a total market gamma of 0 across all GME options (all expiration dates) for a given date. General observation is it acts like support/resistance between the delta neutral and the underlying, and typically bounces around between the two prices for most plan (like we have seen with GME since April). It also goes crazy in periods of high volatility (as you can see by the infinite spikes).
+
+-   Gamma Maximum: Underlying price that results in the highest level of total market gamma. This is a new indicator, suggested by another redditor, pennyether. This price point seems to act as a ceiling, but then an accelerant if the price can break through this barrier.
+
+Disclaimer: I'm just a person that likes to play with options data and builds models to trade for a hobby. I have no experience trading professionally or offering any advice to anyone. Nothing is certain in trading. It's all probabilities and what increases/decreases your chance at a profit. This is just one indicator for one type of price movement, and there are many other indicators that can help you make investment decisions.